In this episode of The Canadian Investor Podcast, we welcome back Bipan Rai from BMO ETFs to break down one of the biggest macro stories of the year: the oil shock triggered by the Iran conflict and what it could mean for inflation, central banks, and investors.
We discuss why this environment may look very different from 2022, whether the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve are likely to stay on hold, and why markets may be underestimating downside risks to economic growth. We also cover why gold has struggled despite geopolitical turmoil, rising bond yields, and the surge in the US dollar.
Finally, we dive into private credit stress, whether contagion risks are overblown, and where Bipin sees opportunities today—including commodities, diversification, and equal-weight strategies.
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