Talkin' Jake is going through the top free agent contract projections in MLB and predicting whether they'll end up above or below ESPN's projection.
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Follow along with us on Kiley McDaniel's article on ESPN: https://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/42189340/mlb-2024-2025-top-50-free-agents-rankings-contract-projections
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Timestamps:
0:00 Kiley McDaniel Please Become Our Guy?
1:10 Juan Soto 13 years, $611 million
11:55 Roki Sasaki $5M minor league deal
12:50 Corbin Burnes 7 years, $225 million
17:00 Willy Adames 7 years, $189 million
21:30 Alex Bregman 6 years, $187 million
29:00 Pete Alonso 6 years, $159 million
33:40 Max Fried 6 years, $175 million
34:50 Blake Snell 4 years, $124 million
37:00 Anthony Santander 3 years, $69 million
37:30 Teoscar Hernandez 3 years, $66 million
38:30 Christian Walker 3 years, $57 million
38:40 Gleyber Torres 3 years, $52.5 million
38:50 Shane Bieber 3 years, $54 million
44:15 NFL Preview
#dpshow
Hello, and welcome to Waken Jake myself, Jake Story, Ellie, Big Baby, David producing a little MLB free agency over under some of the projections. I'm gonna go off our guy, Kylie McDaniel. I shouldn't say is our guy. I'd like him to be. We know Jeff Passing, he likes Kylie. It's like a friend of a friend. At this point, I replied to some of his tweets before when he was just like the scouting guy.
Maybe our goal for twenty twenty five is makee Kylie McDaniel our guy.
New goal. It's good to set goals for the year. So we'll go through some of the big boys, go through the protection projection, talk it out a little bit for some of the top free agencies, and then a little football weekend preview on the back end. So let's just get into it. Why not high and tight today today, big guy for the country, And why don't we start off with the big guy Juan Soto for clicks. It's here, people, it's happening, Jeff Passing. The first man on the list is Juan Soto, outfielder, former team New York Yankees. Just kind of interesting to see by war Wan Soto did have his best year last season, which he's had a lot of good years, but a reminder that his opening day age of twenty six is when a lot of guys get their big league opportunity. Really that Juan Soto may be peaking right now. So with all of that, you know he's going to be the top of the class. We're seeing Yankees fans with blank checks at the stadium crossing them out six hundred mil, seven hundred mil for Wan Soto. Obviously, the years make things very interesting for on soo any of the deferred money, I don't have one soda playing the deferred money game. Why. I don't think that's any of his business. I mean, unless it just becomes the new trend. But I don't have a reason to believe it's going to become the new trend.
And there's been obviously guys with deferred money before show. Hey didn't invent that. Yeah, like on the scale of what Otani did straight up like you just won't see again.
Yeah that was we think that was a one of one for mister one of one, how about that art?
But for this.
And man, this is Kylie, So I didn't even know he did this. He collected predictions along the way in June and August, so these aren't These aren't just Kylie McDaniel guessing. This is Kylie McDaniel getting opinions from people inside the industry. The Wan Sodo projected contract that they have brought to the table is thirteen years, six hundred and eleven million dollars, so that kind of has been what the rumor is right. And again it's the formula of how good are you, how well are you going to age, and what age are you at now? So Soto hitting it twenty six this I don't know if this is surprising people, but these are my honest thoughts, and again these could be very wrong. Thirteen years, six hundred eleven million, that comes out to forty seven million a year. I would take the under I'm a little bit surprised by that forty seven MILI number. That feels slightly high because that would be the record.
Yes.
Z he Kighie expanded below. Basically, the reason he thinks it's this number is that beats Sho Hee Otani's like present day value number because technically Otani's contract obviously complicated as we've said, but technically he's forty six a year and change. So forty seven gets into beating that number, and people think, and that's what he's his aim is.
I could see the agent caring about that. I don't see Soto caring about that. I guess for me, Juan Soto and Show Hey are still different free agencies, and I mean, well, hey, welcome, welcome to the show. Subscribe. That's Wan Soto and show he O Tani are different. Subscribe I Juan Soto. We already have questions about his defense. It's been part of the Yankees offseason. Is that, hey, he is not being calling him an average defender in the smallest right field in baseball, that would be the highest of compliments you could give Soto. He is not a plus defender. I think you could say he's close to average, if not. Anything below average is probably fair. He doesn't get to a lot of plus balls, if any. I think that was the number we looked at. His arm is solid, but I don't see him becoming a better defender. Like we heard the story this offseason was he heard about his defense, He put in some work and again he looked close to average, Like that's the best scouting report I could give you on Wan Soto's defense, and in a way that's magnifique because the guy racked up like eight war this year and he's one of the best hitters we've ever seen. We talked about on Talking Baseball a little bit today, if you had won at bat and you needed something anything like, you'd probably take Sodo over Judge, You'd take Sodo. We kind of came down to Sodo, your done, and like Freddie Freeman, like, that's a pretty good crop to be with.
That.
Basically the best hitter in the world is available at age twenty six, and obviously there's a price tag to that. But sho he was getting paid to hit, to run, to pitch. Just a reminder, and I think monitor monetarily, A the seven hundred million was insane because of the deferred money, and b this guy was bringing in a whole country as a market. And hey, Wan Soto, well, the Dominican Republic, sure, fuck it, we ball. But Japan's a different animal. They're baseball obsessed. A lot of people. We're already seeing the ripple effect. Roki Sasaki is listed in the article which has started to scare me as I admitted to BBD today because if Roki Sasaki comes over and he has to get paid, not a real salary because he's not old enough yet, and he signs with the Dodgers, I'm worried. I'm worried that Otani, Yammoto, and Sasaki are signing with the Dodgers, and that every good Japanese player that comes over is gonna want to sign with the Dodgers. And that was part of their game plan when they signed Otani. They admitted that anyways, Wan Soto's gonna get paid. I don't know where the years are gonna land at. I don't know if he wants years. I don't know if fifteen, thirteen, twelve, I don't know if he's gonna want one of those things with an option, because say, you know that Bobby Witt junior contract, Remember when that came out, that Bobby Witt got a twelve year deal or whatever. But he can opt out at year seven or year eight. Maybe Wan Soda wants that. Maybe Wan Soda wants the opportunity to opt out at age thirty three, because if he's still Wan Soto, peak of his powers, the money numbers are gonna have shuffled so much that he could probably bring in another a Rod sized well, what was a rod sized bag at the time in his second contract, Jan Soto might be able to do that. So I don't know between the defensive concerns and the different ways Juan Soto can potentially play this contract. I'm actually gonna take the under The defensive stuff is weird Yankee fans. What we're talking about is if Wan Soto comes back, can they give him a first base glove? So now you're talking about Wan Soto learning a different position. I know, we just saw Bryce Harper do it. A we don't know if Soto's up for it, and if he's not, Like for me, it's not shots fired for me, that's not a Wan Soto problem. Like there's many teams that would love to throw Wan Soto in a corner outfield spot for the next eight years and then slide them over to DH and that's that. Like Juan Soto left field at left field in Houston, right field at the stadium. You can make that work for how good he is offensively. I mean that Dodgers outfield is pretty big. I know they're rumored to get in the mix. I think if Jan Soto gets to this length, the thirteen years, the fifteen years, I think that AAV is going to be down. And I guess the more I'm thinking about it, I want to be surprised if there's some creativity in there, you know, all the weirdness that just happened with the Cole contract. Juan Soto might be able to cash out in his early thirties and do this whole thing again the right way that I don't know, maybe not doing this is the hot take or the clip, and I kind of hope it's not. But I because I want one Sodo get as much money as he can. I do support the players on that the owners have the money, but yeah, I would just take the under. I guess I'm thinking of the big contracts in recent years, you know, whether it's Trout, Machado, Harper. Again, I do think Soto's in a different level. Uh, But at the same time, a lot of those guys are like plus defenders, Like you know, Machado plus defender, Trout still cover ground out there that I don't know something about. It just doesn't sniff that past the sniff test for me and Otani, that seven hundred is so bizarre that I think we need to get that out of our heads because so.
Much of it is deferred. Yeah, so it's like and we'll see how the conversations evolve over the next you know, two months. But Otani's such an outlier, like I can't be the standard, and Soto himself is gonna be an outre.
But didn't get a seven hundred million dollar contract. Like unless you have Juan Soto deferring money for a decade, then I think we could start getting in that area. But I think Wansto wants to get paid now and has no reason to not. So yeah, because remember the original Otani free agency weren't what was the debate. It was if he'd get five.
People will get to five.
And then he deferred it for a decade, so he got seven hundreds, Like.
Because tech what we're just saying here is like technically, by present day value, what he got is ten for four sixty.
Right, So Wan Soto, who doesn't pitch the defense as its question marks which are all covered up by generational hitting, I think the number is probably between five and six hundred, depending how you lay out the years and whatever he cares about. Does he care about AAV Does he care about the years on the back end? Will and opt out be a cool thing? So yeah, I I think part of the reason I want to do this not as clickbait, but as an exercise. I think I would take the under on that. And again, we're going to reach out and befriend Kylie McDaniel this year, so we'll see. By the way they list the number two fore agent his Rokie, So that would be five million dollars signing bonus and a minor league deal. So, you know, me and the Dodger fans, we've been doing a lot of making up. The comments were actually really cool last episode. A lot of friendly Dodger fans in there. If they get Rogi Sosaki to a minor league deal, pop's not going to be good. It's gonna be a bad week for me.
I kind of hate you now god.
Man to get Showhey on the books for two million a year, and then Yamamoto and then Roki Sasaki that Japan team won the WBC.
Just a reminder, Sasaki, I'm literally a minor league.
Deal now if he signs with the Yankees, it's good for baseball anyways. Not doing that got them listed as the number three free agent is friend of the program Corbyn Burns, who has hit free agency nearly the peak of his powers. He is thirty years old. The projected contract they have and for a years two hundred and twenty five million. You know, his stuff grades out still his uh, his cutter comes in at ninety five, sinker at ninety seven. Uh. There was a declining strikeout rate. But they openly talked him in the Orioles about how that was kind of that was part of the plan. I think it's kind of one of these baseball pitching evolutions is early contact can be good as long as it's in the park. If you can get that early contact and have quick innings, you get more innings, you save your bullpen, you help your ace. We've seen pitchers do this, and I think that was part of what Corden Burns was doing, except towards the end of the season when his cutter started cutting more. I think he was trying to punch more tickets. Seven for two twenty five. Man, it's funny to look back, you know. There he lists a couple of the deals. Steven Strasburg got two hundred and forty five million, that also had a bunch of deferrals in it. That was one of the Nationals Party tricks for a while that Mark Burns would be the third biggest picture guarantee behind Garrett Cole and Yamamoto. It's interesting to think about. If you just had it listed as Garrett Cole, you might be like, hmm, that's kind of interesting. Do I view is Corbin Burns truly? In that light? He's got the one side young, He's been one of the best pitchers in baseball. It's thirty two point one million aavuh for Corbyn, I would take the over and I don't know if it comes with more years or more AAV, but he is still near the peak of his powers and he's thirty years old. You know. I guess what I can't shake in my head is some of those bigger AAVs, for Surezer and Verlander that they actually didn't pan out the best. I mean, those guys were older and banged up. That to get those first four or five years out of Corbyn Burns and you never know what the injuries and how are they going to develop as a crafty pitcher and corn burns pitch mix has changed even in recent years. I think he's as close to a safe bet as you can find in a free agent pitcher. And I think he's either going to clear that AAV easily or he's going to get the years easily, because he's coming into this position really strongly over the past couple.
Of years, really strongly positioned. And looking at his injury history because I was trying to think about, like, oh, does he have anything. I don't recall anything. He had like a shoulder thing in twenty nineteen, and that's the last arm related thing. Like not to say that other injuries can't matter, but the arm is in just in good shape, well as far as you know any pitcher's arm can be. He's got this many years into a career.
He has a pretty natural pitching most motion. He's a big guy. What's Corbin Burns listed at I'm going six four to thirty let's see in a baseball reference. Uh, six three, two forty five. Okay, just meet on that bone with Corbyn. Uh. We like that four time All Star. I know that kind of doesn't matter as much anymore, but.
That, no, that's a big number.
I mean, this guy's sounds kind of rude. This guy's a cy Young award away from us having like some serious Corbyn Burns combos, you know, the Hall of Fame and innings pitched like we're gonna have to have an evolution at some point.
That another cy Young get get a couple deep playoff runs in you.
On Cordon Burns Lands with two cy Youngs and like seven All Star games? What's the Hall of Fame?
Four?
Let's see, I'll take the over on corbyn Burns. Uh. Next on the table. Next on the table, they have your number four free agent listed as Williadamas. Williadamas will be twenty nine years old come opening day twenty twenty five. The projected contract is seven years, one hundred and eighty nine million. That's a twenty seven million a a V. So some of the player comps here, Marcus Simeon seven years, one seventy five, Okay, that's interesting. What do you believe in? Marcus Simeon had some big boy seasons in there also did not but defensively and work ethic. Actually, I'd say Marcus Simeon and Willia Damas are equally well respected. From everything we know. Work ethic guys, clubhouse guys just well liked in general, the defense will travel. Whether how long will you Samas can stay at short, don't be surprised if he can play third base or second base, which reportedly some teams are already looking into because there's only one third baseman in the free agent market listed as your number five free agent and Alex bregman Man I was on a big Shortstops don't become free agents, especially if they're good. Until the twenty twenty two to twenty twenty three free agent class that included Korea, Trey Turner, Dan's Bay Swanson, and Xander bogats Man. That one was pretty crazy, huh, And I guess out of that crew, Xander had so many hits and the Padres were paying everyone that that contract kind of became the outlier. Trey Turner, I think at this point in career had outperformed Willie Damas a bit. And then Danzy Swanson, who is the gold glover that everyone was like, I don't know if he's gonna be able to stay at short. He's done a fine job at that. People were more scared about Dansby's bat, which you know, a lot of his early hitting numbers in his career did. Should I say the word buoy him down a little bit, don't know if that's right. Where from twenty twenty through twenty twenty two Dansby Swanson was a plus hitter, But again some of those early numbers scared people off. That Willia Domas ever since he came over from the Rays where he openly admitted that he couldn't see in the trop remember that one. And even with one of his seasons in the trap, Willia Damas has a career one oh nine ops plus. You know, if you take out some of those early ray stuff, I guess it's a one twelve ops plus, so it doesn't jump up a lot. But Dansby Swanson he ended up getting seven years, one seventy seven, so that's prior to twenty twenty three. I think you're looking at similar guys there. I think Willie has a better case than Dansby. I think being the only shortstop will end up helping out Willia Damas where these other teams were doing the dance of you know, there's four quality shortstops out there, which never happens. Give me the over, I think for people in baseball circles hearing that Willia Damas can end up near, you know, a two hundred million dollar range. It's pretty wild. But I think when you see Simeon and Dansby, I think Simeon had more potential to like pop off. Dansby was kind of known and that's where he got his money. It was like, Hey, he's gonna play defense and he's gonna be a slightly above average bat. Markus Simon, there is pop potential, Like he's stealing bases, he could lead the league in hits or runs. He's gonna play every day, play great defense.
He went into that free agency with two top three MVP years like he'd right that kind of ceiling on him and a fairly safe base that.
I think it's fair to say that Willya Damas being the only short stop, I have him clearing that, so I will take the over on slick Willie, which brings us to Breggy Smalls, which Breggy's got one of those tight swings. Kind of reminds me of a nice blitz Ball Battle swing. Hey, why don't you check out what's coming up in the next blitz Ball Battle game? Right here?
Blitzball Battle five Kit and y'all set for game number two between Forgotten Rotten and Del Kariba. This is a fascinating matchup right. You've got a two time former champion, Trevor Pluf and he's got Shelfy and Del Karibe. We know all about Lou Dab. He can get done. The question is can Joe's throw any strikes?
That is the number one question.
We know what we're gonna get from Lou. Trev's gonna tell us what we're gonna get from Trevor throughout the whole games. About the other gudge, what do you think?
And Shelfy's backgrounds. He's played in the Blitzbell World Series three different times. He feels really confident. My prediction here is going to be Forgotten Rotten. I'm not even thinking about this one.
It's tough for me to go against Treva Plouf. I think they're gonna win.
Also, trev needed somewhere to put his chain, so you stole it. This is my baby gift from Trevor, not on the registry, but I accept.
So you two made your prediction. I'm going with Forgotten Rottenya del Kibe has they didn't win a game in blitz Ball.
Battle for my hot guys.
Yeah, they've never beaten, forgotten, rotten in anything. But you'll have to tune in and see for yourself later today Blitzball Battle five. Wow.
Make sure you guys are subscribed to our warehouse Games channel if you haven't watched live while the live chat is going, it truly is something to watch side. I must recommend you to go check that out and go check out Alex Bregman. And honestly the conver station here and me and Trev did this on Talking Baseball and they our future friend Kylie McDaniel has it in the article who gets more money Alex Bregman or Willia Domas. Alex Bregman. You know him. He was the face of the Astros for a brief period of time. There obviously that whole saga. He started out his free agent year kind of down and would he turn it around and are the Astros dead? Nope? He ends up having a four wars season. He won the Gold Glove at third base OPS plus lands at one point eighteen, which is, you know, down from his one thirty two career OPS plus Alex Bregman. He does have his juiciest year in twenty nineteen, which those balls had a little juice to him that that seems to be the outlier, even if you do it. From twenty twenty two, Alex Bregman he's been a two sixty one three point fifty on basis seven to ninety five ops, which, again I don't know when you hear those numbers, that Alex Bregman hasn't been an eight hundred OPS guy over the past four years, I think that changes your scope on him a little bit. Like when Alex Bregman was getting hot, especially in that twenty nineteen season, You're ACKed up nine war he led the league in walks. He one dotted UH that year, which the year before that he had a nine to twenty six OPS. He's clearly been a different level of baseball player since then, but still a high quality baseball player. And you know this is someone sometimes we're like the owner kind of knowing a guy matters UH, And I think an owner hearing like, hey, we're in on Bregman, I think the owner might give the extra year, the extra stamp of approval on that, because that it's going to be someone that your fan base will eventually rally around. If you're still doing astros banging stuff, no time for that Bragman. If you don't follow him on social media, he's a pretty likable guy. Almost forty career war so you know, if he can stay, maintain or even pick it up a little bit, you're looking at a guy with a potential like Hall of Fame resume. That being said, I think, and again I'm just playing the numbers here. I guess what I'm saying is I would take the under on Bregman's number. What I mentioned with Willia Damas a shortstop that's more unique. Like shortstop you can move to third easily. And I think again, he's gonna get some interest that way. Willi Adamas on opening day is going to be twenty nine. Alex Bregman on opening day is gonna be thirty one. That's huge. That's the difference. That's free agency. Someone feeling the effects of father time more and more, thirty five years old. Don't let the beard fool you. I just think that's gonna be your difference maker, like they have Alex Bregman getting one year less than Willie Damas and getting one hundred and eighty seven million dollars. Again, this is not shots fired at Bregman at all, as they listen the article. He hasn't top twenty six homer since twenty nineteen, so he plays a good hot corner. He is a threat. A reminder his home stadium is pretty pretty goold for a righty poll hitter that that's something that has to be taken into consideration. I would go the under there, and maybe I'm just doing it every other thing. Again, he is the only third baseman, so maybe that's the only caveat that's gonna clip me up. If there is a bidding war between the Washington Nationals are a sneaky Bregman team. People are wondering if Detroit gets involved because they've got hinge there and the baby Tigers. I don't think they are. They're still tied up in that hobby deal for a couple of years. That for the Detroit Tigers to have I don't know, fifty five million a year tied into their shortstop and third basement and that short stop isn't playing, I don't know. That just feels bad for Tigers fans.
You know, like I am with what we've been saying about, like they should be in on somebody and look to make another big addition. Probably, but they're telling us alf they had to be like very sure about who that guy's gonna.
Be, whoever they bring in. And hey, Bregman in a way is a guarantey high for war playing defense, hitting enough. I do wonder how it would look home Stadium being Detroit instead of Houston. That's a dome, that's a short left field instead of a big outfield. I can get to Bregman's h pretty quickly. But you know, it's something these teams have to think about. I just think for Detroit to have that much money invested in the left side, he is heavy pull. Bregman's still gonna get paid, and like, this is his big contract, so I could see the years being more important than the aav Hey. We also said on Talking Baseball the other day, Bregman has the vibe of a Justin Turner that could be playing until the end. So maybe he goes a five year, juicy one. I'm still I'm gonna try to sneak under the under there, especially when it's just compared side by side with Willy. I think I'm stamping that a team will believe in Willy's value just just a little more. From there, we could start to do a little more rapido fire, so we got some of the pitchers. Oh, Pete the meat mm hmm, I'll do Pete. Just because I said his name, I skip Max Freed, so remind me not to unskip that, uh pistol. Pete Alonzo will be thirty on opening day. He is projected to get six years, one hundred and fifty nine mill. That is twenty six and a half mil per year aav Again, I will be kind of well, let's see, when Freddy Freeman hit free agency, he got six for one sixty two. When Paul Goldschmidt hit free agency was five for one thirty. So again, if you start doing the multiples of that, and supposedly Pete Alonso turned down seven for one fifty eight and he made twenty and a half mil last season. I've been bullish on Alonso and the phrase I keep coming back to and it's it's me trying to get in the shoes of these guys who are running front offices and teams. Pete Alonzo's do not become free agents a lot. He is a lock for about thirty four homers, which that's what he hit this year, and it was kind of a down year for Pete. So hey, maybe there's advanced analytics on Pete because, like I said with Bregman, some of Pete's big, big years are a couple of years earlier. But that power's not gonna leave. Like, even if the contact leaves Pete a little bit, he's still gonna have that pop. He's got the scoops At first he was the best scoops first baseman. And again, I think being a DH could be potentially a positive thing for him or a team if you need that, and if you do need him at first base for a few years, like I think you're fine with that. Pete does enough. He puts in good effort over there, he's picking balls. The year gets interesting. So six years, twenty six and a half million, Um, I feel like I've been just doing in every other thing, but I'm gonna go over. I think Pete gets paid. Man. That's like we were talking about floor When it comes to Bregmant and a damas Pete Alonso, his worst homer year in a not full season was thirty four. Last year, his ops plus, even though his other numbers look down, is the same as the year before, it was one twenty three. He's a career one thirty four OPS plus average. I just think where baseball is at, and I continue to preach this. You can find pitching, and look how the Dodgers just got through the postseason. Obviously it's high end bullpen, but you can find those guys Alex Vesia, like this isn't shots fired, but it's just these are very solid lefties Vesia and Banda, where they're lefties that got them through two winnings of each playoff game they needed to win. Basically, you can't find Pete Alonzo's like that. You can't call up a guy from Triple A and be like, hey, this is this is your matchup. You're going to be our thirty five homer a year guy. I think there's going to be a couple front offices that start salivating about adding Pete's power to the middle of their lineup that I think the market's going to be there. I think he saved his season towards the end. And you know what else he did. He played one sixty two this year, and he balled out in the playoffs, and he plays almost every game every year. God, his game's played is very impressive. I know I've done this before. And the second number is the twenty twenty season, one sixty one games played his rookie year, fifty seven out of sixty one fifty two, one sixty one fifty four one sixty two. Has Pete never been on the IL? Maybe let me have research on that. I mean that is there's something to that. There's something to that. Give me the over on Pete? So much for me going rapid fire. Max Freed projected six years, one seventy five. They're comparing that.
It's got hit in the handsprain desers in twenty one. Damn only I Elston.
Damn so how many games in twenty one? He still played one hundred and fifty two games?
So he missed ten day or before? Oh, because some position players can still be just a ten day or.
Yeah, I guess so, So he just missed those ten games. That's insane. It's insane. Max Freed a I like him, and I need to buck the trend. Carlos Rodan got six years, one hundred sixty two million in twenty twenty three. Aaron Nola got seven for one seventy two. They have Max for six for one seventy five. I'm gonna go over slash. I'm gonna put it on Green and say they just nail it. Why not get one right? But I would lean over. I mean Rodan. I know Rodan was dominant strike out wise, but his injury history was daunting. I know Max Freed had a couple nicks here and there, but you can butter knife some of Max Freed's numbers that he has been a top three left handed pitcher in the league since he's been around, and dude, for him, this felt like a down year for Max Freed. It was one hundred and seventy four innings to a three two five R. He has a career three oh seven. Max Reed's been incredible. Let's see if I can even butter knife even better. In one hundred and twelve starts since twenty twenty, Max Freed has a two eight one era. Max Freed's nasty. Uh, so give me the over on that easy, uh. Blake Snell projected four years one twenty four more rapid fire. You guys know the Blake Snell free agency situation from last year and whatever. He's thirty two. Now are they giants in on him? Is someone in on him? You know what? I'll go under just because Snell's free agencies have been so weird and it's not shots fired. I love Snell. I keep pushing for Snell. I mean he might just enter this new world of just get a new contract every year.
Hear too, get something funky that has some opt that's available to you outpitch that.
If people keep doubting you, just do it and opt out and ball again. Like, I don't know, I feel bad to my guy for Snell, who probably would love a forever home, would love the team offering him the six year deal that he's saying, Hey, I've been the best lefty. Don't mind Max freed over there. I don't know, man, I just think we've seen him hit free agency. I know there's a little bit of Boris stuff, but there's obviously a little bit of Snell stuff in there, and it's just his approach to pitching. Nothing about him as a person, nothing at nothing on the returns of his performance. It's just he goes about it a little differently. He was nails down the stretch. I think him and whatever team does it this year, they might be stoked to do Hey, here's forty million year, let's do it for two years or maybe you get an opt out again after the first, or maybe it's Cody Bellinger style that it's three years and you get two opt outs. Like, I don't know. The snell Free agencies have just been weird. I'm rooting for him to find a forever home, and I keep saying that like he's a homeless dog. So I need to stop saying that.
Passing out catch your Austin Hedges in the Cleveland Guardians have a deal.
So it's incredible. That's incredible, good job for our guy. The other breaking news we miss Kyle Hendrix to the Angels. Yeah, that should that should solve their pitching problems. Let's see again. I'll start doing more rapid fire. Anthony Santander three years, sixty nine million, give me the over. I've had Toronto overpaying for him for a little while. Now. I know the war doesn't love him, but know what teams love? Forty four switch hitting home runs Toronto or somewhere. Maybe the Orioles even just pony up sixty nine million for Anthony Santander. No no way, no way, Pop Tascar Hernandez similar boat Santander's two years younger. They have Tioscar at three years, sixty six million again. He made twenty three and a half last year, but that was one year. Ta Oscar give me the over. I'll say forever home again. I think ta Oscar wants that, and I think LA might be the team with them that they might say, hey, dude, here's four years. We like you. Maybe they even bring that AAV down a little bit. But if it came out four years for eighty for ti Oscar, anyone blink? I win it. Let's see is there anyone else I'm super interesting? All right, let me wrap up with these two guys, because man, there's a lot I don't know everything. This whole game is a guessing game. You tell me, you guys, go look at Kylie's article. If there's any that stick out that you're like, that makes sense or that doesn't make sense. Christian Walker, Arizona diamonbacks very important, Pete Alonzo's free agency. It was a fun conversation with Trev that teams are probably gonna go to Christian Walker first because there's an argument he's better defensively and offensively, if not all around. He easily has that argument right now. He is older, He's thirty four years old. They have him projected for three years fifty seven million. I think I found my over range of the program. I'm gonna go over there because jose Abray, you got three years fifty eight and a half going into his age thirty six season. Again, that was an astros weird one and we all kind of opened up our eyes. But all it takes is one team, and I don't know if that's the Mets. I don't know who it is. Christian Walker. Christian Walker is gonna have a big market. Okay, Edwin and Carnassion got three years sixty mili at age thirty four, and I think Christian Walker is doing more on both sides of the wall of the ball that I'm going ball that I'm going.
Over there, and he inflayed a little bit since then the.
Other one, well, I'm gonna do this one high and tight and be a little rude. Glaver Torres three years fifty two and a half million, I'm gonna go under. Yankees didn't extend a qualifying offer, which again that probably helps Glaver's free agency, but I think there's also a reason behind that. Glaver's year on the whole did not great out well. He is twenty eight, and I do think a team's gonna take a chance on him on It depends what Labor wants. Does he think he can rehab to get himself up. But I don't see a team going three years fifty two and a half, and I don't think Labor's happy with that. Again, get in the head of Labor, Torres. This guy was an All star, really young, many time All star coming off one of his worst seasons of recent at least not the shortstop year.
We don't talk about that, where he did finish it strong. So he feels like he's in a good place as a player. Yes, that's just don't reflect who he is.
I think Labor, that's how you feel. Again, maybe he takes one of those Cody Bellinger types with a couple ops outs if he can, if a team wants that, I see him going two years somewhere. Here's two years, here's seventeen. Mil Let's cook. You could still hit. He can still hit free agency at thirty again, like I think Labor's I think Labor wants that, which has me taking the under on three years fifty two and a half my last one, just because I keep forgetting this guy as a free agent Shane Bieber. Well right, Shane Bieber is twenty nine as of opening day. He had Tommy John surgery in April. Typical Tommy John timeline is about fourteen months and you need a.
Little more juice after that.
So so hey, you're a team willing to shame pay Shane Bieber if you're playing a safe estimate he comes back around the trade deadline. Who knows what you get for Shane Bieber the rest of next year. But then you have Shane Bieber, which is telling me he's gonna at least get a two year deal. They have him getting three for fifty four. I'm gonna hit you with one more over. I think a team talks himself into Shane Bieber. I mean, look at the the Giants traded for Robbie Ray as he was coming off of Tommy John, and he was owed more money than this. Yeah, and I think, you know, obviously very different pictures never lefty righty and the strikeout stuff and all that, But I.
Yeah, his can if it's under it's because of a structural thing where like he's doing like a only two years and whatever to write up, and even that can get you close to that number. If you're going to take a chance on the one and a half years of Shane Bieber that you get.
Yeah, I pay. I don't know.
This number just feels like not where it lands.
It would be Shane Bieber saying I just want to do one or two years, which he could do. It's his free agency, and he'd have to really be betting on himself. I think a team's going to be like, we're in on you, Shane. It's you know, Tommy John surgery happens now if we could get you at a you know, Shane Bieber hit free agency, right, we're talking about those thirty thirty five million a year. I don't know, man, I think if someone throws twenty two at him for three years, I think if you're Shane Bieber, you're pretty interested in that because you could still hit free right. Yeah.
I mean he in this year that he was twenty nine years old and going to hit free agency again at the end of the year. Obviously it's only two starts, but the first two starts of this year he was absolutely bawling out Shane Bieber like he I think he thinks he he in his said you have to believe he has the motivation to go get the big deal in a year or two because he can absolutely play at that level as a scion.
He Uh, whatever team gets him will be very happy this postseason. There's some other big ones. I'm gonna leave Walker and a couple other guys. You know, we could we could do this game all day, which would be nice. Tyler O'Neill, but we won't. You tell me who you got, who are missing or maybe an over under for the article. I skipped Kakuchie. I'm sorry, I don't know. I skipped Pivetta Severino. Uh, there's a lot of guys out there. How Song Kim was next two years forty two and a half. Give me the over someone will believe. Is that just my line for everyone. Let's preview the football weekend because it's a fun one Germany game. Before we get there, it's Bengals Ravens on Thursday night. The Cincinnati Bengals that I had mentally, they've hurt me too much. They're four and five, they're three and one on the road. They're playing a Ravens team that they should have beaten. In overtime. McPherson had a kick they actually messed up the snap in overtime and that the Ravens ended up winning that game. The Ravens six and three coming off a dominant win against my Broncos. These Ravens have won one, two, three, four five. They've won six out of seven. The only loss there was the Jamis Browns game where he revitalized a city. I don't know. I'm I won't bet it. It's Bengal or it's Baltimore minus six and a half that just change in front of my eyes. Ravens are my Super Bowl team, Bengals. I've counted them out if they win. And the reason I won't bet this game because you don't have to bet every game, especially if you're a sports fan like me. If the Bengals do win this, that'll be sick, like the Bengals hype train will be back. Joe Burr and I love that. I think it's great for the game. Joe Burr is one of the best characters that the NFL has to offer in like the best way, except I didn't like the blonde hair whatever, But that's like, that's one of the first Thursdays I think I've been like, let's let's watch that one. Let's watch that one, which brings us to Sunday, and it starts out in Munich, Germany. The New York Football Giants play the Carolina Panthers. God does it get any better? Nine to thirty am. I might push for the NFL to have a nine to thirty am game everywhere. I mean, it doesn't even have to be international, Like, why don't we just have a morning game, dude, the ten am game every week. People would love that. The home teams would hate it and the road team but America would love it, and you'd be the most watched game besides the night games. I'm give me the NFL. On the line, Giants Panthers yikes, yikes, which brings us to one pm. My Broncos are facing the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are eight point favorites in Arrowhead. Something doesn't smell right here. The Chiefs were just nine point favorites against the Bucks. Bucks took them to overtime and they won. The reminder, the Chiefs are undefeated, and I just think you gotta believe in stuff in sports. This is their trap game before the Bills game that I've been teeing up for weeks now that Broncos defense travels. The Chiefs still don't feel like they're fully clicking, although those that that last drive felt pretty pretty dominant in ot and they still do whatever they want and DeAndre Hopkins with Matt Patrick Mahomes feels like a difference maker. I bet my horse season be scared, although I definitely have them losing that game. But that's the great game. But let's see if the Chiefs can stay undefeated going into Buffalo, because that will be that'll be the first like NFL storyline, like that will be all the media talks about for a week. There's no World Series Baseball NBA has happened, but has it? Like I'm I don't know. I thought about watching a game tonight. We'll see. I'll let you know what I do. Patriots Bears, No, sorry, not on the Caleb train yet. No Bill's Colts also kind of noh. I mean it feels like one of those weird ones. The Colts could find something. Bills are only favored by four, it's on the road, it's in Indie, But yeah, I don't I don't feel a need to watch that. Falcon Saints know. Also, no Saints fired their head coach. See what that looks like? Niners Bucks is a sneaky Yes. Niners coming off their bye week has them as five and a half point favorites against this new Bucks team, which it sucks that Godwin and Evans got hurt because everyone around football that I like to listen to is like, these Bucks really have something. They kind of have a nice running game. Bucky Irving is breaking out a little bit. I just think without those two weapons on the outside, the Niners coming in off the bye week, even though it's in Tampa, but I think that I think that'll be a good watch. I think that's gonna be a fun game. Who seven and two Commanders versus the six and two Stillers?
Wow?
Who had this coming into the year. Commanders are undefeated at home. The Steelers, I believe, coming off their bye week, coming in to face the Commanders, I think I just found my dog. Mike Tomlin and the Steelers defense coming off of bye week. The Commanders, you know, they've had a couple scares the past couple weeks. The Bears the Hail Merry game, they should have lost that. The Giants last week end up making it look close that Washington minus two and a half favorites. I guess I was giving out Jake's dog of the week Wolf Wolf. Give me Pittsburgh Vikings Jaguars. No, no offense. That takes us to the four pm slate Chargers Titans. I think the Chargers wagon is going to leave the station this weekend. And that's not just because I traded for their running back in fantasy. But they're five and three. The Titans team, I mean, they're fighting from behind this time of year. Eagles Cowboys kind of a no. Although the Eagles with a chance to go seven to two against the Cowboys team without Dak that's really hurting. Yikes. Jets Cardinals, Yes, yes, yes, the Jets on this potential warpath to save their season. This is one of the big ones standing in the way. The five and four Arizona Cardinals, I believe, leading the division at five and four, host the Jets coming off that Texans win, a couple extra days of rest for them. Cardinals on a win streak. It has the Jets. It basically has it as a pick them. They have the Jets as a half point favorite. They might be right, they might not be. You'd like to think Jets playing for their season gives them a slight advantage in that tilt. That is gonna be a fun one to watch little Kyler running around and figuring it out while the Jets try to tooth and nail whatever they can and their offensive whippens. If it does click, I mean that catch by Garrett Wilson, DeVante had a couple big ones Breeze's PCEs. That's gonna be a fun game. And then it ends with another one. Lions Texans your Sunday night game. Texans undefeated at home, Lions undefeated on the road. Texans coming off that loss to the Jets and missing their wide receivers, while the Lions, man, they've got this form of beautiful bullyball that they are just beating up teams and whenever they set up to play. Golf's completion percentage is like eighty percent this year. But man, the Texan's coming off a lot lost. That's gonna be a great Sunday night watch. Monday Dolphins Rams. Luckily, we'll talk to you before then. But NFL slated. It's a full one and it's a good time for it because there's no more baseball. Bengals Ravens. Thursday, were watching have breakfast and watch Giants Panthers, maybe not closely, but and then one pm, one pm Steelers Commanders. I'm in on that. Four PM I guess the Jets Cardinals feels a little less sexy. If you needed to skip it, you'd be okay. And then that night game of Texans Line should be pretty fun. So let's buckle up for a big sports weekend. Appreciate you guys as always, make sure you subscribed and tell them about Uncle Dan
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