Live Bet Sunday | Hour 7 | January 26, 2025

Published Jan 27, 2025, 1:25 AM

In this hour of Live Bet Sunday, hosts Dustin Swedelson and Will Hill recap the game between the Eagles and the Commanders. Plus, Dustin and Will give in game live updates in the AFC Conference Championship game between the Bills and the Chiefs! Also, Dustin and Will will preview the Super Bowl as the AFC Championship game unfolds and see who will take on the Eagles!

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This is vson D Sports Betting Network Series XM, Channel one fifty eight. He's Will Hill, I'm Dustin Sweedelson and the AFC Title Game is underway. Kansas City Chiefs take the first shot, going up seven to nothing thanks to a Kareem Hunt touchdown run. Currently laying five and a half in the market. Total is fifty and a hook. We've got Buffalo looking to respond at the Kansas City thirty nine with the football, but they're facing.

A third and nine now, so a big third.

Down coming up for Buffalo and they throw it underneath to Shakir. He eludes one defender but actually lose his yards following the cap.

Will what do you do here? If you're Buffalo?

I mean it's a lengthy field goal on the road at Arrowhead. Do you dare go ford on like a fourth and five here?

Yeah? He picked up like three or four yards.

Probably kick get I don't know though, fourth and five or probably kick it.

Fourth and five were like the thirty eight.

Maybe it's not an easy decision.

It was like fourth in two or three Yeah, you're going fourth and five.

It's tough. What would you do well?

Tyler Bastar saying on the broadcast four or four on.

Fifty plus yard attempts in his career. So he lines up for a fifty three yarder, it's up and it's good. So Buffalo's on the board. Now that number just dip back down. Kansas City's laying four and a half totals fifty in a hook right now, Will, So that's big for Buffalo. But I'm curious how this next offensive drive looks for Kansas City because it was virtually effortless for Mahomes and Company four to four through the air, sixty one yards. Kareem Hunt led the way with twenty two on the ground and a touchdown from twelve yards out. Juju Smith schues Schuster had thirty one yards on a reception. I would brown it two for twenty. It was a cool comcast as we'll drive downfield for seven. What are they have in that second possession.

Now, Will?

Yeah, I guess if you're Buffalo or're betting Buffalo, you're hoping, you're hopeful that the first fifteen was the driver of that. And hey, once you get into the just natural body of the game. Maybe things come down and man, if that's how it's gonna go, if it's gonna be that easy, then you know we're not gonna have much of a game and talk about. But you would think Buffalo would settle in and do a better, better job better, and it would be hard to do worse defensively than that first jib.

Yeah, let's see what was Kareem Hunt to score the first touchdown in this game?

He was ten to one, ten to one. It's a good number if you had it.

I mean, look, the running backs are usually the shortest when it comes to the first touchdown market for obvious reasons. Teams are risk adverse when they get in the red zone, they get the ball more, don't want to turn it over.

Goal line runs, all that nature.

But yeah, Kareem Hunt having a nice little day to start on that opening drive.

Wonder how much p Checko we see.

You know he's dealt with injuries, but when he's in that guy's really effective and a violent runner. I am on Kareem Hunt over forty six and a half combo yards. We'll see how that turns out here, because if they play with the lead I don't how many catches he's gonna have, so I'm gonna need him to get it on the ground. For the Buffalo defense, though, will this drive is gonna be big. They're not good on third down, and Kansas City is second in the league on third down. To me, that's what this entire matchup comes down between the Chiefs offense, Buffalo defense. Kansas City second on third, the Buffalo defense twenty ninth on third. The Bills do turn people over, but the Chiefs are just fourth and turnovers.

So to me, it's about third down.

And Mahomes just has a way of finding ways to make plays. If he needs three yards, he gets four or five. If he needs seven yards, he gets eight or nine. He just knows where to go with the football in the right situations.

So you were on the Bills before the game, what's your level of like, Hey, if you could take a dueover, would you do a duelover? It's early, You're not gonna panic.

I'm already thinking about if Buffalo gets a drive in a stuff and scores a touchdown and gets the lead, how I can bet Kansas City. I don't feel I don't feel good. I don't I really don't like how that opening drive looked. It was super clunky, and that's when you're supposed to look your best, that's scripted, that's planned out a week in advance, like that is your best way of attacking the Kansas City defense. And they almost threw a couple interceptions and the other plays just were not dynamic at all.

So they're gonna need to work Kinkaid and knocks over the middle a lot more.

They threw one to Kinkaid for eleven yards, but I think the outside is completely taken away with Trent McDuffie at one corner spot, I don't think they're gonna be able to get vertical to the sidelines.

They're gonna have to use the middle of the field.

Did you have a feeling on Kelsey like sixty seven and a half?

Sixty eight and a half. So it's one of those guys it's scary to bed under.

But do you feel like it's overvalued with everybody kind of kind of a public play, everybody jumping.

On the over No, so he performs in the playoffs when the game shortened up like this, Mahomes looks for him more. I didn't like the receiving yards prop I would have anytime touchdown at plus one ten.

It's kind of a short number, but.

I went back and looked fifteen of his last fifteen playoff games, he has fifteen touchdowns. It doesn't mean he scores in everyone. Sometimes he has zero and he scores two. But he is a guy in the playoffs where Mahomes trusts him more and ends up using him in the red zone as much as he can. As Mahomes takes a shot down field and it's knocked the way, Hollywood Brown.

Can only get one hand on it, So that'll bring up a second and ten. A lot of Hollywood Brown early in this one.

Will I wonder if we should take a look at his receiving props.

Right now the number.

Is set at fifty six and a half. He already has a jumpstart of twenty. That's another target for him. Let's see what his receptions are. Four and a half but juiced at minus one p fifty five on the over and he has two receptions. I think Hollywood Brown might be the go to guy this after the way things look.

So far, certainly looks like that's not an accidental It's not a coincidence.

It's part of the game plan to feature him.

Could you have called interference there? That's another thing we haven't talked about in terms of this game. If you're the refs, do you think the refs are more likely I'll put it this way, to give Kansas City the calls because they're home in Kansas City usually gets the calls, and the home scrambles.

For about twelve yards. Prett effortlessly give.

The Bills the calls to say it's not rigular, day's just hey, let's stay the hell out of it.

M Yeah, I don't know.

I think the Bills are a pretty penalized team from what I remember for my research.

I have to go back and look.

But I don't buy into that narrative that the Chiefs get all the calls.

I know people don't like that.

I just think that they know how to set up those calls, right. They know how to put themselves in position to get those calls.

But I don't think it's.

Like a thing where the refs are looking to back them. I and the refs let them play, and then the fourth quarter, I think it tightens up with what they're gonna call. I think they will call stuff in the fourth quarter if they think it's going to decide the game.

And again, another nice game here about eight and a half nine yards on first down, look like Worthy got to carry. So yeah, Kansas City is getting whatever they want offensively.

Yeah, it's supersual.

I think that's the that concerns me, Like, you don't make Andy Reid and Mahome sweat at all. Like, well, Andy Reid sweats, he's sweat. It's freezing right now in Arrowhead. He's definitely sweating.

I believe me.

I know how that goes. But they just never look frazzled. They're always just like, ah, yeah, we'll figure it out. Oh, it's third and twelve, all right, we'll figure that out. It's second and seven, and we got something for that. It seems like they just always have an answer right now with let's get you a look at the live number though, before we get back into the game, they're in a time out. Five and a half's the number Chiefs are laying it up.

Seven to three. Year total is fifty and a half.

I like the over I mean with the way the Chiefs are moving the ball, the fact the oiver is only fifty and a half. Yeah, so we had a quick three and out that we had a touchdown a field goal, and now we got another team driving and it's only moved up a point.

I like the over, yeah, because again, my big point, my big point of why I like the Bills today was just because if he needs to, Alan can reach back and throw a fifty sixty yard bomb at any point in this game. Mahomes obviously has that in his back pocket. Well, I'd lean over with you because I could see this game being what, let's say, twenty one thirteen at the half and then a crazy.

Second half with the fourth quarter trading shots.

Yeah.

I mean, if it's twenty one fourteenth to half, that's thirty five. You're you're a good chunk away there, so you need much and I think we're on a good pacer.

So I'm gonna get this over, bet boy. That's all to me. That's a good number of the over.

Do it. Do it.

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AFC Title Game? Who's gonna take on the Philadelphia Eagles. We've got the Chiefs up on the Bills at Arrowhead Stadium seven to three. You're in game number five and a half. Chiefs are laying it your total fifty and a half. And he just heard Will Hill. He went over on that fifty.

And a half. I happen to lean with him that way.

However, because my Bills BET's not looking good, not looking to lose. Two bets on the side and total together, they're gonna rely on these player props to take me home tonight.

But the Chiefs have the football and they're.

Right around midfield again, let's see where we left off. Yeah, they're at the forty eight of Buffalo, so they've crossed over into Buffalo territory. And if they score seven here. I can tell you this. I just joked about Andy Reid's sweating. Sean McDermott's gonna start sweating. I know people don't think his job's on the line. It's probably not today, no, but but no.

He's back in the AFC title game. That matters.

But I do think you have to have some questions as an organization if you're the Bills and you're losing again to to Andy Reid.

And the and the Chiefs, and I know it's a little unfair.

It's similar to Peyton Manning going up against Brady and Belichick all very year. Similar, but the reality is at some point you got to try something different.

Yeah, I mean, I don't think they would do it, especially after the season they had.

Not this year, not this year.

Yeah, they wouldn't do it, But I felt like that for a few years. It does feel like, No, I agree with your general point, but he's pretty much safe.

It's just.

Yeah, I don't know.

I mean, the thirteen second game was clearly on him last year. They were just outplayed. I don't know, man, who who would you go for his replacement? It's probably a fruitless exercise because he's.

Not going to be trade for Mike Tomlin. That's what I would do, trade for Mike.

Oh yeah, sure, that's that's the answer.

That's everyone's answer.

No one's gonna do it, so it doesn't matter, So that would be my answer.

Sorry, here's what your goal.

Is if you want to if you want to lose by thirty point round one ball?

Oh no, that who has it? Who has it?

Like? They jumped it looked like Buffalo jumps.

Yeah, there's a flag because they were in the backfield. Asked Mahomes went to throw it, it went flying back. I think they're gonna I think you're right.

I think you're right. I think it's on Buffalo. So let's see what they say.

They're giving the Bills the football, but I think they're gonna review this.

This is a massive swing early.

I don't know if it's gonna be a review. I think there's a penalty.

Yeah, yeah, yeah, So let's see what the penalty is.

Raff is about to call it and watching the replay off sides on the defense. You're right, they jumped it, so all right, it's coming back. It's not gonna be a fumble. So Chiefs maintained possession. They'll move up and they're up seventy three with two nineteen to go in the first touchdown field goal. How's this drive end? We'll look at that on the other side of the break.

He's Will Hill. I'm Dustin Sweetelson. This is Live at Sunday.

This is Live Bet Sunday on VS the Sports betting networks.

All right, a fumble was called back because of an offside and then right immediately after another fumble and the Buffalo Bills recovered. Just like that, they have the football back with under a minute to go in the first quarter. You're tuned into Live Bet Sunday. This is v SIN the Sports Betting Network. Catch us Serious XM channel one fifty eight.

He's Will Hill. I'm Dustin Sweetelson.

A lot to look at here, as the Bills may have finally gotten the momentum that they just were looking for in the first few drives. This game will klunky opener for them, ends up with them punting it away. Kansas City scores a touchdown their first drive, Bills get a field goal on their second, and now Kansas City fumbles it back to Buffalo and all of a sudden they have a chance with the football if they score a touchdown to take the lead.

On the road to Arrowhead.

Yeah, unforced their too.

Mahomes looked like it was going to be sort of a readoption and keep it. It was kind of in between where he didn't give it, he didn't keep it, and the balling's up on the ground. Almes had his hands on it, but it gets wrestled away and just an unforced air in the end, the way the Chiefs were cooking them defensively and just slicing through that defense, it felt like that was headed to fourteen to three. Who knows, but if it gets to fourteen three, man, that's the Chiefs with the eleven point lead. But a huge possible turning point in the game where it felt like the Chiefs could just do whatever they wanted offensively, and they just give the ball away very carelessly.

Here's James Cook with an eleven yard run for the Bills to pick up a first down, marching them deeper into where are they at now? Where they at the twenty eight? So that's probably what the forty eight, thirty eight, something like that. Thirty nine just shy of their own forty It looks like so all right, Buffalo working towards midfield here and running the football with James Cook interesting two for fourteen.

The settle I think they settle things down.

I think they saw the Allen almost turnovers early gave the touchdown. They're just kind of, hey, let the game settle in, Let's try to keep the offense on the field, Let's try to catch our breath here.

I was concerned about James Cook. Props.

I didn't touch him. The rushing attempts was at like fourteen and a half. Kansas City allows the fourth fewest attempts, third fewest rush yards to running backs. I didn't know how useful he'd be in this kind of matchup, especially if they got down. So I stayed away from James Cook, who was really productive all year long, just because that front for Kansas City is so good against the run.

So that brings up a second and one.

He did not get the first down, and they're at the thirty eight yard line.

So see what Buffalo does here.

Your in game number does have the Chiefs down to laying two and a half total forty seven and a half.

Will good play to take a shot on cause second and one you feel like you can get it on third and one maybe a run of play Action year and you throw it deep. Second in one is one where you can be daring. They don't do that. They hand it off and they just get a couple of yards.

They move the chains here, all right, Well that number is in the first quarters, yep, yep, down to two and a half now, so we're getting close to being background at that pre flop total of you know, one, one and a half two. So end of the first quarter, Cheaps lead the Buffalo Bills seven to three.

I don't know about you. I know you bet the over, and.

I still don't think that's dead because I think the fourth quarters when the craziness happens, kind of expected more points.

In the opening frame of this one.

I mean the fumble heart, it was about to be fourteen to three. I think we I mean, Buffalo hasn't really done their part. Kansas City moved the ball and shot themselves in the foot, but but Buffalo hasn't gotten going. So these games sometimes it can be a little bit of a feeling out process early and then like you said, it cooks up late.

The fireworks start late. We could say we headed towards one of those scenarios.

Who is the tougher matchup for Philadelphia. Is it Kansas City or is it the Bills.

It's a good question. I would say it's Kansas City, but not by much.

So I want to say it's Kansas City.

But I think that low possession risk, adverse type style fits into what Philly wants to do because Philly's defense is so good good Kansas City went ever, like really run away with it, and I think for Buffalo, when Buffalo's right, they're an explosive offense, and I think because of that, they could be tricky for Philly. But I think in the end, you're probably right. The more balanced, better overall team is Kansas City.

It's splitting hairs.

It's not.

It's not you know, it's not by a lot. What's interesting super Bowl New Orleans. The last time the Eagles played in New Orleans, I think it was Week three and they were like three point underdogs against the Saints. Just to show you how crazy early season spreads can be.

That well, that's what it looked like. Clint Kubiak was the next Sean McVay.

Oh yes, we.

Had like they were the ninety nine Rams. Horr was gonna win the MVP. Yeah, they were good. Reminded as just hey, next next season when it's week one, week two, but maybe take it, take a second to catch your breath.

I thought teams were going to fire their head coaches by week four to hire Clint Kubiak for next year.

That's what it looked like.

And man, that thing fell off with Cliff Fast for the New Orleans Saints. I don't even know where Klink Kubiak is right now. He's probably still waiting for someone else to get a job to jump on with them. But that offense did look good early on. Well, if you remember with the Eagles, by the way, they got off to a really weird start this year where it was like, oh no, there's a hangover from last year, and then in the end that defense kind of dialed.

It up once they understood their system a little bit better.

I think it was week two the Falcon game, the Barkley dropped the decision to throw it, and that's where Sirianni was really like, what is this guy doing? Like you said, the way they ended last year, that bad loss on Monday Night where not only Barkley drops it, they probably should.

Have ran the ball.

Then the defense just completely melts down and Cousins goes right down the field. So yeah, that's a that is a long time ago, but I saw this stat too. Philly is now fifteen and one since October first, and the one loss was to Washington when Hurts got hurt. And yeah that was a last second touchdown drive.

So man, it's a really good Philly team.

All right, Bill's with the football. Will they be the ones to take on the Eagles? We'll find out in just three quarters. As the second quarter underway, a dump off to the left and the flask that James Cook and he crosses midfield picks up a first down as a nice play by James Cook. And you know, I'm trying to watch how much pressure will this Kansas City defense is bringing Josh Allen because he had the third highest passer rating in the NFL versus the Blitz this year, behind Donald and Lamar Jackson. So when he faces pressure, he finds Away on that play, no pressure, able to find Cook there and Cook does the work with his legs after picking up a short catch. So I want to see when Kansas City starts to bring pressure and if it's effective against the guy like Allen today.

Good point. Good thing to look for. Boy Donald was one.

You said Donald and Lamar were one and two.

I don't think the postseason rankings will find.

Yeah, oh no jump ball and tip down.

Wow, Alan threw one up in the air into triple coverage. But there's a flag on the play. This could be a bit big flag if keon Coleman who hit it down. If that, if they're saying he was being pulled, that could be big. But I'm curious what what's the call here?

Interesting? I didn't look.

It didn't look like interference to me.

It looked like live and I don't see I don't see the flag around that play.

Holding defense okay before it infaction.

Yeah, it's only the five. It's not the spot foul.

And this ball was down like the four or five yard line, where hey, you're putting them.

First in gold defense.

Nick Bolton held Mac Collins and he grabbed him by I think the face mask too early in his route. That's what the play is. Well, Nick Bolton feels like he's been a chief for like ten years.

I don't know why.

Yeah, he sure like he probably it's only probably been like seven years, but feels like Nick Bolton's been a chief for a long time. All right, that's a first in ten. And now they're threatening here Buffalo. They're at the thirty eight of Kansas City, and we just saw Tyler bass drain a a fifty three yarder, so we know they're within his range. As Ray Davis picks up about three or four yards to the right side there. That's big if they can get Ray Davis going, because they like him a lot here. They talked about him in camp. He was really productive in certain spots in the regular season. Tyd Johnson, because of a concussion to Davis, ended up getting some more carries in the playoffs. But I really like that running back room for Buffalo. Cook is clearly the one, but they have a really good B and C option there.

Yeah, he's a good player, like the mc Kentucky.

He's a boy. You can find these. I mean, these backs are just a diamond does.

Everyone you look. Backups are good, third stringers are good. It's a Shipley score earlier. Man, it's a.

I know you get a guy like Gibbs or Barkley early in the draft, but man, you can get these guys anywhere.

I agree, there's third fourth fifth rounders out there everywhere. In fact, look at Kansas City, Kareem Hunt. Yeah, Isaah Pacheco, like you're final running back.

All right.

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All right. While I was doing that, read the Buffalo Bills picked up a first down over the middle.

I believe that's Curtis samuel Is end. Nope, it's Amari Cooper. Amari Cooper number eighteen, which at the time felt like a really good trade. And I like Amari Cooper, but it's not a lot to pop up a little bit of an injury, missed a couple weeks. But you'd like to see Amari Cooper be that number two. They need him to be here in a game like this.

Yeah, and Buffalo had to settle for a field the last time they got in scoring position, scoring territory.

We'll see if they can punch one in here and get seven.

And I don't know, I think both teams have moved the ball pretty well here. I know Kansas City shot themselves in the foot before the start.

I think this is an over game. Is something is about to happen.

Josh Allen fumbled the football and then on the way down or getting tackled, picked it up with his hand and scooped it up. Man, it pays to be a six foot five guy with giant hands that can do that, because not everyone can on the way down of getting tackled pick it up with one hand.

And scoop it up and secure it. What a play.

Bumble luck, fumbleluck. Two fumbles both were covered by the bill so far.

Yeah, gotta remember that that could go in the other direction at anytime.

Also lost a bunch of guards.

That could make a field goal real tricky here as they're facing a second and twenty, how does Buffalo respond down seven to three on the road at Arrowhead Stadium. We'll look at it when we return on Live Bet Sunday.

This is Live Bet Sunday on VS The Sports Betting Network.

Who okay, we've got a ball game in Kansas City. Boom, just like that, the Bills lead ten to seven. Will tell you how in a moment, He's Will Hill. I'm Dustin Sweetelson. This is Live Bet Sunday on vson D Sports Betting Network. Tune in Series XM, channel one to fifty eight. While we're away on second and twenty, Bills throw to Mac Collins seven yards, pick up seven on that play.

Leads to a third and thirteen.

Khalil Shakir gets twenty four on a catch and then James Cook runs it in from six yards at out and boom like that. Buffalo was laying one and a half seconds after that touchdown was scored. And apparently the market was betting Kansas City because before the kickoff has even taken place, it's back to case minus one and a half will total fifty one and a half.

I just bet some over twenty seven and a half. First half got plus money. We're at seventeen, so you do need either two touchdowns to touchdown two fieldals. If you can get a twenty six and a half and lay more juice, it's well worth it.

Depending on the other the number, I would say minus one to forty fifty, so didn't have time to shop it too much.

But boy, offense has come easy here for Kansas City. They shot themselves on the foot, should be for it should have been fourteen to three, and then you just look at it.

Me in Buffalo through.

Two pass that should have been intercepted, and then all these fumbles that they're recovering. So yeah, the ball has bounced their way so far. But Kansas City doesn't bothered offensively.

No, no, and they just have to keep doing what they're doing. Like the fumble the Pacheco with Mahomes, it's a weird handoff thing that happens from time to time. It's not like someone was running with the football and it was slapped out. It's just like a weird thing unforced there. Yeah, yeah, it was still weird play for Kansas City. You're at home, the crowd's on your side. I think you gotta get some points here, just to get them back in a little bit more because start of the game crowd was really loud.

Don't hear it as much on the TV right now?

Yeah, I mean you're down three, you get to well to start the third core. I wouldn't say it's a Musk.

Scoorder, no, no, you know, but the momentum thing is real. You don't want to let it get out of control.

And now, granted, Buffalo, right up until that touchdown drive, we weren't very confident in what they were doing today, so I.

Want to swing too far the other way.

By the way, Christian Benford the corner for Buffalo, he's out with a concussion the rest of the game. That is a big loss for that Buffalo secondary.

Yeah, and Rap is out too, right, yeah, Rap, Those were both guys that were questionable coming in a Rap was ruled out and Benford is obviously was playing starting.

But oh no longer the case in a.

Third and one here not quite in the range where you guilt go for it if you don't get it, So to see what Kansas City has in.

Store, as they got nothing. They are stuff shut.

Will Well reh the guts to go for it, wen't think so on his own thirty nine.

That's a tough call.

But that's two straight runs for Kareem Hunt where he doesn't get past the line of scrimmage. Nice job by this Buffalo defense that can be undersized at some critical spots to come up. But stop the run there, and it looks like they're gonna go for it on fourth and one. They are twelve of fifteen on fourth down and short this season. That includes the postseason twelve for fifteen on fourth down and short. That is absurd. So Mahome's gonna let the play clock go all the way down. Maybe they're just gonna punt it, never mind, I don't know.

Now use the time.

Out, yeah, I mean, they could be doing the thing where they're gonna try to draw them off side. I would think you just run to the line, try and draw them off sides, and if it doesn't work, then you call the time out, then.

You go for it.

So he's talking with the offensive coordinator here, Naggy, So it certainly looks like they're going for it. I'm surprised they're going for it, but hey, you know, if it was at the own forty five, then on fifty, wouldn't hesitate it your own forty I guess it's like I talked about before the game. These coaches, these quarterbacks, these teams know what kind of game it's going to be. You have to hold serve, you have to score. So this isn't a game for punting. This isn't a game for field goals. I like the aggressiveness, and hey, fourth and one, you're a good play caller. You've got Mahomes, he's got legs. Figure out a way to get the art here.

I like it. Yeah, I would go for it as well.

I just think you're also limiting the opportunities for Buffalo, and the way Buffalo looks like odds of them being around midfield again are probably likely, and then your defense bows their neck right to slow them down some.

I don't mind going for it here.

If from Kansas City, you're at home, so it shouldn't be allowed right now in this spot. And Patrick Mahomes always has a little bit of magic in his back pocket, all right. They line up to push sort of formation, he rolls out and Mahome's going to use his legs to pick it up and then some it slide. So it's a great play design by Andy Reid, and in the spot where he needed.

It the most, there is I love that there is.

Yeah, and we talked about you always hear the line that the chief saved the good plays for the playoffs. Well, that looks certainly looks like one of the good plays. So a lot of misdirections, a lot of the.

Right there fakes, a misdirection handoff to Hunt runs around to the right, has Pacheco as an option to pitch it to, and instead just takes it right up vertically and runs up the field and picks up the first down.

I love that play design.

That that's gonna work a lot if you want to dial that up anytime. So all right, here is a run by the Chiefs and do kareem Hunt's going nowhere. That's three straight runs for maybe a total of a yard this defense for Buffalo.

But here's where I be concerned with Mahomes.

You keep committing to stopping that run, You better be careful deep, especially down a corner. If you're Buffalo, at some point you have to think Andy Reid's almost baiting you with these runs.

Yeah, and if I'm reading, if I'm Homes now, I'm not wasting these downs running into the line for no gain one yard.

You're banged up in the secondary.

I'm gonna attack, and I know someone's faced off what defense they're seeing things like that, But I'm gonna sorry, I'm not gonna just keep wasting the downs here running it into the line.

Yeah.

All right, here's a throw from Mahomes. All right, Xavier Worthy picks up a first down. So, all right, we're back to seeing the Chiefs look like the Chiefs on that opening drive. Mahomes so far today six of seven, seventy nine yards through the air. Right now on the other side, Allen nine of twelve for ninety one yards through the air. Bill's lead ten to seven in game. Number has moved very slightly. After Buffalo had scored on their previous drive, they were laying one and a half. Quickly, got bet Chiefs then were one and a half. Now I'm looking at Chiefs two and a half, back down to one and a half. Total will fifty one and a half. So the over still don't play as well that you bet early in this game.

I still like the over.

I still think this is a back and forth hold serve kind of game. Last team with the ball. So nothing I've seen changing my minds.

All right now, DeAndre Hopkins in the mix for a first down now and nope, just short of it.

They're saying, just short. Nope.

He convinced the ref to move his foots nice, but he got it. I thought so too, But the ref marked him short. And then he said, no, I went out here and the ref moved.

Is what I swear.

I just watch that happens quite a negotiation.

Gotta trust him. He wouldn't lie to you.

There is that kind of there is that kind of sideline ref right there too, so maybe he uh no, he's.

Probably that's probably what happened. I don't think you listened to Hopkins. I just thought that was funny to see He's like, no, I was out here and think I goes, okay, move my foot first down? So all right, here's but check over, Iran. He stops for about a three yard game. So man, Kansas City's trying to run, run, run, and right now Buffalo is selling out to stop it.

Speaking of selling, not very effective, Yeah, good segue.

I stepped on it.

So, speaking of selling out, they're not selling out of rooms here at Circa, the d the Golden Gate, all the properties our guy Derek Stevens owns.

And if you're a Vison listener.

Which if you're hearing me right now, you are, you can get fifteen percent at those hotels. So hop in and get a room right now before they do sell out. Whether you're lounging by Circus, stunning rooftop pool, or enjoying all the excitement Vegas has.

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To be here at Circa.

So fortunately I did not run into him. I know he wanted me to be in his cabinet.

This whole thing.

We couldn't come to terms on that deal though, so more on that later. We've got an AFC title game to discuss bills up ten to seven on the Chiefs four fifty four to go. I think that's key here will how much time with Kansas City at the Buffalo twenty four? How much time do they leave Buffalo for a response here if they score.

I made a bad bet with the twenty seven and a half just because the possession's taking too long and Kansas City's kind of milking the clock, manipulating the clock so already down to four to forty. Ideally Kansas City would like to obviously score a touchdown, but take a couple, you make a couple first downs along the way, take their sweet time where Buffalo's gonna get it back. They can't run out the whole thing, but hey, maybe give back to them with like a minute minute half and really shorten their opportunity to score on the other end.

All right, right now? Live number has it moved? It's Kansas City minus one and a half. Fifty and a half is the total. It's like one of those things where you feel when I bet the overtime prop at thirteen to one, I'm like, okay, cool, the number has it moved at all? I'm pretty spot on and how I felt about this game, but talking about doing a live betting show where there's not a drastic drop or increase in the number, where you're like, oh, I kind of was hoping for a little bit more drama here.

So far, right back where we started.

Although as I say that, it's back up to Kansas City minus two and a half total, staying pad at fifty in a hook will.

Feels like this first half is flown by too, doesn't it? Like HI? First half?

A lot of runs, a lot of turnovers. I don't know, it's just not a lot of big plays through the air.

I agree completely, Well, not a lot of incompletions the class.

That's true too. So there's another completion for Mahomes. They pick up a first down and they're threatening to score again and at least tie it up.

Although there's a flag on the play, all right, that's big.

Any idea what it is?

My assumption's always a hold, But I don't know. It came in pretty late, so that.

Would have been one of those rub routes. It looked like there was some kind of I don't know, I'm not sure. I see where the five was.

Kansas City's personal foul face mask defense.

Oh, that's gonna be half the distance.

That's big. That is gonna be a big one.

So that was on the safety elam and Yeah, he definitely grabbed the face mask of Hollywood Brown. Yeah, almost poked him in the eyeball. Well he's maybe he has a visor on. I can't tell. I mean, honestly, why you wouldn't wear a visor.

That's a crrect call. Yeah, that's a clear, clear grab of the faces. That's off the ball, away from the place. Yeah, that's an hot one. Usually it's on the ball carrier.

Chiefs get all the calls. Everyone says it. I agree. Now, all right, first and tent for Kansas City Bills do have three penalties for twenty one yards. Chiefs have won for five. They're at the eleven yard line. Now Mahomes and company could take the lead with a touchdown. They throw it underneath it, Boom, they take a lead with a touchdown, just like that, zaf you're worthy. We'll discuss it when we return live at Sunday.

This is Live Bet Sunday on vs. The Sports Betting Network.

Who welcome back in This is Live Bet Sunday on Vsin the Sports Betting Network Series XM, Channel one fifty eight.

I'm Dustin Sweetelsin.

He's Will Hill, and we're all over the AFC title game.

Where we stand right now.

The Kansas City Chiefs just scored to go ahead fourteen to ten thanks to a Xavier Worthy touchdown. Your in game number right now has Kansas City laying four and a half.

A three point adjustment for where it.

Was during that last drive, total up to fifty four and a half, and you bet the over earlier. Will Hill gave out a better number here on the show. Buffalo has the ball back. They've got a little over four minutes to go. Can they make this a one point game with a field goal or potentially take the lead with a touchdown? Enough time here, Will, We're sitting at twenty four points in this first first half. You have over what twenty seven and a half in the first half.

You still have a chance here to go over.

Not that I regretted it, but getting the ten and a half you need the two touchdowns. I just thought they were moving the ball well just to Kansas City. Look, they scored right after that. It's just the drive took so long and it probably wasn't a great one, but who knows, maybe we'll get a touchdown.

Maybe, hey, two quick field goals. We'll see how it goes here.

Yeah, you can get a field goal game over there.

Yeah.

I think the fourth quarter is going to be crazy. I know people don't anticipate that anymore. With Mahomes and she and the Chiefs the way that they play ball control, I think this is the one team that you have to be ready to go shot for shot with. With Buffalo, with two teams them and the Bengals, those are the two teams that if I'm Kansas City, you have to be prepared to throw the ball out in the fourth quarter. So Buffalo incomplete passed on first down. Let's see what they do here on second and ten. I kind of would like them to run the football here and just pick up three yards four yards set up a third and shorter situation. But you always have Allen's legs as a possibility. So here we are fourteen to ten, Chiefs lead, Bills are four to six on third down, and I.

You're throwing second down. They had they had room to run there. That was just a miss by Allen.

Third and ten, Allen, under pressure throws it deep and no flag incomplete.

Boom.

So Kansas City with a chance here to get a real opportunity to stretch this out and the ball with the half and half with the ball and get the ball to start the third quarter and have a lead.

This could be danger time for Kansas You know what.

It feels like though, Where I think your first half bet may be doomed is Kansas City doesn't want to give the ball back. I think they're happy to settle for a field goal here. Just make it a seven point game start, then start the second half with the football, and then that's where they start to kind of turn away with this thing.

I mean, i'd i'd be going for the touchdown. There's a big difference between up seven and up eleven. A lot of time left, but there will be two goals here. Score and leave the very little time show.

Well, this is a good punt return.

This is a really good punt return all the way down to the buffalo thirty six maybe thirty five.

I don't see any flags.

Well, he almost busted it. Yeah, he's down in like the thirty two. Doesn't look like we have flags. Can tell who that was on the return?

I don't know who eighty one is Hall, I'm not sure. Yeah, I don't know who eighty.

One is, but I know he just made himself some money this year. That was a heck of a return. Remigio Nico, Remigio, thirty three yard punt return and that live number now six and a half chiefs laying it totals fifty six and a half. Before we get out of here, we do have to give out our best bets. Best bets always presented by G Bank, the Official Bank of Vson. Vson recommends every better make the G Bank visa signature card part of their betting toolbox. Save up to three to five percent on cash advance fees, earn cash back rewards on eligible betting transactions, and now, for a limited time, you'll get a two hundred and fifty dollars bonus when you open your account. Spend a thousand dollars in the first ninety days. Apply now at Vson dot com slash g bank, that's Vsin dot com slash g bank. Take advantage of the two hundred and fifty dollars bonus for a limited time from our friends at G Bank, the Official Bank of Vison. Subject to credit approval terms and conditions apply, all right. I got a couple. First one is going to be in this game. He hasn't scored a touchdown yet. Travis Kelcey. I just looked before this drive and maybe off the board now plus two thirty five to score a touchdown. Let me see if it's still upright now plus two oh five, so officially plus two o five on Kelsey with a break in the action. He scored fifteen touchdowns his last fifteen playoff games.

He's gonna find the end zone today.

The other one super Bowl MVP odds Saquon Barkley's plus two to fifty. I would bet that right now, sought over at DraftKings Eagles win the Super Bowl. It's going to because Saquon Barkley, not Jalen Hurts. Plus two fifty's a nice little price.

Totally agree. Gave it out at five to one a few days ago.

Same line of thinking where people think, as this drive third and five now for Kansas City, see if they can.

Capitalize them the par re turn. People say it's a quarterback award.

It is, but I think the Super Bowl MVP is a superstar award, sort of like in the NBA finals. They just give it to the superstar. Barkley is a superstar of the team. He's the MVP candidate.

He kind of breaks the mold, breaks the rules.

So I think even if it's close between him and Hurts, if Philly wins, Barkley is the likely MVP.

I completely agreat.

Yeah, yeah, I regret not betting it last week when you did it five to one a plus two.

I still think it's good value. It feels like he should be priced whatever the Eagles are on the money line.

No, because he's not one hundred percent if the Eagles win, he's not one hundred percent.

I think he is. I think he is. That's why I bet plus two fifty. Is that an interception?

One hundred? Do you think he's one hundred percent?

I'm joking, Will, I'm joking. Don't take the words literally caught. That is that a catcher or interception?

I think that's a catch.

We do have a flag, so Worthy's fired up.

He thinks he caught it. There's a flag on the play. And by the way, that's not what Worthy's supposed to be known for, going up.

And getting it.

No, no more of a gadget guy.

It's on the defense. So will you better cash this over here? With three minutes to one thing?

The one silver lining for Buffalo is at least Kansas City is not going to milk the clock and green it and get the double possession. Buffalo can at least respond and stop the bleeding here.

Okay, Tamar Hamlin was called for a hold on Travis Kelcey on the play and Worthy that is a great catch to come down with that.

My god, he had two guys on his back.

I mean, Bishop intercepted it and it was pulled down by Worthy for a catch. What a play? I think that might have been an interception? Will I think dual possession?

I don't think.

I don't know.

I got to see it again.

Did Worthy pull it down before he hit the ground?

The ball? That's got to be Worthy ball?

Yeah, all right in the end the cat.

Yeah, And you're like Buffalo had the guy in Buffalo had it until the very end.

Well, in fairness, Kansas City had a couple of in on Alan until the very end on the opening drive. So these things tend to balance themselves out. By the way, the d right now packed with people watching this game. It is a good vibe in here, I'm seeing a bunch of dudes order Yaeger shots. My god, buddy, I haven't had a shot at Yeger in like fifteen twenty years.

I think.

All right, So Buffalo is going to challenge this, this playing question. Kansas City got a snap off ran it so Worthy did they get it? And you're not going to count it? Looks like he got it in time. They are going to honor the challenge. I don't think he's gonna win though.

No, I think you're right dual possession. But at the same time, if you're McDermott, lose a time out in the first half, you don't have You'll just not clear enough.

It's just not I just don't see any path unless I'm misinterpreting the rule, misinterpreting something.

On the play. I just don't see any way. But he's going to win that challenge.

Yeah, I'm with you.

I want to say Bishop had it, but he didn't on the way down Worthy ends up with the football.

I want to see what Twitter is saying here, because.

He had it, he just didn't have it at the end. He had it most of the way until the ground. Yes, both of around the ground. It's to worthy, which is kind of all that matters.

Yeah, No, I think you're right. I think that's an interception. But I understand mcdermot's perspective our completion. I understand the reason for McDermott throwing the flag though, if there's any sliver of a chance that that's not I mean that this is a critical play for them where things can get out of hand. So I don't mind using your challenge there. But I think you're right. I don't think he's getting it.

Yeah, I just I understand leverage of the play is significant enough to use it.

But yeah, maybe I'm missing something.

Wait, hold on, maybe they're saying it was an incomplete pass that the ball hit the ground.

I don't think the ball hit the ground.

Would you say that I didn't see it hit the ground?

Yeah, let's see, we didn't.

Have We only got the one angle. There's a lot of bodies kind of blocking things. We think maybe there's a different angle where we see something else.

But based on the one or, I think it was one replay we saw, it looks like it can only be Kansas City keeping the ball, especially since it's the call in the field. Was Kansas City? I don't see how you can overturn that to an interception. Yeah, unless an incomplete and hit the ground.

Yeah, I'm pretty sure it's a catch. I really don't. I'm not seeing anything online.

That's letting me know that that's not a catch.

So who knows.

We got the touchback wrong, But this seems like way more cut and dry than that was.

This is a weird one for me, but all right, that's where we stay.

Let me get you in the live number here because we're about to go away here for the night.

But don't worry. Vison's got you covered all night long.

Right now, Chiefs laying seven and a half totals fifty six and a half and the rest of the crew here in visa will take you through the rest of this game.

Coming up next.

You've got ready set bet it's our guys, Matt Brown, Mike Samich at eight pm Eastern Time, followed by Joseph Sialo and that beautiful hair flow and cashing out at eleven pm Eastern and.

Of course wake up in the morning, have Vison on.

Start your day with Vson by the books, Dave Ross and Mark Dominic Have you covered seven am Eastern Time on Monday, morning.

Let's see what the review is.

Review Playstansas calls it's a catch, so we're not crazy.

Can't confirm. Don't fit us for a straight jacket yet we got the player right, So Will who wins this game?

Buffalo Kansas City, Kansas City, Philly, second time in three years?

Yep, I have to agree with you.

We will get that, and honestly, it should be a really good matchup in the Super Bowl.

Taking it through the rest of the game.

You got Mike and Matt coming up next on Ready Set Bet for our entire.

Crew for Will Hill, I'm Dustin Sweedelson.

We'll see you next time on Live Bet Sunday Vson, the Sports Betting Network

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