Opportunities for robust returns in debt markets are the best “in quite some time,” despite rising default risk, says Rob Zable, global head of liquid credit strategies at Blackstone. In this episode of the Credit Edge, Bloomberg News senior reporter Lisa Lee and senior editor James Crombie quiz Zable on his optimistic outlook — and where he sees risk. Plus Bloomberg Intelligence analyst David Havens weighs the outlook for private credit and business development companies. BDCs are well positioned to weather a downturn in the US economy, says Havens.

Opportunities for robust returns in debt markets are the best “in quite some time,” despite rising default risk, says Rob Zable, global head of liquid credit strategies at Blackstone. In this episode of the Credit Edge, Bloomberg News senior reporter Lisa Lee and senior editor James Crombie quiz Zable on his optimistic outlook — and where he sees risk. Plus Bloomberg Intelligence analyst David Havens weighs the outlook for private credit and business development companies. BDCs are well positioned to weather a downturn in the US economy, says Havens.

The Credit Edge reviews the top credit news of the week and looks at the week ahead, with in-depth research of the most important corporate sectors, trends and themes. Analysis of specific corporate bonds and credit default swaps is backed by Bloomberg Intelligence's robust data sets and indexes.

The Credit Edge reviews the top credit news of the week and looks at the week ahead, with in-depth research of the most important corporate sectors, trends and themes. Analysis of specific corporate bonds and credit default swaps is backed by Bloomberg Intelligence's robust data sets and indexes.

The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence

Blackstone Sees Big Yield Opportunity; BDC Focus

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JPMorgan Asset Management sees value in the debt of companies building out AI, but it’s keeping a close eye on how much more they plan to spend next year. “If we’re seeing capex increase at the same rate that we saw 2025 to 2026, I think that’s probably a little bit of a red flag,” Stephanie Doyle, a portfolio manager at the $4.3 trillion firm, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Arnold Kakuda in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. “I think the issuance is an opportunity,” said Doyle, who’s part of the money manager’s global fixed income, currency and commodities team. They also discuss the potential for credit spreads to tighten, rising net new bond issuance, the earnings outlook and growing macro risks.

JPMorgan Asset Management sees value in the debt of companies building out AI, but it&rsquo;s keeping a close eye on how much more they plan to spend next year. &ldquo;If we&rsquo;re seeing capex increase at the same rate that we saw 2025 to 2026, I think that&rsquo;s probably a little bit of a red flag,&rdquo; Stephanie Doyle, a portfolio manager at the $4.3 trillion firm, tells Bloomberg News&rsquo; James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence&rsquo;s Arnold Kakuda in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. &ldquo;I think the issuance is an opportunity,&rdquo; said Doyle, who&rsquo;s part of the money manager&rsquo;s global fixed income, currency and commodities team. They also discuss the potential for credit spreads to tighten, rising net new bond issuance, the earnings outlook and growing macro risks.

JPMorgan Is Wary of Another Big Leap in AI-Related Spending 

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Secondary trading of private credit is on track to more than double last year’s record volume, according to HarbourVest Partners. “Through the first quarter we’re run-rating above $50 billion this year,” Greg Ciesielski, the $150 billion global private markets firm’s head of credit secondaries, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Jean-Yves Coupin in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. “It’s certainly a buyer’s market at the moment, which is what you generally see in dislocation,” he adds. They also discuss the impact of private credit stress on pricing, opportunities to buy assets from business development companies and how HarbourVest uses AI for valuation.

Secondary trading of private credit is on track to more than double last year&rsquo;s record volume, according to HarbourVest Partners. &ldquo;Through the first quarter we&rsquo;re run-rating above $50 billion this year,&rdquo; Greg Ciesielski, the $150 billion global private markets firm&rsquo;s head of credit secondaries, tells Bloomberg News&rsquo; James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence&rsquo;s Jean-Yves Coupin in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. &ldquo;It&rsquo;s certainly a buyer&rsquo;s market at the moment, which is what you generally see in dislocation,&rdquo; he adds. They also discuss the impact of private credit stress on pricing, opportunities to buy assets from business development companies and how HarbourVest uses AI for valuation.

HarbourVest Expects Private Credit Secondaries Volume to Double

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Rookie private lenders that have to sell in a downturn are a potential threat to credit markets, according to Citi. “If the cycle turns and these tourists, rather than working out loans, just start selling them at below the economic value — what happens to the rest of the market?” Mickey Bhatia, the firm’s head of spread products, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Sam Geier in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. “That’s a big worry,” says Bhatia. They also discuss global fund flows, investment in AI infrastructure and expansion of electronic trading to incorporate collateralized loan obligations.

Rookie private lenders that have to sell in a downturn are a potential threat to credit markets, according to Citi. &ldquo;If the cycle turns and these tourists, rather than working out loans, just start selling them at below the economic value &mdash; what happens to the rest of the market?&rdquo; Mickey Bhatia, the firm&rsquo;s head of spread products, tells Bloomberg News&rsquo; James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence&rsquo;s Sam Geier in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. &ldquo;That&rsquo;s a big worry,&rdquo; says Bhatia. They also discuss global fund flows, investment in AI infrastructure and expansion of electronic trading to incorporate collateralized loan obligations.

Citi Warns of Private Debt Risk as ‘Tourists’ Are Forced to Sell

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Blackstone Sees Big Yield Opportunity; BDC Focus

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