In this episode, host Duane Schulthess sits down with Ipsita Smolinski, Founder and Managing Director of Capitol Street and faculty at Georgetown University and Johns Hopkins Carey Business School. They unpack the Inflation Reduction Act’s drug-pricing mechanisms, assess economic projections against emerging industry data, and discuss how changing R&D incentives, trade policy complexities, and regulatory uncertainty are reshaping the biopharmaceutical landscape.

Key Topics:

• Data-Driven Strategy: A look at how economic modeling and real-world data underpin policy recommendations for biopharma legislation and health policy.
• IRA Drug-Pricing Mechanisms: Exploration of CPI-U–based inflationary rebates, the Part D overhaul with a $2,000 out-of-pocket cap, and the phased rollout of Medicare negotiations in 2026.
• Forecasts Versus Impact: Examination of the CBO’s initial estimate of two drugs every ten years compared to later indications of a far greater effect on individual companies.
• R&D Incentive Shifts: Analysis of the nine-year exclusivity for small molecules versus thirteen years for biologics and its influence on venture capital flows.
• Trade, Tariffs, and Regulation: Discussion of EPIC Act prospects, most favored nation pricing proposals, tariff implementation challenges, China’s expanding trial footprint, and the call for clearer FDA and NIH guidance.

This episode illuminates how the IRA, economic forecasts, and global policy dynamics are influencing drug pricing, innovation incentives, and supply chains. It’s essential listening for policymakers, industry leaders, investors, and anyone invested in the future of healthcare economics and biopharma strategy.