A new poll out today spells a storm brewing for National.

The Taxpayers’ Union Curia poll has shown National drop nearly three-points to 28.4% -- the lowest poll for the party since it formed a Government in 2023.

It’s while Labour is up 0.3 points to 34.4% - The Greens are up to 10.5%, NZ First are down to 9.7%, ACT up to 7.5%, and Te Pāti Māori up to 3.2 percent.

This all means that if an election was held today, the centre-Left bloc could form the next government, although by a pretty small margin.

The situation is being compared to National’s performance in the 2020 election, where the party suffered one of the worst election losses in its history.

Today on The Front Page, NZ Herald political editor, Thomas Coughlan, is with us to break down what the numbers mean, and who could be on the chopping block.

Follow The Front Page on iHeartRadio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

You can read more about this and other stories in the New Zealand Herald, online at nzherald.co.nz, or tune in to news bulletins across the NZME network.

Host: Chelsea Daniels
Editor/Producer: Richard Martin
Producer: Jane Yee