This is.

This is.

He was like a god blogging on here Mortals, and he had a voice that could make a wolverine On the Sports Betty Network.

He was like a god blogging on here Mortals, and he had a voice that could make a wolverine On the Sports Betty Network.

It is our number three of the Greg Pterison Experience on Vson the Sports Betty Network, and you've got a tremendous hour for us. We're gonna be talking some MLB, getting the guys set for a nice Monday. We're also gonna be talking some NFL draft as a week and a half from now, we are finally gonna be getting some answers as to who's all gonna be getting drafted, what teams are gonna be looking to build their teams around a little bit of a new quarterback, what teams are gonna decide? No thanks, We're gonna ride it out with what we've gotten so much more. And we've got a pair of great guests who are gonna be joining me as Matt Lioness does amazing workover at the Props and Ops podcast along Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus, are gonna be joining me some That is gonna be a whole lot of fun as it is now getting to be draft time, as it's a week and a half from now. I remember when it was in lovely Las Vegas last year. That was absolutely incredible. Now it heads back to the heartland of America, so there's going to be I'm sure droves of people are going to be out seeing the newest faces in the NFL. But let's take a look at some of the faces of the MLB as We've got some great action that is going to be going down on Monday. And I do think that this is an interesting game and we're starting to see some line movement on it. Nine fifty three, nine to fifty four on the betting board. The Saint Those Cardinals are going to be playing us to the years end of Diamondbacks. Merrill Kelly is going to be going for the Snakes and Captain Jack Flaherty on the bump for the Saint Lois Cardinals. Cardinals are and between the minus one forty seven to a minus one sixty five favorite. They open up at minus one sixty five. So money has been coming in on Arizona's right now clocking in a we're between about a plus a one thirty four toeal plus one forty five hunderdog in afa ze total. With a little bit of juice on the overend. We were seeing better numbers a little bit earlier on the Ears in the Diamondbacks. But if you're silly able to get a straight plus one forty five out there, I do like the Diamondbacks because with Merril Kelly he does get.

It is our number three of the Greg Pterison Experience on Vson the Sports Betty Network, and you've got a tremendous hour for us. We're gonna be talking some MLB, getting the guys set for a nice Monday. We're also gonna be talking some NFL draft as a week and a half from now, we are finally gonna be getting some answers as to who's all gonna be getting drafted, what teams are gonna be looking to build their teams around a little bit of a new quarterback, what teams are gonna decide? No thanks, We're gonna ride it out with what we've gotten so much more. And we've got a pair of great guests who are gonna be joining me as Matt Lioness does amazing workover at the Props and Ops podcast along Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus, are gonna be joining me some That is gonna be a whole lot of fun as it is now getting to be draft time, as it's a week and a half from now. I remember when it was in lovely Las Vegas last year. That was absolutely incredible. Now it heads back to the heartland of America, so there's going to be I'm sure droves of people are going to be out seeing the newest faces in the NFL. But let's take a look at some of the faces of the MLB as We've got some great action that is going to be going down on Monday. And I do think that this is an interesting game and we're starting to see some line movement on it. Nine fifty three, nine to fifty four on the betting board. The Saint Those Cardinals are going to be playing us to the years end of Diamondbacks. Merrill Kelly is going to be going for the Snakes and Captain Jack Flaherty on the bump for the Saint Lois Cardinals. Cardinals are and between the minus one forty seven to a minus one sixty five favorite. They open up at minus one sixty five. So money has been coming in on Arizona's right now clocking in a we're between about a plus a one thirty four toeal plus one forty five hunderdog in afa ze total. With a little bit of juice on the overend. We were seeing better numbers a little bit earlier on the Ears in the Diamondbacks. But if you're silly able to get a straight plus one forty five out there, I do like the Diamondbacks because with Merril Kelly he does get.

Loose with things. He's walks. It has been very much elevated this year.

Loose with things. He's walks. It has been very much elevated this year.

But for Jack Flaherty looked much better in his last start, giving up just one walk in his five and a third innings against the Colrade Rockies, and his stuff is starting to return, but it's right now giving out eight point two walks for nine innings. That is not so great. Fourteen walks and fifteen and a third innings. I still remember his first start of the year, he gave up zero hits at seven walks in five innings. I don't think I've ever seen a satline quite like that. Mitch Keller might have had something similar in the twenty twenty season, but he's been doing a great job with his stuff. He just has no idea how to control at this point, which now a lot of that probably has to do with the fact that he has just been banged up all throughout his career. And when it comes to Meryl Kelly, He's always had a little bit of an issue pitching on the road in comparison at home. When it comes to Meryl Key, he does a much better job with his command for some reason at home. I'm not sure why that is, but take a looking up throughout the entirety of his career, and at home he's got an era that hovers in the neighbor at three thirty seven, more like a fifty four fifty five on the road, as walksbur nine rate is about thirty percent better when he is at home as well, But with the Saint Louis Cardinals, just hard to be able to trust in this bullpen at this point as well. Feels like Bryan Elsley he is starting to get back to what he once was, because he was tremendous towards being part of the twenty twenty two season. Had a little bit of fof feels like things are returning for him. You've been able to have Genesis Caparajievonni Gegos to give you some good endings, but when you get into someone likeing Andre Polanti in company, not as he's been so terrific for the years, and the diamonbacks they did a good job bringing in Andrew Chafin, Miguel Castro the team up with Kyle Nelson. I like all three of these guys, and for the Saint Louis Cardinals, it is a team that's able to deliver quite a bit of boom as You've got Paul Goldschmid Nolan Ernato honestly been able to hit a bunch of homers as far this season, but both guys have been able to well above a three hundred thus far. Jordan Walker, Tyler O'Neill ar's new par You've got a lot of good talent in the outfield. Walker had that historic hitting streak to begin this season that I know was much publicized. But I do think that for the Arizona Diamondbacks, they're going to do a solid job of moving the line. They've been won the lesser teams in the big leagues in terms of being able to hit homers as far this season, but they've done a good job of being able to reach basis. You've got Lord of Scurriell who comes into the fold. He's been okay for the team, hitting right around two fifty. It's really been some of the forgotten guys like Nick Ahmed Geraldo Perdomo, they've gotten off good starts to the season. But I do think that even though they're going to see a little bit of regression, I think there should be some progression for Christian Walker at north of thirty zero runs last season. Currently he's sitting below the Mido's line of a two hundred, but has done a good job overall of being able to move the line throughout his career with the Arizona Diamondbacks. I think that Kelly is going to be able to give you a relatively good performance.

But for Jack Flaherty looked much better in his last start, giving up just one walk in his five and a third innings against the Colrade Rockies, and his stuff is starting to return, but it's right now giving out eight point two walks for nine innings. That is not so great. Fourteen walks and fifteen and a third innings. I still remember his first start of the year, he gave up zero hits at seven walks in five innings. I don't think I've ever seen a satline quite like that. Mitch Keller might have had something similar in the twenty twenty season, but he's been doing a great job with his stuff. He just has no idea how to control at this point, which now a lot of that probably has to do with the fact that he has just been banged up all throughout his career. And when it comes to Meryl Kelly, He's always had a little bit of an issue pitching on the road in comparison at home. When it comes to Meryl Key, he does a much better job with his command for some reason at home. I'm not sure why that is, but take a looking up throughout the entirety of his career, and at home he's got an era that hovers in the neighbor at three thirty seven, more like a fifty four fifty five on the road, as walksbur nine rate is about thirty percent better when he is at home as well, But with the Saint Louis Cardinals, just hard to be able to trust in this bullpen at this point as well. Feels like Bryan Elsley he is starting to get back to what he once was, because he was tremendous towards being part of the twenty twenty two season. Had a little bit of fof feels like things are returning for him. You've been able to have Genesis Caparajievonni Gegos to give you some good endings, but when you get into someone likeing Andre Polanti in company, not as he's been so terrific for the years, and the diamonbacks they did a good job bringing in Andrew Chafin, Miguel Castro the team up with Kyle Nelson. I like all three of these guys, and for the Saint Louis Cardinals, it is a team that's able to deliver quite a bit of boom as You've got Paul Goldschmid Nolan Ernato honestly been able to hit a bunch of homers as far this season, but both guys have been able to well above a three hundred thus far. Jordan Walker, Tyler O'Neill ar's new par You've got a lot of good talent in the outfield. Walker had that historic hitting streak to begin this season that I know was much publicized. But I do think that for the Arizona Diamondbacks, they're going to do a solid job of moving the line. They've been won the lesser teams in the big leagues in terms of being able to hit homers as far this season, but they've done a good job of being able to reach basis. You've got Lord of Scurriell who comes into the fold. He's been okay for the team, hitting right around two fifty. It's really been some of the forgotten guys like Nick Ahmed Geraldo Perdomo, they've gotten off good starts to the season. But I do think that even though they're going to see a little bit of regression, I think there should be some progression for Christian Walker at north of thirty zero runs last season. Currently he's sitting below the Mido's line of a two hundred, but has done a good job overall of being able to move the line throughout his career with the Arizona Diamondbacks. I think that Kelly is going to be able to give you a relatively good performance.

And this is more or less a little bit of a fate of Jack Flaherity.

And this is more or less a little bit of a fate of Jack Flaherity.

I just feel like towards the second half of the season he is gonna be able to find himself. And for Jack Flerity, you take a look throughout his career typically when he's been able to stay healthy, which that hasn't been a lot throughout his career, he really finds it in the second half of the season and struggles a little bit towards the first half. So this is a circumstance where plus one forty five a moon and take shot on the air Zend Diamondbacks. I did some much toll at some point seven, it's going to be a little bit of a cooler day out in the Midwest. You've got balls ey are typically going to be flying out in June and July, not being able to do so here. And for Merrill Kelly, I do think that he's going to be able to deliver a cellar performance. So looking at the under and I'm gonna be taking a look at the Arizona Diamondbacks getting a plus price. How about if we take a look at a man his last name is Peterson nine fifty nine, nine to sixty on the betting board, no relation David Peterson. He goes for the New York Meds, and Dustin May is going to be on the bump or the La Dodgers.

I just feel like towards the second half of the season he is gonna be able to find himself. And for Jack Flerity, you take a look throughout his career typically when he's been able to stay healthy, which that hasn't been a lot throughout his career, he really finds it in the second half of the season and struggles a little bit towards the first half. So this is a circumstance where plus one forty five a moon and take shot on the air Zend Diamondbacks. I did some much toll at some point seven, it's going to be a little bit of a cooler day out in the Midwest. You've got balls ey are typically going to be flying out in June and July, not being able to do so here. And for Merrill Kelly, I do think that he's going to be able to deliver a cellar performance. So looking at the under and I'm gonna be taking a look at the Arizona Diamondbacks getting a plus price. How about if we take a look at a man his last name is Peterson nine fifty nine, nine to sixty on the betting board, no relation David Peterson. He goes for the New York Meds, and Dustin May is going to be on the bump or the La Dodgers.

And with the Dodgers, you'll.

And with the Dodgers, you'll.

Find them between a minus one fifty eight to a minus sixty five favorite, between plus one forty and plus one fifty year price on the New York Mets with a total of eight and a half. And with the Mets, I'm really not going to be able to take a look at them on the money line. I would need at least a plus one fifty eight there. And with the Dodgers, It has become a simple strategy for me. Either you take the other team on the money line, or you take the Dodgers on the run line. And right now that run line price of the Dodgers it is a plus one twenty five. I needed at least a plus one ten with the LI Dodgers. This team has been just remarkable in terms of being able to bet them on the run line. Since the beginning part of the twenty twenty two campaign, the LI Dodgers may have been one of the best teams in baseball. I know, shock, shock, surprize, surprise, but they have won one hundred nineteen games in this time span, and they have won one hundred and two of those games by two plus runs. And I do think that that is going to be holding true here. So either they lose out right and you're able to save a lot of juice on what would be a big giant money line, or they're able to win by multiple runs. And when it comes to Justin main straycount numbers have not really been there for him thus far this season. He's only getting about fort alf strike cuts per nine Nunnings throws hundred miles power. That is going to be going upward, but he's been able to do a better job in terms of command. He was deal with a rather catastrophic injury from the back half of the twenty and twenty one season to be able to get back out there and has been able to do a nice job. And he's backed up by a bullpen that was number one in the Big Leagues, or I should say in the National League in terms of ERA last season. And it's really a nameless, faceless bullpen for this team as you've got Yancy al Monte, Caleb Ferguson and Evan Phillips, Alex Vessio, all these guys who are able to deliver a sub three two ERA last season. I really do like what they're able to provide there Now with the LA Dodgers, Gavin Lux is pretty much out for the year for them, Justin Turner, he's now trying to turn her down for what in Boston. But you do still have quite a bit of firepower when it comes to this line, and Mookie Betts was able to find himself in the game on Sunday. He's been off to a little bit of a rough start to the season, and for Freddie Freeman, power numbers have not been there in Los Angeles the way that they were in Atlanta, but he's still hitting north of a three hundred for the seam. Will Smith has been able to get jiggy with it. He's hitting above a three hundred, so he's been solid. James Hopeman, he's doing a good job of being able to move the line as well. And then on the flip side. For this New York Mets team, they have been one of the worst offenses all baseball this far. Now Pete Alonso he has been the exception. He's currently got eight of the team's eighteen home runs as far this season, and his eight home runs leads the Lake for Pete Alonzo as well. There was two years ago he led the Lake in terms of home runs on the road as well, So he actually is really good away from New York. But you take a look at the guys outside of Pindalonzo and you haven't gotten a lot out of them, as it's been a deplorable start to the season for Edward Escobar, Mark Can, Daniel Vogoback, all these guys, Mendoza line of a two hundred. Really, they have not been able to find much at the catcher spot in general omarious. In the very limited amount of that pass he's been able to do a solid job. He's been banged up all season long. Though you've got Brandon Demo, Tommy fam They're able to do an okay job. We'll be able to get on base, but you really haven't been able to get a lot out of this line up for the Mets bullpen. As we know Edwin Diaz, he is out for the season, though I do feel like they did a good job of being able to piecemeal things that make the best of a bad situation with ringing in something like David Robertson. You still have Adam Monavino in the fold for this team, Danny Reyies is something I do like as a little bit of an upcoming brogue with the La Dodgers, I do feel like on all they've got a little bit more, shall we say range with regards to their bullpen, I do think that they are going to be able to do a nice job holding down this Mets team. And for David Peterson, he's been a little bit of a guy that is lacked command throughout his career. He's able to give you ten and a half straightcuts for nine and he's I think that he's got really good stuff. But with Peterson, the walks they just creep up on your time and time again, he's given up eight walks in fourteen and two thirds angst as far season. Last year he was a little bit north of three walks er nine innings as well. And I do think that you are going to be able to get a relatively solid start out of decimet in this spot. So I'm gonna be taking a look at the Dodgers on the run line. I think that this could be a situation of death by a million cuts.

Find them between a minus one fifty eight to a minus sixty five favorite, between plus one forty and plus one fifty year price on the New York Mets with a total of eight and a half. And with the Mets, I'm really not going to be able to take a look at them on the money line. I would need at least a plus one fifty eight there. And with the Dodgers, It has become a simple strategy for me. Either you take the other team on the money line, or you take the Dodgers on the run line. And right now that run line price of the Dodgers it is a plus one twenty five. I needed at least a plus one ten with the LI Dodgers. This team has been just remarkable in terms of being able to bet them on the run line. Since the beginning part of the twenty twenty two campaign, the LI Dodgers may have been one of the best teams in baseball. I know, shock, shock, surprize, surprise, but they have won one hundred nineteen games in this time span, and they have won one hundred and two of those games by two plus runs. And I do think that that is going to be holding true here. So either they lose out right and you're able to save a lot of juice on what would be a big giant money line, or they're able to win by multiple runs. And when it comes to Justin main straycount numbers have not really been there for him thus far this season. He's only getting about fort alf strike cuts per nine Nunnings throws hundred miles power. That is going to be going upward, but he's been able to do a better job in terms of command. He was deal with a rather catastrophic injury from the back half of the twenty and twenty one season to be able to get back out there and has been able to do a nice job. And he's backed up by a bullpen that was number one in the Big Leagues, or I should say in the National League in terms of ERA last season. And it's really a nameless, faceless bullpen for this team as you've got Yancy al Monte, Caleb Ferguson and Evan Phillips, Alex Vessio, all these guys who are able to deliver a sub three two ERA last season. I really do like what they're able to provide there Now with the LA Dodgers, Gavin Lux is pretty much out for the year for them, Justin Turner, he's now trying to turn her down for what in Boston. But you do still have quite a bit of firepower when it comes to this line, and Mookie Betts was able to find himself in the game on Sunday. He's been off to a little bit of a rough start to the season, and for Freddie Freeman, power numbers have not been there in Los Angeles the way that they were in Atlanta, but he's still hitting north of a three hundred for the seam. Will Smith has been able to get jiggy with it. He's hitting above a three hundred, so he's been solid. James Hopeman, he's doing a good job of being able to move the line as well. And then on the flip side. For this New York Mets team, they have been one of the worst offenses all baseball this far. Now Pete Alonso he has been the exception. He's currently got eight of the team's eighteen home runs as far this season, and his eight home runs leads the Lake for Pete Alonzo as well. There was two years ago he led the Lake in terms of home runs on the road as well, So he actually is really good away from New York. But you take a look at the guys outside of Pindalonzo and you haven't gotten a lot out of them, as it's been a deplorable start to the season for Edward Escobar, Mark Can, Daniel Vogoback, all these guys, Mendoza line of a two hundred. Really, they have not been able to find much at the catcher spot in general omarious. In the very limited amount of that pass he's been able to do a solid job. He's been banged up all season long. Though you've got Brandon Demo, Tommy fam They're able to do an okay job. We'll be able to get on base, but you really haven't been able to get a lot out of this line up for the Mets bullpen. As we know Edwin Diaz, he is out for the season, though I do feel like they did a good job of being able to piecemeal things that make the best of a bad situation with ringing in something like David Robertson. You still have Adam Monavino in the fold for this team, Danny Reyies is something I do like as a little bit of an upcoming brogue with the La Dodgers, I do feel like on all they've got a little bit more, shall we say range with regards to their bullpen, I do think that they are going to be able to do a nice job holding down this Mets team. And for David Peterson, he's been a little bit of a guy that is lacked command throughout his career. He's able to give you ten and a half straightcuts for nine and he's I think that he's got really good stuff. But with Peterson, the walks they just creep up on your time and time again, he's given up eight walks in fourteen and two thirds angst as far season. Last year he was a little bit north of three walks er nine innings as well. And I do think that you are going to be able to get a relatively solid start out of decimet in this spot. So I'm gonna be taking a look at the Dodgers on the run line. I think that this could be a situation of death by a million cuts.

By the LA Dodgers.

By the LA Dodgers.

And when it comes to total did se mine out an eight point six here at an eight and a half, I'm gonna be willing to take a look at the over just because I do think that the Dodgers they are going to be able to get to David Peterson in the spot. So looking at that run line and I'm gonna be taking a look, and it's total over, and then when it comes to the Atlanta Rays, they're gonna be trotting out there. Max Freed for his first start since March nine, fifty seven, nine to fifty eight on the baking board. Free comes off the injured list to face off against Ryan Weathers of the Potters, and total on this game is eight and a half. With the Inlanta Rays, we're starting to see a nice steam move on them. They open up in a lot of spots right around a minus one forty five right now, we're seeing them more in the neighbor about a minus forty one forty four and subspots. Most places have to move this to a minus one. I would say anything below a minus one fifty is where I would be willing to take a look at the Atlanta Braves. So you do want to shop around accordingly here because with backs Free he is coming off the injury listen he's spent typically a little bit of a slow starter. Typically it takes up two or three starts to be able to find his footing. But for Ryan Weathers, he did have a north of five YAR at the minor league level last season. He's had a little bit of a tough time in terms of being able to get strikeouts at the big league level. And for the San Diego Padres, they just haven't necessarily been able to do a great job of being able to put back to ball. So if you're able to find something less than a minus one fifty, I'm gonna be wanting to back the Atlanta Braves. And what I'm always willing to back is the NFL Draft coming up next. Going to be joined by Matt Linus of the Props and Ops podcast and Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus, take a look at this year's draft right here on the Grey Theaters and experience unbeats and esports by Newhere.

And when it comes to total did se mine out an eight point six here at an eight and a half, I'm gonna be willing to take a look at the over just because I do think that the Dodgers they are going to be able to get to David Peterson in the spot. So looking at that run line and I'm gonna be taking a look, and it's total over, and then when it comes to the Atlanta Rays, they're gonna be trotting out there. Max Freed for his first start since March nine, fifty seven, nine to fifty eight on the baking board. Free comes off the injured list to face off against Ryan Weathers of the Potters, and total on this game is eight and a half. With the Inlanta Rays, we're starting to see a nice steam move on them. They open up in a lot of spots right around a minus one forty five right now, we're seeing them more in the neighbor about a minus forty one forty four and subspots. Most places have to move this to a minus one. I would say anything below a minus one fifty is where I would be willing to take a look at the Atlanta Braves. So you do want to shop around accordingly here because with backs Free he is coming off the injury listen he's spent typically a little bit of a slow starter. Typically it takes up two or three starts to be able to find his footing. But for Ryan Weathers, he did have a north of five YAR at the minor league level last season. He's had a little bit of a tough time in terms of being able to get strikeouts at the big league level. And for the San Diego Padres, they just haven't necessarily been able to do a great job of being able to put back to ball. So if you're able to find something less than a minus one fifty, I'm gonna be wanting to back the Atlanta Braves. And what I'm always willing to back is the NFL Draft coming up next. Going to be joined by Matt Linus of the Props and Ops podcast and Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus, take a look at this year's draft right here on the Grey Theaters and experience unbeats and esports by Newhere.

You're experiencing Hoops Peterson himself on vs in the Sports Bending Network.

You're experiencing Hoops Peterson himself on vs in the Sports Bending Network.

There's a lot to bet on the next thirty days, and for a limited time, you can subscribe to.

There's a lot to bet on the next thirty days, and for a limited time, you can subscribe to.

VSON for only nine dollars in ninety nine cents.

VSON for only nine dollars in ninety nine cents.

This gives you insights into daily baseball bets, NBA and NFL playoffs, the Kentucky Derby, upcoming NFL Drafted, so much more. Only Visa Pro subscribers get access to our daily recap, the top plays made by vson chosen guests.

This gives you insights into daily baseball bets, NBA and NFL playoffs, the Kentucky Derby, upcoming NFL Drafted, so much more. Only Visa Pro subscribers get access to our daily recap, the top plays made by vson chosen guests.

Tools like our betting splits.

Tools like our betting splits.

I'll let you see where the money in the bets are moving on every single game, plus a leaderboard of the top piece and experts in terms of profitability, for turn On Investment, betting records, and so much more. Sign up for just nine dollars and ninety nine cents over at vsi.

I'll let you see where the money in the bets are moving on every single game, plus a leaderboard of the top piece and experts in terms of profitability, for turn On Investment, betting records, and so much more. Sign up for just nine dollars and ninety nine cents over at vsi.

N dot com slaes subscribe.

N dot com slaes subscribe.

We're back here on the Greg Peterson Experience on vson D Sports Betting Network. Great to be joined by our two guests, as Matt Landis does incredible work over at the Props and Ops podcast, likewise for Ben Brown over Pro Football Focus, and we did this a lot during the NFL regular season, so feels like we're getting the band back together. And I want to lead off with you, Matt, what has been your approach to this year's NFL draft, Because we know that there's been a lot of volatility with regards to the number one overall pick and it's causing a lot of hobob as to what the Carolina Panthers are going to be doing. But as we know, that is just one pick, and there's just such a wide variety of ways to be able to make money on the NFL Draft, including finding ways to be able to bet essentially the same thing but find a better price, because there are so many ways to be able to bet the draft.

We're back here on the Greg Peterson Experience on vson D Sports Betting Network. Great to be joined by our two guests, as Matt Landis does incredible work over at the Props and Ops podcast, likewise for Ben Brown over Pro Football Focus, and we did this a lot during the NFL regular season, so feels like we're getting the band back together. And I want to lead off with you, Matt, what has been your approach to this year's NFL draft, Because we know that there's been a lot of volatility with regards to the number one overall pick and it's causing a lot of hobob as to what the Carolina Panthers are going to be doing. But as we know, that is just one pick, and there's just such a wide variety of ways to be able to make money on the NFL Draft, including finding ways to be able to bet essentially the same thing but find a better price, because there are so many ways to be able to bet the draft.

Yeah, I think that's one of the core concepts when it comes to looking to maximize the ROI over the course of an NFL draft betting cycle, but most of this current cycle to date. I think of my good friend Las Vegas, Chris and his adage hurry up and wait. It's been a pretty scarcely populated market, and it has been starting to develop. Greg to your point of thinking out outside the box. When we don't have a ton of options or we are seeing some volatility across the marketplace, I think of something like the first cornerback market. Devin Witherspoon saw some steam this week. He was in the range of minus one seventy five just a few days ago, now anywhere from minus two hundred to minus two fifty, depending on how you can shop around. And I think that something really valuable is this market does start to develop.

Yeah, I think that's one of the core concepts when it comes to looking to maximize the ROI over the course of an NFL draft betting cycle, but most of this current cycle to date. I think of my good friend Las Vegas, Chris and his adage hurry up and wait. It's been a pretty scarcely populated market, and it has been starting to develop. Greg to your point of thinking out outside the box. When we don't have a ton of options or we are seeing some volatility across the marketplace, I think of something like the first cornerback market. Devin Witherspoon saw some steam this week. He was in the range of minus one seventy five just a few days ago, now anywhere from minus two hundred to minus two fifty, depending on how you can shop around. And I think that something really valuable is this market does start to develop.

Further.

Further.

Was looking at related markets that can be slow to react to steam that a certain player might get, and some of those related markets slower to react can mean a bigger attack surface for us as betters. For example, at an offshore I have Witherspoon after he'd already been steamed up to be the first cornerback taken. He was minus one forty head to head with Christian Gonzales to get drafted first. And we know that this is pretty much a two player race between Witherspoon and Gonzales and the market for first cornerback to get taken. So to find ways to get at the same concept in grab a superior price, I feel like that's ultimately the name of the game here. And just last year, you know, if somebody didn't get this example with Devin Witherspoon head to head over Gonzalez just a few days ago, there's probably gonna be a lot of examples as draft day approaches. I remember last year leading up to the draft, kway Walker got steamed quite a bit from an over under well into the thirties to down into the twenties. And an alternative that I found, I didn't get the information right when he started getting steamed, so I didn't get the best number on an over under. But there are prop bets yes or no will he go in the first round, And that's basically a proxy for under thirty two and a half when that over under has already slid into the mid twenties. So for people who can think outside the box a little bit, this next week and a half. I think there's going to be a lot of opportunity as the draft market finally starts to develop in a big way.

Was looking at related markets that can be slow to react to steam that a certain player might get, and some of those related markets slower to react can mean a bigger attack surface for us as betters. For example, at an offshore I have Witherspoon after he'd already been steamed up to be the first cornerback taken. He was minus one forty head to head with Christian Gonzales to get drafted first. And we know that this is pretty much a two player race between Witherspoon and Gonzales and the market for first cornerback to get taken. So to find ways to get at the same concept in grab a superior price, I feel like that's ultimately the name of the game here. And just last year, you know, if somebody didn't get this example with Devin Witherspoon head to head over Gonzalez just a few days ago, there's probably gonna be a lot of examples as draft day approaches. I remember last year leading up to the draft, kway Walker got steamed quite a bit from an over under well into the thirties to down into the twenties. And an alternative that I found, I didn't get the information right when he started getting steamed, so I didn't get the best number on an over under. But there are prop bets yes or no will he go in the first round, And that's basically a proxy for under thirty two and a half when that over under has already slid into the mid twenties. So for people who can think outside the box a little bit, this next week and a half. I think there's going to be a lot of opportunity as the draft market finally starts to develop in a big way.

I totally agree with you there.

I totally agree with you there.

And this is on like taking a look at NFL games trying to be like, Okay, there's a little bit of an edge here with the tight ends against the defensive backs or anything like that. This is all just based on information and Ben when it comes to something like this where I mean, it is all based on what we are all hearing. We're taking a look at all these beat reporters, what have you. What are some of the biggest things that you take a look at in terms of the NFL draft to be able to exploit a little bit of value because it's not necessarily how much you know about these teams, but it's about who you know in a lot of cases with the draft.

And this is on like taking a look at NFL games trying to be like, Okay, there's a little bit of an edge here with the tight ends against the defensive backs or anything like that. This is all just based on information and Ben when it comes to something like this where I mean, it is all based on what we are all hearing. We're taking a look at all these beat reporters, what have you. What are some of the biggest things that you take a look at in terms of the NFL draft to be able to exploit a little bit of value because it's not necessarily how much you know about these teams, but it's about who you know in a lot of cases with the draft.

Yeah, yeah, very much. So.

Yeah, yeah, very much. So.

I do think you know, kind of like you said, like, this is an information based market. Obviously when we're doing you know, spreads, totals and even you know, player props and everything else, like we can very much have like model inputs and derive some expectation for how we actually think that game or that player is going to perform. But in the draft specifically, we're all kind of going on our hunches, we're all kind of going along lines for the most part, I would say similar information, but there is I would say an element of you know, being able to discern certain things, being able to discern who's actually giving or providing that information. I think all of that needs to kind of go into your handicap if you are going to try and I would say, actually make some decent money getting down, you know, a decent action on these NFL draft So I think you have to be discerning. You have to actually be able to ingest the information as quickly as possible. But you also need to I would say, in some ways maybe go against the market.

I do think you know, kind of like you said, like, this is an information based market. Obviously when we're doing you know, spreads, totals and even you know, player props and everything else, like we can very much have like model inputs and derive some expectation for how we actually think that game or that player is going to perform. But in the draft specifically, we're all kind of going on our hunches, we're all kind of going along lines for the most part, I would say similar information, but there is I would say an element of you know, being able to discern certain things, being able to discern who's actually giving or providing that information. I think all of that needs to kind of go into your handicap if you are going to try and I would say, actually make some decent money getting down, you know, a decent action on these NFL draft So I think you have to be discerning. You have to actually be able to ingest the information as quickly as possible. But you also need to I would say, in some ways maybe go against the market.

When you think things have kind of gotten out of whack.

When you think things have kind of gotten out of whack.

And I think going back to it, you know, the first overall draft picks selection with CJ. Straw moving to such a heavy favorite ones, the Carolina Panthers kind of made that move. I think if you could take a step back and realize why that move actually happened, it probably didn't make a ton of sense to be betting CJ.

And I think going back to it, you know, the first overall draft picks selection with CJ. Straw moving to such a heavy favorite ones, the Carolina Panthers kind of made that move. I think if you could take a step back and realize why that move actually happened, it probably didn't make a ton of sense to be betting CJ.

Strow to that particular situation.

Strow to that particular situation.

And it also probably made a ton of sense to be betting on a guy like Bryce Sung at like plus two fifty or like plus two hundred, because he very much was the consensus number one quarterback when the Panthers actually made up to go up to actually get that move to actually get the number.

And it also probably made a ton of sense to be betting on a guy like Bryce Sung at like plus two fifty or like plus two hundred, because he very much was the consensus number one quarterback when the Panthers actually made up to go up to actually get that move to actually get the number.

One overall draft pick.

One overall draft pick.

So the reasoning for why these teams are doing these things as well, very much, I would say, kind of has to be baked into the equation for how you evaluate it. And I think that you can kind of do some of those things specifically, and you know the first positions that a team is going to draft selection.

So the reasoning for why these teams are doing these things as well, very much, I would say, kind of has to be baked into the equation for how you evaluate it. And I think that you can kind of do some of those things specifically, and you know the first positions that a team is going to draft selection.

I do think some of those are.

I do think some of those are.

Probably my favorite ones that you can bet and have been available and say for the longest time right now.

Probably my favorite ones that you can bet and have been available and say for the longest time right now.

And I think that it is so interesting to take a look at the NFL draft because there is no model for taking a look at it or anything like that. Because you can take a look at something and it's like, oh, it's seventy five percent that player X is gonna be able to get fifty yards.

And I think that it is so interesting to take a look at the NFL draft because there is no model for taking a look at it or anything like that. Because you can take a look at something and it's like, oh, it's seventy five percent that player X is gonna be able to get fifty yards.

It's one hundred percent one way or the other.

It's one hundred percent one way or the other.

Because it's one person saying, yep, I want this guy, No, I don't want this guy, so that makes it very intriguing. But one thing that I think we can gather is how teams have drafted in the past. Like I'm a big time Green Bay Packers fan, and I've just resorted to the fact that the Green Bay Packers are never going to pick a wide receiver in the first round. That's just the way that the organization operates. Matt, I'll lead off with this with you. Is that something that you do take a look at, because I do think that there are certain tendencies with teams that we're able to take a look at, and I do think that there is great value and taking a look as long as the organization doesn't have a big giant shakeup in terms of the front office, that we can gather and be like, Okay, we could sort of rule out these players, going to insert your team here.

Because it's one person saying, yep, I want this guy, No, I don't want this guy, so that makes it very intriguing. But one thing that I think we can gather is how teams have drafted in the past. Like I'm a big time Green Bay Packers fan, and I've just resorted to the fact that the Green Bay Packers are never going to pick a wide receiver in the first round. That's just the way that the organization operates. Matt, I'll lead off with this with you. Is that something that you do take a look at, because I do think that there are certain tendencies with teams that we're able to take a look at, and I do think that there is great value and taking a look as long as the organization doesn't have a big giant shakeup in terms of the front office, that we can gather and be like, Okay, we could sort of rule out these players, going to insert your team here.

Yeah, Greg, I think that last point you brought up is really key.

Yeah, Greg, I think that last point you brought up is really key.

Overall.

Overall.

The concept of knowing a team's tendencies has worked well over the years for people who can pay attention to things like that, but it's just become so tough to find a lot of continuity across teams. I had Ron Marmeolevsky on Props and Hops this week, and he has more than three decades of experience creating content around the NFL Draft, and he was at a loss for just how few teams have more than two years of the same GM, same head coach, same coordinators. So tendencies are tougher to find, just because the shelf life for a lot of these roles has shrunk in recent years. And then even a team like my San Diego oh.

The concept of knowing a team's tendencies has worked well over the years for people who can pay attention to things like that, but it's just become so tough to find a lot of continuity across teams. I had Ron Marmeolevsky on Props and Hops this week, and he has more than three decades of experience creating content around the NFL Draft, and he was at a loss for just how few teams have more than two years of the same GM, same head coach, same coordinators. So tendencies are tougher to find, just because the shelf life for a lot of these roles has shrunk in recent years. And then even a team like my San Diego oh.

I gesus what four or five years.

I gesus what four or five years.

Since they moved, and I'm saying it my Los Angeles Chargers, Tom Tlusco has been their GM for quite some time and people still can't pin down his tendencies. So it's so tough to find teams with a lot of continuity, and even some that do have continuity within those pressures view, they might be tough to pin down. So I think it's a really good concept in theory. I just don't know that it applies to as many organizations and you're like twenty twenty three as it has in much of the previous betting cycles for the NFL Draft.

Since they moved, and I'm saying it my Los Angeles Chargers, Tom Tlusco has been their GM for quite some time and people still can't pin down his tendencies. So it's so tough to find teams with a lot of continuity, and even some that do have continuity within those pressures view, they might be tough to pin down. So I think it's a really good concept in theory. I just don't know that it applies to as many organizations and you're like twenty twenty three as it has in much of the previous betting cycles for the NFL Draft.

And Matt, I'll make you feel a little bit better about this as well, because the Milwaukee Brewers renamed Miller Park like three years ago. It's still Miller Park to me, gosh, dang it. So here, there's just some things that you always feel like they should be saying how they are. But Ben, what do you make out of this taking a look at just some of the tendencies that we have seen from team to team, because I do think that there is something to it, and I do think that Matt offers a very good point as well. There has been a lot of shake up with regards to GMS, There's been a lot of coaching changes that have been made in recent years, just the way that operations are done in terms of the NFL, and I do think that this could be something to take a look at it as well with regards to some of these guys in year one and year two trying to make a big splash right away.

And Matt, I'll make you feel a little bit better about this as well, because the Milwaukee Brewers renamed Miller Park like three years ago. It's still Miller Park to me, gosh, dang it. So here, there's just some things that you always feel like they should be saying how they are. But Ben, what do you make out of this taking a look at just some of the tendencies that we have seen from team to team, because I do think that there is something to it, and I do think that Matt offers a very good point as well. There has been a lot of shake up with regards to GMS, There's been a lot of coaching changes that have been made in recent years, just the way that operations are done in terms of the NFL, and I do think that this could be something to take a look at it as well with regards to some of these guys in year one and year two trying to make a big splash right away.

Yeah, I think there's a ton of, you know, opportunities.

Yeah, I think there's a ton of, you know, opportunities.

I would sy that you can kind of use that, and I think, you know, not to not to harp on all of our homework teams basically, but I look at a team like the Minnesota Vikings with Questiadufa Mansa very much had you know, his first draft, you know, overall class basically last year. But I also think that you can look at not only that draft class, but some of the ones that he was involved with in Cleveland and San Francisco and get an idea of his overall draft philosophy. And maybe it's not necessarily you know, the position that they're going to pick, but I think it can very much help identify, you know, maybe the type of player that they're going to gravitate towards with that first round selection. So if you're looking at a guy and you think that, you know, the Minnesota Vikings, for example, really want to draft a guy like Hendon Hooker, well you can look at Questia Dufa Monsa's tendencies that he's been involved with with all of his drafts, and you can realize that, you know, he's never taken a guy that has played his final season over twenty two years of age, and Hendon Hooker, you know, coming off in acl surgery in that twenty five year old range, really doesn't make a ton of sense. From Questia Dufa Monts's perspective, I would say to go up and actually draft him. So I think there are you know, some Introe layers that you can do for these evaluations not only at the GM but teams specifically as well, with how sharp you might think some of these guys are, or how sharp some of these teams are, and maybe they aren't going to overvalue.

I would sy that you can kind of use that, and I think, you know, not to not to harp on all of our homework teams basically, but I look at a team like the Minnesota Vikings with Questiadufa Mansa very much had you know, his first draft, you know, overall class basically last year. But I also think that you can look at not only that draft class, but some of the ones that he was involved with in Cleveland and San Francisco and get an idea of his overall draft philosophy. And maybe it's not necessarily you know, the position that they're going to pick, but I think it can very much help identify, you know, maybe the type of player that they're going to gravitate towards with that first round selection. So if you're looking at a guy and you think that, you know, the Minnesota Vikings, for example, really want to draft a guy like Hendon Hooker, well you can look at Questia Dufa Monsa's tendencies that he's been involved with with all of his drafts, and you can realize that, you know, he's never taken a guy that has played his final season over twenty two years of age, and Hendon Hooker, you know, coming off in acl surgery in that twenty five year old range, really doesn't make a ton of sense. From Questia Dufa Monts's perspective, I would say to go up and actually draft him. So I think there are you know, some Introe layers that you can do for these evaluations not only at the GM but teams specifically as well, with how sharp you might think some of these guys are, or how sharp some of these teams are, and maybe they aren't going to overvalue.

Some of these positions that I think should.

Some of these positions that I think should.

All further on down the draft board, places like you know, linebacker, running back, tight end, those sorts of things. I do think it's really hard to I would say, kind of slot those guys going to sharp teams that are you know, more analytically sound and pushing the envelope in that area.

All further on down the draft board, places like you know, linebacker, running back, tight end, those sorts of things. I do think it's really hard to I would say, kind of slot those guys going to sharp teams that are you know, more analytically sound and pushing the envelope in that area.

There is so many different teams that maybe had such a varying approach in the NFL, which does make this market so much fun. As we do have Matt Landis who does great workover at the PROPS and Ops podcasts, and you've got.

There is so many different teams that maybe had such a varying approach in the NFL, which does make this market so much fun. As we do have Matt Landis who does great workover at the PROPS and Ops podcasts, and you've got.

Ben Brown or Pro Football Focus does a great job over there.

Ben Brown or Pro Football Focus does a great job over there.

And coming up next we'll see if they've got any action on the NFL draft as of right now and where they're going to be looking in terms of the next week and a half Prior to the drift right here on the Great Peters and Experience of vcon Esports by Network.

And coming up next we'll see if they've got any action on the NFL draft as of right now and where they're going to be looking in terms of the next week and a half Prior to the drift right here on the Great Peters and Experience of vcon Esports by Network.

You're experiencing hoops Peterson himself on fisand these Sports Betting Network on.

You're experiencing hoops Peterson himself on fisand these Sports Betting Network on.

Number back here on the Greg Peterson experience on Vson the Sports Bank Network. And great to be joined by our roundtable to talk some NFL Draft We've got Ben Brown does great work over at Pro Football Focus, and Matt Landis does great work with the Props and Ops podcast, and Matt, I know that we were talking about this a little bit out there. There are a few markets that you're taking a look at. And while all the love has been going to the number one quarterback taken, you're not just taking a look at the number one quarterback taken. You're just taking a look at how many quarterbacks are going to be in the first round. And I know that's something that you've identified is a lot of places they've got the over under in terms of first round quarterbacks selected At four and a half and right now DraftKings, I'm seeing even money always want to be shopping around for these because I'm seeing some plus money out.

Number back here on the Greg Peterson experience on Vson the Sports Bank Network. And great to be joined by our roundtable to talk some NFL Draft We've got Ben Brown does great work over at Pro Football Focus, and Matt Landis does great work with the Props and Ops podcast, and Matt, I know that we were talking about this a little bit out there. There are a few markets that you're taking a look at. And while all the love has been going to the number one quarterback taken, you're not just taking a look at the number one quarterback taken. You're just taking a look at how many quarterbacks are going to be in the first round. And I know that's something that you've identified is a lot of places they've got the over under in terms of first round quarterbacks selected At four and a half and right now DraftKings, I'm seeing even money always want to be shopping around for these because I'm seeing some plus money out.

There as well. But how do you identify if I miss market in? Where are you leaning on it?

There as well. But how do you identify if I miss market in? Where are you leaning on it?

Yeah, I can't fault anybody if they want to take the even money on over four and a half, but I would advise, as you touched on shop around at prominent regulated books, there are still numbers in the range of plus one sixteen that I'm seeing. I would like to get anything in the plus money range. And it's building on a point that Ben made near the end of our first segment. He mentioned Hendon Hooker. I know that his stock has been rising, but basically, if we're looking at number like four and a half, two contextualizings before we get to a guy like Hooker potentially going. I want to give a hat tip to Ed Fang, who works for a site. He created the power rank and he basically broke it down as if we know, Okay, Bryce Young CJ. Stroud, we've got Richardson basically locks to go in the first round. Will levis a bit polarizing. I wouldn't be stunned to see him go second overall, and I wouldn't be stune to see him fall out of the top ten. But I think we can safely assume that Young Stroud, Richardson levis all virtual to go in the first round, And in my mind this kind of hinged then on a guy like Hooker and thinking about his stock rising. Daniel Jeremiah one of the sharper mock drafters. Jeremiah probably the sharpest, but one of a few sharp mock drafters who has put Hooker in the first round recently. I feel like, if this is about a coin flip, even maybe slightly better than a fifty to fifty proposition, if we're getting plus money, then that's definitely something I want in the draft a portfolio.

Yeah, I can't fault anybody if they want to take the even money on over four and a half, but I would advise, as you touched on shop around at prominent regulated books, there are still numbers in the range of plus one sixteen that I'm seeing. I would like to get anything in the plus money range. And it's building on a point that Ben made near the end of our first segment. He mentioned Hendon Hooker. I know that his stock has been rising, but basically, if we're looking at number like four and a half, two contextualizings before we get to a guy like Hooker potentially going. I want to give a hat tip to Ed Fang, who works for a site. He created the power rank and he basically broke it down as if we know, Okay, Bryce Young CJ. Stroud, we've got Richardson basically locks to go in the first round. Will levis a bit polarizing. I wouldn't be stunned to see him go second overall, and I wouldn't be stune to see him fall out of the top ten. But I think we can safely assume that Young Stroud, Richardson levis all virtual to go in the first round, And in my mind this kind of hinged then on a guy like Hooker and thinking about his stock rising. Daniel Jeremiah one of the sharper mock drafters. Jeremiah probably the sharpest, but one of a few sharp mock drafters who has put Hooker in the first round recently. I feel like, if this is about a coin flip, even maybe slightly better than a fifty to fifty proposition, if we're getting plus money, then that's definitely something I want in the draft a portfolio.

And I know that Ben, there's another quarterback that you're taking a look at that could possibly go in the first round. That does make this market a little bit more intriguing as well and offers a little bit more value to the over two.

And I know that Ben, there's another quarterback that you're taking a look at that could possibly go in the first round. That does make this market a little bit more intriguing as well and offers a little bit more value to the over two.

Yeah, definitely.

Yeah, definitely.

And Tanner McKee, So he's the guy you know from Stanford, big body obviously, I think the prototypical passing quarterback from previous generations in a lot of ways. But he had an official visit to the Minnesota Vikings. You know, from PFS perspective, we very much think that he is probably a first round type canon and I think he's like I want to say, twenty eighth or twenty ninth on our draft board, so very much a guy that if you want to gravitate towards rookie quarterbacks and getting one of those guys like you want to come up into the latter half of the first round and you want to select a guy like Kennon Hooker, you want to select a guy like tanem keyth So I'm very much on board with this one as well as a spot that I've already bet it, you know, kind of like Matt, so that it has moved a little bit, but I think if you can still find one of those plus prices out there, they're definitely out there. Like it's very much a spot where you're kind of buying into this forward thinking approach that NFL dms are very much trying to move towards. So I do think we're going to see, you know, the run on quarterbacks early. When that happens, I think we're going to see one or two potentially end up in the back half of the first round as well.

And Tanner McKee, So he's the guy you know from Stanford, big body obviously, I think the prototypical passing quarterback from previous generations in a lot of ways. But he had an official visit to the Minnesota Vikings. You know, from PFS perspective, we very much think that he is probably a first round type canon and I think he's like I want to say, twenty eighth or twenty ninth on our draft board, so very much a guy that if you want to gravitate towards rookie quarterbacks and getting one of those guys like you want to come up into the latter half of the first round and you want to select a guy like Kennon Hooker, you want to select a guy like tanem keyth So I'm very much on board with this one as well as a spot that I've already bet it, you know, kind of like Matt, so that it has moved a little bit, but I think if you can still find one of those plus prices out there, they're definitely out there. Like it's very much a spot where you're kind of buying into this forward thinking approach that NFL dms are very much trying to move towards. So I do think we're going to see, you know, the run on quarterbacks early. When that happens, I think we're going to see one or two potentially end up in the back half of the first round as well.

I do agree with you, And we were just talking about a little bit more of a position oriented bet and I just want to get your thoughts on this, Matt. There are so many ways to be able to take a look at things because you're able to select the specific position in which a team is going to be utilizing their first pick on. You're able to take a look at exac draft order, what have you? Is there been one or two so maybe specific types of bets they've had a little bit more successful than others over the years.

I do agree with you, And we were just talking about a little bit more of a position oriented bet and I just want to get your thoughts on this, Matt. There are so many ways to be able to take a look at things because you're able to select the specific position in which a team is going to be utilizing their first pick on. You're able to take a look at exac draft order, what have you? Is there been one or two so maybe specific types of bets they've had a little bit more successful than others over the years.

That just lend a little bit more bang for your buck.

That just lend a little bit more bang for your buck.

Yeah.

Yeah.

Typically, in my case, I tend to skew toward bets with binary outcomes, so thinking over under yes or no. And this is something I generally do because with extra options attached to any one wager, books can hide a lot of viig And I think that when trying to view this from the lens of what's the true probability of something happening? A lot of big plus numbers for some of these bets. What position will a team draft with its first pick? You know, exact draft order? There are some big plus numbers that look enticing, but they're often not big enough. And while this is I think a good general principle, you know it's not an absolute. Certainly, if you can find a good number on something with more than just two options, go ahead and knock yourself out. I mean, my first bet this draft betting cycle was JSN to be the first wide receiver taken because the consensus price most places I was looking was in the range of minus two hundred to minus two fifty, and I saw a book still hanging minus one twenty five, So I wasn't looking to make that bet. A lot of times, necessarily, I'm not looking to bet a specific outcome. I'm looking for a valuable number, and those, more often than not, in my experience, tend to be attached to binary numbers over under, yes or no type of outcomes, you know, such as quarterbacks over four and a half, anything at plus money in the first round this time around.

Typically, in my case, I tend to skew toward bets with binary outcomes, so thinking over under yes or no. And this is something I generally do because with extra options attached to any one wager, books can hide a lot of viig And I think that when trying to view this from the lens of what's the true probability of something happening? A lot of big plus numbers for some of these bets. What position will a team draft with its first pick? You know, exact draft order? There are some big plus numbers that look enticing, but they're often not big enough. And while this is I think a good general principle, you know it's not an absolute. Certainly, if you can find a good number on something with more than just two options, go ahead and knock yourself out. I mean, my first bet this draft betting cycle was JSN to be the first wide receiver taken because the consensus price most places I was looking was in the range of minus two hundred to minus two fifty, and I saw a book still hanging minus one twenty five, So I wasn't looking to make that bet. A lot of times, necessarily, I'm not looking to bet a specific outcome. I'm looking for a valuable number, and those, more often than not, in my experience, tend to be attached to binary numbers over under, yes or no type of outcomes, you know, such as quarterbacks over four and a half, anything at plus money in the first round this time around.

And I think that that's such good advice because you're gonna find it with a normal point spread, with a normal just yes no, like you were pointing out, you're gonna get a relatively straightforward line in terms of the juice. Meanwhile, when you go into like the golf futures market to win a tournament, there's going to be oftentimes a little bit more of a book hold. So I think that that is very good that you point that out, and I think that that is good advice.

And I think that that's such good advice because you're gonna find it with a normal point spread, with a normal just yes no, like you were pointing out, you're gonna get a relatively straightforward line in terms of the juice. Meanwhile, when you go into like the golf futures market to win a tournament, there's going to be oftentimes a little bit more of a book hold. So I think that that is very good that you point that out, and I think that that is good advice.

For all involved.

For all involved.

And when you take a look at things that we've got on the board right now, Ben, has there been anything that you've been able to take a look at that you think is a little bit you see, because we did take a look at just the quarterback market in terms of the amount of quarterbacks that we're going to be seeing in the first round. Is there a type of better too that you're seeing a little bit more of an edge on.

And when you take a look at things that we've got on the board right now, Ben, has there been anything that you've been able to take a look at that you think is a little bit you see, because we did take a look at just the quarterback market in terms of the amount of quarterbacks that we're going to be seeing in the first round. Is there a type of better too that you're seeing a little bit more of an edge on.

Yeah, definitely. So.

Yeah, definitely. So.

I do think one of the more intriguing market markets, especially over the past few days, has been this, you know, the idea of the first offensive lineman off the board, or Paris Johnson junior versus Peter Skaransky. And I think we've kind of seen these two guys move pretty drastically over the past few days, with Paris Johnson being a pretty clear favorite, Peter Scransky then kind of taking taking him over, then Paris Johnson kind of once again emerging in some books, specifically on DraftKings, where there the matchup prop Paris Johnson's minus one seventy to Peter Skronski plus one thirty. That seems really on the line if you are just doing some line shopping and looking at some of these you know, first offensive lineman markets, like you can find on FanDuel and other places. So I think this one is a lot tighter than what DraftKings is actually pricing them out to be. So I think if you can get Peter Scransky straight up against Paris Johnson Junior two, go for him at like a plus one thirty place, even plus plus one twenty, I think that's a pretty good spot.

I do think one of the more intriguing market markets, especially over the past few days, has been this, you know, the idea of the first offensive lineman off the board, or Paris Johnson junior versus Peter Skaransky. And I think we've kind of seen these two guys move pretty drastically over the past few days, with Paris Johnson being a pretty clear favorite, Peter Scransky then kind of taking taking him over, then Paris Johnson kind of once again emerging in some books, specifically on DraftKings, where there the matchup prop Paris Johnson's minus one seventy to Peter Skronski plus one thirty. That seems really on the line if you are just doing some line shopping and looking at some of these you know, first offensive lineman markets, like you can find on FanDuel and other places. So I think this one is a lot tighter than what DraftKings is actually pricing them out to be. So I think if you can get Peter Scransky straight up against Paris Johnson Junior two, go for him at like a plus one thirty place, even plus plus one twenty, I think that's a pretty good spot.

I do think that it seems like a lot of teams, you know, in.

I do think that it seems like a lot of teams, you know, in.

That nine, eight, nine and ten range, you know, are going to be choosing between one of these two guys. And it does seem, you know, specifically the Bears are probably going to be the one that is.

That nine, eight, nine and ten range, you know, are going to be choosing between one of these two guys. And it does seem, you know, specifically the Bears are probably going to be the one that is.

Choosing between these two teams.

Choosing between these two teams.

I think you can very much see, you know, where Ryan Poles has been at previously from an offensive line, you know, perspective, and what he's kind of honed in on, and I would say, you know, appreciated in his evaluations.

I think you can very much see, you know, where Ryan Poles has been at previously from an offensive line, you know, perspective, and what he's kind of honed in on, and I would say, you know, appreciated in his evaluations.

I think the scale is kind of leaning in.

I think the scale is kind of leaning in.

Peter Skeronsky's direction, So him to go over Paris Johnson, I think is probably, you know, one of the best bets that you can make right now.

Peter Skeronsky's direction, So him to go over Paris Johnson, I think is probably, you know, one of the best bets that you can make right now.

I would say I do think so as well, and I've been hearing quite a few more people getting on board with Scronsky, and I do think that that is one that is starting to build up some momentum and I like the look there. And when it comes down to it, Matt, I know that you were taking a look at this a little bit earlier. I know that you were mentioning the fact that the reason why you do like the over a four and a half quarterbacks is that you were taking a look get some mock drafts from Daniel, Jeremiah, what have you, and he was having Hendon Hooker in the first round. How much do you take into account these mock drafts and how much do you follow them versus how much do you fade them? Because we know with mock drafters, much like just any sort of handicapper, there's gonna be some great HiT's by some of these guys, and there are gonna be some whiffs as well. And I always think that that's a very fine line to sort of or that's just a very that's something that is very hard to balance in general.

I would say I do think so as well, and I've been hearing quite a few more people getting on board with Scronsky, and I do think that that is one that is starting to build up some momentum and I like the look there. And when it comes down to it, Matt, I know that you were taking a look at this a little bit earlier. I know that you were mentioning the fact that the reason why you do like the over a four and a half quarterbacks is that you were taking a look get some mock drafts from Daniel, Jeremiah, what have you, and he was having Hendon Hooker in the first round. How much do you take into account these mock drafts and how much do you follow them versus how much do you fade them? Because we know with mock drafters, much like just any sort of handicapper, there's gonna be some great HiT's by some of these guys, and there are gonna be some whiffs as well. And I always think that that's a very fine line to sort of or that's just a very that's something that is very hard to balance in general.

Yeah, I think I probably take a slightly different approach than a lot of people. That's why I love doing these round tables and getting Ben's perspective because I don't know so many of the measurables or the qualitative aspects around some of these prospects entering the draft, so I look to really trusted sources, and I think that instead of going from the bottom up kind of curation is my form of creation, if you will, and trying to identify the signal from the noise. Most mock drafts, I'll be honest, I don't pay too much attention to Daniel Jeremiah is definite at the top of my list. I also know with the athletic a guy like Dan Brugler does really good work, and then lanceser Line another good source. Peter Scheger has really good ties to certain teams. So some of it you look at from a macro level how plugged in certain guys are. Other times, you know certain reporters are really linked to certain teams, and you just kind of overtime figure out, Okay, how can you do your best to decipher the signal from the noise. So there's no one right or wrong way to do it. But I think, especially as the draft gets closer and we get more of a betting market, a lot of what we're seeing in the mock drafts are just the way that some of these top reporters are presenting things will lend themselves to a lot more opportunities for betters who are paying attention to what's being put out there, not necessarily having to reinvent the wheel for themselves with every betting opportunity.

Yeah, I think I probably take a slightly different approach than a lot of people. That's why I love doing these round tables and getting Ben's perspective because I don't know so many of the measurables or the qualitative aspects around some of these prospects entering the draft, so I look to really trusted sources, and I think that instead of going from the bottom up kind of curation is my form of creation, if you will, and trying to identify the signal from the noise. Most mock drafts, I'll be honest, I don't pay too much attention to Daniel Jeremiah is definite at the top of my list. I also know with the athletic a guy like Dan Brugler does really good work, and then lanceser Line another good source. Peter Scheger has really good ties to certain teams. So some of it you look at from a macro level how plugged in certain guys are. Other times, you know certain reporters are really linked to certain teams, and you just kind of overtime figure out, Okay, how can you do your best to decipher the signal from the noise. So there's no one right or wrong way to do it. But I think, especially as the draft gets closer and we get more of a betting market, a lot of what we're seeing in the mock drafts are just the way that some of these top reporters are presenting things will lend themselves to a lot more opportunities for betters who are paying attention to what's being put out there, not necessarily having to reinvent the wheel for themselves with every betting opportunity.

And Ben, we've got about a minute left. How do you gauge these mock drafts and how much sock do you put into them, whether or not they are really something that you follow or not follow.

And Ben, we've got about a minute left. How do you gauge these mock drafts and how much sock do you put into them, whether or not they are really something that you follow or not follow.

Yeah, I honestly, I kind of like Matt said, I know there are a few guys that I think everyone does find valuable. There are definitely some guys as well that are very plugged into certain teams, and I think when they kind of signal to a certain team, you know, Lancer Line and the Houston Texans, like, that's very much an information based thing that you should take advantage of. But outside of that, I think you kind of want to do your own mock drafts in certain ways and kind of size that up with the betty market and kind of see, you know, what is the betty market telling us and how would that mock draft? I would say, potentially play out given the current markets that we have available to us.