Nate and Maria discuss the assassination attempt on Donald Trump and the psychology of conspiracy theorists. They talk about what Trump’s selection of J.D. Vance means for the election. And they parse the latest in the Democrats’ intra-party fight over Biden.

Also on the show: Nate’s day at jury duty is a case study in bad bluffs.

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The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver