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Interview Only w/ Daniel Silva - A Spy Novelist's Threat Assessment of the Real World

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The Chuck ToddCast

The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes b 
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Bestselling novelist Daniel Silva — creator of the Gabriel Allon series — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a conversation that starts with the craft of spy fiction and quickly becomes something closer to a threat assessment. Silva's newest plot turns on drones, and he's blunt that this isn't speculative: he believes it's a matter of time before a drone carries out an assassination or a mass-casualty attack. He talks about the strange responsibility of writing a fictional event that could plausibly happen next month, why he deliberately withholds visual detail so readers build the scene themselves, and what he learned reporting out how modern kidnappings and ransom negotiations actually work. The darker current running underneath is his read on American intelligence: the FBI is no longer the same place, the U.S. is jettisoning allies and hollowing out its agencies, and Silva poses the question a novelist is uniquely positioned to ask — if you're the GRU right now, where would you most want an asset placed? He notes that the best assets often don't know they're assets, that NATO held a crisis meeting about Trump, and that this is precisely the moment to be putting the screws to a vulnerable Putin, since Ukraine has victory in sight and isn't desperate for any deal.

The conversation turns personal when Chuck asks how Silva handles Israel's collapsing global reputation in a series built around an Israeli intelligence officer. Silva says the shift was entirely foreseeable, that he has no interest in writing about Gaza, and that what saddens him most is the "fortress Israel" mindset — a country founded on European-style socialist ideals now convinced it can go it alone, siloed from the world, while antisemitism surges globally in a way he warns only ever needs the right set of circumstances to reignite. He and Chuck range across the forces reshaping the century: giant corporations approaching the power of nation-states, a new generation of the ultra-wealthy who simply don't believe in philanthropy, AI's capacity to wipe out the knowledge economy, and Silva's conviction that the next great political crisis may be a climate-driven natural disaster — noting that the last major El Niño produced famines that killed millions, that today's migration patterns are already climate-driven, and that people are dying right now as a direct result of cutting humanitarian aid. He's unsparing on writing and AI), amused and appalled that Trump has turned the National Mall into a mess with a reflecting pool gone "Kermit green," and closes on the question every prolific novelist gets asked and rarely answers honestly: does he ever actually rest?

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Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Daniel Silva joins the Chuck ToddCast

01:00 Gabriel Allon is ageless

02:45 How much do you put yourself into Gabriel Allon?

03:30 Gabriel’s character allows Daniel to pursue things he’s interested in

05:15 Potentially creating a spin-off series

06:30 Vibe of the book series is European art

07:15 How did you learn about modern kidnappings and negotiations

09:15 Not writing with great visual detail to allow readers to imagine it

10:15 We are going to have a major incident triggered by drones

11:15 Ukraine has become the drone specialists of the world

12:00 Drones will eventually carry out an assassination or mass casualty event

13:15 Any trepidation creating a fictional event that could actually happen?

14:15 There was an emergency drone incident in Copenhagen

14:45 Europeans are already very nervous about impacts of drones

15:30 There are cameras everywhere in modern society

16:45 The level of criminality & corruption in the world is staggering

18:00 The current FBI is no longer the same place

18:45 We are jettising allies and destroying our intelligence agencies

19:30 If you are the GRU… where would you want an asset to be?

20:30 There are different types of intelligence assets

21:00 Some of the best assets don’t realize they are assets

22:15 Crisis meeting held at NATO headquarters about Trump 

25:30 We should be putting the screws to Putin right now, he’s vulnerable

26:15 Ukraine has victory in sight, they aren’t desperate for a deal

27:00 How do you tackle Israel’s reputation in the world in the books?

29:30 The changes to Israel’s reputation were foreseeable

30:00 Don’t want to write about the war in Gaza

31:00 Is all hope for a two state solution gone?

33:45 There’s a “fortress Israel” mindset, they think they can do it alone

34:15 Is Gabriel Allon still a zionist?

35:00 Israel was founded with tenets of European style socialism

36:00 It’s sad seeing Israel becoming so siloed from the world

37:30 There’s been a major resurgence of antisemitism

39:15 It only takes the right set of circumstances to reignite antisemitism

40:30 Giant corporations are becoming as powerful as nation states

42:00 The new generation of ultra wealthy don’t believe in philanthropy

42:45 AI has the ability to wipe out the knowledge economy

44:00 The next great political crisis might be a climate driven natural disaster

44:45 The last great El Nino created massive famine, killing millions

45:30 The current migration patterns are climate driven

46:00 People are dying as a direct result of cutting humanitarian aid

49:30 Trump has turned the national mall into a mess

50:15 The reflecting pool is now “Kermit green”

51:30 If you could write your next book about anything, what would it be?

52:30 Don’t think he could write non-fiction, too many novels to write

54:15 If you use AI to do your writing, then that isn’t writing

57:30 Anthropic CEO gave a reasoned answer to AI military applications

58:00 Could have an AI version of yourself that lives forever

59:15 Do you ever take a rest from writing?

 
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The Chuck ToddCast

The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've  
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