Chuck Todd argues the environment hasn’t moved an inch and the only real question is whether this is a Category 1 blue wave or a Category 5 tsunami — with Trump already running the blame game, pre-blaming Cornyn and Karl Rove for a Paxton loss. Democratic small-dollar fundraising is enormous, early voting shows higher Black and Latino engagement, and Todd sets the benchmark: 245 House seats is a governing majority, 220-225 isn’t. But the story he keeps circling is Starshield. Reporting indicates Musk pitched throttling Ukraine’s satellite system directly to Trump, who “agreed” — though Trump denies it, Musk points at the government, and two senior officials told CNN the order didn’t come from the president. Todd’s question is the one nobody’s answering: how much control does Elon Musk have over American foreign policy? 

Finally, he hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the stock market meltdown on Black Monday, how automation made the problem worse, and what lessons we can draw as we enter the age of AI. He also answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and recaps the weekend in college football.

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Timeline:

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:00 Category 1 wave or Category 5 tsunami?

06:15 Trump gets a head start on the blame game

07:30 Democratic fundraising vs. the GOP’s billionaire money

14:30 What early voting is telling us

19:15 What a real governing majority looks like

24:00 The Senate map, Collins vs. Jackson, and AOC’s million-dollar play

34:15 Nebraska oppo and Bodnar’s internal poll

38:15 Susie Wiles, Katie Zacharia’s five-day tenure, and Trump’s bubble

45:45 How much distance can GOP candidates find?

51:30 Corruption starts to resonate — and Guilfoyle’s burn book

56:00 Trump sides with Putin again, and the diesel deal

1:03:00 The Starshield throttling and who actually ordered it

1:11:30 Republicans struggle to defend it 

1:19:30 ToddCast Time Machine - October 19th, 1987  Black Monday

1:21:00 Wall Street finding out the risks of automating decisions

1:24:00 Automation compounded the sell off 

1:26:30 Monday arrives and a massive sell off occurs

1:29:00 The underlying economy wouldn’t have dictated a crash

1:30:45 Fed announces it will provide liquidity to keep markets functioning

1:37:00 Market started assuming fed would save them from their stupidity

1:38:45 Similarities with how AI is being regulated today

1:42:15 Ask Chuck

1:42:30 What if Miami had joined the SEC?

1:45:45 What happens to anti-Trump Republicans a decade from now?

1:47:00 How will congress govern & how will Trump respond after a massive wave?

1:51:00 College football recap