The New York Times reported Wednesday that operatives tied to Mary Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC actively recruited the second Dan Sullivan onto Alaska’s Senate ballot — a Democratic consultant reportedly flew to a remote village to convince a retired teacher to run. Peltola’s campaign has denied involvement; a former campaign manager told the Times Peltola wasn’t personally involved but was “definitely aware.” Chuck Todd calls it a genuine October surprise, though not a unique tactic — both parties have boosted spoiler candidates for decades — and notes Democrats get held to a higher standard precisely because voters assume Trump will cheat. With ranked-choice voting, he’s skeptical it moves the race much. He’s far less forgiving on Ohio, where the Daily Mail tracked down Amy Acton’s stepfather and his daughter, meaning everyone that man traumatized has now been forced to relive it. Then: what Chuck’s watching on election night, starting with Indiana and Kentucky at poll close and ending with Iowa as the bellwether for everything. 

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.

 

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD

http://kalshi.com/r/CHUCKTODD

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:30 The NYT report on the second Dan Sullivan

05:30 Both parties do this — and why Democrats get judged differently

11:00 Does it actually change the Alaska race?

15:45 The Acton ad’s collateral damage, and the price Ramaswamy will pay

22:00 Political mercenaries, Roger Marshall, and selective outrage

25:00 Election night livestream details

28:15 Why Iowa is the bellwether for the entire midterm

35:00 The Iowa Senate race as the purest test of the environment

39:00 First tea leaves: IN-05, IN-01 and KY-06

44:45 Virginia’s predictive power and the VA-05 tsunami signal

49:30 Florida timing, Georgia after midnight, and the likely Texas split

55:30 Probability vs. possibility — and the decline of exit polling 

1:08:30 Ask Chuck

1:09:45 Any connection between local sports teams’ success and election results?

1:14:30 If Dems sweep both chambers, worth bringing the Lankford border bill up for a vote?

1:17:30 How can average person distinguish credible polls from bad ones?

1:28:15 How do you justify Miami’s #1 ranking when they haven’t beaten a ranked team?

1:33:00 When Trump's presidency is done, who’s tell-all are you most looking forward to?

1:37:00 College football preview

The New York Times reported Wednesday that operatives tied to Mary Peltola&rsquo;s campaign and the DSCC actively recruited the second Dan Sullivan onto Alaska&rsquo;s Senate ballot &mdash; a Democratic consultant reportedly flew to a remote village to convince a retired teacher to run. Peltola&rsquo;s campaign has denied involvement; a former campaign manager told the Times Peltola wasn&rsquo;t personally involved but was &ldquo;definitely aware.&rdquo; Chuck Todd calls it a genuine October surprise, though not a unique tactic &mdash; both parties have boosted spoiler candidates for decades &mdash; and notes Democrats get held to a higher standard precisely because voters assume Trump will cheat. With ranked-choice voting, he&rsquo;s skeptical it moves the race much. He&rsquo;s far less forgiving on Ohio, where the Daily Mail tracked down Amy Acton&rsquo;s stepfather and his daughter, meaning everyone that man traumatized has now been forced to relive it. Then: what Chuck&rsquo;s watching on election night, starting with Indiana and Kentucky at poll close and ending with Iowa as the bellwether for everything.&nbsp;
Finally, he answers listeners&rsquo; questions in the &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo; segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.
&nbsp;
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>CHUCKTODD
Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
03:30 The NYT report on the second Dan Sullivan
05:30 Both parties do this &mdash; and why Democrats get judged differently
11:00 Does it actually change the Alaska race?
15:45 The Acton ad&rsquo;s collateral damage, and the price Ramaswamy will pay
22:00 Political mercenaries, Roger Marshall, and selective outrage
25:00 Election night livestream details
28:15 Why Iowa is the bellwether for the entire midterm
35:00 The Iowa Senate race as the purest test of the environment
39:00 First tea leaves: IN-05, IN-01 and KY-06
44:45 Virginia&rsquo;s predictive power and the VA-05 tsunami signal
49:30 Florida timing, Georgia after midnight, and the likely Texas split
55:30 Probability vs. possibility &mdash; and the decline of exit polling&nbsp;
1:08:30 Ask Chuck
1:09:45 Any connection between local sports teams&rsquo; success and election results?
1:14:30 If Dems sweep both chambers, worth bringing the Lankford border bill up for a vote?
1:17:30 How can average person distinguish credible polls from bad ones?
1:28:15 How do you justify Miami&rsquo;s #1 ranking when they haven&rsquo;t beaten a ranked team?
1:33:00 When Trump's presidency is done, who&rsquo;s tell-all are you most looking forward to?
1:37:00 College football preview

Chuck’s Commentary - What To Watch For On Election Night + Democrats’ Dirty Trick In Alaska

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/2c3655f3-432e-4c7f-b302-b4f1017e03a6/transcript

The New York Times reported Wednesday that operatives tied to Mary Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC actively recruited the second Dan Sullivan onto Alaska’s Senate ballot — a Democratic consultant reportedly flew to a remote village to convince a retired teacher to run. Peltola’s campaign has denied involvement; a former campaign manager told the Times Peltola wasn’t personally involved but was “definitely aware.” Chuck Todd calls it a genuine October surprise, though not a unique tactic — both parties have boosted spoiler candidates for decades — and notes Democrats get held to a higher standard precisely because voters assume Trump will cheat. With ranked-choice voting, he’s skeptical it moves the race much. He’s far less forgiving on Ohio, where the Daily Mail tracked down Amy Acton’s stepfather and his daughter, meaning everyone that man traumatized has now been forced to relive it. Then: what Chuck’s watching on election night, starting with Indiana and Kentucky at poll close and ending with Iowa as the bellwether for everything. 

Then, Reid Wilson — founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs — joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast — and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy’s money won’t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become. 

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.

 

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD

http://kalshi.com/r/CHUCKTODD

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:30 The NYT report on the second Dan Sullivan

05:30 Both parties do this — and why Democrats get judged differently

11:00 Does it actually change the Alaska race?

15:45 The Acton ad’s collateral damage, and the price Ramaswamy will pay

22:00 Political mercenaries, Roger Marshall, and selective outrage

25:00 Election night livestream details

28:15 Why Iowa is the bellwether for the entire midterm

35:00 The Iowa Senate race as the purest test of the environment

39:00 First tea leaves: IN-05, IN-01 and KY-06

44:45 Virginia’s predictive power and the VA-05 tsunami signal

49:30 Florida timing, Georgia after midnight, and the likely Texas split

55:30 Probability vs. possibility — and the decline of exit polling 

1:10:30 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast

1:12:15 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter

1:17:30 How the state map collapsed for Democrats — and where it’s turning back

1:23:45 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play

1:28:45 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it

1:32:00 Affordability, data centers, and who’s writing the checks

1:36:30 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook

1:40:15 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa

1:43:00 A more factionalized GOP than people realize

1:46:00 The shock results that would signal a huge wave

1:50:00 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada’s undecideds

2:01:00 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida?

2:05:00 Ballot initiatives to watch — abortion, trans sports, and major tax fights

2:16:45 Ask Chuck

2:18:00 Any connection between local sports teams’ success and election results?

2:22:45 If Dems sweep both chambers, worth bringing the Lankford border bill up for a vote?

2:25:45 How can average person distinguish credible polls from bad ones?

2:36:30 How do you justify Miami’s #1 ranking when they haven’t beaten a ranked team?

2:41:15 When Trump's presidency is done, who’s tell-all are you most looking forward to?

2:45:15 College football preview

The New York Times reported Wednesday that operatives tied to Mary Peltola&rsquo;s campaign and the DSCC actively recruited the second Dan Sullivan onto Alaska&rsquo;s Senate ballot &mdash; a Democratic consultant reportedly flew to a remote village to convince a retired teacher to run. Peltola&rsquo;s campaign has denied involvement; a former campaign manager told the Times Peltola wasn&rsquo;t personally involved but was &ldquo;definitely aware.&rdquo; Chuck Todd calls it a genuine October surprise, though not a unique tactic &mdash; both parties have boosted spoiler candidates for decades &mdash; and notes Democrats get held to a higher standard precisely because voters assume Trump will cheat. With ranked-choice voting, he&rsquo;s skeptical it moves the race much. He&rsquo;s far less forgiving on Ohio, where the Daily Mail tracked down Amy Acton&rsquo;s stepfather and his daughter, meaning everyone that man traumatized has now been forced to relive it. Then: what Chuck&rsquo;s watching on election night, starting with Indiana and Kentucky at poll close and ending with Iowa as the bellwether for everything.&nbsp;
Then, Reid Wilson &mdash; founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs &mdash; joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast &mdash; and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy&rsquo;s money won&rsquo;t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become.&nbsp;
Finally, he answers listeners&rsquo; questions in the &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo; segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football.
&nbsp;
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>CHUCKTODD
Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
03:30 The NYT report on the second Dan Sullivan
05:30 Both parties do this &mdash; and why Democrats get judged differently
11:00 Does it actually change the Alaska race?
15:45 The Acton ad&rsquo;s collateral damage, and the price Ramaswamy will pay
22:00 Political mercenaries, Roger Marshall, and selective outrage
25:00 Election night livestream details
28:15 Why Iowa is the bellwether for the entire midterm
35:00 The Iowa Senate race as the purest test of the environment
39:00 First tea leaves: IN-05, IN-01 and KY-06
44:45 Virginia&rsquo;s predictive power and the VA-05 tsunami signal
49:30 Florida timing, Georgia after midnight, and the likely Texas split
55:30 Probability vs. possibility &mdash; and the decline of exit polling&nbsp;
1:10:30 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast
1:12:15 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter
1:17:30 How the state map collapsed for Democrats &mdash; and where it&rsquo;s turning back
1:23:45 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play
1:28:45 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it
1:32:00 Affordability, data centers, and who&rsquo;s writing the checks
1:36:30 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook
1:40:15 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa
1:43:00 A more factionalized GOP than people realize
1:46:00 The shock results that would signal a huge wave
1:50:00 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada&rsquo;s undecideds
2:01:00 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida?
2:05:00 Ballot initiatives to watch &mdash; abortion, trans sports, and major tax fights
2:16:45 Ask Chuck
2:18:00 Any connection between local sports teams&rsquo; success and election results?
2:22:45 If Dems sweep both chambers, worth bringing the Lankford border bill up for a vote?
2:25:45 How can average person distinguish credible polls from bad ones?
2:36:30 How do you justify Miami&rsquo;s #1 ranking when they haven&rsquo;t beaten a ranked team?
2:41:15 When Trump's presidency is done, who&rsquo;s tell-all are you most looking forward to?
2:45:15 College football preview

Full Episode - What To Watch For On Election Night + The Midterm Story Everyone Is Missing… State Governments 

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/2e1a9ce7-965e-4427-a83a-b4f101763c97/transcript

Reid Wilson — founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs — joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast — and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy’s money won’t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become. 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast

01:45 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter

07:00 How the state map collapsed for Democrats — and where it’s turning back

13:15 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play

18:15 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it

21:30 Affordability, data centers, and who’s writing the checks

26:00 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook

29:45 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa

32:30 A more factionalized GOP than people realize

35:30 The shock results that would signal a huge wave

39:30 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada’s undecideds

50:30 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida?

54:30 Ballot initiatives to watch — abortion, trans sports, and major tax fights

Reid Wilson &mdash; founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs &mdash; joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast &mdash; and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy&rsquo;s money won&rsquo;t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become.&nbsp;
Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast
01:45 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter
07:00 How the state map collapsed for Democrats &mdash; and where it&rsquo;s turning back
13:15 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play
18:15 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it
21:30 Affordability, data centers, and who&rsquo;s writing the checks
26:00 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook
29:45 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa
32:30 A more factionalized GOP than people realize
35:30 The shock results that would signal a huge wave
39:30 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada&rsquo;s undecideds
50:30 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida?
54:30 Ballot initiatives to watch &mdash; abortion, trans sports, and major tax fights

Interview Only w/ Reid Wilson - The Midterm Story Everyone Is Missing… State Governments 

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/ac20812c-0cf5-4302-8db0-b4f1013a0035/transcript

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Flávio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump’s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia’s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić’s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn’t cause these results but wasn’t irrelevant to them either — voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump’s closing message — Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke — is making everything worse for his party. 

Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of “Ask Chuck”.

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel

08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency

12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted

20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate

24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening

28:45 Bannon’s theory about protecting moderates

33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio

40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump’s Obama complex

48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson

50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms & the case for regulating prediction markets 

1:06:15 Don’t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ

1:06:45 Ask Chuck

1:07:00 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?

1:09:00 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?

1:13:30 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?

1:15:45 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance’s prospects

1:20:00 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?

1:22:30 What’s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we’re seeing from GOP?

1:31:30 How did Tim Russert influence your career?

1:37:30 How will Trump’s foreign policy change after the midterms?

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Fl&aacute;vio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump&rsquo;s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia&rsquo;s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić&rsquo;s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn&rsquo;t cause these results but wasn&rsquo;t irrelevant to them either &mdash; voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump&rsquo;s closing message &mdash; Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke &mdash; is making everything worse for his party.&nbsp;
Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo;.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel
08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency
12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted
20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate
24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening
28:45 Bannon&rsquo;s theory about protecting moderates
33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio
40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump&rsquo;s Obama complex
48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson
50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms &amp; the case for regulating prediction markets&nbsp;
1:06:15 Don&rsquo;t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ
1:06:45 Ask Chuck
1:07:00 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?
1:09:00 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?
1:13:30 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?
1:15:45 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance&rsquo;s prospects
1:20:00 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?
1:22:30 What&rsquo;s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we&rsquo;re seeing from GOP?
1:31:30 How did Tim Russert influence your career?
1:37:30 How will Trump&rsquo;s foreign policy change after the midterms?

Chuck’s Commentary - Trump’s Closing Message Couldn’t Be Worse + Trump’s Politics Receives International Rejection

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/3f908056-cde6-4338-b61f-b4f1003bde46/transcript

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Flávio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump’s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia’s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić’s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn’t cause these results but wasn’t irrelevant to them either — voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump’s closing message — Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke — is making everything worse for his party. 

Then, Seth Bodnar — Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent — joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He’s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana’s 1992 governor’s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar’s military background drives his sharpest material — he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won’t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.

Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of “Ask Chuck”.

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 





Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel

08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency

12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted

20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate

24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening

28:45 Bannon’s theory about protecting moderates

33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio

40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump’s Obama complex

48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson

50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms & the case for regulating prediction markets 

1:08:15 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast

1:09:45 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides

1:12:45 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders

1:17:00 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?

1:20:30 What can actually be done on affordability

1:23:00 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch

1:28:00 Would either party talk him into caucusing?

1:32:45 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand

1:40:15 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule

1:43:00 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana

1:46:45 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking

1:53:45 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football

2:05:30 Don’t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ

2:06:00 Ask Chuck

2:06:15 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?

2:08:15 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?

2:12:45 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?

2:15:00 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance’s prospects

2:19:15 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?

2:21:45 What’s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we’re seeing from GOP?

2:30:45 How did Tim Russert influence your career?

2:36:45 How will Trump’s foreign policy change after the midterms?

Chuck Todd zooms out to a global pattern: Trump-aligned right-wing leaders have now lost in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel, all on massive turnout. Lula beat Fl&aacute;vio Bolsonaro 51.8-48.2 in a race widely read as a test of Trump&rsquo;s influence in Latin America, after Trump met with Bolsonaro and imposed tariffs over the charges against his father. Serbia&rsquo;s student movement ended Aleksandar Vučić&rsquo;s 14 years in power on the highest turnout in three decades. Chuck argues Trump didn&rsquo;t cause these results but wasn&rsquo;t irrelevant to them either &mdash; voters are rejecting a model, not just incumbents. Back home, he notes Democrats could lose both Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate, that South Carolina is becoming remarkably competitive, and that Trump&rsquo;s closing message &mdash; Venezuela as the 51st state, celebrating oil industry profits, feuding with Bill Maher over an Obama Cheesecake Factory joke &mdash; is making everything worse for his party.&nbsp;
Then, Seth Bodnar &mdash; Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent &mdash; joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He&rsquo;s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana&rsquo;s 1992 governor&rsquo;s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar&rsquo;s military background drives his sharpest material &mdash; he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won&rsquo;t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.
Finally, Chuck unloads the mailbag with an extended edition of &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo;.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
 
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
03:00 Trump allies lose in Brazil, Serbia, Hungary and Israel
08:00 A rejection of the right, not just anti-incumbency
12:45 What happens to Israel if Bibi is ousted
20:45 Democrats could lose Maine and Michigan and still win the Senate
24:15 South Carolina, Kansas, and the paths that are opening
28:45 Bannon&rsquo;s theory about protecting moderates
33:15 Trump off-message: Venezuela, oil profits, and a missing Rubio
40:30 The Bill Maher feud and Trump&rsquo;s Obama complex
48:15 DOJ strikes out against Comey and Hutchinson
50:45 $1.4 billion wagered on the midterms &amp; the case for regulating prediction markets&nbsp;
1:08:15 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast
1:09:45 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides
1:12:45 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders
1:17:00 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?
1:20:30 What can actually be done on affordability
1:23:00 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch
1:28:00 Would either party talk him into caucusing?
1:32:45 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand
1:40:15 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule
1:43:00 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana
1:46:45 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking
1:53:45 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football
2:05:30 Don&rsquo;t miss our election night livestream with Chris Cillizza and DDHQ
2:06:00 Ask Chuck
2:06:15 If the GOP suffers significant losses, could they use impeachment as a reset?
2:08:15 Are Democrats going to walk back support on trans issues to appear moderate?
2:12:45 Are gaffes and comms issues more a reflection of candidates or yes-man staffers?
2:15:00 If Republicans get wiped out in midterms, what does that do to Vance&rsquo;s prospects
2:19:15 If Ramaswamy wins, how should we think about our fellow citizens?
2:21:45 What&rsquo;s behind the shocking bigotry and Islamophobia we&rsquo;re seeing from GOP?
2:30:45 How did Tim Russert influence your career?
2:36:45 How will Trump&rsquo;s foreign policy change after the midterms?

Full Episode - Trump’s Closing Message Couldn’t Be Worse + Can An Independent Win Montana’s Senate Seat?

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/f46d75e8-ecdc-4040-bf7b-b4f100392fe3/transcript

Seth Bodnar — Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent — joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He’s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana’s 1992 governor’s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar’s military background drives his sharpest material — he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won’t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast

01:30 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides

04:30 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders

08:45 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?

12:15 What can actually be done on affordability

14:45 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch

19:45 Would either party talk him into caucusing?

24:30 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand

32:00 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule

34:45 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana

38:30 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking

45:30 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football

Seth Bodnar &mdash; Green Beret, former GE executive, and former University of Montana president now running for Senate as an independent &mdash; joins the Chuck ToddCast a week out. He&rsquo;s assembled a genuinely strange coalition: Pete Buttigieg endorsed him over the Democratic nominee, and both sides of Montana&rsquo;s 1992 governor&rsquo;s race, Republican Marc Racicot and Democrat Dorothy Bradley, are backing him. Bodnar&rsquo;s military background drives his sharpest material &mdash; he argues Hegseth politicizing the military would have dire consequences, and that senior officers are now resigning rather than carry out unlawful orders, facing a brutal choice between staying to mitigate harm or leaving in protest. He says he won&rsquo;t organize with either party, argues half of Senate votes are procedural and an independent can force real debate, and makes the case that one-party dominance in any state is unhealthy. Plus affordability, universal coverage, and whether Montana moves up to FBS.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Seth Bodnar joins the Chuck ToddCast
01:30 Regrets about running as an independent, and endorsements from both sides
04:30 Hegseth, politicizing the military, and officers resigning over unlawful orders
08:45 Should Congress subpoena senior military leaders?
12:15 What can actually be done on affordability
14:45 Corporate concentration, antitrust, and the housing crunch
19:45 Would either party talk him into caucusing?
24:30 Rural America, the Bankhead question, and where the polls stand
32:00 Reagan, Putin, and the danger of unchecked one-party rule
34:45 Universal coverage and what Medicaid means in Montana
38:30 Education, AI literacy, and critical thinking
45:30 FBS, collective bargaining, and the future of college football

Interview Only w/ Seth Bodnar - Can An Independent Win Montana’s Senate Seat?

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/b19c2ff7-9789-45e5-95c4-b4f0011656c6/transcript

Chuck Todd and J.A. Adande explore how the Buckeyes became a college football powerhouse and the complicated legacy of legendary coach Woody Hayes.

From the historic Michigan rivalry and the infamous Snow Bowl to Hayes' coaching philosophy, controversial temper, and lasting influence, they uncover the people and moments that built Ohio State's football dynasty.

Chuck Todd and J.A. Adande explore how the Buckeyes became a college football powerhouse and the complicated legacy of legendary coach Woody Hayes.
From the historic Michigan rivalry and the infamous Snow Bowl to Hayes' coaching philosophy, controversial temper, and lasting influence, they uncover the people and moments that built Ohio State's football dynasty.

THE Ohio State: Woody Hayes, Michigan, and the Birth of a Dynasty (Part 1)

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/66b01698-8651-4057-8cec-b4ef017388e9/transcript

One week out, Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza go hunting for the counterfactual — the actual data that would tell a Republican this election isn’t what it looks like — and come back with exactly one: a polling error. “That’s a hell of a thing to bank on.” Chuck argues this is the worst version of Trump we’ve ever seen in an election year, a candidate reduced to the Nobel committee and calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” in Michigan, while his own top economic adviser went on Fox Business to call the affordability crisis a myth eight days out. Plus: why Democrats may run better in red states than blue, how Republicans sat on their money until it was too late to define Talarico, how Ohio got away entirely, what the Ramaswamy ad says about where the line is, and the new Times/Siena 2028 numbers. Plus their election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ. 

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS

http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS

 

Timeline:

00:00 One week out: what could still change this, and the red-state theory

07:00 The worst version of Trump, and a party that won’t say “affordability”

13:00 Hunting for the counterfactual, and why every Republican ad is nostalgia

19:00 The money came too late: how they let Talarico define Paxton

24:00 Kalshi: Iowa, Maine and Kansas as the three most divided markets

30:00 Where the line is on the Ramaswamy ad, and building a firewall

36:00 Adding states to the 2028 map, and Minnesota’s outlier year

44:00 Times/Siena 2028: Harris at 12, Vance at 33, and a wide-open field

52:00 “All the Projection”: the election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ

58:00 The World Series, the sports equinox, and a two-Hurricane Heisman problem

1:05:00 Newsphere, one more show on Election Day, and sign-off

One week out, Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza go hunting for the counterfactual &mdash; the actual data that would tell a Republican this election isn&rsquo;t what it looks like &mdash; and come back with exactly one: a polling error. &ldquo;That&rsquo;s a hell of a thing to bank on.&rdquo; Chuck argues this is the worst version of Trump we&rsquo;ve ever seen in an election year, a candidate reduced to the Nobel committee and calling Abdul El-Sayed a &ldquo;jihadist&rdquo; in Michigan, while his own top economic adviser went on Fox Business to call the affordability crisis a myth eight days out. Plus: why Democrats may run better in red states than blue, how Republicans sat on their money until it was too late to define Talarico, how Ohio got away entirely, what the Ramaswamy ad says about where the line is, and the new Times/Siena 2028 numbers. Plus their election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ.&nbsp;
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>SUPERTUESDAYS
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 One week out: what could still change this, and the red-state theory
07:00 The worst version of Trump, and a party that won&rsquo;t say &ldquo;affordability&rdquo;
13:00 Hunting for the counterfactual, and why every Republican ad is nostalgia
19:00 The money came too late: how they let Talarico define Paxton
24:00 Kalshi: Iowa, Maine and Kansas as the three most divided markets
30:00 Where the line is on the Ramaswamy ad, and building a firewall
36:00 Adding states to the 2028 map, and Minnesota&rsquo;s outlier year
44:00 Times/Siena 2028: Harris at 12, Vance at 33, and a wide-open field
52:00 &ldquo;All the Projection&rdquo;: the election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ
58:00 The World Series, the sports equinox, and a two-Hurricane Heisman problem
1:05:00 Newsphere, one more show on Election Day, and sign-off

Super Tuesdays - The Worst Version Of Trump We’ve Seen In An Election Year… One Week Out From The Midterms

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/ec9906e3-d85e-4f61-a0a2-b4f0002fbc93/transcript

Chuck Todd can’t find a single tea leaf that cuts against the blue wave. Early voting in Texas shows Latino turnout running ahead of the 2024 presidential, with the biggest jump among young Hispanic voters furious about ICE overreach. Florida Democrats are up 91% in early in-person voting despite rule changes designed to hurt them. Chuck’s deeper question: everyone assumes polling error favors Republicans — what if this is the cycle it breaks the other way? Meanwhile Trump has directed DOJ to preemptively sue Alaska to block certification if Dan Sullivan loses to Mary Peltola, is trying to invalidate 20,000 California ballots, and is attacking Lisa Murkowski — the most popular Republican in Alask. Plus Musk pouring another $78 million into GOP coffers (nearing half a billion this cycle) while a Russian company angles for a stake in an Alaska gas project discussed during Ukraine negotiations. 

Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the long lasting impacts of Ronald Reagan’s “A Time For Choosing” speech and why persuasion should matter as much as performance in politics.

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

09:00 The polling drought — and what if the error favors Democrats?

15:45 Latino turnout surges in Texas early voting

19:30 ICE overreach and the Hispanic backlash

23:00 Young voters, El-Sayed, and the Florida early vote

29:30 Searching for a counter-argument to the wave

32:15 Republicans have no closing argument

42:00 Easing tariffs to save Susan Collins

47:30 The Ramaswamy ad and what Trump’s delight in it reveals

57:30 Musk’s half-billion, Starlink, and the Skydance play

1:06:00 Novatek, Alaska gas, and Putin’s business dangles

1:13:00 Trump’s own tax breaks and rules that only bind other people

1:17:15 Suing to invalidate Alaska’s election

1:23:30 A president consumed by grievance in the final days 

1:32:15 ToddCast Time Machine - Tuesday, October 27th 1964

1:33:30 Ronald Reagan gives “A Time For Choosing” speech

1:36:00 Goldwater’s victory was a rebuttal to the Republican establishment

1:37:30 Goldwater’s conservatism became synonymous with anti civil rights

1:39:15 Reagan travelled the country and honed his message

1:41:15 Reagan became capable of articulating conservatism to the country

1:42:30 Reagan didn’t try to “own the libs”, he tried to persuade people

1:45:45 Modern politics is too focused on the messenger, not the message

1:50:15 Performance has to lead to tangible governing results

Chuck Todd can&rsquo;t find a single tea leaf that cuts against the blue wave. Early voting in Texas shows Latino turnout running ahead of the 2024 presidential, with the biggest jump among young Hispanic voters furious about ICE overreach. Florida Democrats are up 91% in early in-person voting despite rule changes designed to hurt them. Chuck&rsquo;s deeper question: everyone assumes polling error favors Republicans &mdash; what if this is the cycle it breaks the other way? Meanwhile Trump has directed DOJ to preemptively sue Alaska to block certification if Dan Sullivan loses to Mary Peltola, is trying to invalidate 20,000 California ballots, and is attacking Lisa Murkowski &mdash; the most popular Republican in Alask. Plus Musk pouring another $78 million into GOP coffers (nearing half a billion this cycle) while a Russian company angles for a stake in an Alaska gas project discussed during Ukraine negotiations.&nbsp;
Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the long lasting impacts of Ronald Reagan&rsquo;s &ldquo;A Time For Choosing&rdquo; speech and why persuasion should matter as much as performance in politics.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
09:00 The polling drought &mdash; and what if the error favors Democrats?
15:45 Latino turnout surges in Texas early voting
19:30 ICE overreach and the Hispanic backlash
23:00 Young voters, El-Sayed, and the Florida early vote
29:30 Searching for a counter-argument to the wave
32:15 Republicans have no closing argument
42:00 Easing tariffs to save Susan Collins
47:30 The Ramaswamy ad and what Trump&rsquo;s delight in it reveals
57:30 Musk&rsquo;s half-billion, Starlink, and the Skydance play
1:06:00 Novatek, Alaska gas, and Putin&rsquo;s business dangles
1:13:00 Trump&rsquo;s own tax breaks and rules that only bind other people
1:17:15 Suing to invalidate Alaska&rsquo;s election
1:23:30 A president consumed by grievance in the final days&nbsp;
1:32:15 ToddCast Time Machine - Tuesday, October 27th 1964
1:33:30 Ronald Reagan gives &ldquo;A Time For Choosing&rdquo; speech
1:36:00 Goldwater&rsquo;s victory was a rebuttal to the Republican establishment
1:37:30 Goldwater&rsquo;s conservatism became synonymous with anti civil rights
1:39:15 Reagan travelled the country and honed his message
1:41:15 Reagan became capable of articulating conservatism to the country
1:42:30 Reagan didn&rsquo;t try to &ldquo;own the libs&rdquo;, he tried to persuade people
1:45:45 Modern politics is too focused on the messenger, not the message
1:50:15 Performance has to lead to tangible governing results

Chuck’s Commentary - There’s No Evidence That Disproves The Blue Wave + Candidate Trump Would Destroy President Trump

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/386d1509-653b-45af-9114-b4ef000230af/transcript

Chuck Todd can’t find a single tea leaf that cuts against the blue wave. Early voting in Texas shows Latino turnout running ahead of the 2024 presidential, with the biggest jump among young Hispanic voters furious about ICE overreach. Florida Democrats are up 91% in early in-person voting despite rule changes designed to hurt them. Chuck’s deeper question: everyone assumes polling error favors Republicans — what if this is the cycle it breaks the other way? Meanwhile Trump has directed DOJ to preemptively sue Alaska to block certification if Dan Sullivan loses to Mary Peltola, is trying to invalidate 20,000 California ballots, and is attacking Lisa Murkowski — the most popular Republican in Alask. Plus Musk pouring another $78 million into GOP coffers (nearing half a billion this cycle) while a Russian company angles for a stake in an Alaska gas project discussed during Ukraine negotiations. 

 

Then, Thomas Nelson — Outagamie County Executive, former Wisconsin state assemblyman, and author of The Green and Gold Standard: A People’s History of the Green Bay Packers — joins the Chuck ToddCast to explain why the NFL’s only fan-owned franchise now faces an existential threat. The league has since banned the Packers’ nonprofit structure, and private equity has created what Nelson estimates is a $900 million disadvantage: a single owner can sell 49% to PE and retain complete control, while the Packers legally can’t sell to anyone. The crunch point is the escrow required for guaranteed contracts. Nelson argues the league owes it to Green Bay to make the team whole, walks through the three eras that built the franchise — Lambeau, Lombardi, and Harlan — and notes that without this model the Packers would have left town decades ago. Plus whether the community-ownership structure could be a template for local development, and a look at Wisconsin’s 50-50 politics heading into November. 

 

Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the long lasting impacts of Ronald Reagan’s “A Time For Choosing” speech and why persuasion should matter as much as performance in politics.

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. 

Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! 

 

Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

09:00 The polling drought — and what if the error favors Democrats?

15:45 Latino turnout surges in Texas early voting

19:30 ICE overreach and the Hispanic backlash

23:00 Young voters, El-Sayed, and the Florida early vote

29:30 Searching for a counter-argument to the wave

32:15 Republicans have no closing argument

42:00 Easing tariffs to save Susan Collins

47:30 The Ramaswamy ad and what Trump’s delight in it reveals

57:30 Musk’s half-billion, Starlink, and the Skydance play

1:06:00 Novatek, Alaska gas, and Putin’s business dangles

1:13:00 Trump’s own tax breaks and rules that only bind other people

1:17:15 Suing to invalidate Alaska’s election

1:23:30 A president consumed by grievance in the final days 

1:33:00 Thomas Nelson joins The Chuck ToddCast

1:34:00 How a county executive ended up writing the definitive Packers history

1:37:30 The nonprofit structure, and why the NFL banned it

1:42:45 Private equity and a $900 million disadvantage

1:50:45 Guaranteed contracts, escrow, and where the money runs out

1:56:00 Could the Packers model work for data centers and local development?

1:59:45 Teams that relocate purely for tax breaks

2:02:15 Lambeau, Lombardi, Harlan — and the Aaron Rodgers problem

2:09:30 What the financial gap actually means on the field

2:12:15 Wisconsin as a 50-50 state and the chaos of the Senate primary

2:21:30 What LaFleur needs to keep his job

2:24:00 ToddCast Time Machine - Tuesday, October 27th 1964

2:25:15 Ronald Reagan gives “A Time For Choosing” speech

2:27:45 Goldwater’s victory was a rebuttal to the Republican establishment

2:29:15 Goldwater’s conservatism became synonymous with anti civil rights

2:31:00 Reagan travelled the country and honed his message

2:33:00 Reagan became capable of articulating conservatism to the country

2:34:15 Reagan didn’t try to “own the libs”, he tried to persuade people

2:37:30 Modern politics is too focused on the messenger, not the message

2:42:00 Performance has to lead to tangible governing results

Chuck Todd can&rsquo;t find a single tea leaf that cuts against the blue wave. Early voting in Texas shows Latino turnout running ahead of the 2024 presidential, with the biggest jump among young Hispanic voters furious about ICE overreach. Florida Democrats are up 91% in early in-person voting despite rule changes designed to hurt them. Chuck&rsquo;s deeper question: everyone assumes polling error favors Republicans &mdash; what if this is the cycle it breaks the other way? Meanwhile Trump has directed DOJ to preemptively sue Alaska to block certification if Dan Sullivan loses to Mary Peltola, is trying to invalidate 20,000 California ballots, and is attacking Lisa Murkowski &mdash; the most popular Republican in Alask. Plus Musk pouring another $78 million into GOP coffers (nearing half a billion this cycle) while a Russian company angles for a stake in an Alaska gas project discussed during Ukraine negotiations.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Then, Thomas Nelson &mdash; Outagamie County Executive, former Wisconsin state assemblyman, and author of The Green and Gold Standard: A People&rsquo;s History of the Green Bay Packers &mdash; joins the Chuck ToddCast to explain why the NFL&rsquo;s only fan-owned franchise now faces an existential threat. The league has since banned the Packers&rsquo; nonprofit structure, and private equity has created what Nelson estimates is a $900 million disadvantage: a single owner can sell 49% to PE and retain complete control, while the Packers legally can&rsquo;t sell to anyone. The crunch point is the escrow required for guaranteed contracts. Nelson argues the league owes it to Green Bay to make the team whole, walks through the three eras that built the franchise &mdash; Lambeau, Lombardi, and Harlan &mdash; and notes that without this model the Packers would have left town decades ago. Plus whether the community-ownership structure could be a template for local development, and a look at Wisconsin&rsquo;s 50-50 politics heading into November.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the long lasting impacts of Ronald Reagan&rsquo;s &ldquo;A Time For Choosing&rdquo; speech and why persuasion should matter as much as performance in politics.
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area.&nbsp;
Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to <a href="https://quince.com/CHUCK">https://Quince.com/CHUCK</a> for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too!&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
09:00 The polling drought &mdash; and what if the error favors Democrats?
15:45 Latino turnout surges in Texas early voting
19:30 ICE overreach and the Hispanic backlash
23:00 Young voters, El-Sayed, and the Florida early vote
29:30 Searching for a counter-argument to the wave
32:15 Republicans have no closing argument
42:00 Easing tariffs to save Susan Collins
47:30 The Ramaswamy ad and what Trump&rsquo;s delight in it reveals
57:30 Musk&rsquo;s half-billion, Starlink, and the Skydance play
1:06:00 Novatek, Alaska gas, and Putin&rsquo;s business dangles
1:13:00 Trump&rsquo;s own tax breaks and rules that only bind other people
1:17:15 Suing to invalidate Alaska&rsquo;s election
1:23:30 A president consumed by grievance in the final days&nbsp;
1:33:00 Thomas Nelson joins The Chuck ToddCast
1:34:00 How a county executive ended up writing the definitive Packers history
1:37:30 The nonprofit structure, and why the NFL banned it
1:42:45 Private equity and a $900 million disadvantage
1:50:45 Guaranteed contracts, escrow, and where the money runs out
1:56:00 Could the Packers model work for data centers and local development?
1:59:45 Teams that relocate purely for tax breaks
2:02:15 Lambeau, Lombardi, Harlan &mdash; and the Aaron Rodgers problem
2:09:30 What the financial gap actually means on the field
2:12:15 Wisconsin as a 50-50 state and the chaos of the Senate primary
2:21:30 What LaFleur needs to keep his job
2:24:00 ToddCast Time Machine - Tuesday, October 27th 1964
2:25:15 Ronald Reagan gives &ldquo;A Time For Choosing&rdquo; speech
2:27:45 Goldwater&rsquo;s victory was a rebuttal to the Republican establishment
2:29:15 Goldwater&rsquo;s conservatism became synonymous with anti civil rights
2:31:00 Reagan travelled the country and honed his message
2:33:00 Reagan became capable of articulating conservatism to the country
2:34:15 Reagan didn&rsquo;t try to &ldquo;own the libs&rdquo;, he tried to persuade people
2:37:30 Modern politics is too focused on the messenger, not the message
2:42:00 Performance has to lead to tangible governing results

Full Episode - There’s No Evidence That Disproves The Blue Wave + The “Packers Model” For Local Development?

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/64a1cc8f-8e96-4fb5-9acc-b4ee01860a4f/transcript

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