Wednesday with Wes: The Hopeful Hoosier & Week 13 Situational Spots | November 20th 2024

Published Nov 20, 2024, 9:52 PM

As is tradition, Tim Murray is joined by Wes Reynolds on Wednesday to discuss the upcoming weekend of games including Indiana at Ohio State. Wes, an Indiana alum, is not enjoying the Hoosier hate he has been listening to this week!

Does he believe IU can pull off the upset?

Tim & Wes also discuss a number of situational angles for this weekend including...

UNLV at San Jose St

Colorado St at Fresno St

Penn St at Minnesota

UNC at Boston College 

UConn at Syracuse

Texas A&M at Auburn

This is Vson's College Football Betting Podcast. Welcome in another edition of the v SIN College Football Betting Podcast. I'm your host, Tim Murray, and as I look down at my wristwatch, I don't actually have a wristwatch. I see that it is Wednesday, and that means Wes Reynolds joins us Wednesday with Wes. As always, please rate, review, and subscribe to the podcast. We'll have a little bit of a different week next week. We'll combine the week Breakdown with Wednesday with Wes, and Wes will join me at the d next Wednesday for that podcast. But let's not jump ahead. Let's welcome in the pride of Indiana. The biggest day of the football program's history upcoming. Mister Reynolds, how are we feeling about the visit to the Shoe big noon kickoff College game Day. It's the biggest game of the day. Your alma mater is ten and oh, biggest game in school.

History, I would say so, Tim, probably the biggest regular season game since well before you and I walked the Earth in nineteen sixty seven, when Indiana had to be purduing the Bucket Game to get to the Rose Bowl. So yeah, look, Now this is getting serious, Tim, this is getting very real now. You know, throughout the season, I've just kind of been, you know, as a fan and as an alum, just living in the moment and just enjoying the run while it's going. It's like, man, this just keeps getting better and better and better. But now it's getting serious. And how I can tell it's getting serious is that now Indiana, Little Indiana. You know, even though Kurt Signetti called him the We're an emerging superpower, apparently we are because Indiana is starting to take the bullets now. I think cans Or Sank down there at the SEC sent out the bat signal to a lot of the media types to start picking apart and coming after Indiana. Hell, Tim, you got United States Senators coming coming after Indiana. As I made clear yesterday. Check out the Twitter for my thoughts on that, saying that Indiana bought a football team, even though fourteen of the thirty one transfers this year came with coach sig and the staff from James Madison, and twenty five of those thirty one, by the way, were from a group of five or lower, including our starting quarterback Curtis Rouric, who.

Is in the mac at Ohio University.

So you know, to say that everybody is buying players with the NIL, but to say that Indiana bought a football team is ridiculous. And it's just the entitlement of a lot of these power programs that now they can't do what they do because they were doing nil before it was nil and they were taking advantage of it while Indiana was getting at you know what, kicked in every single week. And now there's a little bit more of a level playing field. But that's what's good about college football, isn't it, Tim, That you still have some power programs. You still have Ohio State in the mix, you still have Oregon, you still have Notre Dame, you.

Still have Georgia, you still have Alabama.

But you get some new guests to the party like it like in Indiana, or like a Boise State or perhaps an SMU. Certainly I think still very much in play out of the ACC or a program that, you know, whoever comes out of the Big twelve, like a Colorado hadn't really been that relevant until Coach Prime came to Boulder the last couple of years. But it's just Tim I was, you know, living like I was saying, I was living in the moment, you know, just kind of enjoying it and being happy that this is the best season that Indiana football has ever had in my lifetime.

And now I'm getting angry.

Now I'm getting hostile at some of these people that are, you know, firing bullet after bullet at Indiana.

It's like, well, who did they play? Well?

You know, who made it to where we have in balance schedules tim the very television networks and the very media platforms that provide these analysts or pundits or whoever whatever you want to call them, the microphone to rip Indiana because they're the ones that push this conference realignment. And you know it's not Indiana say no, we don't want to play Penn State.

They weren't put on the schedule this year. You know, that's that's just the way it goes.

You got imbalance and all these conference because of these television networks pushing this conference realignment and these and these schools are you know, a horse for the dollar and they're you know, they're gonna take the almighty buck and yeah, sure we'll leave that conference because we want all this TV money. So you know, all this discussion on Saturday gets put to rest and Indiana has a chance to prove everybody wrong and you know, either be competitive or hell go and win the game, because I think everybody's assuming like, oh Indiana, like like they're just they're just not gonna win, Like they should rest Curtis Rourke and protect him from him against do that take from Joey Gallaway on the ESPN Show last night, and I was like, are you crazy? You gotta be insane? You go in there and compete what we're just gonna admit defeat. Oh, we can't beat these guys. You know, these guys are just impossible. And yeah, I know the market has moved this number up to thirteen and even some thirteen and a half out there. But if you're Indiana, you're you're still undefeated, Tim, I don't care what the schedule is.

This is still an undefeated team.

There are three of them in the country, Indiana, Army, and Oregon. You were undefeated, Like, you don't have to make apologies to you make apologies to absolutely nobody, As Connor McGregor would once say.

Well, ladies and gentlemen, I'm good. Well let's audios. We're out of here. No, that was you know, a couple of things I wanted to hit on here regarding this game. You know, I don't know how you are when it comes to betting honor against your alma mater. I did not go to Notre Dame, but I pretend like I did. My dad went there, but I tend to not bet honor against them too often. Every once in a while, if it's just begging me.

All of us that are Catholics somehow went to Notre Dame.

Tim, we're the true Subway alums. That's what it's called. You know, you know we are not. I certainly wasn't smart enough. My sister was smart enough and she went there. That's why she's the favorite. But I digress. Looking at this number, Indiana catching thirteen, let's just start there before I have I have some thoughts about the playoff number that is out there, and I talked to Gil about it on a numbers game on Wednesday morning. But when you look at this number right now, Wes, the market, as you alluded to, has been bet up. It's up to thirteen thirteen and a half. Circa's at thirteen and a half. Excuse me, total fifty one fifty one and a half. Indiana eight and two ats this year didn't cover their last game against Michigan prior to the buy, didn't cover the opener against FIU. But what do you make of this number? And do you see value either way on this particular game.

I'll start with the number.

I'm not surprised to see that move based on online, you know, because conversation does move the numbers, and it's like, oh, here.

We go with Indiana.

They haven't played anybody like this is when they're gonna get you know, their come up and if you will, so I understand the move. I think it was nine and a half on the look ahead and then it was like ten ten and a half on Sunday, and now it's up to thirteen thirteen and a half.

So I understand that.

And I'll address my primary concern on the Indiana side first, and I think you saw it bear fruit in the second half of the Michigan game, is that they got beat a little bit upfront, and that was the first time really all year that they did that. Now Michigan, we know, is down from last year. That's why I think we talked about at nauseum this summer under nine season wins for the Wolverines, but I don't think we expected them to be like five and five right now. The drop has been precipitous just because they don't have the quarterback play, They don't have the game breakers at the skill positions, especially at wide receiver. But they're still pretty good upfront on the offensive and defensive line, and I thought they got a little bit of the better of Indiana in the second half, and Ohio State obviously very good in that regard. Now Ohio State is taking a little bit of a beating if you look it up front. I believe Seth McLaughlin, their starting center Tora's achilles in practice. He is now out the rest of the season. And Ohio State's got a couple injuries up front as well.

So Indiana.

What's been the real difference for Indiana on that defense is that defensive line, especially Kamara, who transferred in from James Madison with coach sig CJ. West, who is a hell of a fine out of Kent State. You know, a program going nowhere, but a kid that has some NFL potential, and he's been great on the defensive line. So if Indiana can hold their own up front, and that's a herculean task considering the fact that Ohio State. You know, we look at the offense and the fact that they're may be not the juggernaut that they have been. And I say that considering they ranked top ten in points and yards per game. But you understand what I'm saying. They have not been as explosive. I don't think necessarily offensively this year. And maybe it's it's the quarterback play Will Howard, who's been fine but hasn't been certainly what Stroud was a couple of years ago.

It's been the defense that's carried this team.

Number one an opponent points a game, number one in points per play, Number two in yards a game, number two and yards of play. But where I think Indiana is gonna have to make some headways. They're gonna have to They're gonna have to try to find a way to run the ball on this team. If they can just run the ball, okay, I think that they can compete here and and and and look, Indiana is gonna be plenty motivated. We know coach Sig is not like a big, raw raw guy He's very understated. He's very like direct and very blunt. You know, I win google me. You know what do we tend to know?

Not bad? Not bad at all.

Like he's he's kind of a trash talker, but in a subtle way, he's not, you know, a Ranner raver, a guy that that's mister raw Rob. He's going to have these guys motivated because they're going to have heard about this for two weeks now. So I think that they're going to come in here and compete. I'm going to be on Indiana and maybe a little bit it's a little bit of homerism, Tim, but I think Indiana can compete here, and I think that they're going to shock a lot of people well.

And that's what leads me to my next question, which is the price to make or miss the playoff? And now, the only price that I saw as of Wednesday was at FanDuel to have the two way market DraftKings. I think at some point later this week probably will put up that two way market. But I look at it and when I'm prefacing it this way, I'm not a hater. I'm trying to be realistic and I'm looking at the way the committee has ding teams for losing. Georgia dropped nine spots losing to Ole miss BYU dropped eight spots losing to Kansas. Now, look, Kansas and Ohio State don't believe belong in the same breath. But if Indiana loses and the SEC is this kind of jumbled mess, do we have the discussion? Because you alluded to it, it's already started, right, the Seeds are starting to be planted about, Well, they have no big wins and no one's ranked, and look at their strength of schedule, like do they have to be competitive? I think you answered the question. You think they will be. You're gonna take the points. But if this is a twenty one point Ohio State victory, I hate to speak it into existence to you, but could you see the committee pulling some shadiness and dropping Indiana significantly if they were to fall on the road at Ohio State.

Yeah, I absolutely think it would be a significant drop. And I think twenty one is probably like the line of demarcation, right. You know, if you lose by by more than that, you lose by four or five scores, then you're gonna you're gonna sink like a stone I think. I think in these rankings, then you look, you can always use a little bit of help, and you're probably gonna need a little bit of help where some of these two lost sects are gonna have to get upset. Like you know, if Auburn upsets Texas A and M if Florida gets ole missed this weekend, then that puts them at three losses and then it gets a little bit difficult. Now, two loss Georgia, two loss Alabama. If they run through like they should, then they're going to be in. But some of these three loss teams, you need a couple of maybe one or two of these teams I think, to stay in, assuming that that you you take a you know, a pretty comfortable Ohio State victory into into account, assuming that happens that that that that yeah, they're probably gonna drop a little bit. And you know, I was making little jokes even though Indiana is part of the Big Ten and they're one of the two conferences that really control the sport along with the SEC, but it does kind of feel like Indiana is not a member of the cartel, right tim you know, they're they're there, and you know what I'm saying yeah, oh yeah, they're they're not They're not one of the establishment teams. They're not a Georgia or a Notre Dame or an Alabama or you know other schools that you know, certain some of the eving down hears USC Oklahoma. You know, they're not programs like that. Okay, they're new to the party. I think, Look, I think from a television standpoint, it is kind of cool to have like a little bit of a Cinderella they you know, and we talk about this and we will uh this coming March about the NCAA tournament where it's like you want that Cinderella in the first and second round and then by the sweet sixteen you want them out. You want like like they don't mind Indiana if they win like the first game, but they don't want Indiana in the semi final because it's Indiana, and you know, they don't have a lot of recent year success really in program history.

So yeah, I think that they'll drop.

I don't know if they'll drop completely out of the rankings, tim just because I think when you look at it, can you make a case that they're gonna be two ACC teams or two Big twelve teams.

I don't know.

The Big Twelve is such a jumbled The Big Twelve is such a jumbled mess. You've got four teams, and really the top three control their own destiny to make that NCAA or the Big Twelve Championship. I should say BYU, Colorado Arizona State would control. If Arizona State wins out, they're going to be in the Big Twelve championship game.

Who would have thought that. But it's such a jumbled mess.

And then with Clemson losing or they hung on against Pitt but you basically have Clemson, Miami and SMU, they're the only ones with the chance. I just don't see two teams getting in out of the ACC and the Big Twelve. And I certainly don't see two group of five teams.

No, I think you're one hundred percent right the way I look at it, and I'll try to do it quickly. Group of five obviously autobid whether it's be Boise State, UNLV if they were to sneak up or two Lane Army, one of those four is getting in. I think it's pretty clear, especially with BYU losing to Kansas, it'll be one Big Twelve team. I think it'll be one ACC team. And then the question is if Notre Dame runs the table, beats Army and USC they are in. If Texas A and M beats Texas, I think things get very weird regarding that situation. Assuming and maybe it's a big assumption, and we'll get to this. On the other side of the break, Texas A and M takes care of business against Auburn. That line a little fishy this weekend, but I would need a bigger number. I'm a little intrigued by Indiana to miss the playoff, but I would need a bigger number. And once again I said this with Gil, I don't think they should be knocked out of the playoff. I want Indiana in there. They've been dominant against the teams that they've played. I think that means something. But we will see.

Hopefully they'll be on the bubble.

Yeah, hopefully for your sake, they cover this game. And I think if they cover, I think that should certainly keep them in the playoff field. All right, Wes, let's take a quick break on the other side. Let's hit on the four situational spots that you're looking at this weekend, as well as the double digit dog that will come home outright this weekend, that Wes absolutely nailed last week on this show. It is the b SID College Football Betting Podcast.

This is Vson's college football betting podcast.

We're back. It is the Vson College Football Betting Podcast along with Wes Reynolds. I am Tim Murray. You could follow him at Wes Reynolds one. I'm at one Tim Murray. No confusion at all with those Twitter handles. We just like to let everyone know that we're number one. One way or another. We will hit on the double digit dog that will come home this week. We had four last week come home. We've had one every single week and Wes absolutely nailed it. Don't believe me. We got proof. Go back, listen to the tape he had New Mexico. I'm just mad at myself. I didn't bet it. I looked at that game all week and I did not bet it. I'm annoyed with myself, but great hit by you. Let's hit some situational spots and we'll go on chronological order. So let's go Friday night in San Jose. I know you me Matt Humans JVT Good Van Pelt, Scott Van Pelt my friend and I think our mutual friends stuck you over at the Action Network. We all were on the Spartans and good god, that was disgusting. And Scott Van Pelt doesn't need our accolades or praise, but what a tremendous, tremendous bad beat segment on Monday. And he did an incredible job as he always does. So are you going back to the well? Are you? Are you asking for more pain? Are you taking seven and a half with San Jose state?

I embrace pain, Tim, You know that in a lot of aspects of my life, not just with sports betting.

But yeah, look, you know the woo woo is as.

Scott said, Monday night happened, and you know we were taking the double digits.

I actually they only had to fourteen. I didn't even have the hook.

You know, some guys had the hook the fourteen and a half, and I think it went up to fifteen. Some places, you're up fourteen up, and it's like, man, it's gonna take five scores. We're gonna have to get out scored by five scores the rest of the way to beat us. And and sure as how it did. Pick six and then San Jose State gets down to the one can't get into the end zone forty two to twenty one.

Now they get UNLB.

UNLV, by the way, made an appearance in the College Football Playoff rankings for the first time.

Eight and two certainly would need a.

Lot of help because they had that head to head loss against Poise States. So they're gonna absolutely, I think need a little bit of help here and two lane losing would certainly help that cause. But you know, I'm gonna I'm gonna take and there's a couple eight's out there, it's mostly seven and a half in the market. I'm gonna take San Jose State. Look, I've liked their offense this year. This is not coach Kenannapolis that you're very familiar with running the triple option.

They're running.

You know that modified run and shoot. I forget, I forget what the new name of it is. I think you would know that spread.

And bread and tread.

Yes, modified run and shoot from that June Jones tree out in Hawaii that Craig Stutsman played for him. He's the offensive coordinator at San Jose. So look, UNLV, I wonder you know how you're gonna deal with the pressure. You know, they had the pressure of being four to zero and had Syracuse in and a game that they could have won, Syracuse pulls it out in overtime. And then they had it with Boise State at home and and fell just a.

Little bit short.

So it's not like they face planted in a pressure situation, but they did lose both of those games. And now you go to San Jose State and then you got the Fremont Cannon game against against Nevaderino the wolf Pack the following week, so that's a rivalry game at home at Allegiant, and I think that this is a little bit of a tricky game for UNLV.

It's gonna be high scoring with a total of sixty one.

So I'm gonna I'm gonna take the Spartans here, and I think a lot of people might want to stay away from him because of the pain that happened last week out there at Spartan Stadium, but I'm going back for more.

Well.

I want to stick with the Mountain West because one of my plays and I talked to JVT on Tuesday about it is Fresno State. Last Yeah, last time we saw Fresno State before the bye, it was a best bet for it wasn't a best bet for me. Air Force went in there, ran it all over them. And then I took air Force last week after I saw what they did to Fresno and that was thankfully a rocking chair winner. But I think this Colorado State team, you know, credit to Jay Norvell in the turnaround. There's some fools gold in this team. And I know a lot of people had Wyoming last week that didn't get home. But I think this spot Fresno State at home.

You know.

And we're going to talk about the you know, the Bowl tax and all of that. What teams are motivated, what teams are not. I think Fresno coming off of by opportunity to affect the Mountain West championship game. And look, this is a team that we thought would uh, you know, be challenging for the Mountain West. They have their coach retire early before the season. I think this is the spot win your final game at home. B Bowl eligible. They wrap up at UCLA. So whether you want to lay the three or find the cheapest money line, they were a minus one forty two out there. Earlier in the week when we talked about it, But I'm on Fresno State. I like the spot here against Colorado State, and this would be fantastic for UNLV, assuming they avoid the loss on Friday night, because if they win this game, then they're back in the driver's seat to make it to the Mountain West Championship game, which to be honest, let's be honest as football fans, we'd much rather see UNLV go to the Smurfter for the Mountain West Championship than in Colorado State.

Yeah, I think so too.

And look Colorado State, if you look at the stats last week, they dominated Wyoming, but if you watch that game, Wyoming had numerous chances to back door last week getting nine and a half get in ten. I think they had three drop passes that were wide open on that final drive to get into the back door against Colorado State. And also with Fresno State. You know they are off the bye, but they've had two cracks at getting that sixth win against Hawaii. They lose at home as favorites, and then they lose as road favorites at Air Force, who's obviously had a rebuilding year in Colorado Springs. So now you've got a final chance here to get dead. Well, well, you do go to UCLA the following week to close out the season. But this is your third chance, I think, the third times of term they get that six win here.

All right, let's go to a couple other situational spots here, Let's go to Penn State Minnesota. This was a game that I was staring at. We saw a little bit of market movement on Wednesday morning. The twelves were getting scooped up. Eleven and a half still readily available. You know, this is a game that I initially looked at and I've waivered maybe you can get me over the top one side or the other. Because I looked at Minnesota. They've they've fared well in this dog role. I had them against USC earlier in the year at home. I think they were catching four or five if I remember correctly won the game outright in that kind of wacky finish state, you know, kind of like your Hoosiers getting some flack a little bit. Who have you beaten? You know, James Franklin has normally done well in this big favorite role. But I lean a little bit gophers here. I'm curious your angle on this one.

Yeah, Look, I've been Minnesota is a team I've gotten right for the most part this season, kind of knowing when to when to buy this team and when to sell this team. It was a really good sell spot a couple of weeks ago at Rutgers where they lost because they had won a couple in a row. I think they'd won like three in a row, so you know, all of a sudden they go to Rutgers and Rutgers had been struggling, and Rutgers did get them after that poor game winning streak that started with the USC Where the bysign kind of for Minnesota was when they came back against Michigan on the road when they were big underdogs and they actually had a chance.

If they would have ruled.

That onside kick properly, they they might have beaten Michigan late. But you just look at how many points you're getting here. And I know James Franklin can play the bully against lesser competition. This is a Minnesota defense that is I think a top twenty unit in the nation. Points per game, yards per game, points per play, fourth down conversions, a lot of the different metrics. They are top twenty in the country. Now the offense, yeah, that doesn't really necessarily did do much for you. Even though that passing game Brosmer has gotten better. I think throughout the season, come off the buy getting Penn State. I think that this is a little tricky one for Penn State going up there to Minneapolis. Certainly they're motivated, but you're already paying the tax and it's come down a little bit from the twelve and a half. You're seeing elevens and eleven and a half right now. So row the damn boat, Tim, We're going with the goal.

Got you, ma, Yes, got you? There we go. Let's let's make it happ all right, let's go to Arrowhead Stadium. This is a game that I grabbed the three. You know, it's funny, you and I both loved Kansas last week on the road BYU. We felt like, eventually, you know this horseshoe up there, you know what was going to end. And to be honest, Kansas they get the fortunate break, the pooch punt that goes off to BYU players face mask, they recover it, they get the touchdown, they get to stop inside the ten yard line. I know many of us were thinking, especially those who didn't get the three and a half early in the week. Oh my god, they're gonna do it again. They're gonna score this touchdown and BYU is going to win. Didn't happen, Kansas gets to win. I was a little disappointed in the offense after that opening drive. But this is a tricky spot for Colorado, right Travis Hunter now massive favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, as he should be. Colorado very much in the discussion to make the playoff. They're the favorites to win the Big twelve. This isn't in Lawrence, it's at Arrowhead. But if you can get three, I'm certainly intrigued. I took some three earlier this week. What do you make of Colorado Kansas?

Yeah, I've got Kansas plus three as well.

I'm going back to the well I've been on in the last two week, so right right until you get thrown off. And that's what I'm gonna do here with with Ku. And look, the defense for Kansas, like they were on the field, maybe a little bit too much, but they got stops and that's really been a little bit of of the of the weakness of this team. They started to get they started to get stops. It's starting to get a little bit better, and there's some fortune finally going their way. You know, going into last week they were zero and five and one score games, and they finally got one, and BYU finally had one that goes against them. Colorado did get the cover. It was a little bit more cosmetic though.

At the end.

Utah cut it to a two score game and Colorado got too late touchdowns in the final five minutes. Utah, who hasn't been able to move the ball at all. You know, they were able to move the ball through the air. They weren't able to run on Colorado. But you know, the Buffs weren't really that sharp either. Last week they had to get four turnovers and they gave it away three times. But I still worry little bit about Colorado because as much as they've been proved, and I think they've been proved defensively, and obviously Shador Sanders has been in great form pretty much all year, they still can't run the ball to him. There's one hundred and thirty second in running in rushing yards per game one hundred and thirty first, in yards per rush one hundred and twenty fourth, and in rush attempts per game they can't run the ball at all, So this is gonna have to be the Shadoor show. And as good as he's been, he can turn it over and throw a couple up for grabs every once in a while, even though his decision making I think it's pretty good by the most part.

But yeah, I'm gonna go with Kansas here.

I think that this is going to be and you see it more and I think pro than you do in college.

This is gonna be.

That proverbial pros versus Joe's I think because now you're starting to see Colorado two and a half. It's like, oh my god, coach Prime two and a half against a four and six Kansas team and what's essentially a neutral site game, Like, sign me up, Not so fast, I'm going with the Jayhawks here.

Yeah. Colorado, by the way, eight and two against has spread this year, one of the best cover teams in college football. There's a couple of Big twelve teams up there. Your Hoosiers not in the Big twelve. Arizona State also eight and two against the spread this year, and Baylor, believe it or not, seven to three against the spread on the season. Let's go to a game in that noon window that humans and I always joke we hate having bets in that noon eastern nine am our time window because it just kind of ruins the day if you don't yeah out home.

Because I've been there sometimes when you start bad, it's like, oh my god, now you got to play catch up.

Now I'm not gonna win any games today, but let's go to the good old I have to double check. I think this is Is this the CW game of the day. I want to double check, yes it is.

It might be.

Yeah, Tom Brenneman going up to Chestnut Hill. So Boston College catching three at home against UNC.

But this time around Tom Brenneman will not have Castellanos because Thomas Castellanos goes in the transfer portal after he got benched against Syracuse. I thought the kid Grayson James, you know, he was up and down as you would expect in a road start. But I thought he was okay last week and BC was right there with SMU and ended up playing out and finishing as a ten point game. But BC had the lead in the second half and they were only down three with six minutes to go. SMU, by the way, got a touchdown late with thirteen seconds left to go to improve that victory margin. But this was a dead even game between between BC and SMU and and that's a tough spot for BC. That went up to what nineteen last week, and I wish I would have grabbed it, and I didn't. But I think Boston College I like them at home here because they're five and five trying to get Bowl eligible, and these are there are different situations throughout the board, and you have to obviously take each game as his own unique organism, if you will. But when you get a team that just wins that six game, which North Carolina, which North Carolina did last week against Forest, there's a sense of accomplishment and there's maybe a little bit of a sense of relief. Okay, we got Bowl eligible, so so we at least accomplished something when you know that you're not gonna be in the race for a conference championship or a playoff spot or anything like that. So I think the sense urgency here is on the BC side. With Bill O'Brien, they can really run the ball, and that's what they did again against Syracuse a couple of weeks ago. That was a pretty impressive win, I thought from BC. So you know, laying three on the road Carolina, you just you worry about that defense.

Tim.

It's been the same old song and dance, I think really since Mac Brown has been back. Potent offense, even though it's a little bit less so this year with essentially now your third quarterback, but this Carolina defense on the road, I don't know if I really want to want to lay these guys even though their numbers are not the pits like they've been the last couple of years, but there's still there's still bottom half of the country in pretty much almost all the metrics, especially giving up points in the red zone. So give me the BC Eagles. Bill O'Brien gets a Chestnut hill going bowling here.

Yeah, Boston College was a best bet for me two weeks ago, and they beat Syracuse. And let's get to Syracuse because I think this is a quite the spot. So last week we saw Liberty go on the road to UMass and need overtime to win over the minute men, and I bring that game up because this is quite the spot for Syracuse. They went on the road double digit dog beat Cal last week. Fran Brown, you know kudos to him. He's done a phenomenal job. They won on the road at UNLV. They beat Georgia Tech. When they were ranked earlier this year, I had them in that spot. But this is a weird spot because next week Syracuse has an opportunity to upset the Apple card at home, they play Miami, and you know that's probably going to be a spot where you and me Wes will be looking at the home dog in Syracuse. But this week they're lay in ten and a half. I was actually able to get an eleven and a half on Sunday at Fan Duel, but I think ten and a half's fine against Yukon. Yukon's good. Jim Moro Juniors had a really good year. Their Bowl eligible. They've been competitive in a bunch of games so far this year. They covered on the road at Duke early on in the season. And I'm just curious about Syracuse. Here you have the cross country travel, You've got Miami next week, and now you have this bizarre non conference game, and I know Yukon's gonna be ready to go right. This is an opportunity for them to make a big statement. It's on national television, so I took the points with Yukon here. I think it's a great situational spot for Yukon. I don't know what they're doing at quarterback, whether it's Evers or Finano, or if they're gonna play both of them, but I think Mora has done an incredible job in his three years there. So give me the points with Yukon. Another noon Eastern game in the ACC.

Well, let's go too for one special here because we were going to pick our outright double digit underdog.

This is gonna be mine, Tim, and I hadn't met it yet.

I'm probably going to at ten and a half, a little bit of the worst number on the opener, but.

Yeah, I think the Huskies here.

And for what you mentioned Syracuse going as a double digit road underdog at Cal and I know that played out to a one score game, but that was a dominant Syracuse performance. If you watch the game, Cal made that really cosmetic. Syracuse was up three touchdowns at the half, ends up winning thirty three to twenty five. Really outplayed him. And now they come home and they're a double digit favorite against a Yukon team. To be fair, that every time they've stepped up against the Power four. They've come up short. They got blown out at Maryland, lost a close one at Duke, lost a close one at home to Wake for US. So their wins Merrimac, FAU, Buffalo Temple, Rice, Georgia State, UAB not a lot to write home about. But it's seven wins and Yukon is going bowling. But I think Jim Mora junior and his club they might treat this a little bit as their bowl game because you look at Yukon in terms of their schedule wins, it's not quite as easy as the Yukon basketball team so far this year, where they haven't played anytill.

Is West Texas A and M. I've never heard of that school.

They used to be Texas A and M. Commerce. Juton actually didn't cover against last night, and Danny Hurley, I don't think was very happy about it because he knows those numbers.

He'd like to cover against these teams.

But AnyWho, and that's what makes him the coach of the is two time defending national champion. But anyway, back to the grid iron, look, I think Yukon they're gonna take this seriously because probably some of these kids were recruited by Syracuse. Maybe they were like backup plans, you know, you know what I mean, Like, if we don't get this guy, then we're interested in this guy. So I think Yukon a lot of these players might take this pretty personally. It is an old school Big East rivalry, even though we don't have the Big East in football anymore and only one of them are in the Big Eastern Basketball. But I think Yukon is going to go up there and really want this one because they close at Syracuse and then they close at Uma, so those are kind of their two rivalries. So they're going to treat this almost like as a second bowl game here, and I like the Huskies.

I think they could get it out right at the Carrier Dome.

Well, let's remind you of October nineteenth, Yukon loses to Wake Forest, a game that I'll be honest, I was not intutely watching, but Jim Mora after the game said quote, we've got to make sure that we put ourselves in a position where it doesn't come down to one play where an ACC team makes a horse bleep call against an Independent, and that's on us to play better at the start of the game. So it doesn't count come down to that call, which was holding yes, So he will be reminding his team of that Yukon coming off the buye too, So I agree it may be worth a little bit of a moneyline flyer there fortunes.

And now I will say one more thing on Syracuse very one dimensional offensively. Now they've got one dimension where they're pretty damn good, which is throw in the football. They com McCord thows it the most per game of anybody, and the passing yards are obviously high.

They can't run the ball at all.

Tim they're I think one hundred and thirty second in rush play percentage, and that's because they can't run the ball. And I think making that one dimension, Yukon's not a bad little defense here. I think they're only giving up twenty one point in a game. I know the schedule has been weak, but they're good on third down, they're good in terms of the yards per play. So Yukon's definitely going to hang in here. And if there's that one play at the end, we know Kyle McCord, as good as he's been, he can throw it to the other team on a fair amount of occasions. So I think that that's what happens here, is that Yukon gets some turnovers and they're going to be live to win it at the end.

All right, we are in agreement on that one. We're taking the Huskies there in a a seed. This game should be played on Monday night at nine pm, you know, old school big Monday style.

But it would have been better than last Monday Night's game.

Is that is the truth? One final game I wanted to hit on because Mike Elko hilariously made a slip up this week when asked about if his team would be looking ahead to next week when they play Texas, and he said the right things. You know, we're focused. I know the outside noise might be thinking about how we're looking ahead, but we're focused on Texas, I mean Auburn. So that was a nice little slip up there. Look, I love me some stinky lines. This line is maybe the stinkiest of the week. The fact that Texas A and M only laying two and a half. I think, you wait, I think if you do like war Eagle, I think there will be a three that shows up. DraftKings had a three on Tuesday, you'll probably get a three. I would guess, but I'm curious your thoughts on this one before we get out of here, because at three, I'm gonna hold my nose and take Auburn in a night game against Texas A and M in a massive look ahead spot for the Aggies.

Yeah.

Look, this isn't like the South Carolina spot a few weeks ago, I think, where we jumped right in on the home dog with the game Cocks and then they really put them away and dominated the entire second half. Auburn, I'm not quite there yet. If I play this, I'll end up on more eagle. But yeah, I want to wait a little bit because I think you may get it. Auburn took out their frustrations I think of the season on you all Monroe and improved you on Monroe team, by the way, and you know, took out their frustrations and looked pretty good against subpark competition. But there's been a lot of times with Auburn this year, like Vanderbilt, I thought that was a home run spot and they only scored seven points. They blow it late against Oklahoma. They've had so many opportunities this year, and I thought they were going to be improved, and they really haven't improved that much in Hugh Freeze's second year. Of course, they have Alabama the next week. I don't think that's as much of a look ahead as it might be on the Texas A and M side because Texas and Texas A and M didn't play for a few years because of the conference realignment. So now it feels like that rivalry is back as a conference rivalry, old school Southwest Conference, old school Big twelve. I don't think Auburn's necessarily looking ahead to the Iron Bowl here. I think you're four and six. You've got to pull this and you know, at least have some Bowl eligibility on the line when you go to Tuscaloosa the following week. So Lean Auburn just haven't gotten there on the number yet.

He is Wes Reynolds. Follow him on Twitter at Wes Reynolds One, of course, catch him every Wednesday here on this podcast, a number of other spots throughout the week, and then Live Bet Saturday, Live Betsunday and on Vson dot com. Wes always appreciated, Best of luck to your Hoosiers on Saturday.

Go big Red. Yes, Indiana.

It's nice to be relevant, but you know, Hopefully we keep that relevance in the bucket week next week.

Please rate, review, and subscribe. This is the v SIN College Football Betting Podcast. Back with Matt Humans tomorrow

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