Bond yields are surging in Canada and the United States, and the implications are starting to ripple across the economy.

In this episode of the Canadian Macro Show, Simon and Dan break down why the bond market appears to be pushing back against attempts to contain long-term yields, what rising government spending and persistent inflation could mean for interest rates, and why higher borrowing costs could become a major problem for housing, AI investment and economic growth.

They also dig into the escalating Canada-US trade war and why Trump may be increasingly motivated to secure a deal with Canada ahead of the midterms. Plus, they discuss Canada's weakening labour market, the growing popularity of variable and shorter-term mortgages, the pressures facing Canadian consumers, and whether government-funded investment is masking underlying weakness in the private-sector economy.

Finally, they look at how geopolitics, elevated oil prices, tariffs and fiscal policy are becoming increasingly interconnected with inflation, bond yields and investment markets—and why ignoring macroeconomic developments may be getting much harder for investors.

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