1. Renewed Strategic Threat from Cuba

• Despite the Cold War being considered over, Cuba is again being viewed as a potential military staging ground for U.S. adversaries.
• The concern is not nuclear missiles like in 1962, but modern drone systems.

2. Drone Warfare Changes Everything

• Drones are:
  • Cheap, mobile, and hard to detect
  • Capable of low-altitude flight (avoiding radar)
  • Effective in large swarm attacks
• Examples cited:
  • Russia using Iranian drones in Ukraine
  • Drones attacking infrastructure like power grids

3. Geographic Danger

• Cuba is only ~90 miles from Florida, making it:
  • Extremely close for drone operations
  • A potential launch platform against U.S. cities, ports, and infrastructure

4. Growing Alliance Against the U.S.

• Increasing military and intelligence cooperation between Cuba, Russia, and Iran
• Activities include:
  • Naval visits
  • Political meetings
  • Agreements on military and intelligence coordination
• Iran also expanding influence across Latin America

5. “Gray Zone Warfare” Strategy

• Adversaries may avoid direct war and instead use:
  • Drone attacks
  • Cyber warfare
  • Infrastructure sabotage
  • Disinformation
• Goal: Disrupt the U.S. without triggering full-scale conflict

6. Potential Attack Scenarios

• Drone swarms launched from Cuba could target:
  • Military bases
  • Airports
  • Power grids
  • Ports and fuel systems
• Even small attacks could cause:
  • Economic disruption
  • Public panic

7. U.S. Vulnerabilities

• Current weaknesses include:
  • Limited counter-drone defenses
  • Unprepared local law enforcement
  • Vulnerable infrastructure
• Borders are a possible entry point for equipment or operatives

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