Every day, people are bombarded with predictions of what will happen in the future. In recent months, talk of 'inflection points' in the markets has heated up, and the possibility of the U.S. economic expansion, now the longest in history, coming to an end is being actively discussed. But how do we know if such predictions are good ones? And how can we learn to be better forecasters ourselves? On this week's episode of the Odd Lots podcast, we talk to Philip Tetlock, the Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology and Management at the University of Pennsylvania, and the author of numerous books and papers on the topic of predictions.

What the OpenAI-Hugging Face Hack Really Tells Us About AI Danger
59:46

A Historic El Niño Is Coming That Could Cost the World Trillions
55:52

Trucking Is Booming Again, And Drivers Aren't Happy About It
46:21