Prop Points | January 31, 2025

Published Jan 31, 2025, 8:30 PM

In this episode of Prop Points host John Hansen gives out his best quarterback and Super Bowl specials ahead of the big game. Also on the show, John is joined by Justin Varnes, IDP Analyst for FantasyPoints.com, to talk about his best IDP props for the Super Bowl.

This is promppoint Ton Vson, the Sports Betting Network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hanson.

Good afternoon, and welcome to a Friday edition of Prop Points here on Vson. I'm John Hanson Fantasy Points dot Com. This program, as always, is being produced by mister Michael Cohen. And yes, I am back from Mobile, Alabama at the Senior Bowl. Did the show yesterday, basically packed up, got in my car and drove home here to Southern Georgia.

I didn't get home to like one am. But it's all good because I got a lot out.

Of that Senior Bowl experience. And we'll continue next couple of days. Next week we'll probably revisit the Senior Bowl at least for five six minutes. Whe our guy, Brett Whitefield will join the program next week.

But today we are over a week away.

From Big Game fifty nine, but we're gonna start popping out some props and some official props.

We've been doing that already all week, but what I.

Thought would be interesting, because obviously we're down to one game, I am going to go all in on every prop of note, for every skill player of note. So today we'll kick it off with quarterback props. For example, I'm going to take sides on Jalen Hurts and Mahomes, passing attempts, passing completions, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, and passing plus rushing yards. We're also going to check in with our guy, Justin Varnes. I told everybody here on this program that he was awesome and that he is the man. And he was four to oh last week with his picks and seven to two here in the playoffs for so he'll pop out.

Some super Bowl propits.

He's got three props that I mean like it is gambling. But when Justin Varnes comes with three props for the Super Bowl, you can pretty much guarantee two.

Of them are going to win.

So we'll chop it up with Justin in about fifteen minutes. We'll also wrap up my look at the first two rounds of your fantasy draft in twenty twenty five. Never ever, ever too early to start ranking players, And once we get Super Bowl fifty nine in the books, that's where we turn our attention. So I will count up from six my projected top six for twenty twenty five, and then next week by the way, we will expand things out, and I will pop out top twelve rankings.

At all the key positions, might go a little.

Deeper at running back and wide receiver. Maybe I'll go twelve quarterbacks, maybe fifteen twenty running probably fifteen running backs, fifteen wide receivers, and maybe twelve tight ends to kind of set the landscape for twenty twenty five. And then we'll also pop out some special some specialty.

Props that I like.

These are weird, but they're usually with really really good odds. Think of the Thursday Night Special for the most part. For example, you will this player have at least one reception in all four quarters. I've got about ten selections here. I scanned it, I stared at it. I was speaking in tongues at one point, looking deeply into all the numbers. So I have popped out my favorite ten. But as I mentioned, we'll kick off the program here and we'll look.

At the quarterback props. Not my favorite per se this whole year.

The props that I've given out have essentially been my favorite. But again, we're down to one game, so I thought it would be cool to I'm going to try and do a hundred prop picks from starting today through next Friday, and we'll see can we get sixty? Can we go sixty to forty is basically my goal. But so I have gone through and I looked at all the numbers, and I've tried to make the best picks here for both quarterbacks in the game. So let's start with mister Jalen Hurts for those Philadelphia egles. First of all, you got to look at the total. You're got to feel for it. This is a pretty good total, forty eight point five. I think it went up to forty nine point five, and it might be back to forty eight point five, but it did trend up from the opening I believe at forty eight or forty eight and a half. So decent total there. I've certainly seen better this year, but we haven't seen many totals over fifty this year.

Scoring has been down for a couple of years.

So I'll take forty eight point five as a decent one in case they're like minus one twenty or minus one thirty to win the game, which means that the books are given KC, you know, probably like a fifty five percent chance to win the game, and that certainly matters.

That's about where I'm at too.

By the way, I might go upper fifty percent on Case's chances of emerging victorious, but certainly that's where I start, because we're all about game flow, game script.

Are we playing from behind?

I mean, look, if the Philadelphia Eagles somehow have a two touchdown league, I'm gonna probably lose every single Jalen Hurts prop that I'm about ready to pop out here because I do think Kansas City is going to emerge victorious. I did this two years ago in the matchup. Living in the Philadelphia era didn't make People weren't very happy with me as they asked me who I thought would win the game, but they did. It was close, though, it is going to be very tight. But let's take a look at some of the props here for Hurts and we'll pop out some hashtag analysis. We'll start with the yard age, of course, to eleven point five. I mean, come on, that is just not too much to ask for. Although he only did this, he hit two twelve in eight of eighteen games, by the way, which isn't unbelievable.

But first of all, real quick, I.

Even went back and looked at every game that Jalen Hurts has played against Steve Spagnolo, including of course the Super Bowl. He actually threw for three oh four and three eighty seven in two of his three games against Steve Spagnolo. Now the other game, of course, that was last year in November. They actually won that game. Uh, he only threw twenty two times. So I am going over because I do think they'll be again playing from behind.

And you know, it's not like he's got a bunch of bums at receiver.

I mean AJ Brown could drop one hundred at the drop of the hat, as can DeVante Smith. So playing from behind, you know, both defenses are solid, both offenses are solid. Casey's offense hasn't had the greatest year, so I'm not totally expecting Philly to be playing from behind, but that is the expectation. So I'm going to go over here one point five touchdowns. That's also kind of a big ask. I mean, I think I'm being I don't know, gutsy here with some of these players, but you know, you to call him the way you see him and you sleep like a baby. I'm going to go for over at plus one forty five. He did hit two touchdowns, not a great percentage, but seven of eighteen. But again, I do think there's something to the narrative that they find ways to slow Barkley down. I know that everyone's trying to slow Barkley down. I don't know if we're getting a full on sellout yet, but I thought DC to my point last week.

You know, I felt like a real jackass.

When I said he was going to go under and DC was going to load up, and then he rips off a sixty yard touchdown run on his first carry in the first play of the game.

But he didn't do much else, honestly.

But let's speed it up a little bit here, So I'm going to go over on all these hearts props here, even the interceptions. He only had five picks on the season and in four games, so again playing from behind, big stage, all.

That good stuff.

He actually did not throw it in reception in that Super Bowl game, which was pretty surprising because he threw thirty eight times.

By the way.

But yeah, I'm going all overs for hurts, especially the over to sixty point five. He has hit two sixty one in seven of eighteen games. Again, that's not a great clip, but I am going to go over on all these Jalen Hurts props.

We'll move over to Patty Mahomes is next.

Up, and I have right in front of me actually game logs of every Pat Mahomes game against a Vic Fangio defense, and it's a little up and down. He threw for three forty slash two way back in twenty nineteen when Fango is with Miami, had a three eighteen game against Fangio's defense in twenty twenty when Fangio was still in Miami, and then last year twenty thirteen, you know, two touchdowns and one eighty five. But you know, little spotty hitter miss here. So let's see what we have with Mahomes. I'm actually going to go under on the attempts at thirty six point five.

Now, look, this is going to be really really close. So he's been under that.

He was under in the previous Super Bowl, I can tell you that right there, and he was under this in nine of eighteen games, so oddly enough, I do think it's going to be really close. So I'm actually going to go over on the completions because I actually went and I looked, and his completion rate against Fangio's is pretty good.

He had actually.

Way back in twenty nineteen, he completed seventy nine percent of his passes thirty four attempts. Most of the time he's up in the mid sixties or so.

So I'm going to go I'm going to.

Go over on that puppy. I lost my place here. Where are we? Oh, I'm going to go under on two fifty two point five again. I think this will be very, very close. Philly's defense is obviously really good.

I think they'll get a bunch of a little place, not a lot of big plays.

I will go over the one point five touchdowns. That's minus one eighty two. It's not the greatest odds. I will go over zero point five interceptions, and I'll go under the two eighty eight point five passing versus rushing. It's close.

He did this in nine of eighteen games, so he did this.

Right around half the time, and he threw a pick in eight of eighteen games. We are getting ready for Big Game fifty nine with a Big Deal score fifty nine bucks off of Visa Pro annual subscription when you sign up using the promo code prop for just one eighty one you'll get a full year of Vison Pro and access to everything we offer, including daily best bets, exclusive betting splits from DraftKings and Circus Sportsbook twenty four to seven video access, plus our Super Bowl Betting guide with expert picks, predictions, and prop betting strategies to help you win big. This special offer ends after the Super Bowl, so don't miss out. Sign up today at Vison dot com. Slash subscribe used to promo code prop to get a full year of VS and Pro for just one eighty one. That's vsi dot com. Slash subscribe to review Jailen hurts props.

I'm over on all of them.

Over two and a half point five, over one point five touchdowns, over point five interceptions, over the pass attempts, the completions, all of it a little.

Selective with Mahomes.

The unders are pass attempts yards and the rushing and passing.

Yard total of two eighty eight. Hopefully we have some winners there, but I know we've got an.

East a couple of winners from Justin Varnes at fantasypoints.

Dot com IDP propage next year on prop Points.

You're watching prop Points with the Guru John Hampson on Visin Please Sports Betting Network.

Welcome back to this Friday edition of Prop Points.

Here on Vison, I'm John Hanson, and as promised, we're going to go to the progressive guest line to bring in our guy over at fantasypoints dot com. He is down with IDP, that is for sure, and that's his X handle at down with IDP. IDP analysts for Fantasy points dot com. Justin Varnes, kick and Tail here, justin.

How are you?

I see you're seven and two here in the playoffs four no last time, so you must be feeling pretty good.

Yeah, just got one more to get through, which is a big one. But yeah, feeling pretty good so far. John. Happy to be on.

So let's talk about just review the process a little bit.

I know you got a Matt Mulano prop correct if there's any other that you want to talk about, Like, you know, the process, how we're out was it?

Was?

It close because a lot of people aren't that familiar with these IDP props, but you know, observing you and having a feel for it, it does seem about twenty six percent easier than the offensive props.

That I do.

Not that you're not like a genius level at this, but talk a little bit about the process with like Milano or one of the recent hits.

Well, Milano is a great example. You know, he had a he's an inside linebacker, his PROP was five and a half tackled because he hasn't been playing full snap share. Normally, an inside linebacker you're going to average somewhere around eight tackles. You know, just anyone out there you could put on a helmet and get eight tackled, you know, if you are in the middle of the defense. But Milano hadn't been playing a whole lot of snaps since he came back from injury the week before last last week's props, it was the first time he had gotten over eighty something percent snap So I was like, Okay, now he's back to playing a more of a full time role. I'm sure he's going to get over six tackles. And that's exactly what he did. So that was really more a matter of the average inside linebacker. If he's going to play every snap and it's a decent matchup, you're going to expect somewhere between seven and nine tackles. So that was you know, just seeing that But we've talked before about this, John, when offensive players and when an offensive player sneezes, there's like an hour long show on ESPN, right, But most of these defensive players, they're flying under the radar. People aren't watching their snap counts. People aren't recognizing when a safety is moving into a different position. And that's something that if you are watching, that you can take advantage of. And you, John, you were the first one to say, hey, Justin, you should start looking at these IDP prompts because we might have an edge. And you've turned out to be right.

Yeah, no doubt about it. Well, let's get right into it here.

Justin Reid, the starting strong safety for the Kansas City Chiefs consonant pro been around the block here and you're in on the over the tackles plus assist at minus one forty and we're at five and a half tackles and.

Oh, who do we have on the other side.

Oh that's right, Saquon Barkley and the most run heavy offense in the league here. So talk about Justin Reid and why do you think this is a winner?

Well, it's precisely what you just said, and we could close the book right there sakuon Barkley. Obviously, I think the Eagles are going to be running a ton, not only because obviously that is their strength, but the best way to keep Patrick Maholmes from beating you is to keep him on the sideline as long as humanly possible. And so I think we're just going to see heavy run action here. And I just like Justin Reid's line better than Nick Bolton's line, for example, when she was a lot higher. Reid plays about fifty percent of the time in the box, and that's really where where he's going to kind of beat his bread and butter. So I believe we're going to see a lot of snaps from from thee the Kansas City defense, and he's been hitting around six or seven tackled naturally anyway, so it's a plus matchup. I think game script says that the Eagles are going to take that approach, and it's a little bit. The line came in a little bit below his average, so I got all three of those working in my favor. So that's why I'm okay taking the juice at minus one forty. I think it's just I think it's got a really good shot of hitting and.

You're in on both safeties. With the rookie, what was he a third fourth rounder?

Jaden Hicks over three and a half tackles plus assists. Maybe that's a function of he's getting a lot more snaps. As you mentioned, they're all about the snaps. They do coach up those. DB's pretty darn well there in Kansas City. Talk about Jaden Hicks, the rookie who was a fourth rounder this past year, one thirty three overall.

Yeah, so similar to the Matt mulato on, Hicks has slowly but surely been chipping away at veteran Brian Cook's three safety spot there. Over the last couple of games, we've seen Hicks overtake Cook in terms of the majority of the snap share. He's now in around seventy or eighty percent of the snap So everything we were just talking about with sakuon Barkley. They've got two safeties back there, Red and obviously whoever the other safety is is likely going to get a lot of action. For a player to play about eighty percent of the snaps and have only four tackles, that's a pretty easy one to me. I just think the lines came out they didn't anticipate that Cook had every single game the last of four or five games lost snaps to Hicks. Hicks has played the last four games, He's had at least seventy percent or better in usage, and in all four of those games he's had at least four tackles, So he would have won this prop in all four of the last games. And then you add on to the safe on Barkley factor and how much they're going to run it. I really like this one too, and it's pretty decent. You know, you can get it around minus one thirty minus one forty. I like that as well. So both chief safeties I think are just going to be hella busy this week for next week.

Justin Varnes, he's out there throwing that gen y term out there as well as going four to oh last time out and seven and two on the propitch here before we get to the last IDP prop, I do have to get your thoughts because obviously, based on everything you just said the last five minutes, you're expecting Philly to be well, Philly run the rock, run it with Barkley and Hurtz. But we are talking the super Bowl. We are talking a pretty good total here pushing fifty. We are talking Philly as underdogs. Do you have any thoughts on Jail and Hurts at over two and eleven two hundred and e can we get the two twelve in the Super Bowl? I mean last time out he threw for three to Zho four justin on thirty eight attempts. So I do think Hurts is going to have to throw for more than two twelve to win the game.

Any thoughts there, Yeah, I think so too.

I mean, obviously the Eagles are going to be run heavy, but that doesn't mean seventy or eighty percent run heavy. That probably means fifty fifty five percent run heavy. So also, and this is a little insight, I want to talk too much of this sort of stuff because it helps me keep an edge. But you know, Kansas City runs a fast offense, but they don't run that many plays because they rely they move very quickly. But the team on the other side, they usually get off the field fast so that the team on the other side can actually run a fair amount of plays. So because how the Chiefs offense functions and how they gain yards, they end up not needing a ton of plays to do so which allows people like Jalen Hurts more path attempts. And I think that's the key, right If we think Jalen Hurts is gonna have to throw the ball a ton, then I definitely think he's going to be able to do that as long as they stay away from Trent McDuffie, who I think has just been an excellent corner this year. I think they're gonna stick away at their at their at their inside linebackers. They're gonna try to get Drew Trankwell lines up in the slot and then wear him, wear him out. I absolutely think he's gonna throw for more than two eleven.

There you go, Yeah, Little Dallas got her action.

And then finally Cooper Dejean under under four and a half tackles plus assists. Sore You're thinking, because he's so awesome, they're not even gonna throw it at his side or throw to someone he's covering.

What are the thoughts there?

The here is that Kansas City plays some of the lowest amount of eleven personnel. They they stay, they try to keep uh the other team's defense in base formation, and Jajeene is their flat specialist. He's also a rookie, so he comes off the field like, for example, when they played Pittsburgh, who plays a ton of base or you know, twelve or twenty one, they'll keep a team in their base package. The last time Jadin played against Pittsburgh, he only had one tackle, played about sixty percent of the time. So I think this is again about snapshare. I don't think he's gonna be on the field as often. And remember what I was just saying, Kansas City moves evolved very efficiently. They don't put a ton of plays on the board. So I just don't think he's gonna I don't think he's gonna play sixty or seventy percent or sixty or seventy snaps. I think he's gonna be more around fifty or sixty. And then that I got him at three or four tackles.

All right, Hey, what are you gonna do? You gotta get Noah Gray on the field. That's justin Varnes of Fantasy Points. He's on the X machine hat down with IDP four and oh last time seven to two so far in the playoffs, and I'm I mean not the chink share.

Or anything, I mean minimum two and one. Great stuff justin.

Maybe you'll have a proper two for next week we can chime in again.

But awesome job as always, sir.

Thanks mister answer pleasure talking. Yeah, good luck at the super Bowl. We'll talk soon.

All right, there he goes, and we are going to tell you this. Whether you're season better or just joining the action. Super Bowl success starts with Vson Super Bowl Betting Guide. This year's guide is packed with everything you need to make informed wagers, including a detailed Super Bowl game preview, top trends to watch, expert prop betting strategies, final score predictions, all the good stuff.

Don't wait.

Become a Vison pro member today for ASI Lila's nine to ninety nine. That's vson dot com slash subscribe to sign up now, that's vsi n dot com slash subscribe. Will talk about the top six players for your fantasy draft this year.

Next on Prop Points, you're watching Prop Points with the Guru, John Hanson on vsin Please Sports Betting Network.

We roll on this Friday edition of Prep Points on Viison. I'm John Hanson Fantasypoints dot Com. As I've stated multiple times, especially very early on in the history of this program, I am a fantasy guy. That's why this show is perfect for me, because I've been building projections for players weekly seasonally for thirty years, starting when I was six, if you can believe that now, I was a little older than that. But good question to bring up when I go over all these rankings. Because I came up with my initial top twenty four, which represents generally first two rounds of a twelve team league. I should also mention I am assuming PPR point per reception. There was a time twenty years ago when I did a fantasy show on Sirius XMNFL radio with mister Adam Kaplan, who, by the way, will be joining us next week because he's based out of Philly, mister NFL insider, we'll talk Philly birds in the super Bowl. But we were pounding the table twenty years ago to go PPR, and Austin others have pushed it way over the top now, so now we just kind of assume it's PPR. But FYI, we are talking point per reception, and we do have a notable omission on the on the top twenty four, which may surprise some people.

We haven't mentioned his name yet.

We're counting from six to one right now, and we're still not going to mention his name in the ranking. So who is it, Well, you could probably guess it's the number one consensus pick.

This past summer, mister Christian McCaffrey. I was out.

I was completely out of McCaffrey. I'm like, no, when we had that calf thing in the summer, I was like, that's it, check, please goodbye. I'm out because I knew he had something similar last year late in the season, and I actually thought he looked like a shell of himself that last regular season game and then he got hurt. Cost me thirty grand because I lost a championship by four points for the FFPC shout out though to the FFPC, and then for the playoffs.

Now, granted he was fine in the playoffs.

But he also had three weeks or four weeks, perhaps at least three to heal up and rest up. So once that injury came down the line, I'm like, that's it so forever. If you're thirty year older or twenty eight or older at running back and you've had lingering problems and then you have a new one or a return of an injury in the summer in the training Cambeller.

Cood goodbye, I'm out. I'm out.

So McCaffrey's not in my top twenty four. I will say he almost got there at twenty four, but I opted for Tyreek over McCaffrey. And by the way, Tyreek and McCaffrey's ADPs were neck and neck this year, both top five.

But as I mentioned, I am a big time agist. Look, it's just.

One small little path to go, a little thing to hang your hat on that will ultimately help you be correct more frequently. And that's that's what gets me up in the morning. You know, I'm coming on here giving out advice and things like that. I certainly don't want to get it wrong. So I want to be correct. And if you focus on youth in the earlier rounds, especially when you have a proven talent, you're going to come out on top. Just avoid the old heads. Basically, that's my that's mymo quite frankly. So, I've noticed that the first twenty four players here almost.

All very very young. By the way, no quarterbacks either. We're not taking a quarterback in the first couple of rounds here.

But I'll count up real quick, all very young except Tyreek Hill. But Tyreek, look, I knocked him down from an ADP spot last summer of three to twenty four.

I think that's fair. But everyone else is really young.

Garrett Wilson, Tredy McBride, Jackson Smith and Jigba, Chase Brown, Bucky Irving, Brock Bowers, Drake London, Brian.

Thomas, Pukinaku.

Look at all these great players young, there's no reason to take an old head in your first couple of rounds. Here in twenty twenty five, Breese Hall, Malik Neighbors. Now, maybe AJ Brown's getting up there a little bit. Nico Collins still pretty young, aman Ra devon Ah Chan. Well that's our number six guy, by the way, So we're caught up, but it is in fact Devon Chan and again we are assuming p p R And what a cheat code eh Chan was innapp R league.

Dude caught seventy eight balls to lead all running.

Backs and the next best guy was ten catches behind him. So that's pretty significant right there. And at seventeen point six points per game, it's it's pretty sexy. I mean, let's be honest here, He's kind of like the running back version of Tyreek hill, but again he was a glorified slot receiver, and he also got two hundred plus carries.

Two O three.

That's pretty good when you are a glorified slot receiver and you get eighty plus or seventy five plus grabs and two hundred carries. Now we're dealing with we can work with that. Twelve touchdowns, six on the ground and six through the air. That's pretty damn good. And he played seventeen games.

So you got to give it up.

And as I am with this very very high ranking next up, pretty obvious names, of course, but take one, you know, And here is the one example though this is the one outlier type of guy because normally I'd be a little cautious, but the vibes for an older running back with some injury problems. But he is still just twenty seven as we sit here right now. He will be twenty eight in about ten days. But I don't think we're in the danger zone just yet with a Saquon Barkley at twenty eight, and especially given the incredible showing and really he did have a little bit of knee issue, I guess in our last game, but.

Few signs of slowing down at three forty five. That is a little worry. Some three hundred and forty five carries over two thousand yards. Now, I will say this, being the agist that I am, if there are any signs of trouble with Saquon Barkley from the waist down, any injury whatsoever, then I'm going to retreat from this position, because again I am a big time agist. So next up it is C.

D Lamb, who is still an elite option, no doubt about it, locked in with his quarterback and Dak Prescott. It was a down year, but you know you're good when you catch one hundred and one balls in it down year, it wasn't unbelievable. It wasn't as good as it was the year before. We do have a coaching change as well. But young entering what year four now five? I mean, he's extremely young, and.

He's good, really good.

It's a young man's game, it's a young man's business, and we're all about youth at the top. So next up would be Jamar Chase. I would be as high as one on Chase. But the vibes overall with the Bengals have just been a little suspect. They underwhelm Burrows had some injury problems, but for sure, I mean, obviously Jamar Chase is an absolute stallion.

Next up, of course Justin Jefferson.

I am a lifelong Minnesota Vikings fan, and I have opined and no one's really brushed back against it, but Justin Jefferson best receiver in the history of the Minnesota Vikings. That would mean he's better than Randy Moss. And yes, absolutely better than Moss. Maybe not as dangerous as Randy.

Moss, but a better overall player.

I've always told the story where I watched Randy Moss and Chris Carter warm up ahead of the two thousand, I believe two thousand NFC title game at the Middlelands, and I'm like, these guys don't want to be here today, They're done. And they combined for like four catches for like twenty yards. Two Hall of famers. I don't think Justin Jefferson is ever going to come up that small. He's had a couple of games, but not microscopically small, and he is the ultimate mark man in this league, even more so than Jamar Chase. But Kevin O'Connell does still do a very good job of getting him open, getting him in space, and all that good stuff. And oh, by the way, I am a big time JJ McCarthy person. I was on here a month ago when people were talking about Sam Donald needs to be signed to an extension.

I was like, no, no, let him go see us, Sammy.

And then, of course now everyone else is with me because Sammy turned into a pumpkin there those last two games. But I will admit I was down a little bit on Jefferson because of the quarterback situation and all that. With McCarthy out very early, I had moved him down to like eight or nine overall, which wasn't fantastic, but that leads us to the number one overall player, and I think we should have learned the lesson here. If you ever get a chance to draft a absolute stallion who's young, you do it, And that, of course is Bjon Robinson. Three hundred and four carries four point eight yards to carry an absolutely incredible season for Bijon Robinson one of the most talented running backs that I've seen come through the league in twenty thirty years. The comp when he came out was Lydanian Tomlinson, who happens to be a friend of mine and I ran it up the flag pole.

Mick, what do you think?

He's like, totally, totally agree. So there it is my early look at some rankings for twenty twenty five. We remind you VSA the Sports Betting Network is now live twenty four to seven on Sirius XM channel one fifty eight.

Whether you're at home, or on the road or on the go.

Now there's more ways than ever to tune in to VSON stream us live on Visa dot Com, the Visa Watchoup, YouTube TV, iHeartRadio, Fire TV, Roku, and now Serious exam Plan. We returned my favorite Super Bowl specials to consider for Big Game fifty nine.

Next on Prop Points, You're.

Watching Prop Points with the Guru, John Hanson on Visa Please Sports Betting Network.

It is the final of this Friday edition of Prop Points here on Fison. I'm John Hanson. Thanks for tuning in as always, And we did a thing called the Monday Night Special and the Thursday Night Special where we picked a player or some sort of prop that was usually high risk, high reward, very good year on that we hit like I think if we I think we hit like forty percent of the time, which is you would say all forty, but you know, the average return was like probably plus two point fifty, so it was pretty darn good. So we have also been profitable on the touchdown props and all that. So I'm expanding my thought processes here doing this show and looking at non traditional props, at least for me, because I kind of just focus on the yardage, you know, let's be honest.

Yardage, some catches and all that.

But as I've expanded things out here, I'm like, oh, wow, you know you're not going to get them at even a fifty percent clip, but look at these odds and the like.

So let's start with Xavier Worthy. This is a big ask, but.

It's plus seven fifty fifteen plus rushing yards eighty five plus receiving yards.

Well, guess what he did this in their last game last week.

Six carries for eighty five or six catches sorry for eighty five and two carries for sixteen. So it's a long shot, but considering the man literally did it in his last game against a very comparable defense, I'd say why not At plus seven fifty Jalen Hurts to have twenty five plus pass yards in each quarter. I mean really really not the greatest amazing odds, but still plus plus one fifty.

I mean, g's are we gonna throw for one hundred? Yeah? I think so.

Justin Varnes agrees with my assessmentt assessment that Jalen will throw go for at least two twelve. So yeah, I think I'll have twenty five plus passing yards in each quarter. Case's d is very good, but they don't a have a great pass rush and they play a lot of man, which can leave them vulnerable to a big play here and there. They've also been very giving to Dallas Goddard. Philly doesn't use it running backs all that much, but they do have two guys and Kenny Gainwell and Sakwan Barkley more than capable of augmenting and helping out there in the passing game. So yeah, Jalen hurts twenty five plus passing yards in each quarter, and geez, that's not too much to ask at plus one fifty five total players to have a pass But I'm actually gonna go over two point five. A little risky here, Obviously we're expecting some sort of gadget, but hey, aj Brown is an unbelievable athlete. Guy could hit it out of Citizens Bank Park, which I believe he did doing some VP there. He's he actually is a good baseball player. You know, he's a good basketball player. You know, he's a good football player. He's a good athlete, an elite athlete. So maybe he's the guy. Maybe worthy, he's the guy, a joker type of guy. I don't think Kelsey will be the guy, but I'll go for Hey, how about Barkley being a guy that the balls, you know, in his hands, and everything swarms the Barkley.

That would be tricky, but I'll go for it. It's plus two hundred, that's not too shabby.

Next up, Patrick Mahomes to have one hundred plus passing yards in each half. I think this is pretty doable, right. I think Phillies run the fense vents is probably going to handle case. The only time in scenario I could envision the Chiefs really having some seriously sustained success running the rock against Philly is if they're grinding it out at the end of the game, nursing the lead against a worn down defense. So maybe Mahomes can get one hundred yards in the second half before we potentially get to that spot. But I mean he's going to throw for over two hundred, although he didn't end up last Super Bowl, by the way, so maybe that's why it's gambling. But it's minus one oh five. I'm okay with Mahomes over one hundred passing yards in each half. I mean he's got seventeen different receivers to throw to, which we'll get to. Oh here it is next up, Casey total players with a reception over eight point five. I mean, come on, we've got to get the ball to everyone on the roster. If we're Andy Reid and the case Chiefs, you got Juju Smith, Schuster, he's back, he's a fact, Derry as well, Hopkins Brown Juju. I mean, we got it, we got it. We can't forget about Justin Watson. I mean it's in his contract. Apparently Watson needs to get a ball every week. Noah, Gray's got to get a ball. I mean, they just spread it around. That's why it drives me a little batty trying to figure it out.

But I will say they don't have great depth.

Otherwise they got that Remingo guy, and then of course Justin Ross. But I will in fact, go over because, by the way, we could easily get three to four running backs catching the ball here. We could easily get Pacheco, Hunt and p Run for example. So yeah, we're gonna go over eight and a half players plus one forty Philadelphia Eagle total players with a reception. Now, this number is three players shy, but I'll go over at five and a half.

I mean, we got god it, we have Brown.

We have Avante Smith, we should get at least you know, Barkley should get at least one, and I think Gain well. So now we just need Johan Dodson to catch a ball or Grant Kokatera something like that. So I'm going to go even money. I'm gonna go over five and a half. Dallas Goddard one reception in each quarter. He's balling out the last month, caught what all caught six balls for sixty in that Super Bowl matchup. Case has been a tight end funnel all year, all in on Dallas Goddard.

No doubt about it. And this pretty good odds here. I mean, it'll probably.

If it loses, it'll probably be this close. But hey, that's not bad considering this plus four fifty. Next up, Davonte Smith to have twenty five plus receiving yards in each half.

That is really, honestly not too much to ask.

They could put Trent McDuffie, they could travel him on AJ Brown, and DeVante Smith has had a pretty pretty nice history here against Kansas City was their leading receiver, of course, in the Super Bowl and in the game before that. I guess he's only had two games. Let's see here, Actually he's had three. Here's his numbers. This will get you on this prop right now. Like today, first.

Game against this defense, same defense, ten targets seven grabs for one to seventy two.

Next game regular season last year, eight targets six for ninety nine. Then of course the Super Bowl, nine targets seven for one hundred. So he's gone over one hundred and three of his last four and the one time he didn't go over one hundred, he missed it by one yard. So I think we're looking good there. I like that DeVante Smith twenty five plus receiving yards in each half. He can get it on one catch, by the way, And then how about little Travis Kelcey to have fifty plus receiving yards in each half at twelve to one.

I think that's really really good.

The one deficiency for Philadelphia all year has been covering tight ends. As we've outlined au bulched times. We're up against the end of the show here. We do want to remind you to stay tuned to Vson after prop points. It is Making Rain with Adam Shine starting at three pm Eastern, followed by Follow the Money with Mitch Moss and Paul Howard at four and then stick around for Vison Primetime with Jonathan von Tobol and Matt Eumans starting at seven pm. We are up to the final selection here the best bet of the day. It is brought to you by g Bank, the official bank of Vison. Vson recommends every better make the G Bank visa signature card part of their betting toolbox. Save up to three to five percent on cash advance fees, earned cash back rewards on eligible betting transactions, and now, for limited time, you'll get a two hundred and fifty dollars bonus when you open your account and spend one thousand dollars in the first ninety days. Apply now at vson dot com slash Gbank. That's VSA dot com slash G Bank take advantage of the two hundred and fifty dollars bonus for a limited time from our friends at Gbank, the official bank of Vison, subject to credit approval and terms and conditions apply. The best bet is Travis Kelce related and Travis Kelce will do well in this game, and he will in fact have one plus reception in each quarter. You can, I believe, take that one to the bank. He got it done in the Super Bowl, of course, eight for one oh three in a touch way back in twenty seventeen. But in that Super Bowl seven for one f twenty four, they did keep him contained a little.

Bit, but he did score and he had nine targets. So he is going to be very very busy as he's been in the playoffs. That will wrap it up.

We thank you for tuning in. We thank Michael Cohen. Shine is next here on Vison. Enjoy the weekend. Will tuk you on Monday.

VSiN Best Bets

Get the best of VSiN right here on VSiN Best Bets. Every day, analysis of sports betting can be foun 
Social links
Follow podcast
Recent clips
Browse 28,132 clip(s)