Nate and Maria start with something light: p(doom) and the possibility that AI will bring about the end of life as we know it. Then, Nate breaks down the news about the presidential debates and makes a shocking recommendation to the Democratic Party. And – most importantly – our hosts preview the upcoming World Series of Poker in Vegas.

Further Reading:

“OpenAI: Exodus” by Zvi Mowshowitz

“Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden” by Ezra Klein

“21 Tips for Acing the World Series of Poker” by Nate Silver

To Buy Into Maria’s WSOP Action:

Visit “StakeKings”

Or “PokerStake”

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

Nate and Maria start with something light: p(doom) and the possibility that AI will bring about the end of life as we know it. Then, Nate breaks down the news about the presidential debates and makes a shocking recommendation to the Democratic Party. And – most importantly – our hosts preview the upcoming World Series of Poker in Vegas.
Further Reading:
<a href="https://thezvi.substack.com/p/openai-exodus">“OpenAI: Exodus”</a> by Zvi Mowshowitz
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/16/opinion/ezra-klein-biden-audio-essay.html">“Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden”</a> by Ezra Klein
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/p/21-tips-for-acing-the-world-series">“21 Tips for Acing the World Series of Poker”</a> by Nate Silver
To Buy Into Maria’s WSOP Action:
Visit <a href="https://stakekings.com/player/Maria_Konnikova?t=1077">“StakeKings”</a> 
Or <a href="https://www.pokerstake.com/staking/search?sellerIdList=51661">“PokerStake”</a> 
For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:
<a href="https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/">“The Leap”</a> from Maria Konnikova
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/">“Silver Bulletin”</a> from Nate Silver

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.

Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.

Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.

Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.
Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.
Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.
Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

A Backup for Biden

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/fd3dca63-c34c-42a1-8319-b179000dd5da/transcript

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss the reasoning behind Macron’s decision to hold early elections in France, how heat waves could help communicate the reality of climate change, and what we can learn from the impending sriracha shortage. The theme that ties it all together: How to think about long-term risk.

Further Reading:

“The stakes are high in Macron’s gamble” from the Financial Times

“What A Sriracha Shortage Teaches Us About Supply Chains” from Forbes

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver 

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss the reasoning behind Macron’s decision to hold early elections in France, how heat waves could help communicate the reality of climate change, and what we can learn from the impending sriracha shortage. The theme that ties it all together: How to think about long-term risk.
Further Reading:
<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/077a3fec-952b-4834-9d28-04a0333f5c50">“The stakes are high in Macron’s gamble”</a> from the Financial Times
<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/katevitasek/2024/05/09/future-sriracha-shortage-shows-need-for-trust-with-supply-chain-partners/">“What A Sriracha Shortage Teaches Us About Supply Chains”</a> from Forbes
For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:
<a href="https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/">“The Leap”</a> from Maria Konnikova
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/">“Silver Bulletin”</a> from Nate Silver

Snap Elections, Global Warming, and Maria’s Favorite Hot Sauce

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/53deac15-7aa5-437e-a35b-b1940024bd86/transcript

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss whether Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor should retire, the perils of sports betting among professional athletes, and what the return of Roaring Kitty means for traditional market analysis. 

Further Reading:

“Sonia Sotomayor Should Retire Now” from The Atlantic

“Should Sonia Sotomayor Retire?” from Slate

“MLB bans Padres’ Tucupita Marcano permanently for betting on baseball” from the NYT

“Lifetime bans and careers in tatters – recent sports betting scandals show how fringe players are vulnerable” from CBC

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss whether Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor should retire, the perils of sports betting among professional athletes, and what the return of Roaring Kitty means for traditional market analysis. 
Further Reading:
<a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/03/sonia-sotomayor-should-retire/677764/">“Sonia Sotomayor Should Retire Now”</a> from The Atlantic
<a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/justice-sotomayor-retirement-calls-sexism.html">“Should Sonia Sotomayor Retire?”</a> from Slate
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5539792/2024/06/04/tucupita-marcano-permanent-ban-mlb-sports-betting/">“MLB bans Padres’ Tucupita Marcano permanently for betting on baseball”</a> from the NYT
<a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sports-gambling-scandal-fringe-players-1.7227653">“Lifetime bans and careers in tatters – recent sports betting scandals show how fringe players are vulnerable”</a> from CBC
For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:
<a href="https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/">“The Leap”</a> from Maria Konnikova
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/">“Silver Bulletin”</a> from Nate Silver

Lifetime Terms, Lifetime Bans, and the Return of Roaring Kitty

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/d3975242-2f37-4e89-9c67-b18d0175d042/transcript

This week on Risky Business, Nate gives his analysis of what Trump’s guilty verdict may mean for the election, Maria shares the biggest mistakes she’s seen at the World Series of Poker so far, and Nate reveals an interesting ripple in the sports betting ecosystem ahead of the NBA Finals.

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

This week on Risky Business, Nate gives his analysis of what Trump’s guilty verdict may mean for the election, Maria shares the biggest mistakes she’s seen at the World Series of Poker so far, and Nate reveals an interesting ripple in the sports betting ecosystem ahead of the NBA Finals.
For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:
<a href="https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/">“The Leap”</a> from Maria Konnikova
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/">“Silver Bulletin”</a> from Nate Silver

Mistakes and Unknowns: Election Polls, Poker Tournaments, and the NBA Finals

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/3c93b644-be07-4ef0-9eeb-b18601610b65/transcript

A Backup for Biden

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

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