Colin Cowherd Podcast - Darnold Dazzles, Joe Burrow Is On FIRE, Big Pressure On Bills, Trade Kyler Murray? CFP Picks

Published Dec 30, 2024, 5:10 AM

Colin’s joined by John Middlekauff, host of “3 and Out” to break down all the week 17 NFL action!

They start with the Vikings hanging on to beat the Packers and Colin argues that Sam Darnold’s brilliant play has earned him a contract in the 50m+/yr range and Minnesota would be crazy not to give it to him (3:00). They debate whether the Patriots should look to make a coaching change now that they’ve found their quarterback or whether they should stay the course with Jerod Mayo (21:00).

They heap praise on Jim Harbaugh and highlight the incredible improvement shown by the Chargers in his first year as head coach (27:00) and they debate whether Bills head coach Sean McDermott should lose his job if they make a playoff exit prior to the AFC championship (36:15). 

They discuss Aaron Rodgers taking not-so-subtle shots at Jets owner Woody Johnson and what the Jets should do at coach and quarterback in 2025 (41:45). They argue that Joe Burrow is playing quarterback better than anyone in the league after the Bengals beat the Broncos (52:30) and debate which wild card teams are capable of winning a playoff game (58:30). 

They try to make sense of the incredibly up and down nature of the LA Rams (1:01:00), and Colin offers a Mea Culpa for spending so long defending Kyler Murray and wonders if the Cardinals could look to trade him in the offseason (1:05:30). They also address the disparity between the top and bottom teams in the league and the large number of really BAD teams at the bottom of the standings and debate whether it’s a one-off or a trend (1:17:00). 

Finally, they pivot to college football’s top stars and try to project where players like Shedeur Sanders, Cam Ward and Travis Hunter will land (1:22:00), and make their picks for the College Football Playoff games (1:30:00).

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Our week seventeen reaction is presented by Uber eats. Get game day deals all season long on uber eats. All Right, here we go. Former NFL scout John Middlecoff, he has a podcast three and Out. It was a very busy weekend Sunday, especially the early window didn't give us much. But let's start with Minnesota twenty seven, Green Bay twenty five. So I had a conversation yesterday with a general manager in the league who said, yeah, you can forget. You can forget Sam Donald at forty million. He said, you're not getting Sam Donald at forty million. Sam's moved into the five five oh five to one. And I watched him today even after his pick five for five fifty five yards touchdown final drive. You know, he got a little bit lucky some play call. You know, let's just be honest here. Kevin O'Connell's development and play calling is substantial. And between Jefferson, Addison and Naylor the Michigan State kid, they have incredible wide receiving group. So I'm not taking anything away. But Sam, here's the thing I take away, John, and you, as a former scout, they're asking him to make big boy throws. Some of this shit is these are hard, even when they were leading late in the fourth. I'm like, guys, screen passes lighting up, They're asking Sam, this is not dink and dunk. These are tough throws.

Yeah, I mean, he's treating this guy like Mahomes meets Joe Montana in terms of his play calling. Complete trust. I mean, honestly, you remove two throws, the interception where he got greedy and the throw toward the end of the game that he airmailed Addison that could have been a disaster. Yeah, he was as good as the josh Allen Mahomes lamar. I mean, that's a dominant, dominant, dominant performance. I thought, given the hype in this game and the pressure, and we know Minnesota's got to be one of the better home field advantages, how loud, it is maybe the best. You know, sometimes you can be overjuiced to go seventeen of twenty two in the first half and just slice and dice this team. You know what I had to do immediately, I had to google Jordan Love's contract because I'm thinking and listen, Jordan Love, for whatever reason, for a good player, he is a slow starter in these games. Yeah, but I googled he got a seventy five million dollars signing bonus and one hundred and sixty million dollars guaranteed. And if I'm Sam Donald and we beat Detroit next week and we're the number one seed, I don't see how you could take anything less than that. It's like, because Jordan Love got paid really off eight games. Remember the first half of the season. He was atrocious, and obviously he had been there longer, and they liked him and they know him. But every time I hear Kevin O'Connell talk about Sam Donald, it's like the way I hear Andy talk about my homes. I mean, they love the guy, and listen, they didn't. This is not a clunky Atlanta Falcons situation. This was good business. They paid a guy ten million dollars and they drafted a guy essentially fell into their lap that they liked as well JJ McCarthy. Things changed throughout the course of the year. This is not a thirty five year old strike and oil late in his career, right. This is not a Geno Smith situation. Twenty seven years old. He was one of the younger players to come in the league. Right when he was drafted today was and they've been doing this all season. I was like, this is not It's not like they've peaking. They were blowing out teams immediately. The Giants they destroyed, They destroyed the forty nine ers, they destroyed the Texans, and in their fourth game they were up twenty eight to nothing on this Packer team in Green Bay, and the Green Bay came back, but they've been dominating start to finish with him at quarterback.

Look at the twenty eighteen draft class, Baker, Darnold, Josh Allen, Lamar. All happened last year's and it's funny. Like we used to always talk about the Marino and Lway class, We've had two classes now that have been like four star quarterbacks out of it. You know, it is funny, John, because in baseball, we understand even if you're Bryce Harper, you go to the miners and it takes a while to get it going. In the NBA, even if you're Yannis, it takes three to four years to build into something. But in the NFL, we figure, well, you know, you're twenty two, you went to college. But it's very similar. If you don't get a good fit, I mean, Mahomes didn't play his first year. You know, Josh Allen was rough his first year. Like, and if you go to a bad organization, I mean, so it's like you look at Sam. Now you're like, Sam has four to five more minimum peak years. Here's the other thing. I'm never gonna talk about a guy's money, right, Like, but if you could take a little less to stay with Minnesota, even though they have Jay J. McCarthy in the offing, it's weird, Like like, I mean, listen again, if somebody offers you fifty two, and you know I'm Minnesota, I don't let him go. I think you and I agree, I'm not letting him go. But if he goes to the if he goes to the market and somebody offers fifty one, but it's like the Raiders, or you can go to a place that's got better players and better personnel. Because I think what Sam has learned is Wow, coaching and weapons really matter, really matter, because I think, I mean, we can talk about Justin Jefferson, but Hell Naylor today, TJ. Hockinson, the run game, Addison, Kevin O'Connor. You know we haven't talked about this is Kevin O'Connell the coach of the year.

You know, I'm sure we'll talk about Harball a little bit later, but to me, it's Kevin O'Connell or Jim Harbaugh. I mean, Jim Harbaugh took over a five win team. Kevin O'Connell. They started slow last year, but before Cousins Tours Achilles, they were really coming on. Yeah, and two years ago, if memory serves me correct, I think they were the two seed. Now they lost the Giants in the first round. But this team has been good for a couple of years. Yeah, this is the best version of it. But you know, I always say about play callers. You know certain people in any industry. Obviously you get better at whatever you're doing with reps and experience, but certain people are just much there's like an innate quality to them at what they're doing. Immediately McVeigh, Kyle Shanahan, Lafloor, you could just see it. We see some of these guys become play callers and you're like, yeah, this is just not gonna work. Not because if you got him on a whiteboard they would know any less than Kevin O'Connell, but the flow of a game, maybe they freak out, maybe they get stressed, maybe they lose it. Whatever it is he today was it was like he would call the screen at the perfect time, he would call a perfect zone beating route in the perfect time, and obviously him in the quarterback. I don't see how you could ever pivot off when you're a play caller and you get a quarterback who's young and has these physical skills, and it's working with your weapons who are all under contract. Why you would want to mess with that just because you drafted a quarterback guy who cares.

I thought the play call of the game, it was twenty seven to twenty five, Minnesota needed two first downs to win the game, and the very first play, no defensive coach is calling this. The very first play was a bootleg first down pass. It was like a bootleg screen to the full back. And there's not a defensive coach in the world that's calling that. He packed because you're thinking to yourself, keep it on the ground, eat the clock, get a first down. He goes bootleg for and picks a first down up on the first play, which doesn't eat clock. But what it did at set the tone and by the way, that's the play they used on the other side to get the game clinching first down. And I love Lafleur, but boy, early in this game when they dug a hole, he was really leaning on the run game on early downs. And again I think we both like Lafleur, but I think maybe because he was a quarterback. I think Kevin O'Connell would rather throw and I think Matt Lafleur's DNA he would rather run, and I thought in the first half you saw a little bit about that.

Yeah, I think Kevin O'Connell's drawn more to Sean McVeigh. We're at their core that they do like slinging it around, and I think Laflora at his core is more drawn toward Kyle and his dad, where in this game, you know, on the road, we want to come out and establish we're tougher than you. And the one thing is this Vikings team is really, really tough, and I don't know if their personnel is great on defense, but they're fundamentals in terms of you're not getting guys out of gaps running the wrong way. Sure flores Is, I mean what him and Fangio have done to their units this year have just been dominant start to finish. And I think, listen, I appreciate because I've watched Kyle win some big games by leaning on the opponent. Because when you can run the ball, you slow down the game and take the crowd out of it a little bit. So I and listen, it's happened to Laflora before as the Green Bay Packer coach. Kyle kind of did that essentially, you know in Green Bay and that cold game you know in the playoffs a couple of years ago, where it's just like slow the game down, keep it a lower scoring game, Watson's out. We're not looking for a shootout, you know. Josh Jacobs is a tight back where I bet their game plan coming in was, hey, like one hundred and twenty yards on like thirty carries, and we just control the you know, the time of possession because we're not gonna be able to cover these guys. I mean those two, I mean Jordan Justin Jefferson is I mean as talented as of a wide receiver as there's been of my adult life. I mean, obviously the Randy Mosses, and there's some all time great, but his his physical toolbox of deep speed break tackles, he were lower his shoulder on defenders, one handed catches. I mean, he's a total package. And then Jordan Adison was a first run pick to USC once upon a time, gave a million dollars as a transfer, Like that's a big time player. Yeah, so I think that they knew that was a little disadvantage to him. We can't get in a shootout, even though the Packers can against some teams. Yeah, this, so they tried to slow the game and it blew up in their face because I couldn't. You know, they just weren't explosive on the ground. And I mean Sam Darnold looked, I just I can't get over like it's just every single week he answers the bell like there's no more even conversation to have. It's just how are you gonna approach it? Are you gonna franchise him? And then try to get the deal done? Well, that screws you a little bit because you can't. That takes up a lot of your cap space. Now you can't sign other guys. I think by the combine they might have a deal worked out. I don't know what else there is to see at this point in time.

Yeah, I mean he really gives you size arm playmaking. I think the year in San Francisco. Cognitively, I think he's better above the shoulders. He can still be a tad reckless. I don't think he's naturally naturally accurate like Burrow, but he's accurate, and he's actually strangely, I don't know if you've noticed this, he's almost more accurate on like a twenty five yard seam route than a six yard swing pass.

Well throws it behind guys in a zone thirty yards down the field. He just throws a dark dart.

He is better. You know, his fastball is better than his off speed stuff. When you're asking Sam who's hyper aggressive, to throw a little lob out twelve yards like, that's the stuff where it gets it gets a little dicey. But you ask him to throw that ball down the middle of the field, Dude, he has got a rope.

One thing that really jumps out is some guys they'll just play very conservative what the game plan gives you. Like that, they won't try to push the envelope. Even good players, you know, Jared Goff can play like this and it works. Jordan Love operates like this a lot of the time. This guy comes out like early Mahomes or like FARV where it could gets you in trouble too. But he is looking to throw fifty yard bombs. And every time you watch them play, regardless of the opponent, it feels like they take a legit shot minimum wants a quarter. Yeah, sometimes more. And I'm not talking twenty yards. I'm talking he is letting it rip, yes, and that is and clearly him and the coach and obviously their weapons. It all lot of works like like you said, because the coach wants to throw bombs.

Yes, Oh, there's a certain symmetry with Kevin O'Connell's DNA and Sam's ability. They you know, you don't And I do hope Brian Flores gets ahead job because I really think he is taking I think it's fairly average personnel and he's making a B plus defense and it's probably C plus personnel. Most of their talents on the offensive side. So we're gonna go in a different order today. We're gonna go back to a Saturday game because we're gonna talk some cam Ward. We'll get to the Jets Bills, We'll get to a lot of games. But it was a pretty light Sunday menu because of all the games on Saturday. Well, it's the most wonderful time of the year for getting in on all the basketball, football, hockey action. At DraftKings Sportsbook. It's the season of givings, so we're being gifted college football and basketball, pro football, basketball, pro hockey to almost twenty four to seven. It's an absolutely great time of the year. So a lot of games every day, so many opportunities to place your first bet. Now, if you're gonna bet for the first time, just make it simple. Pick a team to win an Go to DraftKings Sportsbook. They have an app. Download it ninety seconds. Here's the gift for all new customers. Bet five bucks, just five bucks. If your bet wins, you get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app. The code is Colin Coli n New customers, one hundred and fifty bucks in bonus bets if you've got five bucks and it wins, Happy Holidays from DraftKings. Crown is yours.

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So I want to talk New England getting thumped by the Chargers Saturday forty to seven, because we'll get into the Harbaugh stuff. I want to start with New England. So the Boston media is a bit spoiled with a Celtic success years of great Red Sox teams and the Patriots twenty year dynasty. So they want to get rid of girod mail. But Dan Campbell went three and thirteen in one his first year, and then he went one in six to start his second year. This shit's hard, and Elliott Wolf is the VP in terms of personnel. They want him out. Well, he got the quarterback like Drake may him play now. I don't think at this point, Remember we had real reservations about Dan Campbell the Kneecap press conference. He came across as Fred Flintstone. But in the end he found a really sharp connective tissue to the quarterback named Ben Johnson. So it works for him. If he doesn't have Ben Johnson, it may not feel the same. And we still think he takes too many risks and big spots. But my take is New England now has the number one draft pick and they have their quarterback, so they could move down to five or six and get a Travis Hunter level player could get. They could get two first round picks two seconds. And my take is I think we're forgetting. We're not talking Jim Harball. We didn't expect that. But when if you look at a lot of these coaches who turn things around that first year is not Olway's Urban Meyer and Bill Parcells. I don't think Gerrod Mayo is who I would have hired. Could I not argue they got the quarterback, they're number one. Josh Allen's going to own this damn division as long he's as he's in his prime don't run through coaches because you can't beat Josh Allen. You're not going to Brady own the division, Marino, I mean most great quarterbacks Mahomes owns the division or are you a It just doesn't look like it works. Let's go get the right guy.

I think after watching yesterday in the way this is, I mean, they were terrible last year, they had the third overall pick, and they're worse this year. And his unit, the defense, like he was quote unquote the defensive coordinator. They were good last year, they're atrocious this year. Turns out well, Bill's kind of his baby, right, so now it looks like how much with Bill. The other thing is the Dan Campbell comparison. Dan had been an assistant for a long time post player. You know, he had been an interim coach for a brief stint with Miami. Then he became Sean Payton's right hand guy. This guy wasn't an assistant coach long. You know him and Antonio Pierce. I have no issue with former players, you know, jumping people in the ring to you know, to become position coaches, coordinators or whatever, but like that is pretty valuable. You know, this guy hasn't been a coach very long, so you're watching him, you're like, who would you rather have next year, Mike Vrabel or Jerrod Mao. And some of the press conferences. The whole situation has been clunky. You know, the reporting coming out of Boston about the interview process last year when he was interviewing assistants. It's been weird. They showed a graphic yesterday as they're getting their ass kick of the Ladd McConkie trade, how the Chargers came up a couple spots to get Lad McConkie. They took Polk, who all my scouting buddies called the third best receiver on the Washington team, mc millan, who's having a solid rookie season for Tampa. He's got twelve catches, and it's just you watch this team and you go, this is really really bad. Yeah, And it's like last year I was like, Okay, mac Jones is an atrocious player. Now you've got Drake may and who's talented. But the games are just like him and Caleb playing just meaningless games. Even their passes are just in meaningless situations. You know, you watch bo Nicks playing in real games, I'm watching the Patriots. I personally if Mike Vrabel wants it. He got inducted last year into the Hall of Fame. Obviously he's a you know, a major piece of the Patriots story and proven that he could coach. I think I wouldn't even hesitate doing that was interesting, and it's been reported he's interested.

By the way, it would be, it's a better job than Chicago or the Jet. If I got Robert Craft and Drake May, that's a better job than the Jets in Chicago if you consider all the politics and another thing, it's familiar. Bob Kraft loves you, Stephen Kraft, So I will argue you probably changed my mind on that. I will say this because it's funny.

I know that was really that was really bad yesterday. But yeah, and it's not like the Chargers. This isn't the seven Patriots coming in. I mean, they're solid and they might compete in a playoff game, but that they shouldn't be beating anyone forty to seven on the road.

You know, I was thinking about this with Brock Bauers and Ladd McConkey and the Chargers coming in and dominating. When you're at Georgia. Every day at practice, the tight end faces first round safeties and Ladd McConkie faced first round NFL corners. It's not a coincidence that Ladd McConkey and Brock Bawers walk into this league. They look like eight year veterans because the last three years, four years they've been at practice at Georgia. It's why I've always had misgivings about drafting guys from smaller schools. An SEC guy, I mean Georgia, Bama, Ohio State, these Ohio State corners, Caleb downs is facing these receivers. They're the best players in the country every day at practice. And you know, like Justin Jefferson, Jamar, Chase Well Stingley's on that team. I mean, these guys are going up against each other day every day in practice. But I think what's amazing about Harbaugh not only did he take the same defense and make it number one in the league and it was atrocious last year, but Quinton Johnson's fascinating because Telesco just thought they needed to move off. Eventually, they would move off Mike Williams. They knew because Mike couldn't stay healthy. They wanted Mike's prototype a big, strong, long and he was a He was a bust last year, I mean, could not get on the field, forget targets, and he's been inconsistent this year. But about every other game this game of Conky had eight catches, he had six. About every other game with Quinton Johnson, who was a bust coming into this year, he's a really valuable player. And I think it's not just wins and losses. John a really good coach squeezes all the juice out of a player. Quentin Johnson probably will never be a first round NFL talent or first round productive, but about every other game now you look up and you're like, boy, he's a different body type. His ability, I mean, Derwin James is good. Regardless of the coach, McConkey would have succeeded. But it's not just winning in toughness. I think the really good coaches, I mean Kevin O'Connell and Darnold, they just get more out of each individual player. There's not a single Charger this year that is not playing better than last year individually.

Yeah, I think you know did a podcast last night and I was thinking about Jim Harbaugh this solidified it. There's just there's no one else in football. I mean, we'll see what Bill looks like in college. Who could just go back and forth and kick everyone's ass. Stanford, they were one and eleven by the end, they're in a BCS game. The forty nine Ers, while he inherited a lot of talent, they were six and ten with Mike Singletary, and I know those guys that cover that team really well, and Matt Mayoko told me even Jim tom Sula, and for as ugly as the Chip Kelly year, nothing will top that Mike Singletary year. I mean he was dropping trout at halftime trying to motivate. It was a disaster. Immediately thirteen and three and they were hosting the NFC Championship game. And if you remember the White Sox GM, Kyle Williams fumbled a punt where they probably beat the New York Giants and Eli Manning and go play the New England Patriots with Alex Smith as a quarterback whoever wanted a written off and then obviously what he did in Michigan. But then comes to the Chargers. I think the Chargers even more than Niners because they got a bunch of good players. People are like, that's not as hard of a job. He won five games last year and was a.

Trocious worst team in the league by the end of the year.

And then they get rid of Keenan Allen, who was one of the bright spots. And you know what, and I got talked out of this. I thought, I'm gonna make one of the biggest bets of my life on this team making the playoffs. There are seven spots. You look, the AFC will get weird. Some of these divisions will eat themselves. I think Jim Harbaugh can get to nine or ten wins, and everyone, even people in the league, he's like, they don't have enough offensive talent. They don't have this, they don't have that. He never has great offensive talent. He runs the ball against the quarterback and he plays defense. And he's doing the same thing again, and he's going right into the playoffs. And who's gonna want to play him in the playoffs? Nobody? You know, nobody, because he will ugly up the game. What Lafour tried to do today. He actually can execute that. And he doesn't win them all, but he can make that game look like that.

Yeah, Well, I mean at Michigan, the Natty team had one big time receiver. His Niner teams had Crabtree. This team has Mconkey. If you go look at his history, it's He's Stanford was mostly a run game and Andrew luck team and a tight end team. Harbaugh, I hurt the two people I was told good source inside the building the two players that Harball loved in the first round, Brian Thomas and Joe Alt. They're two of the best rookies. Yeah, it wasn't Romadunze. It was he loved LSU's LSU kid, and he loved Joe Walt. And he decided to bookend it with Herbert and say, hey, we got two tackles for the next decade. But people forget about this. The Chargers also got two fifth round corners, one from Maryland, so Jim's gonna have I mean, go look at their draft. I didn't miss on anybody. I mean they just boom boom. But everybody can play, so and he's gonna have this is very Pete Carroll out of USC the next yeah, the next two drafts. He has an advantage over the league. Now by about year four, he's not gonna have the same advantage. But it's very Pete Carroll. When he came out, he was getting Richard Sherman at a Stanford in the fifth round, and everybody's like, how's Pete.

No, He's taken over two NFL jobs coming through college Stanford where he was in a BCS game in Michigan where he won the national championship. The Niners had six wins, the Chargers had five wins. That's a combined eleven wins. If he wins next week, which I imagine if he plays his starters he will beat the Raiders, he will have taken a total of two teams eleven wins to twenty four wins, more than doubled it coming from college twice two different times. He just jumps back and forth. Who could do that?

No, I think, I mean, it's crazy. There's an argument to be made that if if you know how basketball Hall of Fame takes referees, it takes ambassadors, it takes college pro, it combines everything. If you combine college and pro, Harbaugh and Jimmy Johnson, you know, I mean, now so Read and Belichick because of all their wins are like the top. You could start making arguments that Jimmy Johnson and Harbaugh are like the only two guys ever that were literally elite. Now Pete Carroll won in both, but Pete's also been fired three times the NFL. And I like Pete, but that's the reality of it. He's always been viewed by my front office friends. It's a little quirky and different. Harbaugh is a plus plus college, a plus plus NFL, and Jimmy Johnson's about the only guy I can ever think of that that was both.

And I.

You know, it's for years and years. I had people in I know Jim pretty well and I know people that have been really close with him. Eric Mangini talks about this so much of what we do for a living, what people do for a living. And I've told my kids this before, how badly do you want it? And Eric Mangini has always told me, I've never met a coach who loves football more than Harball. In his vacation, he'll be looking up old NFL rules that literally we saw it this year right before halftime when they kicked that field goal against Denver. Is that he loves football. He's not going to golf or go to a water I mean, I'm sure he's a great dad and a husband, but he has such a zeal for it and it's really and that's the difference. He just he is one of those guys. There's everything. He likes, the aura, the essence, the power, the physicality, the schemes, and he'll sit in meeting rooms for hours and try to make his assistance and coordinators figure out the Rubik's c But he loves sitting in there. And he's just an advertisement. In any business, if you want it bad enough and if you love it enough, you will just succeed. It doesn't matter when you went to college, it doesn't matter the criticism, willful passion. And everybody I know that's ever worked with him is like this, dude, it's not even it's just there. The hobbies, they don't know what they are. It's football.

Well the other thing is and I get asked a lot of you know, just get dms on Instagram, people asking questions. And someone said, I'm a big Charger fan. And there's always been this narrative around Jim that he rubs people the wrong way and he has a shelf life. And I think at Stanford, you know, I think that mentality was a lot for people with the forty nine ers. It definitely was, and he butted heads with the owner. Yeah, I think the guy and you and I have been talking about is a different human being than that guy, much lighter, with still the same drive. Like Andy is a very light He's not like just what Jim was that but he's very football intense. When you talk about the way you describe I'd never worked with Jim, I would describe Andy Reid that way. His love and passion and unwillingness to just slow down when it comes to football vacation off season, and I've heard since he's been winning Super Bowls, you wouldn't notice any difference. He'll drive by his cars in the office on Saturday, just doing some miscellaneous shit on an April day, three weeks before the draft, when they're not they have three picks. You know, it's just his pure passion. And I'm sure you give this advice. Anytime that passion you can turn it into something you can monetize as a profession, you are much more inclined to be successful. But I do think Jim had to learn to relax a little bit as the head honcho at the guy top of the ORG chart, and I think he clearly has Yeah, I think it shows and this is the worst his team's gonna be, right, And I say the same thing for Sean Payton and Denver, Like both those two teams are going to get better like the version of the Chiefs, and they're gonna maintain being good because they really know what they're doing. But it's hard. I mean, they got to fit around some money. Like this is the worst those two teams are gonna be. Now. Herbert is a much better player than bo Nix right now. Yeah, So I would just say, like I think the Chargers are going to be better next year, and like you said, he knows the draft really well. There'll be players Nico Collins. I remember last year it's like who is this guy is? They played at Michigan and I'm like, I watched it. You don't even realize he has wide receivers in college that will play for him. Like I didn't quite realize that guy was there because it doesn't even use them. I mean that's how it's always been.

Yeah, So forty to seven A Chargers Ham, New England. It's time to look at this weekend's tastiest matchup in this week's Sunday Night food Ball, brought to you by Uber Eats. Okay Bill's forty Jets. Fourteen Jets had sixteen penalties. It's over. So I will say this about Buffalo. I think these are the Sean McDermott playoffs. So Josh Allen, I looked it up today, in ten playoff games, has a passer rating of one hundred, twenty one touchdowns, four picks. This is not a Lamar Jackson situation. He has been a B plus to a quarterback in the playoffs. And again, I don't expect you to be as good as you are in the regular season because you're not playing Carolina and you're not playing shitty teams. So if you're one hundred passer rating quarterback in the playoffs, that's exceptional. And Lamar has gotten tight, like you can see it. He's tight. That's not Josh. Josh has been excellent. If they get bound sturly in the playoffs, and I know this sounds crazy, and I like Sean McDermott, john if they lost, they if they got if Cincinnati got in and played Buffalo in the first round and Cincinnati won, I'm telling you I think with Dermott's in trouble because when I watch this team, I don't want to hear about Josh Allen. Okay that this is not a Josh Allen referendum. He lost a game because he scored a touchdown with thirteen seconds left to Mahomes. He's been fine in the playoffs. This team, this coaching staff has real pressure on. I mean, think about this. Hardball's not gonna get fired if they lose in the playoffs, and he's not. I mean, think of a coach that you know, I mean, Sirianni real pressure. Sean McDermott, real pressure. I am fascinated to watch Buffalo. They have to at minimum get to the conference championship. At minimum, in my opinion, yeah, I mean.

What they're gonna be a more than likely. I think Denver is gonna win next week. If Andy rest everybody and it's a kitchen sink game for them, they would be a huge favorite in that game. I mean we're talking touchdown plus maybe eight nine points. I'm pretty confident Buffalo wins that game. Game the next game, though, it gets real. I mean you're playing Baltimore, who feels like they're really coming on, right. I don't know what Baltimore did. Their defense looks better. That would be a make or breaker because then if you win that game all of a sudden, you'd have a lot of momentum going into Kansas City, right, and you've beat them already this year. So I think it go one of two ways. I think they're winning Week one or you know that that first in Buffalo, no matter what. I have a hard time but that Week two game against Baltimore is a massive, massive game because because I would say this, if they go to Kansas City and they have another one of those and I listen, he's had some weird moments with clock management. If it feels like he blows the game, maybe, but if you get beats like some people just couldn't be Michael Jordan, some people just couldn't beat Tiger Woods, I don't think it. I think losing to Baltimore, you already lost to him this season. You get them at home in the second round, I think you've got to be in the conference championship game. I think you can lose to the Chiefs. Keep your head high. Yeah, even though it would start to feel like are we just always going to be second fiddle, or US in Baltimore is always gonna be second. And the fact is, yeah, you might. You know, that was kind of like Pittsburgh and some of these other teams to Bill Bealijack and Tom Brady, you just played for second in your conference. But I think they'd have to win that game or else it could be weird because and listen, I think it's hard. I mean, what do you even make of the Jets? The Jets are joke. I mean, and I give the Bills credit. It was a little weird early and then it was forty to nothing and it's like, Okay, you guys are just toying with him.

Well we learned this. Maddy Eberflus and Robert sla got fired and their teams got worse. So I always believe be very careful about firing a coach in season because if the interim coach wins, you get fan and player pressure to higher in him coach, and if he loses, then you lose the locker room. So they're two and nine since Robert Sala left. But I have always felt that Solo wasn't the problem. There's an argument he was the solution. But I never thought he was the problem.

But really quick, before the Jets on the bills, if you and I own the team and we're sitting down, like going to the playoffs, like, what are our different options if things go south? Our division is a disaster. The Jets couldn't be any more of a laughingstock. The Patriots are not even a year away from being a year away from winning nine games, and the Dolphins, I mean, I just don't really take the franchise safely, and we own them. So it's like, now, you know, trying to go from really good to great. Totally admire anyone who's willing to do that, but it is a pretty risky proposition. Now, if that job became open, everyone and their mother would be calling them. But I just think that, like, you do have a pretty good thing going, yes, And to me, especially if you lose the Chiefs, you're gonna keep winning twelve thirteen games every year in this division and you and you know you have a capable guy. I'm just saying it's pretty risky. Yes, I do you just say, do you ride the course a little bit? Because the Jets could go backwards from here and the Patriots could be stick here for a couple of years. Yeah, No, I think I think it's I think it's something you got to take into account. Yeah, I'm not saying i'd fire Sean McDermott, but I do believe the pressure is on Sean McDermott, Whereas in Baltimore the pressure's on Lamar. John Harbaugh's got a ring the pressure with Joe Flacco. Lamar needs to play better. That's that's indisputable. He's got to play better. Josh has played very well in most spots. I would agree, but that organization, I think most people would choose the Ravens roster over the Bills roster. I think that there's gonna be a tough that game. I mean, we have to play it out to look at all the different games. That's got to be one of the better playoff games of the entire tournament. Right, if I tell you Ravens that Bill's, Oh, what's on the line for those two guys, it doesn't. I mean, that's Saturday or Sunday night the week two, Right, that's as good as it gets. Yep.

One thing on the Jets, Aaron, you know, twelve completions, two picks. He's about the fifteenth or sixteenth best quarterback probably in the league now, you know, maybe thirteenth, twelfth. It's interesting this week though, and Eric Mangini pointed this out to me on television that when Aaron referenced Woody Johnson's kids, I've never been fired by a teenager. It was almost as if Aaron was saying, I want out of here. And I do think I'll say this. Russell may leave Pittsburgh, don't know if he will. Kirk Cousins could be on the market, probably will. I think Aaron's got about a two team market. I could see the Raiders because they won again today. I could see the Raiders. If they're like, we're not going to move up for camera Shaedder, We're just not going to move up. I could see them going with like a Kirk Cousins or an Aaron Rodgers for a year. I really could for one year.

Yeah. When I saw the story today, that rap sheet said that Garrett Wilson has basically let it be known if this guy comes back, I'm gonna want out. Yeah. I was dominating and then you begged for your friend to come here, and then I just became kind of irrelevant. Yeah, and we know how wide receivers can kind of turn into divas that way, So that's gotten weird. And I would choose a young Garrett Wilson over a forty one year old Netflix star at this point in time, So I think this Roger. This thing's though, who would you hire as a coach? I mean, to me, you just Ben Johnson would be obviously a guy you'd interview just because and I'm always hesitant with these coordinators, but there have been enough coordinators excel on the offensive side of the ball, and he's been so good that he's to me. Him and Vrabel. I mean now that Bill Belichick would have been a guy I would hire it if I were all these teams. But I think those are the two guys. Who else are you really option?

Now?

One we got a curveball here because and I know he got his ass kick today, but you know, Ceedee Lamb was out McCarthy. These teams are gonna want to talk to Mike McCarthy. So Jerry has played this out like, yeah, we'll just date a little bit more before we really get married, and turns out like Mike's actually helped himself out. So like if Mike McCarthy's available. I know this. The Jets could do way worse then just to get a grown up, a guy that knows what he's doing, yeah, and would be guaranteed to just get the train back on the tracks. So, like to me, McCarthy is an intriguing option. If he goes yeah, Jerry goes yeah, I want to bring you back. And if Mike goes yeah, you know, I want to talk to some other people as well as you kind of played me out and I worked my ass off and worked with these quarterbacks. See, you have to wonder if Mike, you know, by week one of the Black Friday setup, like, is it Mike McCarthy's meeting with two teams? Like is that possible while he's still dealing with the Cowboys. Oh, I keep an eye on that. I think that's happening.

Listen, I said this last week. If you flip the telescope on Mike McCarthy, he gets older, stubborn, rigid Brett Farv two years, goes thirteen and three NFC championship. When's a Super Bowl with Aaron? We now discover that Aaron's difficult to coach. Both Lafleur and Robert Sala discovered that and Mike McCarthy three for three. He then goes not only wins twelve games a year with the best B player quarterback in the league in an O line rebuild, Dack, he's winning with Cooper Rush. And so it's like at some point he won with Farv. He won with the southern guy, he won with the prickly passive, aggressive Cali guy. He won with a guy that kind of is kind of an overpaid bat plus guy, Dack. He's not winning with a backup. He say what you want about Mike McCarthy. He's won with everybody, and all his quarterbacks put up their best records and their best numbers with him. So sometimes I know I always said this, Aaron was this good looking, cool guy in Green Bay, and Mike looked like a Milwaukee cop, and just the aesthetic of it. Sometimes Mike came across as sort of, you know, unsophisticated, a little heavy, and Aaron was the hip coolster on TV, and I think that played into it that Mike was sort of marginalized. But we have to be fair about this. Every quarterback that plays with Mike McCarthy flourishes, all of them. Cooper Rush, Dak, Aaron, all of them flourish, and so to your point, I think he'll have options.

And he's calling the place, so it's not like, well, he's like Tomlin or Dan Campbell or Sirianni. You know, he's he's rallying the troops. No, like he's the guy in the meeting with the quarterback calling the plays from the sideline. So he brings the value. So it's like, wait, he can lead the organization. He can handle crazy shit because like the end of Aaron, but the last couple of years of Jerry could not. I mean, he's dealing with Jerry Jones in his eighties nuts. And then once he got rid of Kellen Moore, I think people thought, did he lose his touch at the end of Green Bay. You watched last year Dak had the best year of his career. Yeah, and then this fight. I mean, if if the guy doesn't screw up against the Bengals on Monday Night Football touching that ball, he would have won five straight games with Cooper Rush. So I think Mike McCarthy, if you remove the day, which I think it's fair to say, if you just took every team in the NFL, and they just nobody had a quarterback and everyone got the same quarterback. You might choose the Eagles team. Right, If every quarterback was the same, the Eagles probably have the best team. Like it was bound to happen to him that they were missing a couple of players and they got run. But I think, what else is Jerry gonna do? Like Jerry gonna hire someone else. I think he's gonna want McCarthy back. But I do wonder if Mike someone plays you a little bit in business and you got some leverage, I could see Mike screwing with him.

Back a little bit. This week. Sunday Night Football, brought to you by Uber Eats, is the official on demand delivery partner of the NFL. They have the best game day deals all season long. Order now for game day I do every week, all right. So the Bengals beat the Broncos thirty to twenty four, bow knicks one in six and one possession games. Rookie quarterbacks, as you'd suspect, aren't gonna beat Joe Burrow in games like that. So Burrow's the only great quarterback in the league that may not make the playoffs. And he's fricking on fire. And I mean they had five hundred total yards, thirty four first downs. And by the way, Bonix didn't play well twenty four to thirty one, three hundred and eleven yards, seven rushes. He looked so average compared to Burrow. I mean a couple plays bow like he threw a ball, I should have thrown it into the dirt. He threw it to his running back who got smoked. Some of that stuff is just in the NFL. Some stuff just doesn't work. That worked your entire college career. Like you can see top Sometimes he'll make a throw and you're like, yeah, that's not gonna work here. And I think Bonnix tends to get locked into his number one receiver and he's going to force the ball. But twenty four for thirty one in every decade is good quarterback play. I'm not saying MVP, but I now that Herbert has a legit coach. If I said to you, these are the five best quarterbacks in the world, Mahomes, Alan, Allen, Lamar, Burrow, Herbert, If I just said you get five in the world, those are my five? Are they yours?

Yeah? I mean there's not anyone in the NFL, that wouldn't pick those five. They have clearly separated. And the crazy thing is that if you were picking quarterbacks, we wouldn't even get to the NFC, and that these guys like Listen bo Nicks. He hit the awesome deep bomb for a seventy yards, and he hit the incredible fourth down play, but for the most part he was not. They weren't sustaining drives. That's bad. And Burrow is playing. I mean, it's as good of quarterback play as you can have. Now he's got Jamar Chase, is good of their line.

Their old line is bottom of ten in the league easily.

You know, you know, he reminds me of you watched like Sam plays more like Josh and Mahomes where they are quick to scramble to throw yep. Joe Burrow actually plays a lot more like Andrew Luck where part of the reason he gets hit a lot is he stays in the pocket till the last possible. It's a very old school characteristic. Philip Rivers used to play like this. Now he didn't have the arm of those guys, but they would wait for the last second to get their guy that extra step and throw the ball most guys half the league doesn't want to get touched, so they move because they don't want to get hit. Joe is taking some of these hits because he's an old school pocket quarterback. I mean, Joe Burrow would have thrived in like the seventies. Now he gets absolutely destroyed. Now his offensive line's bad and he holds onto the ball to the last possible second, which I admire. But his the way he's played this year, unless they're gonna come up short, because I even saw that, they don't even I think the Dolphins. If Denver were to lose in the Dolphins win. Don't quote me on this, but I'm pretty sure they would be in. Yeah, they hit Dolphins to lose too. Yeah, they lost a game Colin where he threw five touchdowns against the Ravens the first time they played him, where they had multiple double digit leads in the fourth quarter.

It's like, you know, they lost to the Patriots in Week one, or they wouldn't be in this position.

So it's like their defense halfway even yesterday. It's not great, but it was so bad at points in time earlier this year.

No, I mean, Denver has components to a playoff team. If you think about it, Hall of Fame, coach, elite left tackle, best corner arguably in the game, one great weapon, and an elite pass rusher. That's mostly John the six checks boxes. Now, quarterback Bow is a B to a B minus right now if this team, if Bow had one year in.

See depending on plus.

Yeah, but if you look at what wins in this league, it's basically coach quarterback, left tackle, one to two weapons, at least one good cover corner. That's why the Rams can't win that The Rams just don't have an elite The Rams are going to draft a corner one or two.

They have to.

But I when I look at when I look at Denver Cincinnati is one great quarterback, a good edge rusher, and one great weapon. I don't even know if Zach Taylor's it.

I don't like.

His clock management at the end of the game was atrocious.

It was crazy. I can't believe that he and kneel the ball and no, I didn't get rude when the guy got hurt and they have to blow the time out and Denver gets it back. But if you just kneel again, you give a rookie quarterback forty seconds on the road to get in the field goal range.

That's pretty hard with time because they would have had him in college.

Yeah. So it's like, here's what I would say about bo Nicks to defend him of all the rookies. This guy's on the road Cincinnati after Christmas, their season on the line against one of the best players we've seen in recent memory. Like, that's that's a tough that's a real game. Caleb hasn't played in a real game. They've lost ten straight games. None of his games matter, you know, uh, Drake may. Nothing he does really matters beside their health. So it's like bo Nix is playing in real series, Like there are real stakes, right, He's playing to get into the playoffs. And like between the Chargers in Denver, would you lean the Chargers are more likely to win a playoff game just because they got a better quarterback.

Yes, yeah, I think in the playoffs Burrows the only great quarterback that won't make the playoffs. I think, in fact, I did this John, thinking of you this today, So I thought about this is my I have seven teams that I would call the trophy class that can get to a super Bowl. Kansas City, Buffalo Baltimore, Detroit, Green Bay, Philly, and I put Minnesota in today. Green Bay Mini. It's doubtful, but I do think depending on environment where they're playing in the matchup, I think there are three teams that can win games but are missing something Chargers, Rams and potentially Pittsburgh if they got in Pittsburgh's defense could win a game if they face the right quarterback. Rams are very Pooka reliant, and I do feel like the Chargers in the AFC. You gotta score twenty seven points in some of these games. I mean, if JK. Dobbins isn't available, it gets really limited. And then I think there's four or five teams that probably can't win a playoff game Denver or Sincy, Washington, Houston, Atlanta or Tampa. Tampa maybe, but I just feel like they earn their the spot, but I just don't trust them any of those. You disagree with.

I think pittsburghs won and done Okaya as it's aiming up like they're going to play. They play Cincinnati next week. I don't know about you. I like Cincinnati and then they're gonna play Baltimore in the first round. I'm gonna take Baltimore. Okay, I think they are a shell of what they were when they were ten and three injuries. Russell's coming back to earth a little bit. I think Minnesota is pretty real and we'll see Detroit. Maybe they're a little healthier tomorrow. We'll see who plays. But then they're playing Minnesota next week, which, even though it's not like a winner, get into the playoffs. To me, if that's for the number one seed, yeah, I would put that. I'd put that Sunday night over like winner of the Division Seattle Rams. I would go Minnesota Detroit. Yes, I kind of like Minnesota next week, Colin, you know, especially if Detroit still got injuries. Now, Detroit's offense is still awesome, but defensively the amount of guys they're missing, if Jared Goff just has an off quarter against the way this Minnesota, plus they get that extra day arrest. If you tell me Minnesota like to me Detroit with their injuries. If you told me they were healthy and they had the number one seed, I would pick them to win the NFC. But with their injuries, if they're not the number one seed, even if they were, I think they could be beat. To me if Minnesota is the number one seed. I think their favorite in every game they play, you know, whether they play the Eagles, the Packers. Wow, the Rams are a good example of last year. Remember how much momentum and how well they were playing going into the playoffs. Yes, like Detroit, this is gonna be a tough first round game, and it was. This team like them is winning a bunch of games. Down the stretch. They look like shit, and maybe Cooper Cup's gotten old. Like you said, if Puka doesn't go for twelve and one point fifty, they're just off offensively. Luckily, their defense is good.

Well let's talk about that last night.

I'm like, I to has done an awesome job, but they look I can't pick them to win a playoff game the way they're playing.

Rams thirteen Arizona nine.

I thought they were gonna lose very I had one hundred confident Arizona was gonna score.

They only had twelve. They only had twelve first downs. The Rams had twelve first downs. So we talk about this game for a second. So it's really interesting and I can't quite figure this dilemma out. So generally I think you'd agree with me. The first half is a coach's half that you put stuff on paper, especially offensive coaches. You have the first two series Kevin O'Connell and Darnold that they're putting stuff on paper, and then in the second half coaches matter, but you get twelve minutes in the locker room to really talk to your players, and there's only so much you can digest. It's a bit of an adjustment. But a lot of times the better team, the better roster, the deeper roster, wins the second half. That's why Philadelphia so crappy. In the first quarter. They just roll over. They just got too many good dudes. You got too many players, and you can scheme up. You know you're not gonna beat like Detroit, Kansas City, Baltimore, Buffalo in a short week. When you can't, you don't get extra days to coach or insall things. They're just I mean, you see these teams like Kansas in Baltimore played three games in eleven days. They wereent three to zero.

Dominated.

You don't have time to coach up your inferior roster. And I look at the Rams and this is weird. They got time of possession Arizona thirty six minutes. Rams twenty three, only twelve first downs. I can't figure this out. They are a They are sluggish in every first half. And I watched this game and it was almost like Stafford's not warm, like he looks old. And then the second half it's almost like he's a pitcher that he needs to get to the fifth, sixth inning. But as I watch him, I'm like, in the second half, it just he's more fluid, he's looser, he's letting it rip. But I think I can't blame McVeigh. They're healthy offensively, John Puka, Tyler Higbee, Kyron Williams, oh lines above average. I think some of it is it's I think Stafford looks old in first halfs Yeah.

Well I think Cooper Cup's gotten really old too. I mean he's essentially he's a blocker now. Yeah, and he's had an incredible career and he was a badass. But it feels like it's over Stafford. I think there was a stretch last year where he threw a bunch of picks for like a four or five game. He is leading touchdown drives where he could have thrown three picks on him going through guy's hands, and he did that in the Niners game. He did that yesterday. If you remove the Bills game where they scored like one hundred points, they're perfect. They played the Saints that that thing was a slugfest till the end. I think it was like seven to seven the majority of the game. The forty nine Ers game was an embarrassment. They won. I'm just saying for an offensive unit, last week against the Jets was not very pretty and last night was pretty ugly. Like offensively, they just have no rhythm. And like you say, it's like their coach has kind of proven he knows what he's doing. And you're watching Stafford play. He definitely looks a little older. He just when he gets in that mode of throwing it to other guys, I don't know if he gets a little off kilter, but he has a lot of passes I feel over the month, and luckily he throws hard. Yea, that are just going in. Those guys play defense for reasons. If Pooka was playing defense, the guy he's throwing, he would have had ten picks. Yes, last month, Well, they've gotten lucky. They've dropped a ton.

It's it's a really it's a one person receiving crew two two at well was a bust for the first several years. He gives you about to catch a game. Tyler Johnson's a bouncer around the league. Guy Robinson, I think it's DeMarcus Robinson. You get about one big catch a week. Cooper looks washed. It is incredibly reliant on Pukaakua, and so to me, they're obviously going to go draft an X receiver if they need somebody up the sideline badly. They need another offensive tackle, they need a number one corner. I feel like they're a draft away from being a really serious, serious team. They're just doing it now with mcveigh's coaching Stafford second Half and Pokinakua. And I do love the defense, but in fairness, these kids are all young. I mean, everybody's a rookie or a second year player. They're just there's no age on this defense at all.

I also think these last two years are incredible additions to mcveigh's resume, Like Andy Reid's resume isn't all super Bowl so it's a lot of like, well, he went twelve and five with Jeff Garcia one year in Philadelphia, Like when you do things last year one and four, or last year three and six, this year one and four, and to be win the division more than likely back to back years is just an awesome job with a bunch of young guys on defense. And like you said, and listen, you get credit for the third round pick, but they're lucky that Pooka is there, like a top five wide receiver. Imagine if he had just been Okay, they would be in major trouble.

Okay, so I've been right on Darnold. I got to take a wrong on this. I was always a defender on Kyler Murray because I thought he was I thought he was a better version talent wise, or Russell Wilson. I thought he was more elusive and throw a better ball. He is historically small. He's five eight and a half's he looks so if you take the sideline shot when he's in the pocket, sometimes you'll get the sideline shot you can't see. I mean, he's smaller than to us significantly. But in the last six games, and this is post Thanksgiving football is big boy football. Five touchdowns, eight picks, and a passer rating in the seventies. And he's got McBride is an all world He's going to be a ten time All Pro tight end. Harrison is more than capable, Connor's an excellent running back. The O line's okay, not great, but okay. This is not a franchise that's bankrupt of offensive talent. There's players here, and you know what, I think, work ethic catches up to you. You can make you can go so long on talent. But John I've always believed this. Kobe Bryant at work people, MJ outwork people. There's a lot of guys in this league lack of work ethic. Curry is a workaholic, Jannis Kyner, Murray's not. And I've got it pretty connected. And the truth is that's caught up to him is that the really good defensive coaches this league punishes you. I mean, you can only coach twenty hours in college. You can just get away with being talented. You can't in the NFL. And I've said this two weeks in a row.

I like Kyler.

He has a market if you got him the right team. I think Arizona's going to have a discussion to see if they can move him.

I really do. To me, my takeaway last night was I would write it out another year and just keep building up the team. But if you are able to unload him for anything of value, I think you could justify it. I mean, he has been a turnover machine down the stretch. Now on the flip side, i'd go, is this team even that good? I mean, like you said, they do have some offensive pieces, but defensively, the casual football fans beside Buddha Baker not gonna be able to name a guy. I think the coach has done a really good job to just have them in position all the year. I do think it's hard. I do wonder if his market, like would you just get rid of him for like a third round pick? I think you're better off just keeping him. Well, now if you could get a high value, like who else are you?

So?

What else are you doing?

I've made this argument. I think this year you can get a number one from Garrett Wilson the Jets. Why it's a bad draft, it's a really weak draft. I think I think Kyler Murray last year, you're not getting much Kyler Murray. Next year you may not get much Kyler Murray in this draft. I think you can get a number one.

I really do.

There's nothing I mean, listen, every year we have seven teams that need a quarterback. There's Cam who will play immediately, and Shadu will play immediately. There's not another college quarterback that can play. And if the Vikings franchise Dnald, it's Aaron Cousins. I mean to me, Kyler's gonna have a market.

Yeah, he definitely would have a market. I don't know if you get a one because all the crappy teams and need quarterbacks are all drafted high. So would you trade like the ninth pick if you're the Raiders for him? I think you would. You know, if you just need to kind of get a little spark in your organization, would you just give your second round pick right or something? And if you're them, is it just time to pivot off this situation? The irony about last night I thought was one one of his better games. Now, he did throw you know, the bomb pick that was maybe a foot too high for Marvin Harrison in a great play in the last play. It's just, I mean, a freaky, unlucky play by both guys. I honestly, here's why I will say about him. I had full confidence that he was gonna lead him on that they were gonna score a touchdown. I was like, the Rams are gonna lose this game, and I thought how he was gonna score was one of his classic scrambles. Everyone's in the back of the end zone. He runs it right in and when they threw that pick, You're like, God, that has to be deflating because they had him right against the rope. Yep. But that's kind of been his defining characteristic. I would say this last month of he has just had I mean, turnovers have been a huge part of his game, and it's not like he's thrown up three or four touchdowns. That's one thing with Sam Darnold, Like he had the pick today, but he also threw three sweet touch.

Well, here's the other thing. If you're Arizona, he won't age well. He's not a quarterback that's gonna age well because he like Steph Curry age as well because he'll dribble and shoot forever. Certain guys like Russell Westbrook's age poorly because he's hyper athletic. Cam Newton aged poorly because he was he was not pre snap Cam was about just sheer talent. Big Ben I thought age very quickly Kyler's going to age quickly. By the way, how many times in that game did he face pressure? That dude does not want to get hit? He Kyler, you can He'll trip over his own feet like he didn't want to get a hit. Had I had a pass rusher three years ago? Tell me, he said, He goes, I've played Kyler Murray. He said, I've never played against the quarterback. This is an elite pass rusher. He goes off the air. He goes, I've never played against the guy. He said. He he winces when you hit him, like he's a baseball player. He didn't like to get hit at all. Some guys like Burrows like, hey, it's part of it, darnold. Oh look, I don't care. Thursday Night Football is on. It's only on Prime video, best season yet, packed with big rivalries and even bigger stars al Michaels, Kirk, Kirbstree, Kaylee Hartung. Every week games you can't miss. Coverage begins at seven Eastern with Football's Best Party TNF Tonight Thursday Night Football Tonight. If you're not a Prime member, no problem, sign up thirty day free trial, cancel any time. Thursday Night Football and it's on Prime Video. Restrictions apply Seamazon dot Com slash Amazon Prime for details. So I've been talking about this for two weeks. Nine teams right now have four wins or fewer less than half of that last year four this year. It's almost NBA like there is a lot of bad football. It is atrocious. We also have three thirteen win teams. So the top is bigger and the bottom's huge. Is it a one off or is it the reality now? Of two things? The league is now so quarterback centric that again Burrows the only good quarterback, elite quarterback that's not gonna make the play. If you have one, you get in. And Cincinnati may still but if you have one, you get in. I mean, go, look I went, I'm going to go seven for eight, I think potentially in my division picks. Why because I took the best quarterbacks. It's never been easier. And because of every owner's a billionaire, there's more chaos and ownership, they're more impulsive. They fire people quicker, which creates more chaos. So the bad organizations are worse, you know, like the Giants have been bad for six years now they're I mean, it's despite today it's like, oh my god, this is embarrassing. Chicago's embarrassing. I don't think it's a one off. I think we're going to have a larger bottom because owners getting wealthier, wealthier, they're writing forty eight million dollars to get coaches off the payroll. As a rounding air, you used to just stick it out? What do you make of this massive bottom tier?

Now? I feel like for the last couple decades, the quarterback thing has been pretty true. You know. I think you've been able to get away with it in the eighties and nineties if you built up your team. But I think that's been a pretty consistent theme, like the shitty teams don't have a quarterback, that's why they're drafting high. I think the money aspect of it and the ability to fire whoever. And I think on the flip side, you have coaches and executives doing everything humanly possible for power, and I would imagine the league's always been relatively political. But when there is this much money on the line to be a general manager and pay five I mean, how many gigs in America pay w two jobs pay five million dollars an assistant coach as a coordinator makes two three million dollars. They're not the decision maker. They're not near the top of the org chart. They're way down. They don't have any responsibility really beside calling the plays in terms of when shit hits the fan. So I think you have a lot of Like I think it's much more difficult. We talk about this a lot with players, you know, building a team, and I think young people naturally kind of gravitate toward each other and good teams like everyone's kind of friends. I think coaching is just so corporate. Everyone's trying to take out each other. You can't trust anybody. I think the league, the amount of money that has come in for front office and coaching, has made this completely separate from a lot of politicians in the end, just because you work in the NFL. And I wasn't there long, but I always had this ass like, once you get there, everyone is such a high level guy. It's just not the case, right. And then the longer I've been around this, knowing a bunch of people with a bunch of teams, you hear these stories. It's just like any industry when there's a lot of money, the cream will always separate. But people can still make a lot of money being shitty. And how often do we see I mean, the Atlanta Falcons are about to play like McKay runs Arthur Blank's trust, you know, and he like runs the football. But you know, it becomes like these family businesses, but these star billion dollar businesses. Most family I've had some family business like close personal friends that run family businesses and got bought out for let's say twenty thirty million dollars. Like that's an American success story. They built this business, they sold it for thirty forty million dollars. These people have businesses that are worth not a billion. We're talking like six seven. If Mark Davis put the Raiders for sale, I mean, could he get eight? Could he get nine? I mean, how many companies in America are worth as much money?

I think?

And the Raiders are a good example. They've always had these people that like leads their way in because it's just like a money training and I think it's hard for some of these owners. And we look at all the bad teams. It's all these owners that are listening to the wrong people. Yeah, but you know who Steve Bushatty listens to Da Costa Ozzy and Harbaugh. You know who the Yorks listen to, John and Kyle. It's like the I think the chiefs Andy and Veach are very simple. They operate like a small business. These others start operating like fortune five hundred companies where I want it on the board of directors. I got an idea for you. The kids are involved, and it just becomes Wackoville. And obviously because it's so public and it's a fun thing. It's why Kevin Warren. Kevin Warren has a seven figure job, but you know what his job, no one cares. When he sells PSLs or sells the aiming right steel for hundreds of millions of dollars, no one will give a shit. But you know what people care about your third round pick, Yeah, the offensive coordinator. And so when you can start getting involved with that, and I think that has permeated all over the league, or at least you know, all these crappy teams, and I think they struggle with that. And these owners have money. Everyone's just trying to leach on because the money right now is I mean, it's like outrageous. I mean it's it's crazy. If you could bring back Lamar Hunt and now Davis and Eddie de Barbelow, and I would have told these guys in the eighties what this would become. No one could have foreseen what it has become. I mean we've seen it come in the last decade, but forty years when I was a kid football. I mean, Tellary cab one point time. I think when it first started, it wasn't like thirty forty million dollars.

Yeah, that was thirty years ago.

John Madden was being paid eight million dollars, making more than like all the players.

So I want to touch on a couple of college things. So cam Ward and sure Sanders in a very weak class are going to go one and two. Should or did not play terribly well against BYU, they got run. Cam Ward, I would have skipped the bowl game instead of played the first half, not play the second, just because if I would have played poorly, I would have wanted to play the second half. I don't think it will affect Listen, if you need a quarterback you're gonna draft. I don't think it has any effect on cam Ward's draft status, do you?

No, I pays you, and I think most people in the NFL non playoff Bowl games are pretty meaningless. Do you want to play, whether you play, Yeah, no one gives a shit. I would disagree. I don't think he's a lock to be the second pick by any means.

Well, I think these I think Shoudur and Cam will be the top two quarterbacks taken.

Oh gotcha, gotcha? I just don't know. Like so one and two, I think this draft is very up in the air. Unlike last year was pretty clear guys quarterbacks were going high.

So I think New England's got the number one pick. I think somebody will trade up to number one, just out of fear. I mean, Tennessee.

You know what I would do if I was them, Colin, What wouldn't you just take Travis Hunter and just try to get some positive momentum. He's a yeah, looks like a generational prospect. Yes, that's what I would do. Don't overthink could get the guy and just obviously you could make a trade back. But is it one of those times just take Travis Hunter and just move on and put a smile on everyone's face.

Well, if I was, Let's say, for instance, the Giants who are now third or fourth in the draft wanted to move up and Tennessee is second. I could see both those team taking quarterbacks. Could I could see New England saying, okay, we'll move back no later than third, No later than third, especially if somebody moves up to take a quarterback. If he's one of these four or five teams like New Orleans could take a quarterback Las Vegas has taken a quarterback, then I'd feel good. But I do think the player to take for New England is probably Travis Hunter. I think he's electric. This is a team for four years running just doesn't have playmakers. He's a playmaker on both sides. I think Cam is the better athlete, with a bigger arm, and I think you could talk yourself into him being number one. He's got a little bit of an edge to him. I've been told, but you know whatever, Schaduur's more polished. I don't think either as an a prospect. I don't think. I don't think either one of them is Caleb Jaden Daniels. I don't think either one of them. I like throwing the ball as well as Michael Pennix. How do you view him as a former NFL skut. I think they're B plus prospects.

Yeah, I would say cam is the physically more physically gifted guy. Uh Shador I think is the better player, But Shador has a little bit and maybe it's just the team he was on, but we've seen this carry over for Caleb holds onto the ball a little long now. Granted I would too to try to wait for some of my wide receivers to get open. One thing I will say about Shador is over the course of his couple of years in Colorado, and I didn't watch much of BYU. I had it on a second TV, but every time I looked up, he was getting killed. Yeah, he's tough, he can handle it. I think I think cam Ward's grades are gonna be all over the map. I think it's gonna be He's gonna be a pretty fascinating prospect. I think when the dust settles, probably if I was a betting man, should Door ends up going number one overall, especially of New England. You know Trey obviously they're not gonna take him, but yeah, trades back a couple spots. I could see cam Wore going anywhere from two to like ten. You know, I think he is going to be a polarizing prospect. I think Travis Hunter, and I'm sure you've heard this too consistent theme. We've seen some drafts recently with like the Pinae Sools and Jamar Chases and Micah Parsons and just some elite players draft in the top fifteen. I don't think this draft viewed as like Hall of famers everywhere up now, I've been told you could be drafted at eighteen and get the same player the dude that drafts at four gets even last year, like it was pretty clear at the top a lot of good players, this draft is not viewed like that at all. I mean there's not left tackle that I don't think anyone views as like Lane Johns.

My favorite player Mike can't miss player is not Travis Hunter, because I think if he comes in and wants to be a receiver but he's a better corner, it could go sideways. The best player I've seen in college football is Mason Graham, the defensive tackle for Michigan. I think he is a ten year All Pro. I think Mason Graham's the best player. I think that receiver from Arizona, Temac McMillan, is a can't bust player. I think the corner from Michigan. Will Johnson is not going to miss I think he's I think two of the three best players. I think even Kelvin Banks and Texas tackle. I could see him coming in and just being okay. I think there's a lot of I think there's a lot of.

Lsu tackle too. I think people like him, but they don't love him.

I think Travis Hunter. I mean, I think Shaduur and Cam are as good as where they land. I think if Shadur lands with a team like, for instance, let's say Shaduur the Raiders now with another win, probably won't get him. And I don't think Telesco loves either one of these quarterbacks. I don't know that, but I just just knowing. You know that he drafted Herbert and what he looks for in terms of size and mobility is neither one of these guys. To me feels like that. No, Mason Graham's the best player. Will Johnson the corner of Michigan team act the Arizona kid. I think it was a down year for the SEC. I think we have to be totally honest about this. Is Georgia now, I mean Georgia doesn't have Carson back. I think they're very beatable. Jesus, USC beat eight and four, LSU and eight and four Texas, A and M. I mean and everybody out here as Lincoln Riley getting whacked. It's like, I don't think the SEC. I don't think it's your typical year. In fact, my two favorite players right now in college football in terms of talent are Caleb Downs for Ohio State and the receiver for Ohio State Smith.

Those to me are that they're not even draft eligible.

No, yeah, I mean to me, if they were draft eligible, I'm not joking. And I say this in a bad quarterback year, if you didn't need a quarterback, like New England, they would take that wide receiver from Ohio State. And I think who's taking number two right now Tennessee probably needs a quarterback. If a team didn't need a quarterback in this draft, I would take those two Ohio State over every single player in this draft.

I'm dead s Yes, yeah, I think Texas has a couple of players number eleven that's an underclassman that's not eligible. I mean, so I think some of their best players are not draft eligible. That's, you know, a good thing. If you're starked, I think the tight end at Penn State's pretty damn Waller Tyler Warren or Warren Warren, Tyler Warren. Yeah, yeah, number forty four. He's the real deal. I think one thing if we look at you know, we're big AFC West guys, Denver and the Chargers. They need a running back, right, young running back. It is a great running back class.

Listen, let me throw it. Let me throw it at you, and he'll probably be a fifth round running back. And I don't want to sound like a Homer Woody Marks usc Is today I went and looked at the top twenty running backs in this class. They had this kid up like fourteen, and I'm like, holy shit, he is the best running back usc has had. I'm serious since Reggie. He is in a Laken Cat. She can block, he can run. And they had him listed I think fourteenth or fifteenth best running back in the time. I'm glad you brought this up. It is the best running back draft I can remember in years.

Yeah. I mean that's the thing with uh, you know, obviously gent all time great season, but he's five to eight and it's like, okay, you're gonna take him. Pick seventeen or twenty two, when you could just take your starting running back the following round and get a corner or get a linebacker, or get a better player. And that's why I think this. I was watching the Holiday Bowl, Syracuse had a kid. I'm like, this guy's really good. Every team you watch, Carolina, Washington, Yeah, every team just has an NFL back and they physically look at they're just jack. Most of them are two ten to two twenty. They break tackles, they get downhill. This running back lass. That's the one thing I've heard absolutely stacked with NFL. The Chargers and the Broncos. You watch both those two teams. I mean, I know, Jim, but I even think Denver they will take a running back on the set second day, in the second or third round, and if they hit, that could change both those two offenses.

Yeah. Okay, so we're gonna have great quarterfinal games. We'll make We'll wrap it up with this. I'll take Penn State close over Boise State close. What say you?

I like Penn State pretty big and I think they beat him by double digits.

I'll take Texas over Arizona State comfortably. A couple of touchdowns yeah.

I think that's a massive talent mismatch. Tough, tough draw for ASU.

I think Ohio State beats Oregon by about a touchdown. I don't know if the time off for a young Oregon team helped. I'll take the Buckeyes.

I'm gonna take Oregon here. I think everyone's going Ohio State. I think we're gonna overreact a little bit and listen to that game. They just got their ass kicked by Michigan. I think people are sleeping on Oregon best teams start to finish Rose Bowl, it's gonna feel like, you know, the Rose Bowl we all grew up on. I like Oregon in that game.

Notre Dame Georgia, I do it. I'm gonna take Notre Dame same same. Yeah, I think it's cool.

Georgia hasn't been very good this year, and I mean for their standards. I mean they have been a shell of what they've been. That's still good, but.

I think Notre Dame explosive in the run game. You know, everybody's making fun of me. I like Riley Leonard. I think he's cleaned his act up. I think he's I think he came there and he was raw. I don't think he's as raw. I think he's going to get drafted in the fourth or fifth round in the NFL this year. It's a very weak quarterback draft. I think Riley Leonard will go somewhere. But you know, you don't have to have a great quarterback. I'm not a huge Viewers fan. I'm not a big Will Howard fan. I think Dylan Gabriel is good not an NFL quarterback. I think Riley Leonard is good enough to win a national championship.

I do, yeah. I actually think Penn State. I think aller and that team. I think Notre Dame and Penn State are very similar. They're going to run the ball down your throat and play defense, and if their quarterbacks just play solid, I think they can both those two teams can win this whole thing where most people I think are gonna pick Georgia, Oregon, Ohio State. But I think people are sleeping on Notre Dame. In Penn State running the ball defense historically that wins in the NFL a little different. These games are all neutral site, nice you know weather, which I would say neutralizes their strength. But I think Penn st I could see Penn State going on a little run here.

I would love it. I would talk about the draft, Carter, that rush in they have. That dude can play. He's a top six or seven player.

Yeah, he's really good. All right.

John Mindelcoff, the former NFL scout. His podcast is three and out. Hardest working guy in this business is always buddy. Great talking to you.

See you later this week.

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