Daily Review with Clay and Buck - Oct 24 2024

Published Oct 24, 2024, 7:30 PM
How did Kamala rise to this level? Fascist is the new sexist/racist. Derrick Anderson, VA candidate for Congress. Ryan Girdusky with the latest poll data.

Welcome in Everybody's Thursday edition of The Clay and Buck Coo starts right now. We are just days away. What is it twelve days now? I think twelve days from the big day, Election Day, and the final pitch from the campaigns from each of them. Donald Trump running against Kamala Harris. Trump is out there having fun, telling people's stories, slapping them on the back, talking about making America great once again, booming the economy, securing the borders, all this stuff, and the Kamala campaigns response, their last ditch effort to get a wave of independent swing voters to go with them is Donald Trump is hitler. That's what they're saying, and he's a fascist. They're saying all kinds of crazy stuff. We will dive into this, but I think this is a desperation time for their campaign. It sounds certainly very desperate to me. We've also got some great guests today. I want to tell you where we're going with all that. We will talk to our buddy Ryan Gradusky, political analyst extraordinaire about the latest numbers. We'll talk to him about what the early voting is and what the you know to the degree that polls are still giving you a snapshot of what to expect. Ryan's going to jump in with that.

Well.

Also got Derek Anderson joining candidate for Congress in the seventh district in Virginia, former former Army Special Forces green beret, straining with the IDF in the past. He's going for the seat currently held by Abigail Spanberger, who stepped down to run for governor. So another another Virginia race and another like Special Operations guy. It's funny the Democrats play are like why are we losing the masculine voter? It's like, I don't know, why are all the Specops guys Republicans? Maybe there's maybe there's something they're missing.

Here, you know what I mean?

Also, what about just this is my thing in general, I understand, And some professional politicians are good at their jobs.

That's great in.

An ideal world, wouldn't everybody be super accomplished in another field before they decided to become a politician, Like have success in your life as Hun Cow did yesterday, as Derek Anderson, who we're going to talk to today has done as well, and then decide that you want to give back to the country by being a politician. This idea of being a perpetual politician, the Joe Biden style for forty seven years. I don't think that's what our founders envisioned. I would like to see guys and gals who have been successful in other walks of life decide, Hey, I've accomplished a lot here now I want to give back. It seems like Republicans are far more often to be doing that than Democrats are.

And perhaps Clay that's a good place to transition to. How did Kamala Harris become the Democrat nominee?

Oh?

Wait? How was she the vice president? How was she a senator?

Oh?

Was she an Attorney general for the state of California. This woman is a walking, talking political disaster. I don't know how much more clear it could be. She had the CNN town hall last night. Now, just to set the stage here, CNN wanted Trump and Kamala to come and debate, and Trump's like, no, and you know, we're I'm not going to get into this. It doesn't matter, there's no need to kind of re litigate this decision making. But Trump didn't go, Kamala did, so it turned into a Kamala town hall. I want to give you some of this. There's some stuff that she's saying, Clay, that we would have to put in the reckless and nasty category. We'll get to that Trump is a fascist, but there's also I cannot believe that Democrats really think this woman here she is, she's asked a question in this town hall has cut nine about her weaknesses. I just want to be quiet and let you hear what she says.

What weaknesses do you bring to the table and how do you plan to overcome them while you're in office.

That's a great question, Joe. Well, I am certainly not perfect, so let's start there. And I think that I perhaps a weakness, some would say, but I actually think it's the strength as I really do value having a team of very smart people around me who bring to my decision making process different perspectives. My team will tell you I am constantly saying, let's kick the tire on that, Let's kick the tires on it.

Let's kick the tires on it. Clay, it's such a bad answer. I mean, I bet many of you have gone to a job interview and been asked that question.

It is a very standard question. What is your biggest weakness.

And it's even one that you would prep for if you were sitting aroun and you were nervous about an interview and you said, hey, can I just practice maybe with your mom, your dad, grandma, grandpa, friend, family member. It's not uncommon if you're nervous about your first job interview or really significant job interview, that you would kind of work your way through it to prepare with what your answers might be. Buck, She's been vice president for four years and she can't answer one of the most basic questions out there. And her answer is actually not something that someone would.

Ever say is a weakness.

Some people would say it's a weakness that I have really smart people who advise me. What is the contrary to that that you should have really dumb people who advise you. Would anybody want that? I just she is so uniquely bad. I watched this entire CNN town hall that they kept her off the campaign trail to do Telemundo, to do NBC, and to do this CNN town hall for basically two full days, and she bombed in all three. The weakness answer was really bad. Also, Buck, she was asked by Anderson Cooper, who was far from the most difficult person grilling you on questions what mistakes have you made and what have you learned from them? I would put it in conjunction with the weakness answer, which was very Michael Scott, but we'll play that for you too because the Trump campaign shared it. But here is Buck the mistake answer.

Is there something you can point to in your life, political life, or in your life in the last four years that you think is a mistake that you have learned from.

I mean, I've made many mistakes, and they range from you know, if you've ever parented a child, you know you make lots of mistakes too. In my role as vice president, I mean I've probably worked very hard at making sure that I am well versed on issues, and I think that is very important. It's a mistake not to be well versed on an issue and feel compelled to answer a question.

I Buck, what does she say she to ask you?

I mean, ultimately, I think you just have to circle back around to she is a DEI more on. She got all of her jobs because people wanted her to be good at them because in California. I mean this, honestly, I love California. I've spent a lot of time out there. There's a huge cadre of Californian's Buck who want their leader to look like Kamala Harris, and they don't actually care whether she has the brains to be able to do the job. It makes them feel good to have a half black, half Asian politician who's kind of good looking, that that is their representative, and they don't actually care whether there's any substance behind it. And this is to what happens in a one party state, Buck, and I think she's a great example of this, not only of being a dei higher, but when there's no real pushback. She's never had to win a race be in any way compelling in her market because it's so left wing. She just doesn't have any clue how to get past the cliches and do we have the Michael Scott. I'll play this for you because when I watch this live, it reminded me of Michael Scott from the Office. For everybody out there who's watched this show, at what percentage of our audience you think I've ever watched The Office bus?

I mean, I love The Office and I like still to this day. If it's on TV. It's one of the few things and I'll just be like, I'm gonna watch it, you know, thirty minutes I'll watch this episode. I think a lot of our people want I'd say half this audience has watched at least one episode of The of the Office at some point.

If you haven't, it's on streaming now. I think it's a Netflix. I think I'm telling you if you just want to laugh, I think this is a good topic. Buck best comedy's ever my mount rushmore of comedies, and these are ones that have existed in my lifetime. So I'm taking like I love Lucy and Andy Griffith and the old school Brady Bunch, any of those off the board, I would go. The ones that have made me laugh the hardest are The Office, Seinfeld, Veep, and if you count entoura I loved Dontouraja. I thought it was kind of funny, but it's almost like a dramedy comedy of mix. But those would be my quad of ones that I legitimately couldn't wait to watch, And I think The Office maybe the funniest of all of them. Certainly if you put it in the broadcast television criteria let's listen to Michael Scott slash Kamala Harris answer the same questions.

Perhaps a weakness some let's say, but I actually think it's the strength that well.

My weaknesses are actually strengths.

Oh, yes, very good. There you go pretty good. I really do value you having a team of very smart people around me.

I work too hard, I care too much, and sometimes I can be too invested in my job.

So that is Michael Scott being interviewed for a job, and I mean it is perfect.

So a few things here. First off, I think the what are your weaknesses question is the dumbest question that anyone ever gets asked in a job interviewing.

But it is a common question. It's not like it's out of left field, right, It is very common.

Yeah, people, But but I'm saying I'm breaking with the you know, the the consensus here from the HR departments, what are your weaknesses? Is an idiot? If you were on a date and you're sitting there, you know, if I was sitting there when I was a single guy before I met the love of my life, my lovely wife, and a girl goes, what's the worst thing about you? Like, that's it's that's a dumb question to ask somebody, right, because one, they're not going to tell you the truth, and two, even if they give you something that's not great, why are you asking them to undermine themselves the same thing in a job interview, right, A job interview in a date are actually not that different. You just have on a different outcome, you know, at least you could and to do the My strengths rather my weaknesses are actually strength response though, is even dumber than the dumb question because it just shows like you think you're being clever. And then the classic one is I just work too hard, I take too much responsibility and don't want the credit. Like that's obviously not actually a weakness, and the fact that Kamala did that, she's like, Oh, I just I like diverse and brilliant perspectives. Call me crazy, you can call me a crazy lady, but I like a team of super smart people around me to give me great advice. You know, I'm just nutty that way.

She is, I think uniquely incompetent, and I actually think Tim Walls is dumber than her, which means that this is the dumbest presidential and vice presidential ticket in any of our lives. There's that great meme, have you seen it, Buck, where it starts with Obama and it says, I need a vice president dumber than me, and then the picture is Joe Biden, and then Joe Biden says I need a vice president dumber than me, and the picture is Kamala Harris, and then Kamala Harris says I need a vice president dumber than me, and the picture is Tim Walls. I actually think that's accurate from Obama. Every vice president has gotten dumber, and every presidential nominee or president has gotten dumber too, and the people that they pick as their number twos have gotten dumber, which does make some sense because Kamala is profoundly insecure and it would make sense that she would be uncomfortable picking someone who is smarter than her to be your vice president, which is how she ended up with Tim Walls.

And while we have fun with this, and you know, we like to, we always mix in the most important things in the world right now, at least in terms of what we think and going on in this country with having fun, but it really does also while we're talking about how Kamala, it's just clear she has no idea what's going on. I mean imagine and this used to be something talked about, I think more clay in these presidential election cycles. It seems to have faded a bit in the Biden Kommeeo. Certainly the Kamala era, China decides to go for it in Taiwan, huge armada on the way, and you know the expectation of major casualties for the Chinese Navy for the time when he's Defense Forces and Kamala Harris is sitting in the situation room having to really make the call, make the determination, make the decision. I mean to me, that's just it's an insult to think that that's in any way reasonable for the American people. It is an insult who we come back.

Will play some more of Kamala's greatest hits as her campaign continues to flounder. And we encourage all of you, as we have said every day and we'll continue to say every day. We are twelve days out, get your votes in, go vote early, bank your vote, encourage others to get out so that we can avoid this. More on representing us Beginning in January, US Navy Lieutenant Bradley foster story want of valor and selflessness. Was born and raised in California. Inspired by his father's military service, and fell to deep calling to serve his country. He became a pilot in the US Navy, underwent air in combat training, and was later awarded the National Defense Service Medal. Bradley's goal was to be the best pilot and leader he could, while also being the very best husband and father to his wife, Beth and baby girl Audrey. Tragically, Bradley's promising life was cut short by a helicopter crash off the coast of San Diego. Tunnel to Towers provided his family with a mortgage free home and his honor. Show your support for heroes like Bradley and their families. Donate eleven dollars a month to Tunnel to Towers at T two t dot org. That's tea the number two t dot org.

You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. Reclaim your sanity with Clay and Fun. Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

Let's check in on how things are going over at morning, Joel was watching This Morning with Kerry Prp Injection in my knee, Clay, So hopefully I'll be able to walk normal. What does that feel like? Weird? It doesn't hurt that much. So you injured yourself playing tennis? Yes? Is it gotten better?

Like?

What's the status of the name the bone bruise? Apparently, I don't know. I'm getting old, guys. Now, I'm gonna want to start with each passing year, all of us are gonna be talking about our knees hurting, our back's hurting here on the Clay and Buck Show. So this is what's gonna be going down. But yeah, I gotta I got a I don't know what it's PRP shot. You can sort of tell me if you tell me VIPs if you've ever gotten this done before. Hopefully it means my knee will be normal again. They removed a lot of fluid from my knee, which is kind of gross. Hopefully you're not eating. Let's talk about what's going on over at Morning Joe Speak Joe. Yeah, Morning Joe. They are. They're a little sad these days, a little freaked out. They really Clay asked me this in the commercial break, and I just thought I would share it with all of you. Their attitude seems to be a little bit of the desperate defiance of the girlfriend who knows she's about to be broken up with by some guy and she knows it's coming, but like, she's not gonna be nice. She's not gonna stop nagging and she's going to keep being a boss girl or whatever. You know, she's not gonna change who she is. It's like, well, you're gonna get broken up with soon. Here is what it's like for Mika these days, and how she's trying to frame the Kamala campaign versus Trump. Play three.

Her campaign is about joy in America. It is about freedom in America. It is about women who are right now in danger for their lives because of the healthcare procedures that Donald Trump has taken away from them. I mean, these are serious issues.

She wants to bring.

Freedom back to women who have lost fifty years of freedoms. If you look at their social media outreach, Joe, and you look at the way that they speak, it's a joyful campaign, but it is reflecting off who they are running against, a dark, dismal, fascist and increasingly obviously fascist person.

It is like she's Mika Brziski translated here on warning, Joe. It's it's we have.

A joyful campaign of the joy and you're an evil hitlarian fascist like and you're gonna die if you get pregnant, and he's gonna make you die.

I just there.

Their entire campaign is descending into chaos. And for those of you out there who remember reading the book game Change about the two thousand and eight presidential campaign, I think it was Buck, and the game change in play was John McCain picks Sarah Palin as his VP, and then a lot of people in that McCain world Buck, I'm curious if you would agree with me. It feels like never really recovered from that campaign because now they're the Many of those McCain people are the Lincoln Project, Bullwark, they're basically Democrats now who have decided that Donald Trump is Hitler. They bought into that argument, and it was a great book, really took you behind the scenes. I'm already looking forward to the real truth being told because as soon as Kamala loses, and I think she's going to lose officially in twelve days, there is going to be a the truth can now be told world where we hear about Biden's true dementia, where we hear just how distasteful and unprepared Kamala has been for much of her campaign, and everybody just tries to settle scores, and it's going to be nasty on a level I don't know that we've ever seen before, because I do think when Hillary lost, they came after Hillary over, hey, you didn't go to Michigan, you didn't go to Wisconsin. But I think it was more of a profound shock, and they then tried to say, oh, we lost because of Russia. Trump's the Manchurian candidate, right. They pivoted and rationalized how the loss happened, which did not require as much culpability on their part. It was all external factors that worked to make Trump win. I think it's going to require a massive amount of self reflection because they did this to themselves. They covered for Biden until it was impossible to cover for him, They didn't allow an actual primary to take place. They elevated a profoundly unprepared and unlikable candidate, and they're going to have to look in the mirror and say we did this, which is you know this buck one of the toughest things about life is accepting personal responsibility when things go bad and looking yourself in the mirror in saying I did this, nobody else is to blame. I screwed up. And when you can do it, it allows growth. I think they're going to have to do it this time.

You know, the root of the word hysteria comes from the ancient Greek hysteria for womb or uterus, and it is essentially an extreme version of a feminized, feminized emotion, right, hysteria. I bring it up because, well, here's Mika Brzhinski cut for let's play it.

This is what voters know right now that he is killing us. I'm talking about us women. He's killing us. He is putting us at risk. He is making us afraid to have babies, he is putting our reproductive health at risk. And some women have died already because of this. So we can see right now what's coming these headlines and very good reporting, by the way, that shouldn't be questioned by idiots about what Trump has said about Hitler. That's incredibly important to know.

I mean that if you could do an audio definition of his area in a dictionary, that would be it.

He's killing us.

He's not killing anybody. He didn't even I mean Roe v. Wade was overturned by the Supreme Court because Roe v. Wade was garbage loss. Sorry Libs, learn to read, you know. I don't know what else to say. This is Clay. They're so deluded, they're so broken from and separate from observable reality on this stuff. And he's killing Their final pitch is that he's Hitler and he's killing women. This is really what they're going with.

And he's terrifying them from having babies. Let me just say this, no matter who wins the presidency, or who wins the Senate, or who wins Congress, or what state you live in, if you give the government power to decide whether or not you start a family, you are giving the government way too much power. Have kids, trust me, If you are out there and you are uncertain, have kids.

Challenging.

They are incredibly time consuming, but they are the best decision you will ever make. And I say that whether you're a Republican, Democrat, independent, if you're sitting around and I do think this is really the essence of the fear that they've created.

Buck.

I mean, some of the data reflects there are young people out there. You may have grandkids, you may have kids of your own, that are saying, I'm not going to have kids because I'm afraid of climate change and i don't want I mean, this is a real thing, and some of you are rolling your eyes and you're in disbelief over this. There are a lot of people out there that are twenty four to twenty five years old, boys, girls that are choosing that they do not want to have children because they believe the climate change is such an existential threat that humanity basically shouldn't exist and they can't bring a new soul into the world. That's really I mean, if you are out there and your worldview convinces people not to have children because the planet can handle them having kids, you're basically in favor of human eradication, which is sadly a certain foundational element now of the Democrat Party, which is the Earth can't sustain itself, humans shouldn't exist.

There are too many of us.

Yikes, right, I Mean, that's pretty scary and profoundly dark if you want to talk about it. That's a global hysteria. It's really a psychological pandemic that people are afraid to have children because of climate change. I mean, this is real mind control and delusion stuff. But I would add that it's not just like Meek. I know, I'm doing the Morning Joe thing right now because it really is fascinating to deep dive through their.

Trauma from Trump. They're so traumatized by Trump. But Karine Jean Pierre, speaking from the podium of the West Wing as White House Press Secretary, she's also doing the whole Trump is praising Hitler thing. Listen to this cut two.

You have heard from this president over and over again about the threats to democracy, and the President has spoken about that. You've heard from the former president himself saying that he is going to be a dictator on day one. This is him, not us. This is him, and it's not just all. It's not just us the White House saying this. You've heard it from officials, former officials that work for the former president say this as well. And I can't believe I even have to say this, but our nation's veterans are heroes.

They are heroes.

They're not losers or suckers.

They are heroes.

And to be praising Adolph Hitler is dangerous and it's also disgusting.

I just I mean, it's so desperate, Buck, It's like it's listening to a bunch of high school girls who hate the popular kid in the class, and they're just going to say anything. You know, It's just gross. I think it actually works to Trump's favor. And that's why I said they've pivoted to fascists. They've destroyed the use of so many phrases. Remember they had to move from racist to white supremacists, and then now they're on to fascist and Hitler. And this is a question that I think would be a great one again if we had a real media asking honest questions of Kamala Harris. If you truly believe that Trump is a fascist and that he has Adolf Hitler like tendencies, why did you call him and console him twice when people tried to kill him? Shouldn't you be in favor?

If you believe that Adolf Hitler is Trump and Trump is Adolf Hitler, shouldn't you be like disappointed that they didn't succeed in killing him?

I mean, I ask, I mean, even I can make it simpler than that. If Trump is Adolf Hitler, would you wouldn't you be completely morally compelled to cheat in the election if I were a German, you know, circa nineteen thirty whatever, and you know, Hitler obviously ran an election. There's never another election under that regime. But I would cheat to I would cheat to make sure Hitler didn't win, right. I mean, it's got a funny They say these things, but then they either lack the courage of their convictions or they're lying, which is really what's going on. They don't believe this stuff. But meek in Morning, Joe, I'm telling you, if Trump wins in January, it's gonna be like, oh, we're so upset Trump is giving tax cuts to billionaires again. I mean, it's all gonna be normal. Like the stuff that they're talking about is insane. But I want to we mentioned Clay, the possible pardoning of Hunter Biden. Yes, this is why I think it's powerful for Trump to be discussing this. Trump is the guy who didn't have his DOJ. DOJ operates independently. I mean, this is like people who think Supreme Court justices have no politics, Like, are we all children?

Know?

Okay? The DJ does not operate independently of the president. He could have had Hillary Clintley or they could have looked at Hillary Clinton, and they didn't. And she broke the law one hundred percent, no question about it. She did something that was a felony many times over, and they just said, no, we're not gonna prosecute her. Okay, fine, Hunter Biden's a scumback. We all know that he should have gone a prey and he did things that are illegal. He did it over and over again. He's a bad guy. But how is it that you're gonna make the argument that Donald Trump is a fascist and evil not only on the Hillary thing, but when he's the one sitting around saying I would pardon or I will consider pardoning Hunter Biden. Now we know that Joe Biden will beat him to the punch probably, but nonetheless, even discussing a clay I think shows that Trump will have a There'll be a part of Trump that is this is going to the liberals would lose their minds over this. They is trying to move forward and unite the country. I know that they will sneer at that, but it's true. I said this before and some people got mad at me. If I if Trump asked my opinion on this, and we'll play the audio for you and we come back. I would tell him to pardon Hunter Biden, not because I think Hunter Biden deserves it, but because I think it would be an important gesture towards showing some level of reconciliation with the country. And I do think leave aside politics. I think Trump understands, having seen Don Junior, having seen Eric Avonka, his own kids targeted because of what he does. I think he understands as a father, what it would be like and is like for your family to be targeted as opposed to you. I think if Joe Biden was a man of any honor, integrity and leadership, real leadership quality, he would have said before he got shoved out by his own party. All right, guys, I don't even care what the crimes are that you think that Trump committed. We've got an election here. The American people are going to get the right to say what they think should happen with our leadership going forward. I am not locking up Donald Trump. I will I will pardon or commuting. I agree to talk about that, but I will step in and use my pardon power as president. So that my opponent can run in a free and fair election against me. I will not allow the weaponization. The left would have completely freaked out. I understand that, but that actually would have been a powerful thing for the rest of the country.

I think he might have won if he'd been willing to do it. Honestly, I think they would have kept him as ultimately once once he had the nomination locked up, I think it would have been harder to push him out if he had said that. Also, it has true benefits, Bucket. We sometimes talk about it's both the right thing morally and it's the right thing politically, and when you can combine them both, that's a hell of a win. A few things are more precious than the family memories that we all create over the decades of our lives, and so often the way we capture and then can relive those memories is with photo or video. If your family, like mine, had a video camera. Back in the day, my dad used to sit there when we'd open Christmas presents, have the little pajamas with the little feet in them, you know, and he'd be.

Like, bucko, what do you think about your gift? And I would just be like, I like trucks, you know, and we'd have this on video. Now we can go back and enjoy that, and I can see how verbal I was at age like four or whatever, because I've used Legacy Box those old VHS tapes. I don't have a VHS player, do you. I didn't even have a DVD player anymore. Old media where you have your family member, a family memory restored. Timmy transferred to new media with Legacy Box the best way to do it. Clay has done it. I have done it. Legacy Box does this better than anyone else. They've done it now for more than a million and a half families, including like I said, the Travis is the Sextons. I've relied on Legacy Box. You can too. They're quick, professional, and they send you updates along the way. Right now they're offering ready for this fifty percent off their regular prices, which makes getting this project going all the more attractive. You don't have to do it all right away. They send you the box, you lock in that rate, you're locking in the great deal, and then you fill it with stuff as you need to it. You send it in, they tell you how it's going. They send you all your stuff back plus the digitized memories that you can then text and upload your computer and enjoy for generations to come. Go to legacy box dot com slash buck for half off their regular prices. That's legacy box dot com slash buck for fifty percent.

Off news and politics, but also a little comic relief. Clay Travis and Buck Sexton them on the vre iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

Well, welcome back into Clay and Buck. We've had a lot of presidential election talk and a lot of senators on the show recently. We'll probably be the big guy Trump calling in here in the next week or so. But we also want to focus in on some very critical house races. We had Hung Cow on yesterday. That guy's a badass, big Hung Cow fans here. We got another badass on today, Derek Anderson. He's a candidate for Virginia's seventh congressional district. Former Army Special Forces, he's a Green Beret. He's a train with the idf F in the past as well. Look, Derek, great to have you on the show, I think first time. Thanks for being here.

Hey, Thanks Clay and Buck, appreciate you guys. Thanks for having me on.

Tell us about your race. I know this was the span Burger seat that she vacated to go run. Who's a Democrat vacated to go run ru for US Senate seat?

Right?

Or is the governor? I can't remember now? Governor? Yeah, she ran for governor. And who are you up against? How is it looking? And how can you win?

Yeah? Gay? So I'm running up against a guy by the name of Vinman, who I'm sure you guys are all, oh wow, oh yeah, who I'm running against? So you know I'm the district I'm running in. I grew up in the heart of this district in spots Maana County, Fredericksburg area for those folks, about hours south of d C. Went to Virginia Tech, went to the Army, you know, deployed to Iraq during the Surge for fifteen months as an infantry guy. I went to Rangers School as well, then went to the Honor Guard and then went to the Green Berets, where I did five deployments as a Green Beret team leader, including Afghanistan, Barray, Lebanon, Israel, and Jordan. Went to law school in Clerks for two federal judges what's interesting and fascinating about my race is, you know, I am going up against Vinman, and mister Vinman is focused on his past. You know, he's focused on his revenge tour with President Trump and doubling down on Kamwa Harris's failed policies, while I'm focused on the future of the people in the district. This is my hometown, this is where I grew up. This is where my mom my, cousins and family members all throughout the district are from and live. And so I've invested interest in this. And what's interesting, and I'm sure you guys are all well aware that this is the time of year where we see a lot of lives being spread. My opponent is lied about me. In fact, he's lied about himself. You know, he's lied about his military record. He lied about his rank, he's lied about his time overseas. He said he used weapons of war on the battlefield when he in fact did not. He's been questioned on this a few times. But you know, the interesting part about that is that if he's willing to lie about that, what else is he willing to lie about? And you know, you're not going to out arm me, right I'm a former Green Beret with deployments di Iraq and Afghanistan. I know what it feels like to have those bullets woods by my head. I had five of my guys killed in at Dana Stance, So you know that's the kind of person I'm going up against. The House majority is going to run through Virginia seventh District. We have a really great opportunity here, but you know, we need everyone's help to win. You know, we've had people coming in today door knocking, but we need of anyone interested in helping. Signing up, contributing always helps as well. They can go to Derek Anderson dot com It's d D R I C K Anderson dot com to get more information on us and our campaign and all the great work we're doing on the ground here.

Derek, I'm a thanks for coming on Civil War History NERD. So I know Fredericksburg well because of the Civil War battlefield, and I know you're not far from Chancellorsville too. Yesterday we talked with Hung cow who's running for the Senate in Virginia, and you're talking about your particular district. What are you seeing. We kind of have the sense for people out there who don't know Virginia. Well, northern Virginia is the base of the Democrat Party in the state. The further you get into the south and west, the more it is the base of the Republican Party. But the races are actually decided and you can correct me if I'm wrong in the middle part of the state. What does early turnout looking like, and how do you feel about the momentum of the Republican Party in the state of Virginia overall?

Well, it's it's amazing. And we have a very diverse district, right, So my district is centered around Fredericksburg, Spotsylvania and goes east to King George and Carolines all the way out to the Potomac up north on a long ninety five to Stafford in the eastern side of Prince William and then we go west all the way out to the mountains. We've got Orange, Culpepper, Madison in Green County. So I mean, yeah, we're talking about a wide ranging district just in the heart and center of Virginia. And you know the issues that I hear every single Well, back to your previous question, early voting is amazing. I was at two early voting locations yesterday in Stafford and Prince William County. People are coming in, you know, as we're as we're sitting there, you know, there's some people that are like, hey, I see you on TV. You're that guy, which is awesome, right, and they're like, can I take a picture with you. There's some people that you know, they walk by and they come out of the voting booths or the voting area and they give you the thumbs up like I got you. So, I mean, the momentum in the enthusiasm is amazing. We're seeing the numbers, you know, at a at a high rate right now considering compared to you know, past year. So we're excited about that. And I'll be quite frank, you know, there's people that I'm meeting at the early voting vote stations, and you know, the number one thing I hear about in our district is the economy. Right here in Virginia. About a third of Virginians or living paycheck to paycheck. It's cost the average family about eleven hundred dollars more month under the current bidonomics that him and Kamala Harris put together. It's a quarter of Virginians are delinquent on their credit cards. So I mean when we're talking about voters going out to vote, people are voting with their pocketbooks, with their wallets. I get it quite often because my mom lives about fifteen minutes away from me, and so my mom feels the need to call me every single time she goes to the grocery store and she say times me and says Derek Wuire and is this expensive of my mom. I'm not in office yet, I can't. I'm trying my best to help you out, you know, so that in the border crisis is truly impacted our district. To give you just a quick one, you know, we had two illegal immigrants I saw. We have a few military installations in our in our district, including Marine Corps based Quantico. Right, we had a few months ago we had two illegal immigrants of Jordanian descent attempt to breach the front gate of Marine Corps based Quantico posing as Amazon drivers. Those two individuals you know as a Green Beret, as someone who you know, intel minded kind of person. Who are these people, who are they associated with? What were they doing? We didn't get any answers from anyone about it, and in fact, the two individuals were released on bail for seeing five people at day overdose on Sentinel in Virginia. So when we talk about the border crisis, every single state in a border state, and we're feeling the impact here in Virginia seventh Congressional District. My opponent, you know, he cares so much about the border, Vinman that he took his immigration policies off of his website. So, I mean, these are the kind of people we're dealing with. This race is going to be really important do not only maintain our majority in the House, but to also build our majority in the House so we can actually do our country back on track. So again I encourage folks to go to our website, Derekanerson dot com if they want more information to want to help us out.

Derek, honored to have you on the program.

Stir.

We hope you pull this one out. We'll do whatever we can and this audience can to help.

So thank you, thank you, Sarah, appreciate you.

Buck Thursday night football.

But because people are having trouble getting their picks in sometimes a little bit early, I've got a multi day play that actually goes for Sunday. All right, so prizepicks dot Com. My name Clay. We're gonna try to hit on a ten to one payout here. I want you to get your pins. This is why I wanted you to go ahead and download the app. You can play in Texas, you can play in Georgia, you can play in Florida, you can play in California, all over the country. Here is my play for prizepicks dot Com. Code Clay. You get fifty dollars when you sign up if you are a football fan. Lamar Jackson less than fifty three and a half rushing rushing yards. Jared Goff, quarterback for the Detroit Lions. He's been on fire. He's playing against my awful Tennessee Titans. More on the passing yards. Geno Smith, he's been playing really well. The Seattle Seahawks offense has been playing well. More on passing yards for Geno Smith and Dak Prescott. Cowboys got wrecked by the Lions. They've been on a bye week. They're coming back. More passing yards against the forty nine ers for Dak Prescott. I'm trying to make it simple, basic numbers here. Lamar Jackson less on rushing yards, Goff, Geno Smith, and Dak Prescott more on passing yards. You will get a ten to one payout. If we are right, you can play, you can have.

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You can take the exact opposite of all of those, and if I'm wrong on everything, you get a ten to one payout. So let's go Buck ten to one. Lamar Less, Jared Goff, Geno Smith, Dak Prescott all more on passing yards, lamar Less on rushing yards, not passing. Let's go ahead and have some fun. Those are Sunday Action NFL games, not Tonight Sunday Action. Klay Travis. My name obviously, Clay is the code on pricepicks dot com. Let's play, let's have some fun pricepicks dot Com. You get fifty bucks if you use my name Clay when you play the first five dollars.

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Laugh it up.

In the Klay and Buck podcast feed on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

We bring in our favorite I'll just say it I think he would think it's affectionate. Our favorite data nerd Ryan Gurdusky, to look at the early voting numbers and what are out there that we should all be aware of.

Ryan, let me bring in here.

I'm going to hit you with the absolute latest gambling market numbers in all seven swing states, as legitimately I'm talking to you right now. Trump the favorite in Michigan fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Pennsylvania fifty seven percent, Trump the favorite in Georgia seven tventy one percent, Trump the favorite in North Carolina sixty seven percent, Trump the favorite in Wisconsin fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Nevada sixty four percent, and Trump the favorite in Arizona seventy two percent. He does not need to win all of these states. But all seven of these states are early voting. We tell all of you we want one hundred percent early vote and or voting participation. So don't listen to me and not go vote. But do you think those are accurate? Do you think the Trump team is confident? Quietly here, twelve days out, given those numbers, I just ran you through gambling odds in the seven battleground states.

So gambling odds are a lot of times changed based upon public perception a lot of us on the internet. I don't follow that. I don't believe that to be not that I don't believe these numbers could be accurate or Trump could win them all. But I don't think the gambling odds are the best place to get these kinds of information. Wisconsin is a very unusual thing. There is no party registration and you can register to vote on election day. So if a thousand Democrats wake up and say, hey, I've never registered a vote before they can register on election day, it's very, very difficult to estimate Wisconsin without party registration and with people being able to register to vote up till the minute.

That they do vote.

In Michigan is not the same thing with party registration, the same thing with party registration, so there's no political parties and they don't give out race data. It's just geographic and there's there, but there is a cutoff date. You can't register the day of. So that being said, I really don't know a lot. We don't know a lot outside the polling in Michigan and Wisconsin, which is really fifty to fifty depending on what poll you want to look at in the state of Pennsylvania right now, which is a little different because they do have information on party registration. One point one million Democrats that have requested an absentee ballot and seven hundred and twenty six thousand have voted in five hundred and ninety seven thousand Republicans have requested in absenty ballot in three hundred and sixty one thousand have voted, and two hundred and forty thousand Independents and have requested the ballot. One hundred and ten thousand have voted. Democrats in Pennsylvania in the early vote will break heavily for the Democrats, probably by a two to one margin. That's not unusual. That's what happens in almost every election. Right now. Republicans lead in absentee ballot requests in thirty five counties. I just want to put that in a I want to look at that compared to pass elections. In twenty twenty two they led in two counties, and in twenty twenty they led in thirteen counties. Significant more numbers of rural voters are requesting than in past elections for the Republicans in Pike County became the first county I think it was today. If not, it will happen tomorrow where there are more returns and requests than in the twenty twenty election. In covid that is a sixty to forty Republican county in the last election. So then you go to Florida, which is not really a swing state, but Republicans are obliterating the numbers. They are one point two million to one million. Miami Dade could flip Republican or yet very very close. North Carolina yesterday became the third state to flip to a Republican lead in the absentee ballads. That was not really expected because many thought the hurricane would put a lot of Republican counties out, But those Republican counties in the hurricane affected areas are seeing record breaking turnout. Georgia does not have party registration, but they do list results based on race. Now, I know everyone's saying this huge surge of black support for Donald Trump is real, but overall, something to the effect of ninety percent or eighty five percent of all black voters will be voting for the Democrat, and in Georgia around eighty to eighty five percent of all white voters will be voting for the Republican that is the tradition. Fifty nine point sixty six percent of the vote so far as white, twenty six point five percent is black. That is a one point increase among white voters and a one percent decrease among black voters compared to twenty twenty, and is a tie from twenty twenty two. There is a surge of Hispanic and Asian voters though in the state, which is to be expected. Arizona Republicans lead Democrats by thirty eight thousand votes from twenty twenty to thirty one thousand more Republicans than twenty twenty. There are one hundred and thirty seven thousand fewer Democrats among new voters now, Arizona is unusual in the fact that they give you the data based upon how often someone has voted. Among newly registered voters, Democrats sorry, Republicans lead Democrats by two point two thousand new registered voters voters who have never voted in the state before or registered in the state before. Among people who have been registered but never voted, Republicans have one point nine thousand, almost two thousand more voters who have been registered just never decided to vote before they lead. And in the VIBEA, Nevada was supposed to be Kamala's best swing state, the state that she was never going to go, she was never going to lose. Really, Republicans lead Democrats by seventeen thousand votes. There is something known as the Clark County Firewall. This is something that that Harry Reid machine built up in the mid two thousands where Democrats would have such an enormous lead in Clark County it wouldn't matter what the Ruralds did or what was Shoa did, that they were going to win because this Clark County league will be tens of thousands of votes in favor of Democrats. As of right now, with thirty percent of the overall vote in for the election day vote with the esimate elector DA vote will be Republicans lead Democrats statewide by seventeen thousand and Democrats only leave Republicans in Clark County, which is Las Vegas, by just seven thousand votes. That is way way way under what Democrats are used to And this whole idea of Kamala's amazing ground game operation is really being called into question right now.

Ryan I don't know if I got all of that down on my notepad, but I got a lot of I know, there was a lot of no, no, no, no, we like figure dusky around around the world with the data. That's fine. But if you were to pick the top one or two things right now that are that are real, right, that are not projections that we know are happening based on the data, so you know, not not including polling that is concerning to the Kamala campaign, like what is keeping the head of the Kamala twenty twenty four committee up at night right now? The most so in Arizona.

Arizona is the only say that breaks this down. New voters are are showing up in big numbers. Remember a lot of new eighteen year olds, a lot of immigrants, but a lot of people moved around this country between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four because of COVID. A lot of senior citizens moved around because of COVID. I wrote my substack the National Populist newsletter. Forty five percent of all new Georgia voters are over the age of fifty. Of new voters in Arizona are over the age of fifty. These new voters. A lot of the retirees are voting in big numbers for Republicans. That's one thing. New voters Republicans are showing up, and lower pensity voters Republicans are showing up. Secondly, that's important because does this huge surge of early vote by Republicans is it eating away at their election day vote? Partially? It is one hundred percent partially eating with their election day vote, but the surge of lower pensity and new voters shows that it's not just our election day voters being eaten away at. Trump's numbers on election day will be smaller than twenty twenty, but he will overall win election day. That's first of all. Secondly, the absentee ballot requests in Pennsylvania. If Pennsylvania on election Day, before election day, Democrats have less than five hundred thousand votes banked over Republicans, and they will have more because more Democrats are on the permanent absentee list, that is a very bad sign. Democrats need about half a million or more in the bank before election date because Republicans will win election day. That is extremely concerning. And then lastly, if you look at where these early turnouts are coming in the rural counties from Pennsylvania to Nevada to Georgia. All of them are showing tremendous strengths, even in states that don't have party registration while a lot of places. The worst performing county in Pennsylvania for early vote compared to twenty twenty and twenty twenty two is Philadelphia. That is not a good place for Democrats. Atlanta is having issues with the black vote. That is not a good thing for Democrats. They are sitting there and very very panicked and keep on saying out loud, well, they'll just show up on election date. There's no guarantee they will. There's no guarantee they won't, but there's no guarantee they will.

So if you were setting up we've asked you this for months now, and you're talking to Ryan Gerdeski, encourage you to go read his populist Substack newsletter. Very very good. I'm a subscriber. I think you guys will enjoy it as well. If you were setting odds right now, chances Trump wins twelve days out, chances that Kamala wins twelve days out, what do you think are reasonable projections at this point?

Trump is the favorite to win, but it's probably fifty five percent to forty five percent. Kamala can still win this race. It's not a guarantee, although a lot of things are moving in his general direction. And it's not a guarantee because Kamala has one group of voters that Trump doesn't have, which is highly educated white voters, and she has the support of a lot of black voters. They will be mobilized through souls to the polls on the weekend before election day. For the black voters and white college educated voters are the most active voters in the country. About almost eighty five to ninety percent of them show up in these kinds of elections. That will be very, very beneficial in the Philadelphia Coller counties in Pennsylvania. That'll be very beneficial, around the Raleigh and a Durham area and Wake County, North Carolina, around Atlantis suburbs. That is what she is depending on is that these people are no longer afraid of COVID but will be showing up and showing up big for her. So Trump as a lead, it's not a tremendous lead. It's not the lead he had with Joe Biden and Republicans can't act like he does, but Democrats are increasingly becoming unhinged by the numbers.

One more question. If you were telling us, and I know we're twelve days out, but early voting numbers coming in on election night, I think we will likely have Florida complete before a lot of our listeners will go to bed. Will Florida tell us much in your mind? Like if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or more points, which seems highly likely based on how voting is going so far, is that an indication for other states? Is there somewhere else that you would point to that may have reliable early data that could give us a sign of how the nation is voting. What would you point to as like, hey, pay a than this.

So the state of Florida. No, I would look at Midwestern retire communities in Florida. That was the first sign that Bill Clinton got from his political campaign director from nineteen ninety two that Hillary was going to lose in twenty sixteen because the margins in the Midwestern retire communities were explosive and they were overwhelmingly favoring Donald Trump. If those numbers look like they do in this election as well. It will be very very good in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania on election night, the early ballads will come in first, unlike twenty twenty, so what you will see is huge numbers for Democrats starting out the night, and as it continues it whittling down and whittling down and willing down. There is going in much of the same way. There was a quote unquote red mirage in twenty twenty. There will be a blue mirage in twenty twenty four at the very beginning of the night. Don't get panicked, wait and see as the election day numbers are counted. It will be interesting to see by how much she's winning this early vote, considering Republicans have invested so much in it. In twenty twenty in Pennsylvania, she was winning the early vote by something like thirty six percent. If she's winning the early vote by twenty five percent, that is a very very very bad sign for Kamala.

Harris, Ryan or Dusk Everybody. National Populist Newsletter is his substack. Clay and I are subscribers. Go check it out for yourself. Great insights on politics. Ryan, We're gonna have to have you back before the big day, so study up. Thanks for being with us.

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