In this hour of Ready, Set, Bet, hosts Matt Brown and Jonathan Von Tobel look ahead to next week's opening lines in the NFL.
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This is ready set bet with Matt Brown and Mike Summitch on fe send the sports Betty Network.
I'm a number three Ready set bet here on Vson, Matt Brown, Jonathan von Tobel on the desk would be the last two days. Appreciate his time. Fun first half, I mean after the first quarter. Did not think at all we would be saying fun first half. But fun first half here Cowboys and Bucks twenty three to fourteen is our halftime score. Thirty seven of the anywhere between forty six and a half to forty seven and a half points that you need for and over out there. Baker Mayfield fourteen of nineteen one forty two and a touchdown. Cooper Rush eighteen to twenty four two twenty six in a touchdown.
Wow, weill the need nine more yards to get this thing over his You think he'll get nine yard passe yards here in the sign. I think you will. Hopefully, I think you will. This has been a surprising performance. I mean, it's kind of everything we hit on in the pregame, right You're you're getting this Buccaneers defense to be exposed for the poor unit it is. You're watching the Buccaneers have success on the ground. By the way, very big performance there from a offensive standpoint. To keep you on scripting if your Tampa Bay not great that you gave up the field goal right before the half, but still a manageable deficit where you can still come out on your first drive and work Buckeye ever and.
You do all that much better. I mean, look, we were looking.
At how crazy is that we were staring at a twenty to seven deficit in the face for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and instead it's twenty three to fourteen.
Amazing studs being studs as well. Mike Evans four for fifty nine in the first half, Ceede lamps for one hundred yep in the first half.
That's it. Hopefully they he's got to get it.
Man, Come on, now, yeah, he's gonna get there.
But do you go would you go adjusted like that?
Because that's the other thing is we have all these other things you also have in some of these spots, some of these adjusted props. This game doesn't look like it's going anything like different anytime soon. So for example, you know, Bucky Evering's got forty seven yards, you'd assume you can run this ball. He's averaging a good clip. You can find some like eighty plus yards minus one oh five ninety plus yards plus one seventy one hundred plus yards for Bucky Irvin plus two ninety if.
You wanted to go in that route and just for one hundred yard game.
So he really only has to double his output that he did in the first I mean equal his output in the first half, which, as we said, because that touchdown is so important, you're only yes, I know it's more than a score, but I mean you're you're not you're not out of game script, you know, not a territory yet.
You can still go out there and work Bucky Irvin if you wanted to.
That would I would certainly lean especially considering these how efficient he was moving the ball on the ground. So long as they don't get wacky and start giving Rashad White carries or something like unlock at you cowards, oh boy.
Shockingly enough, every other option is opened, but the one hundred plus is locked.
Shock they're listening to us as why. It's like, yeah, we hear you, guys, you know you hear we know what you want to bet and try.
To I want to see some of these others.
Let's see one twenty five plus for CD LAMB minus two fifty or minus two hundred.
That makes sense, Yes, this one's interesting.
One hundred and fifty plus receiving yards for CD LAMB, So fifty yards in the second half.
Plus two twenty plus two twenty plus two twenty. I would bet that for sure he's gonna get fifty yards in the second half. They're not going to they're not going to abandon what's been working for them.
All right, we're in.
We said this already. This This was this was part of the pregame handicap, which was weirdly enough, maybe lame duck coach, maybe not obviously season, you know, writing was on the wall that the season was gone as it was officially gone as of earlier today. But this Dallas seems that has showed up. I mean, they've tried to play everywhere.
And by the way, you have a thing that I think really does stick out. The Cowboys are averaging two point three yards per carry.
In this game.
The Bucks know it's coming and they cannot stop it. This is a true weakness that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have and I don't think this is going to end anytime soon. So all right, we're one hundred and fifty plus receiving CD LAMB two plus two twenty.
If you guys are out and about and listening to us on the radio. But when you get out, if you want to, if you get out of your car and you want to hang out with us a little bit further, as we sweat the last we got about an hour left here of the show. You can do that on the vson Watch app. Because the audio version of this show is absolutely free on that app, So go download it at your app store of choice, and with that you can get the audio feed, and if you want the video feed, you can come a vsent Pro subscriber. We're allowing you to do that everything we do now until May the first for just seventy nine dollars Visa dot com slash subscribe there, but that app absolutely for if you'll listen to the audio and if you become a vcent pro subscriber, all the replays, all the cutdowns, all the highlights, all that included as well over in the vson watch so fun first half that we thought was going to be garbage, So good on, good on that, and been starting to run through some of these lines for next week. We talked about the Christmas Day games, We talked about the Thursday game. I think I talked myself into a Baltimore and a Seattle bet. I can't believe that I am, but at least Seattle first quarter, Seattle first half. This Chicago team has played the role of a team that can't do anything in the first half way too well for me to pass up on it. So I think that's where I'm going to get there. And then we do have three Saturday games as well, and let's kick things off here Chargers in New England. This is anywhere four and a half to five and a half in favor of the Chargers on the road at the Patriots This is forty two and a half to forty three and a half as far as the total, and this one I keep saying it every week. I don't know. Maybe the weather's bad in this and certainly the Chargers don't have an explosion of offense or something. But it's just this is one of those just one of those teams JBT that with the with the wing, there's just enough pulse on the offensive side of the ball and the defense is just bad enough to give it up. I don't know. I might have to just keep riding. This is now six weeks in. I mean, I have to make them lose me a bet, right, I mean, I just have to keep riding.
I mean, especially if you've been doing it right. That's the important part.
And I think, to what it's interesting about this game and to your angle here, I mean, we're starting to see the cracks in this Chargers defense. The Ravens went out their average six yards per play against them, Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers lit them up for forty points and absolutely destroyed them on an average depth of target of three yards downfield. The Broncos racked up three hundred and fifty five yards against them too. This is charge of defense and I think we're just starting to learn. I think benefited from taking on some lesser opponents and now you get a a Patriots offense which is just starting to look just more and more competent each week under Drake May. He looks like a pretty solid quarterback and I don't know, man, I mean, might actually be the second best quarterback in this class. We'll see what ends up happening with KAYLEB Williams as we move forward. And the other part we hit on this angle yesterday, but again over the rushing prop for Drake May today had thirty yards on the ground, had to carry of about thirteen that also might be won. This pretty interesting to look at from a longest rush perspective for Drake May because those are actually somewhat low and you're not really getting those, you know, big numbers. So you can still get over those longest rush props for him because he's able to get out pockets.
Sneaky athletic.
I'm I'm with you terms of total I'm kind of interested in the Patriots catching four and a half.
Flat forty two out here behind us. I just bet the over, So yeah, so over on forty two in this one, I'm just gonna continue again until they prove to me that they can't move the ball on offense. And it's just such a really good and you brought up Drake May in his propensity to run. We saw it again today. The guy can extend plays, the guy can go get some pick up some first downs. And with this Chargers even they haven't played this last six weeks, so I'm with you. I like the over forty two here and this one definite lean as well. Could this get to six? I think it's a six. I will play New England, yeah, because it's five and a half at multiple four different shah four or five different shops, So this gets a six. I would definitely play New England there on that one. Denver and Cincinnati.
I feel strongly about this and I hate it.
Okay, Denver in Cincinnati, this is three. A flat three is available right there in favor of the Bengals at home over Denver. Forty eight and a half is our total. What is your strong position?
This is probably the I feel so confident about it that I hate it. Yes, I think Cincinnati is going to go there and wax them. I think They're going to come into this game and do what they want. We've seen now for this Denver Broncos defense against some quality opponents. They two have the propensity to bend to really good opponents. Defensively, they're a very solid unit. But I don't think there as good as some of the advanced metrics would indicate it. As we have seen now a couple of times here. We know how good Joe Burrow in this offense is. He is the best quarterback in the NFL. You've got a receiver who can really go after the secondary. They're also starting to get a little bit healthier. The offensive line got a little bit healthier today. You obviously have Higgins that is getting healthier. I think this group is playing really at a very solid clip. The other part two, Look, the thing that worries you is this defense is not good, as we've talked about many times. But I watched bo Nicks throw three interceptions that game against Indianapolis, as I mentioned, and averaged up to targeted just three yards downfield against the Los Angeles Chargers. It's a lot of dink and dunk. I think the Bengals will be able to handle something like that. I really like Cincinnati here in the spot against Denver. I'm curious to see what the market will do with it. But I think that to me Bengals role in this one.
I think I'm gonna lock in the three because I think this gets to three and a half.
I think I'd think so too.
I think this gets to three and a half and whatever, something happens during the week and you know, I can just I'll eat the juice or something whatever. But I'm think I'm a lock in the three for a couple different reasons. Because you look at a Denver defense that, yes, if you the overall stats, it's going to say that they're very, very good against the past, but you are coming in. Cincinnati brings such a different deal to all of this because they have two legitimate number ones, right, so most teams don't have the luxury that Cincinnati has. Oh oh, by the way, the most efficient quarterback in the NFL is year as well, so like you know, you can also throw that in for what Joe Burrow playing at the highest level of any quarterback in the NFL. But you when you have Patrick Sirtan and you can just put him on your dude, then okay, Patrick Cirtan is gonna good luck. By the way, if y'all think that you're gonna shadow Jamar sharf face, I mean, like, so good luck on that. And if you do do that, you still have t Higgins. I mean, like, I don't think that it just I don't think that it functions the same against Cincinnati like it does against ninety five percent of the other teams in the NFL.
YEP, you would agree with all points. I think the total is pretty interesting too. Again, the screams over we're up to forty nine and multiple spots now would open forty seven and a half. Whether, of course you're gonna want to see. It's Cincinnati, so who knows what going to happen there. I think the Broncos can do enough to help get this thing over the total. But I just this Bengals squad, the way Burrow's playing, and the way I've seen this in dever Broncos secondary. Again, like maybe it's unfair, but I'll go back to two weeks ago they were about to get romped by the Colts before Jonathan Taylor drops that ball. I think you've got some real issues in a matchup like this.
If you're Denver, and I just I think that there is just a difference in a difference in level here when it comes to this offense and Cincinnat's putting out there right now, Joe Burrow playing at one of the highest levels we've seen. Again, if this was any other year, the guy would be right in the MVP. Hunt is just not because of the way that this team started. And I think that this changes certainly on Saturday. I like that I'm locking in the three. I think this gets to three and a half.
I just bet it too.
So it's twenty three to fourteen. We have kicked off here in the second half, and as we mentioned first day, Bucky irving right up the middle for seven yards, so we'll see that lot and that continues as well. But the second play Bucky here and he gets it, gets the first that they're gonna get to a hundred on this drive right there. We'll continue look at the next week's lines. When we come back. Eight teams have clinched playoff spots. We're still sweating the rest of these spots out there. Eleven teams alive for six different spots. When we come down to the final two weeks of the season, twenty three fourteen in favor of the cowboys over the bucks. With the Bucks are marching the ball down the field map around Jonathan vond Tobel here on the desk in Las Vegas. Man, you said, I wonder if they're just gonna like run Bucky Irving or what. Well they ran him in throwing the ball to him. He's Bucky Irving all day long.
He's always He's almost got twenty yards just already on this drive. He's had sixty four yards on twelve carries so far. Just so weird how that hundred plus options just the lock.
Cutting there listening to us, and they're like, oh, we're not gonna let them have it. They made some great points.
I didn't think about that.
Oh, Baker almost did it. That was it. That was the Baker. That was the moment. That was the Baker moment.
They're flag on the place. So we'll see what that is. But like, that's man, that's what I needed right there.
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We've left two. We left last segment two Bets and Chargers Patriots over forty two and Cincinnati Bengals at three. A place far away has already moved to three and a half. So I think that we are thinking that maybe this does move to three and a half, and that could be the case. What did we just have happened?
Baker Mayfield fumble.
Dallas looks like they recovered before it went out of bounds, we'll see because it was recovered as it was going out. So this is either going to be Dallas ball at the Tampa Bay forty five or so, or it's gonna be like third and a million, depending on what happened here.
But this looks like a pretty clear fumble from Baker Mayfield.
Baker is Oh, Baker thinks he got in the head Yep, they don't care. They said, Baker, you can you can get hit in the head.
Man, And they're ruling this a Dallas fumble recovery so that it matters about when this was recovered.
Oh oh yeah, I.
Don't think, oh, that's gonna get overturned. Yeah, it's gonna be Tampa Bay's ball.
Looked like he had possession, now, I mean.
His face had possession.
Yes, yeah, he was grinding his face across the ground. Doesn't look like that that's going to hold up. But I mean, they did call it a fumble, so they would have a conclusive evidence to overturn it. So we'll see if that ends up being the case. Arizona on the Road at the Rams. This is again we talk about this the Rams currently because of the way this works guys, you know how this goes. You win their visions. Rams are the three seed currently over in the NFC. They are five and a half point favorites at home over the Cardinals. Forty eight and a half to forty nine is our total. The Cardinals end up losing outright today, eliminate four Circus Survivor entries along the way by doing that, and then the Rams win one of the most boring games you will see. It was unimpressive, but a win is a win is a win. What do we think about them having to win this? The thing about six points.
I don't know because I would say situationally, you point toward LA. Then you get an impressive win on the road and you come back home. You have everything in front of you to win this division, be the three seed in the NFC, as you said.
And for the.
Cardinals, I mean, dude, you fall flat on your face in this game against Carolina. You have now completely hit the skids with this losing streak that you're on. You had the division in front of you, everything was in control, and instead you respond with losing four out of five games. Now it's been pretty bad for Arizona, and I think all but eliminated. I don't think they are officially eliminated yet, but regardless, I guess maybe you're still kind of getting in that win one for the Gippro like, hey, we still got a chance, come on, guys. No exactly, no, sorry, they were officially eliminated with a loss. So yeah, I don't know what you get from Arizona. I don't think maybe it's gonna it's a great situation, but is that enough to just blindly go in and bet the Cardinals?
I would say no.
You see, I'm kind of with you though, and I don't like to do the whole assuming a teaming is going to show up. So Connor goes down in this game. Connor, weirdly enough, actually affects this offense right, Like, I mean, it was much better when he was in there. He was running just all he was running wild on Carolina A and then he goes out and they don't do anything on the ground after that. He's not gonna play. There's no point in playing him now, So he's not going to play the rest of the year. They just they just given him some money as well, So I mean, if he has a knee deal, he's not going to play rams with everything to play for. I know the home field doesn't matter here for them at all. Does it seem appropriate? I guess this seems appropriate.
I think it seems appropriate.
Like and you know, five and a half not the most key number of the world, so we'll see what the market wants to do with it. I would just think that you're probably out on Arizona because of the situation, but I wouldn't be surprised. As we talked about LA, like this is the game that I have no feel for that I'm not really gonna bet because it's not gonna be surprising either of all of a sudden you get like good Kyler Murray, and all of a sudden you're picking a part of secondary that we I think know is pretty below average at this point.
As we suspected it was overturned, and so it will be third and forty. Well, you got a couple plays in the playbook for that.
Okay, Yeah, But here's the thing, can I say something really quickly? So on third and Mayfield's dropping back and trying to get this thing here right, and it's gonna fall in complete in the game earlier today, on a third and eighteen the Raiders just ran it up the middle and punted. Go for these like a good try on a third and forty. The Bucks actually ran a play to try to do something there. Try it tries me nuts on these third and lungs. But the teams were just like that, will hand it off and we'll punt them. We'll can't We'll do what. No, try go for it. It was gonna take a shot too.
It.
Also it also goes to how the coaching staff doesn't get the current game of football too, because you know what, a defensive holding is an automatic first down, A pass interference is an automatic first down, like illegal you so the hands is an automatic first down. So all of these things that can really call those you know, anything that can happen on a play that gets you a first down outside of making the requisite yardage is a thing that is the full reason to try and run an actual play.
I do it completely agree with all the points. What's the longest ever converted?
Like that was a third? And what's the longest down ever converted?
That's a history that is that's a you know what, we'll look that up on the on the break, Besse. Actually, I do want to know that. That's actually a really good that's a good saying. Can you can you ask ai Hey, I'll tell us. Yeah, yeah, some artificial intelligence will tell us what the what the longest conversion is ever? Because I you don't see you don't see third and forties very often, so I don't know.
If they get third and thirty seven.
Oh so we actually could have seen history.
Yes, Minnesota Vikings against the Denver Broncos Halloween nineteen ninety nine. Uh leroy Ford got a fifty three yard play on third and thirty seven.
We could have witnessed history. And Baker wanted to give it to us too, because he was loading up. Yeah he was, he was loading up. Dallas got pressure on him. We end up not getting to see history. We wanted to see either history, one way or another. We want to see the longest fuel little ever. We could have got the longest third down conversion ever. We could had all the kinds of stuff going on. All right, let's move on giving up the third. It's amazing Indianapolis Colts on the road at the New York Football Giants. This is seven and a half eight in favor of the Colts here and a total of forty forty and a half. At some spots we already said the Giants have already lost this game. Yeah, you are the number one pick, You've already lost this game. It just basically means, do you lose it by eight points.
Brian Davile lost that game against Atlanta today and was all smiles watching in the middle of the kids. He's like, yep, come on, I'm gonna get your dorse Sanders. This is gonna be great. Sorry, cam Woard, Yeah, I'm gonna get cam Ward.
This is gonna be awesome.
I think for sure Colts become a sneaky option for Survivor. Obviously, is eight point favorites against a team that wants to lose? Now, laying the number is the real question. But as you saw today, I mean, they are capable of beating up on teams, and I keep going back, toy, We're on the verge of going up nineteen seven against the Broncos before you drop that pass.
Who knows what happens there.
But America's teaser like right, yeah, oh yeah, yeah, It's like America's teaser has to.
Be I mean, to be honest, we saw this in the what game was it the Cleveland game. I'm surprised they don't just put it at nine. Yeah, to protect yourself against some of these teasers, because this has to be an every single teaser.
Absolutely, this is like America's teaser. Like here the Giants. I get it. I know the Raiders won today, but the Raiders were also against such an incredibly inferior opponent that like they just you know, trip their way to winning. I will say this with all confidence. The Giants are not going to win this game. But they are not going to win this game.
Now.
Does that mean that the Colts win it by eight? Maybe not. But I can tell you right now, we can take we can do the alt line parlay. Two guys. We don't even have to take the full six points. It's at seven and a half right now. You can only take you can take five points and move this thing under a field goal.
How would a Steelers Colts teaser? Yeah?
Yeah, see, like this is these are things we can start to do here, the alt line parlays or stuff.
That the Raiders up next week too. Yeah yeah. Oh in a game with forty yeah so good.
A lot of good options out there, and certainly, like I said, I mean this is this is one two at seven and a half. You don't have to take the full six if you don't want to pay the teaser prices. Move at five points, get it under the field goal. The Colts are going to win this game by field goal. The Giants have every reason in the world to lose this game, and they're going to lose this game. I'm one hundred percent positive.
Let me double check here, because we are officially over for his passing yard props for Cooper Rush the first he drops back, the second they get the ball, and it was a twenty six yard completion to Flourid immediately.
So yeah, I mean we are looking to sixty two for Cooper Rush, and so he's going to get three hundred. Yep, he might get three thirty up in this.
Puppy, fine CD or let's take a second. No, oh, the athlete at Cooper Rush. Look at this guy. Look at this guy.
Hey, he avoided the sac right, Let's look at the positive they're flag he avoided the sacks. Right, That's what we're going to say. What do we think of Atlanta? Washington? What about Vegas and New Orleans? Talk those games when we come back. Brandon Aubrey walks up to yet another fifty plus yard field goal, almost breaks the net behind him because he just kicked it so far. I mean, it's just it's effortless. Like we were joking, and I would say that it's not even a real joke, like he's gonna end up being the highest paid kicker and probably like relatively soon, because this is he is an actual real weapon as a kicker.
Yes, absolutely, I'm sorry.
I was looking at Sterling Shepherds got to end around for fourteen yards and immediately grabbed his hamstring and went limp it off. So we will see if that is going to be something that causes him to miss time.
Might be good for like mc millan live props or something or whatever, you know, like one less option for Baker to throw.
To unless it was one of those like you know sometimes they'll do like the fake hammy and then like you know, start popping it or something like.
That and that, Oh boy, this is it, this is it.
I feel it, this is it. Here's your pick, this is it? Oh it just throwing the whole world. Yeah, just over through the whole world right there. Twenty six fourteen, Dallas over Tampa Bay five forty seven left in the third quarter. Again, Aubrey's is that three fifty plus yard field goals he's made?
Yeah?
One, Yeah, three fifty plus yard field goals for Aubrey.
I don't know which fantasy performance is better, Aubrey or Jonathan Taylor.
Yeah. And also we're sitting here just again, Cooper Rush has just lit this secondary on fire for the Bucks. It is he's twenty of twenty seven two hundred and sixty two yards touchdown here. And it's worth mentioning. So should the Bucks not win this game, then the Falcons. This is like these these last two games. It is, it is all systems go here for this. And also we should mention there's one poor soul that's that's on this Bucks.
Team survivor well, and then in that poor soul saying they'd rather trust Baker Mayfield than Michael Pennox at this point right now, not really looking great. And like you said, so your losses if you're the Buccaneers, you got six of them, but two or to the Falcons. So you lose this game and you move into a tie, and all of a sudden you are on life support.
When it comes to the rest of the season and winning this division.
And those who may be believed in the Falcons, all of a sudden right you kind of sit up at the Commanders is a losable game, so we'll see how they show up there.
But then you home versus the Panthers.
Falcons can lose the next two games, So those are two games that you could drop, but either way, you're the driver's seat.
That's all you can ask for if they lose.
So let's let's go ahead and hit that game. Then Atlanta on the road at Washington, the Commanders are four and a half to five point favorites here over the Falcons. Forty six and a half to forty seven is our total. So we didn't hit on this one, which I'm glad we didn't because some of the stuff coming out of this game. If you watched this game, I'm taking nothing away from the performance. That the Commanders did come back score twenty two points in the fourth quarter. I'm not going to like take any of that away from them. I will also say that DeVonta Smith dropped a pass that would have sealed the game, and they have lost this game. I will also say that the Eagles were well on the way to stomping the Commanders, and then Jalen Hurts got concussed and then this game kind of turned a little bit canny. Pickett came in. Yeah, he made one good throw. He also had a horrible interception in this game. There was a lot of factors here, and even still with it not being a Jalen Hurts game, it was almost a loss here for this Commander team. Again, I'm not taking anything away from this team. They figured out a way to win the game, and Jayden Daniels probably won the won the Offensive Ark of the Year in this game as well with the last second heroics that he had. But there are this this team, I mean's ten and five, but there are there are holes in this team.
I sure completely agree.
The question is just does the rookie quarterback making his first start on the road, is that the team that you want to use in your weapon to try to go against them? And that's where I kind of draw my where I'm a little hesitant. I also think the market does really kind of like this Washington team, and I do wonder if, like, if you're talking about just grabbing the best of the number, do you just lay this four and a half because it probably gets up to like five, five and a half whatever by the time we get to game time. Don't think it would get to six. But we've seen crazier things happen. But I would agree with all points. The question is just I just don't have the utmost confidence in a Falcons team that is below average on defense, starting a rookie in his first road game.
Yeah, that's the I will say they did add at least a little bit to that offense. They did add a little bit to that offense. Today, I think that there's a much better chance of the Falcons going on the road and getting something done here. But uh, a little bit of Unknow. I'm gonna have to dig into this one a little bit further. I'm gonna kind of see the way that Atlanta called the offense. Dad. I didn't have a chance to kind of dig into what the play splits were, how much they really changed things up comparatively to when Kirk Cousins was under center. And maybe it'll lead me to a bet. We we shall see Las Vegas on the road at New Orleans. So you're gonna have to watch this game. Someone's gonna have to watch this game.
Like someone's gonna pay money to watch.
Yeah, So Las Vegas on the road at New Orleans.
This is it. This is it. This is the Bay feel this, this is it. Under pressure rolling out.
To this.
Really was so two and a half in favor of the Saints. I mean it is at home. It is a super and home. I get. You know, there's that.
We haven't seen them yet.
I mean, okay, I'll say this really quickly, and this is total non analytics. Whatever reports after the Raiders game was that they were dancing, singing, jovial, and there's there's kind of like this noise out of out of Las Vegas, which is more like this f you who think we should lose out and they're almost joined to try to I think win in spite of everything of this narrative around them that they should lose. I think the Raiders are going to be highly motivated to win this game. Whatever that means for you as a handicapper, you know, you know, internalize that and use it how you wish. But I think that of the two teams, one team understands big picture. We don't have anything on this roster. We have an aging quarterback and Derek Carr. That's not really going to get us anywhere. We are beat up, have injuries. We will to lose these games. For the sake of the entirety of this franchise. One team wants to stick it to everybody and win as many games as possible, and that's the Raiders.
I want to flashback, and I don't know if you did it on your shows. I know that a lot of people did. Let's flash back to week three and talk about what people are saying about the Saints.
Thank you, thank you. Yep.
So I was so low in the Saints coming in the season. I have all the unders, all the everything, and then through two weeks everyone's like, this is the greatest thing we've ever seen in the history of the NFL. How wrong were we? And I was like, it's been two weeks.
They played the Cowboys in the Panther.
It's been two weeks. Yep, what are we doing?
So it's funny you say that because I was doing local radio out here and the host of the time we were got into an argument about it because he's like, no, you don't understand. This is the greatest VOA mark the two games ever. Every single team that has had this market made. I'm like, it's two games, It's two games against two bad teams.
What are we doing here?
Crowning this team is like they're going to the playoffs's best head and look, injuries were part of it. Yeah, I'm going to I'm willing to stand on this hill that they weren't going to be this dominant one seed in the NFC. We know what they are, and I'm with you. I was really shocked and was kind of waiting for this to happen, and.
Here we are.
So if this gets to three, I'm gonna play the Raiders. And I can't believe I'm saying this, but here's the thing. So you look at it, You look at Adan O'Connell today, and I know what you're gonna say, Yeah, three for two fifty seven, but it's the Jacks. Well, the Saints aren't any better, and that's the Saints aren't any better.
Yeah, so latimre just play there either, Right, he's gone.
So it's like aid and O'Connell's gonna step in and basically play the same level of competition that he got today where he went for two fifty seven.
And so Rock Bower's gonna eat again.
Yeah, I mean, this is gonna it's gonna be an absolute feast, And so I don't. I don't see where we're just gonna definitely think that because the Raiders are on the road, that this is going to magically make the Saints play better.
I don't.
I don't buy that. Give me three, and that's going into the account. I can tell you that.
Yeah, I completely agree with you. Now here's a question, does well what happens tomorrow, not from an injury, just from a result standpoint, like if the Raiders the Raiders, If the Saints go out there and just get smoked and don't stay inside of fourteen, probably not ever gonna get to that three point marw But if they actually are competitive, maybe get close to covering or even potential cover, then I think you probably get your three.
I think what depends, right.
He's pretty fair, like what happens tomorrow is obviously gonna affect what happens with that line by the time we get.
So I look at it like this. So the reason I don't, and I probably should care more than I do. But if this two and a half turns into one, if I lose a point and a half, and it's still under our field. I mean, like, you know whatever. But you said, but the best case scenario is I get the three. Yes, so like the best case scenarios, I get the three. So I'll I'll take the worst of it if you will, you know, if it comes down to it, I'm just not gonna pull the trigger on that. Tennessee and Jacksonville. Yeah, that's a game that's happening next week as well. Tennessee and Jacksonville. We have Jacksonville's favored by a point over Tennessee thirty nine and a half total.
It's a football game.
It is a game that will be played. It is a game that's gonna happen.
Like you said, you don't have to have an opinion on everything, Yeah, you don't have an edge all the time on everything.
I will not dedicate the second of my life to this game.
This is is, this is one of the like.
Titans are gonna get bet though, right, Like, oh they will.
I joke. I joke about it everywhere. It's like there's one game where I just automatically want to just take it, put it in a rocket and fire into the sun. And like Tennessee and Jacksonville, the most meaningless game ever that has a thirty nine and a half total.
Yeah, and look again, I mean it's not very a courtesy of money. Look ahead, Jacksonville min just one and a half. It's now pick Yeah, more market again.
Moving in the.
Direction of the Titans, I just watched this really good performance from Tennessee. Yet there they're gonna be right, let's upgrade this team like Jacksonville.
Yeah, say what you want. They lost the game.
They lost the game to a similar rated opponent, and they had the ball on final drive to potentially go down and wins.
Got smoked by the Raiders. Yeah, it's just it's I'm gonna convince myself to bet Jacksonville.
Here, and we have a holiday special. If you haven't done so already, head on over to vson dot com. Slash subscribe everything we do now until May the first for just seventy nine dollars. So that includes not only the betting splits page, not only picks page, all the daily articles that we do, and all the betting guides that are gonna come out between now and then as well, So please take advantage. It's only seventy nine bucks. Buy the cheap coffee for like two weeks instead of the Starbucks coffee and then you got it paid for and everything you do between now and May the first is yours at Vson dot com slash subscribe. When we come back, maybe some games we actually care about. Jets and Buffalo, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Minnesota, all kinds of fun stuff, including our best bets final segment Here ready set bet On Vson, Matt Brown, Jonathan Bond, Tobel. We're trying to figure out how this game is gonna end. How's this game gonna go?
Yeah, I think what's gonna happen here is Dallas is Dallas is averaging a wholltree. Wow, I give them too much credit. Two yards per carry. They're going to try to go and to run the ball mode and milk the clock. I don't know if that's gonna work for you. Rico Daddle has eleven yards on nine carry.
We can you know what I say this, We joke about this. All I could do this. I could. I could go one yard to carry. Yes, I could do one yard of carry. Yes, I understand how I get crushed after the first carry, and then I wouldn't be able to I'd probably be if I make it nine carries, I could do one yard of carey. Yes, I think that's possible. I think we could possibly so.
But now you're going to go to that, which is so it's bad for I think a couple of reasons, the first of which is ceedee Lamb is probably not going to get to one hundred and fifty yards. I'm gonna need like one big bomb essentially on a play. Maybe I can still get that, but don't think you're gonna get there. And for the Buccaneers, I think it's bad if you're Dallas because we're, like if you're me, right at half plus four and a half, feeling pretty comfortable that this is going to be the side that ends up hitting. But from a straight up wins standpoint, look, they can't run the ball at all. And if they're just gonna go like in the patented run run pass formation, now, then that allows Tampa Bay to kind of tee off a bit and know what's coming and maybe get back into this thing. If you're going to get a stop because they cannot run the ball at all.
I think that this is unfortunately I expected just to I guess a little bit of something out of Tampa, you know here in the second half, and we just haven't seen much of it, yep. So it's just didn't go quite like we have one hundred ninety six pass yards here for Baker Mayfield in a trailer, do we get.
No, But you know, it's funny all of a sudden, Floor Noy's like just the guy here in the second half as I watched, because Ceedee Lamb's not even on the field, So I don't know if ce Lamb's hurt.
He's not out there. Okay, so that's what's going on, Yes.
Because Florino all of a sudden is just being is the number one target. Ceedee Lamb has been on the sideline, so maybe this is precautionary. You're up nine points. No need to give him any more damage. He's already been hurt. But the thing that I'm kind of kicking myself, instead of the Ceede Lamb thing, we should have just gone old past yard for Cooper Rush.
Yeah, it's unfortunate because Cee Lamb did come back out, you know, and so we thought, okay, maybe it was just like a stinger or something like that. This must be something that is like because he hadn't gotten even a target. Yes, so yeah, it just it seems to me that maybe this was.
Because he also got his hell of it.
So it's not like one of those things where he seems to be clearly injured. This seems to be purely precautionary.
It showed the doubtllstat Now it's ten carries for twelve.
And he ran for a million yards last week.
Ten carries for twelve, that is that is amazing. All right, we'll keep you updated here on this. I do want to get through some of these other games to get jvt's opinion. Here, Carolina on the road at Tampa Bay. Let's just assume it's this version of Tampa Bay that we see tonight. The line currently seven and a half in favor of Tampa Bay.
I'm back on the I'm back on the Panthers train in the role of the underdog, and they are obviously much better. But it's again, this is a leaky secondary that Bryce Young is going to be able to face. And Bryce Young has now I think to this point that he can give you a very solid baseline of competency when facing some lesser secondary.
So if we were sitting here and we were kind of just putting quarterbacks in a tier. Hey, Bryce Young is probably going to be in the same, if not a tier above what we have right now with Cooper Rush. So if Cooper Rush is able to do this against this team, I have no And if anything, maybe he gets leget back next week as well, which could only help out from a passing standpoint. I have no reason to think that Bryce Young wouldn't be able to have some success against the.
Second yep, absolutely the other side of a touchdown. And he's also just getting more confident as you're seeing it, the throws that he's making and putting him up and yeah, he's he's getting better and he's getting more confident.
And if you're.
Telling me that the ever volatile Baker Mayfield with a defense like that is going to have to win by margin against the team that has now covered six out of seven games, I'll take my chances.
Again. Getting back on that Panthers train.
The Minnesota Vikings control their own desks. They play the Green Bay Packers at home. They are point and a half favorites at home over green Bay forty eight. Forty eight and a half is our total. Of course, we are yet to see Green Bay. They are two touchdown favorites over the Saints. However, this is one of those where if you're leaning towards Minnesota, then you play it now, and if you like green Bay then maybe you hold out because the thing is it can only it can only go poorly for you here because if if something happens to Jordan Love or something happens to whatever, you know something something like that, like this, Minnesota is gonna get on the other side of you know it, get it could get to six or something or whatever, you know, right, But if you're if you're if you're on the uh, you're on the green Bay side of things here. I mean like say this is, say this is the Saints. Keep this thing to ten or to not whatever eight or something like that, then you might catch a full you might catch a full field goal here in this thing.
Yeah, That's what I'm really curious about, because I also there's the other outcome though, where Green Bay just stomps all over New Orleans right, absolutely completely rolls them, and this gets to like pick maybe May Bay minus one. The only reason I asked that is there seems to be a very clear indication if you look at like, you know, consensus rankings, the market, everything, the market I think does think that Green Bay is still slightly better than Minnesota. And so if given any indication or evidence that this is going to be a team that is actually better than the vikings, that you might get there flipping from one to one isn't that big of a deal. So I do wonder if that's kind of something that I, like, I wanted to monitor because I actually thought the opposite was. I kind of wanted to bet Minnesota, hear, but I wanted to wait through Monday night because if they stop New Orleans cover that number with ease, so shot you could get like a small plus one or a plus money line or a plus prize on the money line.
Yeah, anisoda, you might, you might.
I wonder it's because they are fourteen and a half point favorites. Yeah, so they're supposed to stomp them anyway.
Yeah you know, yeah, you're right.
So it's kind of like they're supposed to stop them.
Then why would you get why would you get upgraded essentially for doing what you're supposed to do?
Yeh yeah, yeah, yeah, So I don't know. I kind of like, I kind of like Minnesota at home here as I short as a short favorite, So that one's interesting. I'm gonna say that that one's not in the account yet, but's certainly something that I would consider. How about two teams again with not a lot to play for? What about Miami Cleveland and he thought they or whatsoever? Miami's five and a half six on the road at Cleveland again, we assume it'll be dtr again. Yeah, I can't imagine they would throw Jameis Winston back in there, but I guess we're not for certain that that's the case.
Yeah, early indications Whetherwi it's fifty degrees, but maybe some rain that day, so we'll see if that it gets any worse.
I mean, I don't know.
He does pretty well be Mike McDaniel beat up on bad teams. Yeah, if dry times, Robinson's going to be that starting quarterback again here for Cleveland. Do you trust that Miami can win this game by margin? They looked like the better team today in their matchup against San Francisco, So I guess who would be Miami or nothing? Or it's one of those where it's like, yeah, that's easy to pass on.
Yeah, I think it has to be that though. I mean it has to be that. There's just no way there. I watched Jordan Thompson Robinson when he got the opportunity little bit last year. I watched him today. It just it's just not there. I mean you can just see it with some guys, right, It's just like it's just not there. There's not it's for him, you know it or that between any of that stuff. So, yeah, it's miamire pass and the Monday night football is Detroit and San Francisco. Interesting, I mean, I guess not all so Detroit on the road three and a half.
So this I think sidewise it would be Detroit.
I mean, I think this San Francisco forty nunders team seems to be kind of cooked right now.
It seems like it and all the reason in the world to quit too, right, Yes, I mean all the reason in the world to quit as well after that, especially after that today.
Yes, now, I will say I think one of the things that we hit on when we were recapping the Lions game from from today against Chicago, I think the one thing you're really looking at is the player props here for Detroit and what you're going to get for Jamiir Gibbs. His overall rushing receiving combined prop today closed it about one twenty four and a half. He had one hundred and nine yards rushing and forty five yards receiving in a grand total of twenty seven touches. So if that workload's going to remain the same, that is that going to adjust? Are we going to get like anything higher? But if it still floaws around that like one twenty four mark, I think that's still playable here for Gibbs, let's.
Get charge you bank best bets. Of course, g Bank is the official bank of Visan. Threw several bets into the account as we were running through here. Really love to go through these games early, certainly with somebody sharplait JVT so end up put in Seahawks' first quarter first half. I talked about that one there. Chicago's just been putrid starting games out. Put in Chargers and Patriots over forty two, and then put in Bengals as three point favorites as well. So left here with some bets in the agag.
YEP, same thing with the Bengals. Put that in there.
Also threw together a I think it put the other we're trying to get this a load here. The teaser that we were discussing as well, when you're talking about teasing some of these teams up as my phone just that when I would try to get into it. But for sure the cults was a leg Colts and Steelers. Yeah, there you go, Colts, the Steelers teasing the Colts down, tilling the steelers teasing the steelers up. That was hard I can get through.
These best bets brought to you by G Bank. It is the official bank of Vson. We recommend every better make the G Bank visa signature car part of their betting toolbox. Save up to three to five percent on cash advanced fees, earning cashback rewards on eligible betting transactions. For now and for a limited time, you'll get a two hundred and fifty dollars bonus when you open your account and spend one thousand dollars in the first ninety days. You can apply online at Vison dot com slash g bank, that is vsi n dot com slash G bank. Take advantage of the two hundred fifty dollars bonus for a limited time from our friends at G Bank, the official bank of Vson subject to credit approval and terms and conditions do apply twenty six to seventeen in favor of the Cowboys. And while we do have a good bet here on the desk, I do feel for the loan person out there in Circus sur that is on this Bucks team watching this happen in front of their very eyes when it was coming down to them in the falcon.
Here are those bottles popping and it's not celebrating.
Thanks for being here last two days, JVT. Good luck on all your bets for rest week.