Economic headwinds coming out of the Middle East could set back the labour market.

The number of filled jobs across the country lifted 0.3% from January to February.

But where public safety, healthcare, and education hiring improved in the past year, construction and manufacturing jobs slumped.

Employers and Manufacturers Association's Alan McDonald told Mike Hosking we're yet to see the impacts of this war on business confidence and hiring intentions.

He says they're keeping a watchful eye on what happens with fuel supply and prices which could lead to difficult decisions, if it continues.

LISTEN ABOVE 

Economic headwinds coming out of the Middle East could set back the labour market.
The number of filled jobs across the country lifted 0.3% from January to February.
But where public safety, healthcare, and education hiring improved in the past year, construction and manufacturing jobs slumped.
Employers and Manufacturers Association's Alan McDonald told Mike Hosking we're yet to see the impacts of this war on business confidence and hiring intentions.
He says they're keeping a watchful eye on what happens with fuel supply and prices which could lead to difficult decisions, if it continues.
LISTEN ABOVE&nbsp;

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Open your mind to the world with New Zealand’s number one breakfast radio show. Without question, as New Zealand’s number one talk host, Mike Hosking sets the day’s agenda. The sharpest voice and mind in the business, Mike drives strong opinion, delivers the best talent, and always leaves you wanting more. The Mike Hosking Breakfast always cuts through and delivers the best daily on Newstalk ZB.

Open your mind to the world with New Zealand’s number one breakfast radio show.Without question, as New Zealand’s number one talk host, Mike Hosking sets the day’s agenda.The sharpest voice and mind in the business, Mike drives strong opinion,...

The Mike Hosking Breakfast

Alan McDonald: Employers and Manufacturers Association Head of Advocacy and Strategy on the effect of the Middle East conflict on the labour market

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/7784f840-c291-422a-924b-ad9000bbad71/clips/9bb6ad4f-74cf-4f9c-8d23-b41d013d01d7/transcript

At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all. 

 

The war: 6/10 

It ended the way at least some thought it would: within six weeks, with last minute high drama. Now there'll be a bit of back and forward, but eventually, like all Middle East conflicts, we will all go home. 

 

Artemis II: 7/10 

I have failed to get as fizzed as some, but the other side of the moon is cool. The photos were cool, even if you saw the same thing 50 years ago. 

 

The pilot rescue: 6/10 

Brilliantly executed and brilliantly sold, especially by Pete Hegseth. But you only rescue a bloke in a cave if someone shot you out of the sky. Ol' Pete didn’t tell you too much about that. 

 

Commodities: 9/10 

Another week, another record for NZ Inc. Pretty much everything we sell is going gangbusters. 

 

Macron: 7/10 

World leader of the week. When having been insulted by Trump, he told him to be serious and stop talking every day. He sounded adult at a time when Trump sounded deranged, petty and childish. 

 

LISTEN ABOVE FOR MIKE HOSKING'S FULL WEEK IN REVIEW 

At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/on-air/mike-hosking-breakfast/audio/john-bolton-former-trump-national-security-advisor-on-the-handling-of-the-situation-in-the-middle-east-the-ceasefire-negotiations/">The war: 6/10</a>&nbsp;
It ended the way at least some thought it would: within six weeks, with last minute high drama. Now there'll be a bit of back and forward, but eventually, like all Middle East conflicts, we will all go home.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Artemis II: 7/10&nbsp;
I have failed to get as fizzed as some, but the other side of the moon is cool. The photos were cool, even if you saw the same thing 50 years ago.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
The pilot rescue: 6/10&nbsp;
Brilliantly executed and brilliantly sold, especially by Pete Hegseth. But you only rescue a bloke in a cave if someone shot you out of the sky. Ol' Pete didn’t tell you too much about that.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/on-air/mike-hosking-breakfast/audio/katherine-rich-businessnz-ceo-on-the-weakening-dollar-helping-rise-commodity-prices/">Commodities: 9/10</a>&nbsp;
Another week, another record for NZ Inc. Pretty much everything we sell is going gangbusters.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Macron: 7/10&nbsp;
World leader of the week. When having been insulted by Trump, he told him to be serious and stop talking every day. He sounded adult at a time when Trump sounded deranged, petty and childish.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
LISTEN ABOVE FOR MIKE HOSKING'S FULL WEEK IN REVIEW&nbsp;

Mark the Week: The war ended the way some thought it would

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/7784f840-c291-422a-924b-ad9000bbad71/clips/cdd41dc9-dbfd-454a-b77f-b4270173acb2/transcript

Here is an irony for you. 

Could it be that the Prime Minister, the one so disliked by the media, is actually so good at his job that his numbers are a result of his excellence? 

The pollster David Farrar has broken down the NZ First poll numbers this week. 

Now, small warning – the NZ First poll numbers are not accurate given NZ First went up 4%, which is a 30%-ish swing in their favour. 

As I said this week, parties don’t go up or down at that rate ever. But it is true to say NZ First is on a bit of a roll. Multiple polls show a growth in support. 

Farrar's breakdown showed the majority of the new support has come from National. 

Why? Well NZ First for some will be what National aren't: straight up and down, hard arse and no nonsense. Winston Peters and Shane Jones tell it like it is and in a divided world there is an appeal to that. 

There was a good piece in the Sydney Morning Herald reporting the same thing. Major parties have cocked it up for decades, so Pauline Hanson comes along and it's her time to shine. 

Back here, what has Luxon got to do with it? Well, whether you support the Government or not, he has held together a very successful collab, with three parties for the first time ever in an official arrangement. 

They work together and get along together and that has brought faith in the idea that you can have MMP and small parties can not only survive but prosper. All three parties will go to the election this year in good standing. 

You have not been able to say that in the MMP era before. From the Alliance Party to the Māori Party, to the Greens, to NZ First themselves, all minor parties have previously suffered, if not vanished, while in Government or in Government arrangements. 

The Luxon CEO approach, open to much media derision, has in fact paid dividends, so much so that his own party might have bled support. Such is the confidence he has been able to foster in a mature and adult arrangement, whereas the election draws closer, it isn't every man for himself. 

Ironically, it's the downside to success. But as I said earlier this week, the days of major parties being well into the 30s is going, if not gone. You can't have 10-12% smaller players and hold 35%+. The numbers don’t work. 

If the left ever got a solid third player, Labour would face the same issue. 

National won't be enjoying this truth. But if you're an MMP fan, the maturity of what we have seen this past two and a bit years cements the future for potentially stable and adult Government. 

It's the model as to how it should be done. 

Here is an irony for you.&nbsp;
Could it be that the Prime Minister, the one so disliked by the media, is actually so good at his job that his numbers are a result of his excellence?&nbsp;
The pollster David Farrar has broken down the NZ First poll numbers this week.&nbsp;
Now, small warning – the NZ First poll numbers are not accurate given NZ First went up 4%, which is a 30%-ish swing in their favour.&nbsp;
As I said this week, parties don’t go up or down at that rate ever. But it is true to say NZ First is on a bit of a roll. Multiple polls show a growth in support.&nbsp;
Farrar's breakdown showed the majority of the new support has come from National.&nbsp;
Why? Well NZ First for some will be what National aren't: straight up and down, hard arse and no nonsense. Winston Peters and Shane Jones tell it like it is and in a divided world there is an appeal to that.&nbsp;
There was a good piece in the Sydney Morning Herald reporting the same thing. Major parties have cocked it up for decades, so Pauline Hanson comes along and it's her time to shine.&nbsp;
Back here, what has Luxon got to do with it? Well, whether you support the Government or not, he has held together a very successful collab, with three parties for the first time ever in an official arrangement.&nbsp;
They work together and get along together and that has brought faith in the idea that you can have MMP and small parties can not only survive but prosper. All three parties will go to the election this year in good standing.&nbsp;
You have not been able to say that in the MMP era before. From the Alliance Party to the Māori Party, to the Greens, to NZ First themselves, all minor parties have previously suffered, if not vanished, while in Government or in Government arrangements.&nbsp;
The Luxon CEO approach, open to much media derision, has in fact paid dividends, so much so that his own party might have bled support. Such is the confidence he has been able to foster in a mature and adult arrangement, whereas the election draws closer, it isn't every man for himself.&nbsp;
Ironically, it's the downside to success. But as I said earlier this week, the days of major parties being well into the 30s is going, if not gone. You can't have 10-12% smaller players and hold 35%+. The numbers don’t work.&nbsp;
If the left ever got a solid third player, Labour would face the same issue.&nbsp;
National won't be enjoying this truth. But if you're an MMP fan, the maturity of what we have seen this past two and a bit years cements the future for potentially stable and adult Government.&nbsp;
It's the model as to how it should be done.&nbsp;

Mike's Minute: Is National a victim of success?

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/7784f840-c291-422a-924b-ad9000bbad71/clips/9ecf85a4-0507-4c9a-94c3-b427016fd3a1/transcript

Home-base preparations ahead of Artemis II's crew splash down off California's coast on Saturday afternoon. 

The four astronauts are on the return trip to Earth after their historic lunar flyby.  

NASA landing and recovery director, Liliana Villarreal says a ship's heading towards the capsule landing zone.  

The crew will then be helicoptered to dry land, for post-flight medical checks. 

US Correspondent Richard Arnold told Mike Hosking the ship will pierce the Earth’s atmosphere at a speed of just over 40,000 kilometres an hour – seven times the speed of sound.  

LISTEN ABOVE 

Home-base preparations ahead of Artemis II's crew splash down off California's coast on Saturday afternoon.&nbsp;
The four astronauts are on the return trip to Earth after their historic lunar flyby. &nbsp;
NASA landing and recovery director, Liliana Villarreal says a ship's heading towards the capsule landing zone. &nbsp;
The crew will then be helicoptered to dry land, for post-flight medical checks.&nbsp;
US Correspondent Richard Arnold told Mike Hosking the ship will pierce the Earth’s atmosphere at a speed of just over 40,000 kilometres an hour – seven times the speed of sound. &nbsp;
LISTEN ABOVE&nbsp;

Richard Arnold: US Correspondent on the Middle East conflict, return of the Artemis II mission

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/7784f840-c291-422a-924b-ad9000bbad71/clips/3ee30b96-c95f-4ec5-8194-b427016d1415/transcript

Alan McDonald: Employers and Manufacturers Association Head of Advocacy and Strategy on the effect of the Middle East conflict on the labour market

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