Nate and Maria really, really, really want Joe Biden to drop out of the race. 

Maria gives a psychological consult on the best way to convince Biden to quit. Nate estimates Biden’s chances of defeating Donal Trump if he stays in – and Kamala Harris’s chances of winning the election if she replaces Biden.

Also: An update from the Main Event of the World Series of Poker.

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The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver