Check it on man, No down, Man, good day. I want to check the game right here at Vison as the man said, right here at Serious Sextep Channel two or four, Visa dot Com, Visa in game plus. Good morning to you. It's Gil Alexander. Jason Khan is here. Jason. How was your weekend? It was pretty good, girl. How about yours? I survived, It's all I care about. That's true. Literally, you did survive all I care about. In the end, it's I've said it before, I'll say it again. The brain just keeps coming back to Survivor three D ten entries. Pardon me, still alive in circuits Survivor. It was the most compelling game of the weekend. We'll get to it. I had Pittsburgh. We know how that went. But listen, if you're still alive and you haven't had a close call or two by this point, um, you are the outlier, not the person that is the close call or two. But we'll get into all that because we could talk about that for segments on end um. Because it's all it's all headed towards Thanksgiving. Everybody's just sort of hanging around untill the Thanksgiving implosion that will inevitably occur, and you've gotta be fine with that once Thanksgiving comes around in circa. But we're here to talk not only week ten in the National Football leagu Wow, week ten moving forward, but week nine yesterday. If you're just landing on this show for the first time. On Mondays, what we do is something called Guessing Lines, tribute to the old Stardust radio show of the same name with Roxy Roxborough. Uh and of course the star of the show, the person who runs so adeptly the South Point Hotel Casino sports book, My mish book, Chrissie Andrews. Good morning, Chris, Hello Gilly, how are you surve Who did you have? Uh? Well, I'm in with a couple of guys and I warned them at the beginning of the weekend. I think I even said it on you did you don't could blow it? I said, no, one could blow a game like there's supposed to win, like the Pittsburgh Steels. But we have weeks to have four entries a lot. We started to hear its five h I got we got Pittsburgh on one, Kansas City on another, and I got the Patriots somebody on two of them. So I don't know now is this circle or is this your own survivor pool? Is you have four left? Look at you? I I was. I heard your voice in my head the whole time that game was going on yesterday, because you did You did say it on guessing lines. You're like, well, no one can blow a game like this. I'm like, oh, how first of yeah, before anything else, how are you feeling now? A week of For those who missed it two weeks ago? Chris, he couldn't be here because he tested positive for COVID, was experiencing the ramifications of that last week, you felt good enough to come back on? Are you further a long in your recovery? Oh? Yeah, I you know, I have tested negative. However, I'm still under quarantine because now my wife tested positive, so I have to wait for her. And you know, she's asymptomatic, so you would never know she had it. But it was just part of the procedure, you know, with me, and I was pretty sure when I got tested that I was through with it at that point. That she had to get tested, Like I said, it's just the procedure, and she came up positive. We were shocked at both of us, but you know, if she gets the test again, I think Thursday or Friday, and you know, pretty sure she'll be negative. But you know, you never know. This disease is just crazy. You know. I talked about my one friend and not like some guy I heard of, like my cousin's brother as a guy who works with his sister. No, it was a good friend of mine got it and died the same day. And that and then other guys just sail right through. It's just unbelievable. You know, I don't know, like I said, five years from now that I'm sure they'll know a lot more about it than they do now. Yeah, we we just we And by the way, just coming over because we have multiple screens in here in studio nine Dodgers, not nine Los Angeles Dodgers. Now they say test positive for the coronavirus. So that's from this weekend, you know, more than a week after the actual final of the World Series. So the conclusion of the World Series. So yeah, we don't we know far less than we do know, is the headline to it all, for sure. But I'm glad your wife is feeling well, and uh, hopefully she'll get that she'll get through it without incident. How did how did you do as a book this past weekend? Yeah, we did good. It was a good week for us, Saturday and Sunday both. Saturday was a little shaky and I got the results from Saturday night. How did we win this much? Because it didn't seem like we were doing some good during the day, but you know, just a grind to kind of work that in our favorite we didn't knock them dead. We didn't not knock them dead at all. Uh. And then yesterday it was kind of the same thing. Momma pretty good. Um. But once again, as I was watching the scorers roll in, I wasn't sure how good we were doing. But uh, you know, we picked up a little bit at the end, so it was it was a very good day, all right, Skill Alexander, It's Chris Andrews. This is guessing lines on a numbers game at Vista in the sports betting that works Serious x M channel two oh four. Visa had not come. The Visa have food, boastling and game plus. Let's get it going. Um, of course we'll talk about this past week. We'll talk about again the premise of this show. I'm in a cocoon for me yesterday, and that is the truth. I don't know what the lines are. I I guess what the line I believe will be. Chrissy will tell me what he posts after the show. And within that exercise, we look to extract value. Thursday night, Sarah, what do we got the Colts at the Titans? Good game? Cults of the Titans um division game? Yeah? On paper I say that because after what happened last night between the Saints of the Bucks. So on paper we'll get to that. Uh, looks to be a good game. So this is for the a f C South lead. This is now, if I remember scheduling, this is the first of two games between these two teams in a three week span. So, um, this is big because right now Tennessee is six and two Indianapolis five and three. Tennessee six and two by virtue of their win over the Bears yesterday to seventeen in a game that was not nearly as close as that score suggests. They do cover in the end um Tannehill ten of twenty one for one fifty eight two touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked three times, Derrick Henry. I mean the Bears did their thing on Derrick Henry just twenty one carries for sixty eight yards. A J. Brown was Tannehills number one target four for one on one in a touchdown. But the Titans beat the Bears yesterday with only two hundred and twenty eight total yards of offense. They ran fifty five place to Chicago seventy five, but they held Chicago to two of fifteen on third down. Chicago was three or four on fourth down. I should I should note, but two of fifteen on third down. Uh, the key, you know, there's so much of this yesterday. The turnover number. Uh, if there's ever a stat that we can look backwards on it, we were just given a stat and the one stat that we could immediately assume wins or losses with typically is the turnover column. And they were plus two in turnovers, one of which for Tennessee was a scoop of a David Montgomery fumble for a touchdown by Desmond King sixty three yards. That made it sixteen to nothing with one with excuse me, with four thirty five left in the third quarter. That was the big play of the game. So Tennessee gets it done there after, Folks weren't feeling too good about him last week. Indianapolis loses to Baltimore. Um, this is the game I liked the most coming into the weekend, along with Washington, which we'll get to. Baltimore wins. Uh, they beat Indianapolis twenty four to ten. Chrissie, but Indianapolis gets They get one total yard of offense from halftime till just over the eleven minute mark in the fourth quarter. Uh, there was a and and and within that. And this has been a numbers game staple here for years now. There was a key fourth and one for the Colts. You know where I'm going with this. They were down twenty one to ten with five thirty four left in the game at the Baltimore sixteen yard line, and they decided they're going for it. Now again, you're down eleven with five thirty four left, it's fourth and one. But who's your quarterback? It's Philip Rivers. And what do we say here all the time? Whoever has Philip Rivers in a sneak situation? Is that a competitive disadvantage because he does not sneake. It's like it's a Pruder film to find a Philip Rivers sneak in his career, So what happens an incomplete past that absolutely had no chance of ever being completed, and instead of kicking a field goal, instead of you know, having the sneak option on fourth and one, zero points that was their biggest threat in the second half. Rivers finishes twenty five or forty three for two, twenty seven, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked. Uh, he was not sacked. But they were two of twelve themselves on third down. Where the Colts in this game two of four on fourth down. Um, I know we don't do a lot of these lazy threes anymore, but shouldn't this be Tennessee minus three? Well, one guy wanted to make a T shirt, and uh, I think this would be the first one to qualify. I like your number better. Someone didn't want to put that in the vicent store. Yeah, well, you know, I came up with one that they still quite a few elm from what I hear, that's never under until it's over. So, gilly, I see this one A little bit of two some two and a half, mostly two and a half. I'm gonna open a two and a half. And by the way, for guys, just tuning in having hurt. I mean, I don't give anything for home team, home field advantage. My power Raidings come to Tennessee one and a half. But as I look at it, and I always say the power Raidings just a place to start, I really think this needs to be at least two and a half. Probably at three is even better. I'm gonna open two and a half just because they do see some sues out there. But you know, Gil in a in a cocoon, when I do kind of like your number better, I just think, Uh, Tanys have been a little up and down this year, no question about it, and I expected a little better things than early in the year. It looked like we were gonna get them. It's been a little inconsistent some somewhere along the line. I'm wonder if they maybe figured out Dana a little bit. They might have, but I don't. I don't like rivers um. I really like this Colt's roster, the fifty three man roster, but the more I look at it, I'm not sure they have any real game breakers. And t Y Hilton, by the way, without us day too, but T, I don't see any real offensive game breakers for this team, and I think that might hurt them because I think Philip Rivers. I've never been a big Rivers guy, but I think he I think he needs a lot of help and and I don't see anything that's really given it to him offensively. So I'm gonna open to an half. Is t y h t hy? Hilton really hasn't done much this year two and a half? You said this year that existent this year before before he even got hurt. He was one of my fantasy players and he was the biggest bust. It's amazing going from from solid threat to nothing with the change to Philiper literally nothing. All right, two and a half you said, Christie, Yeah, I'm gonna open two and a half. Okay, I should probably I probably should have waited to the Baltimore game to to bring this up. But then think of the last thing about this, the Colts playing the Ravens. I wonder if that's just more you know, it's what we tend to read in with recency into what we've just seen. But we've said it before with the Ravens, and when you play the Ravens now, there's been great teams in NFL history that you can say this about I get it, But do you ever remember, I'll sort of drive this home again about the Avens. Do you ever remember a team that's not necessarily you know, one of the all time great teams that is so different when they're behind and when they're ahead, when they're ahead, and when they figure out a way to matriculate the ball down the field, and and you can't get them off the field, they're they're impossible to beat, it seems like. And this was one of those situations where it was just like the Ravens were going to They had their their foot on the Colt's neck in the second half, and they're like, you can't stop us. We're gonna hold the ball forever, and this is gonna be the most frustrating thing you've ever experienced in your life. They're so interesting that it's like the Uh, it's like a chess player who has you on your heels from the very beginning of your chess match and there's nothing you can do about it the whole match through, like you can never get back in a positive situation. That's how it felt. Uh, if you were the cult yesterday. So two and a half is what it is. Three is what I guess that's a Thursday night game, which again looks great on paper. Let's do a Sunday morning game. First game out of the blocks, the Bengals and at the Steelers. Do we have another one of these eight games early? Three late situations here, Jason? No, Actually, there's a there's a lot of late games just coming in. No, no, go ahead. Oh yeah, because of the Masters, right, so they tilted it later. Oh that's good. There's just five early games, five early, five early games and six late in two three four, five, six late games and then yeah the prime time. Wow. Okay, so because of darkness they're going to play that. The Masters might be over by about twelve noon Pacific, three pm Eastern. So that makes sense. So more games in the afternoon is what you're saying. Literally more awesome. Alright? Uh you said it was the Pittsburgh game, Chrissy, Bengals at the Steelers, Bengals at Pittsburgh. Okay, Bengals coming off of by Bengals to five and one, Pittsburgh eight and oh eight, notes the first eight no starting franchise history. They get by the Cowboys, and I do mean get by nine, don't those of us who had them and survive or no, um wow. So big Ben forty two for three oh six, three touchdowns, no picks. He wasn't sacked, but he did get hurt and had to leave early in the first half. Did come back to play in the second halves only missed uh you know, a minute and a half or so in the fourth quarter. Big Ben eleven of sixteen for one forty four and two touchdowns. Pittsburgh was plus two in turnovers. Those ended up being huge. They only ended up with forty six rushing yards a week after getting just forty eight against Baltimore. But Pittsburgh had two missed extra points from Chris Boswell, who did hit a I believe it was a fifty nine yard or after a false start saved him from another miss at the end of the first half. But they Pittsburgh got twenty four points the opposite of the old fashioned way. It wasn't three touchdowns, three extra points at the field goal. It was two touchdowns of missed extra points, another touchdown with a miss two point conversion, and then a field goal. That's how they got to twenty four uh and at the end of the game, fourth and one at the Dallas fifteen with forty three seconds left. This is after Pittsburgh had taken the lead. All they needed is a yard James Conner four yard loss. They also had a fourth and one earlier. We're Big Ben. This is before his injury did not sneak So again getting back to the Philip Rivers thing, the Big Ben thing is your nickname is literally Big Ben. Can't you just fall over and get a yard? It's in your nickname. You know, we talked about Riverboat Ron wanting to gamble because his nicknames riverboad. Your name is Big Ben. Just fall over and this and this, Christie, you know this better than anybody. This is for Mike Tomlin, a guy who used to randomly go for two when they would go up six to nothing. So it's the the inconsistency of this stuff drives me crazy. It's like, oh, now we're never doing that again. Now we're just going to hand off and pray. So Dallas ends up with the ball with thirty eight seconds left at their own nineteen seven plays later, the great Garrett Gilbert has them third and four at the Pittsburgh twenty three four seconds left in the game. Gilbert to Lamb broken up by Fitzpatrick and Pittsburgh escapes. Oh god, I'm exhausted again. That game took so much out of me. Chris. Anyway, what's this game? Cincinnati and Pittsburgh? Is that? But she's forgot Pittsburgh. I don't know. I respect Cincinnati and I think the market probably does to um. They play a lot of close games, I'll say it, but the line will probably be Pittsburgh minus seven and a half and you're a little light. It's it's almost all nine. I do see one seven, I see one eight, but mostly nine. It opened a little higher like nine and a half, but it's come down. And you know, the Bengals and I talked about them earlier in the year, I thought that if the coach doesn't blow it, because I don't like him at all, but a lot of their roster I kind of like, and it seems like some of the guys did bail. But you know, Burrow, I think is really good. And this is gonna be the kind of team that's gonna cover a lot of numbers. They're gonna win a lot of games. No, They're gonna cover some big numbers, and I think this is one of them, right here where they're really primed. Once again. My power ratings come to nine and a half. But I like the lower number. I think nine is good. I wouldn't want to go as low as you did, but I wouldn't I don't see a ten coming in this game. Personally, I think nine is pretty good place to start. Cincinnati's six and two against the spread so far this year, so Joe has been covering a lot of numbers. Joe Burrow. Let's imagine these teams like that that you bring up, Joe Burr. Imagine these teams like I don't have to imagine it because I grew up at Washington Football team fan. But if you had Dwayne Haskins, or if you're the Giants and you have Daniel Jones, and you look around the league, right, and all of these great young quarterbacks Joe Burrow and Josh exciting Joe falling on their face. Yeah, let me mean, let me just list him. Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, Twa, Kyler Murray, Um, Justin Herbert. There's five off the top of my head, right, I'm sure I'm forgetting Lamar Jackson. These are all guys have been drafted in the last three drafts. Uh, those are six right there, So you're one short of a quarter of the league. I didn't mention Baker Mayfield because I think he's probably a tear below those guys. But that would be a quarter of the league. And you've got Dwayne Haskins and Daniel Jones or Sam Donald or Mitchell. I mean, well, but think about that. That's the difference, right, Like, that's the difference between hope and despondency. Anyway, Jake Lewton yesterday one game, Yeah, yeah, get me started. But Christie, I did. I was hearing your voice in my head that entire Pittsburgh game because you did selling lines. You're like, this would be the game. I'm like, oh, for god's sakes, don't be right about this. Yeah, people texting me call me about different things that said, would you guys just leave me alone? I just Steelers, but win this game. Please let me alone. That's right. I don't care if they cover. Just win, all right. Let's stick up. Let's stick in one here in two minutes here before the break. You're Washington football team the Detroit Lion. There's not many lines on this. I'll tell you right now. I'm imagining because of Stafford, but you know, or you know it could be because of we don't know what Washington. Well, that's really a story. So we do have a couple of numbers. Yeah, we'll do it real quick. Detroit gets blasted by Minnesota thirty four to twenty. Matt Stafford does end up playing, but he does end up leaving the game. Minnesota was super dominant. Washington had a chance to beat the Giants. But Alex Smith in replacement of Kyle Allen just my opinion is he shouldn't be out on the football field. And I'm just talking about his leg, but certainly some of the decisions of some of the throws he made late in this game also lend to yeah, maybe just maybe just enjoy your millions and your family and not risk injury anymore. I think they have to go to Dwayne Haskins here. I really do, like, I don't know what the point of playing Alex By the way, and terrible injury for Kyle Allen. The Washington football team. Between Joe Thisman, Alex Smith, and Kyle Allen, I don't know what they've done to the universe, but those are three horrific quarterback injuries for that one franchise. But I think you have to go to dayne Haskin's. Usually there's no line whatsoever. Here. Now I see a couple of numbers. I see, Um, there's two numbers out there, but I'd like to hear yours first. I would say Detroit minus six. If it's Haskins, well, you're you're a little high. I see it's three and a half before my power ring has come a lot lower. Um, you know, they just something wrong with this Lions team. You know we're talking about quarterbacks. How about Stafford got stuck on Detroit all these years. I'm an opening right now. I want to see at I want to see a little bit more. So I'm not gonna open it just yet. Washington minus five and turnovers yesterday and they lose by three to the Giants. Good lord, the NFCS. That was the game I like the most with Baltimore. Then your quarterback gets hurt, then you go minus five and turnovers. Welcome to betting the NFL. Wellcome back. Guessing lines continues with Chris Andrews right here in the numbers game at Visa the Sports Betting Network. Kiel Alexander Christie Andrews right here at the South Point Hotel Casino. Last thing about Washington and Detroit, Chrissie, since there's no universal line here, but the the Washington football team minus five in turnovers five turnovers to the Giants, nothing lose by a field goal. Alex Smith ends up with a fine box score line of forty two, one touchdown, three picks, sacked twice. But those three picks, I mean those last two were brutal. Kyle Allen before a gruesome leg injury, which was Dak Prescott esque five of seven from six, five of seven for sixty two UH. Terry McLaurin is always filling up the box score for the UH. For the football team or seven for one fifteen and a touchdown Cam Sims three for one ten. But Washington was out t op out. Time of possession thirty seven to thirty three. Lions in defeat Stafford was twenty three thirty two for two eleven, one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked twice. Chase Daniel came in relief eight of thirteen, one touchdown, one pick. The Lions minus three in turnovers in that game against Minnesota, so brutal um, so I said six, and you said, what you're seeing is went on that game Washington Detroit. I see one three and a half, but that that might be just an old line pill before I don't know if that's updated. And by the way, before we move one, my wife reminded me, there's one other injury. You forgot to mention Skins about r G three. What do you mean you're talking about bad leg injuries? Thank you, thank you, Yeah, thank you, Pam, because Pam came up with that was the you know, that was a sprain me against the Ravens his rookie year, late in his rookie year, which then in the game in the playoff game against the Seahawks. I was there and the place was a morgue when he got hurt. Like remember the Remember the Skins were fourteen to nothing in that game against Seattle and then the leg injury. I don't remember that well, yeah, but I just remember him getting hurt. You know, it was went from like a minor injury to I'm not quite a career ender, but certainly is shot at superstar that he was. He was never the same, never the same. People tend to forget. Yeah, thank you, for that. Thank you, Pam. There you go, I'd forgotten about that. Alright, Let's go on another game on Sunday morning. Only five early games. Love this Yeah. Houston Texans at the Cleveland Blount. Houston beats the Jaguars thanks to a h failed two point conversion on the Jaguars part. They win at twenty excuse it was twenty six and the end was at the final score um Houston Deshaun Watson nineteen of thirty two for two eighty one, two touchdowns note picks. He was sacked twice. He was ten for fifty on the ground fifty yards rushing. Will Fuller the fifth five catches for a hundred yards and a touchdown. DeShawn said this place would have been hell. Would have been hell had we uh cut will Fuller or had we traded rather Willful or not cut. But there was rumors of a trade to the packers. He said, it would have been hell. Brandon Cooks three for eight, three to touchdown by the way, twenty seven to twenty five. Jacksonville fails to get the two point conversion to tie it in force overtime. Jake Luton did very well against Houston. Cleveland coming off of bye, I will say Cleveland minus four and a half. Uh, you know during the break there are good friends a bear. Chris Felika put out a tweet we should rename the show. I like your number better, your case number two. I like your number better. My number came to exactly Cleveland four and a half. I'm seeing excuse me, I'm seeing two and a half and three on the Browns. Uh. Yeah, I definitely like your number better. I'm gonna have to open three. I can't, you know, three and a half. I'd be you know, suicidal doing that. But uh, a little bit of tun alf with juice on the on the favorite, but mostly three and I'm gonna open three. But uh, once again, I like your number better. Mine came to exactly four and a half. My follow ratings, I think Houston still just not there and Cleveland is pretty good. And I know we didn't put Maypold with the others that he's coming around, and they have a very good roster. That's the team that they did roster in a good coach. Coach, I understand you're putting in three, but there are two and a halves out there on this How is that? How is that making one? Yeah, I see one, two and a half I think, I think, yeah, I think even three is low. Wow that I'm surprised by that number. That might be a pick right now. I might make that bet right now, coming back guessing lines like one already. Right here, you're looking at a week ten right here on a numbers game in visa the sports betting that where by the way, tonight's game between the Patriots and the Jets. What are you sing right now and see ten? Consensus? Is that right? I'm seeing tens in a lot of spots. You might see some nines out there, but ten, Yeah, Wow, that game is gonna move up. It's gonna be Joe Flacco. They're not Sam Donald. Ten's not enough. Tends tends not enough. You don't think, No, why does this game worry me tonight? It would have worried me more if it was Donald. But it still worries me a little bit. If you're a Patriots. There are seventy nine people out of the remaining three ten and circus survivor that do have the Patriots tonight, so they'll have to uh, yeah, we'll have you got two of them. I don't I don't think the Patriots are going to go down to the Jets. They may go down in the next week or two, but I don't think this is the game where they fold. Well that's the duke. Quit put me eyes on me, Jason. I don't think I have any problem, Chris, none at all. Every one of them is a problem. That's the thing I said about the Chiefs. Everyone's like, oh, just about the Chiefs. They're not going fifteen and one either, you know, like somebody's We'll get to their game. They probably could have lost yesterday easily. What's the next one on Sunday morning? This? How many have we done Sunday? Yeah? We did three more? Okay, um, okay, we're Jacksonville at Green Bay. So we just talked about Jake Lewton from Oregon State six round pick handed up being twenty six of thirty eight for three oh four in his debut, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked twice, comported himself very well in a twenty seven to twenty five loss to the Texans James Robinson touchdown Chark seven for one six and a touchdown. Jacksonville had four hundred and twelve total yards of offense. Um, if you had Jacksonville going into that game, you would have signed up for that every time. But they're at Green Bay. You said, Is that what you said at Green Bay? Yeah? Okay, al right, Well the only question here is is it fourteen or is it thirteen? I'll say it's fourteen. Yeah, it's it's fourteen. I see a little bit of thirteen and a half. H my power ratings come to fifteen and again another term guys love hearing, they say, diminishing returns. It's hard to make the team that high. I think fourteen is a good place to start, and that's where I'm that's I'm gonna put it and start with that Green Bay with extra rest, having played on Thursday night and having just a just a coaster against the Niners. I don't know why Aaron Rodgers was in that game for as long as he was and Aaron Jones, Aaron Jones who was like doubtful to play. They're like running him late in that game made no sense. Um, Can I just talk about Survivor one more time? People are gonna be like, Jeezy really is obsessed with Survivor Green Bay. If you look at the circum matrix, green Bay is available. I said, there's three entries left headed into heading into Tonight in circa. Green Bay is available to like a two hundred and eighty nine of those entries. So this is the quintessential game theory game. Assuming there's not gonna be a bigger spread on the board, either everyone's going to play green Bay and you know, just either get their free Bingo square or go down with the ship. The game theory way to play this would be to not play green Bay because you figure this is my chance to win a million bucks or gets super close to it. If green Bay happens to lose this, everybody and their mother is going to be on Green Bay. The question is do you want to play the game theory way? You know, because I said from the beginning, this game should not be called survivor should be called winner. Right, it's a it's a poorly named game. You're trying to win it, You're actually not trying to survive. But in the moment, will people do that or will they just take Green Bay and say, yeah, that's great, I'll just survive to the next week. I may very well be in that ladder camp, but I'm just telling you how how you're supposed to play this is to not play Green Bay. But I would bet you this is going to be the most imbalanced week ever with the amount of people who have Green Bay available to them. Yeah, we'll have to see who the Cowboys play. But yeah, yeah, all right, h next, you're being quite verbal this week too, if you're Cesaris. Oh what did I say? Cowboys? Come on? You said it should be uh, you know, winner not surviving, Thank you very much. Cowboys and the Jets both have buys this week. This weekend's the best fade. Teams are not going to there you go, okay, last one in the morning, Okay, okay, yeah, we got one more after it. Eagles at the Giant all right, I don't have to say much about this. Eagles coming off a by Giants, as we mentioned, beat Washington by a field goal because they were plus five in turnovers. Um. Daniel Jones was twenty three of thirty four for two twelve one touchdown note picks. He was sacked five times. I don't know. Philadelphia minus oh okay, Chris, yeah, I thought I turned my sound. Evidently not scared me a little bit. I'll say Philly minus three Yeah, it's mostly three and three with some juice on the favorite. Uh no, I'm sorry, I'm sorry. That was early this morning. It's not three and a half. And I even see it as high as four. Uh well, I think it's a little high myself. I think four would have to be a take for me. Um. I thought like three was an okay number. I thought that was the open up, but I got said open three twenty this morning when I first started looking at these numbers. But it's client to as high as four. So evidently early money on the Eagles in this spot. I'm not so sure. I still have a lot of questions about the Eagles. There's twenty for the Giants too, but I'm not sure you should be going at three and half and four in the road with the Eagles. I I kind of like the Giants in this front. Giants shouldn't beat them last time. Giants are surprising six and three against the spread, six and three against the are I'm gonna open three and a half and they'll probably bet me up. But uh, you know, I thought three was a good opening number. Yeah, Giants and not bad getting points and the course too many at home. Yeah, Eagles with a chance to get to five hundred. Eagles lead to the NFC East at three four and one, are seeing a one and a half game lead on Washington. It's two and six, and Dallas and the Giants are both two and seven. So the Eagles have an opportunity here to stretch their lead or at least have a shot as to win here. But I said, why would you want to win this division? I mean, really, if you step back, if you win the NFC East, the highest you can draft is all the other three teams are gonna be top ten picks. That's a monstrous gap. Um in terms of winning this division and getting a home playoff game, We're more than likely you're gonna get housed. Let's face it, you're not winning the super Bowl. You're not getting to the super Bowl. You really want to win this division just so you can have that crown and and and have a much worse draft pick. I don't know. Eagles don't care. They draft weirdly. Anyway. I will take Jalen Raaker here. I will take Jalen Hurts here. Anyway, We'll come back. Guessing lines continues Week ten in the National Football League right here on a numbers with Visa the Sports Betting Network. Tampa at Carolina, Tampa at Carolina, My goodness, what what was that yesterday for Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay loses to New Orleans. Alright, no surprise in that as as three point closing favorites, but they lose thirty eight to three, and the field goal was just that thirty one and nothing was like, we don't want to we don't want to get shut out, so we'll kick a field goal, which is always a questionable move, by the way, but New Orleans just stomps them, stops them. And you know, we were doing on on Primetime Action the other night on MSG plus with my buddy Matt Brown and Kelly Bidlin and Daniel Lavary. We were doing like our mid season top fives, and I put New Orleans at five because I was like, I'm not gonna do my list of what they were to this point, but what I think they'll be before the season. I had Kansas City in New Orleans and the Super Bowl. This is New Orleans at full strength, This is New Orleans getting their players back. I also had Tampa Bay in by top five, though, and I don't know, like, can you be in the top five if you lose a game like that. No, no, I don't think he can. Yeah, So Tampa Bay, let me just be thorough. Let me just give the the stats on this. Let me find that game. Tampa Bay Brady twenty two of thirty eight for two oh nine, no touchdowns, three picks. He was sacked three times. They were out first downed, if you will, by the Saints to thirteen. The Bucks were one of nine on third down, oh for three on fourth, one of nine on third, zero for three on fourth. They had eight rushing yards eight American rushing yards. Chrissy. They were out gained four four. They were out time of possession forty oh four to nineteen fifty six. They fall the six and three. Now there's Carolina. Carolina loses to Kansas City by the score of thirty three to thirty one. They were ten point dogs. They were ahead much of this game. They end up missing a sixty seven yard or with no time left on the clock. Joey Slide just you know, had to over kick it and didn't have a chance. Did get sixty seven yards but wasn't closed. Teddy Bridgewater Teddy Bear thirty six and forty nine for three ten, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice Christian McCaffrey and his return filling up a box score like nobody's business thirty six excusing partner eighteen for sixty nine and a touchdown on the ground ten for eighty two and a touchdown through the air Samuel nine for one oh five in a touchdown. There was an amazing drive by the Panthers when they fell behind in the fourth quarter, an incredible Samuel catch at an incredible McCaffrey catch, sandwiched by an awesome Teddy Bridgewater fourth and four fourth and fourteen conversion where he got it by leaping over basically the yard to gain marker. They were three of three on fourth by the way, the the Panthers yesterday, but they had twelve penalties for eighty two yards despite having the ball for over thirty eight minutes in this game. Four straight losses for the Panthers, all by eight points or fewer. But here's what gets me, and it gets back to inconsistent officiating. I talked about it rampantly last week. Incidents in the Eagles games and the Bears game, and in the Seahawks game certainly riddled in that Bucks Giants game with inconsistencies. Can we show that that photo. This is the last drive of the game for the Panthers. They're trying to get a field goal to win this game, and this is the play with is this with nine seconds left on the clock? Look how offsides the Chiefs are? They don't call this nine seconds left in the game. This is right beyond midfield. Should be a buzzer or something like that, with something like a tennis line buzzer or something. And the reason I bring up the photo is because with the naked eye, you could tell the Chiefs were off sides. Now, I'm not saying that's going to win the game for the Panthers, but it does turn a sixty seven yard field goal into a sixty two yarder, and sixty seven has never been done before, sixty two has and WEASTI I won't feel the need to overkick it the same way. And so when you don't call something like that just drives me nuts. And nobody said a word, None of the announcer said a word. Anyway, It was the game Tampa Bay Carolina. Uh, Tampa Bay still be a favorite here, but it won't be huge. Minus six. Is that too much? Well, I think it's too much. The market doesn't I see it's six and six and a half. I'm gonna open six. Um, you know my numbers come to four and a half. I really downgraded Tampa Bay. You know a couple of weeks ago when Tampa played the Packers and they blew them out, and I said on this show, and I taught to some other people too. You know, sometimes the game will take on a life of its own and some crazy things happened. I mean, it's football. There's turnovers and long runs and passes and stuff. Sometimes it's not indicative of how good the teams are good or back. And I think that was the case with Tampa Bay in Green Bay a couple of weeks ago. I didn't really lower Green Bay at all. I didn't lace Tampa either, But last night I think Campa got exposed. Um Brady, his QBR is three point eight and we expected you much more with all his uh, you know, his receivere a B. You know Antonio Brown coming on the team, and you know the receivers were supposed to be very healthy. But their defense is got exposed. Their offense got exposed. That game did not take on a life of its own. They legitimately got blasted. Um, I got this number four and a half, you know, And I think Carolina now with McCaffrey back in the lineup. And you know, my love for Teddy Bridgewater. He's not what he was. He's not, you know. I hope he's still a good quarterback. He's not gonna be great, but I think this team's coming around. I love Matt Ruld. I think he's one hell of a jaw for that team. Uh, six looks a little too high to me. Like I said, I made it four and a half. That's not a huge difference. But uh, you know, I think Campa got a little exposed last night, and I definitely downgraded him quite a bit because I think they that was not The score was not an aberration. The game was, but the score was not. They legitimately like blasted. Christie. You've said it to me a million times. I will say it to you here. I think I like your line better in this case, because I was debating between five and a half and six. In my head, five and a half seemed more, you know, was no man's land. So I just for whatever reason, six came out of my mouth. But six does seem a little high, and you're saying it's six or six and a half. Wow, I see some six and a half's. Yeah, I think I'm opening six. I think that's funny. They'll probably lay it to him and they're welcome to it. Um. But yeah, I thought four and a half. I was going through the number. Geez, four, four and Alston. I might take a Sholott and Carolina there, you know, But at six and six and a half, how well? I mean, how often do we see legit blastings to use your word, like we did last night, Legit blowouts like that, let alone in a game that, on paper is supposed to be this amazing competitive game, so bad that I would imagine three quarters of the country just turn that game off in the second half. I know I did. I did. Starting to watch The Queen's Gambit courtesy of Jeff Vogel's recommendation It's excellent, by the way, little recommendation for you on Netflix. That's another story. We'll come back, we'll continue. I think we're halfway through guessing lines on a numbers game at Visa, these sports betting network for number two of a numbers game right here at Visa the Sports Betting Network series except Channel two O four, Visa dot Com, the Visa app Boobos Slinging Game plus Skill. Alexander Jason Conn is here. Christie Andrews, the star of guessing lines. I'm just warning everybody our two camp be as good as our web. This is my It's just the most fun way to start every week is just talking about games yesterday, looking forward to next week. What an already, let me just a calve yacht because we got a tweet here. Uh. And this gentleman is absolutely correct for pointing this out. This is from Corey who says sing McCaffrey is doubtful with the shoulder injury this week, So that is you know, you have to put that into the mix here of the number, So Caroline, all of a sudden makes a little more sense at six or six and a half. He did not miss any thing yesterday. Now he played. Christian McCaffrey did for the Panthers fifty two of their seventy five snaps yesterday. He took eighteen of their twenty two handoffs, caught ten of his ten targets, and remember he played right to the end, right. He he had that play where he went out of bounds to stop the clock right before the sixty seven yard attempt from Joey Fly, which was wide right to say the least, try to overkick the sixty seven yard So that's why we didn't notice it because he played through the games day. But there you go, Chrissie McCaffrey. Maybe right back on the shelf next week. Yeah, saw that some other guy tweet and two, Um, I still think I'm opening six, not six and a half. I still think I had numbers two. I myself, Carolina hasn't won a game with him in the lineup, you know that's right, That's right. Yeah, little, a little, uh yeah, I don't know how much I read into that, but it is interesting. Yeah yeah, let's not go overboard with that. But it mean it's just one factor. By the way, Jeff Bogol gave you a Queen's Game, Jeff, smart guy. When I got he's been on the COVID from the beginning, and he and I conversed a lot or texted a lot when it was when I had it, Um, smart guy, So Queen's Gamba. He recommended what we're sat on so it's on Netflix. Now. Let me just say this. The older I get. I've said this for a few years now, the older I get, the less ability I have to stomach fiction of any kind, whether written, whether you know, on TV, whatever, Like I needed to be rooted in some kind of fact asked to I'm a nonfiction kind of guy. The older I get it wasn't like this when I was younger. Perhaps I was a better human when I was younger. I don't know what that says about me. But Queen's Gambit, which is based on a novel which is not a true story, is excellent because it's about it. For if anybody who has ever played chess or is into just sort of it is there is a loose base of history of chess involved there. Uh, your girl can watch it with you, because there's like fashion elements to it. If you're into like mad Men era of the early sixties, where it's just like, you know, people were doing people were doing things that we would never do today. Oh yeah, drinking at ten in the morning, whatever it is, you know, smoking indoors. It's all of that melded into one. But the chess element of his excellence. So it's only a seven episode kind of season, so you know, you can watch it at your legion, but it is really well done. Excellent recommendation from Chess. Yeah, I gotta let him by the way, I like fiction and non fiction. A lot of the fiction that I don't like, whether it's on TV, movies or books, they get these characters that are so un realistic. They just you know, they want them to be so bizarre with all this stuff. You know, No, I want something that told he's rooted in reality a little bit. Yeah, I'm sorry. I think just some things are just too crazy. I'm with you on that. Anyway, next game, not to the literary alit. Let's go back to football. Denver Denver at the Raiders, the literary Hour with Chris Andrews your pipe? What do you say Denver? A who? Who's this? Denver at Las Vegas ratings? How about those radus? First of all, Denver, uh Denver. That Denver Atlanta game was like everyone could have scripted in advance. Atlanta is gonna go out to a big lead, then Denver is gonna do their thing late in Atlanta is gonna flirt with blowing it. That's exactly how that game went. Atlanta ends up winning it UH thirty four to twenty seven. Denver put up twenty one in the in the fourth quarter. UH Denver Lock drew Lock for three thirteen, two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once, did carry for six six times for forty seven yards and a touchdown. I did not include him in the great Young Quarterbacks list from earlier. Some people in Denver might object, I don't have him in the top tier for sure, but even but but yeah, I don't. I don't either, but he's certainly better than what Washington and the Giants have shown or the Jets. Right well, I don't know if Jets fans might object. Jerry Judy seven for one and a touchdown, four hundred and five total yards of offense for Denver in defeat at the hands of the Falcons. By the way, skill Alexander Chris Andrews, this is a numbers game, guessing lines. It's what we do each at every Monday tribute to the old Stardust radio show where we try to extract value in this exercise and UH first look at handicapping the subsequent weeks or the upcoming weeks. Lines I should say with Chris Andrews the Raiders. Yesterday, the Raiders get it done. They beat the Chargers thirty one to twenty six. We'll get to the charge. We'll get to the Chargers in a minute. But the Raiders hang on the last play of the game to win this. By the way, Derek Carr was thirteen of twenty three, only completed thirteen passes for one sixty two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once. Derek Carr this year because this is the this is the Raiders formula for success. Derek Carr this year has sixteen touchdown passes in two picks. It's not mahomes Esk, but it's pretty good when you look at it through that through that lens. Sixteen touchdowns, two picks. The play I'm talking about one second left in the game. It's like every Chargers game ends this way. We're just talking about how every Denver. You know, if Denver Atlanta could have been scripted, you could have scripted this end to Chargers have the ball, chance to win it, one second left. Herbert passes Donald Palm Jr. In the back of the end zone with no time remaining. It looks like it's a touchdown. Its first rule to touchdown, then on replay correctly reversed ball moves, Raiders win. Raiders are five and three. I think this team might go to the playoffs. Playoffs, playoffs five and three. I'll say the Raiders Bronco, Raiders Broncos. I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if either team won this game. I'll say Raiders minus four and a half. Well, you're dead on. That's exactly what my power rating has come to. I think four and a half and five. I'm gonna open four and half. Like I said, exactly what my power rating came to. I talked about the Bengals being a kind of team that's going to cover some numbers. I made that note in my journal that I thought that the Broncos were going to be that kind of team too. You know, don't like the coach, really know the fans. I think the game is totally passing by. But I think I got a pretty good squad and Lock isn't bad. Uh. He's certainly not in with the quarterbacks you mentioned earlier, But I like them getting a bunch of points. I wouldn't call four and a half a bunch but I think that is enough, you know, a good chance to cover. Uh. But Derek Carr, he's playing some pretty good football and we don't talk about him much, nobody does. But this guy is fine. I would be like a seven year veteran something like that. He's finally coming around to being a pretty darn good quarterback. And Uh, this Raider team is pretty legit. They're good. Derek Carr sixteen touchdown passes again against two picks. Uh, And Derek Carr came out when he came out in teen draft. So yeah, do the mess seven year veteran right there, as you said. And if you look at the the NFL standings and you look at the a f C again, much football to be played. But if the playoffs were to start right now, and remember it's the new format with three wild cards, the Raiders would be in a monster tie for the second and third wild cards with the Colts, the Browns, and the Dolphins all five and three. So those four teams with jockey for those last two spots, with Baltimore getting the number one wild card spot as it's currently constituted. But yes, they're in the mix. In other words, are the Las Vegas Raiders, who, of course have a spanking new, brand new stadium that we drive by every day, and no one's allowed in it, or at least Mark Davis said no one, no one this year. Anyway, what's Mark Davis gonna do next year if we still have this Is he gonna say everybody can come in? Aren't they playing college games in there? That's a double check, but I think that they're playing. But with the Raiders, he specifically said this year, nobody comes in there this year, so he sort of painted himself into a corner with that. I don't know. We're just speculating for next year, but anyway, that's a story. Hopefully we won't have these problems next year. Um So I'm just glad to get one right. So four and a half on the button, both of you and I had that correct. Okay, next next, Bills at the Cardinals. Bills at the Cardinals. Okay, Bills beat the Seahawks yesterday. Jason, you know where I'm going with this. Bills beat the Cardinals yesterday by the final score. Of final score was forty four to thirty four. But this was a game that the Bills raced way out ahead early and then they they really sort of staved off the Seahawks got within a touchdown at one point, but that's it. That was quickly, Uh, you know, batted back the other way. Buffalo ends up winning it by ten. First half of this game. Josh Allen twenty four of twenty eight. This is the first half, twenty four of twenty eight for two eighty two, three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked three times. He had one carry for seven yards. First half two two eight two. Full game thirty one of thirty eight for four fifteen, three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked seven times. Is that right? Was he sacked seven times? To double check that. Stefan digs nine catches for one eighteen And we talked about turnovers, man, Yesterday was the the turnover box score day plus four in turnovers. That's the story. By the way, they were all Russell Wilson turnovers. Best start for the Bills at seven and two since nineteen three. And they're at Arizona. You said Arizona loses to the Dolphins. Loses to the Dolphins by a field goal. Uh. Kyler Murray twenty one, twenty six for two eighty three, three touchdowns, no Pixie Sack once eleven carries for one oh six and a touchdown, Kristen Kirk five for three and a touchdown a favorite target. Four hundred forty two total yards of offense for the Cardinals yesterday in defeat, a defeat that ended when Zane Gonzalez had a forty nine yard field goal attempt with one fifty three in the game and it was short. It was the weirdest thing, short, not not wide, short um one first down later by the Dolphins. It was Katie Barr. The door in that game was over. But I will just say this, and and Jason, this is what I was talking about. How I think you know where I'm going with this. We did the MGM Grid. This show is proudly brought to you by Bet MGM Nevada Everybody. And we did the bet MGM Grid on Fridays where we show Chrissy uh in all of ben MGMs jurisdictions who the most popular bet team is by the betting public on tickets, not on money. We did last week and so it's six different states, and then we show the overall and in every single state last week, their number one most bet team was the Seattle Seahawks against the number. And I had some buddies who their top play was the Seattle Seahawks, and I didn't. This is not in retrospect because I said it at the time. I didn't bet the Bills, so I'm not saying I bet against them, but I did openly wonder why was the conviction so strong on the Seahawks across every jurisdiction, right, So it overcame all kinds of biases, right, regional bias, um, public bias, whatever. Everyone was so sure Seattle, Well that's the thing. Recency bias was probably the biggest at play with that, but number one in every single state it was nuts. Uh. And so Buffalo Buffalo beats them easy. And then we talked about Arizona. All that said, buffaloes on the road. Here. This is an interesting line to try to predict because I will say this in defeat, and I know we like to say Russell Wilson's the last guy we want to bet against. Do you want to bet against Kyler Murray? Ever? Good? God? Is he good? And how about the Cardinals for making the Josh Rosen pick and then saying, you know what, we were wrong, We're gonna draft Kyler Murray. I think Arizona should be a favorite. Am I wrong by a field goal? Just super c Josh Allen was sax seven times. He was sex seven. Thank you, Chris. It's uh one and a half. I even see it two out there. Um, a couple of twos now that I'm looking one and I need the game picked them. Um, I guess I'll start a one and a half. The boy I've said somebody tweeted on and I wish I could give credit to who this was. But after halftime of that Bills game, the guy said, you know, if Seattle manages to keep this close to the second half, Josh Allen has a chance to break norm Van Brocklin's long standing record for total passing yards in an NFL game, which I think it's like five or something like that. Uh, you know, Allen didn't come too close to that. But boy, I'll tell you what, this kid has really turned into a hell of a quarterback. And Buffalo you know they're they're not quite there yet with the high sessional lines of teams in the a f C. But I gotta tell you, I think the a f C is a lot better than the NFC too, So I think I made the game pick them. I like to pick. I mean, it's not getting one and a half or two isn't enough to make me play. But I would like Buffalo a little bit in this Spotify any kind of maybe plus money or something like that, I would take the Charlotte Buffalo. But I'm gonna go ahead and open one and a half one and a half. Okay, my love of Kyler Murray maybe got the best of me there with the three I will. I got a couple of tweets from people who are like, yeah, talk about their one dimensional talking about the Bills now. Bills fans were talking about their one dimensional offense. Now Gil, And I'm thinking to myself, like, first of all, I didn't bet against your team, so relax. And secondly, they were playing Seattle Seattle. Is his is epically bad, like they're historically bad on defense, So stop it with that. Um. Anyway, that was my clap back on it. All right, what's next? Speaking of Seattle Seattle at the Rams? Oh wow, this is gonna be impossible to make a line for this. Russell Wilson yesterday and defeat forty one for three nine two touchdowns, two picks sacked five times, two fumbles lost, four turnovers for Russell Wilson, DK metcalf beast seven for what a wait in a touchdown. But as I mentioned, Seattle was minus four in turnovers, and that's all you really need to know, really, I mean, if you have access to the box score, if you can see into the future and you see that a team is minus four in turnovers, you kind of know the result. Uh. And about that Seattle defense, just to put numbers to it, this is the numbers game, after all, most passing yards allowed by any team through eight games in the Super Bowl era period period, that what the kids do on TikTok two thousand, eight hundred and nineties. Seven yards allowed through the air by the Seahawks through eight games by far the worst through eight games in the Super Bowl era. So that's that's I mean to say that that's their Achilles. Heel does a disservice to the Achilles, which at least has the the decency to remain kind of anonymous until the Achilles rears up. But this is just out front and center. I mean, it's just terrible. And Pete Carroll's a defensive coach. I mean, at some point you gotta look at him. I think they just gave them an extent they did. It feels like the game may have passed his defense by Dan Quinn, same thing. I like a girl with extensions in her hair, but I don't really like a guy of his age getting extension that long when his suspect coaching decisions during game. Um, Seattle let the rams rams coming off a bye, This is a this is a pick um if I've ever seen one, I wouldn't know what to make this line. Well, I liked your number better. Uh, I like pick because I thought the same as you. Uh. But I see the rams one and a half pretty much universally. Now. The only thing I will say about this, you know, I think with the rams coming off of by uh, it may it may help them. They formulated gang playing against this terrible, unbelievably terrible Seattle defense. So even though my power raidings do come to a pick and I M, I don't know, I can't see the one and a half just because I think the situation maybe does favor the Rams because of that buy. You know, we always hear that McVeigh is such an offensive genius he should be able to come up with something to exploit that terrible defense. So I think one and a half is okay. Like I said, even though my power waiters come to pick them. I know it's a stupid thing to say, but I'll be stupid for a second. If the playoffs were to start right now, Seattle, Arizona, and the Rams all in the playoffs and the bet does not cash, all four teams make the playoffs, well, and I think that's gonna happen. No, the Niners are such a mash unit. I mean, between between injuries and COVID. If you're if you're like a nine, we'll get to the Niners in a minute. But if you're if you're a Niners fan or a Niners backer with like season win totals, overs or whatever, you've got to be at the point where you're like, well, it's just the car, it's just the hand we were dealt. There's nothing we can do about this. You should never take the Super Bowl loser on an over the next season. I mean, it's not their fault, all right, what's next? Speaking of the Niners, miners at the Saint Unplanned, how we do that? Uh? Niners extra rest because they got beat by Green Bay. They got housed by green Bay on Thursday. And then there's the Saints. So we talked about crushed the Bucks yesterday. Drew Brees twenty six of thirty two for two twenty two. Soon if you can't throw the ball down field ford touchdown passes, no picks. He was sacked once. Um Taysom Hill was two for two forty eight, passing seven carries for fifty four yards on the ground, one catch for twenty one. I've been mean to Taysom Hill over time and questioned Sean Payton putting him in at random times, but it's kind of hard to argue with his performance last night. Let me be the first and say night. By the way, Jamis was one for one for twelve. Can I add that as well? Uh the Saints. The Saints were nine of fourteen on third downs. I mean they just the Bucks had no answers. I will say New Orleans by the full touchdown say minus seven. Well, it's almost universally nine. I even see a nine and a half. Wow, my power is from the seven and a half, you know, And I have to tell you I'm I'm still not totally convinced on the Saints. I mean, I don't know what that is, but I have them rated pretty high, of course, you know, but I don't have them up as highes like Green Bay or Pittsburgh or you know, Baltimore, Casey, I don't have him quite in that category. Um, I don't know. I mean nine, that's hard to argue with it. You've talked about the Niners being such a mash. I don't even know who they got anymore. You know, at Mullins, he's one of those guys when I look at his pure stats, don't look too bad. But where my A is QB was? You know, he just you know, he fills up the staff but I don't even want to say fills it up. But he looks good in the staff book, but you know, it just doesn't produce out on the field, you know, it just doesn't. And he's had a couple of good games, but he's yeah, he's he's a backup at best. Um, So I'm gonna go with the nine. EVI get a good place to start, Yeah, I mean, there's there's no George Kittle for you know, the rest of the regular season. It's gonna be Mullins, not Garoppolo. I don't know how much that means, but remember the guys from the beginning of the year, like Thomas and Bosta on the defensive line gone for the entire season. How good is Kyle Shannon? I know we he can throw in anybody. It's like a turnstyle in that backfield. Anybody performs. But yeah, at some point, you do you do worry that the Niners have a game in him where they can play very well in Shanahan's great, but man, um, it's just so tough. At some point you need bodies. Remember on Thursday night they didn't have a single player who took a snap on offense in last year's NFC Championship. Think about that, coming back guessing lines right here on the Numbers game and feasting these sports betting network Chrissy, any more daytime games next week? Yeah, but back to the Literary Hour in case anybody's listening, I have a novel written and I'm still looking for an agent. So if you're out there, you certainly know how to contact me. And as I was talking about during the Literary Hour, my characters are very realistic. I mean, these are guys that I know, and that's there's a gambling theme to it, Greek theme and Vegas theme and stuff like that. So I think I think I get it public. I think it'll sell really well and they and anyway, and I think it's good. I won't get detailed on this, but that's different from what you were talking to me about the other day. Yeah. That the novels written, and I'm working on another book right now that I don't really want to talk about too much yet. You know how I know the novels written, Chrissy, because it's sitting here right on my computer, ready to be Well, there's uh, it's been edited since then, you know, and even so, I had somebody helped me edit it. And it's even better than the one that I say. It's ready to go. That's ready to Yeah, you sound super hype about it too. I'm looking forward to I am, I am. I may gets terrific, I really do. All right, Last, okay, let's get back to football. Last early game. You want to do the last early game because it's kind of out of location, but let's do it that way. Okay, Chargers at the Dolphins. Yeah, we'll save the prime time for last Chargers at the Dolphins. We mentioned the Chargers again. Uh, last play of the game, chance to win it. Hey they won the game. Oh no, they didn't. Ball moved again. That was Herbert to H. Daniel Parham Jr. No, Sir, Chargers lose. Chargers lose. Justin Herbert forty two for three, twenty six, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice. Keenan Allen nine for one oh three a touchdown, four hundred and forty one total yards of offense for the Chargers in defeat at the hands of the Raiders. But here is the damage when you do the inventory on this football team every week. We could do it, but let's do it again. It's their sixth loss this season. Keep in mind there two and six. All six losses by seven points are fewer. Is that true? Fact check me on that if you adjacent, all six losses this season by seven points are fewer. Now, if you extended back into last season, they are three and fifteen. Are the Chargers in one possession games since the start of last season, three and fifteen this year in that category, they are one in six one in six in one possession games this year. It's their ninth straight division loss if you take it back. And the reason on the Charges, the reason that I'm taking it back passed before, you know, before this season is because's Anthony Lynn finally on the hot seat? Like I can. I understand he's a wonderful human being, but can he finally be on the hut? This can't keep happening. This can't keep happening. The Chargers, yeah, within within a touchdown any to their losses, Thank you, Jason. And then there's Miami, who we just talked about. Beat the Cardinals. Zane Gonzalez missing the forty nine yard or short with one fifty three remaining, one first down later, Katie bar the door, Dolphins win it. The Dolphins have matched their season win total from last year. Last year they were five and eleven. Five and eleven, not too bad. It's my Steve Spurrier best start since they outscored Arizona tend to nothing in the fourth quarter yesterday to a to a Tugo Violoa two touchdowns, no picks, sack three times, made some nice little runs in consequential situations yesterday to move the chains. I'll say Dolphins by three. You know this game opened two and a half and three, and since that time, money has been showing on the Chargers. I don't see any threes around, uh, even with Jews, even with heavy juice. Uh so it's two and a half. I see a little bit of two an alf with juice on the favorite. My numbers come to five one game, one game that finds a way to lose every week, and another being that finds the way to win every week. Now, knowing the Chargers, they do cover a lot of those numbers that you know, get a absorb absorbent. I know I said that long, um, but you know five would probably be a take even for me, even though that's what my power ratings came to. I think this game should be at least three. I am gonna open to an app because, as Rocky says, go from to an ap of three and two is kind of actually created. But I'm gonna open two and a half on this one. And uh but I'm putting a slash next to Miami and uh, well, I can hear the music. But I'll make another comment when we get back about the Chargers, Miami one wind and shy of pushing their season win total of six this year. I have that ticket and uh, you know, knocking at the door. Two games back of the Bills in the a f C East, Brian Flores some Coach of the Year considerations if they get there, I think so. Coming back, we'll wrap it up guessing lines. Two more games to get to right here on Visa the Sports Betting Network. Um, okay, back to the Chargers and uh, the Chargers game that we were just talking about against the Dolphins, Chrisy, you wanted to say something about the Chargers. Last thing I will say about the Chargers. Aaron Shots was on the show from Football Outsiders last week and he was talking about the least consistent teams and the most consistent teams per his numbers d v O a UH in the NFL this year through the previous week. And he was saying the least consistent teams in terms of week to week performance San Francisco, which is a lot to do with their you know, turnstyle personnel, and the Cleveland Browns, who you don't know what you're getting from them from one week to the next. The Chargers are actually the most consistent team in ball in terms of week to week performance, Like you know exactly what you're getting with them every week, they're going to show up and they're ultimately they're going to blow it. You're gonna smack your head with your hand. But he's just saying, in terms of their level of performance, it's this, it's the most consistent team in football. You wanted to say, Christy about the Chargers, Well, Warred Sharp has an article and I haven't had a chance to read it yet, but Warren is always known for being extremely thorough and just in kind of like the headline blurb, he's saying, yea, this is not a coincidence, and he goes through. He says in his article that he's gonna go through the time management, you know, game management with the clock and the play calling, and like I said, Warren is very thorough, especially in things like that. I haven't had a chance to read the article yet, but I think it can't be a coincidence. It can't be a coindtidence after all these close losses and you know you have from the eland does seem like a wonderful human being. He's not a head coach in the NFL. He just six loss this season by seven points or fewer three and fifteen in one position, one possession game since started last season, one in six this season. Cheese. They need a coordinator for chronic management. Not a coincidence. Yeah, at some point it's a pattern, not a coincidence. Sunday night, Chrisie, what you got excuse me that the Ravens at the Patriots. Ravens at the Patriots, Jason, you said they need a management coordinator for clock management, that you need a game situations coordinator. The head coaches don't seem to have mastery of that, and they're they're always the ones that seemed to be taken the blame. We've been saying it for years. Just have somebody to look at the clock, fire everything in advance, yeah, and know the situations before they come up. Baltimore, as we talked about, beats the Colts. Lamar Jackson first half yesterday was nine of thirteen for fifty one yards. First half, no touchdowns, Noe Pixy was sacked twice. He only had four carries for fifteen yards in the first half. At halftime, the Ravens had fifty five total yards of offense, the fewest and a half with Lamar Jackson a quarterback, and everybody was like, oh, maybe you heard the whispers. Maybe Lamar Jackson's not as good as we thought. It was finished the game nineteen of twenty three for one seventy no touchdowns, noe picks. He was sacked twice, thirteen carries fifty eight yards in a touchdown. It's Lamar Jackson's first career win when trailing at halftime. How about that? The raigning n L m v P, NFL m v P, want to say n L baseball mode. The raigning NFL m v P is now twenty five and three, excuse me, twenty five and five, pardon me, twenty five and five in the regular season since taking over. Is the Ravens start in the middle of the eighteen season that ties Dan Marino for the best start by a quarterback since nineteen sixty six. Dan Marino Lamar Jackson twenty five and five impressive company. They outscored the Colts seventeen to nothing in the second half, only had two hundred sixty six totally yards of offense in that game. They want it, though, and as I said earlier using the chess reference, once they have an advantage on you, where they get ahead, they have an ability to keep you down. That is reminiscent of great NFL historically great historically NFL, I mean historical great teams like the Skins. You know, you pick your team the eight five Bears pick your great NFL team. But they're not that, but yet they have this. They're so different when they're behind and when their head. The Ravens, the and the Patriots haven't played. The Patriots played tonight, so sight unseen with the Patriots tonight against the Jets. I'll say the Ravens is a placeholder minus six on the road here, Chris Well, it's mostly seven. Um, a couple of six and halves and mostly seven. Have my power ratings come higher, but again and then they inflect the diminishing returns. You don't want to go to high against a Patriots team. But listen, they're a mess, the Patriots, and you know, and Jason, I'm gonna come looking for you if they lose tonight because you put the eyes on me way too many times and telling you, uh, the employees do um I had a seven is probably okay? You know, seven half would probably a take my priorities come a little a little higher, just because they are such such a mess. And by the way, you're talking about the Ravens and knowing how to win a game wants to get to leave. Reminds me of the Bill Walsh Joe Montana teams, and Joey definitely he's way up there is like as far as fourth quarter comebacks and all that other stuff, but probably not as many as he should have because they put so many teams away in the first half. And between Joe and Bill Walsh, who's you know, everybody credits as being a genius, which she really is. You know, they knew how to just milk a clock and not turn the ball over, just not give that other team a chance to win. And they were a great, great team. But you go back and look, and I don't have the numbers in front of me, but they won so many games by it was ridiculous. They just totally eliminated the possibility of the team coming back on them. Uh and then wait, it's kind of like that a different, much much different style, but you know, kind of like the same mantra and Monday Night, Chrissie, Monday Night. You might turn this one off. Early two Vikings and the Bears. Vikings dominate the Lions, Kirk Cousins is always the formula with the with the Vikings thirteen twenty two twenty. As long as he doesn't have to throw the ball that many times, you're good to go. Three touchdowns, no picks it sack Ones Dalvin Dalvin Cook two carries for two oh six two touchdowns, two catches, forty six four eighty seven totally yards of offense for the Vikings plus three in turnovers. And then there's the Bears, so we've called paper tigers there back to five and four now, or they're down to five and four after a quick start of the season. Two offensive first downs in the entire first half yesterday for the Chicago Bay Airs too, they ended up with twenty two Nick Foles thirty six of fifty two for three thirty five two touchdowns. Doe Pacy was sacked three times, but again two in the first half and then that fumble return for a touchdown. Uh, this was just offensive ineptitude really when the game mattered. Cosmetic final score against the Titans twenty three points are fewer in all of full starts this year's. They're two and four with Nick Foles as a starter, minus two in turnovers in their game. As mentioned, um Minnesota at Chicago. You said, yes, check the weather. We got about thirty seconds here, because I want to get a recap in Chrissie. But I'll say Chicago minus of field goal just for expeditious sake. Here, Chicago minusu Fielable. Oh no, no, pardon me, Minnesota minus field goal. Pardon me? Okay, Well, once again, I like your number better. But it's two and a half. Even two and a half with a little bit of juice, five numbers come to four and a half night. I'm gonna first admit four and a half is too much in a game like this, but I thought it should be at least three. I'll open to a half of I don't see any threes opted, but if I see it going up, I'm gonna be on that bandwag and moving it up because I think that Vikings should be at least three. The Bears's just terrible. They're just terrible, and the Vikings are coming around. There's a team that's really I think it's a chance to make a move here, you know. And Dalvin quote he turned into Gale Sayers the last two weeks here looks unbelievable. He really did so. In the end, Chrissy. What I like the most is Cleveland is the most peculiar line of them all. I, by the way, excuse, I'm gonna open three and a half because I see I don't see any three and a halfs, but I see with three with juice on the favorite, I don't want to take about at three minus ten, so I'm opening three and a half. Okay, so even in these two hours, it's creeping towards towards my number of minus four and a half. Uh. That line made no sense to me. I'm I like Cleveland. They're based on the line. The other one is I like Carolina. But we will check on Christian McCaffrey status because that will matter a lot. But those are the two that for me were the ones that were noteworthy. You are you four? I got a mark next to I like Cleveland. I like Carolina just like you. And I also like the Giants and I like the Dolphins. Yeah you have the Dolphins way up in that five. You said, yeah, yeah, yeah, I like your Giant. I think I like your Giants too because I just don't think the Eagles are any good. But I can't be four. Come on, yeah, if it's over three. That's yeah. This thing is I don't want to race to the window about the giants either, don't get me wrong. So that's why. So I didn't get by the way, the boards are gone. It's all three and a half. There you go. All right, we'll get in on the action while you can't, because I might come down to three, which was my number. Chrissy, can't thank you enough. The quickest two hours in sports. I appreciate it. Man, My pleasure, my pleasure, my friend. I'll talk to you soon. All right, Christie Andrews right here guessing lines. We'll put it in podcast form case you missed any parts. Good luck tonight, pat Patriots and Jets from all of the beating. We spotty that way.