The Favorites Sports Betting PodcastThe Favorites - NFL Conference Championships Betting Preview
Only four teams remain in pursuit of Super Bowl LIX and the Lombardi Trophy, as the Washington Commanders visit the Philadelphia Eagles, and the Buffalo Bills square off against their playoff rivals the Kansas City Chiefs. Action Network NFL betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter are here to dive deeply into both games, giving their favorite sides. Later, we hear a montage of fake ad reads from back in August, when Chad was tricked into read imposter sponsorship scripts by producer Matt Mitchell. #Volume #herd
Welcome to the Favorites of the Podcast presented by BET three sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network. I am Chad Millman of the Action Network. Today is our Tuesday Conference Championship episode. We will break down the lines for the AFC and NFC conference title games. We will discuss our exec decision and ours Simon says, do not fret. On Thursday. We will have the usual menu, sharp calls, foxhol big balls, all that good stuff. Plus we will get into some futures talk with the remaining teams. The four remaining teams and their Super Bowl odds as they stand right now, how do we want to play those heading into Conference Championship weekend. Obviously, we're going to believe there's some value there. You want to get ahead of that. We're also going to have a lot of conversations about hedging strategies. Before the season began, Simon and I both gave out Super Bowl matchup plays. Simon actually gave out a Super Bowl matchup with the winner. Both of those were at very long odds. Both of those bets from Simon and I are still alive. So we want to talk a little bit about our hedging strategy heading into this weekend. I would bet that a lot of people have some kind of matchups in play that certainly involved potentially the Bills the Eagles. The Bills are the Chiefs and the Eagles, so good opportunity to run through some of the strategies on Thursday Live from Her Tell Me John Home Studios. I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion Mike Capadre might beft professional better Simon hunt at Also I'm in Chad.
Life is good sitting here my Tommy John sweatpants. My Eagles team in the conference finals. Damn, Like Man Mitchell saying before the show, you just there's a pep in your step one of the sport you love. Your team has one game away, one game away from super Bowl. So yeah, it's been a fun two days so far since the Eagles won.
Listen, there's a pep in your step when your team is a game away from the super Bowl. The way you feel, the way Matt Mitchell feels. Matt Mitchell. If people don't know Matt Mitchell, every year during the playoffs promises his entire neighborhood free ice cream if the Bills win a playoff game. So naturally, he spent yesterday going to the grocery store in his entire bills get up his bills, poncho. He sent us a picture and then he buys pints of Ben and Jerry's and just passed it around the neighborhood. It was minus twenty degrees in Milwaukee yesterday. He made his son do it, and it was lovely the way he sort of built some character with his son walking around the neighborhood headter and not Ice screaming. Now he's just got the entire neighborhood of Packers fans screaming, go bills. You know what else? You get a little pep in your step when you're moribund historically crappy, bad decision making, poorly run franchise pulls the hottest head coaching prospect of the past three years.
We got him, Jeed, We got him, got him, and.
He walks into the building and there's standing ovation from all across Hallis Hall, Ben Johnson, Caleb Williams. This time next year, we're probably gonna be talking about Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels in the NFC title game, and how amazing it's going to be to see these guys playing for the next decade against each other. Am I right?
I was so happy for you because that was we talked. He felt like a months ago. Now that's how long this playoffs have felt the NFL season. But that was the guy they had to get, that was in the division. He knows the best team in your division's offense in and out. Like, if there's one guy that has the secrets how to stop Detroit Lions offense, he's the guy. And then you think about the pairing of him offensive mind with Caleb Williams, It's it's, I mean, how can you not be over the moon at this point. I mean I could be big between about the money, like, oh, I think they're overpaying them thirteen million. Who cares this organization never spends the money. Yeah, it's I'm just so happy. Like the Bears owner, who are notoriously cheap, they put the money up, they went and got the guy, and yeah, it literally I love every move he's already made so far too, Like his hirings Dennis Allen for your defense, I know people are like, oh, he's such a shitty head coach. This guy was a huge reason that Saints defense had a huge turnaround when he went there, Like, again, if you're a Bears fan, you're you're absolutely killing this offseason already, and I'm excited to see what happens here going forward because you already know that. You know, don't just go sign a bunch of big weapons, Go get that offensive line attack it. That's that's the key. The rest of the for me, for the Bears, the rest of this offseason addressed the offensive line. So yeah, I mean, home run. Got got to give tons of credit to the front, front, ownership, everybody that runs the Bears right now, because I mean, you like to shoot on them because how shitty they've been. But even you were just like, holy shit, we got them.
Yeah, I'm floored. I was convinced we were getting Brian Flores or Mike McCarthy or Cliff Kings Bear.
Yeah.
It's also Look, it's also interesting nobody was right, none of the reporting.
Schefty, Schefty. Let's give someone of the cheft.
Schefty was right when it was right, but in the run up, not a single person. The conversation all weekend was about Ben Johnson going to the Raiders and all the brew haha, which was idiotic about tom Brady. Tom Brady flipped the ventures and him calling the game and what he can say to Ben Johnson, and then that incredibly awkward interlude he had with with with Kevin Burkhart about are you staying at Fox? You know, is this a conflict? Like it was so performative and stupid, and none of it mattered because Ben Johnson went to the Bears. And by the way, I happen to know, conversations with the Bears were like deep in progress over the weekend when all this was happening, so nobody had it and nobody was right. So just fantastic.
They got to change the rules. I mean, it's if you're a Detroit's fan, I get the rage. But they got to change the rules because, like like you just said, they were deep into conversations over the weekend. I mean, it's it's absurd, it was.
It was astonishing. But good for the Bears. I'm proud of them, so proud of this team. I love this franchise. I've given them so much I want them to give back. That's it. That's it. I don't want to consign my kid to a lifetime of misery. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three sixty five and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars. Place a bet for five dollars to get a one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more. Whatever the moment. It's never ordinary. Bet three sixty five must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen or older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply. All right, we're going to go through Washington, Philadelphia, We're going to go through Buffalo at Kansas City. I will pull one important stat from Evan Abram's brilliant roundup of stats, trends, and notes heading into the conference championship game, which you can readnow on Action network dot com, read it in the Action Network ap as. It pertains to underdogs. So since two thousand and three, underdogs in the Conference Championship are twenty and twenty two against the spread, the only round of the playoffs below five hundred against the spread in that span. In the Super Bowl era, since nineteen sixty six, underdogs fifty three sixty two and one against the spread in the Conference Championship. That surprised you, sim.
A little bit, But like you just think too about how random is I think you know obviously that Bengals Rams here went two and oh dogs last year was two and oh right, am I am? I wrong game? I think last year was too and o Chiefs is a dog against the Ravens. And I mean me and Chad know we we or maybe travels on the other side. But I remember the back door. The Lies are up ten and we needed a backdoor to cover against.
The finaty with on the Niners.
No, no, I was definitely on the lines.
What was the oh right, right, right, right right. We were on the we were on the Lions and we were thrilled because it was going well, but we were.
Rather up ten. Then they had to back door to get the like seven point covered everyone's But yeah, it's so we're off to we have a couple of years here since you know, since COVID where the dogs have been covering. But what I take from that from Evan is basically the laws of averages, Like we're due for two and zero favorites week right, That's the way I'm looking at it. Above. Yeah, the Dogs just went four and oh against the closing number. I mean, we're going to get into it here, but it's like, if the line keeps moving on, obviously this Washington team, that's gonna be value on the dog here. But right now, I think we both talked Sunday night, I thought there was value on the favorites. So yeah, it's not shocking to see the early money coming in on the favorites.
Dogs seven and three in the playoffs so far, including four and oh against the closing number this past weekend hour youiter rate. I was going through my notes yesterday and looked back at the notes from Sunday night based on Evans' tweet about Dogs going four and zero against the closing number. But the way those games landed, that's a hall of Fame betting weekend, the fact that it came down to Ravens, who opened a plus two, missed a two point conversion in a flucush drop by a guy who doesn't drop passes, and a game in which their loss was partially set up by that same guy fumbling, which he hadn't done since twenty nineteen, the Chiefs getting a safety self induced for that game to land on nine when the number was between eight and a half and nine and a half all week, the the Eagles pushing at six because of Jake Elliot extra points like and then, by the way, the college football playoff last night, that game closed at eight and a half, opened at nine and a half. It was at eight, and you know, with ninety seconds left, it's third and long ish and you're thinking, maybe we got a shot here to cover as a Notre Dame backer. They go fifty six yards and score a game clinching covering field goal. What it like, the drama around the edges of these numbers has just been insane.
It's been so exciting, and it's it's also why you know, there's plenty of crazy people out there that believe there's some guy in the Swiss Alps with a time machine that makes these lines. Because you see a weekend like this, it's it's literally just shows how smart the bookmakers are and why we give so much respect to them. We talk about it because all these games are half a point, half a point point here, and like you just said, stupidness, randomness to land on those exact numbers, right, who missed two pointers? Miss extra point? And yeah, that's why we talk all the time that you know, people are like, why do you guys get so spooked off the number? This past year was just weird where numbers didn't really matter when these island games happen, though, and the books are really locked in, right, They're just all focused on hyper focus on these games. There's always gonna be outliers like that Commander's game, but usually the one to two points are gonna matter, especially in the playoffs. And like we just said, this past weekend, you know we personally on the show or I did, I should say, went three to zero to one, right, the one push against the Eagles should have been a four to oh weekend. But the books are just so sharp and make it so tough on paper. Depends when you got our numbers you might have went to and two. Right, you lost them the Chiefs, you lost them the Eagles. Like it's brutal because the books are just that sharp right now. So yeah, we talked Sunday night the numbers we gave out Chad. They got slammed. And that's just how it is in this point in the time of year where it's like the books are smart. They'll take the professional money ear in the week and they'll move heavy off respected money. And yeah, like I can't wait diving these games because it's it's the best time here. You get the best football and you get the smartest book bookmaker wise like number wise, so it really is the best.
Washington at Philly. The number is minus six. The total is forty seven and a half, Eagles six point favorites. We talked about it on Sunday night. I bet this as soon as it opened at four and a half. For two reasons. I just I wondered if bookmakers were keeping it a bit low in case they were worried about Jalen Hurts not playing. Since the line posted before that Eagles Rams game was over, I had been wanting to fade Washington since the second it's game with the Lions, and yeah, like, when you beat the number one seeded team as badly as they did in a high scoring game in prime time with thirty three million people watching, there is no way they are not going to be overvalued the next day. So I was a little dismayed. You and I chatted on Sunday night, and I was all in on betting the four and a half. And then even in the conversation, I got seven books in front of me looking at Action Network and sort of running across the screen. Five of them were at five or five and a half, including bet three six five, only two or at four and a half, And I felt like you, even though you said your rating was at seven, you weren't banging the drum to go after the four and a half.
Yeah, because I know my quarterback. I watched him after the game laugh and give insane answers to the media woman interviewing them, and it's like, this dude's on a ton of drugs. This dude is drugged the fuck up, Like his knees gotta be bad. Because Jalen's not the type of dude that it's like, yeah, shoot me up with whatever I need. To get out there. He's he's the kind of guy that he just wants to fight through and if he's in that much pain, I was like, holy shit, I need them to do some tests before I'm putting heavy money onto this team, because like we talked about, like, yeah, I made the number seven, it was four and a half. Obviously I'm going to take a position on him, but my whole point was I'm not going to hammer this one like I was with the Chief Stummer because I'm just like this, this this, you know, you nail it. Obviously this number is alway up to six and a half and most books, but you know that's part of my job. Like I put the number out there that had at seven. If we come in today and it's three and a half, I look like a fucking idiot. It's like that number went three and a half against what I just said. Luckily it's gone the other way, and I think that, you know, what you just talked about gives us more confidence about Hurts that he is going to be healthy in this spot. There are so many different things we could dive into this game. Where do you want to start even start a Commanders or Eagle side?
I want to start with the person I think might be the most important player on the field for the Eagles, which is who is Jalen Carter. And the fact that commanders are going to be without Sam Cosmi their right guard. Yeah, and to me, normally a right guard not mean as much on passing downs, but with Carter it's so different. And Evan had this great stat in his packet, the fourth most pass block snaps for any guard this year were from Sam Cosmy. That's a fifty one guards with at least five hundred pass blocking snaps. He was one of eleven with one sack or fewer allowed. So to me, I look, we already love the Eagles for a variety of reasons, but to me, it begins and ends with this defensive line, and that begins and ends with Jalen Carter.
Yeah, just brutal, like brutal, brutal loss that offense. It's basically it feels like the hierarchy goes jayde Daniels, Terry McLaurin than him. Like that was the three most important parts of my opinions of their offense, and you nailed it. Like how dominant that guy's been in pass for now? We know, Jadan Daniels helps those numbers, right, Like if you have a like Josh Allen, Like, if you have a quarterback that can move, it's gonna make the lines and numbers look way better and kind of give them the free bump. But when you really dive into it, this guy is so legit and the fact that he's gonna be missing here it's so macho. I've been just I just want to touch on what you touched at the top of it about we already knew were probably can be on the Eagles just because the j nails is get more of a value in the spot. I mean, even screaming a Smith on espen Is saying he likes them to win the Super Bowl. Now that this is the team of destiny, You're dead. You are absolutely dead. When the man who doesn't watch football in fifteen years is saying you're the team of destiny, you are absolutely dead. So I feel bad for the Washington Commanders, but they can live in this moment. You never know. That's what's so great about the playoffs, this exact spot, Like we're a couple of just talking heads. Fuck if we know like the game, the game can have weird bounces and they can easily win this game. They've put themselves in this position, but this is a game when you dive into the numbers, they are dead on arrival. Like there really is so many things that need to go their way for them to pull off this upset, just because they are so underwhelmingly matched in so many different areas of this football game. And we just talked about them being overvalued, Chad, have you looked at futures at all for next season?
Oh my god, it's fucking insane.
They're sixteen to sixteen to one.
These Commanders, the Commanders, the Commanders is absurd right now.
So they're above the forty nine Ers, the Packers, the Bengals, just to name a few right now. In the future Bowl Super odds next year, it's it's peak, Like we know the deal, Like Jane Dangels will be lucky, lucky to make the playoffs next year because we know Regression's gonna hit him like crack in the eighties. He is gonna be hurting next year, Like the league is going to figure him out and a bunch of different ways. And that's just how it is in this league. Like we talk all the time, these are the best of the best. They the coaches are paid millions of dollars to sit back there and figure out ways. And you know this is this could be peaked. That's why I don't want to be shitting on this Commander's think too much. We've seen it so many times that you know, Dan Marino the greatest quarterback when I was growing up in my lifetime, like watching on him in film. You know, paying man time, Brady replaced him in my opinion of being the next, like the greatest. But Marino, you go back and watch your tape. It's flucish that he never made it back to the super Bowl. That's why Washington fans, you should enjoy this. You're literally a win away from the super Bowl. I'm sorry, I'm about to dive into these numbers and just shit on your team in a bunch of different ways, but that's what we're here to do. Chad, and I just want to start right with their defense. Something mean, you talked about their run defense. That is the biggest thing that jumps out to you when you dive in any of these numbers. I know, you know there are summers that saying they do get better in the second half, they are able to make adjustments and their run defense doesn't prove in the second half, but just over the over the course of the season. Twenty six and run defense dvoa, Okay, that's alarming. Twenty thirty and justin line thirty first and second level yards allowed so past the five and ten yard marker twenty just where lives twenty six and open field yards allowed.
So when Barkley lives.
Yeah, I mean it couldn't be worse. I mean, Evan just put our chat rushing proper saquon one hundred and twenty seven yards might be too low. It might be too low. It's like to me, I was trying to find an angle for the Commanders just because you know hurts his banged up. Janie Daniels is the difference maker. We've never seen a rookie quarterback like him. But that defense is a real issue now when we really break this down and look at the games, me and you were all over Tampa against this Commander's team. We even said it, if Baker just played a little bit smarter, that's a no brainer win cover double digits. Yes, Like we both feel the same exact way about that.
I feel like I'm your chorus right now, anything you say.
But it's just like you really dive into and I get the hype, but that's what people have to push through the media bullshit of the shiny new toy. No one wants to see an Eagles chief Super Bowl. I'm an Eagles fan. I would love nothing more for a rookie quarterback to be playing the Bills, all the Bills history shit. Honestly, I'm again I'm an Eagles fan. So yes, deep down I want the Eagles clearly, but I'm saying as a fan of football, no, Like, dude, it killed me last year having to talk forty nine Ers Chiefs again. No one wanted to talk that again. So it's like that's part of it. I get where I get where the media is coming from hyping up this team right now, but when you really go through it, they needed Baker to have a disaster game, to have that type of game. They needed golf to melt, like absolutely melt. And we joked about it, if they just handed the ball off that entire game, I really do think they probably win that game and Detroit Lions, and they're now in a spot playing an Eagles team that is plus six in the turnover rate. But I think we could both agree chat they've not played their best football in two weeks in the playoffs, like they've left a lot of plays on the field, Like they have struggled different ways, And now is it coming to a team that honestly, if this is the regular season, this would be the perfect spot to back this Eagles team in the sense of they match up grade against them and this is the kind of spot where they get back into their groove of what they've been this regular season. And you know the fact that the defensive numbers are what they are for the rush defense, that's everything to me because I agreed with a lot of what you said about the Ravens and Bills, like those biggest weakness was the rush, and that's why I got where you were coming from. It's the same thing here and Hurts on the flip side, he's been the gift that he's been doing. He's not turning the ball over. That's why these Eagles teams have been winning these last two games. So yeah, it's it's when you dive into it and we're going to the commander side right now. It's the first thing that jumps out to me. Yes, we're all impressed by Jane Daniels, but it's really this defense that they're just they're totally being overlooked here, like no one's bringing up their defense just because we're all so enamored with Jaden Daniels right now.
Yeah, the defense, the defense got so torched by the Lions running game. The Lions almost pulled not almost, they kind of did pull what the Ravens pulled the year before against the Chiefs and the championship game. All they had to do was keep giving the ball to Jamiir Gibbs and they kept you know, they got too cute by half a couple of times, especially on that Jamison Williams pass right, and so like those things are game killers in the playoffs, the Eagles don't have that benefit. Jalen Hurt is hobbled like and by the way, we still don't have official confirmation he's playing this weekend. We just haven't been given confirmation that he's got structural damage or anything that would keep him from playing, So we have to assume that he's playing. And by the way, the way the numbers moving gives every indication that he is playing.
And Earl's respective money, Right, That's what I was going to.
Say, Like, yeah, we've we've seen on this show how often Simon is able to indicate ahead of the market because he has sources throughout the NFL, as do a lot of professional betters. It's not just Adam Schefter, Like everybody has sources in the NFL. I knew over the weekend what was going on with the Bears, Like the people.
Have to talk, people like to talk, and so.
Like it's it's people aren't heading heavy on the Eagles right now because they're guessing Jalen Hurts, Yeah, might play. The Eagles don't have the same predilections as as the Lions, right, they don't have the same kind of offense. Their offense is run behind Jordan Mylatta, run behind Lane Johnson, give the ball the Saquon Bark. We let him get one hundred and twenty seven and a half yards in one play and on the third and four roll Jalen Hurts out, you know, and like keep moving the ball, wait for that big play beat down the other side of the defense. So yeah, they're just good and the Commander's defense is so bad.
And even if Hurts is banged up. We just talked about it. They'll shoot him up, and to me, we've seen time time again. I mean, one of my favorite bets ever. I lost to chat We went head to head. I like Cleveland, he liked the Browns. It was Deshaun Watson's last game maybe ever for the Cleveland Browns. And basically they're down I think ten ten and a half and Watson breaks his collar bone. They shoot him up. He comes out and is basically perfect really against the Ravens the second half. And you've seen that time and time again. My favorite two Aaron Rodgers against your Bears team came on that second half, all messed up, was perfect in the game flowless to the second half, and it's just because it turns off that thinking piece, right. And you know, we joked about that egos game. People. I told you they were gonna do it. They were gonna shit on Hurts after that game last week because he'd have the numbers negating AJ Brown dropped that touchdown, nagatting. He had another drop for another twenty yards. You know, Smith had a drop that was another twenty thirty yards. It's like, that's just how it is, right because a lot of these guys don't watch these games, which sounds crazy. People what I'm telling you, they just don't. They're living the good life, so to me. You know, even if Hurts is hampered, here, we broke it down what we think this is gonna be. This is going to be a lean, heavy on run game. Hurts same thing he's been all season, especially in the playoffs here. Fifteen to sixteen completions maybe twenty five twenty four passes total. That's what the Egles want to be. And it's we saw with Josh Allen the Bills. The teams have figured it out where if you're just smart, protect the ball and run it, let the other team make them a stick. It's it's impossible now to pick up big chunk plays usually let them didn't get dunk down the field and wait for the Nike mistake. I do think it's stolen from the Chiefs. Like that's what the Chiefs model has been the last two years, and all these teams have leaned into and adapted to it. And that's not Washington's game, Like, that's not who Jane Daniels is. So yeah, this I like the hype. I just love it all right, now because it is fueling the public reception even the Action app. I was looking for a game on the tickets all all in Washington, even though it's moved against them, because you look in the action app, the money right now is on the Eagles, so it is professional money obviously early here. And you know, I know you love referee stats. Have you seen any of the ref stats for this game yet?
I just saw one, the one about Sean Hockey Lee that Evan had as the only one I've seen.
Yeah, So Eagles six and oh we Shaan Hockley five and one against the spread, Commanders one and two, oh and three against a straight up oh and three against the spread with him, And again it doesn't really matter. That's kind of like a random, just stupid stat. But there's a lot of ones this week that are just like that, that kind of back up that you know, this is just a bad spot for this Commander's team. The biggest one I took from Evan was the Commanders of the eighth team since two thousand air playoff game on their fourth road ro game in a row, fourth road game in a row, so pretty big deal. Those previous seven oh and seven straight up won five and one against the spread, this exact spot. So the Commanders are just already in a really tough spot and there's already a lot of factors going against them defensively, offensively. So yeah, we talked about this. This rookie the greatest we've ever seen, never see anything like it. He nearly he literally needs to be perfect in this game for them to pull up this upset. So that's why right now I think we're both in agreeance. It's still under seven. I still think the value is on this Eagles team. It's so that's that was a long window way to get there. But that's what I wanted to get into is just there's so many different numbers back in this Eagles team in this spot, not just what we know is better is which is this is going to be an overvalue team. On the flip side, Eagles who didn't cover for about ninety percent of the betters who took them, and you know, they look bad. They have a bang up quarterback. They're now the underrated team, favored at home and a spot that's great for them. So a very unique spot for back in this Eagles team.
Two things I'm glad you brought up number one. There are when you get to this stage, a shitload of red herring stats, right that, the Hockey League stat, the other stat about the you know, four straight road games. They're good information, but they're not the information you base your decision on, and oftentimes our first instinct on the after at this point, you know, what is it nineteen weeks, twenty weeks of watching football and seeing these games and seeing how the market is moving, your first instinct on the number. I have found it much easier during the playoffs to bet with confidence on Sunday Night than I was during the season because there's only so many games. At this point of the season, you have a good at sense of which way the market is going to move based on who won and the perception of that team going forward. And so this was an obvious one. I will give you one last stat because this one felt like it was a big enough sample size. The Commanders have won seven in a row. Fifteen teams have entered a conference championship game on a seven plus game straight up win streak since two thousand and four, four and eleven against the spread, failing to cover by four and a half points. So week you talked about an autline on the Eagles at I think minus ten. That's how this might line up too, if we want to get a little funky and we're starting to feel really confident about the Eagles.
Yeah, there's a lot. There's a lot of meat on that bone for sure.
Hey, as an Eagles fan, now that I can bask in the glory of having probably the best offensive mine in a generation and a guy like already getting fitted for Super Bowl rings, Nick Sirianni has clearly bought himself another year and all this week because the media is so predictable, glowing glowing, glowing, glowing stories about Nick Sirianni and how he connects with his players and Nick Sirianni and how he has remained calm and comfortable throughout this entire hot seat process. How do you feel about Nick Sirianni continuing to be the coach of the Philadelphia Eagles.
I'm tough to get off my views of people, Like, once I have a view on you, you rub me the wrong way, I'm kind of stuck in on it, and I just I'll never get there with them. Unfortunately, even if we get to the super Bowl, maybe that would be it. Maybe if we win it, I'll be like, Okay, I do give this guy too much, but I'm still the mindset of it's all Howie baby, Like Howie's just given him the best possible car you can drive, and his whole job is just not to fuck this up. And that rams game chat, I was about twenty seconds away from him being fired, Like they scored that touchdown there at the end, and we lose that game. I mean, unless he knows something about Jeffrey Leard, we don't know. You gotta fire him after that type of loss you lose when you're up thirteen with four minutes to go and you blow that, that would be on him. But yeah, I mean I've seen all the stats. He has the most wins in NFL history in his first four seasons coaching. But i mean, we all see what's happening here. It's like one of the best teams you can put onto the field. It's all built by Howie. And you know, I'll give him his roses that he is a good team coach and he's kept these guys in his right mindset and we're a game away from the super Bowl here, But yeah, I's still like that game with that rams game chat. That's why I just it's hard for me with him sometimes because those games snowball and they keep showing him on the sideline with his dumb look on his face. I'm just like, he is there's nothing happening right now, and this guy, this guy is not. There's nothing he can do right now. This is totally out of his control. And yeah, it's it's incredible what he's done. You know, he might go back to back Super Bowls in two years. It's pretty impressive. Obviously.
It's like, by the way, you mentioned Dan Marino is like in your lifetime, Dude, Den Marino's my lifetime. He's not your lifetime.
I drafted Dan Marino in fantasy football, so shut the fuck up, chat, He's in my lifetime. When did you.
Draft Dan Marino in fantasy football? He retired? And like, when did you retire?
Like eight ninety eight, Jesus Christ, you were three. I appreciate that a little older than that, but I got him.
Before we get to Bill's jeeves, it has come to our attention, so we had a little fun before the season started. A huge percentage of our current favorite audience has never seen something something important, very important, which we aired back on August twenty seventh. Let's fix that right now. So, Matt Mitchell played a very long con on me over the course of a full year. Enjoy all right, Matt Mitchell pulled a long con on me all last football season with an ad reag prank that took him months to execute. I'm going to bring in Matt Mitchell to explain the con that he pulled on me, and listen. Kudos to him because he worked this and staged straight faced for months while I made a fool of myself.
Okay, last, but not least, Uncle.
Mitch ched You and I have been working together now for a seventh NFL season, And like a lot of our talent, you're a.
Real busy guy.
You're busy being an executive doing meetings and such. You know, a lot of our maniacs excimon are busy with you know, handicapping Sam Houston, State or MLB stuff plus rates or whatever. And like a lot of our talent, you're also made to do ad reads by me for our network. Unlike the rest of our talent, though, I learned that you will read absolutely anything I put in front of you, Ron Burgundy style with almost no feedback, You'll just knock it out and you're onto the next thing, which is a gift, and I do appreciate that. Unfortunately, I did decide to take advantage of that, and over basically a full calendar year, anytime we had a real ad read to do, I would also write and make you read a second entirely phony and increasingly ludicrous adread, which you would happily knock out with almost no feedback whatsoever. And once we'd gotten a lot of them, we cut them together into a montage that Simon has now seen for.
The first time.
OCASEI skips all company meetings and and I just want to say, I'm really proud of you, and we'll play it right now so everyone can can have the context. Please enjoy chad reading entirely fabricated sponsorship reads.
Cold New England weather is finally here. And for sports betters who like to stay up or sleep in, Snuggle City weighted blankets have the perfect item for those frosty evenings and early mornings ahead. Surround yourself an ultrasof faux fur lining of a Snuggle City weighted blanket. Say a AI to flavor with YY coolers a refreshing new wine cooler from the Ying Ying Twins. That's right, The Grammy nominated Hip Hop Legends have teamed up with some of California's finest vineyards to give football fans the ultimate game day beverage. Enter a world of elves, dragons, and flying made ins with Baltic battles, the all new board game from Magesto Games. Say goodbye to scraping and messy grease cleanups forever with the char Boy the new No Clean grill from Weber. Come work at Dollywood Parks and Resorts at the Gateway to the Great Smoky Mountains. Named one of America's best employers by Forbes Magazine, Dollywood Parks and Resorts needs people just like you to help us spread miles of smiles all summer long. Attention, all Canadians. Celebrate the True North, strong and free this Victoria Day. In the spirit of Queen Victoria herself. Help our neediest Canadians with a donation to the Victoria Day Foundation. Even the humblest gift of a looney or a tuney can make all the difference for Canadians from Halifax to Chiliwacus. When those cinderblocks stay dry. We can all sigh with relief this summer. Come sail away with Captain Kincaid Seafood Express, your taste buds and amaze your dinner guests with fresh caught seafood packed and Captain Kinkaid state of the art cooling chambers. If it doesn't matter where you live, it doesn't matter what you want, if it comes from the sea's delicious bounty. Captain Kinkaid Seafood Express, has you covered deliciousness? Ahay Simon, Would you think.
I loved it? As someone that's watching it, It's like, how does this guy not know that these things are fake?
Yeah, listen, I'm a professional. If someone is paying us, I give it my all. I read it with enthusiasm. I respect Matt Mitchell's time. I respect Matt Mitchell as the producer of this show. If he says we got to read, I say great, I'm going to go in. I'm going to read it with gusto. The words I don't know what they are. I am just reading them with gusto. Matt Mitchell, you disrespect in my time and my talent. This might be the last show you ever do.
Yeah, it would be worth it because I will say one ying Yang Twins, if you're listening, we'd love to get in business with you. You guys are the best. My wife loved that read the most. I'll also note that a couple of times, when you'd stumble in them, you'd go like, oh, this is kind of a weird one. I'd want to totally crack up and lose it. So I would react to that by just shouting at you, because that was I need to react in a big way to cover that I was laughing. So I'd be like, shut up, Chad, just finish reading it, and you'd be like, okay, Jesus, all right. So yeah, I almost lost it a couple of times, but we uh, we stuck the landing. I'm proud of you, and I look forward to taking advantage of you in a similar way when you're least suspecting it.
In the future, your suspect Matt Mitchell, and I am onto you. I will be questioning everything from now on. All right, Simon, it's time for an ad read, A real ad read. Our producer Matt Mitchell does look incredibly confident this week, full of zeal with a renewed lust for life. I think some of his hair may even be growing back, and I assumed it was because his Buffalo bills are headed back to the AFC Championship Game. Upon closer inspection, I was mistaken. It's because he's decked out head to toe in the comfort of Tommy John and with a special sale for our listeners. You two can enjoy the comfort Matt Simon and I experience from head to toe. Join the comfortable men and women who've left thousands of five star reviews raving about Tommy John as they enjoy maximum comfort. Simon, why will you be wearing more Tommy John in twenty twenty five?
Because comfort is king.
Right now, you can shop Tommy John dot com slash favorites and get twenty five percent off your first order. Save twenty five percent at Tommy john dot com slash Favorites. That's Tommy John dot com slash Favorites. Buffalo at Kansas City. This is the primetime game. Some would say it's the main event. Kansas City is a one and a half point favorite. At least they were as we came on the air. I have not checked the number. In the last you know, forty minutes, the total is forty seven and a half. Before we get into it, I do want to say I love our watchers and our viewers and our listeners because the Saquon Barkley Russian prop that started at one hundred and twenty seven and a half is now up to one hundred and twenty nine and a half. So good for you guys from jumping on that so fast way to move the market. Here we go again, Simon AFC Title Game, Patrick Mahomes short favorite. We both loved it one and a half on Sunday night.
Simon says, give me the Chiefs minus one and a half.
Simon says Chiefs minus one and a half.
When Simon says do it, we do what Simon says, This line's gonna go up to two two and a half by kicking my opinion, I just I do think the professionals will come in on this chief side.
It's it really is a game where you know, not to take anything from this way. From this Bill's season, it's been incredible. I think even Bills fans would tell you this was supposed to be, you know, win the division, maybe get in as a four to three seed. Happiest hell to be at this spot and Obviously, when you're carrying whatever it is, thirty million, it could be a dead cap because of Stefan Diggs. It's a big deal. They have an aging defense. We've heard ad nauseam how they have a small, undersized defense that can be run on. We know the deal. It's it's Josh Allen. It's the magic of Josh Allen. So if you're something that is betting him here, you're basically that's all you can hang your hat on. You're just betting on the year of Josh Allen. And again the reason I thought he was the MVP, him and paying many the only All pros ever to have no thether all pros on their team. Like, that's an insane stat This guy was an All Pro. I mean we talked that. You didn't do it alone. Obviously, it's a full team. The offensive line cooks the running back like he has weapons. But it is all Josh Allen. Like that game again, the Rave that was the new Josh Allen, the smart Josh Allen that doesn't make mistakes, shoot himself in the foot, Josh Allen. I mean, you know I was waiting for it. I don't know about you, Chaid. I was waiting for it in that game, Like I was like, one's coming with Josh. He's gonna throw one. He's gonna be he's gonna get passed, he's gonna be impatient, because you could see that second half he was getting pissed off. He was like, why is mcderman not let me just run this offense right now? Why we keep running into these seven front walls? And he didn't, He didn't do it, Like I really tend my hat to him.
Great teams aren't always great, they're just great when they have to do.
It's that's my favorite part about this is seeing the growth in different players, and it's like that was the next step for Josh was to get rid of the stupid turner, especially in the road zone, and he's done that. So yeah, sad into this game. No one's model should have the bills of the favorite here. They should be an underdog on this spot like the Chiefs. They're a better team across the board. The number being below three is just to respect that the bookmakers and a lot of professionals have for Josh Allen and what he's done this season and the fear I've been against him. Right, that's another part of this. But you know, when I dove into this game, the first thing I thought to myself, Chad, was I would handicap this totally different if this was an Orchard Park rather than it's an Arrowhead. And that to me is the difference. I mean, Matt Mitchell knows the only games they've lost this year, what's the big common de factor in all those games? It's on the road. Like they were perfect at home this season, but on the road it was just a different story. You know, they lost the Ravens, we all remember that in September ten to thirty five. Then they lost to Houston, a game we loved. Then they had that you know, crazy game against the Rams that josh Awen did everything he could still fell short, right because of this defense. They gave up forty four points. They lost forty two to forty four, insane win. The next week against the Lions were like, seriously, he was full on god mode. They went forty eight to forty two. Like we're talking insane numbers here. And then obviously we don't really account it. They had lost the New England Patriots end of the season and on the road. And you know, when I break it, all down with this Bill's team. It's like it's all about what kind of josh Allen's gonna show up here, Chad, Like I know, betting the Chiefs here, we could get easily get burned. If josh Awn has the ball last, I just can't see him losing it, like this is his year. It really is like it's his moment. That's why I love all the conversation around Lamar getting too much shape for that game. It's like, well, if you would have got the two pointer, the game would have been tied. Yeah, josh Awn had a minute thirty two timeouts, Like that game was dead, it was over. And you know when I look at this game here, it's the same type of view. If if josh has the ball and last, I do think I'll get burned here. But I mean you talk Sunday night. I do think it's about the number here and one and a half. To me, that's great value. Like it's below the key number of two, which I talk all the time about that Ravens game landed on two. We see it all the time now though it's it's too has become such an important number. So that's why I made it. Simon says Chad, I just when I saw that you could still get one and a half right now at our sponsor a BETHUSIXS five. It's like, tell the people go a get I know depends on your look, but stay here and you might already be stuck on the two. But I really hope you can find the one and a half. It's just such a key number.
I'm actually I'm shocked that it hadn't moved to already, because the juice has been headed in that direction for at least twenty four hours, so the fact that it's still send at one and a half is a bit of surprise. You beat me at the punch on the Simon says, because I want to make this my execut decision.
The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible.
Are you heavy on Honor's text to cut the executive decision? Do it? I mean there's like four games to pick up. I mean there are two games to pick from.
So what I would like to do, because the other thing I was going to do was grab the Chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty five, because that is still available, yeah, still a relatively good price. I would like permission from you and from Matt Mitchell as the partners and arbiters of our rules, that it's not a cop out to be taking Kansas DIY on the money line, because I do have reasons to want to do it, and the number is so short that it's not like I'm taking a six point favorite.
What the fuck is happening?
What the fuck is.
Yeah, it's blow minus one fifty. I'll definitely yeah, Matt Mitchell allowed, I'll all out. It's not that I am taken.
My exact decision is Casey on the money line. Here's a stat from Yeah, give me some stats in home games in November or later when the temperature is forty degrees or less. Mahomes is twenty three and two straight up in his career. He's won twenty in a row, twenty in a row, hasn't lost since losing to Tom Brady in twenty nineteen. So I know, like, okay, great regression, jinx whatever, Like it's Patrick Mahomes. And Brady actually said something he was on Cowhard the other day. He said something that I thought was just crazy smart. Why is Patrick Mahomes so good in the playoffs Because more often than not, especially at the end of the game, You've got to stop him for four downs. And it's so freaking hard to stop Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes four straight downs for moving the ball and getting the first down that they need. It just is. And so as much as you are saying Josh Allen gets the ball at the end, Patrick Mahomes gets the ball at the end.
Yeah.
And I also think if Patrick Mahomes has a lead and he has the ball with four minutes left, they win that game. They don't give the ball up, and I don't think the Bills can stop them. So that's why I like the Chiefs. I'm really excited about our futures conversation because right now, the Eagles have the shortest odds and the Chiefs have the second shortest odds, and so when we are talking about this on Thursday, I'm excited to get into this a little bit more deeply. I do have concerns. I have big, big concerns about the Chiefs. Would you like to hear some of them?
I love to hear so.
All right, So the Chiefs running game not nearly explosive as the Ravens, and that's how the Chiefs got themselves or the Ravens got themselves back into the game against the Bills because I do think that rush defense was a little bit exploitable. Concern or not concerned for you?
Not concerned?
How come?
I think Houston is like a legit, like top five defense, especially against the run. The Bills are bottom of the barrel. They're just they're undersized. This is an undersized team. And I think Matt mullane might miss this game as well. If you go back and watch that Ravens game chat, he was he was the changer. Yeah, he was big time and and he basically didn't play the final three snaps of that game because of an injury. So you know, mcdermot's been shut mouth about it, but just reading between the lines, it seems like he is going to miss that switch. To me, the defense that can't afford to lose someone who's poorting him and against the Chiefs team like this, it's going to be deadly for matchups for offensively.
Also might be missing wrap in the secondary and they might be down two actually two defensive backs, two starters. So okay, thank you for that. Here was a great you know this this conversation about Patrick Mahomes and the flopping and the penalties, and we talked about it, like I love grouchy Troy Aikman. He's become my favorite announcer. I think his attitude and approach and honesty with everything. He's just entered the fucket. I'm a Hall of Famer and I'm Troy Ikman making eighteen million year. I don't give a shit what I say anymore.
He's not Tony Kohneheiser, but he's good.
He's he's great though. He's great, So I at first I was like, are the refs going to be cautious calling penalties on the homes giving the blowback this weekend? Will they get a call from the league office? Do you have any concerns about that? And then I have something I heard from on the Ryan Roscilla pod which blew me away.
No, because even if you go, you don't watch it. Like the thing I love about Troy against im mad about was that that is when he slid in the middle of the field and the two defenders hit above his head and they flagged it right unnecessary roughness. They flagged it because if those two dudes collide and meet at Momes's head, the three peete is over. That dude is concussed dead on the field. That's why they threw that flag. Like they don't want it to be ended because of a dirty hitter or an injury. They want it to be ended because they lose a game. That was the whole reason the reps were throwing those flags to protect the guy. It's like, that's why I love Troy Ikman losing a shit about It's like, Troy, you probably could have played for five more years if they would protect you the same way. Dude, Like it's just he just like again, I know you love me. He sounds like it just a bitter old man that's just tired of how soft the league has gotten. But it's like, we need this league to be soft. We all have gone through seasons of backups. It is the worst ever watching just terrible quarterback play in this league. So that's why they need to protect guys, especially a guy like Mahomes. So yeah, that that was, you know, the flop I think was what really pissed him off, which everyone online got pissed off about. But that wasn't even flagged. So again, people think that Chiefs got all these flags when you probably break it down it's probably closer to fifty to fifty than people realize. But I guess, you know, as fans, we just get pissed off about this stuff. So yeah, it's it's low hanging fruit. I'm with him, though, it pisses me off to watching Mahomes get all these flags on Keith third downs.
Well, for the record, Craigman's always been grumpy. I remember, you know, I've been a reporter for a long time. You have with Sports Illustrated. I went down to SI in nineteen nine, to Dallas in nineteen ninety four. We did an entire week with the Cowboys. We had full access. We did an entire issue of Sports Illustrated about the week with the Cowboys. Me and Rick Tallender was the senior writer who was writing.
Thirty Years of the Cowboys favorite time period.
Yeah, it was great, right. It was like the early nineties, and you knew exactly where to hang out, what clubs they were at, Like you'd go hang out. Oh my god, it was amazing, right. But I remember sitting with Aikman in the locker room, and this was when the NFL was changing a lot of the balls and sort of making quarterbacks use different balls, and he was in the locker room testing out a bag of balls, and just so a he's like this fucking league they keep trying to fuck think, like he was just so angry about having to use different balls. Like he clearly just can be a grouchy guy, which I've come to appreciate, which is insane.
Imagine imagine being that good looking, having the career he's had, and then being grouchy. Will never make sense.
I fucking love it. Uh Risillo had a great stat. Here's a trivia for you. The past two years, Kansas City opponents have been flagged for forty eight penalties in the fourth quarter in ot of one score games. How many have the Chiefs had in the same time period in the same circumstances.
Like I said, fifty to fifty, it is forty seven, yeah, right right right near it. So yeah, that's that's what I mean. We're just we're stupid fans. I mean, let's be serious here. That's that's how we are. We we see, we see that they get the calls because it's in these big moments. But it's because the Chiefs are always playing in these big games, and you know, it's been making the rounds today or yesterday. That Chris Jones flag against Tom Brady. You know that that was the last time, like you just said, the last time he lost this game. It was that game on a fourth down, Brady gets an insane call, goes down, ties the game, or wins the game in overtime. It's like, you know, they give the breaks to the guys. That's just how it is. He's always gonna get the calls because it's my homes. But you just broke it down. It's not as egregious as we make it out to be. But you know that's we talk on the time. The refs dictated all of these games, even that that Bills game, that ghost holding call. So Lamar has that pick the Bills of the ball, josh An has a perfect pass. There should be third and three. They called a ridiculous holding playing against the Bills. It wasn't even whold. You just smacked the guy's arms down. So instead of being second and three, it back to help to wherever it was second and nineteen, and then they went three and down and they punted it. So now i'd hear everyone today say, well, that picked name hurt Lamar, and it's like, yeah, because the refs made that call. So that's why. I mean, we talk all the time like you're gonna get your bad calls every game. And like most fans, I just I hate the Chiefs, So no matter what, I'm gonna bitch about the flag. So that's just how it is.
The Bills rush defense rush offense is insanely good right now. The best rush defense by success rate in the NFL this past year was the Broncos. They allowed successful rushes thirty three point six percent of the time. In the wild card game, the Bills had a fifty percent success rate, the best against the Broncos all season. The next week, the second best rush defense by success rate was the Ravens. The Bills ran all over the Ravens fifty five point six percent success rate. Should I be concerned about the Bills dominating on the ground against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Yeah, I mean they obviously have a good run game, But it comes back to Spags. We trust Spags, don't we. I mean he's been good to us. So yeah, like you said, there's gonna be numbers that are gonna point to this Bill's team. But just overall, I just I can't get there because of the number. Brother, That's that to me. The same thing with the Bills last week. I told you it was like it's all about the number here. If I was getting a little more at anything gottter than plus two auto play, that came out to be the right idea. The same thing here. It's like, if you get Josh on a plus three, I'm happy to take a position on him, But anything below that, I just think, well, we just talked about it's an over valued team, and I don't want to get too sucked into the weeds with the numbers because we talked about it last year. Like the Chiefs, they do this to us like they have the twenty second ranked offense, whatever the hell it is, and then none of it makes sense. We know people, but we're living it like that's that's the toughest part here where coming into this one, I'm trying to find an angle to take Josh Allen because I loved last week. I've loved this whole season with him, and I want him to break down the curse. Like we know the history here he's zero and three against Mahomes and you know another funny part at another meme, I love that's going around is poor Josh Allen Bills fan. Even if they win this game, they got to face an NFC East team in the super Bowl, no matter what. So he could slay a bunch of demons and dragons for this organization. He could get through, get over the hump, get through Mahomes and arrow ahead, and then take on an NFC East team to take them down as well. So I get the love and why again another thing in the media, everyone's talking Bill super Bowl. Everyone's picking them now, everyone's all in because we're all sick of this Chiefs team and Mahomes magic. But we know we're getting great value here. How can we not take this number? One and a half? Is just so insane to me that we're actually still getting this number, Like you just said, I thought we'd come in today in to be two and I was gonna have to scramble find As Simon says, that's why I try to jump ahead of you and grab it, because I was like when you did some anything in the Eagles game, like shit, Chad. Chad might be on the Chiefs here, but we agree, this is just it's too good of a number to pass on, right now, there's so much value on this number at this point. So yeah, it's it's tough because the heart, the heart wants the Bills. I think any fan with a soul wants the Bills in that fan base to get to the super Bowl and win it. But it's just a bad spot and this just doesn't feel like the right team with Josh Allen, Like, eventually, I feel like you will get over the hump. I can't see it here, Like he just doesn't to me. He doesn't have the dogs around him. But like you said, it's all laid out there. If they can run the ball no turnovers with him, he has the ball last. Like you said, whoever is the ball last controls that clock, Chad, that's who's gonna win. And we know that bet in this game. That's why it is a coin flip game. And to me, that's why you need to take the value in the Chiefs the coin flip game. The value is on this team right now because it's under the two number of keys, So under the key number of two. If you're just being patient, you want to bet the Bills. I saw a late night a bunch of two twos and a half's popping, especially off. I think I'll get there by game time because I do think Chiefs money will come in eventually as this week goes along.
Here as part of my training. I have no soul, so I don't I don't care if Josh Allen slays his demons. And I love Matt Mitchell to death and like his happiness is so important to me, and his happiness during our entire relationship, going back to when he was just a guy who listened to behind the Bets and emailed me when I was at ESPN, nothing has meant more to me outside of my family than his happiness and growth in his career. But I don't care if Josh Allen slays his demons. I think he's a lovely guy. I want the Chiefs. I want history, I want a threepeat, I want dominance. I want things that have never been done before. That's what I'm rooting for.
Yeah, I gotta say I'm a little ashamed of you. I'd just like to ask you something. How much is enough?
Hey?
Sorry, this is Matt the producer. I'm just interjecting after the fact the show's over. I'm just re listening to this and I heard that line from Chad. He wants to root for something that's never happened. He's rooting for history, and that is why he's choosing against the Buffalo Bells and for the Kansas City Chiefs to make the Super Bowl. It feels like a totally incoherent point of view and one of the most as nine arguments for batting or rooting for the Kansas City Chiefs.
Here a win or lose.
Bill's probably lose inconsequential to me in this regard, But I'm sorry that you guys heard that. Instead of cutting it, I'll just let this rebuttal speak for itself.
I like to root for teams to be historic, and I think the Chiefs can be historic, and I actually get to like rooting for them. Two better coach, much better defensive coordinator. I've got the best quarterback in a generation, the best tight end in a generation against the middle of the Bills d that can't stop anybody. Even when Matt Mulano was playing give me the Chiefs.
I didn't want to do too much of the numbers who we were running up against the time. But yeah, that's something we didn't get to it more on. But just the numbers against tight ends like you saw, Isaiah, I like you Mark Andrews. They felt like they're always open when Lamar could find them, And you think, we really think it's going to change here against you know, arguably the greatest tight end it's ever played football and Kelsey. So there are a lot of matchups that do favorite this Chiefs team, but you kind of nail to how the Bills can't pull off this upset. It really is all about that run game, ball control and Josh Allen and you know, we know Mahome is going to get his We also know they're gonna sputter. Like you said, they've been inconsistent offensively all season, running the ball and a lot of things. So there are ways for the Bills to do it. But I am happy we're both at a greens here because it was no fun last week going against you and then having to buil you Sunday night for your love for Lamar. So I'm happy we're both in love with us. Number on this Chiefs team in minus one and.
A half Likely and Andrews. By the way, Isaiah Likely and Mark Andrews against the Bills combined for nine catches one hundred and thirty nine yards in one touchdown and Mark Andrews was wide open for a game time two point conversion. And you and I are in such a mind meld that I already had that stat.
Love it.
We searched it yesterday. All Right, We're going to dig in more on both these games on Thursday. Plus, we're gonna reveal the futures matchups bet that Simon and I both made before the season began, separate from each other, that we talked about on the show that is still in play, and so we're going to talk about some hedging strategies, and we will also talk about the Super Bowl futures we like with the four remaining teams heading into conference championship weekend on Thursday. As a reminder, the Favorite podcast is present by Bet three sixty five and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites to posit ten dollars, place a bet for five dollars, get one hundred and fifty dollars and bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads totals, player props, futures and more, whatever the moment, It's never ordinary. At bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms. Conditioned restrictions apply. Simon and I will return with our next episode of the Favorites on the Action Network. You two page, eleven am Eastern Thursday, talk our conference Championship best bets. In addition to Simon says an exact decision. Downloads from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever you get your POD's rate reviews, subscribe, leaves five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time. Love you. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler
