How Labor and the Libs could freeze out the Greens

Published May 5, 2025, 5:00 PM

The Greens are bragging they’ll host the balance of power. But how well did the Greens really do at this election - and could Labor and the Liberals team up to freeze them out altogether? 

Find out more about The Front podcast here. You can read about this story and more on The Australian's website or on The Australian’s app.

This episode of The Front is presented and produced by Claire Harvey and edited by Jasper Leak, who also composed our theme. Our team includes Kristen Amiet, Lia Tsamoglou, Tiffany Dimmack, Joshua Burton and Stephanie Coombes.

From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey. It's Tuesday May six, twenty twenty five. Senior Indigenous Leader Marcia Langton says Anthony Albanesi must use his new power to be courageous in Aboriginal policy and go beyond acknowledgments of country to real solutions for extreme disadvantage. That's an exclusive live now at the Australian dot Com dot Au. The government and opposition up back in Canberra, with Anthony Albanesi planning a reshuffle and the Liberals dealing with the loss of their leader, a ballot for the top job in fighting in the senior ranks, and now an exodus of donors. The Australians revealing today Anthony Albanesi is seeking new trade deals with the European Union and India, offering to shake up policies from the luxury car tax to critical minerals. That's as Donald Trump announced a whopping one hundred percent tariff on all foreign made movies, sending the Australian film industry into a spin. The count continues in the Senate, with the Greens bragging they'll host the balance of power, but how well did the Greens really do it this election? And could Labor and the Liberals team up to freeze them out all together? What?

Two?

This is what the Greens used to be like?

Full five.

In this campaign ad from two thousand and seven, a little girl picks petals off a daisy. She's adorable in a field of flowers, nature unspoilt, but her innocence is contrasted with a world melting down, fire, flood, filthy, industry, belching fuse.

The stakes are too high to ignore climate change, Take action, Vote Green, Looking and authorized by Bob Brown, Australian Greens camera.

Now the Greens sound more like this.

One of the things that we are incredibly proud of is our role in keeping Peter Dutton.

Out visus Green's party leader Adam Bant, who's talking a big game.

The Greens have achieved a record Senate vote. We're nudging fourteen percent. The Greens are now in soule balance of power in the next parliament.

Dennis Shanahan is The Australian's national editor and Dennis, we're here to talk about the Greens and the Senate. Adam Bant, the leader of the Greens, is fighting to hold on to his own House of Representative seat of Melbourne. But he's very confident. Has this been a good election for the Greens.

It's been a disaster. And what Adam band is doing is adopting the spin that the Greens have done over the last five consecutive elections. The Greens have gone backwards the Queensland State election, the Northern Territory election, even in the Green Dome of the Act in Canberra and the Act election. They went backwards in the Brisbane City election and now they've gone big time backwards at the federal election. Now what he says is true, their bigger overall vote is better, and that's what they said about the other results as well. But if the Greens votes are not concentrated, if they start to defe use as has happened in those three key seats in Brisbane, then they start to run up against the power of the Labor Party and the Liberal Party, or the two of them combined, and they start to lose seats. If Adam Bant, of course, loses his seat, then his leadership is a moot point. But if he doesn't and he does hold his seat, his leadership may still be in danger. It is Adam Bant putting the best spin possible on what is a bad election result for the Dreams.

The only barrier to getting dental into medicare now and passing it through the Parliament is labor. The only obstacle to making childcare free is labor. The only obstacle stopping new colon gas mines from being opened is labor. We stand ready in the Senate to make this the most progressive parliament that is Australia has sain.

So just looking at the Senate, what are they left with now in the Senate, Well.

We expect that I'll have eleven seats. With eleven seats, that means that they can be the sole arbiter of the balance of power in the Senate. That Labor has to come and deal with them. But that's where we have another misrepresentation by Adam Bant. The biggest single block apart from the Labor Party in the Senate is the coalition the Liberal Liberal National Country, Liberal Party and Liberal Party senators. They are the biggest single block and it is the coalition senators who, if they decide to do so, can make the decisions in a deal with Labor, which makes the Greens totally irrelevant. They are irrelevant in the House, as are all the Teals, no matter how many they end up with, and they may end up with fewer than they thought. They will be irrelevant in the House of Reps. And the Coalition can make the Greens if relevant in the Senate.

It's not so long ago that we were thinking about the possibility that Labor might need the Greens in the House of Representatives to govern. But in reality, the Greens are in a lot of parts of Australia more of an enemy for Labor than the Coalition, aren't they?

Oh, certainly, And Anthony Alberanezi made it clear for months, and I must say he's been saying quietly that he thought Labor would be able to defeat Adam Bant in his home seat of Melbourne. He's been saying that for months now. That hasn't come up in the polling, but it has been part of Anthony Alberanese's belief and his strategy and tactic because when it looked like the Labor Party may at best get returned in Minor, Antony Alberenese and the ALP campaign decided they would target the Greens the Greens were on the nose generally, and Labor made sure and Anthony Albanese consistently said we will not deal with the Greens, and the Greens said, and this is I think a mistake by Adam ban very early, saying we will do what we have to do to keep Peter Dutton out. He dealt the Greens out of the equation. Now, of course, as it turned out, with this massive majority, a historic majority for Labor, the Greens are well in a way irrelevant in the House. They may even be wiped out of the House. This has always been part of Labour's plan and what we're seeing is spin from the Greens because they are not the sole balance of power in the Senate. It is now the Coalition is the second largest group after the Government.

Let's have a look at that seat of Melbourne, which on Monday afternoon Adam Bant said he was confident about, but of course he acknowledged that as postal votes coming that they would be less likely to favor him than the other candidates. That was a Labor seat for most of its history. Now Adam Bant holds it. It's a very urbane, sophisticated inner city seat Dennis, and now the possibility is that it would go back to Labor. What's going on there at this election? Why is Adam Bank at risk of losing his seat?

Well, the Greens of course were always going to have trouble in the inner city seats, particularly those with high Jewish votes. They have failed to win Wills from Peter Khalil. They were confident that the Greens would win Wills, confident that they would win Macnamara. Well, not only have they not won those, they've lost two others, maybe three, and maybe Adam Bant's own seat. So there is no doubt. As the Jewish leaders have said that, the Greens have suffered from their pro Gazan, pro Palestinian, toxic anti Israeli position, which has been taken as being anti Semitic. It also was seen to be aligning itself, the Greens aligning themselves with violent demonstrations, not to mention being seen as far more extreme than Labor when it comes to rent control, negative gearing, capital gains, tax, all of those issues and in those electorates, some of them quite wealthy electorates, they are issues that count.

Coming up. How the major parties could freeze out the Greens all together. Rent free on Medicare, free mental health on Medicare. Those are the things that Adam Bank spent the election talking about. Is that part of the issue for the Greens, Dennis, that their foundations as an environmental movement. Of course, they had their first senator elected in Bob Brown in nineteen ninety six, and you and I are old enough to remember when they were ridiculed as snugglepot and cuddlepipe. They were the ferries at the bottom of the garden, kind of cuddling toadstools that ground the environment and climate is now something that Labour talks about, even the coalition talks about. Have they lost their kind of reason for being now?

Well, when you consider Peter Dutton, they've lost. But the one thing he did about nuclear energy was framed as an environmental issue. And yet the Greens who used to lead a charge out there, you know, ban uranium, bit like banning oxygen, they have failed in this campaign because they have moved so far away from the environment to radical politicization of issues that there are older Greens who were, by the way, you know, turning the first the people who actually voted for Bob Brown, that you mentioned in nineteen ninety six. How old are they now? The Greens have aged, the Greens have become gray Greens. They have moved out into more affluent suburbs, and this is part of the loss of the Green's power. The other issue is their economic irresponsibility, and this is where there is a real weakness and an opportunity for the Decima Liberals, because any smart coalition leader would turn around and say to Anthony Alberanzi, listen, we don't want you to have to deal with the Greens, so join us in a let us join you in an economic responsible way. If the coalition can say to the public and to the government, we can do away with the balance of power situation for the Greens, they can then do that and completely make the Greens irrelevant to match their falling support and their falling performance across the country at different levels of government.

That would require quite a bit of courage from a new Liberal leader or new letter of the coalition.

Well, the Liberals have to decide who they want to represent, who they want to get back. Anthony Albernasia, in an interview with The Australian during the campaign, said one thing he wanted to do was make Labor the party of aspiration, and that is where the Liberals need to direct themselves. Putting themselves over on the side of one nation away with Clive Palmer, both of whom have done very poorly, only makes them even more marginalized. Yes, it's going to take courage, but huh, they're going to need courage to get any sort of credibility back.

Dennis Shanahan is The Australian's National editor. You can read all the latest analysis and news from the federal election and beyond right now at the Australian dot com dot au

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