The Australian election has been called for 3 May and the polls have swung in favour of Labor.
Cost of living is going to the booths with voters and Anthony Albanese's Government is promising tax cuts.
Peter Dutton needs to win 22 seats to get a majority government.
Australian Correspondent Steve Price talks to Mike Hosking about the election and why barbecues are banned in Victoria,
To Australia. We go. Stephen, my friend, how are you good?
Very good? Thank you. The elections up and running. I told you to be announced late last week.
Am I correct in my observation and watching the Warriors last night. And I only referenced this because both blokes started their campaign in Queensland. It's just Queensland and New South Wales had a miserable summer weather. Wys in terms of.
Rain horrendous, particularly Sydney. Sydney's had more rain across somemer than I can ever remember. I mean, people joke and laugh about Melbourne weather, but yes, Queensland in particulars had really bad. I mean, obviously we had the cyclone, but in outback Queensland there's floods up there that are swept away. On one property alone, four thousand sheep in the last week. The rain has been persistent right across the Eastern seaboard, particularly in those two states. So yes, it's been very wet.
Okay, so I just saw them start and it was wet. And these poles I've mentioned on a big swing to labor. Wonder you believe them? And two if you do, why.
I'm not sure that I do. Believe them, because the campaign's only been up and running, as we now know, since Friday, and so most of the things that were announced that week, including the five dollars a week tax cut way off in the distance, which was the centerpiece of the labor budget, and then the fuel exile has been cut in half by the Coalition if they were to win. I don't think that's settled in people's minds yet. They've not got their head around it. But when you do get your head around it, clearly, taking your trade a ute into a service station four times a week and filling it up because you're doing a job that's one hundred k away, you're going to save a huge amount of money. If the petroex size is cut by twenty five percent, that's going to save on average about seventeen or eighteen dollars per tank, and so that's a meaningful saving. Now that's aimed by the coalitions squarely at the people who live in the outer suburbs, particularly of Sydney, Melbourne and even Brisbane, because their longer commutes me and they use more fuel. So I think once that takes hold, there may indeed be a bit of a reversal but this is not good news for the coalition. They start the election on the back foot. It gives Anthony Albanzi a lot of confidence. Newspoll has now got Labor at the same position it was when it won the election in twenty twenty two. And Peter Dutton, let's be clear, he's got to win twenty two seats twenty two seats net to get himself into majority government, so he doesn't want to see a news poll like this. Labour's primary votes back at thirteen percent, Anthony Albanese's popularity has gone up and a two party preferred Labour's now in front fifty one to forty nine. So it is not good news by any measure for the coalition.
Interesting the numbers. One of the polls that you go one said a median estimate for Labor of seventy five seats lower estimate sixty nine, upper estimate eighty. If they end up they need seventy six. Of course, if they end up with seventy five, which is the media, and that's as good as a win, isn't it In terms of yes, it's minority and you still need somebody. But I mean, you'd be pretty happy you were that given what could have been, wouldn't.
You Yeah, you'd be very happy and you can consider this. There's currently in the Australian Parliament sixteen people on the cross bench. Now that includes a bunch of Teals who will retain their seats like Wentworth in the eastern sobs of Sydney. That seat was stay as a Teal seat, and there's a couple in Victoria that will probably stay and they may lose a couple, but you can negotiate yourself very well into minority government without dealing with the Greens on a seventy five seat when it's a big ass for Peter Dutton. And one good news one update is that we've just found out that one of the independents, women called Rebecca Sharky, who holds the seat of Mayo in the Adelaide Hills, used to be held by a former Foreign min Australia Center Downer. She said the first person she would call if there was a Home Parliament and support would be Peter Dutton. So he's got one on the cross bench at least. There's a couple of disaffected Liberals that sit on the cross bench who you would think would put their hands up for Peter Dutton. But there's a long way to go in this thing. We're are only into. Really what is week one?
Do you see the possibility that the election can be won or lost within this campaign? In other words, what they say or don't say, or mistakes or whatever could swing it or is this a fore gone conclusion.
Oh no, it absolutely can be won. During the campaign. You might recall the Bill Shorton versus Scott Morrison campaign where Bill Shorton was the late our mazere to win. Everyone had him over the line and then you had it. During the campaign, the whole question of energy and electricity prices was front and center and Queensland turned on labor and voted green and Bill Shorton suddenly lost that campaign. That's why Albanizi and Dutton were in Queensland. There's three seats on the fringes of suburban Brisbane that are Green and both sides think that they can snatch one, two or all of those three seats back off the Green. So every Australian election be one or lost. During a campaign, it just takes one stumble. People focus on it and then go. Your leads gone completely.
This banning of barbecues and Victoria is this one to do with gas? And two is it real?
How do you gas? It's all about gas. So this crazy government here says, if you build a new house in Victoria now, you can't connect to gas. You must connect to electricity. Your hot water's got to be electric. You've got to have a convention stovetop. You can't have gas no more in your kitchen. You can't put in a gas oven. And so everyone is completely beside themselves on that. But beyond that, if your gas hot water breaks down, you've got to replace it with an electric one. If your gas stove were to breakdown, you have to replace it with an electric one. Barbecues have always been sacrosint but now we learn today that within the regulations where this new bill comes in, if you have your barbecue connected to the gas mains, like a lot of people, do you know, you're not going down to the petrol station to get a swap and go gas bottle. If you're connected to the mains and something happens, your barbecue wears out, as barbecues do, and you've got to change it over. You're no longer going to be able to reconnect to mains gas you'll have to make your barbecue electric. I refuse good cook on an electric barbecue. They don't work. You cannot cook a decent steak on an electric barbecue. Don't tell me you can. All those stupid things you have in parks around the world where you put in a coin, they're all electric. Can you cook decent electric barbecue? I defy anyone to say they can.
Exactly, And just said to Ellen would surely know that, wouldn't she, or wouldn't she have the slightest idea.
She'd have no idea. I mean, I wouldn't imagine she'd be a barbecue type of lady.
To me on mate, We'll see Wednesday appreciates the Price out of Australia.
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