The numbers told the story. Then it's one of those idiots who believe in analytics.

The numbers told the story. Then it's one of those idiots who believe in analytics.

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander vs.

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander vs.

Good Thursday Morning too, you not just any Thursday morning. Happy Thanksgiving to you from a numbers game here at Vsondsports, Betting Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app game plus iHeart Radio, YouTube CV and of course a DK network. It's Gil Alexander, it is Kelly Midland. Ladies and gentlemen. We are in a beautiful studio. How you doing, Kelly, Happy Thanksgiving?

Good Thursday Morning too, you not just any Thursday morning. Happy Thanksgiving to you from a numbers game here at Vsondsports, Betting Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app game plus iHeart Radio, YouTube CV and of course a DK network. It's Gil Alexander, it is Kelly Midland. Ladies and gentlemen. We are in a beautiful studio. How you doing, Kelly, Happy Thanksgiving?

Man? Happy Thanksgiving? Yeah? What's with the what's with.

Man? Happy Thanksgiving? Yeah? What's with the what's with.

The slow jams voice? You have to adjust and get back and getting back into a studio. It's just how it comes through. I think I'm talking in the same way. Maybe Reggie got me.

The slow jams voice? You have to adjust and get back and getting back into a studio. It's just how it comes through. I think I'm talking in the same way. Maybe Reggie got me.

To that we were in the love zone earlier. I don't know.

To that we were in the love zone earlier. I don't know.

This is different, right, does it sound different?

This is different, right, does it sound different?

Yeah?

Yeah?

Yeah, we have to adjust, all right. We've been dealing with the outside elements.

Yeah, we have to adjust, all right. We've been dealing with the outside elements.

Yes, this is a beautiful studio, man, I didn't know we had this really fantastically Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. Thanks for tuning in on this Thursday morning. However, you're been to get with family and friends. If you're traveling, be safe out there. We got anohing of football on the show today, and Bill Krackenberger unscripted with the crack Man, who has decided to spend an hour of his Thanksgiving with us as well.

Yes, this is a beautiful studio, man, I didn't know we had this really fantastically Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. Thanks for tuning in on this Thursday morning. However, you're been to get with family and friends. If you're traveling, be safe out there. We got anohing of football on the show today, and Bill Krackenberger unscripted with the crack Man, who has decided to spend an hour of his Thanksgiving with us as well.

Got a love betters.

Got a love betters.

What happens? What happens to you? When Bill shows up? I go back there? Oh yeah, we banish you, Yeah, we banish me. Okay, yes, okay, So let's talk about these games they First of all, let me just say this. I put in my contest picks me too, You did already as well?

What happens? What happens to you? When Bill shows up? I go back there? Oh yeah, we banish you, Yeah, we banish me. Okay, yes, okay, So let's talk about these games they First of all, let me just say this. I put in my contest picks me too, You did already as well?

Yeah, I thought I was me too, because I don't know how long it took me going over Sunday's card to say I'm not finding five picks.

Yeah, I thought I was me too, because I don't know how long it took me going over Sunday's card to say I'm not finding five picks.

That is here on That is exactly what I ended up with. Yep, exactly. I was like, I want as little part of Sunday as possible. It's kind of been saying that all week. What did you end up with today? What did I end up with? Everybody? Everybody on Earth ended up with Detroit. I assume you're on Earth.

That is here on That is exactly what I ended up with. Yep, exactly. I was like, I want as little part of Sunday as possible. It's kind of been saying that all week. What did you end up with today? What did I end up with? Everybody? Everybody on Earth ended up with Detroit. I assume you're on Earth.

Oh yeah, yeah, I grabbed that seven on the opener, so laid that and then I've got a teaser with the Lions and the Niners.

Oh yeah, yeah, I grabbed that seven on the opener, so laid that and then I've got a teaser with the Lions and the Niners.

Uh, that's me too, a little on Thanksgiving to the same good one. I also have Lions first half. Okay, yeah, Drew gave talked about that the other day with us.

Uh, that's me too, a little on Thanksgiving to the same good one. I also have Lions first half. Okay, yeah, Drew gave talked about that the other day with us.

That's right.

That's right.

I like that Lions.

I like that Lions.

Texans teaser as well, and that would be everything that's linked in to today.

Texans teaser as well, and that would be everything that's linked in to today.

So far.

So far.

I went Lions. I went Lions first half as well. I did not remember that you talked about the Lions first half. We'll get into some numbers about that here. Momentarily. I also took the Commanders plus the points, the Commodores plus the points, give them to me because it got so high, man, it got to thirteen.

I went Lions. I went Lions first half as well. I did not remember that you talked about the Lions first half. We'll get into some numbers about that here. Momentarily. I also took the Commanders plus the points, the Commodores plus the points, give them to me because it got so high, man, it got to thirteen.

It's thirteen, as like, what are we doing? It's thirteen?

It's thirteen, as like, what are we doing? It's thirteen?

To that I could easily lose it, like Cowboys could easily win by twenty seven, and I'll be like, well, there you go. It should have been thirteen. But this just seems high for a commodore's defense that yes, does stink, but an offense that will.

To that I could easily lose it, like Cowboys could easily win by twenty seven, and I'll be like, well, there you go. It should have been thirteen. But this just seems high for a commodore's defense that yes, does stink, but an offense that will.

We'll keep up with you as.

We'll keep up with you as.

Long as this is the big if, as long as they don't turn the ball over. So I took the thirteen and I did lay the seven with the forty nine ers. But a little later, I think next segment we'll get to this game. This is the one where I want to you know, I'm gonna make a compelling case for the Lions, and we're gonna make a compelling case for the for the Cowboys, because I think most people are on the Cowboy side, but I'm going to make the case for the opposite play of what I made. I love the Niners here today, but doctor Bob made a super duper case for the Seahawks.

Long as this is the big if, as long as they don't turn the ball over. So I took the thirteen and I did lay the seven with the forty nine ers. But a little later, I think next segment we'll get to this game. This is the one where I want to you know, I'm gonna make a compelling case for the Lions, and we're gonna make a compelling case for the for the Cowboys, because I think most people are on the Cowboy side, but I'm going to make the case for the opposite play of what I made. I love the Niners here today, but doctor Bob made a super duper case for the Seahawks.

And I'll get into all that.

And I'll get into all that.

First of all, the first game today about about the Packers and the Lions.

First of all, the first game today about about the Packers and the Lions.

In case you haven't missed it.

In case you haven't missed it.

In case you've missed it, running backs Aaron Jones, not to mention Emmanuel Wilson, they've already been ruled out. AJ Dillon is a go. He's gonna fight through a groin injury. But they also don't have D'antavian Wicks, one of their top wide receivers. He appears unlikely to be cleared for concussion. I believe that's the case as well.

In case you've missed it, running backs Aaron Jones, not to mention Emmanuel Wilson, they've already been ruled out. AJ Dillon is a go. He's gonna fight through a groin injury. But they also don't have D'antavian Wicks, one of their top wide receivers. He appears unlikely to be cleared for concussion. I believe that's the case as well.

Now.

Now.

Tight End Luke Musgrave placed on IR He was hospitalized with the old lacerated kidney Kelly, which is always a fun injury. And then on defense Deveandre Campbell Alexander their game time decisions. And if you're into trends, which we typically aren't on this show, but you know, for Thanksgiving, let's go with the trend here since nineteen ninety. Since nineteen ninety, favorites of seven or more points on Thanksgiving are twenty seven and four straight up, twenty six that one more time, twenty seven and four straight up. These are obviously big spreads, though, twenty three and eight against the spread.

Tight End Luke Musgrave placed on IR He was hospitalized with the old lacerated kidney Kelly, which is always a fun injury. And then on defense Deveandre Campbell Alexander their game time decisions. And if you're into trends, which we typically aren't on this show, but you know, for Thanksgiving, let's go with the trend here since nineteen ninety. Since nineteen ninety, favorites of seven or more points on Thanksgiving are twenty seven and four straight up, twenty six that one more time, twenty seven and four straight up. These are obviously big spreads, though, twenty three and eight against the spread.

Wow, Okay, then know that makes me feel even better though, yeah, yeah, Sean Kernan does a great job of this.

Wow, Okay, then know that makes me feel even better though, yeah, yeah, Sean Kernan does a great job of this.

I'm gonna go to the phone here. Sean Kerner does a great job of this. Over at Action Network. He when he went previewing games, and he gave some some stats though as to why perhaps the Lions as a as a first half bed might be the way to go if you're into these kinds of splits. I'm gonna go to the phone here. Chronicle style. Packers score five point nine points per game in the first half, that's second to worst in the NFL, fourteen point three in the second half. Packers' opponent score eleven point eight points in the first half, eight point four in the second. The Lions score fifteen point three points per game in the first half, that's sixth in the league, eleven point nine in the second, and the Lion's opponent score ten point two points per game in the first half, twelve point one in the second. So you get it, Like, if you followed just that points per game, that might lead you to a Lions first half that Lions are like minus four and a half ish.

I'm gonna go to the phone here. Sean Kerner does a great job of this. Over at Action Network. He when he went previewing games, and he gave some some stats though as to why perhaps the Lions as a as a first half bed might be the way to go if you're into these kinds of splits. I'm gonna go to the phone here. Chronicle style. Packers score five point nine points per game in the first half, that's second to worst in the NFL, fourteen point three in the second half. Packers' opponent score eleven point eight points in the first half, eight point four in the second. The Lions score fifteen point three points per game in the first half, that's sixth in the league, eleven point nine in the second, and the Lion's opponent score ten point two points per game in the first half, twelve point one in the second. So you get it, Like, if you followed just that points per game, that might lead you to a Lions first half that Lions are like minus four and a half ish.

Yeah, in the first half.

Yeah, in the first half.

Yeah, I saw four the other day when I was looking just the just the pure ATS numbers. If you're looking at that first half, best team in the league Baltimore nine and two, and then it's Cowboys and Jags eight and two first half ats, and then it's Lion, Lions, Texans, Chiefs all seven and three.

Yeah, I saw four the other day when I was looking just the just the pure ATS numbers. If you're looking at that first half, best team in the league Baltimore nine and two, and then it's Cowboys and Jags eight and two first half ats, and then it's Lion, Lions, Texans, Chiefs all seven and three.

Like I said, and this is one of these things. We also have the bets giving contests going up. If somebody could tell me how to check the standings, I really appreciate that. Also, by the way, I'm saying, no idea, I don't know that there are I have no idea how to check that. But this is one of those where it's it's funny to me because if you're talking about and by the way, everybody can follow bets giving on the dk app just going there.

Like I said, and this is one of these things. We also have the bets giving contests going up. If somebody could tell me how to check the standings, I really appreciate that. Also, by the way, I'm saying, no idea, I don't know that there are I have no idea how to check that. But this is one of those where it's it's funny to me because if you're talking about and by the way, everybody can follow bets giving on the dk app just going there.

We'll talk about that a little more. I've had to the social section.

We'll talk about that a little more. I've had to the social section.

Zach Cohen, we're told is the first first day leader, Well hard what Andy Cappers had a big day yesterday, Gil we had a big day, Zach Cohen on the leaflet. We just want to point that out. So here's the thing about this. This is a week where I've said all week long, from guessing lines onward, it's the hardest week in the entire NFL. So we ended up with bets giving on the week where I have the least conviction whatsoever right on any of these games. And there's barely any tennis right, which is my sort of wheelhouse as well. There's only one twenty fives in tennis as opposed to slams thousands or five hundreds. So you have to really, at least for me, I'm just giving you my whole purview on whole thing. You have to figure out what you like the most of slim pickens. Because I'm not a college football guy, as others are, right, that's more their strength. So for me, it's for you. Yeah, yeah, the big it's for me for sure, I completely admit it. So I have to think, like which NFL game am I ready to go the most hard on it? Yes, probably not much more than the Lions, Like that's kind of top of list. Completely agree because the Packers are decimated, so at some point it's just a body count. Yeah, yeah, I completely agree.

Zach Cohen, we're told is the first first day leader, Well hard what Andy Cappers had a big day yesterday, Gil we had a big day, Zach Cohen on the leaflet. We just want to point that out. So here's the thing about this. This is a week where I've said all week long, from guessing lines onward, it's the hardest week in the entire NFL. So we ended up with bets giving on the week where I have the least conviction whatsoever right on any of these games. And there's barely any tennis right, which is my sort of wheelhouse as well. There's only one twenty fives in tennis as opposed to slams thousands or five hundreds. So you have to really, at least for me, I'm just giving you my whole purview on whole thing. You have to figure out what you like the most of slim pickens. Because I'm not a college football guy, as others are, right, that's more their strength. So for me, it's for you. Yeah, yeah, the big it's for me for sure, I completely admit it. So I have to think, like which NFL game am I ready to go the most hard on it? Yes, probably not much more than the Lions, Like that's kind of top of list. Completely agree because the Packers are decimated, so at some point it's just a body count. Yeah, yeah, I completely agree.

The only the only problem is with you know, if we're talking the bets giving game, love it, and there was by the time we started up only seven and a halfs at best, it's eight, and now it's.

The only the only problem is with you know, if we're talking the bets giving game, love it, and there was by the time we started up only seven and a halfs at best, it's eight, and now it's.

Eight or more.

Eight or more.

So I didn't play it straight on the bets giving side of things, so I just tied him, tied him into teasers. I think I did play the first half there, and then I got a little frisky with a couple of same game parlays, you know, go.

So I didn't play it straight on the bets giving side of things, so I just tied him, tied him into teasers. I think I did play the first half there, and then I got a little frisky with a couple of same game parlays, you know, go.

Big or go home, gil of the same game parlays. That's interesting. I got like nine leg ones. I don't have him in front of me.

Big or go home, gil of the same game parlays. That's interesting. I got like nine leg ones. I don't have him in front of me.

I'll have to get him before.

I'll have to get him before.

I'll have to get him in some nine legs.

I'll have to get him in some nine legs.

Washington.

Washington.

Dallas of course is after that. Dallas favored by thirteen as we talked about, DAK has averaged three at thirteen and a half now in some spots, My god, that's the consensus. Fourteen one would imagine would be the point of resistance on this, but who knows, and a lot of this comes down. Look, DAK has averaged since that loss to San Francisco Week five. DAK has averaged three hundred eight passing yards per game. That's over last five games, throwing sixteen touchdowns. The Cowboys top ten offense now in yards per play on the season, whereas the Commodes. Their pass defense is dead last in DVOA. Aaron Shotz's proprietary stat over there at FTN with an overall schedule rank by the way, it should be pointed out as the sixth easiest, so their level of subcitude is even enhanced by the fact that they've played the sixth worst group of defenses. Tommy DeVito, for God's sakes, completed sixty nine percent of his passes for eleven point two yards per completion last week against the Taco Holders and had total opponents have a one hundred point eight passer rating twenty four touchdown passes against them, both league worst marks, and the Cowboys for those you know, the season they were plagued by some offensive woes, no longer fifty percent of their possessions. Over the last five weeks they've scored on They've converted sixteen of twenty five that's sixty two point five percent of red zone chances into touchdowns since Week five. According to Sharp Football Commander's Final said once commanders are allowing six point six sacks plus turnovers per game Pro Football Focus they have a stat Big Time throw to turnover worthy play ratio Sam Howels is one point twenty five to one, which means you will get tons of good and tons of tarrible. And then the Cowboys pressure rate is forty seven point one percent Sam Mountain. Now, every quarterback dips when pressured. Sam Howells passer rating goes from one hundred point five in a clean pocket to sixty point four drops forty points when he's under pressure. He's been sacked fifty times this season, nine picks when dress and he's only faced one other team this year that's been top ten in pressure rate. So this is like the step up in level of competition. And so then you're asking me, well, you're sure you're taking the you're sure you're taking Washington. It's thirteen and now thirteen and a half. Yeah, at some point I.

Dallas of course is after that. Dallas favored by thirteen as we talked about, DAK has averaged three at thirteen and a half now in some spots, My god, that's the consensus. Fourteen one would imagine would be the point of resistance on this, but who knows, and a lot of this comes down. Look, DAK has averaged since that loss to San Francisco Week five. DAK has averaged three hundred eight passing yards per game. That's over last five games, throwing sixteen touchdowns. The Cowboys top ten offense now in yards per play on the season, whereas the Commodes. Their pass defense is dead last in DVOA. Aaron Shotz's proprietary stat over there at FTN with an overall schedule rank by the way, it should be pointed out as the sixth easiest, so their level of subcitude is even enhanced by the fact that they've played the sixth worst group of defenses. Tommy DeVito, for God's sakes, completed sixty nine percent of his passes for eleven point two yards per completion last week against the Taco Holders and had total opponents have a one hundred point eight passer rating twenty four touchdown passes against them, both league worst marks, and the Cowboys for those you know, the season they were plagued by some offensive woes, no longer fifty percent of their possessions. Over the last five weeks they've scored on They've converted sixteen of twenty five that's sixty two point five percent of red zone chances into touchdowns since Week five. According to Sharp Football Commander's Final said once commanders are allowing six point six sacks plus turnovers per game Pro Football Focus they have a stat Big Time throw to turnover worthy play ratio Sam Howels is one point twenty five to one, which means you will get tons of good and tons of tarrible. And then the Cowboys pressure rate is forty seven point one percent Sam Mountain. Now, every quarterback dips when pressured. Sam Howells passer rating goes from one hundred point five in a clean pocket to sixty point four drops forty points when he's under pressure. He's been sacked fifty times this season, nine picks when dress and he's only faced one other team this year that's been top ten in pressure rate. So this is like the step up in level of competition. And so then you're asking me, well, you're sure you're taking the you're sure you're taking Washington. It's thirteen and now thirteen and a half. Yeah, at some point I.

Do, yeah, yeah, I have no play on this game. If I had to play it, though, it would be the Washington side. I just I don't view them as the same team. You and I have been talking about it all year. What has this Cowboys team done well? They beat up on the bad teams right and struggle against the good teams. I don't view Washington as some of the other bad teams that they've completely dismantled. And then there's always when you do have the offense that Sam Houseman able to put up, when you do have the receivers that Washington does, doesn't this have the back door cover written all over it? Like Cowboys get up big and say little. It slings it all over the field to whoever in the second half, and then all you got to do is get inside thirteen thirteen and a half points and you can get the cover there. So this one scares me way too much. I could definitely not be playing the Dallas side in this game. I think if you already need to be looking probably first half is where I'd be looking at it. Here, although otherwise, Washington, it's a lot of points. I mean, if I guess there's a chance I see a fourteen before kickoff, I think I'll be in If I see a fourteen, it is thirteen and a half basically everywhere.

Do, yeah, yeah, I have no play on this game. If I had to play it, though, it would be the Washington side. I just I don't view them as the same team. You and I have been talking about it all year. What has this Cowboys team done well? They beat up on the bad teams right and struggle against the good teams. I don't view Washington as some of the other bad teams that they've completely dismantled. And then there's always when you do have the offense that Sam Houseman able to put up, when you do have the receivers that Washington does, doesn't this have the back door cover written all over it? Like Cowboys get up big and say little. It slings it all over the field to whoever in the second half, and then all you got to do is get inside thirteen thirteen and a half points and you can get the cover there. So this one scares me way too much. I could definitely not be playing the Dallas side in this game. I think if you already need to be looking probably first half is where I'd be looking at it. Here, although otherwise, Washington, it's a lot of points. I mean, if I guess there's a chance I see a fourteen before kickoff, I think I'll be in If I see a fourteen, it is thirteen and a half basically everywhere.

That's your question. We have our own bets, we have the circum millions contest. We now have bets giving thrown into it. What in your brain are you more emphasizing right now?

That's your question. We have our own bets, we have the circum millions contest. We now have bets giving thrown into it. What in your brain are you more emphasizing right now?

Oh?

Oh?

I mean ninety percent my own bets and then and then scrambling to remember what I'm forgetting with all the other stuff.

I mean ninety percent my own bets and then and then scrambling to remember what I'm forgetting with all the other stuff.

Millions one for me and somehow like bets giving is like creeping over my actual bets, which is ridiculous. We'll come back Seattle, San Francisco. Next numbers game visa the Sports Betting Network.

Millions one for me and somehow like bets giving is like creeping over my actual bets, which is ridiculous. We'll come back Seattle, San Francisco. Next numbers game visa the Sports Betting Network.

Numbers game on these Sports Betting Network.

Numbers game on these Sports Betting Network.

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If you haven't become a vs and Pro subscriber yet, now it's your best chance to sign up and save. Sign up on our Black Friday special today get vson Pro access to everything we do from now through May. First for only sixty dollars, sign of to day and get access to daily best bets, unlimited access to or exclusive betting slits, premium analysis and twenty four seven video access, plus all our betting guides and best bets for the upcoming College Bowls, the Super Bowl, and March Madness. Do miss our best new subscriber offer of the Year. Visit Visa dot com slash subscribe to sign up on our Black Friday special Now Black Friday. Kelly, it's VSI n dot com slash subscribe. You shopping tomorrow.

I got a couple of things written down. Yeah, I got a couple of things you shopping before. I mean mainly myself, but you know, I might get started on a couple of holiday gifts.

I got a couple of things written down. Yeah, I got a couple of things you shopping before. I mean mainly myself, but you know, I might get started on a couple of holiday gifts.

It's gotta loved ones the Christmas. I loved ones. Yeah, I love myself more so. Yeah, I gotta get to get a new pair of air pods.

It's gotta loved ones the Christmas. I loved ones. Yeah, I love myself more so. Yeah, I gotta get to get a new pair of air pods.

That's written down. I got a couple things. Oh so it's for your so I see first of all. Yeahsc Happy Thanksgiving to you. Happy Thanksgiving everyone who's out there listening, allowing us to be part of your Thanksgiving morning with a triple header of NFL football. Also thanks to the crew that has stayed over here at Circa. They led us into Circa Kelly and Me today and so we want to thank everybody who's sticking around. They usually I guess they stick a rupfera Lombardy too, But I just want to thank you for being here today. Sergio, Nick Darnell is new. I haven't met Darnell and Mikyle who is a I don't know if you know this. I'm gonna watch this, but he's born to Indian parents. I've raised in Britain or we're born in Texas, something like that. Anyway, he's an F one officionado. We used to have him on the show and he used to do an F one bit for us, and then I would get bored after three minutes and Pearls would kick him out of the chair. That was our bit. But Michael is no longer going to be with us after some time, I believe, so we want to wish him well if I don't get a chance to see him. And Reggie, of course, who's slow jamming. If I missed anybody back there, I apologize. Yeah, we got justin back there. We got Whyatt working somewhere remotely in California. Yeah, Tom Tom Check sitting in a hotel room listening to this right now, editing some things get tweets at beating the book, and I always appreciate the feedback from everybody. This is I just want a lot of love here for for the podcast yesterday, and I just want to get into some of these because the megapod was killing it with Ye that wasn't Chris Filika, Yes, oh it was. It was complete utter mayhem. I lost all control, honestly, like it I said. I said in the middle of that podcast, I said, if you just landed on this for the first time, you will never come back and listen to what is this? This is from? This is from just to follow Visen. He said, if you'd have told me Chris Filik is the mirror of Todd before listening to this, I'd have said no, I simply don't believe it. Now I see their two piece in a pod cast. See what he did there, Joe Dirt, appreciate you recording the Megapod. I remember a time when there was a bye week for the group. Still hoping to get my dose of the Greek Gambler this year. Ace, Happy Thanksgiving to you and good luck on your bets. We'll try to get Ace on there and thank you. Happy Thanksgiving to you. Trust the Glove thanks for a fun show. This is from Teasers and Parlays. Happy Thanksgiving to Gill and Kelly and the Numbers Game crew. This is my third full year listening to the the show and am thankful of the knowledge I've learned. You all are the best. Have a great date. Thank you so much, Teasers and Parlays. Bronson C. Woke up this morning and turned on the Megapod while I prep for Thanksgiving Pure entertainment. Thanks for the laps and insight. Todd and Chris together are hilarious. Larry Fresh, the Megapod this week was insane, from dueling fight songs to Collagen game overs and Will Hill getting screwed over. I'll say on his teaser pit, great last, but as you said, it's your first If your first time listening, you're gonna wonder what you're listening to, and on and on with that, we'll get to more. I just appreciate everybody taking the time to write such kind notes and Happy Thanksgiving again, and thanks for allowing the Megapod to be part of that as well.

That's written down. I got a couple things. Oh so it's for your so I see first of all. Yeahsc Happy Thanksgiving to you. Happy Thanksgiving everyone who's out there listening, allowing us to be part of your Thanksgiving morning with a triple header of NFL football. Also thanks to the crew that has stayed over here at Circa. They led us into Circa Kelly and Me today and so we want to thank everybody who's sticking around. They usually I guess they stick a rupfera Lombardy too, But I just want to thank you for being here today. Sergio, Nick Darnell is new. I haven't met Darnell and Mikyle who is a I don't know if you know this. I'm gonna watch this, but he's born to Indian parents. I've raised in Britain or we're born in Texas, something like that. Anyway, he's an F one officionado. We used to have him on the show and he used to do an F one bit for us, and then I would get bored after three minutes and Pearls would kick him out of the chair. That was our bit. But Michael is no longer going to be with us after some time, I believe, so we want to wish him well if I don't get a chance to see him. And Reggie, of course, who's slow jamming. If I missed anybody back there, I apologize. Yeah, we got justin back there. We got Whyatt working somewhere remotely in California. Yeah, Tom Tom Check sitting in a hotel room listening to this right now, editing some things get tweets at beating the book, and I always appreciate the feedback from everybody. This is I just want a lot of love here for for the podcast yesterday, and I just want to get into some of these because the megapod was killing it with Ye that wasn't Chris Filika, Yes, oh it was. It was complete utter mayhem. I lost all control, honestly, like it I said. I said in the middle of that podcast, I said, if you just landed on this for the first time, you will never come back and listen to what is this? This is from? This is from just to follow Visen. He said, if you'd have told me Chris Filik is the mirror of Todd before listening to this, I'd have said no, I simply don't believe it. Now I see their two piece in a pod cast. See what he did there, Joe Dirt, appreciate you recording the Megapod. I remember a time when there was a bye week for the group. Still hoping to get my dose of the Greek Gambler this year. Ace, Happy Thanksgiving to you and good luck on your bets. We'll try to get Ace on there and thank you. Happy Thanksgiving to you. Trust the Glove thanks for a fun show. This is from Teasers and Parlays. Happy Thanksgiving to Gill and Kelly and the Numbers Game crew. This is my third full year listening to the the show and am thankful of the knowledge I've learned. You all are the best. Have a great date. Thank you so much, Teasers and Parlays. Bronson C. Woke up this morning and turned on the Megapod while I prep for Thanksgiving Pure entertainment. Thanks for the laps and insight. Todd and Chris together are hilarious. Larry Fresh, the Megapod this week was insane, from dueling fight songs to Collagen game overs and Will Hill getting screwed over. I'll say on his teaser pit, great last, but as you said, it's your first If your first time listening, you're gonna wonder what you're listening to, and on and on with that, we'll get to more. I just appreciate everybody taking the time to write such kind notes and Happy Thanksgiving again, and thanks for allowing the Megapod to be part of that as well.

I got one for you from Jason h Levin. Thank you for you guys and the crew having a show this morning. Question what's the ideal time of day for Thanksgiving dinner? My family dinner is at six, as.

I got one for you from Jason h Levin. Thank you for you guys and the crew having a show this morning. Question what's the ideal time of day for Thanksgiving dinner? My family dinner is at six, as.

At six basically when I was I grew up on the East Coast, as you know, and the Cowboys portion of Thanksgiving, So it used to be remember the word three games back in day, they were only two. It was the Lions game and it was the Cowboys game. Wherever you were invited was always at this awkward time that you'd have to leave and not be able to watch like a big like a halfway game yea of the Cowboys game because you were like en route. Because people every year it seemed to get earlier and earlier with dinner, so some people have it like at four, which I guess is like the standard thing. I was never a fan of that, all right, So I was having a discussion yesterday.

At six basically when I was I grew up on the East Coast, as you know, and the Cowboys portion of Thanksgiving, So it used to be remember the word three games back in day, they were only two. It was the Lions game and it was the Cowboys game. Wherever you were invited was always at this awkward time that you'd have to leave and not be able to watch like a big like a halfway game yea of the Cowboys game because you were like en route. Because people every year it seemed to get earlier and earlier with dinner, so some people have it like at four, which I guess is like the standard thing. I was never a fan of that, all right, So I was having a discussion yesterday.

I was saying, this is the one year or one day out of the year where we all become like the elderly population and eat at like three o'clock for.

I was saying, this is the one year or one day out of the year where we all become like the elderly population and eat at like three o'clock for.

No real reason. I don't really get.

No real reason. I don't really get.

Just so we can eat like pie again later, so you could eat massive amounts of food.

Just so we can eat like pie again later, so you could eat massive amounts of food.

Yeah, Like it's just it's kind of random. I don't really get it.

Yeah, Like it's just it's kind of random. I don't really get it.

Like you wake up in the morning, you start cooking for dinner right away, and then you eat it like three o'clock.

Like you wake up in the morning, you start cooking for dinner right away, and then you eat it like three o'clock.

But I still like it.

But I still like it.

It's weird and random, but I like it because I'm going to one tonight that.

It's weird and random, but I like it because I'm going to one tonight that.

Doesn't start till seven o'clock.

Doesn't start till seven o'clock.

Oh wow, I'm like, I'm like that feels late for things.

Oh wow, I'm like, I'm like that feels late for things.

That's late.

That's late.

I'm gonna say a five pm.

I'm gonna say a five pm.

I deal time. I'm with you.

I deal time. I'm with you.

I'm with you five pm or were you know? In between games? Really as best you can do, that's right.

I'm with you five pm or were you know? In between games? Really as best you can do, that's right.

Skeest you can do.

Skeest you can do.

Schedule those of you making all the food and all the turkeys, please schedule it around football for us.

Schedule those of you making all the food and all the turkeys, please schedule it around football for us.

If you don't think I was yelling at it, like at my mother from age like six through.

If you don't think I was yelling at it, like at my mother from age like six through.

I mean now, I'm like, ma, like avoid the Cowboys game.

I mean now, I'm like, ma, like avoid the Cowboys game.

Somehow.

Somehow.

We had a family friend who always said to me, I was used to like pull me aside, me like, can you tell your mom to not schedule like these around major sporting I know, trust me. I can't get to her either.

We had a family friend who always said to me, I was used to like pull me aside, me like, can you tell your mom to not schedule like these around major sporting I know, trust me. I can't get to her either.

Uh.

Uh.

Seattle and San Francisco is the third game I made. It tried to make a compelling case for Detroit and Dallas. Obviously, I'm I'm opposite that I'm on the Commanders, but all of the evidence suggests that it's uh that there could be blowouts in both of those games.

Seattle and San Francisco is the third game I made. It tried to make a compelling case for Detroit and Dallas. Obviously, I'm I'm opposite that I'm on the Commanders, but all of the evidence suggests that it's uh that there could be blowouts in both of those games.

I get it.

I get it.

I want to make a case, and I'm on the Niners here in game three, so I'm Lions. Then I'm going to the dog on the Commanders, and then I'm going to the to the to the Niners. But I wanted to make a case for one of the dogs here, which is the Seattle Seahawks. And I lean on our buddy doctor Bob, who I don't usually like go through his analysis before games start, but this is one of these where I think, for those who think the Niners will roll, here, here's a different perspective on this, courtesy of doctor Bob. So his point is, and you tell me how much of this lands with you. Gino Gino, who does have the elbow injury, but looked quite fine with that elbow injury on the final drive of that game last week against the Rams, even though it didn't work out for the Seahawks. Gino's averaging twenty twenty four percent more yards per attempt versus a standard pass rush than the Blitz this season and with the Niners. That's a favorable matchup because eighty percent of the time they are in a standard pass rush. That's the third highest rate in the National Football League. Now the Seahawks, they're going to have both of their starting tackles back for the first time. Charles Cross, by the way, didn't allow a single pressure last week, but Abraham Lucas is going to be on the other side with him. Together, they allow us six percent pressure rate. That's it since it started last season, and their backup tackles, by the way, that you know, almost doubled to eleven point seven percent, So they're intact. They're two starting tackles. Then you don't have from the Niners. All Pro safety Talanoa Hufanga is out today he tore his ACL. You've got Jayra Brown in there for him. They're starting left guard Aaron Banks and right guard Spencer Buford. They've got injuries that they're battling through. Burford isn't he isn't good at all, by the way, he's forty fifth and pass blocking efficiency had forty seven qualifying guards. And then they've got to contend on the other side of the field with Leonard Williams and Jaron Reid, the Seahawks defensive linemen who have combined for fifty seven pressures. So there's more right because right tackles. San Francisco's right tackle, Colton mckivott's tenth worst in black and in a pass blocking efficiency, Boye mafe on the other side of him, he's got seven sacks, that's top fifteen in the league. To wreak, Woollen is only conceding zero point eight four yards per cover. Not the or the analytics book at you this morning, He'll contain, you know, he Bob believes he'll contain Brandon Aiyukh, who's leading all wide outs with the zero point eight two EPA per target. So you know, by the way, and Bob always has these these trends that he doesn't give away what what the parameters are necessarily, but he says there's a there's a situation here where the Niners apply to a twenty one seventy two and one ats Mark. I'm opo him on this, but I just wanted to make the consers the Seawks. I'm on the Niners. No, I know what was that the trend was for the Seahawks. No, No, in other words, the Niners as a road team of you know, this sizeable amount of favorite coming off a big win, that kind of thing. They're twenty one seventy two and one. So that's another check mark for him in the Seattle box on opposite him here, because you know, look, Seattle's not very good at tackling. They have a soft middle of their defense. The Niners of the Niners. I'm just in the tank for the nine. I think brock Purty is better, as we've discussed this week, than most people, you know, allow in their heads for him to be. And I think the Niners get this done. But I just wanted to give a case for the other side.

I want to make a case, and I'm on the Niners here in game three, so I'm Lions. Then I'm going to the dog on the Commanders, and then I'm going to the to the to the Niners. But I wanted to make a case for one of the dogs here, which is the Seattle Seahawks. And I lean on our buddy doctor Bob, who I don't usually like go through his analysis before games start, but this is one of these where I think, for those who think the Niners will roll, here, here's a different perspective on this, courtesy of doctor Bob. So his point is, and you tell me how much of this lands with you. Gino Gino, who does have the elbow injury, but looked quite fine with that elbow injury on the final drive of that game last week against the Rams, even though it didn't work out for the Seahawks. Gino's averaging twenty twenty four percent more yards per attempt versus a standard pass rush than the Blitz this season and with the Niners. That's a favorable matchup because eighty percent of the time they are in a standard pass rush. That's the third highest rate in the National Football League. Now the Seahawks, they're going to have both of their starting tackles back for the first time. Charles Cross, by the way, didn't allow a single pressure last week, but Abraham Lucas is going to be on the other side with him. Together, they allow us six percent pressure rate. That's it since it started last season, and their backup tackles, by the way, that you know, almost doubled to eleven point seven percent, So they're intact. They're two starting tackles. Then you don't have from the Niners. All Pro safety Talanoa Hufanga is out today he tore his ACL. You've got Jayra Brown in there for him. They're starting left guard Aaron Banks and right guard Spencer Buford. They've got injuries that they're battling through. Burford isn't he isn't good at all, by the way, he's forty fifth and pass blocking efficiency had forty seven qualifying guards. And then they've got to contend on the other side of the field with Leonard Williams and Jaron Reid, the Seahawks defensive linemen who have combined for fifty seven pressures. So there's more right because right tackles. San Francisco's right tackle, Colton mckivott's tenth worst in black and in a pass blocking efficiency, Boye mafe on the other side of him, he's got seven sacks, that's top fifteen in the league. To wreak, Woollen is only conceding zero point eight four yards per cover. Not the or the analytics book at you this morning, He'll contain, you know, he Bob believes he'll contain Brandon Aiyukh, who's leading all wide outs with the zero point eight two EPA per target. So you know, by the way, and Bob always has these these trends that he doesn't give away what what the parameters are necessarily, but he says there's a there's a situation here where the Niners apply to a twenty one seventy two and one ats Mark. I'm opo him on this, but I just wanted to make the consers the Seawks. I'm on the Niners. No, I know what was that the trend was for the Seahawks. No, No, in other words, the Niners as a road team of you know, this sizeable amount of favorite coming off a big win, that kind of thing. They're twenty one seventy two and one. So that's another check mark for him in the Seattle box on opposite him here, because you know, look, Seattle's not very good at tackling. They have a soft middle of their defense. The Niners of the Niners. I'm just in the tank for the nine. I think brock Purty is better, as we've discussed this week, than most people, you know, allow in their heads for him to be. And I think the Niners get this done. But I just wanted to give a case for the other side.

Yeah, I mean, you know, on the quarterbacks, like that is you know, you and I've talked about it all summer of two and brock Party, it was we felt like there's always this I don't can't really trust, who can't really trust, but be like, just because the guy keeps winning and he wasn't a high draft big with brock Party, and then you know two is the concussions and it's not an injury that you expect to keep occurring. So I never really understood the hate for both of those guys that they've gotten in. It was great seeing brock Purty bounce back last week. I'm with you on the Niners here, but this is a huge number for Seattle playing at home. There is no doubt about that. For how many times I've bet on Seattle and played Seattle in the contest here over the past six weeks, this it's pretty big for me to flip to the other side and play the Niners here. And I think those were all great notes from doctor Bob. I think what the one, the one that really stands out to me is how important it is getting these offensive line back because that is there. We saw it in Baltimore when they went in there, when Seattle went in there and just got absolutely hammered by the Ravens. We saw that that offensive line just struggle mightily in the trenches from keeping guys out of Gino's face. And that's when Gino's healthy. Now you're talking talking about an injured Gino back there. They got to be able to protect better upfront, but they're going against one of the best. You know, you're talking about it. They don't blitz that much. That's because that front four gets home so often we're San Francisco and they just added to it recently.

Yeah, I mean, you know, on the quarterbacks, like that is you know, you and I've talked about it all summer of two and brock Party, it was we felt like there's always this I don't can't really trust, who can't really trust, but be like, just because the guy keeps winning and he wasn't a high draft big with brock Party, and then you know two is the concussions and it's not an injury that you expect to keep occurring. So I never really understood the hate for both of those guys that they've gotten in. It was great seeing brock Purty bounce back last week. I'm with you on the Niners here, but this is a huge number for Seattle playing at home. There is no doubt about that. For how many times I've bet on Seattle and played Seattle in the contest here over the past six weeks, this it's pretty big for me to flip to the other side and play the Niners here. And I think those were all great notes from doctor Bob. I think what the one, the one that really stands out to me is how important it is getting these offensive line back because that is there. We saw it in Baltimore when they went in there, when Seattle went in there and just got absolutely hammered by the Ravens. We saw that that offensive line just struggle mightily in the trenches from keeping guys out of Gino's face. And that's when Gino's healthy. Now you're talking talking about an injured Gino back there. They got to be able to protect better upfront, but they're going against one of the best. You know, you're talking about it. They don't blitz that much. That's because that front four gets home so often we're San Francisco and they just added to it recently.

But it's young, right, so this is I.

But it's young, right, so this is I.

Really like what San Francisco could be able to do here Seattle, though this is a feisty on Doug.

Really like what San Francisco could be able to do here Seattle, though this is a feisty on Doug.

You look great on camera, Kelly, you look soft. The lighting is wonderful. We'll come back. Lowest and highest scoring teams today, next.

You look great on camera, Kelly, you look soft. The lighting is wonderful. We'll come back. Lowest and highest scoring teams today, next.

Numbers game on Sports Vetting Network. I we got to take a break.

Numbers game on Sports Vetting Network. I we got to take a break.

It tuck about zen nicotine patches. We're almost debating what a team needs to do to get to number one, but zim nicotine pouches are already there. It's helped millions of people achieved lasting change, earning the title of America's number one nicotine pouch. If I just sent it to your local convenience store online at zin dot com, that's z y N dot com. Warning, this product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical. Kelly, just just let you behind the curtain here a second. Kelly just said to me, Bill does know we're at CIRCA right.

It tuck about zen nicotine patches. We're almost debating what a team needs to do to get to number one, but zim nicotine pouches are already there. It's helped millions of people achieved lasting change, earning the title of America's number one nicotine pouch. If I just sent it to your local convenience store online at zin dot com, that's z y N dot com. Warning, this product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical. Kelly, just just let you behind the curtain here a second. Kelly just said to me, Bill does know we're at CIRCA right.

Hey, I was impressed. I wanted to make sure you knew to come here.

Hey, I was impressed. I wanted to make sure you knew to come here.

That was my main goal. You were all over that. I thought you were going to relay that to Bill.

That was my main goal. You were all over that. I thought you were going to relay that to Bill.

That was my job. I had one job.

That was my job. I had one job.

He's so mad right now, he's pulling in right out of the D.

He's so mad right now, he's pulling in right out of the D.

I apologize, Bill, if you're listening, we had sweets that made you the book so professional. I didn't intend to Bill. Bill's texted me back. He said, I'm at the d l Ol. Sorry about that. Man. We'll get crack in here. I hope that's my fault.

I apologize, Bill, if you're listening, we had sweets that made you the book so professional. I didn't intend to Bill. Bill's texted me back. He said, I'm at the d l Ol. Sorry about that. Man. We'll get crack in here. I hope that's my fault.

So if someone else is in the DED, please take a picture of Bill's sitting in the dark table by himself right now wondering where we all are.

So if someone else is in the DED, please take a picture of Bill's sitting in the dark table by himself right now wondering where we all are.

Man.

Man.

I botch that we get tweets at beating the book. I didn't intend this these for this to be all about the megapod here, but I do appreciate it. Again, it's the beating the book megapod. Only the Matt Brown family of podcasts gets promoted here, so I have to do my own promotion with a beating the Book pod. Charles in Connecticut. What I enjoyed most was how Chris encouraged Todd to beat Todd and your frustration as you tried to keep it professional and on track. It was all just so entertaining knowing all of you a little from years of listening. Perfect start to Thanksgiving weekend. I'm glad you appreciate that. Rick Mokry awesome megapod this week, tons of in game hoop, humor and a fight song battle. Couldn't stop laughing. Thanks for all the info and picks. Thank you Mariner's Geek Lol. Congrats on completely losing control of the pod. No drinking during the show. Ray Pierce, just I know you get a lot of tweets in coming, and I appreciate the fact that you answered nearly all of mine. Happy Thanksgiving, Thanksgiving to you, Ray, Happy Thanksgiving to you. Appreciate that.

I botch that we get tweets at beating the book. I didn't intend this these for this to be all about the megapod here, but I do appreciate it. Again, it's the beating the book megapod. Only the Matt Brown family of podcasts gets promoted here, so I have to do my own promotion with a beating the Book pod. Charles in Connecticut. What I enjoyed most was how Chris encouraged Todd to beat Todd and your frustration as you tried to keep it professional and on track. It was all just so entertaining knowing all of you a little from years of listening. Perfect start to Thanksgiving weekend. I'm glad you appreciate that. Rick Mokry awesome megapod this week, tons of in game hoop, humor and a fight song battle. Couldn't stop laughing. Thanks for all the info and picks. Thank you Mariner's Geek Lol. Congrats on completely losing control of the pod. No drinking during the show. Ray Pierce, just I know you get a lot of tweets in coming, and I appreciate the fact that you answered nearly all of mine. Happy Thanksgiving, Thanksgiving to you, Ray, Happy Thanksgiving to you. Appreciate that.

Jason H.

Jason H.

Eleven, as you were mentioned the Beating the Book pod, the podcast that not only covers but is covered by everyone on the spectrum. This one was an all timer. We'll get more of your tweets coming up on the show. Let's talk about some of the things I teased here before the break, which is you have your That was me hitting the mic not used to this studio. I guess I can't use my right hand, so I like that you did it because I'm usually the handguy and a hand gesture guy.

Eleven, as you were mentioned the Beating the Book pod, the podcast that not only covers but is covered by everyone on the spectrum. This one was an all timer. We'll get more of your tweets coming up on the show. Let's talk about some of the things I teased here before the break, which is you have your That was me hitting the mic not used to this studio. I guess I can't use my right hand, so I like that you did it because I'm usually the handguy and a hand gesture guy.

If they got it, didn't chop it. And like a mic flute, you read.

If they got it, didn't chop it. And like a mic flute, you read.

Okay, so we have a trio of games. You can bet things that involve all three, which is a super awesome sort of creative thing that books do. DraftKings has these available. So before we get to teasers, this is really the the interesting thing that you can bet on highest scoring team and lowest scoring teams of the day. And I think that I don't know if you have thoughts on this, but when we get to the let's are kind of interesting. They are kind of interesting. I'm glad you you you brought these up. This is the highest scoring team and this will this will completely be derivative or of what their team totals are obviously per game. So the Cowboys are plus one twenty five. They've got the highest team total of the day. The Lions are plus two fifty nine, Ers plus three eighty. Those are the three favorites. Those are how their team totals fall. Of the Dogs and the Commodores are twelve to one, Packers thirteen to one, Seahawks fourteen to one. Is there a play that you like above the rest?

Okay, so we have a trio of games. You can bet things that involve all three, which is a super awesome sort of creative thing that books do. DraftKings has these available. So before we get to teasers, this is really the the interesting thing that you can bet on highest scoring team and lowest scoring teams of the day. And I think that I don't know if you have thoughts on this, but when we get to the let's are kind of interesting. They are kind of interesting. I'm glad you you you brought these up. This is the highest scoring team and this will this will completely be derivative or of what their team totals are obviously per game. So the Cowboys are plus one twenty five. They've got the highest team total of the day. The Lions are plus two fifty nine, Ers plus three eighty. Those are the three favorites. Those are how their team totals fall. Of the Dogs and the Commodores are twelve to one, Packers thirteen to one, Seahawks fourteen to one. Is there a play that you like above the rest?

I mean, there's a couple of stand out here, simply because I don't think the Cowboys should be as short as plus one twenty.

I mean, there's a couple of stand out here, simply because I don't think the Cowboys should be as short as plus one twenty.

Five and this work.

Five and this work.

Just going back to how we talked about this game first segment, I don't see this as a game like a lot of the opponents that Dallas has played, that they're just gonna steamroll the Commanders. So I don't know that I'm going there. I think that numbers too short. I think the one that intrigues intrigues me a bit, and one I would get closest to betting would be the Niners at plus three eighty. The way this offense has been clicking recently, I think they could put up some big points against Seattle. But if I were a person, say Gi alex named Gil Alexander, who was betting on the Commanders right twelve to one, that's where that may be worth a sprinkle.

Just going back to how we talked about this game first segment, I don't see this as a game like a lot of the opponents that Dallas has played, that they're just gonna steamroll the Commanders. So I don't know that I'm going there. I think that numbers too short. I think the one that intrigues intrigues me a bit, and one I would get closest to betting would be the Niners at plus three eighty. The way this offense has been clicking recently, I think they could put up some big points against Seattle. But if I were a person, say Gi alex named Gil Alexander, who was betting on the Commanders right twelve to one, that's where that may be worth a sprinkle.

Today, is it not sprinkle?

Today, is it not sprinkle?

Well, I think the Lions are the most sensible one to me at plus two fifty because the Packers are just so banged up, right if they're just off the field all the time. Yes, and the Lions have a million drives. That's probably the bet to me at plus two to fifty.

Well, I think the Lions are the most sensible one to me at plus two fifty because the Packers are just so banged up, right if they're just off the field all the time. Yes, and the Lions have a million drives. That's probably the bet to me at plus two to fifty.

So the only thing there, the only thing on that is and this is where I kind of built some of my same game parlays around where I think because of the injuries that they injuries that they have and where they have them as some of the linebacking corns, stuff like that. This Lions team, we've seen how good the running game has been recently.

So the only thing there, the only thing on that is and this is where I kind of built some of my same game parlays around where I think because of the injuries that they injuries that they have and where they have them as some of the linebacking corns, stuff like that. This Lions team, we've seen how good the running game has been recently.

I think it's gonna.

I think it's gonna.

Be a whole lot of running the ball from Detroit and just just dominating. I just don't think Jared Goff's gonna have to do a whole lot. I don't think he's gonna be throwing it all that much. I think they're gonna be keeping it on the ground and kind of picking them apart that way.

Be a whole lot of running the ball from Detroit and just just dominating. I just don't think Jared Goff's gonna have to do a whole lot. I don't think he's gonna be throwing it all that much. I think they're gonna be keeping it on the ground and kind of picking them apart that way.

So I don't know how many.

So I don't know how many.

I don't think I'm expecting a forty two or points, but or something more like that from the Detroit Lions. Let's look at the lowest scoring team part and parcel with that, the Seahawks are the short shot for the lowest scoring team today in the three NFL game Seahawks plus one seventy five, Commanders plus two twenty five as are the Packers than the Niners, Lions, the Cowboys the three favorites obviously ten to one thirteen to one and twenty five to one, respectively. Listen, I wouldn't bet the I wouldn't bet the Commanders, that's for sure.

I don't think I'm expecting a forty two or points, but or something more like that from the Detroit Lions. Let's look at the lowest scoring team part and parcel with that, the Seahawks are the short shot for the lowest scoring team today in the three NFL game Seahawks plus one seventy five, Commanders plus two twenty five as are the Packers than the Niners, Lions, the Cowboys the three favorites obviously ten to one thirteen to one and twenty five to one, respectively. Listen, I wouldn't bet the I wouldn't bet the Commanders, that's for sure.

So I wouldn't bet those top two. Like it's kind of the same thing.

So I wouldn't bet those top two. Like it's kind of the same thing.

Like I do expect, Yes I'm getting involved with the Niners, but I don't expect the Seattle offense to be completely lifeless.

Like I do expect, Yes I'm getting involved with the Niners, but I don't expect the Seattle offense to be completely lifeless.

Yeah, you know what I mean? Like that is I would not be looking there. I mean, I think it would be Packers for me if anything.

Yeah, you know what I mean? Like that is I would not be looking there. I mean, I think it would be Packers for me if anything.

You know, It's funny. When I looked at these last night, I was like, I thought these were more exciting than they are. Now now that I look at them, I'm like, I don't know if I would race the bet these.

You know, It's funny. When I looked at these last night, I was like, I thought these were more exciting than they are. Now now that I look at them, I'm like, I don't know if I would race the bet these.

To be quite honest with you, it would be Packers for me, just because of that game script I already talked about. If the Lions really running the ball, you're really taking the air out of the ball, not letting the Packers' offense do much on the field, then it would lead.

To be quite honest with you, it would be Packers for me, just because of that game script I already talked about. If the Lions really running the ball, you're really taking the air out of the ball, not letting the Packers' offense do much on the field, then it would lead.

To that play for me. All right, let's look at something we like to call teaser time.

To that play for me. All right, let's look at something we like to call teaser time.

Teaser time.

Teaser time.

That's job by Ryan right there. It's dayser time. A lot of teaser options. This is This is one heck of a teaser week, beginning with the Lions, who are now in beautiful Stanford Wong teaser range again for those unfamiliar with what a Wong teaser is. Once again, favorites. Stanford Wong pseudonym is his real name. John Ferguson lives in nah La Jolla. He identified years ago that the most positive, the most plus ev teaser legs are dogs and favorites between one and a half and two and a half teased up through the three and the seven, and home favorites home favorites of between seven and a half and eight and a half teas down through the seven and the three the other way, not road favorites. So the Lions qualify because they're a home favorite eight now against the Packers. The Niners actually do not as a long teaser because they're the road team, but you essentially could tease them down to win if you just think they're gonna win. The Texans would qualify. They would go up through the three and the seven at home versus the Jaguars, the Bengals as well through the three and the eight at home against the Steelers, Saints up through the three and the seven at the Falcons, Bucks through the three and the seven at the Colts. There are so many of these, it's incredible. Browns through the three and the seven at the Broncos, Cardinals through the three and the seven. Hosting the Rams, and then the Chiefs wouldn't qualify as a loong but they're they would essentially have to beat the Raiders by less than a field goal on the road.

That's job by Ryan right there. It's dayser time. A lot of teaser options. This is This is one heck of a teaser week, beginning with the Lions, who are now in beautiful Stanford Wong teaser range again for those unfamiliar with what a Wong teaser is. Once again, favorites. Stanford Wong pseudonym is his real name. John Ferguson lives in nah La Jolla. He identified years ago that the most positive, the most plus ev teaser legs are dogs and favorites between one and a half and two and a half teased up through the three and the seven, and home favorites home favorites of between seven and a half and eight and a half teas down through the seven and the three the other way, not road favorites. So the Lions qualify because they're a home favorite eight now against the Packers. The Niners actually do not as a long teaser because they're the road team, but you essentially could tease them down to win if you just think they're gonna win. The Texans would qualify. They would go up through the three and the seven at home versus the Jaguars, the Bengals as well through the three and the eight at home against the Steelers, Saints up through the three and the seven at the Falcons, Bucks through the three and the seven at the Colts. There are so many of these, it's incredible. Browns through the three and the seven at the Broncos, Cardinals through the three and the seven. Hosting the Rams, and then the Chiefs wouldn't qualify as a loong but they're they would essentially have to beat the Raiders by less than a field goal on the road.

Yeah, this is this is me. I think you could argue the best teaser week of the year. Yes, with well there's nine options. Yeah, we have not had this many options any Yes, like you said, not all of them are true long legs.

Yeah, this is this is me. I think you could argue the best teaser week of the year. Yes, with well there's nine options. Yeah, we have not had this many options any Yes, like you said, not all of them are true long legs.

But seven of them are seven. Yeah, a lot of them.

But seven of them are seven. Yeah, a lot of them.

More.

More.

Here's the big question, though, how many of these? How many of these do you really like?

Here's the big question, though, how many of these? How many of these do you really like?

Well?

Well?

I did the Lions Niners like you did. I did, I did that tease. I think you listen, I think you wheel the Lions with a bunch of them and you just go all in on that, and now what could possibly go wrong? Right?

I did the Lions Niners like you did. I did, I did that tease. I think you listen, I think you wheel the Lions with a bunch of them and you just go all in on that, and now what could possibly go wrong? Right?

Yeah?

Yeah?

But I'm saying I think that if you use that as an anchor, you're going to win your your share of these, and I think you can.

But I'm saying I think that if you use that as an anchor, you're going to win your your share of these, and I think you can.

I think you can come out on top. If you asked me, who do I trust the least, Let's do it from that standpoint of these, who do I.

I think you can come out on top. If you asked me, who do I trust the least, Let's do it from that standpoint of these, who do I.

Trust the least? I don't trust the Saints at all. I don't trust the Bucks at all.

Trust the least? I don't trust the Saints at all. I don't trust the Bucks at all.

That's kind of funny because I think those are one side go to first.

That's kind of funny because I think those are one side go to first.

And I don't trust the Cardinals at all. I don't like I wouldn't. I wouldn't race to bet those in a teaser. That's that, and that was my point. There's so many of these options, but there's not that many I'm attracted to.

And I don't trust the Cardinals at all. I don't like I wouldn't. I wouldn't race to bet those in a teaser. That's that, and that was my point. There's so many of these options, but there's not that many I'm attracted to.

So I did play.

So I did play.

Yeah, I played Lions and Niners today and then I played Lions in Texans, and I do like that.

Yeah, I played Lions and Niners today and then I played Lions in Texans, and I do like that.

Get Texans up over seven. I do like that as a play.

Get Texans up over seven. I do like that as a play.

But I in full transparency, I have a ton of money, as I think, as much money as I've ever had on a preseason NFL future bent tied up in the Jags to win that division. So is it a hedge, No, not really. I would love a middle there Jags by seven, that would be great. But yeah, it's a little bit of that in mind. And this Texans team does scare me. I would never consider seasing this Bengals team up. You have no idea. I think that's the one I would want the least, a least part of Saints. The Saints am kind of okay with Gil just because we've talked about the Falcons all year.

But I in full transparency, I have a ton of money, as I think, as much money as I've ever had on a preseason NFL future bent tied up in the Jags to win that division. So is it a hedge, No, not really. I would love a middle there Jags by seven, that would be great. But yeah, it's a little bit of that in mind. And this Texans team does scare me. I would never consider seasing this Bengals team up. You have no idea. I think that's the one I would want the least, a least part of Saints. The Saints am kind of okay with Gil just because we've talked about the Falcons all year.

They don't win by margin.

They don't win by margin.

I know, I don't know who's playing quarterback.

I know, I don't know who's playing quarterback.

I don't think it matters that much, targeting like James Winston, Derek Carr. I don't care who it is. I think that you can still get home with the Saints.

I don't think it matters that much, targeting like James Winston, Derek Carr. I don't care who it is. I think that you can still get home with the Saints.

So the problem is there's not that many books that have the Falcons favored right now.

So the problem is there's not that many books that have the Falcons favored right now.

Yeah, I did include it just because drafticks did last thirty seconds here.

Yeah, I did include it just because drafticks did last thirty seconds here.

This is nothing to do with teasers, but just sort of riffs off that.

This is nothing to do with teasers, but just sort of riffs off that.

Yeah, anecdotally, a lot of people love the Steelers against the Bengals this week.

Yeah, anecdotally, a lot of people love the Steelers against the Bengals this week.

Yeah, love Yeah, And you said you don't trust.

Yeah, love Yeah, And you said you don't trust.

Him in a teaser. Dude, Can you get to the point where you love the Steelers and anything with Kenny Picken?

Him in a teaser. Dude, Can you get to the point where you love the Steelers and anything with Kenny Picken?

No? No, No, I mean I get it. This is the It was a side.

No? No, No, I mean I get it. This is the It was a side.

That I batted around in my head about maybe including in the contest. I just couldn't get there because I think I think Tomlin will keep it very simple. Right, it's gonna be We're gonna run the ball a bunch, make simple throws for Kenny Piggott and revamp this offense.

That I batted around in my head about maybe including in the contest. I just couldn't get there because I think I think Tomlin will keep it very simple. Right, it's gonna be We're gonna run the ball a bunch, make simple throws for Kenny Piggott and revamp this offense.

All right, we're gonna banish you for a while. Crack has made it. He's s fitz in, but he's made it over to this circup from the deed. I apologize ahead, We'll come back unscripted with the crack Man of Bill Krackenberger. It's a numbers game at Vista these Sports Betting Network.

All right, we're gonna banish you for a while. Crack has made it. He's s fitz in, but he's made it over to this circup from the deed. I apologize ahead, We'll come back unscripted with the crack Man of Bill Krackenberger. It's a numbers game at Vista these Sports Betting Network.

Numbers game Sports Betting Network.

Numbers game Sports Betting Network.

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