Colin Cowherd Podcast - Russ Cringe + Week 8 ‘Sharp’ or ‘Square’

Published Oct 28, 2022, 10:38 AM

First, Colin examines LeBron’s cryptic social media call out of the Lakers, if they’re taking him for granted, and why he’s not bothered by Russell Wilson’s ever present cringe factor.

Then the Action Network's Chad Millman tells Colin if his NFL Week 8 picks are "sharp" or "square". They look at Cardinals/Vikings (15:00), Dolphins/Lions (17:00), Bengals/Browns (19:00), Broncos/Jags (21:00), Patriots/Jets (23:00), Packers/Bills (24:00), Raiders/Saints (28:00), Commanders/Colts (29:00).

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The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by fan Duel Football Seasons. Here no better place to get in on the action. FanDuel app is safe. You get paid fast, lot of ways to play to spread the money line, team totals, players, props, a lot of stuff over unders, jump into the action. Same game. Parlays are my favorite. Just use the promo code Colin and download the fan Duel app today. Listen. These days, every new potential hire can feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. Right the margins have never been tighter. You want to be one hundred percent certain you have access to the best qualified candidates and fast. That's why you should check out LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering quality hires in America. LinkedIn Jobs listen never been easier to create a free job post on LinkedIn and find a great employee. Add your job and the purple hashtag hiring frame to your LinkedIn profile. By the way, spread the word faster screening questions, simple tools make it easy to focus on candidates with the right skills. Every business owner knows how important it is to finish the year out strong. You need the right team members. LinkedIn Jobs go there right now, post your job for free LinkedIn dot com slash colin LinkedIn dot com slash colin. Terms and conditions apply. All right, Welcome in Friday Morning. Heard podcast Chad Milman Sharper Square in ten minutes. But first, I have things on my mind. So there's a trend in sports where instead of a great athlete talking to the owner man to man, or talking to the GM or talking to the coach, they rush to their social media. I'm not into this trend at all. Maybe it's generational, but that said, it is newsworthy. So Lebron James went to his Instagram after the Owen four start, showed a picture of him dunking and wrote how long are you going to take me for granted? And then he put a king crown. Not a lot of subtlety with that one, but Lebron is right. This is what the Tampa Bay Buccaneers did. They seized on an older Tom Brady. He wants Gronk, get him. Gronk wants Letty Furnett get him. Lenny Fernette wants a B, Get him a B. You knew you had about a two to three year window with Tom. Get him. Help what's Green Bay down with Aaron Rodgers in the last two years, saddle him with rookie receivers. Lebron is, of course right. The greatest thing about Lebron James has always been, and this goes for Phil Jackson, the best coach in league history, the ability to elevate others Phil Jackson, and it's arguable, but I think it's true. Never had at least a borderline All Star level player that didn't play his best basketball when coached under Phil Jackson. It's a psychology, it's a style. Phil Jackson got the best out of everybody. Now Lebron's not always that way. I mean, Chris Bosh and Kevin Love gave up statistics to play with Lebron. Bosh could have remained a twenty five point game guy for the Raptors. Kevin Love could have remained a twenty five point game guy for the t Wolves. But Lebron does elevate. If not your stats, your stature. His games are widely viewed, his teams usually win. They have not given Lebron James. The Lakers haven't winning players. I mean even Anthony Davis was talented, but he couldn't win. He wasn't a winning player in New Orleans. He has never seen as somebody totally passionately in love with the sport. Russell Westbrook talented, not a winning player. Patrick Beverly annoying, disruptive. You don't view him as a winning player. You think of disruptive Anthony Davis. Talented Westbrook athletic. Get Lebron winning players. Kendrick Nunn, he was in the G League system for the Warriors. They let him go. They're pretty good at spotting talent. He was with Eric Spoelstra in Miami. Pat Riley let him go because none is considered again, another talented player, but not a winning player. That's why the Warriors and the Heat let him go. They have winning players. So Lebron's right, How long are you going to take him for granted? As a front office and an ownership group, right, you have to This is what the Warriors have done so well. You have to identify your best player, Lebron Steph and then fill in assets to protect his weak spots. In Golden State, Draymond can defend, Clay defends, Andrew Wiggins defends. Curry's not a great defender with Lebron James Lebron James isn't a great three point shooter. So the teams he has been on that have been great. Miami they got him Ray Allen, they got him, Shane Battier, they got him, Mike Miller, they got him, Chris Bosh an excellent shooting big see pat Riley identified who's our best player? Lebron. Let's surround him with what he elevates and protect him from what he doesn't do. At his highest level, Lebron is a winner with a high IQE that gets the ball the shooters, and the Lakers have a chance to be now the worst shooting team in league history. This is a failure from Genie Buss. This is a failure from Rob Polenka. Lebron's right got a couple of years left. Stopped taking me for granted. You know, the Russell Wilson story is obviously interesting to me because I think he's a really, really talented guy. But a lot of the criticisms of Russell Wilson are he's inauthentic. Two other players come to mind for me, two utter quarterbacks. When I hear the word inauthentic, they're labeled is inauthentic do Gooders, Goody two shoes, Tim Tebow and Kirk Cousins. Russell Wilson Cousins Tebow are probably the three most religious quarterbacks in the last decade. They're labeled inauthentic, and my takeaway has been, I'm agnostic, but I have seen the power of religion and the power of faith in my life from others. I think religion at its best is optimistic, not pessimistic, is hopeful, is glass half full, not snarky. For the record, Aaron Rodgers leans toward the less religious side, has struggled with his family very religious, That's okay. I'm I'm agnostic. I tend to be a little cynical, a little skeptical of faith. Maybe I wouldn't be a good quarterback right But when I hear the inauthentic claims, I heard him for Tebow, I hear him for Russ and I've heard him for Kirk Cousins, and I think they're just very faith based, very hopeful, very optimistic, and that sure beats what I see with a lot of people out there. I don't think snarky is great for religion. I don't think pessimistic super cool. Russell Wilson isn't washed. You may think he is, but I think when I watch Russell Wilson, I think he really believes in what he's selling. Now, what he's selling can come off as a tad cringe ee. But you know, not everybody's cool, right, Like a lot of people think they're cool. A lot of people want to be cool. Not that many people are cool. I don't think Russell's cool. I mean, I'll be honest with you. I don't think Brady's cool. I never thought Peyton Manning was cool. Most of the great quarterbacks in my life. Troy Aikman was a little cool, a little bit cool, good looking guy, Dallas Cowboys. I don't think that's a beneficial asset. Because I said this years ago when I was talking to a college class, I said, I'm not cool either. Is my audience go to a mall or a bowling alley? That's who listens to sports talk radio. If I'm cool, I'm not of my audience, right, So I said, I wouldn't waste a lot of time trying to be the hippiest guy on social media because most people aren't hip. Think about this quarterback NFL Mahomes is cool. I think that's fair to say Troy Aikman was cool. The Mannings weren't. Brady isn't, Russell isn't, Andrew Luck wasn't. I never thought Big Ben was. I don't think Herbert is Joe Burrows got some cool and exclusively on the volume. But I don't think it's an asset necessarily in a group setting to be the coolest guy. So I'm okay with a little cringey because it's really relatable. And how do I know that because in a recent poll of American adults, Russell Wilson was voted tied for the most popular player in the NFL. Twitter and social media are not real life cringey, it's real life. Dad jokes are real life. Listen. These days, every new potential hire can feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. Right, the margins have never been tighter. You want to be one hundred percent certain you have access to the best qualified candidates and fast. That's why you should check out LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering quality hires in America. LinkedIn Jobs Listen never been easier to create a free job post on LinkedIn and find a great employee. Add your job and the purple hashtag hiring frame to your LinkedIn profile. By the way, spread the word faster screening questions. Simple tools make it easy to focus on candidates with the right skills. Every business owner knows how important it is to finish the year out strong. You need the right team members. LinkedIn jobs go there right now. Post your job for free LinkedIn dot com slash colin LinkedIn dot com slash colin. Terms and conditions apply. College football is back, baby, and now is the perfect time to download fan Duel, America's number one sportsbook. Right now, new customers get a no sweat first bet up to a thousand dollars. That's free bets back if your first bet doesn't win. The promo code Zoa's colin. FanDuel has tons of betting options. I like the same game, parlay, bet, a little, win a lot. FanDuel's app is safe, secure, easy to use, and you get paid your winnings really fast. The nose sweat first bet up to a thousand bucks promo code Colin make every moment more this season with FanDuel twenty one plus in present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, and Louisiana. Permitted parish is only, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. First online real money wager only. Refund issued as non withdrawable psyche credit that expires in fourteen days. Restrictions to plyce terms at sportsbook dot fandel dot com. Gambling problem one hundred, next step or text next step to five three three four two Arizona eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org, slash chat Connecticut, went a hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com, slash RG and Colorado, Indiana, Jersey and Virginia one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana, wanted two seven seven one one seven for confidential health in Michigan one eight seven seven h Ope n y or Tex Hope n Y f six seven three six nine in New York, Tennessee Redline eight nine Tennessee visits one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. All Right, growing in popularity and ascending inaccuracy, It's time for sharper Square. With Chad Millman's c CEO Action network, all of our odds provided by fan Duel. I had another winning week. You talked me into a couple of games, and I like that. So let's start with my favorite picks. I am a huge fan of Minnesota, but they don't blow anybody away. I've said before, Arizona is too talented not to be competitive. They get extra time to prep. They're getting now four. I'm going to take Arizona plus four against a team I like a lot. Minnesota's sharper square. So this is generally sharp. Let me give you some background. The Wise guys do like the Cardinals. The Blind actually moved from four to three and a half, and there are reasons related to the Vikings that they don't necessarily like Minnesota. But a lot of this is about the return of DeAndre Hopkins. We saw it last week. Kyler Murray and this offense, they are just a different team when DeAndre Hopkins plays. When he has When Kyler Murray has DeAndre Hopkins, he's seventeen and ten as a starter. Without him, he's six thirteen and one. Last week, Hopkins plays for the first time in the early year, ten catches for more than a hundred yards. But then there is the part that is about the Vikings. This defense is dreadful like they allow the NFL's highest percentage of explosive pass plays. They're thirty first in DVOA. They are against against wide receiver number one, which is what Hopkins is. He could have a massively huge day. And this is what's interesting about the Vikings. You know, they're on this hot streak right now and they're five and one. They're leading the division. They're consistently outgained on a yard per play basis, and that is a huge Wise guys stat That is a signal that they're not winning because they're better, but because they've been luckier. Wise guys are betting on regression. Detroit plus three and a half at home against Miami. Okay, interesting, Jared Goffin. Detroit are a different team at home. If you really watch the Cowboy game, that thing was like ten to six late and Detroit should have been leading. I like Miami, They're very good on script, often limited off it. I'm going to take the points. Detroit plus three and a half. Sharper square. I love this. It is my favorite pick of the week. It was the first bet I made. The Wise guys love this game. This is a bylo sell High. Everyone hates the Lions after two bad weeks. Everyone loves Miami with two of back they won in prime time. But like you said, Detroit is back at home. Detroit is in desperation mode. The world is a better place when we can root for Dan Campbell as an NFL head coach and they need this game to save their season and for him to save his job. The good news Amanra st Brown should be back. DeAndre Swift full practice this week, not on the injury list. Teams off of bad losses like the Lions, who the public is fading like? The Lions cover eighty sixty one percent clip since two thousand and five, so the Lions are in a favorable situation as far as precedent, and also the Dolphins just from an injury point of view and playing a lot of third four stringers on the defensive side of the ball. Love the Lions here, love love love them. Third favorite game is Cleveland Monday night plus three and a half. Here's why. Not only is Jamar Chase excellent, he may be as valuable as any singular a wide receiver to a team. He can play multiple wide receiver slots. He is now out it's a divisional game. Outside of last week, Cincinnati does get into a bad trend of falling behind. Also, a Monday night football game in a lot of cities is no big deal. In Cleveland, this is a big deal. The Browns don't get home Monday night football games much. It'll be a wild scene divisional game. Since he may win, I'll take the three and a half sharper square, Yeah, totally sharp. And this is by Monday night. You know this game's at three and a half by Monday night, or it'll be down to three. The wise guys are just going to hammer that hook. The Browns they don't look very good right now, but they have been losing a lot of close games, only one loss by more than a field goal this year. And that's what happens when you have the best running back in football and Nick Chubb, and you're going to play a conservative game plan because Jocoby Brissette is proving to be who Jacoby Brissette is and not the guy who started the year really really hot. The Bengals have looked like they were back. They beat up on the Falcons, but the Falcons in that game lost aj Terrell and they ended up not being able to cover anyone, so the Bengals got the benefit of the doubt to be more explosive. You mentioned Jamar Chase, but this is going to be a spot where the wise guys and you and me are on the Browns. All right, let's go to the favorites. I like the Jags minus two and a half in London against the Denver Broncos. They had the Colts beaten to the last play. They played straight up against the Giants. I do feel it's a young team. Young teams can ascend overcome injuries faster. I think Denver's a mess. I think when you're in crisis, traveling is not the greatest thing. We saw Green Bay a little bit in crisis. Go on the road and play worse. I'm going to take the Jags minus two and a half sharper square, So that's square. The line opened at three, it's moved down to two and a half. The money has come in on the Broncos. The tickets are on the Jaguars. That is always a signal that the professionals like the team where the money is moving in their direction, that is the Broncos. When the tickets are on one side that is the public side, that is the Jaguars. In this case, it's the Jaguars are a challenging team. They're one of those teams that the wise guys have loved the entire season. But Travis Lawrence is missing receivers consistently on the most important plays, red zone throws, deep throws. He's been incredibly inaccurate on the classes that he has to make. And then because they are a young team you mentioned it, they are just consistently making crucial mistakes in the most important moments. You can see it. There's there's a false start. They are not converting when it's fourth and short, third and short, you know when they're on the goal line. The Broncos are a train wreck on offense, but their defense is fierce and I think there's a lot of fear of what they can do to this very young offense led by Trevor Lawrence. So you're not on the right side here. I'm going to take another favorite, Bill Belichick. Humiliated. They'll come back cover the spread minus two and a half against the Jets. I do not trust the Jets in a big spot. The Jets lost their best and most versatile offensive Lineman. The Jets lost their best running back. They bring in Greg James Robinson, but it's late in a week. They're not going to use him much. This is a classic take the team that looked awful last week in a standalone game. The public is fleeing the Patriots. Therefore, I'm on the sharp side, am I not? You are on the sharp side, Colin. And it's rare for the sharp side to be a road favorite when the team is not very good. But for the things you just said, you are getting a Patriots team that, gosh shall act by a really bad team. So there's going to be a little bit of a discount. And what the line is? It opened it about one one and a half, It moved up to two. Now it's a two and a half. The money is coming in on the Patriots. The flip side, you are getting a Jets team that has been winning, is starting to get a little bit more of a public profile. But they didn't lose their best player in Breece Hall. And so how what kind of impact is going to have on Zach Wilson, who if you ask a lot of people how they are grading quarterbacks, he is below number thirty two like, there are quarterbacks who are not even playing at this point who are still great at higher than what Zach Wilson is doing. You would have talked about this. We've talked about this. Robert Solo basically said, I don't know what's going to happen to me in the future with this team. But about two weeks into this year, he just decided, we're going to be a running football team and we're going to be a defensive football team. I don't care who my quarterback is. That's how they've been winning. How did they overcome the loss of Bruce Hall, who probably would have been a Rookie of the Year. So that is a big factor for the wise guys. All right now a couple of games. You may be convince me you turn me last week on the Seahawks, and I do appreciate that I bought myself a brand new No, I didn't. I just won. Okay, I'm going to ask you one that's a popular bet. I think Buffalo is going to clawber Green Bay, but I think the first quarter to the first quarter and a half is going to be competitive. I think Matt Lafleur on script will come out with some tricks, be clever, and they'll hang around. I think the second half is all Buffalo. It's ten and a half, eleven and a half, all odds provided by FanDuel. I could never give Aaron Rodgers eleven and a half. But what do the sharps say, Well, look, this is a really tough one and there's sort of a cowardly move that a lot of wise guys will make when they can't really come to a consensus on a game. They'll bet a half, right, And so you see that with like on Thursday Night Football, oftentimes they are betting the first half on a game. You see it a lot with the Ravens because the Ravens have been one of those teams where they can't close people out, but they are amazing in the first half. Also betting against the Cardinals, betting on the Eagles first half, first half. This is a game where the wise guys are going to be looking at this and saying, Okay, what is the opening line for the second half, and probably going to play Buffalo. Because Josh Allen is a primetime player. He who loves to show up big in games that are against the other prime time quarterbacks. Aaron Rodgers obviously in this scenario. So I think what they're probably going to look for is to see how is this game shaping up? What is the line in the second half, and how can they hit the how can they hit Buffalo in the second half? All right, time for the game you like, I haven't brought up. Well, listen, you hit like dude. You were all over the lines, which I loved. You were all over the Cardinals, which I loved. I will tell you that this week. You know, in the podcast the favorites that me and my bff Simon Hunter do the most as we got. You know, we'll do the podcast on Tuesday. We'll talk about every game. Professional betters will hit us up and say these are the games that we sort of agreed with and didn't agree with, and they will critique our answers, and then we'll talk about it on Thursday when we do the second podcast of the week. Everyone was talking about the Saints. The Saints plus one and a half. Yeah, And I was surprised because I'll show the audience I put little boxes by games that I like, and that is the one game I went back and forth on. The Raiders have really kind of changed their offense in the last several weeks. They are now just a running team, so I don't want to bet against them. But it feels like the Saints is the right side, doesn't it. Yeah, And that's what the wise guys are saying right now. They're not too worried about who's going to be playing quarterback. A lot of this is about the Saints just got blown out by the Cardinals, so there's a little bit of a discount because that's what the public last saw. The Raiders just beat up the Texans and Josh Jacobs looked credible doing it, and they have looked really good the past couple of weeks. But I think that's when they're thinking, Okay, it's time to fade the Raiders going on the road, playing in New Orleans, different scenario, much better defense in the Saints than the Texans. And also in that Texans game. This is where the wise guys make their money, right. They don't just look at the final score. They see the Texans missed a field goal, there was a pick six, they had a drive stall inside the red zone. So there are variance is there that make them look at that score and think, oh, the Raiders warn't as dominant as we think. So that's why they're leaning towards New Orleans right now. The other game that's come up a lot Washington Commanders Trust three on the road at the Colts right so, right now, the Colts have decided they're going to start. Sam Allinger, hold on, I have to excuse myself. I'm gonna throw up right what I I refuse to bet games. I don't want to watch. By the way, that is a lie because you'll say that to me, and then I'll come on this show and you'll say, hey, let's go bet Pittsburgh, Miami or and I'll be like, dude, don't you tell me, let's be let's bet the Jags and the Titans. And I'm like, you say to me, you don't want to bet games. You can't want to bet the corner TV games. But Dolphin Steelers was a standalone game. And I do like watching the Jags because they're a bit of a tire fire. I think the Jags are Oh my god, I like watching the Jags. I don't like watching up Listen to me. You can you can talk yourself out of any box there is. I know this because you're brilliant at this Washington, Washington plus three against you against Indie. I feel like there's real problems on the cults right now. I was fascinated when it came out that Matt Ryan was being benched for Sam Allinger. So I was reading all the coverage about it, and I love sort of this inside high school drama. Frank Reig basically gave him and it's not you, it's me logic. He's like, we're gonna bench you. We haven't delivered on what we promised to you. We thought we'd bring in Matt Ryan. We thought we'd have Jonathan Taylor, we thought we'd have an amazing offensive line. We thought we'd be able to support him. We haven't been able to do that. It's on us, So we're gonna have to break up with you and put you on the bench. So now they're bringing Sam Ellinger. And the second part of that story is all about how who are the decision makers, Jim Ursey, the GM, Frank Wrich. If Frank Reich is the decision maker, does he bench Matt Ryan. It feels like there's a little bit of an ownership getting involved here. So now I got a sixth round raft choice who's never started going against a Washington Commander's football team that can actually play well on defense. And I think they're just better with Taylor Heineke And you're still getting a little bit of that Carson wentsde discount. So that's a game people who have been talking about it. I know you don't want to, you don't want to do it, but you know, I really can talk myself out of anything except an argument with my wife. Oh know what she'll say. She'll say when I like to start arguing, she'll go, she'll go time out. I'm not a caller to your radio show. And I say, I don't take calls. What are you talking about? I will get my wife will like ask me something, and then I'll start explaining something and she goes, you know, I'm not on your staff, right, Like, you don't have to explain it to me, as if you need to convince me of something, like, just talk to me like we've been married forever and that always feels really good. Well I told you you know this. Our wives look alike now they talk yeah, yeah, which to me just feels like they talk alike because they are so sick of us. It's like, it's not even funny. I know, I get at this point. I don't even like my wife and I she works, she's so busy. She's an architect, right, she is so busy. Right now, I've made dinner four to five nights a week. I am texting her, when do you think you'll be home. I'm not asking because I expect you to be home at a certain time. I just want to know when to start dinner. She'll tell me it's going to be a certain time. Half an hour later, she hasn't come home yet. Me and my sixteen year old son are eating together. I leave food for her, and I can't get upset about it because this was our life for twenty years before. Like I was working at home and she's crazy busy. So I just do it. I just do it, and I hope it gets appreciated in some way. Well, you make dinner four times a week, I make reservations five. So it's all the same. You go, you're famous. I gotta be frugal, you know, yeah, right, I listen. I can't. I can't live your lifestyle, all right, Melman? Good see anybody, then see you later the volume. Make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green into the Volume because one of the more entertaining voices in sports. Unique perspective understands behind the rope also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume podcast Network.