Radical uncertainty, a concept popularised by the former Bank of England Head Mervyn King, describes a situation where historical data provides no useful guidance to future outcomes. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused untold misery to millions and no one knows how long the war will last. It has also exacerbated risk in financial markets and the dispersion of potential outcomes has widened.

In this flash update, Fahad Kamal, Chief Investment Officer, is joined by Andrew Thompson, Head of Investment Management. What is the impact of the current geopolitical conflict on markets and investment portfolios? When the outlook is cloudy and uncertain, how do signals from our investment process guide decision making?

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