Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 5

Published Oct 5, 2020, 7:18 PM

South Point Hotel Casino Sportsbook Director Chris Andrews brings over 40 years of bookmaking experience to the table in this weekly series designed to find an edge in the upcoming week's NFL betting lines. Andrews and Host Gill Alexander give their thoughts on every game on the Week 5 slate on Monday's Beating The Book (October 5, 2020).

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Check it on Man Down. Then good Monday morning to you, And is the Numbers game at Visa v Sports Betting Network right here at the Serious Except channel to A four Visa dot com a Visa Food bost linking Game plus Skill Alexander, Good morning to you. NFL Guessing Lines week number five coming up today with Chrissie. Chris Andrews who runs the south Point sports Book Hotel Casino. UM already said sports book before that, I'm at the south Point Hotel Casino sports Book. We'll do that another but a betty of guests all weekend, all week long after that, right Tuesday through Friday, it's just jam packed Monday. Would like to just sort of cool out and talk about the NFL. We will briefly discuss baseball moving forward. Basketball last night, what a performance from Jimmy Butler. Epic performance. Uh, And then we got to bring up this tennis thing because is I just hope Numbers game listeners in droves bet who we've been telling them to bet for the greater part of the calendar year in the French Open, you know who I'm talking about, loyal listeners. So I hope everybody is uh sitting on a ticket here on the cusp of something hopefully on the cust A lot of work to be done, but looking good right now. We'll get into all that. The first the National Footballa yesterday, and let's bring him in. It's Chris Andrews. Everybody, Good morning to you, Chrissy. What's going on? Gil? Good morning, Good morning to you. Well, here's the here's the first thing I'd like to say. Twenty one of twenty six teaser legs on sides hit. Only the Texans, Niners, Cowboys, Jets, and Cardinals did not. So I just want a commitment from you, Chrissy that you won't change teaser prices for the rest of the for the rest of the year. I don't think I will. Let's put it that way. The teasers heard us so many games going over yesterday, they heard you know, uh, we've we still manage to eke out a very small profit that it was a small profit on Sunday. Okay, Well, for those who are just doing to get into this show, this Monday show for the first time, Guessing lines. This is a tribute to the old Stardust radio show for back in the day with Roxy Rocksborrow uh I guess I've been a cocoon. I guess next week's lines, uh, legit, don't know what they are guessing them, and I think Chrissie tells me what he will actually be posting here at the South Point Hotel Casino right after the show, and within that exercise we hope to extract value. Now next last week, let me just say this last week was one of those rare weeks, and that was three and two in the contest. But the two that I that I missed were the ones that I had on guessing lines, the greatest instinct for is being way off. That's usually not how this works. It's usually on guessing lines we have the best instinct. But man, the Dolphins and the Texas, well, we'll talk about those two games when we get there. Those did not work out as I thought they would. Let's start with Thursday, Chrissie, Okay, Thursday, We've got Tampa Bay at Chicago. Tampa bit Chicago, which I guess is now a game between two three and one's Tampa Bay, which was my survivor pick, also looked a little sketchy there for a little bit, but they come from behind, come from way behind. Come from seventeen points down to beat the Chargers thirty one forty six time Tom Brady has delivered a winning drive in the fourth quarter or O T or O T. I don't know why I said, I like that right there of a regular season game, has overcome a deficit of ten or more points to win a league best thirty four times, including postseason seventh five touchdown performance of his career, he was thirty or forty six for three sixty nine five touchdowns. One pick that was a pick six, by the way, that made it fourteen to seven. It got to twenty four to seven, as I said, a seventeen point lead, and Chris the game swung because of Anthony Lynn. Now imagine me with the Survivor pick on the Bucks and I'm down seven team. All the Chargers have to do is run out the clock late in the first half, and at their own five yard line, they decided to run option, and they run and Joshua Kelly fumbles it touchdown Bucks, and all of a sudden, it's like you could hear the rocky music from my Survivor pick, and sure enough, that's exactly what happened. That was all it took that was the way the game changed, and Dominican sue forcing a fumble inside the l A ten with the Charges attempting to run out the clock. I guess. Devin White recovers six yard touchdown pass from Brady Devans, who finished with seven catches for Evans even said quote, I was a bit surprised they didn't just take a knee. It was seven. They had a great first half. They made a mistake. We capitalized it, got on touchdown and had momentum going in the second half and ran with it pretty much dead on Ronald Jones eleven totally yards of offense for the Bucks, who were playing without Chris Godwin, Leonard four Nett, then Lashawn McCoy departed in the first half. O J. Howard might have a serious achilles injury. Who are they playing? You said, the Bears. Ah, the Bears, the Bears. They That was another one where my instinct was completely, uh completely wrong about on that, even though it didn't end up picking them. By the way, it's Gill. By the way, it's Gill Alexander Chris Andrews guessing lines right here on a numbers game at Visent the Sports Betting Network Serious x M Channel two oh four. I won't belabor the thing with the Bears. The Colts kept them out of the end zone until Allen Robinson caught a sixteen yard passed with one thirty five remaining folds forty two for two forty nine, just one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once. Robinson did end up with seven for one on one in a touchdown, twenty eight total rushing yards. That's it for the Bears and they were out gained two eighty nine to two sixty nine by the Colts, losing it nineteen to eleven. Not exactly an offensive showcase, way under the total of forty three. I'll say Tampa Bay by after that Bears performance, Tampa Bay by six on the road. Uh, it's mostly five and a halfs I do see a six. My power ratings without home field have Tampa Bay six and a half. So I guess you know, I'm still I'm gonna try to do a little work this week and figure out what, what, if anything, these the home fields are worth. So I think probably right now I'm gonna start with the five malf But let me just say, like Nick Foles, you know it, I needed him when he won the Super Bowl with Philly. I mean, I think I needed a ball throughout that stretch. So it's hard for me to knock a guy like that. But you know, the guy has just been like horribly inconsistent. And when I you usually say somebody's horribly and consistent means that they're terrible. But he had moments where he looks fantastic, but yesterday was definitely not one of them. And I just I think Foles is going to be one of those guys. And I don't know what the future is gonna be for Drubiscuit and his team rating, but he's probably one of those guys you could bring in off the BAM should maybe give your team a spark something like that. But I don't think. I don't think he could build a team around him. He's just not the quarterback that that you would like in a situation like that. And uh, you know, and I think we saw that yesterday. They scored late, uh to make it like a kind of a phony number because they were really never in the game. And you know, I'd like to look at QBR a lot, and his QBR were my aunt. It was like forty two point five. I don't know where they came up with that number, because he did not do that much to help his team win. That's supposed to be what QBR is all about. So I don't know where they got that number because his stats were extremely mediocre five point nine yards per attempt if you're an interception you know he had that late touchdown. Uh you know, but he's just not a quarterback you could build around. And Tampa Bay, by the way, Uh, I think they're getting better and better. I think they really are. And you know, even though Brady had that pick six, which was obviously not very good, but you know, he came through when they needed him, and uh, you know, that team's I think that team is going to get better at the year goes off. Anyway, I'm gonna open five and out, I keep going up a little bit. I probably will go up. Are you advocating a switch back to Mitchell trobiscite? Chris? Is that what you just did right there? I don't know, No, not not really, No, No, yeah, that's the I'm advocating they started all over again. How's that? I don't know what Dan? What was it? Bob Evolini? Where are you when we need you? Wherever that guy's name was. Yeah, uh yeah. I will say this though for for them, I will for all those of us who had Tampa Bay as a survivor pick yesterday literally down seventeen when that fumble happened, when they decided to run the football. I don't think Tampa Bay had any any time outs at that point. They could just run out the clock. It was just literally like, Anthony Lynn, you can do this for us, you can do it, and in fact he did it. It's just incredible. Badgley missed the field goal in the second have a long field go from forty seven. Uh, it just all fell into place, and Anthony Lynn has a little bit of the Dusty Baker, which is not only poor to sit making suboptimal decision making, but then also the players don't cooperate either. He gets unlucky at times two with the seven yard though that's a long field goal. Maybe you shouldn't be kicking at alright, so pretty much pretty much dead. All with that, let's go to Sunday morning and what's the Sunday Morning afternoon breakdown this coming week? Keith, Let me see one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight nine. Early games three late games man, and I think we have byes next week for the first time too. I have four lakes, yeah, I don't. Two Buys, Lions Impacts is late, Colts, Brown's is late, Giants Cowboys is late, Broncos Patriots is late. If my numbers are right, all right, let's go Sunday morning. Crazy Okay? Oh yeah, I see the bunk of games got moved. Okay, okay. Carolina at Oriana Carolina Jeddy Bridgewater thirty seven yesterday for two seventy six against the Cardinals, two touchdowns. Pick wasn't also had an eighteen yard touchdown run, which is his first rushing touchdown since before his devastating knee injury in the summer of twenty sixteen, when he tore his a c L and dislocated his kneecap with the vikings and practice and had to be rushed to the hospital to prevent permanent nerve damage. Remember there was a moment there where we thought he'd never play football again. And yesterday rushing scampering into the end zone. Good for him. Uh Mike Davis six eighty four and a touchdown. Robby Anderson eight catches ninety nine yards. The Panthers were seven of eleven on third down, one for one on fourth. They out gained the Cardinals four forty four to two sixty two. They did have ten penalties or seventy two yards. Got to clean that up. We briefly, we we don't always bring up time of possession because sometimes when it's involving teams like the Chiefs of the Packers, they scored so quickly. Uh, doesn't really matter, doesn't really mean anything. But in game like this, thirty seven minutes at eight seconds for the Panthers, just fifty two for the Cardinals. Boy, has their fortunes change. We'll talk about them when we get to them. But the Panthers scoring drives that lasted thirteen nine, ten, eight and fifteen plays, thirteen eight and fifteen plays, all the while keeping Kyler Murray and company off the field, score touchdowns on their first four trips inside the Arizona twenty yard line. Good for the Panthers as they beat the Arizona Cardinals in that game, of course, still without Christian McCaffrey, beat him by the final score of thirty one to twenty one as three point dogs, and they are facing as you said, moments ago. They're facing the Atlanta Falcons, who of course have not played yet. Atlanta playing one of two games tonight, two games that are it's not a double header, it's a little staggered. We'll get a half of football roughly on one, and then the second game will start up tonight. Uh. The first game will be New England Kansas City, the makeup game that was postponed because of Cam Newton's positive COVID test. That game will go at seven oh five eastern, four oh five Pacific tonight, then at eight fifty eastern five fifty Pacific. Pushed back just a little bit the previously scheduled Monday night game between Atlanta and Green Bay. So Atlanta playing in that game tonight. They have not played, so Carolina at Atlanta sight unseen with the Falcons tonight. Uh. You know, look, Atlanta's losing games, right They're they're owing three, but clearly should have one two of them. Uh, they'll be favored here. And I'll say the Falcons are favored by four over Carolina. Despite Carolina's win yesterday. You're a little high. Half my numbers come a little lower. I think Carolina teams actually getting better. I gotta tell you, Teddy Bridge, whether kid that I really loved coming out of college, always rooted for, Yesterday was the best game he's played since the injury. I mean, by far it was to thirty seven QBR ninety three point six. I mean he really, he really played well. And if this kids near what he was before the injury, then Carolina has themselves a pre legitimate quarterback. Uh. Like I said, you said four and a half, I think a little high. My numbers come more like three. I said four being on the Falcons sight, Yeah, uh, I kind of like, I kind of like the Falcons tonight. Uh, certainly getting the points, So I expect a good performance, and I think you're a little to shade high. I haven't had three and a half to the Uh, you know, very wary of this with the Atlanta playing tonight. Yeah, Falcons catching six and a half tonight at Green Bay game before that. Kansas City now up to a ten and a half point favorite against the Cam newtonless New England Patriots, which seems like a good enough time to mention this. What are the interesting things about that? To me that not enough is being made of is that you know, and and this is unavoidable. Let me just preface it. I say I'm not blaming anyone for this, but with you know, and I've talked about this during the pandemic, during the summer, during uh, you know, this run up to the NFL season. The difference between what if you have COVID breakout that are known early in a week, what if you then find out about them later in a week, and the implications Just let's think about that for this week. So the Patriots had one positive with CAM and their game gets postponed only a day and they must play a game without their starting quarterback. Whereas the Titans had a full outbreak earlier in the week and they don't have to play a game without those players. Their game gets postponed weeks in the future. And so I'm not saying that this is of an a avoidable thing. I get it, you want the season move on, But think about that. There's almost a there's almost a weird quirky thing where it's like, if you're gonna have a COVID positive, make sure it's an outbreak earlier in the week, so you don't play at at a competitive disadvantage. But if one of your key players, and only one of them happens right before the weekend, you're kind of screwed. Not that anyone's gonna cry a tear for the New England Patriots, but I think that's a little quirky thing that that not enough people are seizing on and and it's not and it's not avoidable. I mean, I'm just saying it's it's it's a fascinating curveball with this NFL season that can't be anticipated, but just is I don't know, I'm just throwing that out there. Crizzy, if I got throw in my two cents. I think the Tennessee and I know they're playing the Steelers. People are gonna say my judgment is tainted. But that should have been a forfeit. I mean they had like what last kind of like what eighteen members of their team and staff. I mean that's like a dereliction of dude. You know, they did not find protocols evidently, you know, so they're almost like rewarding, you know, for for their performance. I think that, you know, I think they should have had the forfeit that game. I don't they almost get a benefit from it. I don't like that at all. I think that the league. I think they're protocols that were in place beforehand. I would hope that they had this kind of scenario mapped out just in case, But I think they should have been. They should have been forced to forfeit that game. Well, I'll tell you what if if they miss an additional one, if they're if they're forced to to have to you know, let's say next week they're not able to play this. Like I said last week, this isn't baseball. You can't play seven inning double headers to make this stuff up quickly. Then I would really be curious would they Would they get a forfeit for that game. It's one thing to do it for one game, but what what happens then you're just gonna play twelve thirteen games for one team. You know, this whole this whole thing, we're gonna into a baseball mode where you can't make them up as quickly as baseball. It's gonna it's gonna be interesting. It's gonna be very interesting. Who do they play next week? Think that was a wrong call for the NFL. They should have forfeited that game. Tennessee plays the build. There wasn't their whole staff. Yeah, now they got it's a full outbreak on the on the Titans and which, by the way, just another brief aside. Um. By the way, do you have an audio behind you, Chris Benny Chance. Yeah, yeah, let's turn that down if we little bit. Pamela Pamela. Um. The thing just brought this up. Chris Collinsworth last night on on The Game, Man, I just say something and I don't. I don't. I don't even care anymore if people people get upset about this. His behavior on that broadcast last night, from the first moment of what wearing his mask, was shameful. Seriously, just dude, s t F you seriously stop it. As soon as they got on, al michaels Is al Mike Goes along with Chris collins with Chris collins was like, I don't even know who I am anymore, really, dude, Like you had a Tennessee Titans team that just had their game postpone, a Patriots team that got their game postpone one day, and the President of the United States is hospitalized because of this, and you're you're doing this thing on TV where you're like trying to maintain some kind of street cred with God knows who stop it already? Like have we It's unbelievable. Anyway, let's go to the Titans game. Is there Titans game early and I didn't listen to the broadcast, so yeah, it's it's it's shaped. Yeah, yeah, I agree because I read about it. Raiders at the Chiefs, Raiders at the Chiefs. Raiders lose, uh, and they do so, I guess in the end pretty significantly to Buffalo thirty to twenty three. They were in it for a while seventeen to sixteen through three for goodness sake, so they were in it pretty good. But they do end up losing to the Bills by the final score of thirty to twenty three. Bills covers three point favorites. Derek Carr thirty two of forty four for three eleven, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice. By the way, Derek car surpasses Kenny Stabler, Darryl Lamonica and any other Raider quarterback you can think of for the most career touchdown passes in franchise history with one fifty one. I was shocked by that. Uh. Darren Waller back on the box score after a week off where the Patriots took about nine catches a eight yards. The Raiders were eight of fourteen on third downs, but they were minus two in turnovers, and that's proud of probably why they lost the game. Really, the Raiders now, to a dude, they'll be taking on Kansas City, Kansas City again, playing the Patriots tonight. But I'll say sight unseen with the Chiefs. Chiefs are gonna be more than ten point favorites. I'll just say ten and a half. Yeah, my numbers coming to ten. But I'm gonna tell you and the Raiders ran into a buzz saw. And I will talk about the Bills a little bit later. But I didn't think the Raiders played that bad. I thought they played pretty good even you know, Derek Carr, I think this number felt by the way, the number that I see right now is like twelve even a twelve and a half. I think that's too high. I think the Raiders would be a very live dog year. Uh, you know, Chief's coming off, you know, a short week and a weird week. Um. I kind of like the Raiders getting the points. I think that numbers just a little a little bit high. I'm gonna open twelve, like I've had a huge twelve and twelve and a half. I'm gonna open twelve, you know with the Chiefs, you know, having a game pending and I but my first inclamation is I like the Raiders. I didn't think they looked that bad. Going a very very very good team. All right, So off on these but not by much a tick a tick and a half and a tick and a half when it's so, when it's high and kind of in no man's land, We'll continue with week what is it five? Now? We're going for yet Week five next week in the National Football League guessing lines with Chris Andrews here on a numbers game at Visa and the Sports Betting Network. I have a I have a Heisman kid, but he's not in any of the uh. When I look at Heisman markets like a d K and stuff like other DraftKings, he's not in any of them. I'm curious if I could walk up to somebody and see if they'll put him on the Heisman than for us, I don't want to say it yet until I bet it. But from the man who gave you egasvatek A long way from winning still, all right, let's continue guessing lines week number five here in the National Football League. Chris Andrews, star of show, author of Then one Day, by the way, where all books are sold, how about Amazon? Just point you to Amazon for Then one Day stories from forty years in the bookmaking industry. I've got a correct count there, Chris, Is it nearly forty years now? It's more than forty years now, it's forty one years, forty one? My goodness. Yeah, yeah, I won't ask if there's a if there's a you're still thinking of doing another one, because I know you said you you're concocting something, but you're not ready to reveal it. No, yeah, I'm ready. Yeah, I don't. I'm not ready to talk about it. That. Uh. Anthony Curtis has seen my work so far Deecastlehan who's his editor, And that's so far. They love it, you know, but I'm not. I'm not done about you know, halfway? They seen it. Okay, alright, alright, what's next on Sunday morning? Okay? Well, I'm fortunately we have a couple of games with like no lines whatsoever, and this is one of them. Right here. We have the Broncos at the Patriots a game that was moved to next week. But there I don't see any line whatsoever. And uh, you know, obviously we're waiting to see what happens with the Patriots. UM and with Cam Newton. I read something that he's showing no signs at all of the COVID. But we know that, you know, some guys are asymptomatic and still have the at least have the virus active inside of him, and he looks like it's one of those. UM, So I think right now, and I don't know how that works, you know, as far as like playing or not playing, I really don't know, and evidently needs anybody else, because I don't see any line whatsoever in this game. Uh, and because we don't know, you know, not only have the Patriots not played yet, they played tonight again, but we don't know who the quarterback is going to be. And you're right, Cam's not experiencing any symptoms. It's like Donovan Mitchell said, I didn't cough even one when I when I tested bo him. Jason, share with everybody what you said off air when you found out that Cam was out. You have a specific ticket that you got excited about. I thought for a moment that my Jared's did n m VP ticket was back days. He's not even Yeah, Yeahier is starting tonight, Is that right? Yeah? Uh? Denver in Denver in New England. I mean I would just take a stab at it. Brett Rippon. Let's just talk about Brett Rippon for a second. Uh, Denver will be on extra rest. Let's point that out. Brett Rippon in his debut five days after being called up from the taxi squad, the nephew of the great Super Bowl twenty six m v P Mark Rippon, the greatest team of all time, Washington Redskins. Rippon was nineteen of thirty one for two forty two two touchdowns, three picks. Two were horrific in the fourth quarter. He finally showed his rookie self then, but he really he sort of bounced back and comported himself. Melvin Gordon twenty for one or seven against the Jets for two touchdowns forty three are touchdown run with one remaining, killed all Jets teasers, and Tim Patrick was Rippon's biggest target, six for one, thirteen touchdown h We got ugly at the end of that game. Fangio directing some of his players head into the locker room as the game ended, and the coach didn't meet with Gaye for the customery postgame handshake because the Jets were being uh unsportsmanlike at the end. I don't know New England's gonna be somewhere between ten and four. I'll say New England will probably be thirteen. But as you said, you have no you know, that's just with site unseen and assuming Cam is back, but that's an assumption, so who knows? Who knows? Yeah, with Cam back, even then I only have it about ten um, So I think you're a shade high, you know. You know, I don't know how does that affect the guy? You know is conditioning and all that other stuff, and you know, obviously besides passing, you know, running is a big part of cams game and then a big part of his arsenal which makes him so effective. So I don't know how it's gonna affect them. I didn't do a little hot with that number. Uh. By the way, that's a great Williams thing, you know that did all that stuff with the Jacks. What was it Steven Smith, Stephen Smith Senior going off on him on the NFL Network. If it looks like a pig, it smells like a pig, points like a pig. You finished the rest. We'll come back board guessing lines with Chris Andrews right here on a numbers game at Visent the Sports Betting Network. It is guessing lines on a numbers game right here at Visa in the Sports Betting Network. What is next, Chrissy? That the Rams that your Washington football team. Oh, once again, the Washington football team gonna be a double I'll guess they're a double digit dog here yesterday. The Rams. By the way, those of us who had the bucks in the Survivor pick, uh, we're scared the Rams Survivor pick folks, And those were about two thirds of the remaining Survivor picks at circle were Rams picks who they just got by the Giants. Jared Goff thirty two for just two hundred yards, one touchdown, no pick. I was sacked twice. Fifty five of those two hundred yards was on one pass, which was really the ostensibly the game clincher, Cooper Cup on the receiving end of that nice run. After cash from Cooper Cup, he was five for sixty nine four that touchdown again fifty five on that one pass. With six fifty six remaining, the Rams grinded out a seventeen to nine victory over the Giants before wild fight between Jalen Ramsey and Golden Tate who like have this off the field beef. I guess where Jalen Ramsey is, uh, the father of Golden tates sisters kids, And I don't know what that was all about. But Darius Williams clinched the game for the Rams. Remember Darius Williams was the guy who got flagged against the Bills probably in a probably wrongly quite frankly uh controversial Darius Williams making a diving controversial last week. But Williams makes a diving pick at the l A seven with fifty two seconds to play, as the Giants were trying to get the touchdown at a two point conversion to force overtime or at least tie it up late. The Rams manages two d forty total yards. The Giants out gained them at two, and the Rams went nearly forty five minutes between its two touchdowns, but that proved to be enough. They improved a twenty eight no do the Rams when leading at halftime under Sean McVeigh twenty eight no uh. And now they will make their third cross country trip in four weeks, this time again as you said, to face the Washington football team. As far as the Washington football team, they got beat by the Ravens. Lamar Jackson running for a fifty yard touchdown through for two scores. Bounce back performance by the Ravens who took control early against the Washington football team seventeen win, forced fumble, fake punt, and that the longest run of Jackson's career to build a twenty one to nothing. I guess the longest run, the longest touchdown run of his career to build a twenty one to ten half time lead. Washington had more first downs, owned an edge in time of possession, and had only seven fewer yards in Baltimore. Didn't matter. Dwayne Haskins three fourteen, no touchdowns, no Pixie sac three times, and Terry McLaurin is singularly the Washington football teams one offensive weapon ten catches for one eighteen by the way, Ron Rivera occasionally taking a break during the game by sitting on the bench quote, I took two bags of ivy fluids before the game, I would sit down at TV timeouts. Again, that's his uh therapy for his cancer diagnosis. So that's always a sidebar to any Washington football team game. UM r G three was inserted in this game by Baltimore, which was a nice little nod to r G three's twelve Rookie of the Year season as a member of Washington. He proceeded to throw a pick and Washington then ended up scoring a touchdown. So if people got a bad number on Baltimore, they got Baltimore minus fourteen. That pick turned to win into a push, or at least helped it turn it into a push. But I'll say, I mean if Baltimore was a was a fourteen or thirteen and a half point favorite, I mean, I'll see the rams are ten and a half here at Washington, Prissie. Um, you know, my numbers come a little lower nine and a half. Once again, and if you're playing a drinking game at home, diminishing returns was one of the notes I had when I was looking at the Baltimore game against Washington. But you know, my numbers come to nine and a half. I think that's a good number. I see the number anywhere from eight and a half for a low nine with some juice on the favorite as a high. Um. I might get convinced by the end of the show to open at nine, but right now leaning towards nine and a half. Yeah, I don't know. Washington Football team one three and one along with the Cowboys, just a half game out in the NFC East. But they're not good. But they're not good, No, they're terrible. Um. And by the way, something it's hard to go on the road and win by double dishess. It just is in the nflogist, especially going across country and you know Baltimore at you know what a bus strip into Washington and you know one by fourteen. You know, they pult it easily, won by a lot more, I guess, but they just kind of, you know, held Washington at Bay and that was really about it. And uh, by the way, while we're talking about it, I did have the rams in my survivor pool, so I was writing pretty good. Yeah, that was a sweat, A few of them that were sweats yesterday. All right, let's stick in one more here before the break. Jacksonville at Houston, Jacksonville at Houston. Boy, there's a game, oh Man Uh. One in three Jacksonville against Owen four Houston, Gardner minshow yesterday forty two touchdowns, one pick, he was sacked three times, Chark touchdowns. Uh. Interestingly, both the Lions and the Jags yesterday went for two after cutting fourteen point leads to eight points. Did you notice that Jaguars end up losing two Cincinnati thirty three to twenty five. More and more teams adopting the analytics of that the Raiders did not, by the way, Raiders went ahead and kicked a extra point to go down seven. And they're specific or they're similar circumstances. But Jacksonville loses to Cincinnati. Joe Burrow gets his first win. Deshaun Watson Houston. Boy, did I get this wrong? Minnesota ends up missing a day of practice last week, but they did have a squirrely week trying to figure out when they were practicing when they were not. Houston still can't beat Minnesota. They lose. Uh. And they lose with Deshaun Watson going twenty of thirty three for three hundred yards too touchdowns, no picked, He was sacked three times. Fuller was his major target six for one. Oh. Wait, in a touchdown. They were out time of possessioned if you will, by Minnesota thirty six thirty one to twenty three minutes and twenty nine seconds. Uh. They just got dominated battle between winless teams, held off a late rally by Texans um help the minnesot Oda did beating Houston twenty three. UM Texas cut the lead to eight DeShawn Distills on the twenty four yard touchdown pass on fourth and ten with five fifty two remaining, but then Houston's defense gotta stop. And then it appeared like Will Fuller made an acrobatic one handed catch on fourth down for what was initially ruled a touchdown with one twelve left, but after a view, it was determined that the ball hit the ground before full of game control. Houston's NFL worst run defense continue to struggle, giving up a hundred and sixty two yards. They're not very good, but they're gonna be five and a half point favorites, I'll say against Jacksonville. How about that? Well, I'll tell you what. My numbers come to five, but they're actually a little higher, like six even six and a half. And I think if you look at the situation, this is where you know, powering just give you a start. But at six six and I actually liked the six and al. The link of situation is a strong in favor of Houston. So I'm gonna open the higher number here at six and al. These have not been difficult to guess. I know I haven't hit any right on the mark, but they're right next to him. These have not been that difficult to guess. And that's not good for the exercise. We'll see if we can't find something here after the break guessing lines week five on a numbers game at Visa these sports betting network. We get tweets at beating the book. Always appreciate the tweets. Money. Mike can't gil any tennis or baseball picks you like today. Uh, tennis is already kind of over for the day, and I to be honest with you, I haven't looked at tomorrow's but we will have Dan Weston on tomorrow on the show to talk tennis the quarterfinals of the French Open. Boy, oh boy, do I hope people? How many times have you how many times of the last year do you think, Jason, that I have said bet Ega swattech to win the French Open at least ten twelve times, and the first was way back in like January February. I bet it in February. Tell people what happened to your ego swattech future, I I bet it. I used it as a part of my video to get this to get this job, part of that application, and then uh and then five times mixed it about a month ago, and I had a hard time finding the ability to replay a place to replace it. Ten Nichols t row jag fan Gil, I was betting what you were betting, Houston Techans, that Houston Texans. That was the team that smart people were betting this week in hashtag not this time, not this time is right? And Seawan sip, yes, thank you. You didn't hear it from way over here on the East Coast when you mentioned it on air, but I loudly said yes, thank you. Gil. There are there. These are clowns, Joker, Pennywise, Ronald McDonald, and then there's Chris Collinsworth. Seriously, I can't can't stand someone like him. Was like, oh, I gotta maintain my street cred and act like this is such a pain, dude. Have you not figured it out yet. Oh and then for those who missed it last night, what an epic NBA Finals Game three it was? If you missed it, are resident U p I or a p associated press on Twitter? Urban Magic Johnson is here to tell you. Miami Heat superstar Jimmy Butler let his team to victory with a triple double masterpiece, scoring forty forty points with thirteen assists and eleven boards last night and the Heat beat the Lakers. Jason, you think we have a series? I don't. Actually, I think a d needs to not get into foul trouble. They had four fouls, like two super quick fifteen minutes in he had four. It was brutal fifteen minutes of his game time. But Magic really makes you feel like you're watching reading the box score. It's really fantastic that he do that. He do all right, Chris, Chris, Andrews, everybody back on the show. Sorry about that interruption. Christ. They didn't avoid your uh, Jason, Jason, they avoided yet not vointed. He's still open. He's just still alive. I never know. You're Mike at COVID today and I could still be in uh in business. He's don't root for that man. Okay, let's do another one Sunday, Sunday morning, Week five. All right, next another game with no numbers that I see whatsoever? Bills at the Titans. Bills are the Titans, no number of whatsoever. Because the Titans obviously postponed their game against Pittsburgh postponed a week seven, no one really knows if this game will be played. And with Christy and we're talking about earlier, is if they can't play, this one is a forfeit in place Buffalo and Tennessee. It would be a matchup of undefeated. By the way, it would be a four and OH Bills team against a three and O Titans team. Josh Allen yesterday against the Raiders, thirty two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once, getting a touchdown on the ground. The first half of the game, he was fifteen of twenty with two touchdowns. He didn't get hurt, came right back. It's Von Diggs is number one target. Yesterday six catches for one fifteen. Bills were seven of thirteen on third down, one of one on fourth down. And they've opened consecutive seasons now with four O records, just the third time in team history in the first since the ninety one and ninety two seasons, when the Bills lost the Super Bowl both years, and after seeing Vegas cut the lead to seventeen and sixteen midway through the third quarter, Buffalos d came to life. They stopped the Raiders four consecutive times. Vegas gave the ball back to the Bills by way of punt, fumble, downs, and another fumble before scoring on its final possession. Uh. And then there's Tennessee, who didn't play and they're dealing with COVID. Uh. This this will be an interesting one to guess. I mean, I guess I would say Tennessee, but not by a field goal. I'd split the difference between the pick him in a field I would say Tennis Tennessee as a placeholder minus one and a half. But who knows. Yeah, I kind of got the other side one. Like I said, I'm really impressed with this Buffalo team, and I said it before when we're talking about their Raiders, I think they ran into a buzz saw and this team is really playing well a ton of confidence. But I know you can't play momentum forever in the NFL. I mean, if you do you're gonna get killed eventually. Tennessee is still very good. But how how did this all affect them? You know, I I don't know. I have no idea, but I think I would have the Bills a very very slight favor one, maybe one and a half, something like that. But you know, it's a mood point right now because there's no number whatsoever. And we have to see what's going on with this Tennessee team during the course of this week. Yep, we sure do. And it will be uncharted waters because we'll see what the NFL have. The NFL handles this can't handle it like baseball did. You can't play three quarter double headers. So we'll see what's next. Arizona at the New York Jet about the Cardinals going from two and o to two and two and like after two games of like, wow, this team is headed to the has headed to the postseason? I guess not not so fast anyway. Kyler Murray, after throwing three picks last week, was just twenty four of thirty one against Carolina for one thirty three three three touchdown passes, no picks with sack once. He also, of course, on the ground, does things six for seventy eight. He did lose a fumble. Not a good day for the first time for DeAndre haph DeAndre Hopkins seven of four for forty one yards. Remember he didn't practice all week due to a foot injury, so he only gained forty one yards. The Cardinals ran just fifty five plays against the Panthers. Talked about the time of possession, discrepancy and those long Panthers drives. They just ran fifty five plays, did the Cardinals. Then there's the Jets extra rest. That's where the good news stops. Um. They get beat by the Broncos and as I said, couldn't even manage to cover the t s. They're oh and four donald three or forty two last Thursday for two thirty, no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked six times. Bradley Chubb got him two and a half of those six times. He did run six times for eighty four yards and a touchdown. That touchdown run was great. Jamison Crowder was an umber one target seven for one oh four. But the Broncos were minus three in turnovers and still beat the Jets. I mean, that's just terrible. Jets were eight of nineteen. That's hard to do. It really is. Jets were eight of nineteen on third downs. What that tells me is you have nineteen third down conversion attempts, meaning you're not doing enough on first and second down. I have nineteen attempts. They had eleven penalties for oneen yards. That was the story of that game against the Broncos. That included six personal fouls, also including on third and six and the Jets leading by one and the fourth quarter Quentin Williams sacking Brett Ribbon but grabbing his helmet, prolonging the drive. Seven blazes later, Brandon McManus kicking a fifty three yard field goal to give Broncos a thirty to twenty eight lead with three oh eight remaining that they would never relinquish. That Melvin Gordon touchdown came later that by the way, after Pierre de Sira had to pick six off Brett Rippon that got the Jets back in the game and Brian Pool intercepting Rippon subsequently making his first NFL started on the Broncos an expossession, giving the Jets the ball at Denver's forty four that led to Sam Ficken's fifth field goal, a thirty six yard that put in New York ahead seven with remaining. But that was the remember of the key decision where Adam Gates decided, yeah, we'll just kick a field goal here. They should do Nope, didn't do at all, and he's still got a job. Well. The Michael Lombardi theory is if you're taking for Trevor, might as well keep gays around. That's his theory. So I don't know who needs the locker room. I'll say Arizona minus seven at the Jets. I mean, as bad as Arizona has looked, I mean they're still gonna be touchdown favorites at the Jets, won't they. I say a little bit of seven, mostly six and a half. You know my numbers, Well, without at home field advantage comes to Arizona eating a half, I guess I gotta give him a little something. You know, with the Arizona making the cross country trip and all that, I would lean towards your number. But I'm debating whether it's the open six and a half or seven. But I right now I'm leaning towards seven. But you know, this team is so poorly coached offensively and defensively, and it's been a Greg Williams trademark since he's been in the league. Defensively, they just they play really filthy dirty. Now there's good defense and strong defense, tough defense. Then there's dirty defense, and that's you know, and let's just say it's not always a good either. I know, guys have the illusion that it's great to play that way. It goes back to the yeary going on those days when he was with you know, ever he was with um. But this team that they're dirty and they're poorly coached both and you know, I'm not crazy about the Cardinals coach. That my questions about Murray coming into this league. So I'm not I'm not the biggest Cardinal fan, but I still think they need to be well fix and app war seven and I think that's a legit number. But I think I'm anna open seven right now. What I'm leaning towards. Here's what's not worthy about this edition of Guessing Line. So far, these lines have in really easy to guess. And this is the first This is the first week where I haven't by this point in the show, I mean, we're an hour in the first time I think we've been an hour in Moore, I've been like, yeah, I don't really like nothing sticks out. And by the way, a lot of well yeah, a lot of big lines too. Thus far seven The only lean I would have is towards the Raiders. You're high on the Raiders generally speaking. And you know, like I said, they ran into a bug saw. You know, they played a really really good team. And what they kind of do seventeen sixteen something like that. You know, they were in that game until the end. I think they can hang in there with the Chiefs getting double divisions, so I do, all right, we'll do more of these. I think we have two buys you said, Detroit and Green Bay next week, so we have eight games more to get to a few more in the morning, the afternoon games, of course, the primetime games. What will be played, what will not be played? Will the Titans be able to feel the football? To you? Or what will the NFL tell them to do? You must field team and play with whatever you got or forfeit who knows? Uh? And I will have baseball picks for the series that beginning today coming back on a numbers game at Visa. The sports betting Networks Gill Alexander Christie Andrews is here Jason con I have bet the following series prices in the division round, Jason mark um chog them up. I bet the Miami Marlins at plus two fifty against the Atlanta Braves, just a numbered play. That number is way too high. Marlins plus two fifty versus the Braves stayed off. The other National League Division series between the Padres and the Dodgers Astros and Yankees. Excuse me, Astros at the Athletics. You see their courtesy of bet MGM on the screen. Astros or plus one ten Athletics minus one thirty stayed off that Yankees minus one forty raise plus one twenty. I played the Raise at plus one twenty. So the Rays in the mar Lands are my two division series prices. Game ones today, by the way, in the American League, Houston Oakland is a four oh seven Eastern one oh seven Pacific start. That game is in Los Angeles, mccolors against Bassett, steering clear that game, and then the nightcap eight oh seven Eastern five or seven Pacific Yankees and the Rays Cole against Snell that one in San Diego. As baseball transforms now into a bubble sport, good for baseball, for doing that. By the way, tomorrow all four games in action to American League. Game two is in the best of five division series, both game ones in the National League. Cole Snell, I am going to play the raise tonight the Rays at plus one thirty five. In fact, I'm gonna bet that right now. Bet the series already, but I'm gonna bet the game price right now and then. So the Rays are my one baseball pick of the day, looking forward to that. How great is this? Two football games tonight to baseball games today, then tomorrow four baseball games and the NBA Finals, and it's four baseball games pretty much all week. Baseball got this right with the scheduling. Get everybody in a bubble, take the weekend off, then blast baseball once again all week long. It's fabulous. As great as August was, September was better, October even better. Alright, Look, so Tampa Bay is the play today, Game one in the series. Tampa Bay and Miama as they used to, hands and parts. All right, let's go back to guessing lines week number five, my mis Boca. Christie Andrews, you're still there, Chrissy, I am here, yes, sir, all right, we're still in the early games. I believe what's next? Yeah, yeah, just an early game. Eagles at the Steelers, Eagles at the Stiller's Battle of Pennsylvania. The Philadelphia Eagles. Everybody way. Pittsburgh, of course postponed because they were the Titans opponent. That Titans Steelers game postponed a week seven, so Pittsburgh on extra rest. They got a week off when they play this game. There three and oh, Philly travels to Pittsburgh. Philly beats the Niners last night. Travis Fulgum caught a go ahead forty two r touchdown pass from Carson Wentz with five fifty remaining. Alex Singleton returned to pick for a score to lift the Eagles to win over the Niners last night. Singleton had played only eleven defensive snaps coming into the game, and the Eagles now at one two and one lead the NFC East. It's amazing they were missing their top three receivers and their number two tight end Dallas got it last night. Wentz went eighteen of twenty eight, one one touchdown, one pick, three sacks. He came into the week with the lowest passer rating and most turnovers in the NFL. They outgained the Niners, who of course didn't have Jimmy g Nick Bosons Alimon Thomas out for the year. They outgained the Niners four eighteen to two sixty seven. They were plus two in turnovers, and as I said, that's the first place in the NFC is there? One two and one? But let me just say this about the game last night, and it just file it under the category of and we do this every week, what are these coaches doing? Like where are their heads and key moments of these games? So the Niners cut it to twenty five to twenty with two minutes and two seconds left in the game, and they're even staying on the broadcast Michaels and collins Worth for all the shameful behavior they exhibited last night and really destroyed I believe the reputation in many ways last night, they did get this part right with like, hey, if if the Niners kick this out of the end zone, they'll still be two oh two left on the clock, and the Niners, with two time outs in their pockets, will still have their two time outs and the two minute warning to try to stop the Eagles on three downs and get the ball back. By the way, it's Gill Alec's and Chris Andrew's guessing lines right here in the numbers game at Visa and the Sports Betting Network, a nod at tribute to the old Stardust guessing line show from days gone by. So the Niners don't kick it out of the end zone. They instead try this I don't know, half baked on side kick. Wasn't even an on site kick. I don't know what they were trying to do. But the ball never really spun or did anything, and it goes right to the Eagles and the Niners despite doing the wrong thing, it goes right into the Eagles Uh uh, special teams players pocket, so only one second goes off the clock, so they still they got away with it. So there's to two oh one left. Now the Eagles now know that the Niners have two timeouts with the two minute warning at two oh one. They know that that play right there is a is a free play. You can do whatever you want because the two minute warnings about to happen. So instead of the Eagles trying to throw the ball downfield, get a for that, which would ostensibly end the game, because then the Niners will only have two time outs and the Eagles could bleed it down to almost nothing after a third down play. What do the Eagles do? They decided to run the ball. It's just like, what are you doing screaming? I'm like, oh, that'll give the Niners life, And it did, because the clock was gonna stop. Regardless, you try for the first down. If you get it, you basically win. Coaches mess up the most basic stuff in this league. It's incredible, And these are supposed to be good coaches, right, Kyle Shanahan, Doug Peterson, But I guess not. Man. Everybody needs help at the ends of these games. Anyway, Eagles win at twenty rant done. I'll say Pittsburgh minus seven week off. Uh, you're a little lighted that, you know my powers come to seven with no home field advantage. I see it seven and a half. I definitely like that better than that's I probably even like hate a little better. But you know, getting back to the Steelers, you'd seen in in two weeks that you know, their defense has not played as well as it did last year, and at the concern of mine, everybody expected. You know, Ben's back. All problems solved because the defense will be just as vombitant as it has been. But they have not been. They certainly have not been. And again the numbers, Uh, you can cover those numbers without really being in the game when you're in the NFL. Nonetheless, like I said, my my numbers do come to seven with no home field advantage. If there's any home field advantage at all, I think it should trend a little bit higher. But I am going to open seven and a half, but I'd be a little I'm a little wary here. Like I said that, you know, the Eagles may have found some life in them and at least a way to keep the game close. But you know, I'm gonna go with seven and a half. I have some mixed emotions on this game. I understand that coming from a Steelers guide too. And Christie Andrews, Pittsburgh native. Yeah, the Eagles still aren't good, but I hear what you're saying. They could keep it close one too, in one, leading both the Cowboys and the Washington football team by half game with the job. Yeah, Giants and Owen four still very much alive in the NFC's playoff picture. All right, what's next? Bengals at the Ravens. God, these games are terrible? Is it me or these all? These games are bad? Cincinnati at the Ravens uh and and the lines are gonna be big for so many of these um Bengals beat Jacksonville, though, congratulates Joe Burrow and the Bengals. They beat him thirty three to twenty five for the first win of the season, Joe burrows first wins after he was hit eighteen times and sacked eight times last week in their tie against the Eagles. Remember that one Burrow thirty six yesterday for three hundred, one touchdown, one picky, sacked once, Joe Mixing filling up the statue sheet twenty five for one and two touchdowns on the ground, six for thirty and a touchdown through the air. Uh. They out aim to Jacksonville five oh five to four twenty nine, still gave up a whole bunch of yards. And then as we talked about bottom er Lamar Jackson fourteen two touchdowns, one pick, sack once, also on the ground though the Ravens leading rushers seven for fifty three and a touchdown, and as I mentioned r G three oh for one and a pick which ended up killing people who got the Ravens at a bad number. If you got it at fourteen, it turned a win ultimately into a push because in the Washington football team matriculated down the field and got the back door push for those people got the bad number on the Ravens. Um boy, not ten, not fourteen, Baltimore minus twelve. It's thirteen and a half. But I definitely like your number better. I'm gonna open thirteen. I been saying since the beginning of the year. I'm looking to bet the Bengals. There's a big dog. I do like Burrow and I said, this team has some hidden talent on it. They've been poorly coached. I'm not sure if they're still poorly coaching all that they might be, but I am looking to bet them as a dog. I was surprised yesterday I wind up being our Jacksonville and my contest. But you know that that was definitely the wrong side. But I did think Joe Mixing. Wasn't he supposed to be out or hurt? Yeah, he tore it up. Man. That was I mean, that was really big. And they're kind of showing the film clip I saw this morning on his touchdown reception. You could see Burrows tells him something before the play, and the guy who was doing the analysis said, it looks like Mixing was supposed to read the linebacker and then release, and Burrow just told him just released, don't wait, and Burrow hit him right and stride and he went in for the touchdown. So I think Burrow is a good quarterback and a very smart quarterback. Maybe a would overcome some of the coaching, but I have no confidence in yet at this time. But I think the Bengals are very much alive dog in situations like this. You're talking about getting thirteen and a half. I'm gonna open thirteen. Let's take a little bet on the Ravens, which I'll probably get, but I like the Bengals here in this spot I make that's a little too many points. And you always say your opinion or the line you put up is good for one bet. Your opinion is one bet. All right? Are we at the afternoon games? We are? And here's another one with no you know, I shouldn't say that. I see a couple of numbers, but I'm not gonna put it up, and I only see a few out there. Miami at the Fort, Miami at are expecting or they're hoping, I shouldn't say expecting hoping to get starter Jimmy Garoppolo back next week from an ankle injury that had sidelined him for two games yesterday against the Eagles last night, it was Mullins Nick Mullins for most of the game eighteen of twenty six for two hundred. That doesn't appear to be that bad in the box score, but one touchdown, two picks, four sacks. The two picks in addition to getting a rip sacks, so three turnovers entirely, and the Eagles got fourteen points off those turnovers. One of those two picks being a dreadful and I mean ugly pick six late that put the Eagles up two scores. That's why the Niners had to scramble late. C J. Bethard came in right after that dreadful pick six. He ends up going c J. Bethard fourteen of nineteen for one thirty eight in his brief two drives, uh, no picks, no touchdowns. Uh. He was sacked once. Hail Mary at the end was tipped up in the air and it looked like, if you're watching the TV, you look like, oh, my god, is that gonna land in the chest of somebody on the ground. No, it's at a bounce. George Kittle, by the way, fifteen catches for what one eight three at a touchdown? How good is that? Guy? Who are they playing Miami? You said Miami and San Francisco. Um, Miami was a bat was it was like Houston was the was the bad call for me? This past week? Miami could not cover against Seattle? Um? What was that? You're that's okay? Sights like you're playing a left track when I said that, Uh, Ryan, Ryan jeez, Ryan Fitzpatrick forty five three fifteen, no touchdowns picked twice one sack did carry six for forty seven and a touchdown because he always does it, seems um make Hay on the ground as well. Devontae Parker was as big as target tent for one tent. The Dolphins were seven of thirteen on third downs, but they were out gained fourty one to four fifteen by Seattle in total yards. And that's kind of what Seattle does each and every week. Their defense is a sieve. But Russell Wilson is gonna pull this is gonna pull it out, and Seattle is still undefeated and Miami loses thirty one to twenty three. They do cover the teaser, uh, the back door, but they do not cover the spread as four and a half point closing dogs in that one. So Miami at San Francisco, you said there's I was gonna say, yeah, you said there's only a couple because we don't know he's playing quarterback. I guess for the Niners, and it's a choice of three guys, so I don't know. I'd put San Francisco minus seven as a placeholder, but I don't know what you got there, and you know the two places that have it, you know, eight and eight and a half. I don't even know if they're taking bets, to be honest with me, because they haven't moved it since last night. So they just made have put that up as a placeholder, and uh, I thought actually taking any action. I'm not gonna use the game. By the way, when you heard that crazy talent, just because when I was trying to look up mcmullins on the on ESPN for his QBR because if you look at the Wash stats, they don't saw that as there was like thirteen point oh. And I've noticed that over the years. Like sometimes his numbers aren't dead, but they don't win a lot of games with him, and it's QBR is terrible, you know, So there's something in those numbers that reflects that he's not helping his team that much. And uh, you know, like I said, you see him play and he's okay, okay, but he's really not. So they really need you know, Garoppolo makes a huge difference for this team. And I'm not gonna put it up until I find out a little bit more about him than looks like most people with me. They do not want to do with this until we get more conclusive news by Garoppolo. All right, let's do one more in the afternoon. Okay, the uh well, the still in the hunt, New York Giants against the still away in the Hunt, Dallas Cowboys, oh and four Giants one in three Cowboys Daniel Jones yesterday against the Rams twenty three or thirty six for one, no touchdowns picked once, took five sacks. The Giants haven't scored a touchdown in their last two games. They trailed though only ten to six at halftime, despite gaining sixties seven total yards in the first half. They were still in this game. Giants defense comported themselves very well. Giants defense did great against the Rams. But Daniel Jones, and they pointed this out on the broadcast, he stares down his receivers like nobody's business, and he's like, there's my guy. I'm about to throw it to him. Just want to let you know. Defense. Here it comes, so they're kind of ready for it. He does not look off, guys. And what did Tom Brady famously say? He goes The only person I don't look at is the receiver. I'm about to throw it too. So they pointed out about Daniel Jones. Now he did he did have some elusiveness. He did get out of some jams. I mean, his offensive line was not doing him any favors against Aaron Donald and company. There was that one play late where it looked like he was just completely gonna get mauled and he wiggled his way out of it to keep it drive alive. So it's not like there's all negatives. But you know, as many people say about Danjian Jones, he might not be good. We don't know yet. And then there's and then there's Dallas. Wow, we haven't even talked about Dallas and Cleveland yesterday, which was the wildest of all games yesterday, with Cleveland ultimately beating the Cowboys forty nine to thirty eight and doing so as three point dogs. The Cowboys fall to one and three. We'll get to Cleveland a bit. Dak Prescott forty one of fifty eight for five oh two, four touchdowns, one pick, sack, three times, first five yard game of his career, and it becomes the first NFL player to throw for at least four hundred fifty yards and three consecutive games. And all I have to say to that is, uh, so what because they're down so far in all of these games that it's just, you know, it's a Dack throwing fest. A Maori twelve for one thirty four to touchdown see Ceedee Lamb five for seventy nine and two touchdowns. But here's the deal. Dallas was minus three in turnovers. And unless you're the New York Jets and you have the benefit of three turnovers, you know, chances are, like Cleveland, they're not gonna lose that football game. And Dallas gave it to him. Dallas was minus three in turnovers and by the way, the Cowboys announced the crowd of twenty five thousand, twenty one, about thirty one percent of capacity in the stadium. People, because that's smart. I'll say, Dallas minus ten, you're a shade high nine nine and a half. Can I just say something, This is a guessing lines toward to force these These lines are so easy to guess this week. It's unbelievable. Not that I've hit any one of them right on the button, but anyway, I'm sorry, sorry I had to wait to that secres to point that out. Yeah you know, yeah, I mean we're just gonna have to do for more research this before we make our actual selections and whatever venue it is. But like I said, I come to seven with no home field advantage, I'm gonna make it nine with and I've seen nine and nine and a half. But that's a I couldn't be less impressed by the Cowboys, and they'll probably win this game, and all week will be hearing about how Dak Presscott's back and the Cowboys are, you know, they're ready to make a run and all that other stuff, you know. But yeah, I'm watching again. Why is Jerry Jones in the Hall of Fame? No? Idea. It was like, you know, once, you know, I mean it should be in the money Haul of Fame, not owning a football team hall of Fame, you know, I mean because the guy made a ton of money, God knows. I just want bank rolls with him and about a Nano second. But you know, he has not run a good football franchise. And I don't know, Like I said, I could not be less impressed with the Cowboys, you know, and we heard so much crap about them coming into this year, about how good they were gonna be. Everybody had them penciled in as one of the serious Super Bowl contenders. And I was reading somebody I can't I wish I could identify it promptly saying how Dak Prescott is kind of like the saccharin of stats. You know, he just you know, empty calories, you know, it is what he fills the stat page with. And it's kind of like a kind of like a Matt Ryan a little bit. Although I had more success in Dak Prescott, you know, but I don't know, I could not be less impressed. But I'm gonna open nine. They'll probably win this game, and like I said, next week we'll be hearing all week on from the talking is the various ship goes on on how great the Cowboys are and how they turn things around, and I ain't buying it. Let me tell you right now. My Cowboys fan friend, my lifelong Cowboys fan friend is by the way, he's a huge defeatist Cowboys fan. But he said to me, he goes, Gil, I don't want to hear that they're gonna win the divison, because I say it, You're still gonna win the division. But one of these teams, the Cowboys, the Eagles, the Washington football team of the Giants is getting a home playoff football game, right, it's gonna happen. Uh. But he said to me, goes, I don't want to hear about it. This is the worst defense in the last decade in the National Football League. Like he really means that. He goes, pick a worst defense in this you won't find one. It is the worst, and then he and then he adds and this is where he goes over. But he goes and I'm not watching another play for the rest of the season. I'm like, okay, alright, but well, I'll talk to you next week. I'll talk to you next week. Uh, okay, easy. But that's how bad they are. That's how bad that defense is. And they have injuries. It's not all their fault, right, they have key injuries at linebacker and elsewhere. And uh, that's yeah, that's the that's the car, that's the hands of the hand that they were dealt. We'll come back. We've got two more afternoon games at the prime time games Week five in the National Football League. Guessing lines with my mish Chrissie Andrews right here on a numbers game in Visa, the Sports Betting Network, brought to you by bet MGM Nevada. It's kill Alexander. Chrissie Andrews is back guessing lines on a numbers game right here for a week and number five, two more afternoon games. Chris, what did you do? You get a piece of toast? There? Is that what you did on the break there? Uh? Yeah, and let me and I'm gonna post a picture of it. Blueberry preserves highly underrated as a condiment. What you want to call really berry preserves. It reminds me of the Curb Your Enthusiasm episode where Larry looked at for a chair when he goes h Apple's work on a pie. So to cherries. What is it about the grape that doesn't work on a pie? Yeah? Why can't you have a grape pie? Larry's stupid, Larry. My job is loving preserves in general. I think are underrated. Preserves in general better than jam or jelly go preserves. What about a marmalade, Jason? Where does that fall in the tree? Sure where marmalade fits into the equation? Honestly, I just wanted to say marmalade and not marmalade preserves. Where to be, I like marmalade. I'm not a jelly guy, but I like preserves or jam, But well, I like marmy. This show took a turn to by the way, before we got too much further, I meant to talk about this early. We got totally like twisted around them. That Niners game last night. We got fluttered at the end with all uh the Philadelphia money? Did you really? I did? I did Patrick? That Patrick came by the interview, I told him, yeah, yeah, we need we need silly me need fully. In the last hour it was all billy money. And I don't think from wise guys. I mean, I've seen headstakes and all that other stuff before, but this was not you know why that money showing up? This was like the public and uh, I mean, I'm sure there's some sharp guys along with you too, but I don't think this was a traditional headstake trying to build up a number. But we wanted to meet. And I let me just say this. I'm on the falling asleep during the game, and I'm glad I did. You're glad you did. It's probably true. Uh interesting, interesting that money came in late on the huh yeah, big big. All right, Well, they got the better they they ended up being right. I'm not sure that it is, you know, I think they got fortunate at the end, but still nonetheless it ends up being a winner from them. All right, what's next on the afternoon games? Colts and the Browns. Oh well, now there's an interesting game Colts and Browns three and one versus three and one. Philip Rivers for the Colts yesterday against the Bears sixteen of twenty nine for one ninety one touchdown, no picks. He was sacked once eight of nineteen on third downs. Again, a lot of third down opportunities, which means you're not really doing much on first and second a lot. Colts played the second half without their all pro linebacker Darius Leonard, who left with the groin injury. But that Colts defense is the story. Philip Rivers doesn't have to do much, That offense doesn't have to do much at all. Colts defense really good. And then there's Cleveland. We talked about Cleveland against the Cowboys. Miles Garrett strip sack for the third straight game, three straight games with strip sacks from strip zack from Mile Garrett, and the Browns held on for eight win over the Cowboys, first time they've been three and one since the year two thousand one. Wow, Cowboys got within a field goal with three straight touchdowns followed by successful two boy conversions. After trailing forty one to four in the fourth quarter. Cowboys were about to do what they did the previous week to Atlanta, and here they are. Well, if we got a touchdown in a two point in version and then we get the ball back, and we get a touchdown on a two point version, and then we get the ball back and we get a touchdown to t point version, would be right back in the game. And it actually happened. They got it to forty one thirty eight, but Odell Beckham Jr. Who caught five passes for eighty one yards and two touchdowns and had two carries for seventy three yards and a touchdown. That touchdown on the ground was a fifty yard or on a reverse after the Cowboys had cut it from eight with less than four minutes remaining, and that was pretty much the clincher because then the Cowboys came back with Dak He threw a pick on his UH career high fifty eighth and final attempt attempt in that game. But Myles Garrett was facing undrafted rookie Terren Steele, that he was facing Brandon Knight, who was also undrafted in just a second year, and they shared the duties. A day after news broke that Layle Collins, who hadn't played this year, is set to have season ending hip surgery. Baker Mayfield nineteen of thirty for six five two touchhows, no picks. He was sacked twice and uh Nick Chubb left the game, so Deernest Johnson was on the ground and Kareem Hunt eleven of seventy one seventy one with two touchdowns. They were out gained. The Browns were by Dallas five sixty six to five oh eight. I mean what that was just ridiculous that game. They outgained Dallas on the ground, though, did Cleveland three oh seven to eighty five three oh seven, despite losing Nick Chubb to a knee injury in the first quarter, when his right leg was rolled up on by a pair of opposing lineman engaged with each other. He limped to the locker room. Kevin Stevanski said that Chubb will have an MRI I today. Jarvis Landry also had a touchdown pass his first career one two O'Dell Beckham in the first quarter. I believe it was, or at least it was in the first half anyway, Uh, Indiana Indianapolis at Cleveland. This is probably the toughest game to pick this this of this slate so far. Uh Cleveland minus one and a half. He says, hesitantly, Yeah, Okay, let me go and say this again. I think that like your number better than what I see out there. It's two and a half. I even see one three with juice on the dog. I have the Colts two points better than the Browns on a neutral field. I got to give the Browns a little something. So I'm thinking more like a pick them in this game. But I have to tell a couple of things. First of all, before the season, I did a thing for Matt humans by quarterbacks and all that, and I said, this Colts team, they finally have a great fifty three man roster. What a shame they don't have the Andrew luck because I think that they they'd beat a legitimate Super Bowl content. I don't know why they went after Philip Rivers. I don't like him at least a little bit, but the rest of that roster is really strong. I'll go over to Cleveland. You know what's Cleveland been missing these last couple of years? Coaching number one? Okay, it looks like they may have found the right guy and get a lot out of Baker Mayfield. And the running game is unbelievable. You know, they are really running the football, which often means you have a really good offensive line. Anyway, I think it's a tough game. I like your number a lot better than what's out there. I am going to open two and a half, but if I see a trending lower, I'm going lower. I like the Browns in this spot. I really do two and a half in favor of the Browns of the cult culture the favor so the culture the favorite, Wow, culture, the favorite, my friend, I'm sorry, oh wow favorite. All right, we're coming back. That's interesting, guessing lines still got three more games to go coming back and numbers game at these sports betting network. All right, christ you said the culture are favored by two and a half. Yeah, that's interesting because West I think we have our That's exactly right. I think we do. Finally, we only took a most of two hours. We finally got one. The Colts were that against the Bears. I was wrong about that one in my first two. But the Browns are better than the Bears. Can we all agree on that? Yeah? Absolutely, yeah, I think we have our first play, might have our only play? All right, what's what's the last afternoon game? If my accounting is correct? Here, By the way, our good friend the bear confirmed the Blueberry very very underrated and very strong. And uh, the bear looks like a guy who would know his way around a piece of toast. Let me let me tell you something. The bear is a guy I would take advice from on this. Yes, yeah, we're talking about toasts going to go to the bear for advice? Are you part of the blueberry Preserved Lobby? Chrissy, This is a little strange you keep coming back to this. No, maybe I can use another income. He needs to tweet pure, Yeah, tweet out a picture of that thing. I'm gonna tweet out the picture because they actually took one lot of toast, but of the jelly. But anyway, I'll do that, Okay, makes the fact of business boys Viking the Seahawks Vikings at the Seahawks Vikings off the schneid. They beat the Texans again. They missed only one day of practice last week. Uh Cousins Kirk Cousins sixteen for two sixty, one touchdown, no picks. He was sacked three times. Dalvin Cook twenty seven for one thirty and two touchdowns. Adam Feeland was Cousin's favorite target eight for one fourteen a touchdown, and Jefferson again at LSU four catches for one oh three one Minnesota starter. By the way, as if we didn't need more COVID news who coach Mike Zimmer did not identify there was a false positive COVID nineteen on the Vikings from a point of contact test before the game had to take two more tests at the stadium before he could be cleared. The team also had three other players whose test were inconclusive and had to retake tests, forcing them to turn in their inactive player list about ten minutes late. The testing problems came after the Vikings had to close the facility on Tuesday and Wednesday after they reported multiple after the Titans rather reported multiple positive tests for the coronavirus the last team that they had played, including players who played in the game at US Bank Stadium last Sunnit. Anyway, that's your latest in Vikings Corona news. Uh, they're playing Seattle. Seattle's four it oh Russell Wilson yesterday against the Dolphins four thirty four for three sixty cool, three sixty two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice. Chris Carson eighty two touchdowns after he got gator rolled played in this game Gator rolled the previous week. DK metcalf four for one oh six d uh more David Moore three five and a touchdown. Wilson connected with More for four for fifty seven yards and the final seconds of the first half. We talked about the Chargers key play against the Bucks being right at the end of the first half. So too was the case in this game. It looked like the Dolphins with the field goal was gonna you know, they were gonna run out down a point ten to nine, but instead Wilson did more for fifty seven yards and the final seconds of the first half set up a touchdown that gave Seattle seventeen to nine halftime lead. Seahawks headsets that went out to start the drive, or the Seahawks headsets went out to start the driving. Wilson called the place himself on that jot on that drive. By the way, he ties Peyton Manning's record of sixteen touchdown passes in the first four games of the season. Seahawks Minnesota, it's gonna be more than touchdown, I'll say Seahawks minus seven and a half. Uh, And that's what it is. That's exactly what my power Rakings came to. The seven and a half. I see seven with some juice on the saver, seven and a half, a little juice on the dog. I see one flap seven. I'm gonna open seven and a half. I think that's a good number. Vine was in my office very net Seattle game, and I think the whole time, I'm just screaming, why do I have to root against Russell Wilson every week? You know? I mean, I think that is so good, and I wind up against him every week and are objectly his qubyards something sixty eight point seven. I's like one of the worst of the year, you know, And that's really good. I hate rooting against this guy, I really do, memile. Come Sunday night, I can almost guarantee I'll be rooting with the vi Eve and rooting against Russell Wilson one more time. It's torturous. Let me, it's tortuous. It is. I had the Dolphins yesterday. I feel that I even said, I go, that's the last guy I want to bet against. It's hell to bet against him. And it was Now, that was a Sunday night game. You just said that was a Sunday night game. Okay, Yeah, that's the Sunday night game. Yes. Cool. So we're on we're on time here. I thought we had one more. I thought we missed one. By the way, Detroit and green Bay on byes next week. Green Bay still yet to play. They play Atlanta tonight. Remember tonight a double header, which is the Patriots and the Chiefs, the makeup game from yesterday. Chiefs favored by ten and a half. Now that's a seven oh five Eastern four or five Pacific start. Then stagg Gird a little later, so this would probably start right as the second half of the New England Kansas City game is starting. More or less Atlanta at green Bay, the regularly scheduled Monday night game pushed back a little further. Eight fifty Eastern start, five fifty Pacific kickoff with green Bay as six point favorite. So Detroit and green Bay are on byes next week. Let me just say this about Detroit, because every week there's something new to say in terms of ignominious records that get shattered. Here, uh Detroit. Detroit losing to New Orleans thirty five to twenty nine after leading fourteen to nothing yesterday. They're the first NFL team, the Lions, to lose six straight games in which it led by double digits. According to Alias. The Lions also joined the twenty eleven Vikings as the two teams in league history to lose three of the first four games after leading by at least ten points. The Lions lost a seven teen point fourth quarter lead the opener against Chicago. Week two, they were head by eleven points against Green Bay before given up thirty one straight and losing an eleventh straight game. And then yesterday Matt Patricia falls to twenty five and one after his team collapsed again up fourteen and nothing. Cheez anyway, Sorry, Lions fans, I know you did you hear him afterwards saying like, well, I had a lot of pieces to pick up from the leg I'm paraphrased from the franchise. It was in this array when I took over. That's the biggest crowd's never been fired. Never nine and seven dis array, Yeah and seven? Well, what do you three of his four years he was nine and seven, nine and seven, and eleven and five, and I think the other year he was seven and nine and he got fired. This dude is ten and one. Yeah, unbelievable. All right, let's do Monday Night. Uh okay. Chargers at the Saint Saints, who beat the Lions yesterday after a short night of sleep. For the Saints, coming off its first two game losing streak in three years, started the game without six injured starters, including Michael Thomas. There fullback Michael Michael Burton had a false positive test for the coronavirus on Saturday, leading to another round of test for players and staff overnight in Detroit. Remember there was a possibility this game between the Lions and the Saints wasn't gonna be played, but it was a false positive. They get on the field, they they're down fourteen nothing. After that, after those Shenanigans, Breeze goes nineteen of twenty five for two forty six, two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice. Alvin Kamara nineteen eight three and a touchdown. Lettavius Murray vultured two of his touchdowns for fantasy players, though they were ten of fourteen on third down, they were one of one on fourth and talk about a time of possession advantage thirty six forty six to fourteen Saints over the Lions. Again. They spotted Detroit of fourteen and nothing lead four thirty seven after kickoff four minutes and thirty seven seconds in. Then they scored thirty five straight points from late in the first period of midway through the third to take control. Chargers we talked about at the top. They lose to the Buccaneers after trailing or excuse me after leading by seventeen points to one, four to seven, and then they got Anthony Lynde fumble deep in their own territory inside the ten in Dominican sue knocking out of Joshua Kelly's hands. Herbert though justin Herbert twenty for two ninety three touchdowns one pick, he was only sacked twice, five carries for fourteen yards. I believe five carriages and fourteen yards? Was that the Chargers leading rusher? Can we check on that? That's amazing If it was, He's the second player Herbert with nine plus passing yards in his first three games. Cam Newton the only other person, And of course he's in because of to Rod Taylor's getting his lung punctured by the team doctor. Is Anthony Lynn really gonna put to Rod Taylor back in as soon as he's ready to play? Because this kid is awesome? By the way, he was two years old when Tom Brady made his first NFL start. Why does the age gap ever between two starting quarterbacks. Austin Ekeler left the game late in the first quarter with a hamstring did not return. Mike Williams didn't play with a hamstring, Brian Bulaga had a back injury, trade Turner Groin didn't play, so think about that. They got a seventeen point lead with all those losses. Anyway, I'll say New Orleans minus seven once again. I liked your number a little better. But it's hire seven and a half. Uh, I'm not gonna I'll probably open seven and a half because I'm sure they're gonna bet the Saints. I'm not that impressed with the Saints. Not that impressed with the Saints, and I am highly impressed with this Herbert kid. I didn't know what they expect with this kid. There was so many different kind of cross currents of evaluation on him coming out of college. I don't know what to think, but boy, this kid has shown me a lot. He's really good. Uh. You know, I I'm gonna probably need the Chargers Monday night, and you know what, I think I'm fine with that. I think that will be fine. I wonder if TA is quietly feeling the pressure in Miami, you know, because they were drafted back to back because Justin Herbert has been unbelievable too. It's gonna be watching this being like, oh, boy, better be good. Miami's gotta be thinking. It better be good. So in the end, as we go, as we close this down here in thirty seconds, the only thing I really loved here was Cleveland. You yeah, I like Cincinnati too. And by the way, I'm reading in the break here a lot of guys coming back to the Eagle. So I'm gonna open the Steelers a flat seven and that I told you I have some questions about that Steeler defense. Okay, so you're opening the Steelers flat seven games and you like Cincinnati and Cleveland? All right, sir, Cleveland for me. Thank you. Chrissie guessing lines for week six in the book five rather in the books, good luck with everything baseball today and football from all of us at the number in decently sports that hen