Marker 27

Marker 19

Marker 17

Marker 34

Chuck Todd closes the book on primary season with Florida — and leads with the stunning upset that ended it. State Rep. Angie Nixon, a Jacksonville former union organizer and Democratic Socialists of America member, beat Alex Vindman with 56% of the vote despite being outraised roughly 16-to-1, and will now face appointed Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in November for the final two years of Marco Rubio's old seat. Chuck’s read is that this wasn't a movement election so much as a performance gap: Vindman ran like the presumptive nominee, hoarded his money for a general election he never reached, and got flatly outworked with primary voters. He's curious what Vindman does with that war chest, and notes Vindman's whole profile felt like first-term Trump resistance in a cycle that's moved on. Elsewhere in Florida: Debbie Wasserman Schultz won in a majority-Black district, Cory Mills lost his primary, Republican turnout meaningfully outpaced Democratic turnout in Florida, and Chuck thinks it's improbable but not impossible for David Jolly to beat Byron Donalds in the governor's race. But the bigger story is national, and it's about turnout as a tea leaf. More Trump-endorsed candidates went down, part of a trend Chuck argues shows Trump's relevance melting away as his approval drops — and that he's actively making things harder for his own party. Democrats cast 57% of primary ballots nationally, up from 54% in 2018, with the biggest jump in Alabama and double-digit increases across multiple states. Chuck is careful with the caveat: primary turnout is a thermometer, not a crystal ball — it tells you where your floor is, not your ceiling. Texas Democratic turnout rose even with marquee Republican races on the ballot, Kansas Republican turnout cratered (though Democrats still have work to do there), and Florida Democrats hemorrhaged voters to no-party affiliation — meaning you can see something real happening in Texas that simply isn't happening in Florida. His bottom line: Democrats will win more votes in November, and history says they win the midterms. The open question is whether they can take both chambers. 

Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the 72 year struggle of the women’s suffrage movement before achieving the ratification of the 19th amendment, presents his ToddCast Top 5 list of Democratic Presidential hopefuls who will work the hardest to win the nomination and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

Play ball and swing for the fences on FanDuel, an official partner of the MLB at https://FANDUEL.COM. 

Upgrade your everyday. Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. 

For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to askchapter.org/chuck/  *Paid Partnership 

Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. Please contactMedicare.gov, 1-800-Medicare, or your local State Health Insurance Program (SHIP) to get information on all of your options. 

 

Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

01:30 Don’t miss the Toddcast Special Report on the Lakers sale

06:30 Primary season is basically wrapped up after Florida

07:45 Raw primary turnout is a good tealeaf to read ahead of midterms

09:00 Democratic voters have been more enthusiastic w/ higher turnout

09:30 Alex Vindman loses Florida senate primary to Angie Nixon

10:30 Vindman ran his race like he was the presumptive nominee

11:00 Nixon just outworked Vindman with primary voters

11:30 Vindman hoarded his money for the general

12:30 This wasn’t a movement election, Nixon just performed

13:15 The importance of the African-American vote in Dem primaries

15:15 Need to live in Florida for more than a couple years to run successfully

15:45 Most of the carpetbagger candidates lost their primaries

16:30 Will be interesting to see what Vindman does with his war chest

18:00 Voters care if you are of/from their community

20:00 Vindman felt like first-term Trump resistance

21:00 It’s improbable but not impossible for David Jolly to beat Byron Donalds

22:15 Florida Republican turnout was much higher than Dems

23:45 Debbie Wasserman Schultz won in majority black district

24:45 Cory Mills loses his primary

25:30 More Trump endorsed candidates lost their primaries

27:15 Trump backed candidates losing has become a trend

27:45 Trump is going out of his way to make it harder for Republicans

28:30 Trump’s relevance is melting away as his approval drops

31:45 Democratic electorate is expanding in most competitive states

32:15 Primary turnout is a thermometer, not a crystal ball

32:45 Turnout tells you where your floor is, not the ceiling

34:30 Democrats outperformed their primary edge in the general in 2018

36:00 Democrats cast 57% of primary ballots, compared to 54% in ‘18

37:00 Biggest jump in Dem turnout was in Alabama

37:45 Multiple states with Democrat turnout up double digits 

39:45 Alabama’s governor race may be very competitive

42:30 Texas Dem turnout was higher even with marquee GOP races

43:45 Florida Dems lost voters to a no party affiliation

44:30 You can see something happening in Texas, not in Florida

45:30 Republican turnout was way down in Kansas

47:15 Dems probably still have more work to do in Kansas

48:00 Dems will win more votes in November,
48:45 History says Dems win the midterms, but can they win both chambers?

52:15 ToddCast Time Machine moved due to Lakers deep dive special

53:45 The movement for women’s suffrage took 72 years

54:15 Movement started in Seneca Falls, NY with the “Declaration of Sentiments”

55:15 100 people sign that declaration. 68 women and 32 men

56:15 Women could work for wages & have no control over the money

57:00 The movement fractured over disagreement about the 15th amendment

58:00 Susan B. Anthony votes illegally and is arrested in 1872

58:30 Women’s suffrage amendment keeps being introduced and failing for 40 years

59:15 The people who started the movement die, and new leaders emerge

1:00:30 In 1919 congress passes the 19th Amendment, need 36 states to ratify

1:01:00 Tennessee becomes the final state needed to ratify

1:01:30 Vote keeps ending up tied in the Tennessee statehouse

1:02:30 Ratification passes the house 50-46

1:03:45 Women couldn’t immediately vote everywhere after passage

1:05:00 Charlotte Woodward was only signatory that lived to see 19th amendment

1:05:45 Woodward lived long enough to see it, but was too old/sick to vote herself

1:06:45 A political movement often requires one generation to build it for the next one

1:07:45 After Trump, America will need a hard fought reform movement

1:09:30 America eventually gets it right, after exhausting other paths

1:10:45 ToddCast Top 5 candidates working the hardest to win

1:11:15 #1 AOC

1:13:30 #2 Pete Buttigieg

1:13:45 #3 Kamala Harris

1:14:00 #4 Mark Kelly + #5 Gavin Newsom

1:15:45 Jon Ossoff didn’t need to make his Natalie comment

1:17:45 Andy Beshear + Rahm Emmanuel don’t scare red state Dems

1:23:00 Ask Chuck

1:24:00 Can Dems actually bring accountability to Trump if they take congress?

1:31:30 Why were outsider Dem candidates so competitive in MI and WI?

1:35:15 Why can Trump do whatever he wants unchecked?

1:40:45 How should newsrooms cover the Natalie Harp story??

1:46:00 How do we hold politicians to account for upholding the constitution despite religion?

Chuck Todd closes the book on primary season with Florida &mdash; and leads with the stunning upset that ended it. State Rep. Angie Nixon, a Jacksonville former union organizer and Democratic Socialists of America member, beat Alex Vindman with 56% of the vote despite being outraised roughly 16-to-1, and will now face appointed Republican Sen. Ashley Moody in November for the final two years of Marco Rubio's old seat. Chuck&rsquo;s read is that this wasn't a movement election so much as a performance gap: Vindman ran like the presumptive nominee, hoarded his money for a general election he never reached, and got flatly outworked with primary voters. He's curious what Vindman does with that war chest, and notes Vindman's whole profile felt like first-term Trump resistance in a cycle that's moved on. Elsewhere in Florida: Debbie Wasserman Schultz won in a majority-Black district, Cory Mills lost his primary, Republican turnout meaningfully outpaced Democratic turnout in Florida, and Chuck thinks it's improbable but not impossible for David Jolly to beat Byron Donalds in the governor's race. But the bigger story is national, and it's about turnout as a tea leaf. More Trump-endorsed candidates went down, part of a trend Chuck argues shows Trump's relevance melting away as his approval drops &mdash; and that he's actively making things harder for his own party. Democrats cast 57% of primary ballots nationally, up from 54% in 2018, with the biggest jump in Alabama and double-digit increases across multiple states. Chuck is careful with the caveat: primary turnout is a thermometer, not a crystal ball &mdash; it tells you where your floor is, not your ceiling. Texas Democratic turnout rose even with marquee Republican races on the ballot, Kansas Republican turnout cratered (though Democrats still have work to do there), and Florida Democrats hemorrhaged voters to no-party affiliation &mdash; meaning you can see something real happening in Texas that simply isn't happening in Florida. His bottom line: Democrats will win more votes in November, and history says they win the midterms. The open question is whether they can take both chambers.&nbsp;
Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the 72 year struggle of the women&rsquo;s suffrage movement before achieving the ratification of the 19th amendment, presents his ToddCast Top 5 list of Democratic Presidential hopefuls who will work the hardest to win the nomination and answers listeners&rsquo; questions in the &ldquo;Ask Chuck&rdquo; segment.
Play ball and swing for the fences on FanDuel, an official partner of the MLB at https://FANDUEL.COM.&nbsp;
Upgrade your everyday. Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.&nbsp;
For free and unbiased Medicare help, dial (980) 734-3985 to speak with my trusted partner, Chapter, or go to <a href="http://askchapter.org/chuck">askchapter.org/chuck</a> <a href="http://askchapter.org/realdana">/</a>&nbsp; *Paid Partnership Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan&rsquo;s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don&rsquo;t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. Please contact<a href="http://medicare.gov/"> Medicare.gov</a>, 1-800-Medicare, or your local State Health Insurance Program (SHIP) to get information on all of your options.&nbsp;
&nbsp;
Timeline:
(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)
00:00 Chuck Todd&rsquo;s introduction
01:30 Don&rsquo;t miss the Toddcast Special Report on the Lakers sale
06:30 Primary season is basically wrapped up after Florida
07:45 Raw primary turnout is a good tealeaf to read ahead of midterms
09:00 Democratic voters have been more enthusiastic w/ higher turnout
09:30 Alex Vindman loses Florida senate primary to Angie Nixon
10:30 Vindman ran his race like he was the presumptive nominee
11:00 Nixon just outworked Vindman with primary voters
11:30 Vindman hoarded his money for the general
12:30 This wasn&rsquo;t a movement election, Nixon just performed
13:15 The importance of the African-American vote in Dem primaries
15:15 Need to live in Florida for more than a couple years to run successfully
15:45 Most of the carpetbagger candidates lost their primaries
16:30 Will be interesting to see what Vindman does with his war chest
18:00 Voters care if you are of/from their community
20:00 Vindman felt like first-term Trump resistance
21:00 It&rsquo;s improbable but not impossible for David Jolly to beat Byron Donalds
22:15 Florida Republican turnout was much higher than Dems
23:45 Debbie Wasserman Schultz won in majority black district
24:45 Cory Mills loses his primary
25:30 More Trump endorsed candidates lost their primaries
27:15 Trump backed candidates losing has become a trend
27:45 Trump is going out of his way to make it harder for Republicans
28:30 Trump&rsquo;s relevance is melting away as his approval drops
31:45 Democratic electorate is expanding in most competitive states
32:15 Primary turnout is a thermometer, not a crystal ball
32:45 Turnout tells you where your floor is, not the ceiling
34:30 Democrats outperformed their primary edge in the general in 2018
36:00 Democrats cast 57% of primary ballots, compared to 54% in &lsquo;18
37:00 Biggest jump in Dem turnout was in Alabama
37:45 Multiple states with Democrat turnout up double digits&nbsp;
39:45 Alabama&rsquo;s governor race may be very competitive
42:30 Texas Dem turnout was higher even with marquee GOP races
43:45 Florida Dems lost voters to a no party affiliation
44:30 You can see something happening in Texas, not in Florida
45:30 Republican turnout was way down in Kansas
47:15 Dems probably still have more work to do in Kansas
48:00 Dems will win more votes in November, 48:45 History says Dems win the midterms, but can they win both chambers?
52:15 ToddCast Time Machine moved due to Lakers deep dive special
53:45 The movement for women&rsquo;s suffrage took 72 years
54:15 Movement started in Seneca Falls, NY with the &ldquo;Declaration of Sentiments&rdquo;
55:15 100 people sign that declaration. 68 women and 32 men
56:15 Women could work for wages &amp; have no control over the money
57:00 The movement fractured over disagreement about the 15th amendment
58:00 Susan B. Anthony votes illegally and is arrested in 1872
58:30 Women&rsquo;s suffrage amendment keeps being introduced and failing for 40 years
59:15 The people who started the movement die, and new leaders emerge
1:00:30 In 1919 congress passes the 19th Amendment, need 36 states to ratify
1:01:00 Tennessee becomes the final state needed to ratify
1:01:30 Vote keeps ending up tied in the Tennessee statehouse
1:02:30 Ratification passes the house 50-46
1:03:45 Women couldn&rsquo;t immediately vote everywhere after passage
1:05:00 Charlotte Woodward was only signatory that lived to see 19th amendment
1:05:45 Woodward lived long enough to see it, but was too old/sick to vote herself
1:06:45 A political movement often requires one generation to build it for the next one
1:07:45 After Trump, America will need a hard fought reform movement
1:09:30 America eventually gets it right, after exhausting other paths
1:10:45 ToddCast Top 5 candidates working the hardest to win
1:11:15 #1 AOC
1:13:30 #2 Pete Buttigieg
1:13:45 #3 Kamala Harris
1:14:00 #4 Mark Kelly + #5 Gavin Newsom
1:15:45 Jon Ossoff didn&rsquo;t need to make his Natalie comment
1:17:45 Andy Beshear + Rahm Emmanuel don&rsquo;t scare red state Dems
1:23:00 Ask Chuck
1:24:00 Can Dems actually bring accountability to Trump if they take congress?
1:31:30 Why were outsider Dem candidates so competitive in MI and WI?
1:35:15 Why can Trump do whatever he wants unchecked?
1:40:45 How should newsrooms cover the Natalie Harp story??
1:46:00 How do we hold politicians to account for upholding the constitution despite religion?

The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

The Chuck ToddCast

Chuck’s Commentary - Democratic Primary Turnout Shows A Blue Wave Building + Trump’s Candidates Keep Losing

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/39ea1b27-35e8-439e-aadb-b4ab017a0976/transcript