Check it down.

Check it down.

The numbers told the story. They always down. Swando's idiots will believe in the analytics.

The numbers told the story. They always down. Swando's idiots will believe in the analytics.

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gons.

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gons.

Good Monday morning to you.

Good Monday morning to you.

It is a numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game plus iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course the DraftKings Network DK Networks, Gil Alexander Kelly Bidlin alive from bar Canada at the d down Town guessing lines for week number four in the National Football League. Kelly, good morning to you, sir. Morning. How you doing. Is there anything better than waking up on a Monday morning and talking about football? Anything?

It is a numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game plus iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course the DraftKings Network DK Networks, Gil Alexander Kelly Bidlin alive from bar Canada at the d down Town guessing lines for week number four in the National Football League. Kelly, good morning to you, sir. Morning. How you doing. Is there anything better than waking up on a Monday morning and talking about football? Anything?

Anything? If my survivor choice was still alive, Yeah, it would be. That could be a little bit better. See there's my donation to CIRCA. Thanks.

Anything? If my survivor choice was still alive, Yeah, it would be. That could be a little bit better. See there's my donation to CIRCA. Thanks.

Jags, some of us still alive.

Jags, some of us still alive.

Hit it.

Hit it.

Oh he's not. He's out on the trigger. See he's not where. He's not ready to go.

Oh he's not. He's out on the trigger. See he's not where. He's not ready to go.

It's not ready to go with this.

It's not ready to go with this.

Okay, that works.

Okay, that works.

We're not yet in mid season four. We'll get there.

We're not yet in mid season four. We'll get there.

I am alive, I said on Friday, as like some combination of the Jags and the Chiefs. I did lose one to the Jags. I've lost one each week. I started with five, so I've got two left. Two left in a week of Survivor carnage. A week of Survivor Carnage where Kelly from what was left in the Circus Survivor pool of five. So it started out with nine thou two hundred and sixty seven. There were five nine hundred and twenty four left after two weeks, fifty eight point one two percent heading into tonight's doubleheader of that remaining group got bounced yesterday over forty percent on the Jacksonville Jaguars from the beginning of the pool. From the beginning of the pool, A just here's the thing, let me, let me do it this, let me do as a comparison to last year, so far, out of the nine thousand, two hundred and sixty seven that started, twenty four hundred and eighty one are left. That means that's seventy three point two three percent of the beginning Survivor pool have been bounced again not yet with week three done, seventy three point two three percent.

I am alive, I said on Friday, as like some combination of the Jags and the Chiefs. I did lose one to the Jags. I've lost one each week. I started with five, so I've got two left. Two left in a week of Survivor carnage. A week of Survivor Carnage where Kelly from what was left in the Circus Survivor pool of five. So it started out with nine thou two hundred and sixty seven. There were five nine hundred and twenty four left after two weeks, fifty eight point one two percent heading into tonight's doubleheader of that remaining group got bounced yesterday over forty percent on the Jacksonville Jaguars from the beginning of the pool. From the beginning of the pool, A just here's the thing, let me, let me do it this, let me do as a comparison to last year, so far, out of the nine thousand, two hundred and sixty seven that started, twenty four hundred and eighty one are left. That means that's seventy three point two three percent of the beginning Survivor pool have been bounced again not yet with week three done, seventy three point two three percent.

Do you know how many? You know what percentage was out after week three last year?

Do you know how many? You know what percentage was out after week three last year?

Sixty two seventy four point seventy three percent, so it's almost identical. It is almost identical, one point five percent behind, and we still have two games to go, almost the exact same percentage, which corroborates my point from the beginning that all it doesn't matter if you buy fifty survivor entries. It's all proportional, it's all. That's why I think there's a point of redundancy with survivor entries. You shouldn't be buying us. Sorry, Derek Stevens, I apologize for this, but literally, like, if you buy fifty of them proportionally, you're still going to be down the same amount.

Sixty two seventy four point seventy three percent, so it's almost identical. It is almost identical, one point five percent behind, and we still have two games to go, almost the exact same percentage, which corroborates my point from the beginning that all it doesn't matter if you buy fifty survivor entries. It's all proportional, it's all. That's why I think there's a point of redundancy with survivor entries. You shouldn't be buying us. Sorry, Derek Stevens, I apologize for this, but literally, like, if you buy fifty of them proportionally, you're still going to be down the same amount.

I love the up the amount just because I think the conversation about it's fascinating. It's like, what the what the real or the best number, ideal number is to play it?

I love the up the amount just because I think the conversation about it's fascinating. It's like, what the what the real or the best number, ideal number is to play it?

Yeah, yeah, it's it's tremidous. So two. I had two on Kansas City, I had one on the Jaguars. We'll talk obviously about each and every game week number three. The biggest thing I can say before we get into the games from yesterday. First of all, for those who are just tuning in for the first time, we've done this for over a decade, Chris Andrews and I have done it. And the reason that we do this is because the first impression is typically the best. I won't say typically, oftentimes most of the time the best. Kelly last Monday is a perfect example. Well, we're the three games sided. I love the Detroit Lions, I love the Seattle Seahawks. I love the Miami Dolphins. Bingo, bengo, bengo. I probably should have said bongo on the last one, but and now Miami, even Miami on the By the end of the week, I was already with I was like, I don't know if I like that pick so much, but it shows you the first impression is the right one. Yeah, typically that's what happened.

Yeah, yeah, it's it's tremidous. So two. I had two on Kansas City, I had one on the Jaguars. We'll talk obviously about each and every game week number three. The biggest thing I can say before we get into the games from yesterday. First of all, for those who are just tuning in for the first time, we've done this for over a decade, Chris Andrews and I have done it. And the reason that we do this is because the first impression is typically the best. I won't say typically, oftentimes most of the time the best. Kelly last Monday is a perfect example. Well, we're the three games sided. I love the Detroit Lions, I love the Seattle Seahawks. I love the Miami Dolphins. Bingo, bengo, bengo. I probably should have said bongo on the last one, but and now Miami, even Miami on the By the end of the week, I was already with I was like, I don't know if I like that pick so much, but it shows you the first impression is the right one. Yeah, typically that's what happened.

I think there's also a Wattle injury news right that probably made you a little bit more concerned.

I think there's also a Wattle injury news right that probably made you a little bit more concerned.

It made me a little bit. Wes Reynolds had a good dissertation on Denver on the megapod. It was like the whole thing. But man, I mean, by the way, let me just say this about Kelly, though, you're what in millions.

It made me a little bit. Wes Reynolds had a good dissertation on Denver on the megapod. It was like the whole thing. But man, I mean, by the way, let me just say this about Kelly, though, you're what in millions.

Through three weeks eleven and four, bruh, eleven and four, Let's go. I don't think it's gonna be good enough for the core. But hey man, let's keep it rolling. We both had four and ones in millions this week.

Through three weeks eleven and four, bruh, eleven and four, Let's go. I don't think it's gonna be good enough for the core. But hey man, let's keep it rolling. We both had four and ones in millions this week.

Jack's nine didn't get there. Jack Mine was Washington. On this day of atonement, yom kipor, ladies and gentlemen, may I atone for the pick of Washington. That was stupid. It's always the fifth pick. Do you ever feel like that?

Jack's nine didn't get there. Jack Mine was Washington. On this day of atonement, yom kipor, ladies and gentlemen, may I atone for the pick of Washington. That was stupid. It's always the fifth pick. Do you ever feel like that?

Do you ever feel like you get to four, like relatively easily, You always got to add one more so it makes his contest impossible.

Do you ever feel like you get to four, like relatively easily, You always got to add one more so it makes his contest impossible.

It really does. It's really amazing. Let's get to it because obviously so much talk about the headline, maybe of all headlines, being just coaching decision nightmare galore. Let's do the Thursday night game. Let's get that out of the way, all right. Thursday night we got Lions at Packers. Lions at Packers. Again. We go through the game from this past week, or the games that apply to the teams that are in the matchups this coming week, and we try, I don't know the lines I come in with in a cocoon, I guess the lines. Kelly will tell us the can census actual line, and within that process we hope to extract some value first impressions of the upcoming week's lines. Obviously still a double header of football tonight, Detroit at green Bay. You said, is that? What you said? Is that correct? Two in one Lions, two in one Packers and NFC Norris Division clashes. Chris Burmer usul to say, Detroit beats Atlanta and again some of the easiest handicaps thus far in the early season, I feel have been the sort of transitive property where I said week two, I said, Seattle got crushed by the Rams in Week one, and so all of you who thought the Seahawks were going to be the fourth best team in the NFC, the market seems to have forgotten that. And the Lions were big six point favorites against the Seahawks in Week two. And the same thing applied here with the Lions, which is, how in the world are the Lions only three point favorites for the Falcons when a lot of people thought they'd be the fourth best team in the NFC after they get beat by Seattle. The recency buyas is amazing. Anyway, we pick up Detroit Atlanta halftime stats. The score was thirteen to three Lions at this point, Desmond Ritter had been sacked four times for the Falcons. By the half, the Falcons only had six first downs, They were one of six on third down. They only had eighty four total yards, and by contrast, Jared Goff was fifteen of twenty one for one eighty eight with one touchdown, no score. It had not been sacked, and yet the Lions were only up ten. Despite that statistical mismatch, a third quarter to Lions punted young Heyko missed the forty seven yard field will try teams traded punts two more times than the last play of the third quarter, still a thirteenth to three game. Third and fourteen at their own eighteen golf was picked by Jesse Bates the third and you figured, oh, okay, here it is. Despite the statistical matchup, Atlanta's gonna get back in the game. But a four and out for Atlanta fourth and fourth of Detroit thirty two failed. Ridder incomplete intended for London. Lions then went sixty three yards golf in from three out twenty to three Detroit with nine to fifty left. They end up winning it twenty to six. Kind of a whole football game. Golf finished twenty two of thirty three for two forty three, one touchdown, one pick. He was not sacked. He did score on the ground as well, And I'm on Saint Brown, Amon Ross, Saint Brown, pardon me. Nine catches for one hundred two yards. Green Bay beats the New Orleans Saints in a game where Derek Carr got bounced first of all. New Orleans went up to went up seventeen to nothing in this game. It was fourth and two at the New Orleans forty four in a scoreless game for Green Bay. They went for it and failed. It was a halfback play where he threw it back to Jordan Love. He threw it low Jordan Love split you know, slipped almost to the splits, missed a wide open receiver. Saints subsequently went fifty six yards car to Jimmy Graham from made out seven to nothing New Orleans six forty left in the first quarter. Teams traded punts, then ten forty seven left in the second quarter. Daniel Wielin punted for Green Bay. Rashid Shaheed to the house seventy six yards to peytrt fourteen to nothing. New Orleans. As I said, it was seventeen to nothing. At halftime and then the Saints first possession Kelly in the second half, third and nine at midfield, Derek Carr sacked by Rashaan Gary, hurt his shoulder, went to the locker room, never returned. Jamis in your guy, that's right. Teams sweet five yard out to go, first to go. Teams traded punts. Fourth quarter, still down seventeen to nothing. We're in the fourth quarter, fourth and two at the New Orleans thirteen and Matt Lafleur decides, you know what, we need three scores. We're not gonna kick the field goal. We'll go for it. First play the fourth quarter, Pack go for it Love incomplete intended for Patrick Taylor. Still still seventeen to nothing. New Orleans three and out. Pack matriculate again. This time they do kick a field goal Anders Carlson from thirty eight. It's seventeen to three, still down two touchdowns now with eleven minutes left. Didn't kick the field goal the first time, decided to kick it the second time. After a Saints punt, Green Bay goes eighty yards Love in from one on fourth and goal, down seventeen to nine, down eight add Matt Lafleur to the list of coaches down eight in that situation, who decided to go for two analytically driven love to Samory Terrey. It is converted seventeen to eleven, six fifty five left, New Orleans another three and out Green Bay go's eighty more love to Jaden Reid the big one, love to Romeo domsrom eight out eighteen to seventeen. Green Bay two to fifty six left. New Orleans does get it into field goal range behind Jamis, but Blake Groupe misses from forty six wide right. Once En left ballgame as Green Bay kneels it out outscored New Orleans eighteen to nothing in the fourth quarter alone, erasing the seventeen to nothing deficit. Jordan Love twenty two to forty four for two to fifty nine, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once. Nine carries for thirty nine yards and a touchdown. He was their leading rusher as well. Eleven penalties for ninety yards to the Packers. They need to clean that up, as they say. Detroit at Green Bay two two and one teams vying for the division lead. I said, I don't know if I was lazy, but I said A pick them what is it?

It really does. It's really amazing. Let's get to it because obviously so much talk about the headline, maybe of all headlines, being just coaching decision nightmare galore. Let's do the Thursday night game. Let's get that out of the way, all right. Thursday night we got Lions at Packers. Lions at Packers. Again. We go through the game from this past week, or the games that apply to the teams that are in the matchups this coming week, and we try, I don't know the lines I come in with in a cocoon, I guess the lines. Kelly will tell us the can census actual line, and within that process we hope to extract some value first impressions of the upcoming week's lines. Obviously still a double header of football tonight, Detroit at green Bay. You said, is that? What you said? Is that correct? Two in one Lions, two in one Packers and NFC Norris Division clashes. Chris Burmer usul to say, Detroit beats Atlanta and again some of the easiest handicaps thus far in the early season, I feel have been the sort of transitive property where I said week two, I said, Seattle got crushed by the Rams in Week one, and so all of you who thought the Seahawks were going to be the fourth best team in the NFC, the market seems to have forgotten that. And the Lions were big six point favorites against the Seahawks in Week two. And the same thing applied here with the Lions, which is, how in the world are the Lions only three point favorites for the Falcons when a lot of people thought they'd be the fourth best team in the NFC after they get beat by Seattle. The recency buyas is amazing. Anyway, we pick up Detroit Atlanta halftime stats. The score was thirteen to three Lions at this point, Desmond Ritter had been sacked four times for the Falcons. By the half, the Falcons only had six first downs, They were one of six on third down. They only had eighty four total yards, and by contrast, Jared Goff was fifteen of twenty one for one eighty eight with one touchdown, no score. It had not been sacked, and yet the Lions were only up ten. Despite that statistical mismatch, a third quarter to Lions punted young Heyko missed the forty seven yard field will try teams traded punts two more times than the last play of the third quarter, still a thirteenth to three game. Third and fourteen at their own eighteen golf was picked by Jesse Bates the third and you figured, oh, okay, here it is. Despite the statistical matchup, Atlanta's gonna get back in the game. But a four and out for Atlanta fourth and fourth of Detroit thirty two failed. Ridder incomplete intended for London. Lions then went sixty three yards golf in from three out twenty to three Detroit with nine to fifty left. They end up winning it twenty to six. Kind of a whole football game. Golf finished twenty two of thirty three for two forty three, one touchdown, one pick. He was not sacked. He did score on the ground as well, And I'm on Saint Brown, Amon Ross, Saint Brown, pardon me. Nine catches for one hundred two yards. Green Bay beats the New Orleans Saints in a game where Derek Carr got bounced first of all. New Orleans went up to went up seventeen to nothing in this game. It was fourth and two at the New Orleans forty four in a scoreless game for Green Bay. They went for it and failed. It was a halfback play where he threw it back to Jordan Love. He threw it low Jordan Love split you know, slipped almost to the splits, missed a wide open receiver. Saints subsequently went fifty six yards car to Jimmy Graham from made out seven to nothing New Orleans six forty left in the first quarter. Teams traded punts, then ten forty seven left in the second quarter. Daniel Wielin punted for Green Bay. Rashid Shaheed to the house seventy six yards to peytrt fourteen to nothing. New Orleans. As I said, it was seventeen to nothing. At halftime and then the Saints first possession Kelly in the second half, third and nine at midfield, Derek Carr sacked by Rashaan Gary, hurt his shoulder, went to the locker room, never returned. Jamis in your guy, that's right. Teams sweet five yard out to go, first to go. Teams traded punts. Fourth quarter, still down seventeen to nothing. We're in the fourth quarter, fourth and two at the New Orleans thirteen and Matt Lafleur decides, you know what, we need three scores. We're not gonna kick the field goal. We'll go for it. First play the fourth quarter, Pack go for it Love incomplete intended for Patrick Taylor. Still still seventeen to nothing. New Orleans three and out. Pack matriculate again. This time they do kick a field goal Anders Carlson from thirty eight. It's seventeen to three, still down two touchdowns now with eleven minutes left. Didn't kick the field goal the first time, decided to kick it the second time. After a Saints punt, Green Bay goes eighty yards Love in from one on fourth and goal, down seventeen to nine, down eight add Matt Lafleur to the list of coaches down eight in that situation, who decided to go for two analytically driven love to Samory Terrey. It is converted seventeen to eleven, six fifty five left, New Orleans another three and out Green Bay go's eighty more love to Jaden Reid the big one, love to Romeo domsrom eight out eighteen to seventeen. Green Bay two to fifty six left. New Orleans does get it into field goal range behind Jamis, but Blake Groupe misses from forty six wide right. Once En left ballgame as Green Bay kneels it out outscored New Orleans eighteen to nothing in the fourth quarter alone, erasing the seventeen to nothing deficit. Jordan Love twenty two to forty four for two to fifty nine, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once. Nine carries for thirty nine yards and a touchdown. He was their leading rusher as well. Eleven penalties for ninety yards to the Packers. They need to clean that up, as they say. Detroit at Green Bay two two and one teams vying for the division lead. I said, I don't know if I was lazy, but I said A pick them what is it?

This is Detroit one at DraftKings right now? You shop around though, this is mainly one and a half two in the market for Detroit.

This is Detroit one at DraftKings right now? You shop around though, this is mainly one and a half two in the market for Detroit.

One and a half two for Detroit. Yeah, I mean, I guess I'm not gonna go crazy about that.

One and a half two for Detroit. Yeah, I mean, I guess I'm not gonna go crazy about that.

Yeah, No, I guess I know that they. I mean Packers walk away with a win yesterday. I think I've got more concerns after a win actually about with that team.

Yeah, No, I guess I know that they. I mean Packers walk away with a win yesterday. I think I've got more concerns after a win actually about with that team.

Do you have an NC North ticket on them?

Do you have an NC North ticket on them?

Too? No? I do not, Okay, no, it might must be Matt Brownd then I've got that NNC North ticket on Jordan Love is just still hard to figure out. You know, I think there's some there's some downfield throws he's missing.

Too? No? I do not, Okay, no, it might must be Matt Brownd then I've got that NNC North ticket on Jordan Love is just still hard to figure out. You know, I think there's some there's some downfield throws he's missing.

You know.

You know.

It reminds me a little bit of Rock Party, a little bit where they're finding some success, but there's just some throws he's missing.

It reminds me a little bit of Rock Party, a little bit where they're finding some success, but there's just some throws he's missing.

That.

That.

Yeah, you know, you just see points and opportunities left out on the field. So there are definitely some questions walking away from that game. And you mentioned the running game. You know, it's like a j. Dillon, you know, struggling to get things going when everybody has talked about this guy like he's gonna be the next big thing up there. I think they need that two headed monster running strong.

Yeah, you know, you just see points and opportunities left out on the field. So there are definitely some questions walking away from that game. And you mentioned the running game. You know, it's like a j. Dillon, you know, struggling to get things going when everybody has talked about this guy like he's gonna be the next big thing up there. I think they need that two headed monster running strong.

Yeah. I just I think there is not an outcome that would surprise me in this game. I suppose one team just blew the other off the field. Maybe it would, yeah, but nothing would surprise me in this game.

Yeah. I just I think there is not an outcome that would surprise me in this game. I suppose one team just blew the other off the field. Maybe it would, yeah, but nothing would surprise me in this game.

Yeah, I hear you, Yeah it would be past. But I don't really have any interest. And I think the other thing is just going back to that Detroit Atlanta game. I got involved with this with this small yesterday, but I think Atlanta, will you talk about a team if they fall behind, like, I am more than ready to live bet the other side because I just don't trust Ritard and get them back in these games.

Yeah, I hear you, Yeah it would be past. But I don't really have any interest. And I think the other thing is just going back to that Detroit Atlanta game. I got involved with this with this small yesterday, but I think Atlanta, will you talk about a team if they fall behind, like, I am more than ready to live bet the other side because I just don't trust Ritard and get them back in these games.

Well, we'll get to them when we get to them. But one of my things going into this is I'm anxious to hear what my guess is juxtaposed against that line, because I'm wondering if Atlanta is that team this year that constantly gets overrated by the market. Yeah, early on it kind of feels that way to me. I defense, but what happens when you get behind? That's the Thursday night gave no real uh real big thought or no real triggering of a bet there. We'll get to Sunday. Week four in the National Football League. We review it all from week three numbers game Visa the Sports Betting.

Well, we'll get to them when we get to them. But one of my things going into this is I'm anxious to hear what my guess is juxtaposed against that line, because I'm wondering if Atlanta is that team this year that constantly gets overrated by the market. Yeah, early on it kind of feels that way to me. I defense, but what happens when you get behind? That's the Thursday night gave no real uh real big thought or no real triggering of a bet there. We'll get to Sunday. Week four in the National Football League. We review it all from week three numbers game Visa the Sports Betting.

Network Numbers game.

Network Numbers game.

He scores.

He scores.

Betting Network put the Vison experts to work for you this football season. To start betting smarter with the Vson Pros subscription, sign up now and save forty percent off our football season special. When you use promo code an G. Get access to everything we do this football season, including our daily best bets with a leader board to see which Vison expert has the hot hand, betting splits to show you where the money and bets are moving for every game, plus betting systems, premium analysis and twenty four to seven video access. Remember to use promo code an G. That's for a numbers game to say forty percent when you sign up on a football season special today. Sign up today at Vison dot com slash subscribe Gil Alexander, Kelly Bidlin guessing lines for week four. We get tweets at beating the book from this morning. Charlie d USA number one survivor Carnage. He says, yes, indeed it was Grayson Rossi. It's a shame nothing happened yesterday in football. I don't know how Gil's gonna fill time with his recaps during guessing lines today. I think we will figure it out. Jesse Welch, I'm sure you're getting a ton of this, but it looks like maybe Todd wishneb was actually correct about going for two first attempt went down to score. Surprise. The debate on the first megapot of the year was a fezick and wish nev think eighty percent of teams get to go for two when they're down fourteen and they score to get it to eight, and me and Will Hill were like, there's no chance at eighty. But there was more of that going on yesterday. Well, I mean green Bay did somebody else do it? I thought? I thought, I said Nick Kendhammer, so funny finishing last week's A ANDNG and Kelly was worried about the Dolphins without Waddle, Well, yeah, nould be worried now. My dot is zero two over under two and a half. Sports Betting Truth Serum references on Guessing lines with Gil today. This also from Charlie Devers, is I think Mike Tomlin may be the only coach that practices the end of game scenarios. These guru coaches don't rehearse practice these critical moments. Feels like a lack of discipline and not understanding practical experience. We will get to all of that obviously. Josh McDaniel's coming up on the show. Brand it's Dalley coming up on the show. I think it gets back to something we've talked about many times on the beating of Book Mega, perhaps on a numbers game too, which is Kelly. I think these coaches are so x's and o's tunnel visioned right. They are all week long myopic with their x's and o's that I really feel like we watch actually more football than they do, more actual football game than they do. They're so wrapped up in their lab that when it comes to situational analysis, some of them appear.

Betting Network put the Vison experts to work for you this football season. To start betting smarter with the Vson Pros subscription, sign up now and save forty percent off our football season special. When you use promo code an G. Get access to everything we do this football season, including our daily best bets with a leader board to see which Vison expert has the hot hand, betting splits to show you where the money and bets are moving for every game, plus betting systems, premium analysis and twenty four to seven video access. Remember to use promo code an G. That's for a numbers game to say forty percent when you sign up on a football season special today. Sign up today at Vison dot com slash subscribe Gil Alexander, Kelly Bidlin guessing lines for week four. We get tweets at beating the book from this morning. Charlie d USA number one survivor Carnage. He says, yes, indeed it was Grayson Rossi. It's a shame nothing happened yesterday in football. I don't know how Gil's gonna fill time with his recaps during guessing lines today. I think we will figure it out. Jesse Welch, I'm sure you're getting a ton of this, but it looks like maybe Todd wishneb was actually correct about going for two first attempt went down to score. Surprise. The debate on the first megapot of the year was a fezick and wish nev think eighty percent of teams get to go for two when they're down fourteen and they score to get it to eight, and me and Will Hill were like, there's no chance at eighty. But there was more of that going on yesterday. Well, I mean green Bay did somebody else do it? I thought? I thought, I said Nick Kendhammer, so funny finishing last week's A ANDNG and Kelly was worried about the Dolphins without Waddle, Well, yeah, nould be worried now. My dot is zero two over under two and a half. Sports Betting Truth Serum references on Guessing lines with Gil today. This also from Charlie Devers, is I think Mike Tomlin may be the only coach that practices the end of game scenarios. These guru coaches don't rehearse practice these critical moments. Feels like a lack of discipline and not understanding practical experience. We will get to all of that obviously. Josh McDaniel's coming up on the show. Brand it's Dalley coming up on the show. I think it gets back to something we've talked about many times on the beating of Book Mega, perhaps on a numbers game too, which is Kelly. I think these coaches are so x's and o's tunnel visioned right. They are all week long myopic with their x's and o's that I really feel like we watch actually more football than they do, more actual football game than they do. They're so wrapped up in their lab that when it comes to situational analysis, some of them appear.

To be clueless, which we'll get to. Yeah, on all of these really I hear you. I mean, it's one of those one of those things I've said for a long time, but it's like the it was. It's like when online pokery became a big thing where people became so much more knowledgeable when it came to the odds and hands because you're playing so many hands versus the guy who's just playing live in real life. So we always talk about, like hire the kid who's twenty five that I know has hundreds of hours of bad and under his belt because time score situation, he's seen this stuff a thousand times.

To be clueless, which we'll get to. Yeah, on all of these really I hear you. I mean, it's one of those one of those things I've said for a long time, but it's like the it was. It's like when online pokery became a big thing where people became so much more knowledgeable when it came to the odds and hands because you're playing so many hands versus the guy who's just playing live in real life. So we always talk about, like hire the kid who's twenty five that I know has hundreds of hours of bad and under his belt because time score situation, he's seen this stuff a thousand times.

Jay and Jay watering Hole. Is Josh McDaniel your new Anthony Lynn on decision making guessing he will need multiple segments like he needed multip possessions to cover this buffoon this morning. We'll get to Josh VI Daniel. We'll get it in time. Let's go to Sunday because we want to do this chronologically. Try to extract some value here London. Maybe Jacksonville will feel more at home there. Gil Falcons Verst the Jags in London. I actually, I actually do think those are good games for Jacksonville to be in London. They played more London games than anybody. They know the routine better than anybody. Atlanta, as we just talked about, they are two and one. They lost to Green Bay Ridder in the end Desmond Ridder twenty one of thirty eight for two a one, no touchdowns, no picks.

Jay and Jay watering Hole. Is Josh McDaniel your new Anthony Lynn on decision making guessing he will need multiple segments like he needed multip possessions to cover this buffoon this morning. We'll get to Josh VI Daniel. We'll get it in time. Let's go to Sunday because we want to do this chronologically. Try to extract some value here London. Maybe Jacksonville will feel more at home there. Gil Falcons Verst the Jags in London. I actually, I actually do think those are good games for Jacksonville to be in London. They played more London games than anybody. They know the routine better than anybody. Atlanta, as we just talked about, they are two and one. They lost to Green Bay Ridder in the end Desmond Ridder twenty one of thirty eight for two a one, no touchdowns, no picks.

He was sacked seven times.

He was sacked seven times.

By the Green Bay Packers, one hundred and eighty three total yards for the Falcons offense in that loss, and as far as Jacksonville, which again survivor carnage, including one of mine and Kelly's only survivor play and I guess Matt Brown all three of his is what we are led to believe. Oh yeah, yeah, I forgot forgot them.

By the Green Bay Packers, one hundred and eighty three total yards for the Falcons offense in that loss, and as far as Jacksonville, which again survivor carnage, including one of mine and Kelly's only survivor play and I guess Matt Brown all three of his is what we are led to believe. Oh yeah, yeah, I forgot forgot them.

Yeah, that's he does that.

Yeah, that's he does that.

Jacksonville loses to Houston, I believe for the tenth time in eleven to the Houston Texans. That is there kryptonite. After a McManus missed forty eight yard field goal, Texans win sixty two yards, most on a Stroud to Tank Dell forty six yard game. Two plays later, Damian Pierce in from one seven to nothing, Houston seven thirty five left. First quarter. All right, no big deal, one score After trade Uponts, McManus has a fifty one yard attempt blocked. Houston then goes fifty nine yards Stroud to Brevan Johnson from four out, fourteen to nothing, Houston seven to twenty seven left in the second quarter, and already survivor panic sets in for those with Jacksonville entries. After a trade of months Jacksonville third and ten at the Houston forty five one thirteen laft. Second quarter, Lawrence to Jamal Agnew passed the sticks but hit by Eric Murray. He fumbles, Blake Cashman recovers, Texans get a twenty eight yard fairburn Field goal came he fairburn field goal out of it seventeen to nothing Houston at the half. Halftime stats Stroud fourteen of twenty one for one sixty two, seven point seven yards per attempt, Lawrence ten of sixteen for eighty nine. Jags were one of six on third downs. Okay, Jags take the opening drive of the quarter sixty seven yards, helped by a Texans PI bigsby in from one seventeen to seven Houston, and if you have the Jacksonville survivor entry, you're like, okay, is a good start. Then then after a Houston three and ount McMahon's thirty three yard field well cuts the lead to Houston seventeen to ten, four thirty six left third quarter, if you've got the Jacksonville survivor entries.

Jacksonville loses to Houston, I believe for the tenth time in eleven to the Houston Texans. That is there kryptonite. After a McManus missed forty eight yard field goal, Texans win sixty two yards, most on a Stroud to Tank Dell forty six yard game. Two plays later, Damian Pierce in from one seven to nothing, Houston seven thirty five left. First quarter. All right, no big deal, one score After trade Uponts, McManus has a fifty one yard attempt blocked. Houston then goes fifty nine yards Stroud to Brevan Johnson from four out, fourteen to nothing, Houston seven to twenty seven left in the second quarter, and already survivor panic sets in for those with Jacksonville entries. After a trade of months Jacksonville third and ten at the Houston forty five one thirteen laft. Second quarter, Lawrence to Jamal Agnew passed the sticks but hit by Eric Murray. He fumbles, Blake Cashman recovers, Texans get a twenty eight yard fairburn Field goal came he fairburn field goal out of it seventeen to nothing Houston at the half. Halftime stats Stroud fourteen of twenty one for one sixty two, seven point seven yards per attempt, Lawrence ten of sixteen for eighty nine. Jags were one of six on third downs. Okay, Jags take the opening drive of the quarter sixty seven yards, helped by a Texans PI bigsby in from one seventeen to seven Houston, and if you have the Jacksonville survivor entry, you're like, okay, is a good start. Then then after a Houston three and ount McMahon's thirty three yard field well cuts the lead to Houston seventeen to ten, four thirty six left third quarter, if you've got the Jacksonville survivor entries.

You're like, Okay, still in a gill, No problem, this is happening, especially since what percentage Ben and I were talking about this quick yesterday. What percentage of people like me were on the Jags and also on the Giants the week before? So you were in no sweat town right now, No no problem.

You're like, Okay, still in a gill, No problem, this is happening, especially since what percentage Ben and I were talking about this quick yesterday. What percentage of people like me were on the Jags and also on the Giants the week before? So you were in no sweat town right now, No no problem.

After that week before, Jags have all the momentum ensuing kickoff mortar kick, full back Andrew Beck fumbles it, picks it up off the turf, goes fifty five yards to the hiszy twenty four to ten Houston for eighteen left third quarter and at that point you might have said to yourself, maybe it's not gonna happen at all.

After that week before, Jags have all the momentum ensuing kickoff mortar kick, full back Andrew Beck fumbles it, picks it up off the turf, goes fifty five yards to the hiszy twenty four to ten Houston for eighteen left third quarter and at that point you might have said to yourself, maybe it's not gonna happen at all.

Things I shouldn't say on air. But were you not watching that return and thinking to yourself, I could.

Things I shouldn't say on air. But were you not watching that return and thinking to yourself, I could.

Have got that guy reminded who was the new England lineman who almost took it to the house the one time? Man? Yeah, I remember, and I don't remember who it was.

Have got that guy reminded who was the new England lineman who almost took it to the house the one time? Man? Yeah, I remember, and I don't remember who it was.

I don't remember, but I was like, he started breaking out to the edge and I'm like, okay, well someonlet's get it, get him, And You're like, where is everybody?

I don't remember, but I was like, he started breaking out to the edge and I'm like, okay, well someonlet's get it, get him, And You're like, where is everybody?

This This led Wishnev late last night into a big rabbit hole of how many fullbacks have ever returned a punt for a touchdown?

This This led Wishnev late last night into a big rabbit hole of how many fullbacks have ever returned a punt for a touchdown?

I believe it was the He's the heaviest man to ever return a kick for a touchdown.

I believe it was the He's the heaviest man to ever return a kick for a touchdown.

I believe is what I heard, Yes, Dar unbelievable. Twenty four to ten Houston, four eighteen left third quarter, fifth play, following drive Jags third and seven at the Houston thirty eight Lawrence picked by Blake Cashman two twenty left third quarter. Texans up twenty seven to ten when the Jags get it within ten again, twenty seven to seventeen on a Lawrence to Kirk twenty six yard touchdown pass with ten forty left, But then Houston put the nail on the coffin. They go seventy five yards in three plays. Stroud to Christian Kirk for sixty eight thirty four to seventeen with eight fifty nine left forget about it. Texans would end up winning thirty seven to seventeen. Survivor Kart and I ash once again. Over two thousand entries in circa gone Lawrence twenty seven of forty for two seventy nine, one touchdown, one pick was not sacked, minus two and turnovers that led to a plus six net Texans points. This is London, It's Atlanta at Jacksonville. I will say, I put Jacksonville in no man's landa I put them in minus five and a half.

I believe is what I heard, Yes, Dar unbelievable. Twenty four to ten Houston, four eighteen left third quarter, fifth play, following drive Jags third and seven at the Houston thirty eight Lawrence picked by Blake Cashman two twenty left third quarter. Texans up twenty seven to ten when the Jags get it within ten again, twenty seven to seventeen on a Lawrence to Kirk twenty six yard touchdown pass with ten forty left, But then Houston put the nail on the coffin. They go seventy five yards in three plays. Stroud to Christian Kirk for sixty eight thirty four to seventeen with eight fifty nine left forget about it. Texans would end up winning thirty seven to seventeen. Survivor Kart and I ash once again. Over two thousand entries in circa gone Lawrence twenty seven of forty for two seventy nine, one touchdown, one pick was not sacked, minus two and turnovers that led to a plus six net Texans points. This is London, It's Atlanta at Jacksonville. I will say, I put Jacksonville in no man's landa I put them in minus five and a half.

Oh wow, Jags three basically painted across the board.

Oh wow, Jags three basically painted across the board.

Okay, so here's my reaction to that, exactly what I was saying out before the break. I feel like Atlanta might end up being the chronically overvalued team in the market every week because I don't know what it is about this team that what is it about Desmond Ritter in this offense that leads anyone to believe they should be this tightly lined at Detroit And then okay, you can say, oh, well it's London, it's not Jacksonville. I actually think it's a bigger advantage to Jacksonville this travel because they're so familiar with it as a franchise. They have this streamlined. So I think three is way low. I like the Jaguars here.

Okay, so here's my reaction to that, exactly what I was saying out before the break. I feel like Atlanta might end up being the chronically overvalued team in the market every week because I don't know what it is about this team that what is it about Desmond Ritter in this offense that leads anyone to believe they should be this tightly lined at Detroit And then okay, you can say, oh, well it's London, it's not Jacksonville. I actually think it's a bigger advantage to Jacksonville this travel because they're so familiar with it as a franchise. They have this streamlined. So I think three is way low. I like the Jaguars here.

I think, without a doubt, you got to get at this point like you're you're at this point.

I think, without a doubt, you got to get at this point like you're you're at this point.

They've done made this trip so many times.

They've done made this trip so many times.

I agree with you. I think you've got a factor in a half point or a point home field advantage for the Jags in a situation we do. Because I'm with you, I don't know that I can get back to the Jags this week, not not only after last week, but their game against Kansas City too.

I agree with you. I think you've got a factor in a half point or a point home field advantage for the Jags in a situation we do. Because I'm with you, I don't know that I can get back to the Jags this week, not not only after last week, but their game against Kansas City too.

Right, Like they are like they are?

Right, Like they are like they are?

They have problems in all three phases. The offense hasn't been able to put it all together. They're relying on Calvin Ridley way too much. He might be banged up heading into this game. The defense, I mean, how many times yesterday there was wide open Texans receivers just why you know, running in wide open gaps catching passes. Nobody even there. And then the special teams was a freaking disaster yesterday. You're talking what a missed field goal? A blocked field goal? They'll return kick for a touchdown?

They have problems in all three phases. The offense hasn't been able to put it all together. They're relying on Calvin Ridley way too much. He might be banged up heading into this game. The defense, I mean, how many times yesterday there was wide open Texans receivers just why you know, running in wide open gaps catching passes. Nobody even there. And then the special teams was a freaking disaster yesterday. You're talking what a missed field goal? A blocked field goal? They'll return kick for a touchdown?

Yea? Like they are.

Yea? Like they are.

They have problems in all three phases right now?

They have problems in all three phases right now?

And how are you feeling about your Jaguars Division bet? Similar to this game? Right?

And how are you feeling about your Jaguars Division bet? Similar to this game? Right?

If I was more confident in this team, I'd be double dipping right now. I'd be laying the three against Atlanta because I'm not that high on Atlanta, and I'd be getting more involved with a division ticket.

If I was more confident in this team, I'd be double dipping right now. I'd be laying the three against Atlanta because I'm not that high on Atlanta, and I'd be getting more involved with a division ticket.

I'm not super concerned.

I'm not super concerned.

About it yet, Gill, but man, this team's got to put some things together. I'll lay the three, You're like three. Okay, I like this. I might get there too. It's because I'm not very high in Atlanta. And again I think, if you can get ten points up on this team, it's done. It's over, because I don't believe in Desmond Rere leading back to this team from a come from behind victory at all.

About it yet, Gill, but man, this team's got to put some things together. I'll lay the three, You're like three. Okay, I like this. I might get there too. It's because I'm not very high in Atlanta. And again I think, if you can get ten points up on this team, it's done. It's over, because I don't believe in Desmond Rere leading back to this team from a come from behind victory at all.

They killed Jacksonville killed my teaser of the week. I mean, I was four and one in millions to survivor entries betting Great Great Sunday in the NFL betting, but the teaser got crushed again. Visit Jags couldn't even win. So yeah, I mean, I mean it's not like I think they're the greatest team in the world, but I just if I'm only laying three, I'll take them here. Yeah, yeah, I mean, I'm with you.

They killed Jacksonville killed my teaser of the week. I mean, I was four and one in millions to survivor entries betting Great Great Sunday in the NFL betting, but the teaser got crushed again. Visit Jags couldn't even win. So yeah, I mean, I mean it's not like I think they're the greatest team in the world, but I just if I'm only laying three, I'll take them here. Yeah, yeah, I mean, I'm with you.

When I first saw this line, I was like, man, Lily three, Like I thought it was gonna be kind of no man's land too, like four, something like that. I might get there, but man, this team's got they.

When I first saw this line, I was like, man, Lily three, Like I thought it was gonna be kind of no man's land too, like four, something like that. I might get there, but man, this team's got they.

Got some work to do. Man, for sure, we'll come back. We got a lot of games to get to obviously, we'll get in catch up mode here. I also want to get to the notion of the last undefeated team and the last winless team. When my Panthers fifteen to one tickets still alive, very pumped about that. Come on, Panthers keep losing, and then I don't want to get crazy about someone losing their job, but my EVERFLUS ticket, which is almost sixteen to one, also, I mean, come on, can we can we just end it there in Chicago. I won't rejoice because I don't like a guy losing his job, but that is a bet as well. We shall see more guessing lines week four, right here on a numbers game at Visa these Sports Betting Network coming back. It's skill, Alexander, It's Kelly Bidlin live at Bark, Canada at the d doing some guessing lines. Fezick and I are having a childish, childish text exchange. Would you like to hear how it goes? It goes like this, he says, Fessik goes no way, we can make this line even three I predicted, goes down to two and a half, even giving Jacksonville one for home field. And then you tell me, oh, a two and a half actually popped somewhere right, We've already done this game. You tell me a two and a half actually popped. I saw one this morning, okay, but it popped. So I said to Fesek, I go past post. You've already seen a two and a half pop. He goes, no, forty dollars mandatory fine for a false accusation past post. And then I said to him, we saw a two and a half pop. Kelly told me eighty dollars fine for accusing someone falsely. For accusing someone falsely. Good. So you guys have find each children absolute children. We get tweets at beating the book. This is from Brandon Webb. I would imagine Green Bay gets Aaron Jones back this week. Only reason I keep track is because I traded Cooper Cup for him the day before his setback. In quotes Ben Handorf, Gilly, what are you think about the upcoming slate for survivor? In a pool with some work friends north of the border, and there's now only forty percent of the twelve hundred remaining. Oh, that's actually a pretty stout survivor group, if only for if forty percent of remaining, Because circa's down to almost twenty five percent. We lost four of eight entries this week with Dallas and Jacksonville seriously interested in what you think hashtag tough week. Well, I will let you know by the end of the show when I have seen all the options here and can really digest him. Chris Sells fill many preseason talked of having one survivor pick just for against Arizona. I think the Bears may be the ticket. I can't imagine them winning a game. You're right, they may be the new Arizona, because honestly, Arizona could be and maybe should be three and zero. That's how amazing that is. And then Wegg's pool he said eighty five yards. You said fifty five?

Got some work to do. Man, for sure, we'll come back. We got a lot of games to get to obviously, we'll get in catch up mode here. I also want to get to the notion of the last undefeated team and the last winless team. When my Panthers fifteen to one tickets still alive, very pumped about that. Come on, Panthers keep losing, and then I don't want to get crazy about someone losing their job, but my EVERFLUS ticket, which is almost sixteen to one, also, I mean, come on, can we can we just end it there in Chicago. I won't rejoice because I don't like a guy losing his job, but that is a bet as well. We shall see more guessing lines week four, right here on a numbers game at Visa these Sports Betting Network coming back. It's skill, Alexander, It's Kelly Bidlin live at Bark, Canada at the d doing some guessing lines. Fezick and I are having a childish, childish text exchange. Would you like to hear how it goes? It goes like this, he says, Fessik goes no way, we can make this line even three I predicted, goes down to two and a half, even giving Jacksonville one for home field. And then you tell me, oh, a two and a half actually popped somewhere right, We've already done this game. You tell me a two and a half actually popped. I saw one this morning, okay, but it popped. So I said to Fesek, I go past post. You've already seen a two and a half pop. He goes, no, forty dollars mandatory fine for a false accusation past post. And then I said to him, we saw a two and a half pop. Kelly told me eighty dollars fine for accusing someone falsely. For accusing someone falsely. Good. So you guys have find each children absolute children. We get tweets at beating the book. This is from Brandon Webb. I would imagine Green Bay gets Aaron Jones back this week. Only reason I keep track is because I traded Cooper Cup for him the day before his setback. In quotes Ben Handorf, Gilly, what are you think about the upcoming slate for survivor? In a pool with some work friends north of the border, and there's now only forty percent of the twelve hundred remaining. Oh, that's actually a pretty stout survivor group, if only for if forty percent of remaining, Because circa's down to almost twenty five percent. We lost four of eight entries this week with Dallas and Jacksonville seriously interested in what you think hashtag tough week. Well, I will let you know by the end of the show when I have seen all the options here and can really digest him. Chris Sells fill many preseason talked of having one survivor pick just for against Arizona. I think the Bears may be the ticket. I can't imagine them winning a game. You're right, they may be the new Arizona, because honestly, Arizona could be and maybe should be three and zero. That's how amazing that is. And then Wegg's pool he said eighty five yards. You said fifty five?

I mean get him?

I mean get him?

Oh yeah, I'm sorry. I mean I must have mistyped that into my notes. Eighty five yard punt return for the Houston Texans was incredible, incredible, It's just and that was the momentum killer for the Jacksonville Jaguars went again. Fullback Andrew Beck went eighty five yards to the house to win that. All right, let us continue.

Oh yeah, I'm sorry. I mean I must have mistyped that into my notes. Eighty five yard punt return for the Houston Texans was incredible, incredible, It's just and that was the momentum killer for the Jacksonville Jaguars went again. Fullback Andrew Beck went eighty five yards to the house to win that. All right, let us continue.

Sunday Sunday, first early window game, Dolphins at Bills.

Sunday Sunday, first early window game, Dolphins at Bills.

Okay, game of now we get to talk the three and oh Dolphins at the two and one Bills. The Dolphins. As we said, no Jalen Waddell. Third play from scrimmage to Tyreek for fifty four yards vance. Joseph and the Broncos had Robbie Chosen formerly Robby Anderson in double coverage on that play, fifty four yards of the house. Seven to nothing Miami one minute and twenty three seconds into this ballgame. The play gave Hill twenty nineteen receiving yards in a Dolphins uniform. Per ESPN's Jeff Darlington, That's the most receiving yards in NFL history by a player in his first twenty games with a new team, and that was his first catch of the game. Seven and nothing, Denver three and out. Miami goes eighty one yards devon a chain third round pickout of Texas A and m in from eight fourteen to nothing, Miami six thirty one left in the first quarter. Then after a Denver seventy five yard touchdown drive culminating and a Wilson to Sutton Courland Sutton twelve yard touchdown pass, Miami goes seventy five again to a shovel pass to eight Jane twenty one to seven Miami ten sixteen left. Second quarter, twenty one to ten game. Now Miami has fourth and won at their own thirty four four point fifty two left.

Okay, game of now we get to talk the three and oh Dolphins at the two and one Bills. The Dolphins. As we said, no Jalen Waddell. Third play from scrimmage to Tyreek for fifty four yards vance. Joseph and the Broncos had Robbie Chosen formerly Robby Anderson in double coverage on that play, fifty four yards of the house. Seven to nothing Miami one minute and twenty three seconds into this ballgame. The play gave Hill twenty nineteen receiving yards in a Dolphins uniform. Per ESPN's Jeff Darlington, That's the most receiving yards in NFL history by a player in his first twenty games with a new team, and that was his first catch of the game. Seven and nothing, Denver three and out. Miami goes eighty one yards devon a chain third round pickout of Texas A and m in from eight fourteen to nothing, Miami six thirty one left in the first quarter. Then after a Denver seventy five yard touchdown drive culminating and a Wilson to Sutton Courland Sutton twelve yard touchdown pass, Miami goes seventy five again to a shovel pass to eight Jane twenty one to seven Miami ten sixteen left. Second quarter, twenty one to ten game. Now Miami has fourth and won at their own thirty four four point fifty two left.

In the second quarter.

In the second quarter.

They say, hell with it, We're going for it up eleven in our own territory. Alec Ingold stuffed for no game, Denver bawl down eleven, and you're like, okay, Broncos, they could get back in this game, right, Maybe not in that voice. I don't know why I put on that voice, but maybe that's what you think. That's you think, but it wouldn't hurt Miami. Broncos go back seven yards three and now Dolphins Dick get then eighty six yards. Most are from twenty out twenty eight to ten, Miami one forty eight left in the second quarter, and at that point you're like, oh wow, that that's the shit in the game. From being down eleven, squandering it in plus territory and now you're down eighteen set. But then it goes from bad to comical, and this is where the comedy begins. Down twenty eight to ten. Second play ensuing drive, Wilson a sudden hit by Javon Holland fumbles, Andre van Ginkel recovers, returns at twenty nine yards. One play later, mostered in from three. It's Miami thirty five to ten. It's thirty five to thirteen and a half. Wow Tua. Halftime stats Kelly sixteen of sixteen for two oh six. That's pretty good. Twelve point nine yards per attempt, two touchdowns, no picks. He wasn't sacked. Tyreek was six for one twenty two at a touch At that point, Miami had three hundred and forty four total yards of offense at the half. At the half, after the Broncos punted to start the third quarter, Dolphins matriculate fourth and goal with the denver one. We're up twenty two. Field goal, field goal, shmeel goal, as my mother used to say, they go for it. Most are in from one, forty two to thirteen. Seven forty eight left third quarter, another Sutton fumble, Dolphins go seventy seven more yards to a demostered mistackle, nineteen yards of the house. Forty nine to thirteen Miami. We're still in the third quarter. First play, next drive, Wilson picked by Emmanuel Lagma. Two plays later, two and a eight Chane from ten out fifty six to thirteen. Five seconds into the fourth quarter, we have a whole quarter to play. It's fifty six to thirteen. Then Mike go Wyatt it comes in to replace the two and he goes to Robbie chosen the chosen one. Don't even try to lift that from us. Robbie sixty eight yards, Marvin Mims Junior ninety nine yard kickoff return right after that, and then a Devon ah Chine sixty seven yard touchdown rud would close out the scoring. Is this real? Seventy to twenty Dolphins. By the way, there were eight minutes left in the game when it got to seventy to twenty, Like it could have been worse. Oh yeah, yeah.

They say, hell with it, We're going for it up eleven in our own territory. Alec Ingold stuffed for no game, Denver bawl down eleven, and you're like, okay, Broncos, they could get back in this game, right, Maybe not in that voice. I don't know why I put on that voice, but maybe that's what you think. That's you think, but it wouldn't hurt Miami. Broncos go back seven yards three and now Dolphins Dick get then eighty six yards. Most are from twenty out twenty eight to ten, Miami one forty eight left in the second quarter, and at that point you're like, oh wow, that that's the shit in the game. From being down eleven, squandering it in plus territory and now you're down eighteen set. But then it goes from bad to comical, and this is where the comedy begins. Down twenty eight to ten. Second play ensuing drive, Wilson a sudden hit by Javon Holland fumbles, Andre van Ginkel recovers, returns at twenty nine yards. One play later, mostered in from three. It's Miami thirty five to ten. It's thirty five to thirteen and a half. Wow Tua. Halftime stats Kelly sixteen of sixteen for two oh six. That's pretty good. Twelve point nine yards per attempt, two touchdowns, no picks. He wasn't sacked. Tyreek was six for one twenty two at a touch At that point, Miami had three hundred and forty four total yards of offense at the half. At the half, after the Broncos punted to start the third quarter, Dolphins matriculate fourth and goal with the denver one. We're up twenty two. Field goal, field goal, shmeel goal, as my mother used to say, they go for it. Most are in from one, forty two to thirteen. Seven forty eight left third quarter, another Sutton fumble, Dolphins go seventy seven more yards to a demostered mistackle, nineteen yards of the house. Forty nine to thirteen Miami. We're still in the third quarter. First play, next drive, Wilson picked by Emmanuel Lagma. Two plays later, two and a eight Chane from ten out fifty six to thirteen. Five seconds into the fourth quarter, we have a whole quarter to play. It's fifty six to thirteen. Then Mike go Wyatt it comes in to replace the two and he goes to Robbie chosen the chosen one. Don't even try to lift that from us. Robbie sixty eight yards, Marvin Mims Junior ninety nine yard kickoff return right after that, and then a Devon ah Chine sixty seven yard touchdown rud would close out the scoring. Is this real? Seventy to twenty Dolphins. By the way, there were eight minutes left in the game when it got to seventy to twenty, Like it could have been worse. Oh yeah, yeah.

There were plenty of records that Dolphins set yesterday at Plony.

There were plenty of records that Dolphins set yesterday at Plony.

Records they left on the table the most points by one team in an NFL game since nineteen hundred and sixty and six, the fourth team at NFL history to score ten touchdowns in a game that includes playoff games. Tua ends up twenty three of twenty six for three h nine four touchdowns, no Picksey was not sacked. Eight Chane eighteen carries for two hundred three yards. It's like a Timmy Smith moment. Two touchdowns, four catches, for thirty and two more touchdowns. Most are thirteen for eighty two and three touchdowns, seven catches for sixty yards and another touchdown. Let me put those together. Eight Chane and Moster together eight touchdowns, three hundred and seventy five yards Tyreek Hohom nine catches one to fifty seven in a touchdown, the seven hundred and twenty six total yards seven hundred and twenty six. As that came up on the screen, I said to myself, I've been doing guessing lines for over a decade. I've never seen that number before. Do you know why, Kelly, Because it's the second most in NFL history nineteen fifty one ran who could forget it when they had seven to thirty five you remember that? Oh yeah, yep, yeah, seventy one plays plus three in turnovers. My god, and.

Records they left on the table the most points by one team in an NFL game since nineteen hundred and sixty and six, the fourth team at NFL history to score ten touchdowns in a game that includes playoff games. Tua ends up twenty three of twenty six for three h nine four touchdowns, no Picksey was not sacked. Eight Chane eighteen carries for two hundred three yards. It's like a Timmy Smith moment. Two touchdowns, four catches, for thirty and two more touchdowns. Most are thirteen for eighty two and three touchdowns, seven catches for sixty yards and another touchdown. Let me put those together. Eight Chane and Moster together eight touchdowns, three hundred and seventy five yards Tyreek Hohom nine catches one to fifty seven in a touchdown, the seven hundred and twenty six total yards seven hundred and twenty six. As that came up on the screen, I said to myself, I've been doing guessing lines for over a decade. I've never seen that number before. Do you know why, Kelly, Because it's the second most in NFL history nineteen fifty one ran who could forget it when they had seven to thirty five you remember that? Oh yeah, yep, yeah, seventy one plays plus three in turnovers. My god, and.

What the fourth seventy plus point game in NFL history. But all the other three were in the forties, so you know you gotta go back aways for that.

What the fourth seventy plus point game in NFL history. But all the other three were in the forties, so you know you gotta go back aways for that.

Who are they playing it? Oh? At Buffalo? Buffalo is really not much to say. They just destroyed Washington. It was ten to nothing, Skins had a third and goal at the one. They went into shotgun We always love that Robinson stuffed for a loss of one fourth and goal with the two incomplete pass. This was what eleven forty two left in the second quarter. The Bills had had a couple more Tyler bass field goals before the end of the half, fifty four and thirty two yarders. They go up sixteen to nothing, and the last one was set up by a howl pick by Micah Hyde and Skin's territory. With just over a minute remaining in the half. Third quarter, Bills are up sixteen to nothing. Howel is picked by Tradavius White in the end zone. Then after Allen was picked deep by Kendall Fuller, Washington punts. Bills failed to convert on fourth and one at the Washington thirty seven with fourteen eighteen left in the fourth quarter, but the first play of the next drive, Howel to Antonio Gibson. Then he gets hit by Aaron Johnson. He fumbles, recovered by Terol Bernard, leads to another Buffalo touchdown drive. It's twenty three to zero at that point, and then the Coudi Gras third play next drive, Howell tried to loop the ball while sprinting to his left over Ajpanessa not so much picked picked six thirty to nothing competitive portion of the game. Well over, it ends up thirty seven to three, and the only reason Washington got a three is because they had a audacity to lie to line Joey sly Up Joey sly Up for a fifty one yard er with under a minute to play, So that's the only reason they got points. The Bills d had nine sacks and five takeaways. Allen twenty thirty two for two eighteen, three carries for forty six yards and a touchdown, digs eight for one eleven. They held Washington to one of nine on third down, they outgained him three eighty six to two thirty and again plus four in turnovers that led directly to a net plus seventeen points.

Who are they playing it? Oh? At Buffalo? Buffalo is really not much to say. They just destroyed Washington. It was ten to nothing, Skins had a third and goal at the one. They went into shotgun We always love that Robinson stuffed for a loss of one fourth and goal with the two incomplete pass. This was what eleven forty two left in the second quarter. The Bills had had a couple more Tyler bass field goals before the end of the half, fifty four and thirty two yarders. They go up sixteen to nothing, and the last one was set up by a howl pick by Micah Hyde and Skin's territory. With just over a minute remaining in the half. Third quarter, Bills are up sixteen to nothing. Howel is picked by Tradavius White in the end zone. Then after Allen was picked deep by Kendall Fuller, Washington punts. Bills failed to convert on fourth and one at the Washington thirty seven with fourteen eighteen left in the fourth quarter, but the first play of the next drive, Howel to Antonio Gibson. Then he gets hit by Aaron Johnson. He fumbles, recovered by Terol Bernard, leads to another Buffalo touchdown drive. It's twenty three to zero at that point, and then the Coudi Gras third play next drive, Howell tried to loop the ball while sprinting to his left over Ajpanessa not so much picked picked six thirty to nothing competitive portion of the game. Well over, it ends up thirty seven to three, and the only reason Washington got a three is because they had a audacity to lie to line Joey sly Up Joey sly Up for a fifty one yard er with under a minute to play, So that's the only reason they got points. The Bills d had nine sacks and five takeaways. Allen twenty thirty two for two eighteen, three carries for forty six yards and a touchdown, digs eight for one eleven. They held Washington to one of nine on third down, they outgained him three eighty six to two thirty and again plus four in turnovers that led directly to a net plus seventeen points.

Gotta be the game of the week.

Gotta be the game of the week.

I would imagine AFC East showdown at Buffalo. I still made it Buffalo minus three.

I would imagine AFC East showdown at Buffalo. I still made it Buffalo minus three.

This is Buffalo minus two and a half, but it is heading that three way.

This is Buffalo minus two and a half, but it is heading that three way.

I would figure it'd be three.

I would figure it'd be three.

It is pretty much two and a half juiced everywhere one fifteen one twenty on the two.

It is pretty much two and a half juiced everywhere one fifteen one twenty on the two.

And a half. Okay, so far like Jacksonville best any any any thoughts on that one of this game Dolphins Bills, Well, you know, Sean Payton memo to Sean Payton, you owen three post scab arrogant guy that you are, gosh yeah, and don't want to say anything else about Nathaniel Hackett. You want to say anything else about Russell Wilson, anything else you gotta.

And a half. Okay, so far like Jacksonville best any any any thoughts on that one of this game Dolphins Bills, Well, you know, Sean Payton memo to Sean Payton, you owen three post scab arrogant guy that you are, gosh yeah, and don't want to say anything else about Nathaniel Hackett. You want to say anything else about Russell Wilson, anything else you gotta.

Say talks to board trash for the rest of the league.

Say talks to board trash for the rest of the league.

Maybe that maybe he should have actually tried to milk clock in that game. You know, maybe I'm just thinking, bruh. I don't think I'm gonna be I and Fin's money line in this game. I mean, I think that's the Bills hole. I think that's the Bill's whole like game, like, let's just keep the ball away from the Dolphins, let's climb this out. I think three is just sort of low as like factory setting for this kind of game. I hear you. Yeah, We'll come back a whole bunch more to get to Week four guessing lines numbers game Vsent the Sports Betting Network. We get tweets at beating the book. This is from Trust the Glove. You'll rejoice a little bit if Chicago fires. It's coach first just don't act happy. I think that's right. Eric b Hey, gil broncos over Bears for Survivor Week four that's coming up. This is from Blue hen Bill. Never trusting Doug Peterson, Yes, he's a dope. In my infinite wisdom, I steered away from the Jags save Dallas and Casey then played then then played the Ravens. Oh and Casey then played the Ravens in my suicide pool. I was brilliant for about six minutes, then back to normal. Lol. Sorry about that. And Kevin Ryan Gil, I can't decide which I hate more of my decision to use Jacksonville and all three of my Survivor picks or the new Jason Bateman cellular commercial. Well, you know what the thing is with Jason Bateman is he's the same guy and everything. He's the same guy and everything, and he's not that he's not funny, yeah, everything.

Maybe that maybe he should have actually tried to milk clock in that game. You know, maybe I'm just thinking, bruh. I don't think I'm gonna be I and Fin's money line in this game. I mean, I think that's the Bills hole. I think that's the Bill's whole like game, like, let's just keep the ball away from the Dolphins, let's climb this out. I think three is just sort of low as like factory setting for this kind of game. I hear you. Yeah, We'll come back a whole bunch more to get to Week four guessing lines numbers game Vsent the Sports Betting Network. We get tweets at beating the book. This is from Trust the Glove. You'll rejoice a little bit if Chicago fires. It's coach first just don't act happy. I think that's right. Eric b Hey, gil broncos over Bears for Survivor Week four that's coming up. This is from Blue hen Bill. Never trusting Doug Peterson, Yes, he's a dope. In my infinite wisdom, I steered away from the Jags save Dallas and Casey then played then then played the Ravens. Oh and Casey then played the Ravens in my suicide pool. I was brilliant for about six minutes, then back to normal. Lol. Sorry about that. And Kevin Ryan Gil, I can't decide which I hate more of my decision to use Jacksonville and all three of my Survivor picks or the new Jason Bateman cellular commercial. Well, you know what the thing is with Jason Bateman is he's the same guy and everything. He's the same guy and everything, and he's not that he's not funny, yeah, everything.

He only plays that guy in like the funny movies, who's like the heel or like the annoying guy. But Ozark Silver Spoons, he's the same guy.

He only plays that guy in like the funny movies, who's like the heel or like the annoying guy. But Ozark Silver Spoons, he's the same guy.

He's the same guy. I don't care what it is.

He's the same guy. I don't care what it is.

I don't care if it's a comedy or if it's a dead serious drama. He's the same guy think about think about horrible Bostons. He's just the guy who's agitated the entire.

I don't care if it's a comedy or if it's a dead serious drama. He's the same guy think about think about horrible Bostons. He's just the guy who's agitated the entire.

He's that way in that commercial too. Remaining lone remaining unbeaten San Francisco and Miami both three and oh and then tonight, if there is a winner, obviously, even there's a tie, they'll be unbeaten. Philly and Tampa Bay both two and oh uh. And then the remaining winless teams Denver oh and three, Minnesota oh and three, Chicago and three, Cincinnati and Carol excuse me, Carolina, oh and three my team, my bet, and then Cincinnati is still oh and two ready to go? By the way, do you have a play in either game tonight? Obviously a double header, which again and for those of us who are in fast mode today, having football on just that much earlier is going to help us through the fast here. Eagles at Bucks. Eagles are five point favorites, Rams at Bengals. It does not look like Burrow's playing Bengals one and a half point favorites. Any play tonight on either game? Nothing for me, Yeah, nothing for me. And again, for those who are tuned in money, Like, how can you not have any any play on the Monday night game. We speak about the week's games for a week, we tell you what our contest picks are gonna be.

He's that way in that commercial too. Remaining lone remaining unbeaten San Francisco and Miami both three and oh and then tonight, if there is a winner, obviously, even there's a tie, they'll be unbeaten. Philly and Tampa Bay both two and oh uh. And then the remaining winless teams Denver oh and three, Minnesota oh and three, Chicago and three, Cincinnati and Carol excuse me, Carolina, oh and three my team, my bet, and then Cincinnati is still oh and two ready to go? By the way, do you have a play in either game tonight? Obviously a double header, which again and for those of us who are in fast mode today, having football on just that much earlier is going to help us through the fast here. Eagles at Bucks. Eagles are five point favorites, Rams at Bengals. It does not look like Burrow's playing Bengals one and a half point favorites. Any play tonight on either game? Nothing for me, Yeah, nothing for me. And again, for those who are tuned in money, Like, how can you not have any any play on the Monday night game. We speak about the week's games for a week, we tell you what our contest picks are gonna be.

All of our bets. If it ain't the Monday night games, it ain't the Monday night games.

All of our bets. If it ain't the Monday night games, it ain't the Monday night games.

I mean, I mean Rams Bengals.

I mean, I mean Rams Bengals.

I don't unless you're able to get in front of whatever movement comes on official news on Burrow. I don't really know how you can put a bet in right now unless you really like the Rams and and you're just going in that direction regardless. In Eagles Bucks I've said it since before the season. I got enough respect for this Bucks team that it would be Bucks or passed for me in that game.

I don't unless you're able to get in front of whatever movement comes on official news on Burrow. I don't really know how you can put a bet in right now unless you really like the Rams and and you're just going in that direction regardless. In Eagles Bucks I've said it since before the season. I got enough respect for this Bucks team that it would be Bucks or passed for me in that game.

But I think I'm just staying see, I think the end game thing for me is to quickly assess if the Eagles are going to roll them, you know, but we'll see. All right, let's go. We got a lot of games to make, Okay, let's start off with the second best game of the week, Broncos at Bears. Oh my three versus oh and three in that defeat at the hands that epic defeat at the hands of the Dolphins, Wilson. Russell Wilson was twenty three of thirty eight for three to ZH six. But again, the Broncos gave up seven hundred twenty six total yards seventy one plays to the Dolphins. They were minus three and turnovers. It's the worst loss of Sean Payton's career, fifty points seventy to twenty the most points and yards allowed seventy and seven to twenty six in Denver Broncos franchise history. Vance Joseph defensive coordinator, I don't know how he sticks around. I just don't. After that yesterday, Chicago, their losing streak now is at thirteen after getting bounced by the Chiefs. They've given up one hundred and six points in three games. It's the second most allowed through three games in team history. And not really much to say about this game because after the Chiefs punted on their first drive, it went like this. Kelly Chicago bunt Kansas City touchdown seven to nothing, Chicago bunt Kansas City touchdown fourteen nothing, Chicago punt Kansas City touchdown twenty one to nothing. Herbert fumble Kansas City field goal twenty four to nothing. Fields picked by Mike Edwards, Kansas City touchdown thirty one to nothing. Chicago punt Nigoakuay rolls into Mahomes leg he's still Okay, stays in Kansas City field goal thirty four to nothing, and oh, by the way, that's halftime. So that's all you need to know right there. The only good Chicago news of the day came when Blaine Gabbard came in for Mahomes. He got picked and they actually got a field goal out of it. So forty one to ten was the final. Fields ended up eleven of twenty two for ninety nine, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked three times, eleven carries for forty seven. They only had eleven first downs the Bears. They were out gained four fifty six to two oh three. They have allowed twenty five plus points in thirteen straight games. Matt Eberflus was hired as from the Colts as a He was a defensive coordinator with the Colts. Luke gets the as their offensive coordinator. We all remember what happened last week with a defensive coordinator leaving, resigning, and then that Field's news conference press conference where he's like the coaches, I'm too robotic this team has not improved at all. Fields has not improved at all either gets he's got to go where Everflu's has got to go. For my bet, I hope it's ever BLUs. I don't want to rejoice again. It's a man losing his job. But this is the most moribund team in all of football. I agree with that tweet earlier. They're the They're the Cardinals. Oh yeah, yep, that everybody thought.