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Chuck’s Commentary - Could Democrats Actually Win 270+ House Seats? + The Scott Bessent Mess At The Treasury

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Chuck Todd opens with the Wall Street Journal's brutal profile of Scott Bessent — built on 30-plus interviews describing outbursts, a thrown briefing book he denies, and seven Senate-confirmed officials out the door when previous administrations lost zero to two. The 3-3-3 plan never materialized, the debt cleared $40 trillion, and Trump keeps giving him more. Chuck's read: the whole Cabinet has become mini-Trumps. He then gets into whoever's drip-releasing the Paxton tapes, Pritzker's $1 million check to Gina Hinojosa, and Mike Rogers breaking with Trump on Canada far too late. Finally, Chuck runs the historical numbers on whether Democrats can actually win six-plus Senate seats — with Iowa and Kansas as the real test of the wave theory and whether we’re not seeing a political realignment occurring in real time that could result in Democrats winning 270+ house seats. 

 

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.

 

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Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

08:15 The WSJ profile of Scott Bessent and the Treasury exodus

13:00 The 3-3-3 plan that never happened — and a Cabinet of mini-Trumps

17:45 The Paxton tapes and a Texas GOP turning purple

25:30 Pritzker's million-dollar check and the DGA finally spending

28:00 Mike Rogers breaks with Trump — too late

31:30 Voting to check Trump, and a base that blames the candidates

34:15 Getting bullish on the Senate, and what D+16 would mean

42:00 Three possibilities for what we're actually seeing

46:30 The history of winning six or more Senate seats

54:00 Texas, Nebraska, South Carolina — and Iowa and Kansas as the real test

1:02:00 What a Texas-Iowa-Kansas sweep would mean 

1:11:00 Ask Chuck

1:11:15 Top 3 no guts, no glory races this election cycle

1:13:15 Loved the interview with Marcia Chatelain

1:14:00 Would allowing blind votes in congress be a good idea?

1:15:30 Is there ever a line of Trump’s that Stephen Miller could cross?

1:18:45 What’s your read on McMaster appointing Darline Graham?

1:23:15 College football preview

 
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