The Chuck Toddcast is back! If you’re looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversations, you’ve come to the right place. The Chuck Toddcast goes beyond the headlines—talking with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real conversations about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

The Chuck ToddCast

Trailer

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/119a0249-c411-4e34-9d78-b33200139d40/transcript

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Chuck Todd unpacks a moment of foreign-policy whiplash as Donald Trump appears to ease off threats against Iran while simultaneously escalating his pressure campaign on Greenland—doubling down after meetings with Danish officials and even floating the idea of holding NATO hostage to get his way. The episode examines why Trump is unlikely to move militarily against Greenland, why Greenlanders are growing more defiant, and how this approach risks a serious rupture with Europe. From there, the conversation widens to a bigger question: what is America’s role in the world now that consensus has collapsed? With China as a peer competitor, alliances under strain, free trade weaponized at home, and isolationism creating dangerous vacuums, the U.S. is operating without a coherent grand strategy even as allies quietly hedge their bets.

The second half turns inward, focusing on immigration and the politics of ICE. Drawing lessons from past messaging failures like “defund the police,” Chuck argues Democrats shouldn’t fall into the “abolish ICE” trap but instead run on reform—rethinking leadership, recruiting, and training that’s been slashed from months to weeks. The takeaway is blunt: ICE isn’t going away, the agency will remain a political wedge, and the real question for both parties is who’s in charge of it—and what kind of power they’re willing to wield at home and abroad.

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and gets a few sports rants off his chest. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!

Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.

Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod

 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

01:00 Trump seemingly backing off threats to strike Iran

02:00 Trump meets with Danish & Greenland officials, then doubles down

03:30 Trump threatens to hold NATO hostage in exchange for Greenland

05:00 Greenlanders are more defiant in the face of Trump’s threats

05:30 Trump’s threats could risk severing U.S. ties with Europe

06:15 Unlikely Trump will take Greenland militarily

06:45 Everything Trump is doing now is bad politics

08:15 Latin American exiles in south Florida create a feedback loop for Trump

09:00 What should be America’s role in the world?

10:45 Trump is not and has never been a multilateralist

11:30 Trump doesn’t care about NATO or see Russia as a threat

12:15 Consensus on America’s role in the world has collapsed

13:15 Free trade has been weaponized domestically in America

14:15 Domestic exhaustion in America with leadership rule

15:30 America is operating without a grand foreign policy strategy

16:30 The “primacy” strategy doesn’t apply now that China is a peer competitor

17:30 The rules based order hasn’t tamed China, Russia or Iran

18:15 Isolationism creates security vacuums that rarely stay empty

19:00 Nationalism assumes you can separate from the rest of the world

19:15 Trumpism is a mix of all of the above, but up to Trump’s whims

21:15 China is a competitor & nothing the U.S. does can change that

22:15 Trump wants to remake Venezuelan, Iranian and Cuban society

23:15 U.S. still most powerful country and China couldn’t create global alliance

25:45 Free trade, security & innovation trump protectionism

27:45 The Indo-Pacific will be the theatre of great power competition

28:30 America doesn’t get to choose whether it shapes the world

29:15 U.S. allies are hedging

30:00 Presidential candidates need to lay out strategy for US role in the world

33:00 Memo argues Democrats shouldn't fall for the “Abolish ICE” messaging

34:30 ICE training has been reduced from 5 months to 6 weeks

35:15 Dems should run on plan to reform and retrain ICE

36:30 Democrats need to learn from the “defund the police” mistake

38:30 The issue isn’t ICE, it’s who’s in charge of it & their recruiting

40:00 If you get rid of ICE you’ll need a similar agency to replace it

40:45 ICE will become a wedge issue in primary elections

46:30 Iran clears airspace, U.S. attack imminent?

48:00 Ask Chuck

48:15 Why do you think Mississippi could become politically competitive?

51:45 ICE’s actions in Minnesota don’t feel like training issues?

54:15 If Dems win both chambers what are the chances of martial law?

1:01:15 If Europe put a blockade around Greenland, would we still attack?

1:05:30 Why do Americans find the far-left more repugnant than the far-right?

1:10:00 Concerned the market shrugged at threats to Fed independence?

1:15:00 Sports update

Chuck Todd unpacks a moment of foreign-policy whiplash as Donald Trump appears to ease off threats against Iran while simultaneously escalating his pressure campaign on Greenland&mdash;doubling down after meetings with Danish officials and even floating the idea of holding NATO hostage to get his way. The episode examines why Trump is unlikely to move militarily against Greenland, why Greenlanders are growing more defiant, and how this approach risks a serious rupture with Europe. From there, the conversation widens to a bigger question: what is America&rsquo;s role in the world now that consensus has collapsed? With China as a peer competitor, alliances under strain, free trade weaponized at home, and isolationism creating dangerous vacuums, the U.S. is operating without a coherent grand strategy even as allies quietly hedge their bets.
The second half turns inward, focusing on immigration and the politics of ICE. Drawing lessons from past messaging failures like &ldquo;defund the police,&rdquo; Chuck argues Democrats shouldn&rsquo;t fall into the &ldquo;abolish ICE&rdquo; trap but instead run on reform&mdash;rethinking leadership, recruiting, and training that&rsquo;s been slashed from months to weeks. The takeaway is blunt: ICE isn&rsquo;t going away, the agency will remain a political wedge, and the real question for both parties is who&rsquo;s in charge of it&mdash;and what kind of power they&rsquo;re willing to wield at home and abroad.
Finally, he answers listeners&rsquo; questions in the &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo; segment and gets a few sports rants off his chest.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to<a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK"> https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!
Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.
Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
01:00 Trump seemingly backing off threats to strike Iran
02:00 Trump meets with Danish &amp; Greenland officials, then doubles down
03:30 Trump threatens to hold NATO hostage in exchange for Greenland
05:00 Greenlanders are more defiant in the face of Trump&rsquo;s threats
05:30 Trump&rsquo;s threats could risk severing U.S. ties with Europe
06:15 Unlikely Trump will take Greenland militarily
06:45 Everything Trump is doing now is bad politics
08:15 Latin American exiles in south Florida create a feedback loop for Trump
09:00 What should be America&rsquo;s role in the world?
10:45 Trump is not and has never been a multilateralist
11:30 Trump doesn&rsquo;t care about NATO or see Russia as a threat
12:15 Consensus on America&rsquo;s role in the world has collapsed
13:15 Free trade has been weaponized domestically in America
14:15 Domestic exhaustion in America with leadership rule
15:30 America is operating without a grand foreign policy strategy
16:30 The &ldquo;primacy&rdquo; strategy doesn&rsquo;t apply now that China is a peer competitor
17:30 The rules based order hasn&rsquo;t tamed China, Russia or Iran
18:15 Isolationism creates security vacuums that rarely stay empty
19:00 Nationalism assumes you can separate from the rest of the world
19:15 Trumpism is a mix of all of the above, but up to Trump&rsquo;s whims
21:15 China is a competitor &amp; nothing the U.S. does can change that
22:15 Trump wants to remake Venezuelan, Iranian and Cuban society
23:15 U.S. still most powerful country and China couldn&rsquo;t create global alliance
25:45 Free trade, security &amp; innovation trump protectionism
27:45 The Indo-Pacific will be the theatre of great power competition
28:30 America doesn&rsquo;t get to choose whether it shapes the world
29:15 U.S. allies are hedging
30:00 Presidential candidates need to lay out strategy for US role in the world
33:00 Memo argues Democrats shouldn't fall for the &ldquo;Abolish ICE&rdquo; messaging
34:30 ICE training has been reduced from 5 months to 6 weeks
35:15 Dems should run on plan to reform and retrain ICE
36:30 Democrats need to learn from the &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; mistake
38:30 The issue isn&rsquo;t ICE, it&rsquo;s who&rsquo;s in charge of it &amp; their recruiting
40:00 If you get rid of ICE you&rsquo;ll need a similar agency to replace it
40:45 ICE will become a wedge issue in primary elections
46:30 Iran clears airspace, U.S. attack imminent?
48:00 Ask Chuck
48:15 Why do you think Mississippi could become politically competitive?
51:45 ICE&rsquo;s actions in Minnesota don&rsquo;t feel like training issues?
54:15 If Dems win both chambers what are the chances of martial law?
1:01:15 If Europe put a blockade around Greenland, would we still attack?
1:05:30 Why do Americans find the far-left more repugnant than the far-right?
1:10:00 Concerned the market shrugged at threats to Fed independence?
1:15:00 Sports update

Chuck’s Commentary - What Is America’s Role In The World? +  Democrats Shouldn’t Fall Into The “Abolish ICE” Trap

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/a90a347d-1adb-4068-b929-b3d3001a4b5b/transcript

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Chuck Todd unpacks a moment of foreign-policy whiplash as Donald Trump appears to ease off threats against Iran while simultaneously escalating his pressure campaign on Greenland—doubling down after meetings with Danish officials and even floating the idea of holding NATO hostage to get his way. The episode examines why Trump is unlikely to move militarily against Greenland, why Greenlanders are growing more defiant, and how this approach risks a serious rupture with Europe. From there, the conversation widens to a bigger question: what is America’s role in the world now that consensus has collapsed? With China as a peer competitor, alliances under strain, free trade weaponized at home, and isolationism creating dangerous vacuums, the U.S. is operating without a coherent grand strategy even as allies quietly hedge their bets.

The second half turns inward, focusing on immigration and the politics of ICE. Drawing lessons from past messaging failures like “defund the police,” Chuck argues Democrats shouldn’t fall into the “abolish ICE” trap but instead run on reform—rethinking leadership, recruiting, and training that’s been slashed from months to weeks. The takeaway is blunt: ICE isn’t going away, the agency will remain a political wedge, and the real question for both parties is who’s in charge of it—and what kind of power they’re willing to wield at home and abroad.

Then, geopolitical expert and president of The Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer joins Chuck Todd for a wide-ranging, clear-eyed look at a world entering genuinely uncharted territory—where old rules no longer apply and the United States itself has become a central source of global instability. From Venezuela and Mexico to Europe and Greenland, Bremmer explains how Trump’s transactional, coercive approach is reshaping alliances, undermining collective security, and forcing other countries to adapt fast. The conversation explores why regime change remains elusive in places like Venezuela, Cuba, and Haiti; how Latin American elections are increasingly driven by domestic security; and why Europe, shaken by Trump’s unpredictability, is funding Ukraine and rethinking its own defense posture.

The discussion then turns to the Middle East and beyond: the durability of the Iranian regime, the limits of U.S. military power, Saudi Arabia’s rapid modernization, and what comes next for Israel once Netanyahu exits the stage. Bremmer also assesses Trump’s surprising effectiveness in Middle East dealmaking, the long-term damage to Israel’s global standing, Russia’s tightening economic squeeze amid continued political repression, and rising far-right momentum in Europe. The episode closes with a sobering look at China, Taiwan, and whether the next few years bring deterrence—or a historic rupture.

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and gets a few sports rants off his chest. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!

Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.

Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod

Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

01:00 Trump seemingly backing off threats to strike Iran

02:00 Trump meets with Danish & Greenland officials, then doubles down

03:30 Trump threatens to hold NATO hostage in exchange for Greenland

05:00 Greenlanders are more defiant in the face of Trump’s threats

05:30 Trump’s threats could risk severing U.S. ties with Europe

06:15 Unlikely Trump will take Greenland militarily

06:45 Everything Trump is doing now is bad politics

08:15 Latin American exiles in south Florida create a feedback loop for Trump

09:00 What should be America’s role in the world?

10:45 Trump is not and has never been a multilateralist

11:30 Trump doesn’t care about NATO or see Russia as a threat

12:15 Consensus on America’s role in the world has collapsed

13:15 Free trade has been weaponized domestically in America

14:15 Domestic exhaustion in America with leadership rule

15:30 America is operating without a grand foreign policy strategy

16:30 The “primacy” strategy doesn’t apply now that China is a peer competitor

17:30 The rules based order hasn’t tamed China, Russia or Iran

18:15 Isolationism creates security vacuums that rarely stay empty

19:00 Nationalism assumes you can separate from the rest of the world

19:15 Trumpism is a mix of all of the above, but up to Trump’s whims

21:15 China is a competitor & nothing the U.S. does can change that

22:15 Trump wants to remake Venezuelan, Iranian and Cuban society

23:15 U.S. still most powerful country and China couldn’t create global alliance

25:45 Free trade, security & innovation trump protectionism

27:45 The Indo-Pacific will be the theatre of great power competition

28:30 America doesn’t get to choose whether it shapes the world

29:15 U.S. allies are hedging

30:00 Presidential candidates need to lay out strategy for US role in the world

33:00 Memo argues Democrats shouldn't fall for the “Abolish ICE” messaging

34:30 ICE training has been reduced from 5 months to 6 weeks

35:15 Dems should run on plan to reform and retrain ICE

36:30 Democrats need to learn from the “defund the police” mistake

38:30 The issue isn’t ICE, it’s who’s in charge of it & their recruiting

40:00 If you get rid of ICE you’ll need a similar agency to replace it

40:45 ICE will become a wedge issue in primary elections

47:45 Ian Bremmer joins the Chuck ToddCast

49:00 Where we’re going… there are no roads

50:00 The middle east could be heading towards a better place

50:45 Trump gave a wake up call to Europe & others

51:30 America is the top risk to the world & center of instability

52:45 There hasn’t been regime change in Venezuela

54:00 The Venezuelan regime will behave while threatened

55:00 The Venezuelan regime has no interest in sharing power

56:30 National elections could be held in Venezuela in a year

58:00 How much will anti-Americanism affect Latin American elections?

59:15 Domestic security is the #1 voting issue in Latin America

1:02:45 Brazil’s election will be very close

1:04:15 Claudia Scheinbaum has been deft in dealing with Trump

1:05:15 Mexico has been cooperating effectively, negating potential strikes

1:06:15 Talk of strikes in Mexico has ramped up post-Venezuela

1:08:00 There’s been a huge number of political assassinations in Mexico

1:08:45 Trade relations would take a huge hit if America strikes militarily

1:09:45 There’s less urgency from Trump admin for regime change in Cuba

01:10:30 Venezuela and Mexico have been propping up the Cuban regime

1:13:00 Why haven’t we pushed harder for changes in Haiti?

1:14:15 Almost zero chance there are elections in Haiti this year

1:15:00 Chance of military invasion of Greenland is extremely low

1:15:45 A coercion campaign towards Greenland is much more likely

1:17:00 Denmark very open to negotiations addressing American concerns

1:18:15 It’d be very easy to ramp up military operation in Greenland

1:19:00 Trump is undermining the concept of collective security

1:19:45 Greenland is a legacy play for Trump

1:20:15 Trump is causing permanent damage to relationship with Europe

1:21:45 Will the Iranian regime survive the calendar year?

1:23:00 Iranian regime has large capacity to repress the population

1:23:45 Looks like the US military will target Iranian police & paramilitary

1:24:30 Nobody has ever targeted the Iranian judges that send people to die

1:25:15 Collapse of regime doesn’t feel imminent, but likely within a few years

1:26:45 Is the US military stretched thin right now?

1:27:15 What collapse of Iranian regime would mean for the region

1:28:45 Saudi Arabia is speed running a modernization & reform process

1:29:45 Any chance Bibi Netanyahu is out in Israel soon?

1:30:45 Normalization with Saudi Arabia is on the table once Bibi is out

1:31:45 The Israel/Gaza ceasefire was improbable win for Trump

1:32:15 Trump’s transactional negotiating works well in the middle east

1:34:15 Settlements expanding in west bank, that won’t be unwound

1:36:00 Nobody has done more damage to Israel’s reputation than Bibi

1:36:45 Russians giving Trump nothing in negotiations over Ukraine

1:37:15 Europeans are funding Ukraine after Trump cut them off

1:38:15 Europeans bought a veto over Trump selling out Ukraine

1:39:30 Still very little meaningful dissent inside Russia over the war

1:40:30 Russian economy is starting to take more of a hit

1:41:30 Giorgia Meloni is probably most secure leader in western Europe

1:42:45 Far right in Germany will do well in elections

1:43:15 Does China take Taiwan in 2027 & does Trump stand in the way?

1:46:15 Iran clears airspace, U.S. attack imminent?

1:47:45 Ask Chuck

1:48:00 Why do you think Mississippi could become politically competitive?

1:51:00 ICE’s actions in Minnesota don’t feel like training issues?

1:54:00 If Dems win both chambers what are the chances of martial law?

2:01:00 If Europe put a blockade around Greenland, would we still attack?

2:05:15 Why do Americans find the far-left more repugnant than the far-right?

2:09:45 Concerned the market shrugged at threats to Fed independence?

2:14:45 Sports update

Chuck Todd unpacks a moment of foreign-policy whiplash as Donald Trump appears to ease off threats against Iran while simultaneously escalating his pressure campaign on Greenland&mdash;doubling down after meetings with Danish officials and even floating the idea of holding NATO hostage to get his way. The episode examines why Trump is unlikely to move militarily against Greenland, why Greenlanders are growing more defiant, and how this approach risks a serious rupture with Europe. From there, the conversation widens to a bigger question: what is America&rsquo;s role in the world now that consensus has collapsed? With China as a peer competitor, alliances under strain, free trade weaponized at home, and isolationism creating dangerous vacuums, the U.S. is operating without a coherent grand strategy even as allies quietly hedge their bets.
The second half turns inward, focusing on immigration and the politics of ICE. Drawing lessons from past messaging failures like &ldquo;defund the police,&rdquo; Chuck argues Democrats shouldn&rsquo;t fall into the &ldquo;abolish ICE&rdquo; trap but instead run on reform&mdash;rethinking leadership, recruiting, and training that&rsquo;s been slashed from months to weeks. The takeaway is blunt: ICE isn&rsquo;t going away, the agency will remain a political wedge, and the real question for both parties is who&rsquo;s in charge of it&mdash;and what kind of power they&rsquo;re willing to wield at home and abroad.
Then, geopolitical expert and president of The Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer joins Chuck Todd for a wide-ranging, clear-eyed look at a world entering genuinely uncharted territory&mdash;where old rules no longer apply and the United States itself has become a central source of global instability. From Venezuela and Mexico to Europe and Greenland, Bremmer explains how Trump&rsquo;s transactional, coercive approach is reshaping alliances, undermining collective security, and forcing other countries to adapt fast. The conversation explores why regime change remains elusive in places like Venezuela, Cuba, and Haiti; how Latin American elections are increasingly driven by domestic security; and why Europe, shaken by Trump&rsquo;s unpredictability, is funding Ukraine and rethinking its own defense posture.
The discussion then turns to the Middle East and beyond: the durability of the Iranian regime, the limits of U.S. military power, Saudi Arabia&rsquo;s rapid modernization, and what comes next for Israel once Netanyahu exits the stage. Bremmer also assesses Trump&rsquo;s surprising effectiveness in Middle East dealmaking, the long-term damage to Israel&rsquo;s global standing, Russia&rsquo;s tightening economic squeeze amid continued political repression, and rising far-right momentum in Europe. The episode closes with a sobering look at China, Taiwan, and whether the next few years bring deterrence&mdash;or a historic rupture.
Finally, he answers listeners&rsquo; questions in the &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo; segment and gets a few sports rants off his chest.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to<a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK"> https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!
Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.
Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod
Timeline:
(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
01:00 Trump seemingly backing off threats to strike Iran
02:00 Trump meets with Danish &amp; Greenland officials, then doubles down
03:30 Trump threatens to hold NATO hostage in exchange for Greenland
05:00 Greenlanders are more defiant in the face of Trump&rsquo;s threats
05:30 Trump&rsquo;s threats could risk severing U.S. ties with Europe
06:15 Unlikely Trump will take Greenland militarily
06:45 Everything Trump is doing now is bad politics
08:15 Latin American exiles in south Florida create a feedback loop for Trump
09:00 What should be America&rsquo;s role in the world?
10:45 Trump is not and has never been a multilateralist
11:30 Trump doesn&rsquo;t care about NATO or see Russia as a threat
12:15 Consensus on America&rsquo;s role in the world has collapsed
13:15 Free trade has been weaponized domestically in America
14:15 Domestic exhaustion in America with leadership rule
15:30 America is operating without a grand foreign policy strategy
16:30 The &ldquo;primacy&rdquo; strategy doesn&rsquo;t apply now that China is a peer competitor
17:30 The rules based order hasn&rsquo;t tamed China, Russia or Iran
18:15 Isolationism creates security vacuums that rarely stay empty
19:00 Nationalism assumes you can separate from the rest of the world
19:15 Trumpism is a mix of all of the above, but up to Trump&rsquo;s whims
21:15 China is a competitor &amp; nothing the U.S. does can change that
22:15 Trump wants to remake Venezuelan, Iranian and Cuban society
23:15 U.S. still most powerful country and China couldn&rsquo;t create global alliance
25:45 Free trade, security &amp; innovation trump protectionism
27:45 The Indo-Pacific will be the theatre of great power competition
28:30 America doesn&rsquo;t get to choose whether it shapes the world
29:15 U.S. allies are hedging
30:00 Presidential candidates need to lay out strategy for US role in the world
33:00 Memo argues Democrats shouldn't fall for the &ldquo;Abolish ICE&rdquo; messaging
34:30 ICE training has been reduced from 5 months to 6 weeks
35:15 Dems should run on plan to reform and retrain ICE
36:30 Democrats need to learn from the &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; mistake
38:30 The issue isn&rsquo;t ICE, it&rsquo;s who&rsquo;s in charge of it &amp; their recruiting
40:00 If you get rid of ICE you&rsquo;ll need a similar agency to replace it
40:45 ICE will become a wedge issue in primary elections
47:45 Ian Bremmer joins the Chuck ToddCast
49:00 Where we&rsquo;re going&hellip; there are no roads
50:00 The middle east could be heading towards a better place
50:45 Trump gave a wake up call to Europe &amp; others
51:30 America is the top risk to the world &amp; center of instability
52:45 There hasn&rsquo;t been regime change in Venezuela
54:00 The Venezuelan regime will behave while threatened
55:00 The Venezuelan regime has no interest in sharing power
56:30 National elections could be held in Venezuela in a year
58:00 How much will anti-Americanism affect Latin American elections?
59:15 Domestic security is the #1 voting issue in Latin America
1:02:45 Brazil&rsquo;s election will be very close
1:04:15 Claudia Scheinbaum has been deft in dealing with Trump
1:05:15 Mexico has been cooperating effectively, negating potential strikes
1:06:15 Talk of strikes in Mexico has ramped up post-Venezuela
1:08:00 There&rsquo;s been a huge number of political assassinations in Mexico
1:08:45 Trade relations would take a huge hit if America strikes militarily
1:09:45 There&rsquo;s less urgency from Trump admin for regime change in Cuba
01:10:30 Venezuela and Mexico have been propping up the Cuban regime
1:13:00 Why haven&rsquo;t we pushed harder for changes in Haiti?
1:14:15 Almost zero chance there are elections in Haiti this year
1:15:00 Chance of military invasion of Greenland is extremely low
1:15:45 A coercion campaign towards Greenland is much more likely
1:17:00 Denmark very open to negotiations addressing American concerns
1:18:15 It&rsquo;d be very easy to ramp up military operation in Greenland
1:19:00 Trump is undermining the concept of collective security
1:19:45 Greenland is a legacy play for Trump
1:20:15 Trump is causing permanent damage to relationship with Europe
1:21:45 Will the Iranian regime survive the calendar year?
1:23:00 Iranian regime has large capacity to repress the population
1:23:45 Looks like the US military will target Iranian police &amp; paramilitary
1:24:30 Nobody has ever targeted the Iranian judges that send people to die
1:25:15 Collapse of regime doesn&rsquo;t feel imminent, but likely within a few years
1:26:45 Is the US military stretched thin right now?
1:27:15 What collapse of Iranian regime would mean for the region
1:28:45 Saudi Arabia is speed running a modernization &amp; reform process
1:29:45 Any chance Bibi Netanyahu is out in Israel soon?
1:30:45 Normalization with Saudi Arabia is on the table once Bibi is out
1:31:45 The Israel/Gaza ceasefire was improbable win for Trump
1:32:15 Trump&rsquo;s transactional negotiating works well in the middle east
1:34:15 Settlements expanding in west bank, that won&rsquo;t be unwound
1:36:00 Nobody has done more damage to Israel&rsquo;s reputation than Bibi
1:36:45 Russians giving Trump nothing in negotiations over Ukraine
1:37:15 Europeans are funding Ukraine after Trump cut them off
1:38:15 Europeans bought a veto over Trump selling out Ukraine
1:39:30 Still very little meaningful dissent inside Russia over the war
1:40:30 Russian economy is starting to take more of a hit
1:41:30 Giorgia Meloni is probably most secure leader in western Europe
1:42:45 Far right in Germany will do well in elections
1:43:15 Does China take Taiwan in 2027 &amp; does Trump stand in the way?
1:46:15 Iran clears airspace, U.S. attack imminent?
1:47:45 Ask Chuck
1:48:00 Why do you think Mississippi could become politically competitive?
1:51:00 ICE&rsquo;s actions in Minnesota don&rsquo;t feel like training issues?
1:54:00 If Dems win both chambers what are the chances of martial law?
2:01:00 If Europe put a blockade around Greenland, would we still attack?
2:05:15 Why do Americans find the far-left more repugnant than the far-right?
2:09:45 Concerned the market shrugged at threats to Fed independence?
2:14:45 Sports update

Full Episode - What Is America’s Role In The World? +  Trump Is Driving Instability & Chaos Around The Globe

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/5d62f798-00d5-4d67-bcd5-b3d30015d1a4/transcript

Geopolitical expert and president of The Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer joins Chuck Todd for a wide-ranging, clear-eyed look at a world entering genuinely uncharted territory—where old rules no longer apply and the United States itself has become a central source of global instability. From Venezuela and Mexico to Europe and Greenland, Bremmer explains how Trump’s transactional, coercive approach is reshaping alliances, undermining collective security, and forcing other countries to adapt fast. The conversation explores why regime change remains elusive in places like Venezuela, Cuba, and Haiti; how Latin American elections are increasingly driven by domestic security; and why Europe, shaken by Trump’s unpredictability, is funding Ukraine and rethinking its own defense posture.

The discussion then turns to the Middle East and beyond: the durability of the Iranian regime, the limits of U.S. military power, Saudi Arabia’s rapid modernization, and what comes next for Israel once Netanyahu exits the stage. Bremmer also assesses Trump’s surprising effectiveness in Middle East dealmaking, the long-term damage to Israel’s global standing, Russia’s tightening economic squeeze amid continued political repression, and rising far-right momentum in Europe. The episode closes with a sobering look at China, Taiwan, and whether the next few years bring deterrence—or a historic rupture.

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!

Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.

Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod

Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Ian Bremmer joins the Chuck ToddCast

01:15 Where we’re going… there are no roads

02:15 The middle east could be heading towards a better place

03:00 Trump gave a wake up call to Europe & others

03:45 America is the top risk to the world & center of instability

05:00 There hasn’t been regime change in Venezuela

06:15 The Venezuelan regime will behave while threatened

07:15 The Venezuelan regime has no interest in sharing power

08:45 National elections could be held in Venezuela in a year

10:15 How much will anti-Americanism affect Latin American elections?

11:30 Domestic security is the #1 voting issue in Latin America

15:00 Brazil’s election will be very close

16:30 Claudia Scheinbaum has been deft in dealing with Trump

17:30 Mexico has been cooperating effectively, negating potential strikes

18:30 Talk of strikes in Mexico has ramped up post-Venezuela

20:15 There’s been a huge number of political assassinations in Mexico

21:00 Trade relations would take a huge hit if America strikes militarily

22:00 There’s less urgency from Trump admin for regime change in Cuba

22:45 Venezuela and Mexico have been propping up the Cuban regime

25:15 Why haven’t we pushed harder for changes in Haiti?

26:30 Almost zero chance there are elections in Haiti this year

27:15 Chance of military invasion of Greenland is extremely low

28:00 A coercion campaign towards Greenland is much more likely

29:15 Denmark very open to negotiations addressing American concerns

30:30 It’d be very easy to ramp up military operation in Greenland

31:15 Trump is undermining the concept of collective security

32:00 Greenland is a legacy play for Trump

32:30 Trump is causing permanent damage to relationship with Europe

34:00 Will the Iranian regime survive the calendar year?

35:15 Iranian regime has large capacity to repress the population

36:00 Looks like the US military will target Iranian police & paramilitary

36:45 Nobody has ever targeted the Iranian judges that send people to die

37:30 Collapse of regime doesn’t feel imminent, but likely within a few years

39:00 Is the US military stretched thin right now?

39:30 What collapse of Iranian regime would mean for the region

41:00 Saudi Arabia is speed running a modernization & reform process

42:00 Any chance Bibi Netanyahu is out in Israel soon?

43:00 Normalization with Saudi Arabia is on the table once Bibi is out

44:00 The Israel/Gaza ceasefire was improbable win for Trump

44:30 Trump’s transactional negotiating works well in the middle east

46:30 Settlements expanding in west bank, that won’t be unwound

48:15 Nobody has done more damage to Israel’s reputation than Bibi

49:00 Russians giving Trump nothing in negotiations over Ukraine

49:30 Europeans are funding Ukraine after Trump cut them off

50:30 Europeans bought a veto over Trump selling out Ukraine

51:45 Still very little meaningful dissent inside Russia over the war

52:45 Russian economy is starting to take more of a hit

53:45 Giorgia Meloni is probably most secure leader in western Europe

55:00 Far right in Germany will do well in elections

55:30 Does China take Taiwan in 2027 & does Trump stand in the way?

Geopolitical expert and president of The Eurasia Group, Ian Bremmer joins Chuck Todd for a wide-ranging, clear-eyed look at a world entering genuinely uncharted territory&mdash;where old rules no longer apply and the United States itself has become a central source of global instability. From Venezuela and Mexico to Europe and Greenland, Bremmer explains how Trump&rsquo;s transactional, coercive approach is reshaping alliances, undermining collective security, and forcing other countries to adapt fast. The conversation explores why regime change remains elusive in places like Venezuela, Cuba, and Haiti; how Latin American elections are increasingly driven by domestic security; and why Europe, shaken by Trump&rsquo;s unpredictability, is funding Ukraine and rethinking its own defense posture.
The discussion then turns to the Middle East and beyond: the durability of the Iranian regime, the limits of U.S. military power, Saudi Arabia&rsquo;s rapid modernization, and what comes next for Israel once Netanyahu exits the stage. Bremmer also assesses Trump&rsquo;s surprising effectiveness in Middle East dealmaking, the long-term damage to Israel&rsquo;s global standing, Russia&rsquo;s tightening economic squeeze amid continued political repression, and rising far-right momentum in Europe. The episode closes with a sobering look at China, Taiwan, and whether the next few years bring deterrence&mdash;or a historic rupture.
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to<a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK"> https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!
Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.
Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the cod
Timeline:
(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)
00:00 Ian Bremmer joins the Chuck ToddCast
01:15 Where we&rsquo;re going&hellip; there are no roads
02:15 The middle east could be heading towards a better place
03:00 Trump gave a wake up call to Europe &amp; others
03:45 America is the top risk to the world &amp; center of instability
05:00 There hasn&rsquo;t been regime change in Venezuela
06:15 The Venezuelan regime will behave while threatened
07:15 The Venezuelan regime has no interest in sharing power
08:45 National elections could be held in Venezuela in a year
10:15 How much will anti-Americanism affect Latin American elections?
11:30 Domestic security is the #1 voting issue in Latin America
15:00 Brazil&rsquo;s election will be very close
16:30 Claudia Scheinbaum has been deft in dealing with Trump
17:30 Mexico has been cooperating effectively, negating potential strikes
18:30 Talk of strikes in Mexico has ramped up post-Venezuela
20:15 There&rsquo;s been a huge number of political assassinations in Mexico
21:00 Trade relations would take a huge hit if America strikes militarily
22:00 There&rsquo;s less urgency from Trump admin for regime change in Cuba
22:45 Venezuela and Mexico have been propping up the Cuban regime
25:15 Why haven&rsquo;t we pushed harder for changes in Haiti?
26:30 Almost zero chance there are elections in Haiti this year
27:15 Chance of military invasion of Greenland is extremely low
28:00 A coercion campaign towards Greenland is much more likely
29:15 Denmark very open to negotiations addressing American concerns
30:30 It&rsquo;d be very easy to ramp up military operation in Greenland
31:15 Trump is undermining the concept of collective security
32:00 Greenland is a legacy play for Trump
32:30 Trump is causing permanent damage to relationship with Europe
34:00 Will the Iranian regime survive the calendar year?
35:15 Iranian regime has large capacity to repress the population
36:00 Looks like the US military will target Iranian police &amp; paramilitary
36:45 Nobody has ever targeted the Iranian judges that send people to die
37:30 Collapse of regime doesn&rsquo;t feel imminent, but likely within a few years
39:00 Is the US military stretched thin right now?
39:30 What collapse of Iranian regime would mean for the region
41:00 Saudi Arabia is speed running a modernization &amp; reform process
42:00 Any chance Bibi Netanyahu is out in Israel soon?
43:00 Normalization with Saudi Arabia is on the table once Bibi is out
44:00 The Israel/Gaza ceasefire was improbable win for Trump
44:30 Trump&rsquo;s transactional negotiating works well in the middle east
46:30 Settlements expanding in west bank, that won&rsquo;t be unwound
48:15 Nobody has done more damage to Israel&rsquo;s reputation than Bibi
49:00 Russians giving Trump nothing in negotiations over Ukraine
49:30 Europeans are funding Ukraine after Trump cut them off
50:30 Europeans bought a veto over Trump selling out Ukraine
51:45 Still very little meaningful dissent inside Russia over the war
52:45 Russian economy is starting to take more of a hit
53:45 Giorgia Meloni is probably most secure leader in western Europe
55:00 Far right in Germany will do well in elections
55:30 Does China take Taiwan in 2027 &amp; does Trump stand in the way?

Interview Only w/ Ian Bremmer - Trump Is Driving Instability & Chaos Around The Globe

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/39b6b618-beab-4dff-ab47-b3d2013cb07e/transcript

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