Software default rates could hit double digits as AI disruption spreads and loans come due, according to Bain Capital. “We’re going to see real stress,” said Angelo Rufino, the firm’s head of special situations in North America and corporate special situations in Europe. “We will see a full credit cycle as the reckoning really comes to resize capital structures to the earnings power of these business models,” he tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s David Havens in this episode of the Credit Edge podcast. They also discuss investment-grade private credit, data center debt and asset-based finance, including the rise of music-royalty deals.

Real Estate Is Next Bet for Debt Investors Avoiding Private Credit
45:19

Oaktree Says Boring is Beautiful In Dicey Private Credit Market
56:25

Goldman Sachs Sees ‘Uncomfortable Tension’ in Credit Markets
46:24