On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 27th of March, the banks are continuing to call for capital rules to be eased. But Massey University banking expert Claire Matthews is warning against it.
We get reactions to the new sentencing and drug driving testing laws coming into place.
Fonterra's CEO Miles Hurrell defends the proposal to sell of the company's consumer brands, like Anchor.
And the iconic Bob Geldof is the country for his stage show - so he joined Mike in studio for a chat.
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New Zealand's voice of reason is Mike the my Hosking Breakfast with Bailey's real Estate altogether better across residential, commercial and rural news talks head beat, Well, are.
You welcome today? A couple of new laws that got past yesterday. Drug testing on the roads is coming in sentenced discounts at Fontira hits the road to talk to us about the sale of their consumer division and speaking of the land, more records have been broken in the court industry, so will give you those numbers. Sir Bob Geldoff cops in after eight three yarm with Joe mckennison, Rome Rod Linton as the schedule from Britain. Posky, welcome to Thursday seven past six. Yes, Fontira, they gave us the half year profit the other day and this is a company we should all be pleased for and celebrating at the moment. Of course, the dairy story against the backdrop of broader economic darkness for this country is not to be underestimated. The billions of being poured into the country is more than welcome. At the farm gate prices at the midpoint of ten dollars, which is amazing for farmers and all the downstream businesses that collect a bit of that income. But as for the company itself, if you look at the numbers, you will see what they call the consumer channel. That's the stuff that they sell at the shop as opposed to the bulk stuff they sell like whole milk powder. The consumer channel is things you will know and having your basket at the supermarket anchor Mainland Fresh and fruity capity. The numbers for this division for the half year volumes are up eight and a half percent. They had margin growth, that's profit over all. The profit was one hundred and seventy three million dollars. This is a good business, and good businesses are doing well. Why do I mention this well because they're wanting to get out of that particular business. They want to sell it or float it. They've decided that others can do it better. This, as I've said before, and I'm taking the opportunity given the result to say it again, is a mistake. The numbers show you it is not a troubled business. They are not sinking or losing money or having problems being profitable. They know what they are doing. It is also a related business. It's not like they do whole milk powder and coat hangers. It's all dairy related. The problem with getting rid of something that you've decided you don't want is regret. What they have is valuable, it's brands, it's loyalty, it's patriotism, it's a good news store, performing will. Flicking something to pocket the cash super easy, but you run the risk of regret. And here's the thing. There are many people with vastly more experienced than me in these areas that argue exactly the same. If Fontira can line all the doubters up, pitch their case and change minds, fine, but they haven't done that yet. So the question is still very much alive. Are they on the verge of making a very big and expensive mistake?
News of the World in ninety seven.
While hurl of the aforementioned with us after six thirty this morning. Now it's not like this hasn't had built up either, But Chancellor of Rachel, she was cutting and slashing in the commons overnight in her spring statement, while also telling you things are peaching, our plan for change is working.
Defense spending is rising, waiting lists are falling, wages are up, interest.
Rates are cut.
That is the difference that this Labour government is making.
Toys. I said, what Tories do?
It was the right honorable lady who confected the twenty two billion.
Pound black hole.
He smoked, scream there was only ever there in order to cover up for a fact that she and the Prime Minister renamed on their promises to.
The British Now part of the issue for Reeves and Stalmers, of course, they are walking Philly fine line in their own party.
I've heard in many of the new MPs which haven't ever kind of rebelled against the government before, saying this is a step too far and really want government to pull back from.
That rod with this Later on, of course, meantime in Washington, Cockade cock up Gate rolls on. In front of the Intellcommittee. Miss Gibbet, who yesterday was blustering and huffing and puffing, did more of the same to die Directoryvart.
Do you think that it's responsible for you, as head of the intelligence community and the principal's presidential intelligence advisor, to retweet posts from individuals affiliated with Russian state media?
That retweet came from my personal account, and I would have to go back to look at the substance of the tweet.
Can I act perhaps that you not think that you should be saying one thing on your personal account?
Then you say, officially, I maintained my First Amendment rates to be able to express my own personal views.
She's good, ah, not if any blame is to be laid in any headers to roll. The focus seems now to be tuning to the former Foxy Higgsith Secretary.
Hagsath has disclosed military plans as well as classified information.
He needs to resign immediately.
He needs to resign immediately and in full investigation needs to be undertaken. Big developments on that. Just a couple of moments where you finally another of these geography scraps made famous by Champagne and Parmesan. This one's for rum. Last year the Jamaican government changed the rules around what could be classified as rum. Aging it overseas is now prohibited. One of the biggest producers a run the National RUMs of Jamaica. They say, well, hold on, that's part of our business. The business model relies on us exporting in bulk aging it off. Sure they're owned currently by the French spirits for mess of I will keep you one posted on that News of the world in ninety couple of inflation reads. Good news for the forementioned Starmer and Co. Two point eight for February, expectations for two point nine core number three point five. They thought it might be three point seven, so are things in the right direction there. And also very good news yesterday for inflation in Australia. They thought two point five came in at two point four. More with Andrew shortly twelve past six.
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Just quickly on that Spring statement. The takeout mainly are the welfare cuts aforementioned three and a half thousand dollars from your back pocket is taken from three million families, so that's the politics of it. They've cut the growth forecast for the country as well from two percent to one percent, and the defense spending is increased by a further four and a half to five billion dollars. So more with Rod later fifteen past six Money j My Wealth Andrew Keller had good morning, very good money, Michael. Now we'll come to that Australian number in just a couple of moments. But KMD, which we know of course, is other things these days, So.
What do we know?
It didn't look that flash.
No, but things look like they could be getting better, and I think that's the key takeout here. So yeah, this was we're going through the sort of tail end of company results yesterday. Name familiar to a lot of the listeners CapMan Do or as it relates to the stock Exchange called Catman Do brands these days. So you got Catman Do as we know it, or the outdoor cad and rip curls so wetsuit surf brand and this, oh bos there's hiking tramping boots that I don't think very many people would have heard of at all. Now, look, we know retail has been a tough gig, Catmand Brands has certainly not been immune from those tough conditions. Result released yesterday gives us a little view into retail in Australasia. So yeah, Mike, they had guided the market to a week result and they told us it was going to be.
Tough, and the result was in line with that guidance.
Sales though, yeah, they do seem to be improving and that's the good thing. So it was in line with guidance. It wasn't good it's still a battle statutream net loss of twenty point seven million for the six months to jan thirty one, earnings down seventy four percent, sales marginally higher. But there are these proverbial green shoots that do appear to be some momentum in the rip Curl and the cap Mandu sales. So if we look at the quarterly sales treams, say go to rip Curl for the Court versus a year earlier, you had five consecutive quarters of negative outcomes, then all of a sudden they're Q two twenty five numbers up six and a half percent. Now on the same metric for the cat Mend shops, also five consecutive quarters of negative quarterly growth, then second quarter up six point nine percent. So look they're coming off pretty low bases, but they are improving. You're not seeing that on O Boz, but that's only a smaller part of the business. And that momentum they saw in the Court, remember that's the end of January, that does appear to be feeding into the.
Following quarter as well.
So I do when I look at the numbers, Mike, you do see that Australia looks a little bit more resilient than New Zealand. A look across the whole half, sales in Australia up three point eight percent but down two percent in New Zealand, so as you're doing a little bit better when they talk about outlook, they say on the wholesale account, so business to business, they remain cautious on preseason commitments in a challenging market, and they are monitoring the impact of global uncertainty on consumer confidence, supply chains.
And that's pretty much everyone, isn't it.
That's all terariffs there, share price in that sort of retail euphoria. Back in twenty twenty one, share prices up at the dollar sixty seven. It's now at thirty five cents. So they've got to they have got some work to do. But the tide may be turning good, maybe.
Turning well, I hope. So inflation in Australia within the band, and then I think they're looking for a couple more cuts, aren't they before the end.
Of the year.
Yeah, maybe, So this update on inflation, so still a few We've still got all this uncertainty micro around sort of tariffs and whether or not that's going to be inflationary and all of that sort of stuff. But we've got an update yesterday on inflation across the Tasmin hot on the heels of those unexpected tax cuts and the federal budget. Inflation running a little bit higher on the headline level than it's here in New Zealand. Remember we're sitting around two point two percent. Ossie come in a little bit higher at two point four, but they were expect from two point five. That is the lowest level or equal to the lowest level Australia for three years. The Reserve Bank they prefer what they call the trimmed Meme measure. That print is slightly higher at two point seven percent, but has also fallen from two point eight percent in January. As you said, they're both within the target range. A couple of issues. As I sort of noted, rent inflation over there, which is included in the CPI over there. Look, that's been quite high. It's now starting to ease, but still running at five and a half percent, so it's pretty high if you think about it. But the cost of building MIC has interesting, you know, it's been problematic here in New Zealand. Inflation on the cost of building now only running at one point six percent. Back in twenty twenty two it was up around twenty two percent. It's virtually disappeared, so that's pretty good.
RBA.
They addressed the cash rate next week, as you said, probably nothing next week, but still yep, some cuts on the horizon.
There may be the end of the year numbers. Please.
So here's some interesting stuff. The dal Jones it's down, it's down a third of a percent forty two thousand, four hundred and forty seven. But the S and P five hundred and Nasdaq quite a bit weaker. The S and P five hundred down one percent five seven one eight, but the Nastik down almost two percent seventeen thy nine hundred and seventeen. And there's an issue there from video because China is talking about bringing in some slightly higher regulations on computer chips over there, and I'm just wondering whether this is a bit of they're finding a way to push back on the tariff talk. Forty one hundred up point three percent over night, eighty six eight nine, the Nicke up point sixty five percent three eight oh too seven shag Ho coms that barely moved three three six eight.
The Aussie is gainedo.
Point seven one yesterday seven nine O eight. We had a good day on the internets fifty yesterday, Ryman up six percent, Fish and Pocal Healthcare up almost five percent. The Internet's fifty up one point two three percent. Twelve thousand, three hundred and thirty four.
We like that key.
We dollop point five seven four to ozh against the US point nine one O five ozziero point four three two to one, Euro point four to four five one pounds eighty six point four three Japanese and Gold three thousand and fifteen US dollars.
And Brinker just creeping up a little bit. Mike, seventy four bucks.
On Brinkle Crude. I don't want to see that doing No, we do not, but I want to see you tomorrow. I appreciate your time. Andrew kellaher Jomiwealth dot Co dot m z Tsking, Steph Curry and Michelle Obama have launched a sports drink this morning, three flavors. It's going to be on Amazon select grocery stores. It's called Pleasi no added sugar, artificial sweetness, less sodium, full daily dose of vitamin C in there joins KB Bryant Lebron, James Logan, Paul and all the others are into sports drinks. The overall demand apparently for advanced hydration, that's what they call it, is very strong. Pleasi means fun in Creole. Michelle Obama, I mean Steph Curry. I get Michelle Obama?
Is she bored?
Six twenty one Here at Newstalk zb.
Love Myke Cosky Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News Talks at be mentioned.
Australia a moment ago, just before we leave, Jeens West has fallen over collapsed ninety stores. The reporter is reading yesterday, late yesterday. The stores here are not closing, they claim, but they are in Australia entered the administration back in January of twenty twenty rescue by a Hong Kong company. So they spent the last five years trying to revive it. Can't do it.
All.
Stock is expected to go on sale shortly. There's some six hundred workers ninety stores, six hundred workers. But as I say, as of yesterday out of Australia, Jeans West here remains open. Apparently six twenty five. Now, Carolyn, well, you know what happens this first of all their liars. There was nothing. There was nothing secret on the on the on the on the chat. Not true, But that's not stopping Carolyn this morning blaming you know who.
If this story proves anything, it proves that Democrats and their propagandas in the mainstream media know how to fabricate, orchestrate and examinate a misinformation campaign quite well.
Now the problem is hig Seth has been sprung and after the news I will give you exactly well, not all of that, but it has been If you want to go to the Atlantic, it's all been published. Is it detailed? Is its secret? Should it never have been on the platform?
Yes?
Yes, yes, yes, yes and yes six twenty five.
Trending Now Quill Chemist ware House the home of big brand fighters.
Now from our Oberoted tourist hotspots files comes this morning the news that although popular the Pyramids of Geezer, they attracted about fifteen million people a year to go and have a GRP, they might not be as fun as they look on the brochure. This is travel vlogger and TikTok a phil Cow.
What's the biggest disappointment of your life? Because for me it was visiting the Pyramids of Gezer, something we've all dreamed of doing, but in the end it crushed my fairy size. The Great Pyramid is one of the most special and mysterious buildings on the whole planet, but going inside it is quite literally hell, as you're force fed into a giant lump of stone with a load of other Sucker is just trying to tick something off their bucket. Lest whether the Pyramids were built by Aliens, the people of Atlantis, or most likely the ancient Egyptians. I wish they'd come back, tidy up and sought the place out, because the whole complex is an absolute nightmare. You're hassled by scammers the whole time. You're there, so much that you forget what a special place you're at.
Yeah no, no, no, that's fine for now.
No no, no, no, I'll go.
His review has attracted ten million views, and that's before we get to the business. What that underground city you're following that story, the massive underground city hundreds of meters below the soil that was apparently built thousands of years ago. By the way, just quickly on Korea, yet another Korean update, the appeals court has reversed a lower court ruling that found the opposition leader, Guy called Legemung, not guilty of violating election law. He was handed a one year sentence suspended for a couple of years. If that had stood, he would not have been able to run for president. So they've overturned that. And that is completely separate what I told you yesterday about the president of the Prime Minister, which is also convoluted. And that's before I even get to Thailand and the vote of confidence and Japan and the movies, all of which I'll try and get to after the news.
The Mike hos Game, we've been safefold, Ben Gaging and Vital the Mic Hosking Breakfast with Veda, Retirement Communities, Life Your Way News, togs Head.
B Arectormus leavit at the White House in a couple of moments to speak, by the way, holding a press conference at nine o'clock this morning. Meantime back home at twenty three minutes away from seven Joe's in Italy two. In a moment, popes back Homers, I'm sure you're well aware upon Terra. So they're on the road this week to talk to the stakeholders about the sale. It's consumer brands. It's either a trade sailor and IPO. If it sells, it involves names like Anchor and Mainland. Of course, as I mentioned earlier, comes off the back of the golden days and these big payarts for farmers. The Fontier boss, Myles hurls back with us, good morning.
Good morning.
You make on very broad issues. You must be congratulated. Does it feel at the moment as good as it looks?
Yeah, it doesn't mean. We're out on farm this week right across the country, both senior management and the board and out talking to farmers and you know that they recognize where we have come from and to be standing out there talking about their results for the six months. It does feel good. So yeah, good to be acknowledged in that way for across our team.
And with the forecast two seasons, two good seasons coming and that's unusual. Is there anything weird out there that's happening or is this these just golden days?
Well, well, certainly nothing that hasn't been communicated already. I mean, you see that some of the geopolitics at play and what's going on in Ukraine and Gaza or An everywhere else around the world, and so these things are worrias are on the back of our minds. Is a city today, Supply demand is in pretty good shape, and so we take that in terms of the forecast we have for the season ahead. But we also need to be mindful and our farmers have been through this business a number of years and we'll be watching it closely at the same time we do right.
So to the consumer side of the equation, how exercised and energized? Is this discussion among you a lot?
Yes, there's a lot of clarification questions that are coming from the floor, as you'd expect. I mean, it is a big decision that ultimately our farms will make. So yeah, a lot, a lot of conversation, but it's really around the why. Let to understand the why and what does the cop look like into the future. So that's where the vast majority of questions are coming from. It's been a good conversation.
Are you having to change minds?
No, not generally. I think people are walking in with just that that those questions around. You know where we going as a cooperative? We know we've come from. It's pretty clear we're in a pretty good space as we stand here. But what does the future look like. So a lot of conversations around that, but but not not not not changing minds per Sae, but just as clarification.
Why don't you see a future of the consumer side of the equation.
We're like any good business and it starts with a good strategy, know and where you are good at and the returns for many years act you an ingredients business have been stellar right across the board. We have some ups and downs on the way that buy and large returns are very good. Food service of the past of the five, six, seven years have done very very well, and we continue to see growth in that in that business. When you look at the consumer business and I heard your opening this morning, one hundred and seventy three million at a headline level looks okay. But what people lose sight of it's three point four billion dollars of a farmer's capital tied up in that business. And so that the effectively roads value day by day because is not getting a return on capital that our farmers have ultimately are seeking. So we can invest that business that cash back into consut into ingredients, back into food service, where we believe you get higher returns.
Given that you're a good company, Why can't you do what you would assume somebody else would do if they bought it off you.
Yeah, and look, you go to the supermarket here in New Zealand and we have a very good presence. You look at the chillis space here and even on the dry shelf, we have a very good presence. But it's sort of misunderstood that you get the international market, we don't have that sort of presence. You know, we have very strong category control in certain areas, but they're quite narrow categories. So if we wanted to really go in as scale and actually look at sort of spreading costs across a wider business, you'd probably need to go beyond theiry. You probably need to go a lot beyond New Zealandairy. You'd probably need to start thinking about confectionery and maybe chocolate and potentially back into ice cream to start to become a real consumer goods company in those markets. And we truly believe that's not part of her expertise. We've been year before we tried to get into some businesses that were outside of our expertise in international markets, and it took a number of years to try and turn that around. So you know, focusing on what you're good at, looking at the cash, can you recycle and the things you're good at, and we truly believe in those ingredients and food service, which is you know, by far better returning businesses over the long term. That for us is about value add and so that's where we're going to go.
And not just potentially a sale, but how you sell IPO or trade. Is that angsty as well.
Or not not angsty? But again, you know they want they want in clarity now which way we're going, but from ours, we need to try both those channels and see where the best returns come from. So yeah, we're going hard on that and we'd expect some update in the next few months out to our shareholders. But you're going hard on both those avenues. Both are very expensive to operate, but at the same time we think it's the right thing to do.
Is there any value you're placing as a company and the IPO side of the equation about patriotism New Zealanders participating any of that or you're just looking for the dollar.
No, certainly it does come into play. But at the same time, there has been a question from the floor around, you know, social license and all that sort of sort of thing. But you know it's no secret. And again you mentioned in your opening, you know, the team have done a pretty good job in getting New Zealand to where we are economically. We've done our fearsue of lifting as farmers, and so when it comes to you know, do we have a social license? I mean, it's not the questions I get in the weekends, most of they go to the price of butter and things that are outside of our control.
So you know, I'd.
Challenge it a bit. Our farmers haven't really had the recognition for what they do here in New Zealand.
Really is there an education? But just on the butter got me going, Can you honestly tell me that most people don't understand why they're paying too much for butter as much as they hate paying too much. I mean, there's a reason for it, and a good one, yeah.
There is. And we're dictated pretty much by the international market, and then the retailers of News and them will sit their own prices. And clearly there's a bit in there for us in terms of efficiency and manufacturing costs and margins and those things. But you know, it is misunderstood clearly, but you know, at the same time it's very hard to explain in a twenty second crossover. So you know, we try a best but it's a non easy conversation. It's for sure.
When are we going to know whether you flick it and how you flick it?
Yeah, So the market guidance we've got out there at the moment, which we said in May last year we'd be twelve to eighteen month program and so you know we're still sticking to that and so but the team are running hard. We've got we've just had the non deal road shows throughout Asia, Asia, Pacuffolk that they've just concluded, and then we're expecting some non binding offers to come through on the trade sale side of things over the next month or so. So you know, sitting with the next few months, we'll be going to have some clarity and then the real week start.
Thanks all right, appreciate your time, Marrels, Miles Hurrible Fontira CEO and just quickly, the Fed Farmers a note yesterday that they're on board with the government's roma reform announced this week. Christ Bishop with us by the way. Later on in the program, difficult to get things done. The red tape and box sticking has become totally ridiculous. Reforms are on the right track, and so say all of us seventeen too.
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Morning, good money man, jeez side. It was to see him on the balcony the other day and the flowers and he waved and he gave the thumbs up and he jumped in the little feet and then he stopped. It was just just brilliant, isn't it. I take it everyone Italy's thrilled.
Well, it was a very strange experience. I'm sure you'll agree, and especially when he took a detour to visit his favorite church in Rome before going inside the Vatican. They're saying he's quite exhausted now, not surprisingly, and I don't think we're going to see him for a while.
So what's the prognosis. Do we still get the daily ish updates or not.
We're not getting as many updates now every couple of days, but it's very generic, and they're saying that he's continuing his therapy and he's seeing a minimal amount of people inside the Vatican. I think he's pretty much confined to his room and as you probably saw from those images, he's still moving around with a nasal tube of oxygen up his nose. There.
Exactly interesting. How did this just happen recently? It was just two days agos waxing Lyrica bout Charles and Camilla and they were going and it was still on and stuff that's now off.
Yeah, I think that's another indication of him not doing well enough to see visitors, and they're concerned about exposure to infection, so they really want to keep him away from meeting anyone at all.
Okay, talk to me about this. This has happened asmart as I can work out in the last couple of hours. So Italy has handed this text demand to Meta and X and LinkedIn and all that. So it's a vat claim. Has this come out of nowhere? Do they represent all of Europe or just Italy? And what are these Meta and Co Going to do with it?
Well, from what I'm seeing, this is a decision that's come been coming for a while. These tax demands affect Meta X and LinkedIn an unprecedented VAT claim. It seems too it could have repercussions across the European Union. I'm only seeing Italy at the moment, and I think this is incredibly risky, Mike, because Italy has been negotiating with Elon Musk, with SpaceX, the possibility of, you know, a billion dollar a billion euro deal to do a deal with the entrepreneur, and also in the light of the possibility of Trump tariffs exactly, this seems incredibly provocative.
Yeah, I would have thought so too. Speaking of which, Maloney is off to another one of these gab fists tomorrow. So where are you guys sitting on peacekeeping forces? What do we know about the peace deal? Are you in? Are you not? Where are we at?
Well, you know, she's making all the right noises, but as we've said before, she's straddling this sort of situation where she wants to be friends with Donald Trump and yet be part of this coalition in Europe. They Italy as opposed to participation in a peacekeeping force, but she wants obviously wants peace in Ukraine as well, So she's struggling, I think to keep her status as a major EU powerbroker at this point.
And how is this this cockup on social media going down in Europe in terms of bailing you guys out and you're all a bunch of losers and the Americans hate you anyway, I mean, how's that gone down?
Well, I'm surprised that the Foreign Minister Antonio Taiani actually hit back very strongly at the Vice President Jed Evans, particularly regarding the merchant vessels in that area of the world, in the Middle East, in the Red Sea, saying, you know, we're not being bound out by the US. We have our own ships in that region and you don't really know what you're talking about.
Interesting, all right, Joe ketchup nickslus I appreciate it as a wis jem McKenna in Europe. Back to the White House where Miss Libbittt's going for it.
There's arguably no one in the media who loves manufacturing and pushing hoaxes more than Jeffrey Goldberg. Goldberg is an anti Trump hater. He is a registered Democrat. Goldberg's wife is also a registered Democrat and a big Democrat donor who used to work under who Hillary Clinton.
This is the same.
Jeffrey Goldberg who infamously lied about weapons of mass destruction to get us into the Iraq War, which costs trillions of dollars and thousands of American soldiers.
Just let me read you one of the messages from hig Seth. Were they war plans or not? They said yesterday no war plans message sent eleven forty four am Eastern Time. Whether it's favorable just confirmed w slash sent com we are go for mission launch. Sounds relatively secret to me. Sounds like a war plan. Call me old fashion, but that sounds like a war plan. Nine away from seven.
The Mike Hosking breakfast with al Vida Retirement Communities News togs had been.
The fascinating report. Yesterday. The Pope was so ill. The doctors were going, I don't think we can do anything more, and he had delegated all of his health responsibilities to a woman called Masamilianistra Petty, his personal health care assistant. They said, what do you want to do? What would the Pope want to do? And she goes try everything. We won't give up, That's what we all thought. No one gave up, so they were thinking about until she came to the party. Mike, I haven't seen anything official regarding liam But do you think the fact that they haven't come out and said know that there's truth to it?
Oh?
That I know? There is no question there's truth to it. Talk to a couple of people over night who would know, and there is sadly no question that there is truth to it. Mike. I think most people understand why. But this goes back to Myles Hurrale costs so much, but why should we have to pay an international price index when produced in our own backyard? Anthony, I'm sorry you had to ask that question. Who would you so? But's nine bucks a block and you don't want to pay that? Who's paying the difference? Do you want the government to write that check to you?
So?
What should it be? Two dollars fifty and the government pays the rest? Every other taxpayer pays. It's like the car business with evs? Do you want other people to pay for your basic groceries? When you grow and produce stuff here and sell it on international markets, you pay the international price far away from seven.
All the ins and the outs.
It's the fizz with business favor take your business productivity to the next level.
Now.
Unfortunately, we got insight into our creative sector this morning. It's not great arts, heritage, sport, broadcasting, all that sort of stuff. The stats come to us from the Ministry of Culture and Heritage. The sector contributed seventeen and a half billion dollars to our economy in the year to March of last year. So seventeen and a half billion. That's a lot of money. It's not bad. It creates to four point two percent of GDP. But sector employees just to tick under one hundred and eighteen thousand, they think there could be another eight thousand, seven hundred jobs to be added by twenty thirty doll I suspect that's guesswork. The media dragging things down a bit. Negative GDP growth the media, good old media. Negative GDP growth one point nine percent, and employment went down for fairly obvious reasons by zero point nine percent. So ups and overs, unders neighbors or whatever they say. Is that what they say, unders and neighbors, good times and bads to won't be around the time Rolling tone gathers, No moss, I don't know a couple of laws to deal with another call from another bank to sort out this capital setting review. Will work you through all of that, Sir Bob Geldoff in the studio after right for you as.
Well, news opinion and every in between.
The Mike Hosking break best with the range Rover, the la designed to intrigue and use togs dead.
Be seven past seven to westpax wide into the capital settings debate. In simple terms, Adrian or required banks to put aside very large amounts of money for a rainy day. The retail banks and the Finance Minister argue it's more than they need and by doing that it costs a lot more to do business in this country. Anyway, Massi University banking expert Claire Matthews back with us clear, good morning more Ndomike, this has a feel of it sort of being sorted out by itself. I mean, Nicola will as seems to be aligned with the retail banks. The retail banks will agree with each other, Adrian, all is gone as this is coming to an end.
Ish Well, I guess it just depends who the new governor is and whether they share that same view. One of the concerns I think there is is it seems really logical based on the way the conversations going, that capital level should reduce, and there is certainly an argument that Adrian or in terms of the capital level that he put it, it was potentially too high, But that doesn't necessarily mean we should go back to exactly what they were, and that maybe it was a somewhere in between that we need to ender and there needs to be that careful Abalyasis got to remember that capital is there for a purpose. It's not just there because it looks good. It's there to make the bank safer, and we've got to make sure.
That they've got the right I manage give.
But it's like insuring yourself. Do you ensure yourself for a million dollars or fifty million dollars? And that's what it boils down to, wasn't it.
Well, yes, it's yes and no. We've got to remember that when you're talking about the banks, you're talking about everybody's money, and if a bank fails and there's not enough money to pay run out, that would have a huge impact on individuals personally, but also for the economy. So we do need to be sure that the banks have got enough capital to make sure that they are able to operate effectively.
My argument has always been, and I'm as simple ton I know, but nevertheless, we've seen the GFC, we've seen COVID, and we've seen the banks and they literally bathe in money. There's no chance they're going to fall over.
Oh that's a very dangerous thought to have banks. We've been for in New Zealand that we have not had a bank fail for some time, but we actually have to go back to nineteen the early nineteen nineties when the Baby Zellan did have significant problems and did have to effectively be bail out. So it's not that long ago. And if you look at the US banks have failed more recently. Banks do fail, and just because they haven't doesn't mean they're not going through this year.
What I am interested in at the moment is Nichola willis sniffing around as Finance Minister. Can she do what she seems to want to do while still allowing the RB to remain independent?
But it's a really good question. Effectively, she can't give any official ruling, she can't say this is what you must do. But obviously she's got the ability to have a significant input into the appointment of the new governor, and is she going to recommend somebody who takes a significantly different view from what she and the government are looking at. So indirectly, yes.
She's likely to get what she was insight clear. Appreciate your time, as always claim Matthews Messy University Banking ten minutes past seven score you Law for Courts and Sentencing. So the Sentencing Reform Amendment Bill that passed its third reading yesterday, this is the one that kept the discount. Judges can apply repeat discounts for showing remorse. That's gone. Law Association VP. Juli Inking Cage back with this, Julian morning, Good morning Mike. Now you submitted did they listen to you?
This is a wonderful example of demin action. I think there are a lot of people who met it at the slightly stage pressing very similar concerns, and they seem to have been reflected in the changes that took place after that select committee stage. One of the ideas was this forty percent cap which was on all sentencing reductions, which was an important part of that new act, and that has been softened and it has been now allowing four examples, specifically for examples where people provide information which prevents further serious crime taking place, and that's seen as a recognized exception.
Would you describe yourself as happy?
I think, and my concern is that we already have an terribly high prison population in New Zealand, higher than any of our comparable countries, at one hundred and eighty seven people pair one hundred thousand. Our ramand space is for women, sixty percent of people women in prison are on remand our prisons are full. We have these new things coming into play which are designed to make prison sentences longer and people to be in prison longer, as well as three strikes coming into play in the seventeenth of June this year, and these will lead to an increase in our prison population, which is already a breaking point.
Having said that, if you build more prisons, you solve that problem and you appease the population. Who would argue we want more people in jail, even though I'm sure you would argue against that.
I understand that people say that, but you've got to also understand it cost one hundred and fifty thousand dollars about to keep a person in prison free year in New Zealand. So that's ten more people in jail for one year at each is one point five million, and that would pay I'm sure for a palliative pediatric doctor to come to New Zealand.
Last time I looked, there was one hundred thousand. So there is inflation for you, it's gone up to one hundred and fifty. What haven't they Well, I googled it last side.
It's very difficult to give an actual figure because it depends on the security risk of someone in prison. Someone who's high security, it costs a lot more to keep them than someone who's low security. So that's why there's always going to.
Be a variance.
Forget the politics for a moment. If you want to put people in jail longer, does this law.
Do that, it'll help.
And it does focus a lot on recidivist offending. So where there's where they once didn't want anyone to have a reduction for youth and remorse, what they're saying is they don't want that being a repeated mitigating factor. And so those are points which I think people can understand. Why can expressed on the government's trying to act on it.
Julian, always appreciate your company, Julian Kincaid, who's the Law Association VP with us this morning, it's thirteen minutes past seven, asking heik sith has in Hawaii at the moment he's come out, and he said, it's all my fault. I didn't know what I was doing. I'm dreadfully sorry. I'm an incompetent. I quit.
Nobody's texting war plans?
Well, I noticed this morning, how came something that doesn't look like war plans? And as a matter of fact, they even changed the title to attack.
Plans because they know it's not war plans.
There's no units, no locations, no routes, no flight paths, no sources, no methods, no classified information.
You know who sees war plans?
I see them every single day.
I looked at him this morning.
Whether it's favorable, just confirmed w scent com we go for mission launch. What a bunch lies? I suppose their plan is that if they say it long enough, thick people will believe them. He's only doing his job.
My job, as it said at top of that, everybody's seen it now, Team Update, is to provide updates in real time, general updates in real time, keep everybody in form.
That's what I did that's my job.
He is the like Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio.
Howard By News Talks.
At B also got a new drug test in laws passed yesterday, so we'll talk to Chris Bishop about that shortly. Bob Geldoff with us in the studio after eight seventeen past seven. So it seems Liam Lawson's time in Red Bull is over. Still nothing official this morning, but multiple reports have laws in racing balls for Japan next weekend while Sonoda gets the main seat. Formula One journalist Chris Midlands, Well, there's Chris morning to you. I'm very well indo two races to be dump shows. There must be panic in Red Bull. The stap and can't make it go as fast as they want. They're not going to get the constructors unless they get both cars moving. Would that be about what's driving the decision making.
A little bit?
I think so yeah. I think they've probably seen that Liam struggling so much and someone who is a young driver so inexperienced, he only had eleven races under his belt before getting that seat. I think they've probably gone okay before it becomes even irrepairable for him and hurts his confidence too much. Let's make a change. And to be honest, from my point of view, it's the decision they should have taken over the winter, where they had Yuki Sonoda, who's much more experienced, ready to go, and he's the one you could almost risk going through something like this with because he had nothing left to prove, whereas Liam still had a lot of learning to do. So it's a really tough call on Liam, but hopefully it gives them a chance to go into a car that he knows well, where he an environment's performed well in and he can rebuild from there.
What are they going to do if Sonoda can't make the car work because the car is too difficult to make work.
I wish I could give you the answer to that, because the sensible question would be they look at themselves finally and and go, okay, why is it that we can't give two drivers a car that is that they can drive well enough? Let's be honest, Matxa Stappan is an incredible talent, and then what he's doing is papering over the cracks and finding a way of driving that car in a way that most people can't. And that's no slight on any other driver on the grid. But that's just the standard that mats of stappens at. But Red Bull have had problems with the second car for five six years now. Really, Sergio Perez was highly experienced, a proven race winner, and it all went wrong for him last year and then they thought the way to fix that was to put in someone with little experience and say, go on, you do a better job, with very little opportunity to prove himselves. So it's always been a source of frustration actually, the way that they've not made it work for both drivers over the last five or six years, and Red Bull seems to always blame the driver. Hopefully if UK also struggles, it will finally mean that someone goes, Okay, this is not the driver's fault. We need to change something ourselves.
You I'm sure you've heard, but do you can you confirm the ten million thing from Honda? And is that I mean, that's if one hasn't it that end of the DILB. But is it true.
I'm not aware of that's true or not, to be honest with you, and I'd actually be sort of surprised if it was.
It could go that way.
But Honda leaving Red Bull at the end of the season, they're going to be partnering with Aston Martin. That relationship was actually a bit sour I think a couple of years ago because Honda originally pulled out. Red Bulls started making their own engine as a result because Honda were leaving, and then when the regulations changed for engines for next year, Honda decided on the new ownership or new leadership that they wanted to come back in and it kind of dropped Red Bull in it. So that wasn't a particularly harmonious relationship anymore, and I think that's one of the reasons Sonoda wasn't getting a chance. But now I think they have seen, okay, like Lim's really struggling here. Do we drag it out for a long time and kind of see if he turns it around, but at what cost? Or do we go with the more experienced driver we have in our books right now and as you say, the timing works for him as a Japanese driver going in ahead of the Japanese Grand Prix and see if he does better. I still feel they should have made that call at the start of the season. Then it would have been far less damaging for everybody involved, but here we are now.
Great to have you on the program. Chris, We'll talk again, Chris Midle and Formula one journalists. More on Liam in a Moment seven twenty.
The Mic Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio cow It by News Talk Zippy.
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Red Bull would have.
Known that when they hired him to have two races on unknown tracks. That's tough. Three they hang in with other drivers who struggled a lot longer than two races, so suddenly the harshness has reached a new level and probably reflects an internal level of panic given the performance of the other teams. And four they know Liam can actually drive the car. They saw it, they yest to them he can do it, so they're not guessing. They took a punt on him, but not a blind punt. So you then have to look at the damage you're doing to a young driver and his confidence. I mean, yes, he's still an F one. Yes, the Racing Bulls are improving on what they did last year, but he will think about it this way. He will never win, mainly because Racing Bulls is a feeder team to Red Bull, so they're not allowed to win. Red Bull also carry responsibility for building a cart that doesn't work. I mean, even as was mentioned a moment ago, even Maxwstappan, who was the driver of his generation, is having trouble. So Liam goes to a midfield team to do what hopefully perform well, to then be lured away. I would hope to somebody who can offer the prospect of better returns as exciting as living an F one. Dreamers turning up every weekend to come thirteenth can't be that much fun. After a while, the cutthroat part, though, I mean, I suppose you can argue that's life. The good thing about motor racing is they've been in it since they were kids. They've been schooled in winning and losing, in victory and failure. Liam's had helmet Marco and his ear forever. It's a tough, unforgiving business. But that's the keyword business. They aren't in it because they like you. They are in it to use your talent for as long as you are useful. The reward is if you're good, you get rich and famous and collect trophies and buy a place in Monaco and live your dream. If you're okay, you drive an LP or sober, travel the world, get moderately wealthy. It ain't over, of course, but your heart goes out, doesn't it to a bloke who was that close and seems sadly to be on the end of some very poor management, some ruthless ethics, and the cold reality of elite sports. Even gun to stein Er, I knowe this morning is saying give him Japan. And that's if there's anything that surprised me out of this. I mean not to give him Japan. The track he knows is you know, how do you explain it, Mike. Everyone's cutthroat, but what red Bull has done is is nothing sort of abysmal shows. Red Bull's management is a mess and heads need to roll. There's probably something in that as well, because Adrian Newey, if you know the name, he's gone to Aston Martin and that'll come to fruition next year and all the regulations in the car changed, and so as an organization as a business, they're not performing particularly well at the moment. But you know that's beyond his control. It's the luck of the draw. There's only twenty drivers, there's only ten teams, and so very few ever get to participate. Now, Chris Bishop, the business of drug testing is this a matrix? Is going to change the way the roads operate in this country. We'll ask him about that. Got some very good news from Hart this morning to Devil Into and Sir Bob Geldoff in the studio for you after eight o'clock. News is next.
It's New Zealand's home for trusted news and views.
The Mic Hosking Breakfast with Bailey's Real Estate Altogether Better across residential, commercial and rural news.
Togs Head b No one of the things just need to tell you about if you missed them in japan court, the Japanese court yesterday, I told you. The Japanese court yesterday released that bloke, our longest death row inmate, paid them one and a half million dollars in compensation. Yesterday. Also they basically told the Moonies that they've got to dissolve. This goes back to Abe. You might remember that. But he was killed and there was a person that was a link to the church, and the Japanese government had been all over since The Education Culture Ministry sought the church's dissolution, accused her of manipulating followers into making huge donations, etc. So they're getting unwound. Meantime, in Thailand, thereafter Shinawatra, who's currently the Prime minister, and there's been a lot of Shinawatra's running the place over the years. There suggestion is she doesn't have a clue what's going on or how to run the country. But because she's called Shinawatra, she's sort of got the job and is asking your father how to run the place. So they had a no confidence right yesterday they lost at the opposition party lost it. So she remains in charge. A lot of feedback on Liam seemed to be eleven teams. Mike, who knows Liam may be wanted by Andred? Yeah, well, I mean he's a good driver. You may well end up who knows where he ends up. He may well stay for the rest of his career. He's got a good career. He's good for ten years at least, if not more. He'll develop as a driver. He may well stay at Racing Balls for ten years. But I mean, my main point is that once you're in there, you want to be for the right team. You want to be at Ferrari, you want to be at McLaren. You probably eventually want to be at Aston, or you want to be in Red Bull. You don't want to be at Racing Balls or sourbur or any of those other teams. Mike, if our butter and I'm surprised I still get asked this question. If our butter is based on international price, how come people in Saudi Arabia pay around a dollar too New Zealand for a letter of ninety one petrol. They produce the oil but don't pay the international price. The answer is really simple. The government pays the difference I mean, this is not hard to understand. So the cost of a product is the cost of a product. Say it cost your buck to make it, right, you sell it for a buck into the marketplace. If you want locals to pay less than a dollar, somebody else has to pay the difference. So in Saudi Arabia, the Saudi Arabian government pays the difference. It's as simple as that. We could sell butter in this country for three cents if we wanted, but somebody would be paying the nine dollars ninety seven difference, and that would be the tax payer, all the government. Because a cost of a product is a cost of a product. When he went away from eight key, it's above the old oft is in the studio up to late A Klotchman, twenty years since we last chatted. He won't remember it, any of it, but I do, well. I did yesterday after a Google it, and I mean, how long has we been since? How long since I last saw's? But he was here in two thousand and sixy two thousand and seven, aways back in the country. Roadside drug testing has been passed into law. That was the other law that got through its third reading yesterday. Police we'll be able to undertake random roadsides the labar tests. Of course, there were a few concerns around the people on the ADHD anxiety, whatever sort of medicines. Transport Minister Chris Bishop with this morning, good morning, this drug driving. The level of difference you would expected to make. Is this a game changer or just another tool in the toolbox.
Well, it's a tool on this toolbox and I hope it will make a difference over time. The police are going to do about fifty thousand oral roadside fluorid drug tests per year. They've funded to do that and we've instructed them to do that. It's another tool in the toolbox. About thirty percent of deaths and serious injuries on our roads are connected to drug use. It's actually quite a high number when you think about it, and you know, when you take a step back and you say, well, we've had thirty years of blood alcohol testing, breath testing which people are pretty familiar but controversial when it first came in, but it's hard to imagine the roads without it now. I think we'll look back in five to ten years and say, you know what, it was pretty crazy that for a long time you could get high, get behind the wheel and you could never get caught and there was no punishment for it.
Yeah, I agree with that, But at most of the problems of the cannas you talk of, are they drugs and drink related? In other words, if you get the drink, you'll get the drugs, or do people exclusively take drugs and go drive.
All the figures I've got are that drugs and alcohol are are combined the number one cause of death and serious injuries, and drugs are a big part of that. And you know we're time to take action. Parliament's had three goes at this over the years, you know, Julie Jinto trides do it nashtrite and we think we've got it right now.
The prescription drug aspect of it, people on ADHD or that, do you wait that, do you give that some credence or not?
That The tests won't pack up for that stuff.
So it's testing for things like cocaine, ecstasy, marijuana, And they've got some pretty sophisticated tests out there that other jurisdictions use that we're hoping to use here where you pick that stuff up and you know it would have two tests at the roadside and you know, then if there's two tests that you fail, then you will be banned from driving for twelve hours.
While I've got you this k road building that you're on about the other day, you are RMA reform. I note the Fed farmers behind it, which is good. But we have Hipkins on the program yesterday. I can't work him out. He sounds like he wants to cooperate, but I don't think he wants to cooperate. At the end of the day. Is cooperation going any wear hand on heart? Do you reckon?
Yes?
It is.
I've written to Labor and the Greens and I've said lot in good faith, let's sit down and work together. Now we have election commitments around, you know, making it easier to farm, get well ins and out of farming. We're not going to compromise on those. But you know, RMA reforms big right. This devil is in the detail on this stuff, and I want to genuinely work with the opposition to get it right. It's an everyone's interest that we have a stable regulatory environment. And I reckon, And you know, when there's a weld as a way if we can get some stability on this stuff, it's really important. So I'm really determined to try because it's in the country's interest.
Will you be the person that changed the direction of the country in terms of regulation so we never see a k road building like that rejected, or a wind farm in Southland rejected in a way that no one can truly explain.
Mike, that is my aim.
I wake up every morning determined to try and liberalize the planning laws in this country. It's totally insane where we've got to. It's too hard to build houses, too hard to build energy projects, too hard to actually get stuff built in this country. And the lot if I can end my time as in Parliament having fixed our planning laws so that we can actually get on and build stuff again, and I'll be a happy man.
Here we go, all right, good on, you go well Chris Bushop the RMA but also Transport Minister of course.
Seventeen to eight The Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News.
Talks that be.
Minutes away from It's going to very well at the Intel Select Committee on the Hill this morning. So this is Jimmy Gomes and he's asking Tulsey Gebbett, who seems to have been in the firing line for about two days now, probably feels like three weeks. John Retcliffe is there. Redcliff is the head of the CIA. The question is with a higg Seth who has form on this had been drinking when he takes to the wall plans her knowledge.
Do you know whether Pete Hexat had been drinking before he leave classified information?
I don't have any knowledge of Secretary Hegsath's personal habits.
Director Radcliffe, same question, yes or no?
You know no, I'm going to answer that. I think that's an offensive line of questioning. The answer is no. I find it interesting that you want to you know, I know I'm going to answer.
You answer a question. Do you want to answer no?
Listen, I don't want to focus on the good work that the CIA is doing, that the intelligence community.
Correct.
Sure, I want to reclaim my time, Director, I reclaim my time here. I have huge respect for the CIA, huge respect.
For men and women in uniform.
But this was a question that's on the top of minds of every American.
So I went unanswered. But he did say, Reckcliffe that one of the participants he was on that chat that predecisional strike deliberation should be conducted through classified channels. So it's a remarkable thing that we're witnessing because you've got several problems. Problem number one, they were doing what they were doing anyway, and that was bad enough. Problem number two, they lied about it. Problem number three, when they lied about it and got busted, they then still run this line about how it's this poor SAPs problem at the Atlantic. Now let me ask you this question. Other issue is locally Dylan Walker, who you may or may not know as a warrior, who's not a warrior anymore. He played his last game last Friday and what was a very good win over the Sydney Roosters fourteen six. Anyway, Dylan's another one of these people who, on compassion, has been let go from the side. He wants to go home to Australia. So here's my question to you. And this was aidan former Blake, and we had the same problem last year. How many of these people sign contracts. We don't know what the grounds are. They are compassionate grounds. The warriors do the usual thing, and I suppose it's I can't work out whether it's the nice thing to do or whether it's the modern thing to do. He goes with our support and best wishes. He came to us from Manly. He's very good, kind of be nice if he stayed all that stuff. But here's the problem. When you're bringing these people in from Australia and I'm assuming it's family related. When you're bringing these people in from Australia and you're signing three year deals. I mean it's one thing to sign a one year deal. I get it and go, look, you know, I might have some kid problems or you know, alimony problems, or family problems, or illness problems or whatever, so let me sign for a year and we'll see how we go. But when you're signing a three year deal, you're making are you not a commitment to the side for a in this case, three year period of time? And as an adult you've got to own a bit of that and go yep. Things have changed for me across the Tasman. But I deal as a deal in Net's life or am I being because a lot of people go, we'll make them pay. But of course the counter from the warriors is you don't want somebody there that doesn't want to be there, sulking on the bench and not doing the right thing. So I don't answer them between a rock and a hard place, but clearly it's a problem for us and getting people from across the Tasman ten Away from eight.
The Mic Hosking Breakfast with the Range Rover Villa News Togs, Dead Bees.
Giving Away from It. Turns out it was a summer to remember for many growers of the cherry industry. The latest to break records. Five thousand tons were exported for the first time, smashed the twenty seventeen eighteen season out of the park by about eight hundred tons. Are the summer few. New Zealand CEO Dean Smith's with this. Dean, very good morning to you.
Good morning Mike.
Quality and quantity was the quality just as good as the quantity.
Look the quality the export quality this year was strong and it needs to be. You know, we're a quite high quality product and so I guess to occupy that premium place in the market, that's what we need to be focused on.
And we're getting good prices.
Well, look, I guess you know, the top line numbers look favorable for the year, but we need to be we need to remember I suppose those numbers that have been floating around are based on the FOB value for customs purposes. I guess we're a little bit too soon to know. I guess just what the returns are going to look like for growers, But we're I guess cautiously optimistic.
What's the bigger picture the markets we're in as their room for growth, is the room for new markets?
Well? I think both absolutely both. I mean, if you look at the profile of the markets that we're in, Taiwana is actually the largest market for New Zealand cheries by a long way. We're obviously the second biggest market there being mainland China, which obviously is much larger market. So you know, that would suggest that there is significant potential there, but it's a very competitive marketplace like the Chilean's especially have really increased their production as well. So as I said earlier, we have.
To be focused on quoth is it like wine? And do excuse my ignorance, the profile of the New Zealand cherry Do you compete with Chile on profile? Or is a cherry a chery?
Oh?
Look, cherry is not just a cherry. A cherry is about a number of things. It's about the obviously the taste and the profile of it, but it's also about the efficiency of our supply chains and how quickly we can get our product up there into market. And that's one of the hallmarks of the New Zealand cherry as well. It's fresh and it's got lovely purity and it's just a great eating experience here.
And what about acreage here? Is that growing? Are people planting or not?
Yeah, Look, there has been recent investment into the industry, which I guess is why we expect that top line number to be growing, because we need that return on that investment. So there has been investment there. There's also been some investment as well into improvement of existing growing systems as well, which is I guess another factor in terms of what's driving yield.
Good stuff. Dean good Insight, appreciate it. Dean smith Somemmer Fruit news Hilla another record that's good. At one hundred and twenty four million dollars. They've got a long way to go to reach Kiwi fruit and grapes of course, grapes at a couple of billion and kiwi fruit of four billion. But we'll take it. We'll take anything now. But for long term forecast. I don't notice long term forecast because they might as well throw a data toboard. But they're suggesting this summer of ours continues. There's no real rain in the forecast. It depends. I mean, you know, you tell good news storyline Cherry's fantastic lot of farmers around the North Island. Parts of the North Island at the moment really really struggling with the dry Where we are in the country. I notice, interestingly enough, the farm I look across the hill ath all across the valley is still green, green ish. It's not spring green, but certainly not brown the way it has been some year. So it very much depends on where you go around the country. I guess, Mike, is breaking a sports contract not like breaking a mortgage you got to pay a break fee? A good question, actually, I mean technically, I suppose they could go hardball and go, look, you can't break your contract. Deal's a deal. If you do, we want some money. But the Warriors aren't like that in my experience these days. Contracts, so if you're a talent, the powers in your court, Mike. Surely, with Honda involved with RB, they want the Japanese driver to get the Japanese crub. Well, of course they do. That's where the ten million dollars, if that's true, came from. I mean from a point of view. I mean, but would you want it? Think about Yuki Sonoda turns up this weekend week in Japan. They'll go off, and what sort of pressures he under to get in a car that doesn't work well and do something spectacular? I mean, if he does, he's a hero for life. But if it all goes wrong, it all goes wrong, So that'll be interesting. Mike just got in the car to drop the kids at school. Have we missed you discussing limb? Yeah?
Will you please say something about Liam Lawson?
I mean, how many times? How many times do I have to tell you I'm not running this program for your school. Run starts at six, ends at nine. It's a free flowing affair. We do what we want at the time. And if you just hoping to pop in the card, the question, the more important question is just before you popped in the car and turned the radio on. Good that you're doing and educating the kids, But what were you doing beforehand?
Eh?
Why won't you listening beforehand? Readily available to you three hours every day. Bob Geldof, is he here?
Oh he is here?
Oh good, Well, then he'll be with us after the news, so that works out well.
Then setting me agender and talking the big issues, the mic hanting, breakfast with a Vita, retirement, communities, life, your way, news, togs head, be it.
Seven minutes past day, leave it or can believe at the boomtown rats are marking fifty odd years in the business, and the group wouldn't be the only thing that Bob Geldof did, of course, the change music.
All the world.
That's also the fortieth anniversary of band Aid. And you put it all together in a stage show and you've got a couple of dates here. It's called an Evening with Bob Geldoff. Songs and stories from an extraordinary life, and the great Bob Geldof is with us. Good morning, good morning, Good to see you you too, Mat. We were talking about health off air, and because you look amazing, because the last time I was explaining on the show before you arrived, last time I saw you was twenty years ago and you didn't look a lot different then, so either you were aging. You've got to say something else. You look terrible to me.
I know, yeah, yeah you were.
You were either aging poorly then and brilliantly now. I don't know what's going on, but you look and find fettle and good health. But it does remind me of in talking about health and all the performance stuff. To do something each day, to have purpose keeps you young. Is that fair? Do you think? Absolutely fair?
There's you know, if a human doesn't it purpose and it can be whatever, then what's it about?
You know?
There has to be some point to existence, I guess. And the problem with unemployment is simply that you know, you fall into this sort of you know, I don't distitute this lethargy, and you can't get up. It's just like I woke up and now what. And it's a very good point because I tend to do things. If the phone doesn't ring, I get worried and I then have some mad idea that I'll embark on. And because I live in London, the possibility of an idea happening.
Is quite high.
So two days later there's these people ring me, Yeah, let's do that. And five years later, I'm still involved in this thing that bored me in the first place.
I never wanted to start it. So yeah, that's it.
And I don't even know, like you know, I just get up and do stuff.
That's it.
And it's worked out, okay, hasn't it? In general?
Yeah?
I mean, you know, I think most people think they get up and do a job and they're not particularly satisfied with the job. But imagine if you didn't do that, you know, I can't imagine.
Do you still enjoy performing?
I do.
It's very cathartic and it varies like this thing we're doing. I mean, you've read the long opening to it.
I said, why call it?
Why call it the life and next doraor whatever?
I said, I just call it life.
WTF, you know, because you know who'd have thought?
So?
I do enjoy doing this because it's why would I do it? Because it was put to me just before Christmas in Australia when I was talking about band Aid the fortieth anniversary, and they said, why don't you tell those stories in a sort of show thing? And I'd seen the an evening with stuff where you just sit down with a guy like yourself, and I do these interviews all the time, and I didn't want to do that and I'd seen Springsteen's One Man Show. I'd seen Bono's One Man Show.
They're both Irish.
I'm Irish. We can tell stories, and I thought i'd do it more like that, more theatrical, with you know, visuals and songs and all that. And I really enjoy it because it's not something i'd normally do in the summer. As you said, the rats are fifty, we'll do all the big festivals. And then we're talking off Mike about you know, suddenly Bobby Boonetown's in the house and it's lame for anyone listening, but the you know, the sagacious, quiet person you're listening to right now becomes something else, and that band start up, and it must be that the music excites me and I go absolutely nuts and I don't mean to. It's not something considered and by the end of it, I'm completely exhausted. But it's a great Catharsis. It's a great sense of something being done. I was going to say being achieved, but that's two grand so.
That the show goes on. In reading you in Australia, it can go for any length of time. Yeah, would you just a thing you and I did a thing in two thousand and six.
With the great Malcolm McLaren, you know, certainly a cultural avatar of our times, you know, Vivian Westwards, partner and designer and the sex Pistols manager and one of the great speakers.
Yeah, and.
That some of did.
The audience asked him a question and.
The answer took up forty five minutes and he never once addressed the question. So it's a bit like that with this show. It can it can't bring us sleeping bags all I'm saying.
It could go on. By the way, speaking Irish people, Colin mcgrigord, do you realize he wants to run for the president of Ireland?
Yeah?
Would he? He's creep? Okay, so not no vote from Bob.
Did you see how he humiliated himself and Ireland with Trump?
You know?
Awful?
I mean I've had so many memes from people saying how shamed they are?
You know, did you do you from where you came from? Speaking of Ireland, when you start out, you know, in the meat works and the diggers and stuff, do you appreciate what you've achieved more as opposed to have been born into it? You've got a guitar, and success came your way.
And no, I don't appreciate it, because it's if you're living a life as anyone listening or you know, it's sort of a linear thing. In retrospecting, things appear inevitable. The only thing I know is that because I was offered no choices. Ireland was very poor, my dad had no money. I did nothing in school, So you know, you leave and you invent yourself into being. And the only thing I know is that initially I just went for jobs where I could get a bit of money, take me to the next country, the next job. Something was going to happen, and I was working towards something when out of the blue the band started. But I would always take that road less travel, and that seemed to me to offer the most opportunities. And even when the band was really peaking at its height, I got distracted by something that interested me. And if it interests me, and it's got something to do with an interest in the past, and I'll go down that route. So but everything spins off of rock and roll, really, everything spins off of it. Things were not great when I was a kid, so the only avenues of possibility were suggested by you know, John and Paul, Mick and Keith, Bob and Pete and those people. And I clung onto that. And the message seemed to be that the world was not immutable, that change was necessary, desirable and evitable. And because I was young and listening to these people suggesting that rock and roll became the rhetoric of change and indeed the platform so that leads you to live aid you know, that sort of stuff, and uh, you know, retrospectively again, all the other stuff spins out of that fact. That's central fact of pop music and rock and roll, which seems, I suppose, seemingly lame, but for me was a true a golden thread lowered out of the purple ether of rock and roll, which I've clung on too ferociously ever since.
Listen, hold on Don't Go Brief break more from Bob Geldof In a moment fourteen past.
The mic asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeart Radio, pollt by News.
Talks It Be Talks seventeen past, I said, Bob Gueldof is a guest. A couple of quick questions before I forget. I don't know that most people know this. What was it called PS? Twenty four year company. It was planning twenty feur. Yeah, and it got sold eventually. But did you been survivor?
Yeah?
See, people don't know that about you. They think band aid and I don't like mondays, but don't don't put it on my gravestone. Did you clip the ticket on it? Did I what look the ticket?
You know?
I did the money complying? That was that was that was the big payoff. That was the magic.
Yeah, we had So after live Aid, I hadn't worked for two years because you know, trying to all do all this stuff and focus on them to set up the structure and the trust and the actual enabling of you know, putting everything into place. And I was broke because I promised that every single penny we got will go to someone in need. And after we're forty years old now I have to tell you that not a single sandwich, cup of coffee or phone call has come out of that money. And we do it every day.
But I was broke.
And the band, because we hadn't worked for two years, they'd gone off and done separate things. Pete became a big producer. Some of the band played with other guys. So the first thing I did was write a book. Then I did some ads to get some money. Then I started making solo records. But because I've been as I say, everything spins off roll, because I've been in music for ten years, on every TV and radio show, it was second nature to me. So I set up a TV company with two friends of mine, and again the attitude was very like The Rats was very punk. You know, let's let's turn over the Apple cards. There's got to be something underneath it, and there was. We had a the go Go, go to rock and roll show of the nineties was the word that was ours, and there was. We had the Breakfast franchise for ten years, two hours every day, five days a week. That was the big make or break thing. But out of the word came there was a section called I do anything to be on television, and you know, it got grotesque people as people wrote.
In with things.
And I remember once was a lady of ninety in a bath full of worms being kissed by a seventeen year old boy.
And that is grotesque.
And I mean it probably appears to your you know, oh, this disgusting sense of humor in this country.
But you know, I just thought no.
So we got called in.
By Channel four, which is the alternator of Channel in the UK, and they said, look, there's this new thing called reality television. We want you to make this edgy, you know sort of thing. We said, what are you talking about? They said, you know, like police cameras action you get real footage of people being arrested and all that stuff. And Charlie, my partner, just said, that's our reality. And they said, so what is reality? And life is reality? You're compressed into this short time period with all these pressures put upon you.
How do you deal with that?
And you know you've got to make friends with people. So what happens if that's artificially constructed over a short period of time and people get to vote on whether you know.
They like you or not? And so that was Survivor.
We sold it first to Scandinavia. We never made it. We saw scanned EVA and Charlie said, look, people will we act to this very differently. You need to profile people coming on this. And I think I can't remember which country exactly ran out first, Sweden, Norway, Denmark and the first guy I think voted off killed himself. I think that's what happened and the place went nuts. And they hadn't profiled he was very vulnerable. People had you know, his peers had voted him off. And so I think it was went off the air, but everywhere else bought it. That's how sick it was, you know. So in America it turned out to be the Beatles of television. So Beyonce did I'm a Survivor, Destiny's Child. Pontiac brought out the Pontiac Survivor and yeah, we killed it and we never made it. We franchised it.
And the idea is the magic though, wasn't it the magic? The idea? Yeah?
Yeah, And you know, thank God for Survivor.
You know, I watched you on British television last year. I felt bad for you when the fortieth anniversary of Banda Live I came along because I thought it summed up everything that's gone wrong with the world. What you did forty years ago was a stroke of genius and was done from the heart and for the right reasons. Forty years later, it's a winathon. It's like, yeah, you're preaching to the Africans. It's like, you know, let's how the world has changed, isn't it.
Yeah, there were two things going on. One is you want to keep as many people alive as possible from starving in the world of food surplus, it's absurd. And then there's a newer sensibility which is completely different to what we were doing about, especially from the children of African emigrets, a pride and where they come from, and they feel this is sort of shameful, you know that. But we didn't care what sort of people were dying, if they were Martians, if it was happening in Yorkshire, if it was happening in Wellington, I'd have done the same exactly. And so you know, there's two separate issues. You understand both of them, but one gets in the word, the other the simple act of helping it. Just turn your head, let me give you a hand up here, mate. Yeah, and that's all it was, exactly mate. Good to see you again, you too after twenty years. Come back in another twenty you'll be ninety two. Yeah, pretty, Malcolm, listen, lovely to see you have a good couple of those, will give the details. Nice to see you so. Bob geldof a twenty three.
The Mic asking Breakfast with Bailey's real Estate news talks.
Did be no.
You often hear us talk about the Healthy Aging Pack from About Health. Of course, now that includes the renown that risby Ultimate. The list is oil that's great for everyday health and well being. But if you're someone who needs extra support with the joints of the brain health and if your body has gone through challenges that needs a little you know, a little extra t LC, then maybe time to give the Ultimate Healthy Aging Pack a goo the Ultimate Healthy Aging Pack. So you've got Life max in a you got Lesters Oil advanced couple of premium supplements. Now they support the cellular energy production the brain health centrally, providing advanced and comprehensive healthy aging support. Ultimate Healthy Aging Pack is when you you know, basically, when you only want the best, and why wouldn't you want the best? Read the label, Take only as directed. Eight hundred triple nine three oh nine. That's the number for about Health online. It's about health dot co dot nz. Order today. That'll save you sixty bucks already, so you're already better off. Use the code breakfast and we'll give you a free one month supply of the Lister's Nightcap that's valued at forty nine ninety five absolutely free. So it is all good. It's all the best life Maxina and Lester's oil advanced from about health pasking My Bob Geldoff is a gritty, truthful inspiration. I would always take the road less travel. That's a self reflection that everyone can gain from. Isn't he a nice blow? I'll give you the details. You've got three shows and the concert that's coming next couple of days. Give you the details and a couple of minments and then we'll get to Britain and Rod Little on the My Casking Breaks.
The Breakfast Show, Kiwi's Trust to Stay in the Know, the mic Hosking Breakfast with the range Rover, the law designed to intrigue and use togs deadb Mike.
It's annoying that for the last ten years we watch Australian Highway Patrol doing roadside drug tests on television, yet our idiots here in Parliament and not been able to pass or implement any until now. Shane, it's a very good point. But mind you, if you've been listening to Tamotha Paul this week and her views on crime and justice and punishment, it won't be a surprise to you Geldof by the way, Sir Bob, tomorrow night in Auckland, Saturday in the Capitol and if you want to head to Teg daintyteg Dainty dot com for ticketing and to information twenty three.
To nine International correspondence with ends and Eye Insurance, Peace of mind for New Zealand business on.
A little morning to you.
Good morning mate.
So the spring statement, much anticipation, much build up on this, and we got pretty much what they said they were going to you cutting welfare and a lot of people lose out, a few people I note gain there's more on defense. Let's do the cuts first of all. With that many people having money taken out of their pocket or not arriving in their pocket in the first place. Is there a political price to pay for this or not.
That's a very big political price to pay for this. For Rachel Reeves, I think Rachel Reeves is on her last legs, to be absolutely honest, because let's leave aside the fact that her budget in the autumn of last year destroyed what was left of a fairly frail economy by putting up national insurance and hammering with small businesses. She's suddenly seen that the reason the OBS, the Office for Budget Responsibility is OBIA has made this fling statement is to correct the huge problems which were caused by her last budget. And as laborers put a lot of faith into the OBR, there's nothing they can do about it. They just have to carry on with it. And that means that she is going to be cutting benefits now. You know, between you and me, right, there's five billion pound cuts between now and twenty thirty That to me doesn't come anywhere near the level we should be cutting benefits by not it doesn't scrape the surface. But what it's done is it's aroused the fury of the backbench Labor MPs who say they cannot possibly vote for this policy, that it's not a labor policy. And so the left of the Labor Party and actually the soft left are in some real ferment about this whole problem. So it remains to be seeing what you can done, how many people affected by it. The thing you will hear on our radio every day is fifty thousand children. It's become this kind of mantra that fifty thousand children are going to be made worse off. Well, actually they're not going to be made worse off if their mums and dads get a job.
You know.
That this is the problem we have. We have two few people in employment, two few people actually going out to do a day's work, partly because wages are low, but partly also a hangover from the furlough system of COVID.
It's an amazing thing. I was watching or listening to Angela Rayner, she was on BABC, She's on Radio four and she goes, the working class do not want handouts, but they want support to find jobs. And I thought, well, that's a good line, but your benefit system would indicate they're perfectly happy to have a handout and they can't be bothered getting a job. Is that fear?
I think up to a point. I think Rainer has a good point there, and it's a point I've been making to various friends in the Labor Party recently, which is that there is nothing the hard working working class hate more than sponges.
Yeah.
It absolutely gallsome when they're working. And our big problem is we have a low wage economy. But latly it's a consequence of immigration. But we have a low wage economy and people go out and they graft for for ten hours a day, and their wives are out working for ten hours a day, and they come home and they see their next door neighbor, you know, getting a taxi back from the pub having been on benefits all day. It really really great, and it happens. You know, It's been mentioned to me colloquially so many times, so she may have a point, but there's no question, Mike. You know that the furlough scheme put ideas into our heads which we had not previously happ and that's that it doesn't matter if we work, the government will pay for us.
Yeah, exactly, Defense two point two billion. What does that bind? Does that go anywhere towards the europe needs to stand on their own and America's out of it? I mean, does that fix any sort of problem or not?
No, I mean it doesn't remotely fix a problem. It is welcome. I think most people would say it was welcome, particularly obviously the armed services. The aspiration, I'm told by people who are advising Sir Keir Starmer, is to reach the end of this parliament with spending on defense at four percent, which would put us above what the US spens of defense. So there is a genuine wish to increase, to increase expenditures so that we can lead Europe in being able to defend the continent from whoever is menacing it, whether it be Vladimir Putin or g or indeed Donald Trump trying to take over Greenland. We feel more cornered. I think it's fair to say lim at any time since about nineteen thirty nine.
As regards GDP, the forecast has gone from two percent to one percent, which is never good for a politician. She claims that it's going to get bitter eventually, but she would say that, wouldn't she how idly does it feel?
It's not good. It's not good at all. What she should have done was swallow a little bit of humble pie and do something in the buttet which relieved the problems for small and medium businesses, which are the bedrock of our economy these days. And she didn't do that. And you know, I've had businessmen ranting up me on the telephone saying you've got to hold them to account on this, and there seems to be no way forward with growth. One of the one area where there might be growth is on the labor government's proposals to pave over the entire country to build more houses for people who shouldn't be coming here in the first place, which will undoubtedly generate growth. You know, that will do it if they actually stick to their what they're planning to do. But it also seems to me that it won't be terribly good for the country.
No, you started us by saying she's on a last legs. If she's on a last legs, who's a replacement?
Well that that is their major problem. But there is talent on that labor front bench. You know, there's people like John Heaey at Defense, who's very very good West Streeting at health. That would be a canny move.
You move.
The closest challenger that we have at the moment to secure starma. We move him from the comparative ease of health to the Treasury and see if you can rescue the situation. So there are people there, but it's I don't know the mechanism by which Starmer could get rid of Reeves at the moment, beause is so closely tied to her. But one assumes that it can't be that long. Perhaps the next growth figures, perhaps perhaps when National Insurance comes into bite in April, then we will see the true catastrophe.
Always a pleasure might catch up next week roder Little and Britain just before we leave Heathrow. By the way, it's official, they had a counter tier of people had a look at the fire. There is no evidence to seduce anything was dodgy. It was just a substation that blew up. The remaind questions, of course about what Pethrow should have done, the fact they were reliant on one pass or so, all those sort of questions still remain very much. But as to the nefarious activity or suggestion of came to nothing. Eight forty five The Like.
Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio Howard By News Talks that Be.
Mike heard you talking about gut health yesterday morning. We educated across New Zealand about the impact of gut microbiome on physical and mental well being. The gut brain access is an essential tool for combating the current mental health crisis. More people need to understand the implications of their gut health. Everyone has a gut so that democracy is fairly broad. Alice appreciate it. The gut foundation of New Zealand cannot spook advocate for gut health more. Very pleased also to read yesterday. I was sort of at this time talking to Steve, just out loud, being frustrated at what's happening to Australia, the Australian economy, the Australian country, with the politicians just literally trying to outbid each other, with an economy that doesn't have the money and can't handle it. But a very good piece of writing if you want to read it in The Australian and the City Herald, Albanese indutting bidding to buy your vote with no regard for the price. Australians are about to be invited to an auction, which is literally what it was and.
What I mean.
Obviously, time will tell as to whether people get sucked in by that or whether people maybe people just don't care anymore. Maybe COVID has changed us all forever. We went to work from home, we took some extra days off. Government can run up any amount of debt they want. Who cares is not our problem anymore. The tax argument, they write, the tax argument means hiding some ugly facts from Australia because the nation's finances are two week to sustain an election, spendeth on worse. Both sides dodge the truth worth misinformation. The debt rises to nine hundred and forty billion this year, keeps growing to one point two trillion by June of twenty nine. Does anybody care? As the questions aplicable here, It's applicable in Australia, certainly applicable in places like America. Equally, I read this morning with a great ilementrist The Australian Labor Party compensated bloggers social media influences for their expenses to come to Canberra. So first of all, they invited these bloggers to Canberra for budget time. So come to Canberra and come to the lock up and have a look at what we're doing and then post it out on you on you with. They had a sports where brand ambassador, they had a charity founder, they had some Instagram finance advisors, they had a left wing feminist influencer. The party provided quote unquote logistical support. In other words, they paid their air fares. They didn't pay them per se, but they reimburse the expenses. Thirteen in all people invited to report on the budget selected by the party and the government ministers. Now, next person, I get on high up in this government. I'm going to ask whether they do this here because that strikes me as dodgy. Does that strike you as dodgy to say we'll pay your air fare, we'll put you up, we'll probably buy your can a coca and a sandwich, Come into the lock up and just you know, get out to your people and tell us what you think. Now, if you've chosen them, that's different to you a random poll of twenty bloggers. You might, you might go fair enough. You choose them, you're choosing the content. So it's like them ringing me and saying, Mike, we'll pay your airfe at a Wellington and we'll take you out to dinner. Come sit in the lock up and then you just tell people what you think.
Eventually, the bigger question is I can't believe thirteen people said yes, I would like to go to Canberra.
Please.
Have you not met an influencer? They would go to the opening of an envelope nine away from nine.
The make Hosking breakfast with a Vita Retirement Communities news togs had been.
Are the averages came out yesterday from I think the Stats Department average. You know, are we average hourly average wage. If you're in a full time worker, your average hourly rate in this country's forty two to fifty seven, which would mean you earning eighty eight thousand, five hundred dollars on average. Average homes now worth nine hundred and twelve nine hundred and four dollars. If you're a first time buyer, the average mortgage is five hundred and fifty thousand dollars. Average mortgage generally, if you're not a first time buyer, just overall average three hundred and eighteen, one hundred and fifty one. That it's not bad?
Is it?
That the average house is worth nine hundred and twelve thousand, the average mortgage three You own two thirds, But that's not bad. Average weekly insurance fifty three dollars seventy doesn't seem much, does it? Fifty bucks a week, two hundred dollars a month, couple of thousand dollars a year for insurance. Average savings account's got sixteen grand in it. It is five minutes away from nine.
Trending now qui chemist Wouse, the home of big brand Ftalmens.
This morning, we have news from the Marvel Cinematic Universe they're announcing the cast of the next edition of the Avengers series. This is Avengers Doomsday now. It's on Marvel's social channels, and it's been going on for a long time. Apparently it's been going Is that right? Is that what I'm meaning? Something just goes on and there is no noise or is no announcement. So what you're getting is a slow pan of the camera across chairs, and on those chairs are the cast members' names. So that's a cheap way of announcing the cast, I suppose, because they didn't want to anyway. This is the sound that you're hearing. So just imagine if camera scares a game from left to right or right to left. Initially, well, it goes back, doesn't it. It starts how left to right, goes right to left. No, it goes left to right, yep, and then stays that way and then just starts again.
It goes out to right just if so often another cheer sort of comes into frame.
It's like that program Severance, is it? Severance? I started watching that last night of You did No, No, No, Let me finish on the recommendation of our son, who I said to Katie must never be listened to for televisual recommendations. We sat down and start watching Severance and the woman tried to leave the building, but then when she left the building, she hadn't left the building. She kept leaving the building and leaving the building, couldn't leave the building, which happens fairly early on an episode, at which point I stood up and said, this is complete crap and we are never listening to Josh on this ever again. She stayed. I think in the room for how long? I don't know because I went off to bed. But anyway, where was I. Who's in the Marvel universe? Who's in this as you listen to this? Hum Chris Hemsworth of Byron Bay, Paul Rudd, Flora. It's Pugh Kelsey Grammar. I like Kelsey Grammar. I interviewed Kelsey Grammar and I asked him, I sid in twenty years, what do you want to achieve? And he said, I want to rule the world. I thought, that's not a bad answer. I want to rule the world. David Harbor, Tom Hillston, Sir Patrick Stewart, Serrien mckallan, Allen Cumming, Ellen Cumming, I love until I saw him in the Scottish House of the Year Awards, and I thought, that's a strange thing for a Why is he doing that for a person that clever? Why are you doing the Scottish House of the Year awards? Anyway, that's the that's from the Marvel Cinema. Tom Marsden's just been Tom Marsden, He's been. I'm hoping you'd be there.
Goodness, is there anybody who hasn't been a superhero? Now, if you haven't been, you must be feeling very left out.
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