Chuck Todd opens with the Wall Street Journal's brutal profile of Scott Bessent — built on 30-plus interviews describing outbursts, a thrown briefing book he denies, and seven Senate-confirmed officials out the door when previous administrations lost zero to two. The 3-3-3 plan never materialized, the debt cleared $40 trillion, and Trump keeps giving him more. Chuck's read: the whole Cabinet has become mini-Trumps. He then gets into whoever's drip-releasing the Paxton tapes, Pritzker's $1 million check to Gina Hinojosa, and Mike Rogers breaking with Trump on Canada far too late. Finally, Chuck runs the historical numbers on whether Democrats can actually win six-plus Senate seats — with Iowa and Kansas as the real test of the wave theory and whether we’re not seeing a political realignment occurring in real time that could result in Democrats winning 270+ house seats.
Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD
http://kalshi.com/r/CHUCKTODD
Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction
08:15 The WSJ profile of Scott Bessent and the Treasury exodus
13:00 The 3-3-3 plan that never happened — and a Cabinet of mini-Trumps
17:45 The Paxton tapes and a Texas GOP turning purple
25:30 Pritzker's million-dollar check and the DGA finally spending
28:00 Mike Rogers breaks with Trump — too late
31:30 Voting to check Trump, and a base that blames the candidates
34:15 Getting bullish on the Senate, and what D+16 would mean
42:00 Three possibilities for what we're actually seeing
46:30 The history of winning six or more Senate seats
54:00 Texas, Nebraska, South Carolina — and Iowa and Kansas as the real test
1:02:00 What a Texas-Iowa-Kansas sweep would mean
1:11:00 Ask Chuck
1:11:15 Top 3 no guts, no glory races this election cycle
1:13:15 Loved the interview with Marcia Chatelain
1:14:00 Would allowing blind votes in congress be a good idea?
1:15:30 Is there ever a line of Trump’s that Stephen Miller could cross?
1:18:45 What’s your read on McMaster appointing Darline Graham?
1:23:15 College football preview

Full Episode - Could Democrats Actually Win 270+ House Seats? + Wargaming An American Coup
2:41:05

Interview Only w/ Dmitri Mehlhorn - Wargaming An American Coup
1:08:47

Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Might Be The Democrats’ Best Midterm Asset + It’s Been A Strange Campaign Season…
1:27:22