9/21/24-Baseball Betting Show

Published Sep 21, 2024, 7:00 AM

Greg recaps Friday’s MLB results, talks to Mid Major Matt Josephs about the tight playoff races, how he’s betting player prop the final week plus of the regular season, & Saturday’s games, & Greg picks & handicaps EVERY Saturday MLB game!

Spreadsheet link: https://www.vsin.com/betting-resources/greg-petersons-daily-handicapped-mlb-lines/

Podcast Highlights

4:00-Recap of Friday's results

25:14-Interview with Mid Major Matt Josephs

45:37-Start of picks Pirates vs Reds 

49:35-Picks & analysis for Nationals vs Cubs

53:44-Picks & analysis for Braves vs Marlins 

57:23-Picks & analysis for Phillies vs Mets

1:01:03-Picks & analysis for Diamondbacks Brewers

1:06:29-VSIN Website Pick Rockies vs Dodgers

1:10:39-Picks & analysis for Tigers vs Orioles

1:14:24-Picks & analysis for Twins vs Red Sox

1:18:46-Picks & analysis for Blue Jays vs Rays

1:22:51-Picks & analysis for Mariners vs Rangers

1:26:31-Picks & analysis for Angels vs Astros

1:30:20-Picks & analysis for Yankees vs Athletics

1:34:26-Picks & analysis for Giants vs Royals

1:38:39-Picks & analysis for Guardians vs Cardinals

1:42:20-Picks & analysis for White Sox vs Padres

Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

Hey order for the boo. Welcome and love you, Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part the Vson Family Podcasts. We've got an excellent podcasts for you as we're gonna be joined in segment number two by Matt Joseph's you Know I'm Better as min Major Matt. He does a tremendous job on the prop front. He does a great job just saying a look at this entire game of baseball, and we're gonna be chatting with him about how he's playing this final week of the regular season. We're gonna dive in on what we've all got for Saturday and just in general, the sorts of angles that can pop up this time of year in terms of pitchers being on pitch counts, what happens when teams clinch, and sort of the lack of motivation that you get there. And then in the final segment, gonna get you guys picks in analysis on every game on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday, as we touch them all If you do have a question comment segment idea, what have you for this podcast? You have one of two ways to bel fire those in. First one is my Twitter's check's timeline at you and at under forty one. Keep in mind larcim thymy does on exercised per usual. Please you send these into the timeline. The other way he signed an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast five starts, it is very much appreciating them. From there, you're able fire in whatever you'd like to here on this podcast Hive that five starview did not get in any Twitter slash x question today. But we had a fun day of baseball on Friday. Let's take a look back at it, try to find some drunks and try to get to know these seems a little bit.

Better games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the rowdy recap the VSENT website.

Write a pick stay hot and we finally saw some regression with old David Peterson as and the over in the Phillies versus Mets game that goes over very easily and Mets they do indeed get the job done, this by a count of twelve to two. As for the Phillies Day had a pair of home runs in this one. Elk Boom goes z poff at a Mondovino his fifteenth home runs season. Then gtvu Mito home run number thirteen that comes off of Danny Young as Peterson not long for this game. Five runs, four of which weren't in three and two thirds innings, but one great last name, but at a on Amino. From there, gives up that home run to Boom, giving up three runs in a third of inn a, Scar Bards Szilbn gives up two runs at one and a third innings, and Dandy Young give up one of those home runs. Two runs of total, and his ending work Alex Young five outside of the bullpen squirrels and then Andy Overz that's a position player. He came in for a score of setting and did have Mojoseglasias lead off the game with home run his fourth of the campaign, and Christopher Sanchez he would calm down from there, did walk five. So these were a little bit wobbly there, but escapes having given up only two runs over the course of the five innings. From there, Ryan Kirkering, Matt Stroum, Tyler, Gilbert Jeff Huffman, they're all able to lend a squirrel of setting, being able to lend plenty of score of settings was Corbyn Burns and the Baltimore Orioles seven to one. They take down the Detroit Tigers, says the Oriols, your top overteam in the American League. Eighty four over, sixty one unders and nine pushes and in this one for the Detroit Tigers, just absolutely nothing to him. For Cadiito Monteto, after Tyler Oldan as the opener, he gave up two runs at an inning, including a home run going deep. You had a home run number of forty three of the campaign for Anthony Santander. And then mister Monteto was more like mister Monteto bull as Kadeer Montto take it deep four times, five runs to total out in four and two thirds inning, says James McCann. Got him twice, sixth and seventh home runs of the season, Colton Klzer twenty first and twenty second home runs of the season, all Corburn Burns. He was on points seven scrorels settings, eight punch outs. Stany Koloom a squirrel is settings from there and Jacob Bobb does a lot of run in an ending, but nice clean good win there for the Beltmorials, a nice clean good win for the Tampa Bay Rays one to zero they take down the Toronto Blue Jays. Just absolutely nothing doing in this game for the Jays and Jose Badios, who typically struggles on the road, he was good. He gave up a soulom run over the course of six innings, says Jonathan Randam got him for his fourth home run season. From there, Ryan Burns at pop they both flint and squirrel is setting, but nothing doing off of the poopoo pointer of Tyler Alexander, a bunch of bullpen guys for Alexander six punch outs four to the third ends squirrels and then Kevin Kelly five outside of the bullpen squirrels, Manweil, Rodriguez, Hunter Biggie both lend a squirrel of setting, and Edwin Uceta and comb Bouche then he combined for eight squirrels setting of their own as the Race win this game. Despite going oh of seven with men in scoring position for the Cubs, they persevere and they get a done against Washington Nationals since by count of three to one, as Trevor Williams makes his first start in like three months and wasn't bad. He gave up a Solom run over the course of his five innings of work Dancy Swanson sixteenth home run in the campaign, but James Tatan just happened to be better six squirrels settings out of him. Na Pierson paramounts on the bullpen squoreless. Tyson Miller does give up a Solom run in one and a third innings. James wood is a home run season, but then you were able to get things closed out with Porter Hodge lending a squirrel setting for the Nationals. Man that doomed this team was edwardo Selzar giving up two runs in two thirds of ven enning. You did have Robert Garcia and Tan Rainey both lend a squirrel setting, and Joe Los Sorso was able to give you out on the bullpen's scoreless as well. You did see a higher scoring game out there in the lovely city of Los Angeles, as he had another over for the Dodgers, and they cover the run line themselves against the Cowrad Rockies by a kind of six to four. And that's something I've been tracking with the li Dodgers last two seasons. They had won approximately sixteen games by one run during the twenty twenty two and twenty three seasons, few more of this season, but still their ninety two wins as far as the season, just eighteen of them have been by one run, so seventy four multi run wins for them thus far the season. As the Rockies were able to get a tree of home runs, you had Charlie Blackman get a centh home run season, Sam Hilliard is ninth and Michael Taglia is twenty fifth. As Toglia was able to deep off with Michael Kopek that was able to get you the over he gave up as home run and his ending work as as a poopoo plighter of guys for the La Dodgers, he had Danny Hudson give up on those home runs, solo bomb giving up in his ending work, same for Alex Vesio, but Evan Phillips, Blake Try and Ryan Brazier all on the Squirrels setting, with Brazier opening the game. Joe Kelly does give up a run in his ending work, but two ending scoreless out of Bersardo Grider all the main boat guy and for the Dodgers it is now fifty one fifty two for Shoyo Tani, actually fifty two to fifty two. He had a soul base and he had a home run in this game, fifty second of the campaign that comes off of Kyle Friedland. He al said, Andy Piez get his alemnthum run season off of Freeland, and Das Gernandez also gets home run number thirty of the campaign, all off of Kyle Freeland, as he gave up those three d runs four runs a total over the course of six innings. He had from there two runs, one of which was earned given up by the young gun in Jaden Hill, and Victor Vodick was able to come in hold down the four fray squirrel of signing. The Kansai Royals have been one of your best home teams all season long, but they have went cold at just the wrong time. They've now lost four straight games at home and they fall to the San Francisco Giants. It's by kind of two to one, as the Royals now forty five and thirty four for the season at home, and for the Giants got a really nice start out on Mason Black five and two thirds, sending Squirales Gimilla devall does give up a run in an ending because he's been good for that all season long, but Eric Miller Tyler Rodgers, they both turn a squirrel signing. Sean Hegeley was a will to give you not on the bullpen Squals and for the Kansay Royals, Michael waka He gives up two runs over the course of five and two thirds innings before on Alzerpa is able to give you four. Outside the bullpen Scorales John Schreiber along with Stephen Cruz. They both won the score setting, but not a lot doing for the Royals at the plate as they go oh of six with men in scoring position. A team that wasn't able to do a lot at the plate either, the Saint Louis Cardinals. They fall to the Cleveland Guardians, this by a count of five to one. As for the Sealless Cardinals, just been touching go for them all season long. They are forty one and thirty seven at home, but they really just weren't able to make that playoff push this year. As for the Guardians, three of home runs as Kyle Gibson gives up two of them to Jose Ramier, thirty six home runs the season and Andrea Menez his ninth Layne Thomas he would go deep off of Steven Mattz first fourteenth home run season as Matt's three innings of long relief gives up that sol run and Kyle Gibson four runs, three which were giving up in his six innings of work for the Cardinals, not a lot doing off Ben Lively, who gave up one run in five innings. From there, you had a piecemeal effort of Avala and Eric Sabrowski combine for four squirrel settings to be able to get that one through the window. The Astros they have been able to get to the window as one the top under teams in all of baseball, but it was anything but underwhelming. On Friday they take down the La Angels, this by account of nine to seven. As the Astros now is eighty seven hundred and sixty two overs and five pushes for the Halos, may worry able to get some offense going. Kevin Papelar is a thom run season that comes off of Vector Narris after Justin Verlander six runs allowed in four and two thirds innings. I have to wonder if we're going to be seeing too much of him in the postseason, as Harris gives up that solom run in one and a third innings, but Caleboard Brian King, they combined for a squirrel of setting. Ryan Presley and Josh Hater were both able to supply squirrels setting of their own, but the answers they were able to bailout Lander with a trio bombs of their own is Tyler Anderson, who's been quite fortunate this year, gave up a pair of bombs. Jake Myer's thirteenth holm run season, and Alex Bragman is twenty first, and then you and then Alex Pragman is twenty fourth, and then you'd have Kyle Tucker get his twenty first home run of the seasons. Anderson two and two thirds innings, six runs, three of which we're earn given up with two bombs along the way. Run a Secaturis gives up the other home run, giving up just one run in histray innings, Kenny Rosenberg two runs, a lout and one a third innings, and Brock and Rollberg he was able to give you a score setting as well as for the La Angels, they do go six of thirteen with men in scoring position, so thatund's relatively solid. But for the Angels it's just been a season to forget, and this spunch is not out of the running for one hundred losses. If they lose each other last eight, they would get to one hundred losses. The Seattle Maners, they're still in the running for the playoffs. They take down the Walker Texas Rangers by a count of eight to two. As Jacob mcgram gets a start not a lot of lengthier, gives up one run over course of three innings, including home run going deep for the Seattle Manners. You had home run number eight of the campaign for Josh Ross, and then you'd have Wujo Rodriguez go de twice off of Jack later seventeenth and eighteenth home runs of the season as lighter and he's gotten to the ara of nine seventy four this year, not what he was hoping for, seven runs, six of which will earning five innings, So you had Matthew Fester from there get a squirrel setting. But for Seattle, George Kirby was on point, giving up two runs at six innings. Trent Thornton, j T. Targuas, Edward Bizzardo all able and a scroll is setting. As for the Mariners, they are still alive in that wildcard as currently there are two games back of the Minnesota Twins. And for the Twins, they were able to stop the bleeding. On Friday four to two. They take down the Boston Red Sox and extra innings. As for the Twins, they win this game despite leaving fifteen men on base David Festa he lows one run over the course of five innings. As this game went twelve cal Theobar Michael Tonkin combined for a squirrel setting. Cole Sands Scott Blewett both give you a squirrel setting, and the Griffin Jacks does give up an under run in the twelfth, but and Ronnie Enriquez Lee Farland combined for two scorel Setings who wanted on also turns a scorel setting of his own. And for the Twins, they did a solid job getting to mister Cooper Criswell in the twelve inning, who gave up three runs to overturn after the Red Sox, he had Old Richard Fitz make this for him. Old Dick fits give you five squirrel settings. Luis Guerrero, Lucas Simms, Kenley Jansen, Josh Mankowski, Greg Wiser all let the squirrel setting and Chris Martin gives up a run in an ending. But then things went off the rails as the Red Sox went one of nineteen with men in scoring position. I did not know was possible to go one of nineteen with men in scoring position in one single baseball game, but they found a way to do so. And the Miami Moons, they have been your top over team in all baseball at home, it has been rampant. What we've been seeing in terms of are homeovers a very a very rare under Now fifty four overs, twenty one unders and four pushes, say, take down the Atlanta Braves by count of four to three as Charlie Morton gives up all four runs over the course of six innings. Film Lee along with Peter Johnson goodbye first squirrel setting and Joey Menniz he's able to give you a squirrel setting out of the bullpen as well. For the Braves pair of home runs, Valentine Balozzo was someone of above. Zoe, you're giving up a home run to Orlando Arcia seventeenth home run season in Roman Loreano gets his tenthome run of the campaign for Belozo gives up those three runs and five to the third innings. But from there you at Lake Pacar Anthony Bender both give you a pair of box out the bullpen squalls to klon conin one and a third ning Squirrel said he Sustinoco, well, he prevented getting to no good around he was able to lend his squirrel setting as instead its more around eight and a half, so very rare under And the Miami Marlins at ninety seven losses, they're trying to not get to one hundred there. But a team that's trying to get to ninety is the Milwaukee Burs unable to do so against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday, and the Diamondbacks are your top over team in all of baseball. They get it done by a count of seven to four. As for the Arizona Diamondbacks now eighty eight over sixty hundreds and six pushes and for Arizona pairform runs in this one, lord Is Scurriel eighteenth film run season and then home run thirty three for Kitel Marte Marte go seep Off the be starter and Colin Ray, who said hipit boo to giving up three runs and four innings, and then d L. Hall got four outside of the bullpen, and he gave up four runs all of which werened. Kevin airget two squirrel settings, he go piops a score setting, and Jarry Cane gets a pair of bounce out of the bullpen himself. And for the Brewers trio home runs off of Zach Gallen William Cantres twenty third home run season. You had home run number eleven for Joey your teas and Garrett Mitchell's eighth home run season as Gallon four runs a lot of five innings, but bullpen ads back Kevin Ginkel, Justin Martinez, Ryan Thompson, AJ Puck, They're all able to turn a squirrel of setting, also being able to turn quite a few squirrel of settings. Where the New York Yankees they go on the road, they get it done against the Oakland A's's by a kind of four to two in extra it says Yanes since he also break actually have a winning record. But the Yankees forty eight to thirty one your top team on the bunny line on the road this season. As Garrett Cole pitched nine innings unfortunately won as a no decision and not a complete game because the game went to a tenth, but he was all giving up one run and then Luke Weaver gives up an under run in the tenth ending one. Soto, who looked to be a little bit injured, was able to play in this game and got RBI one oh four as JT. Gin Well more like get and Juice one run allowed over the course of five innings. From there, the bullpen was solid until the tenth. DJ McFarland that tenth thenning three runs too at urn allowed by him as Grant Holman had to get the final two outs of that tenth inning. But prior to that, Scott Alexander Tyler, Ferguson, Mason Miller, Michael Otons are able to turn a squirrel setting end for the Chicago White Sox. They are chasing the wrong kind of history. In the modern era, the most losses by a team is the sixty two Mets at one hundred and twenty. They did its own one hundred and sixty games that season. They're now thirty six and one EIGHTEAM, but they did cover the road line against the San Diego Padres three to two. The final scare Crochet four scroll of signings, eight punch outs. He was great from their pre Lander Baroa, Chad cool Ose Iratat along with Frascher Aller Allendo squirrel setting, but cars Farland gives up two runs over the courts of finite and this game went to a tenth inning. Justin Anderson allows Fernando Tatis Junior to get a walk off RBI double in for the San Diego Patres. He had a very solid start here from Joe Musker of nine punch outs and six squirrel settings, Jason Adam Tanner, Scott both Wendy squirrel setting by Robert Swartz, who's been one of the better closters in all baseball, allows two runs in the ninth inning as going deep off of him was Lennon so Say his sixth home run of the campaign before uttering about a hone comes in for a score of seventh, Henning to be able to get that one to the window. Also being able to get to the window was the Cincinnati Retz. They were onto an eight to three win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Says for the Buckoes, this was not what Mitch Keller had in mind eight runs allowed in three and a third innings, including a pair of home runs going deep off of him. You had Tyler stevenson Gas nineteenth film run season, Jonathan India's FIFTEENTHILM run the campaign, and for Nick Martinez six scals settings. From there, Brent Suter does give up as home run in his enning of work as it was home run number twenty for Onel Cruz and had two innings giving up two runs along the way for Allen Beefs knitz Ays for the bullpen of the Pirates. He actually had some good long relief as Joey Wentz two and two thirds ends score is. Isaac Metsen was able to give you two squirrels settings as well. And then if you're taking a look at trend wise, what we're getting a Major league baseball it has been a over sort of year in baseball, but we have been seeing the Unders being able to make a nice little search here over siry days. Overall for the season, the over is sitting at just a little bit over fifty percent one and thirteen overs, so one thousand and seven Unders with favorites on the money line hitting at a clip of fifty seven eight percent thirteen hundred and twenty six and nine to sixty eight. There, if you're taking a look at just what we got on Friday, Favorites went ten and five with the undergoing eighty seven. But over last thirty days, the unders have been reigning supreme one undred ninety nine hundreds to one o eighty seven overs with favorites hitting at sixty one point four percent two and forty eight and one fifty six on the money line. So that's what we're seeing in baseball right now, and that's what we all got on Friday. Now, let's turn it forward to Saturday and just how are good friend Matt Joseph Skam Major Matt is playing the rest of of the baseball regular season. We'll be chatting about bet and so much more. Next right here on the Baseball Betting Show playing solf c Greig Peter said, now a parts and daily podcasts.

Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

Hibback, good love you Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Visa Family podcast. Always great to be driving by this fan as we've got Matt Joseph's better known as min Major Matt Aboard. He does such great work they gonna look at this wonderful game of baseball and now he's in prime form with regards to college football as well. You're able to find all of that over on FTN Network and FtM bets. He also does a great job over with the ESPN radio affiliate in Richmond with his show Border to Border. Know that he does some great work with James Madison as college basketball gonna be back in our lives sooner rather than than later. And I'm sure you can tell from the name Major Matt does a great job on that front as well as here able follow on Twitter slash checks at that name mim Major Matt altogether and Matt always great to get you a board. Thank you.

I always appreciate it, certainly. Looking forward to the end of the baseball season and the post season.

Ahead, absolutely, And how do you play the end of the baseball season, because we've got a little bit more than a week remaining end. Honestly, we've got more meaningful games this year at this time of year and then we've had in the past. But at the same time too, we're going to be having some roughs, like next week we're gonna have Angels versus White Sox out there are those still some games that you're gonna be willing to play or do. You can find yourself more to teams that, for lack of a better term, are playing for something.

Well, So since a lot of the player get plays that I make are based off of players, the games really don't matter to me. It's more about looking at, you know, k props I want to play or earn runs under or whatever. So it doesn't really matter as much for me with regards to the teams playing. It's more of the pitchers. That's why, especially for me, I see a hot and cold nature to my baseball bets because you know, my pitchers will do a lot of things I need for our stretch, and then they won't do a lot of things that I need. So it's more about the pitchers themselves than the teams. And looking at some of the trends that I've found.

Yep, but I think that that is so important, and I do think that you can still find some value with these teams that they aren't playing in the playoffs. They are gonna be making key times a week and half because I'm not sure if you feel the same way. But even though the front offense might be tanking, even though they might have pitched your time, there's gonna be a lot of young guys that are fighting for a little bit of an opportunity and that final start of the season that you might be looking at as like a throwaway for some guy that might be make or break for whether or not they're making a team next year.

Yeah, and you're definitely going to pay attention to innings limits. And this is where you know, managers can drop some little things here and there that tell you about you know, this guy's only going to go five innings, this guy's only going to go four innings. You know, make sure to read the quotes both before and after games and be ready to hedge out of bats. You know, there's situations where you may have a bet on and over and then you find out halfway through, right before first pitch, that these pitchers are only going sixteen to seventy pitches and then maybe you're starting to look at the unders here. So you've got to kind of pay attention to what the managers say and sometimes it's just a pure guessing game. The other thing I always love to fade is the teams coming off of clinching things. We saw the Brewers put out quite the lineup after clinching the division or clinching a playoff spot, whatever they clinched. You know, the Phillies are traditionally one of those teams that if they eventually do clinch, the next day, they put out quite the lineup that is not exactly going to be focused on the game. So that's something to always look at as well.

Yeah, with the Milwaukee Burds, you never know what you're going to be getting out of that team after they clinched. It was a not so great effort for them. I had to play bo we always get a great effort out of match since they came in Major Bay, right here on the Baseball Betting Show. And that is an interesting game to take a look at for Saturday, because you've got Darney or pick him between Aaron Savally and Merrill Kelly for the Burs and the Diamondbacks put on Schames int A andF How do you gauge this one with a guy in Aaron Savalie that I've not really been the warmests on But I just have noticed that when he's been pitching, specifically in the city of Milwaukee at American Family Field, he has been tremendous and it seems like he can't pitch anywhere else.

Yeah, and he's a guy that they like to keep him the five innings. If you notice it's five, five and a third, five, seven, four or six. You know they try and keep him around those five innings. So he's even getting taken out when he has not thrown a lot of pitches. So that's certainly something if you're looking in the outs market, and if you're looking at the strikeouts market. I'd also like to kind of look to see if they've faced off against that team previously, and Aaron Savally has not. Arizona is one of those teams that is very heavily skewed to the k prop bunder two unders to fifty eight overs this season, So Arizona's making a lot of contacts sixty two to thirty four when it comes to the right handed starting pitchers as well, depending upon the Savali number, I might be looking at an under here. He did not face them just that last set of series when they played at Milwaukee, so he will be new to this lineup, but I'm certainly going to potentially lean to the under if they especially if it's like a four and a half in the situation.

And then I need to ask you about this, even though the game is presently off the board, because with the Miami Marlins, we don't know if it's going to be Adam Aller or Daryl Darren mccoggan, and either of those starters are necessarily great. But I just gather going into a Friday and it looks like we might get another over. On Friday, the Miami Marlins entered with fifty four overs, twenty unders, and four pushes in their home ballpark. How have you been playing these Miami Marlins this games this season? Because they've actually been a very good under team when they've been on the road. But somehow, some way, things have gotten a haywire and absolutely insane in all these games in Miami, and I can't say that I've ever seen anything quite like it.

Yeah, and it's fun because you look at that lineup and you're like, where's the offense coming from? And I'm sure a lot of that is is their poor pitching. I mean you just mentioned the two guys who are going to potentially start for them, and neither of them strike fear in anybody. Really nobody in this rotation. Does you know Edward Cabrera We've talked about in the past on this podcast. I really like where his stuff is, but he also doesn't know where it's going necessarily. Now it looks like maybe Braxton Garrett will get a starter two down the stretch, and maybe another guy's going to come in and get a starter two down the stretch. But I think a lot of that is you're getting really good offenses coming there, and remember yours, since they're on the road, you're getting nine guaranteed opportunities for them to get to the at bat, you know, unless something weird happens, you might even get a tenth or eleventh. So I think it's more the offenses are carrying that number in Miami, and Miami's adding like a run here, two runs here, stuff like that.

Yeah, it's been really interesting to take a look at those games out there in Miami. Just one of the most mysifying things I've seen in baseball on quite some time, and almost as mystifying as fact that the Detroit Tigers entered into Friday with the Minnesota Twins for the final wildcard spot, and they're a very small underdog going into the game on Saturday against baltimoreos with it being Kaye Bovich against Reese Olsen. How do you take a look at both this game for the Tigers on Saturday and just how have you been playing them overall? Because this team was nine games below five hundred on the fourth of July and they've been one of the biggest money making teams in all baseball recently. Well.

So it's funny because, as I mentioned the beginning, I'm more of a pitchers based guy, and I can't play anything with involving the Tigers because there's a lot of openers, you know the books Occasionally, like you know, DraftKings puts out a one and a half for Holton, the opener for the Tigers. But I'm not going to get involved there. I'm essentially guessing what a guy's gonna do in a one or two inning effort. It's tough for me there. But you look at Reese Olsen, He's obviously been a starter. Now he's working his way back from injury and working his way back from being out away from starting for two months. He only went two and a third innings against Kansas City last time out, so who knows how much he's built up, So it'll be interesting to see. Kay Povich is an interesting guy when you look at the Tigers when it comes to strikeout props for left he's the last couple of lefties have done a lot Foreres had five, Basso had six, Povic had eight. So that's the one thing that kind of goes for the Tigers favor is that they've already seen Kate Povich and he's, you know, presumably going to have a lot of the same stuff he had in that first one, so maybe it won't be as high of a number as that eight that he had the last time around.

And how about if we take a look at another interesting guy in the mound, and that's Yeariel Rodriguez, Because in a lot of his starts, you were talking about Aaron Savalia a few minutes ago being a five inning guy. Rodriguez has been more or less a four inning guy for the Blue Jays. We've seen a few exceptions, but he doesn't offer a lot of draft going on the road for the Blue Jays, against the Tampa Bay raising Tis Bradley and that Ray's offense has been absolutely awful this year. But how do you take a look at this one with the Rays being about a mis one three to two, a mis one three five favorite.

Yeah, you're right, yaia. Al is a guy that's really hard to figure out. It's because, as you said, four and a third, five, three, five, four and a third five those are his last six starts. It's really hard to kind of figure out what you're gonna get from. And the strikeouts have been all over the place too, two six, three, three, six, five. So he's one of those pitchers that's really hard to kind of figure out. But they have a plan for him and they're certainly trying to stick to it. The thing with the Rays is also now that they're not playing for anything, essentially, they may also start pulling pictures earlier. We saw almost like a week ago, I believe Ryan Pepio got pulled after two innings because his velocity was down. We've seen other starting pitchers on the young side with regards to the Rays certainly get pulled early because they're trying to preserve innings, trying to preserve their arm because there's no future for the Rays the rest of the season, so it's really hard to bet any sort of player props unless you're leaning towards the under with these guys because at any moment, Kevin Kash could come out there and yank them.

Yep. I think that that is such a good note because with the Tampa Bay Rays, as we know, this is a team that is not going to be bashful about utilizing their bullpen. That bullpen has been quite good. But where the Tampa Bay Rays, they just operate a little bit differently than other teams. So always something to take a look at there. And something else I think is going to be very interesting is taking a look at this game for Saturday, because a big giant fav for me, as Ben Walker Beeler and the are seven and three. In his last sentence, theirs hasn't hasuly been because Walker Bheeler has been amazing, finding a total of eight and a half year with him against one of our guys. Cal Quandrille just hasn't been the same since coming out for the Injeless Right now that total is eight and a half and the Dodrons are amando favorite. Anything for you here with our good friend cal Quandrille.

And fortunately Cal's not going long. Unfortunately, he has had some issues going deep in games, and whether it's home or away, he has not gone pasted up. And he's only going to past five innings once in the months of August and September. So he had certainly been a thing that I've kind of gotten away from. As we've talked about, I love playing the cal Quandrille outs over because he was one of those guys that they kind of left out there even when he was giving up some runs. And you know, we'll see what Walker can do. Walker looked pretty good outside of the five walks against the Braves. He held him the two runs and three hits, so at least in that aspect, he was not as hittable as he's been the past. He's actually ironically been slightly better on the road. At least his last two road starts were better than they were at home against the Cubs. I'm not expecting much. The problem is Colorado can't take advantage of it like they did in course feel back in June, but on the road they're not an offense. I want it back here, So I don't know if I can take the over even though cal Quantra will most likely be very generous when it comes to giving up runs.

Yep, I think that he probably will be as well. And I just think that Walker Bieler at this point, he's just a shell of himself. That's a game that I'm certainly going to be looking at some runs in, to say the league, and this is a game that I think we could see a few more runs that expected in as well. It's the Phillies in the Mets with shan Manea going up against Rangers. Four says four has has upen great recently. Three runs are more given up in three out of his last four starts, while shan Mania has had it going on. This is a relative pick him game with a total of seven and a half. How do you view this one, as I know you're a bit of a Phillies fan that has had a little bit of a love hate relationship with them over the last few years.

Yeah, Rangers not become as much of a strikeout guy as of late. It's something I've kind of noticed and if you've noticed also, his hits are going on, but you know, he get twelve hits to the rais back on September tenth. He's giving up a few more hits than he should and he's starting to walk guys a little bit more. So he's very important for the Phillies. You know, they're still trying to figure out do they want to put Aaron Nolan number two? Do they want to put Christopher Sanchez number two? You know, Ranger Suarez. Maybe he becomes a three or four, Maybe he becomes that ace kind of guy out of the bullpen to go a bunch of innings. He's also not going deep. Five innings five and a third five innings, four innings, five innings. That's his last five starts since coming off the il, So you know you're not going to expect him to go very long in this game. He did pitch okay against the Mets in June, but he also gave eight hits in that one. He also saw them in May and it was okay, give up a couple of unearned runs. So he's a guy that I'm going to try and look to fade here the Phillies as a hole or striking out a ton as of late entering against David Peterson, you know, go before that seven nine, ten, six, six, five you know, so this is a team that's kind of striking out a little bit more than they have in the past. This one could see a lot more strikeouts. I can't back Ranger Suarez right now. And the other thing here is as we tape this, you know, if the Phillies win this game, they clinch a playoffs spot. Now they still have some work to do to clinch the division. But he also have to be careful potentially that maybe they rest some guys because of the fact that they would have clinched the playoffs spot, even though they need every win they can get to get that number one seed. Yeah.

Absolutely, such a good point there, and you do want to be taking a look at those clinching spots because it's not the case every single time, but in a lot of these cases, things can be a little bit less than savory with the lineup. As you mentioned a bit before I met anything else that you might be taking a look at for the Saturday card, whether that's a bet they're replacing or just something that you want to kick back and watch. In general, as we are having a lot of clinching spots and we are having a lot of teams that are fighting for the playoffs.

Yeah, obviously you want to see what Max Scherzer's got for another start. He's going up against the Attle, so the the stri account number is going to be pretty high, but we don't know how deep he's going to go. Make sure to pay attention to see if the manager says like, hey, he's going to go seventy pitches, four innings, whatever, because that'll probably factor into your handicap there. I know that you've mentioned this on your Twitter account too. Mackenzie Gore has been slightly a disappointment so far this season in terms of I don't know if necessarily the fact that he's going after all these other lefties and are part of a rotation that's fully lefties, does that hurt him a bit because his stuff might be the same or a little bit alike from DJ Hurt and Mitchell Parker. Maybe he's kind of the guy that comes up and they're like, oh, well another left egs okay, So I'll be interested to see what happens there. When you look at Pablo Lopez at Boston, Boston is striking out a lot more as of late, but I'm sure that they're going to set that number pretty high Boston has gone over. You look, seven strikeouts against Lttel, twelve against Papio, six against Shane Boz, seven against Dean Kramer, eight against Suarez. So it's a Boston lamup that's striking out a ton. I'll be interested to see what kind of number they set for Pablo Lopez.

Yeah, it is going to be interesting because we've seen Pablo Lopez over the last few seasons get a little bit unlucky, but feels like every single time and try to back Pablo Lopez, he lets me down and every single time and then fade him, that's when we get the good Pablo Lopez. But whenever we back this man, we always get the best out of him. I know you are doing an absolutely tremendous job, Matt, taking a look at this great game of college football, taking a look at college basketball for the upcoming season, Day in the day out. You have been an ace on the baseball front as well. So love to get people. No, it's all on death for you and how people can follow on on social media and other platforms.

Yeah, certainly. If anybody has any questions regarding props, pitchers, any of that sort of stuff, you can tweet me as as you mentioned at mid major met I know that people ask occasionally about first five, first threes and things like that. I can certainly help out because we all have the same goal. We all want to beat the books. And yes, college football stuff a little bit of a slow start to the season, but we'll certainly bounce back as a sport I know very well, and of course you know six plus weeks till college basketball, and that's another sport. I love the handicap, and so we'll have a lot of fun and try and beat the books at the same time.

Absolutely, and it is always fun to be able to get Manda Boardy does such a great job take a look at this great game that we all know and love of baseball, and every single time he joins me one such great insights. So big things of Matt for joining me on the Baseball Betting Show now part of the VS and Family podcasts and coming back it is that time the podcast. They give you a big send and analysis on every game. I'm the betting board for this Baseball Saturday as we totamal.

Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host Greg Peterson.

Every regular love you Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Visa Family podcast. Always great to be joined by our friend Matt Joseph It's better known as min Major. Matt does an incredible job over there at the ESPN radio affiliate in Richmond, does great job taking a look at college football, baseball and so much more over at FtM Bets, and every single time he joins me one such great insights. So big thanks to Matt for joining me and live segment. Now it is at time of the podcast, I give you picks and analysis on every game on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday as we touch them all.

If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg has a side and a total on it, so it is time to touch them all.

Do you note that, as per usual, any changes there made to these plays will be listened up on my Twitter slash x feed at you and underscore toy one gonna be going in Las AGAs citation or this is where we go with the Nation League games first than the American League games, any inter league games, those are going to be at the bottom that'll keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy. So let's get things started. With nine fifty one, nine fifty two on the betting board. It is the Pittsburgh Priorates. They walk the plank to Cincinnati to take on the Reds, and yes, they are on to Cincinnati and they're on to Jared Jones getting to start for them, and Ratt Lauder goes for the Reds. Rids between minus one fifteen to minus one twenty two favorites plus one h two to plus one oh five. That number on Pittsburgh eight and a half is the total he overs minus one fifteen and he under is minus one o five And with the Reds set them out of minus one twenty one. Don't want to go pass a minus one twenty, but seeing a lot of ride around about minus one fifteen minus one twenty out there, I'm gonna be one to lay that small number with Jared Jones. He just has not been the same since he has come off the injurless. He has made four starts since coming off the injur list and he has given up twelve runs in that time. His swing and miss stuff has still been pretty good. He's gotten at least four strikeouts and every one of these starts that combined fourteen strikeouts in his last two starts. But he also has been a vastly different pitcher when he has been on the road rather than at home at Cincinnati. Even though you wouldn't be able to tell the Reds offensive numbers, it is very much a hitters ballpark five forty Rodiery two eighty seventy era at home for Jones, giving up a little bit north of one point six runs pern I and innings. When he is on the road, it's strikeout to walk ratio is actually much better on the road, but just giving up the deep out a little bit too much. That has been a big giant issue for him and for Brett louder. I do think that there's gonna be a little bit of regression in terms of the Bucks seventy four era because he has been a little bit too walk happy. He has given up nearly four walks per innings. He's swing of his stuff is not quite translated to the big leagues quite yet na strikeouts pern innings, but remember watching this guy awake for us. He had that undefeated season in twenty twenty three and I think that he's going to be absolutely magnificent and does appear to be rounding in form. It's gotten a little bit fortunate in terms of his strained rate, but he's backed up by a Reds lineup that even though they don't it for great average or in the bottom meet in the big leagues. With that regard, also going against the Pirates team that's even worse at the plate as Isaiah Kennerffalufa has picked it up a little bit over the last few weeks. He's hitting for these season about a two to seventy five then hasn't delivered too much for the Pirates and Brian Daylor Cruz hitting right around the midews sign of two hundred two home runs in the month and a half they spot with Pittsburgh. That's not great. You've had on'eol Cruz, Andrew mccutch and Brian Reynolds have to carry the mail for the CMO give you at least nineteen o'm runs all at least the three twenty four on base. But the guys at the bottom, you've got mikes of Jared Trollo, Michael A Taylor, Billy Cook has money Grendal hitting you two twenty five or lower. That's an issue. They've really been relying upon Julie Bart since his return to be able to give this team some offense. Been able to supply about a three thirty five on base of forty five that catcher spot. But for the rights we got Elie Dayla Cruz and Tel Stevenson both doing a good job moving the line. Both give you about a three forty five on base. Stevenson is up to nineteen home runs. Davila Cruz leads the big leagues in sole on bases and leads a team with twenty four home runs to America and de Lario season is over, and even though he was giving you a lot of pop, he wasn't sa inating for average rls and not getting that with Naovoli, Marte, Will Benson, some of these guys at the bottom of the lineup. But you've been able to get some good production in terms of finding way on from ty France recently as well in the Reds just have by far the better bullpen as well. With the Reds, you've been able to have Sammul Buck Farmer, Tony Santin. I'll give you a sub three five year a It's been an up and down season for Alexis Diez and you just have had some wobbliness when it comes to guys like a Milo Pagan in company. But it's better than what you're going through with the Pittsburgh Priorate, say Pirates scene that did not get the start that they were looking for out of Mitch Keller yesterday, So it turns a bad situation. Whereas Jilo and Beakson's coming over from the Rockies as some three year a but Roald of Shaman is always a little bit of a role that Ice Carmen Boldazinski has been able to give you about a three five year but Dennis Stanna, David Bennar north of a four year a long Ryan Baruki and for David Pennar after he was so good last year, a sixy ra this season. So do you think that the rights they are able to find a way to be able to get to Jared Jones? And I do think that Red Lauder going to give up a little bit as well. So I saw my tell it at eight point seven looking at you over on Willing Belay up to Mice one twenty on the Reds nine fifty three nine fifty four on the bank. The Washington Nationals. They are going to be on the road against the Chicago Cubs. A professor and Kyle Hendricks it's on the bump for the Cubbies, and Mackenzie Gore is on the bump for the Nationals right now. Minus one thirty two to mine's one forty two is that money line price on the Cubs plus one twenty to plus one twenty two that number on Washington. Currently, there's no total up on this game. This is a Wrigley Field game, so that is going to be all based on the wind, and you should be seeing that more in the am hours. But personally, I did something I total to wear an eight and a half or less. I will be looking at the over a nine or higher. The under looks like the wind is going to be sort of changing as it ay goes along, blowing very very much, just a tabit in towards the early part of the day, and then once you get to the afternoon, once you get to first pitch, it's going to be blowing more directly with a little bit of it going out. So if you got sort of a change in wind direction all throughout the day, I don't think that it's going to be too much of a positive or negative for either of these pitchers. And with the Nationals, if I can get north of a plus one twenty five, which I do think that when the dime lines come out, I should be able to. As a matter of fact, I'm starting to see a plus one twenty seven come onto the board right now with Washington Nationals. That'll be my take. Mackenzie Gore has a betting average on balls and play hovering right around about at three point fifty. This year, this guy has been absolutely snak biting in era of a four one seven feeling appendent is darnier point laws. It's giving up zero point eight home runs per nine innings. I recognize that the walks are less than savory with three and a half walks for nine in ings, but he's also been able to get about nine point seven strikeouts for ni inggs. On the road, he's given up five home runs at sixty five and a third innings. He's done a relatively solid job there, just has not been backed up by too much run support. The feeling behind him has happened great and gets to go up against someone in Kyle Hendricks, who's had a miserable season. He's been a little bit better recently when as he starts, gave up the good mine three runs, so yea verily there. But for the Professor six twenty five era, the command isn't even that great this year. He's giving up just under three walks berni and innings has been a lot well north at one point six home runs per nine ings when he's been at home. He's been a little bit better on the road, but that's not saying much. Five to one five Homie a gem bared to a seven eight e ra on the road and then for the Washington Nationals, even though they don't supply a lot of pop, this team is number one of the big leagues in terms of its own basis. C J. Abrams over the last forty five days has been hitting right around two hundred, but still leads a team with twenty home runs. And I love Lewis cars. He had two eighty average sixteen home runs. But the only other guy that has run the eight home runs on this roster right now, that'd be caber Luiz, who's only giving you about a two to seventy on base But you've had James Wood step up three sixty two on base out of him, ose ten has been able about a two eighty five. You've been able to have some good production oft of something like a Darren Baker tell that Dylan Cruiz is still trying to acclimate to the big league leve line for the Cubs, they've done a nice job of having their guys at the bottom be able to hit for this team. Whenever you do get Patrick Wiozso Miles Master Bony out there, it's a little bit less than savory. But the steven through nine hitters are how much of the season Dancy Swanson, who's now been elevated in the lineup, Miguel Amaya, p koram Strong all post All Star break and at least to two to sixty And that's lethal when you've got like some Cie Sezuki, Michael Bush, e Sac Barady's, Cody Bellinger, Ian happ All being able to give you at least fifteen home runs, all being able to give you at least a three thirty in terms of around base as well, actually three twenty eight in the case of Cody Bellinger. But these guys have been able to come live and then the Cubs are going to have the advantage in the bullpen. They've been a top six team in the big leagues in terms of bullpen in ARA ever since the beginning of the month of July, with a Trio pickup, Saint Pierce and Ore Lopez, Sayson Miller all being able to sply sub three year a portage Keegan Thompson as long guys sub three ar A, the DFA, Dector and Air. So that was a good thing. And for the Nationals you've had Eduardo Selzar, who gave up a few runs yesterday, actually be very good in this bullpen sub three year A. You've got Jose Ferrer who's been able to come on strong with about a three forty in his era, Eric laws Sell. But the guys like Joel Soarsa, Tanner, Rainey, Robert Garcia. He's developing guys to plying north of a four to twenty five year A. They have been rough to say least. But do you think that McKenzie gore is the size a ball upgrade to Kyle Hendricks. So if we can get north of plus one twenty five looking at the Nationals on the money line, then eight and after us looking at the over nine or higher, the under nine fifty five, nine fifty six on the bigboard the Atlanta Braves and throw out their facing off against the Miami Marlins. Nex Freed is on the bump for the Inlanta Braves. It's old undecided for the Miami Marlins. So this is a game that's presently off the board. I saw in some places that Adam Ahler is lined up to start this game. Another place is it's Darren mcgoggan who's lined up for this one. I personally handicapped as if it was Adam Aller in so at the Braves at mins two twenty three on the money line, I'd be willing to go Tobam Mice one forty two on that run line, and maybe I told to ware an eight or less, I'd be looking at the over an eight and a half or higher. I'd be in on the under for the Miami Marlins. They entered Indie yesterday having played north of seventy two percent of their games the over like it's one of the most unreal things I've ever seen. And regardless of if you get Adam Aller and Daylor and mccough and both of these guys heaven less than tremendous. I still remember Adam Aller posting up that, like Tenny Ra with the Oakland A's last season, he has never been good throughout his square. Darren McCaughan has a seven sixty four yari, he's never been good, as Macaguan has given up eight home runs in thirty three innings. So, I mean, both of these guys stink. Both of these guys are going to be rated pretty much the same in my opinion. There's not gonna be a lot of difference here. And for the Miami Marlins, what you're banking on is that the bullpen is at the very least somewhat formidable. Aces Toinoco ever since coming over from the Rangers has been okay. Anthony Veziano has been able to give you a sub three Yarra. They were getting some good endings out of John McMillan, but now he's on the Interurlessa enters them a little bit of Mike Bauman has had a season from h E Double Hockey six. But the good news for the Miami Marlins has at the Atlanta Braves have had a little bit of a tough time putting back to ball, they've been about a league average lineup in terms of runs per game posts all Star Break, with marcel A Zuna having to do everything thirty eight home runs, a three eighty on base and then just have a poopoo plighter a different guys in between about a two thirty eight to two, about a two forty eight and Jus Schella Matt Olson or a celeire but Romant Loreano in a Braves uniform hitting right around about a three hundred. That has been good because Orlando Arcia, Sean Murphy, Adam Deval At Merrifield, a lot of guys hitting a two twenty five or lower, not a lot of popping in the case of Maddelson up to twenty eight home runs this season. He entered into yesterday having supplied seven home runs over the last three days and hitting above a three hundred. So that's something that you'd like to find in Michael Harris as being able to pick it up a little bit as well for the Miami Marlins. His team is in the bottom six in the big leagues in terms of total home runs. Jake Berger has been able to supply a pair of home runs over last week, but once are the only two home runs that he has over the last three days. As Sanchez sixteen plus home runs hitting about a two point fifty has been rock solids. He joined a bride Otto Lopez. These guys hitting in that neighbored about a two forty five to two sixty, while Xavier Edwards at the top hitting above a three hundred. But again, other than really Sanchez and Jake Berger, you don't have anyone any for a double figure mountiformers though I do like what Connor Norby has been able to supply. But I do have a few question marks with Max Freed as it's actually been much better when he has been on the road rather than at home. For Max Freed, he's got just say nine to ten record where the three forty nine ARRA and what's been really hurting him has been the walks. He's been giving up nearly three walks per nigh and innings this year, all wile getting less than eight and a half strakehouts for nine innings but a three thirty eight roadierra three sixty sixty ARA at home. Despite the fact that he's given up ten home runs a ninety three innings on the road just three bombs in north of sixty six innings when he has been at home. But Poles sal star break is really where the issues for Freed has arisen. As Postolicer break, he's giving up north of three and a half walks. Berni and Ennings's streke out raid is actually way up to about ten strikeouts for nine innings, but four thirty five yarras so at an eight or less, I like the over eight and a half rye or the under one lay up to a mis one forty two on that breaks throatline, need a lease, so plus two twenty four to take shot on Miami nine to fifty seven, nine to fifty eight on the bank boardy Philadelphia Phillies. They throw out the facing off against the New York Mets. Sean many is on the bump for the Metropolitans and Rangers. What is is on the bump for the Phillies, and the Phillies find themselves in a rather pick him game. You're gonna be getting them in that neighborhood of about a minus one oh five to minus one oh eight, between minus one oh four to minus one fifteen and num around the Mets seven a half of z e total, the unders minus one twenty and the over is even. And I rode up the over yesterday. In this game, I'm gonna be back on it once again, as I saw by total at some point seven. Nothing i'd be writing up here, But certainly I do think that you're gonna be able to get a few runs in this one. As Rangers fours over the last two seasons has been a bit better on the road rather than at home. As a matter of fact, in his road starts over the last two seasons, he does have a sub two eighty five. You're in for the season. Even though Rangers fours has now given up three plus runs and three out of his last four starts, he's been able to do a rock solid job. Eight point seven straight cuts, two point three walks Berni and Ennings, three one three e ra A three A nine field in dependent all, we'll give it up zero point seven home runs per nin and Nings, But for Sean Manea, this guy has been very good down the stretch as well. For man Aa, about nine and a half straightcouts, the three walks, Berni and Nnings has allowed zero or one runs in three out of his last four starts and for man Aa, I don't know what it was about things, just being able to take off posts also a break. But you look ever since July nineteenth, and this guy has been a little bit of a different pitcher in generalize in his last eleven stars, buzzing up to fifty eight era in this Simes fan giving up just over a home run for Innings has been hitting a few more guys with pitches five pitches in this time span. But that said, the strikeout stuff has just returned a little bit earth of ten strikeouts for Nannings has been though a little bit better when he has been on the road rather than at home. We've seen some funky splits with the Mets all season long, and this is just another one of them, as he's got a three seventy four homireay compared to a two seventy seventy ra on the road. But the Mets have been able to do a much better job but be able to put pat to ball when they have been at home, as they had a massive home and road split towards the first I would say about seventy five or so games of the season. But even with Francisco Lindor out of the fold for the Mets over the last few days. Pete Alonso has really been able to pick it up for this bunch. Pete Alonzo over thirty home runs for the season, earth of a three thirty on base. He's really been able to do a lot of his past work over the last few days, as in last three days providing about a three forty two on base with seven home runs, so he's been able to step it up. Jose Iglacias just continues to get on base for the team leadoff homer yesterday, He's been able to well above a three hundred. And then you've got lou Angel Acunya, Yes, the brother of Ronald Legodu Junior has been stepping up with lind Or being out of the fold. These hit well north of a three point fifty in this time span. Mark Fientez has been able to give you north of twenty home runs. Jad Martinez has struggled a little bit, but on No. One through nine, this has been a very solid lineup in for the Philadelphia Fel You straight turner, Bryce Harper prepared. You guys have really struggled post off star breaks seem to be picking it up a little bit as well as Harper and Kyle Schwarber, so for the season north of a three sixty five on base Schwarber has been able to at sixteen home runs ever since the All Star break, albeit two of those games where three home run games that we helped him out. And we have seen Nicassians be a little bit wobbly recently. West and Wilson, for he was one of the hottest hitters on the face of planet Earth, has fallen back just a little bit. But you've seen guys like Brandon marsh at the bottom the fold. You'll pick it up for the Phillies up. This has been a bottom ten team in the Big leagues in terms of bullpenning right ever since July first, even though they did pick up Tanner Banks, Carlos Sevas guys said in a Phillies uniform, I've been able to fly a sub three twenty five YARRA and you still have Matt Strong, Jeff Hoffman, Ryan Kirkering that overall for the season have been able to give you a sub two thirty five RA. But look at three these three guys, both All Star breaking. You know, I have been registering an ERA that is north of a two seventy five, so we have been seeing a little bit of regression there. Oseo Reeves has actually been really good plus All Star Break, while some of your other guys like mse Alvarado, Max Lazer, they just have not been able to cut it. Meanwhile, for the New York Mets, it's been about a leg average bullpen ever since July FIRSTUS they've been able to get good at any s out of film a tone. Ever since they picked him up. He's been able to sply the seam. Actually with a sub two fifty he ran, You've been able to get some relatively effective endings. Had to regair recently as well, he and Alex Young both providing a sub three thirty five. The ra but Ada Bonovino has been just completely useless for this bunch. You've got Danny who's really starting to regress as well, so you've had some issues with this bullpen. So I do think that you're gonna be able to get just enough offense to be able to go over in this spot, especially with a bullpen usage that we've been seeing in the first few games of the season series. So I'm gonna be looking at the over and with the Mets set them out a minus one oh four on the money line. Whoever becomes plus money essentially is who I'm gonna be taking right now. You gotta rather pick them games, So I'm gonna let this be decided in the am pretty much. I'm gonna be riding with the underdog in this spot. I'm seeing the Mets out of minus one of four and one spot. That would be what I'd be taking a look at right now. But I'm just trying to see what she becomes the underdog take that plus money on the money line, because I do think that this is rather pick them game to go long to head over nine fifty nine, nine to sixty on the big board the years and a. I'm the bags that throw their face off against the Milwaukee Brewers. Aaron Savali is on the bump for the Crew, Marilyle Kelly is on the bump for Arizona, and Arizona is in a rather pick them game. They are anywhere between a minus one oh three to a minus one oh eight for the Brews, or between minus one o two to minus one twelve. Eight to eight and a half is the total on the eight overs minus one twenty five The unders plus one to five on the E and F hundreds between minus one fifteen to a minus one twenty the overs between even a minus one o five set the Diamondbacks as the slightest of slight favorites at minus one oh three right now, I'm seeing them as good as a minus one oh three. That's what I'd be riding with right now. This is much in the same mentality that I'm doing with the Phillies versus a mess. If one team becomes plus money, that's pretty much what I'm going to be riding with. As I do think that this is another one of these rather pick them games. And for Merril Kelly, ever since he has come off the injured list, he just has not been quite himself, so to have a little bit of trepidation there. For Meryl Kelly overall for the season, He's posted up a four ERA, but has really struggled, with three plus run surrendered in three out of his last five starts. His swinging miss stuff is just not where it was last season. As a matter of fact, it's the worst of his career at seven story cuts for nine and he's giving up one point six bomps per nine as well. So he's had a four to seventy nine in terms of his selding dependent and then for Aaron Savali, if you look at the raw numbers this year, they just have not been great. A four forty eight feeling in dependent that is very much in line with that at a four sixty seven. It's giving up about three walks per nine nangs. He's been able to sply about ada stricas for nine ns, but it's been doomed by the fact that he's given up north of a home run a half per nine ins. But I will throw in there this his home and roadspots are a little bit warp because he began his season with the Tampa Bay Rays was tradeed mid season to the Milwaukee Beers. In the starts that he's actually made in Milwaukee, he's actually been very good for this bunch, as when he has started at American Family Field, which I almost called Miller Park once again, he's got a buck ninety eighty RA in the seven starts in the city of Milwaukee, giving up three home runs in forty one innings. He has been dialed in there. All their ballparks. He's supposing up at the RA north of five, but just feels like American family field. Again. I very nearly stumbled on that one. He's been able to do a really good job, and he does have to go up against a Diamondback scene as number one of the big leagues in terms of runs per game, And it's just simply a case of one through nine. Every single one of these guys has been able to supply for the years in a Diamondbacks. So get back to tell Marte that is our top home run in or he spent a little bit of time on the shelf. He's been all good. But and you just look down the list at the guys like Randall, Gritchick, Davin Smith, Geraldo Perdomo. Now they're getting Gabriel Moreno their catcherback lordus Corriel. All these guys are in at least a two sixty eight for this unit. Gorman Carroll posts All Star breaking in closer to two fifty with fourteen plus home runs. And and you Kinyos whatez. He's at eighteen home runs since the All Star break and is hitting well above a three. And after a miserable start to the season, and for the Brewers, you've got a team that won through nine does a really good job of being a move line. Like all these guys self free, like Joey Ortiz, Jackson, Cherio, Willia Adamis, They're all give you at least a three twenty on base. Bryce rang is right there and it's forty five solen bases. That's in the top five in the Big Leagu's Karillo hitting well north of three hundred posts, all Star break, part of the twenty twenty club at the age of twenty. William Catris twenty two home runs. These guys have been doing it against righties and lefties. For Catres nor th fifty on base to have a little bit more faith in this Birds bullpen. But ever since the trade deadline, both of these bullpens have been very comparable, and Deebers have been to deal with an injury to Brian Hudson, which has hurt them a little bit. But like Sir Trevor McGill, Jerry Caning, Devin Williams, you O Piams, these guys, we gave you sub three five Era and Aaron Ashby in long relief has been very solid since coming off the end lists. He's been able to supply the team with a sub two era. Meanwhile, for the years in the Diamondbacks, You've got a lot of guys who are giving you a sub three thirty five era as well. Kevin Ginko, Ryan Thompson, Justin Martinez, A J.

Puck.

These guys, I've been able to do a nice job. So it is a little bit of an interesting spot. As I do put the Arizona Diamondbacks lineup in a little bit of higher regard, I do think that this is going to be a bit of a slug fest. I did sell my total at a nine, so do like the over and for the Diamondbacks Bowl and delay up to eight minus one of three on this money line. Now you have my vi some website ride a pick nine sixty one nine sixty two on the bank board. The Elliot dodtors two playoffs to the coy Ride Rockies. Cala Quantrell is on the bump for the Rockies and Walker b goes for the Dodgers. That utters are between minus two fifty four to minus two seventy eight favorites between plus two twenty five to one. Plus two thirty eight is at Numbron Colorado. Eight and a half is e total. The over is minus one fifteen the unders minus one to five. If you're looking to lay run a half with the Dodgers, you're going to be find that between minus one twenty three to a minus one thirty. But I'm actually gonna take the plus price on the car at Rockies set them out of plus two eleven, and that actually leads into my right up that is going to be on the over semit total at a nine point four because Walker Bueler is not in good form. He has a lot at least three runs and eleven out of his fourteen starts as far the season. Gave up just two runs in his last start against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday Night Baseball, but he walked five in that one. He's got a five ninety ear A compared to about a five fifty Era s faild Independent's actually worse than his eras he's giving up well north of two home runs for nine neys. He's given up three and a half walks, Bernin and Ning's well, getting just seven a strike cause vernion and innings. This is not the Walker Bueler that we all know and love. This is the corpse of him for the Cobrade Rockies this has been a bottom five team in the Big Leagues in terms of runs per game on the road, and they had about a two seventy eight home closer about a two twenty on the road. But you do have a three of guys then be able to spy the team with at least twenty two home runs this season, Brenton Doyle, Michael Deglia along with the Ezekiel Tovar, and all three of these guys do have a double figure amount of homers when they have been on the road this season. Doyles deal with a little bit of an injury, but so Rian McMahon, who's been able to sply the team with nineteen home runs, one of the few guys on the rostrating north of two thirty five when he's been on the road. As well, as you do have someone like a Doyle who's going to be out for this game at all, like Leehood, I think about a three thirty at home closer about a two thirty on the road. Charlie Blackman has some pretty big splitz. Brandon Rodgers, especially Brandon Rodgers hitting north of a three twenty five at home, He's sub two thirty when he is on the road for Blackman this season, He's been thinking about a two eighty four at home at two sixteen on the road. That's just very common with this team. And then you do have the guys at the bottom like JK Jordan back they need to pick it up a little bit. But Marker Bieler might be able to make these guys look good, and they have been looking very good at the play. Mister fifty one fifty one Troy Otani has been absolutely amazing daskar and and has experienced no fall off with that home run Derby. He's approaching thirty home runs. He's been moved line in about a two seventy Mookie bets since coming out. The injur list has been rock solid as well as he and Max Munsey coming back was able to relegate these guys like James Outman, Key k or Dandez Jason award that we're seeing at bass Heck, most of those guys are either in the miners or on other teams at this point. Come on, Vigio certainly on another team. I believe he's now on the Braves. But I said, these two guys coming back have been able to make that Dodgers line up all the more formidable. Will Smith has had a little bit of an up andnown second half of the season for Freddy Freeman continues to move line and post All Star Break, Kevin lux Suit's out with a little bit of injury. He's been able to north of two seventy five as well for the Dodgers. So this has been a both pend that ranks right around eighteenth and nineteenth in the Big leagues. Since July first, We've seen quite a few of these guys have their issues having Phillips has had north of a four year over the last few months, so that's been a bit of an issue. Joey Kelly is to have any faith in him whatsoever. Though they are getting back per starter Gridrale, but they also the Dodgers had to use a bullpen game yesterdays, so a lot of these guys are gonna be burnt in the ky Ride Rockies right now supplying a five thirty bullpenny area that is deadliast in the Big leagues. You have had a few guys on El Chavili, Jeff Criswell, Victor Vonnick supply a sub five area. But these constants like Anthony Malina Tyler Kinley, justin Lawrence, they have been all sorts of awful in this bullpen. Jake Bird is really not too good either. And for Cal Quantrill, I've always loved betting on this guy, but he has not been the same this year. It can't be a pitch of contact guy and give up four walks for nine and he's in. That's what Quantrille is doing. He's giving up a four ninety nine year. When he is on the road, he's got to feel the independent of a five to eleven. And ever since that short spin that he had on the injury list, in his last four starts has been giving up one and a half home runs at seven a half walks per nine. And he said it's a recipe for disaster. But even with that, I just don't have faith. And Walker Buehler laying this big of a number at north of a plus two twelve, I'm gonna take the Rockies on the money line, and I righty to pick the eyes on the over. So I tell the nine point four nine sixteen three nine sixty four on the bank board. The Detroit Tigers hit the road the facing up against the Baltimore Oriols, Kate Bovich is on the boom for Baltimore resource and goes for Detroit. Detroit is a slight underdog of between even money and plus one to five minus one fifteen twenty is that number on Baltimore eight and a half? Is he totally enders mins one fifteen and the over is minus one oh five. And for the Tigers, I was willing to take them if they were a plus one thirty four or higher, and we are nowhere near that. So I'm going to be willing to lay it with the Oriols. Even though kid Povich has had his issues. I take a look at his home in roads blots and that does leave me to being a little bit encouraged by what he may be able to provide in this start. Five to seventy four yeary Colberto five thirteen the only dependant lesson Savory, but he has now given up two runs for few and two out of his last three stars, and has responded quite differently when he has been on the road rather than when he has been at home, as he has been a train wreck on the road. A nine to seventy five year a on the road, he's giving up a home run every four innings. So at two point three home runs per nine right on the road and home that goes down to about one point two runs for nine ing, so that's good and half three to sixty year and not saying he's been amazing at home, but you know what, he's been able to give you some relatively okay starts and the orioles overall, I've been in pretty rock solid offense. Fully recognized that it's been a bit more rough for them over the last few weeks, dealing with Ryan Moncastle injury, dealing with Jordan Westburg being out as well, but feels like that walk off homer that they were able to get over the Giants to wrap up that series, was able to put this seam back into hyper drive mode as Anthony santandarzn went deep in back to back games. He's up to forty three bombs overall for the season. Doesn't do the world's greatest job of moving the line at Elie Rushman plus all start breaking a little bit north of two hundred. That's been an issue, but feels like over the last few days he's been able to give you a bit more as well. Gunnar Anderson Cod's to give you north of three sixty five on base, he's up north of thirty five home runs. It's all about what can you get out of these guys at the bottom. Can you get something out of Kobe Mayo? Can you get something out of Jackson? All days, Emanuel Rivera on a pretty solid job of being a move line. He's not give you a whole lot in terms of like home run balls or anything like that, but ever since he's gone to Baltimore, he's been able to give you North with three fifty on Mace and for the Detroit Tigers, this team has been sneaky in the way that they've been able to get on Mason the second half of the season. Like Parker, Meadows is sitting at two forty for the season post also break, he's saying North with three hundred spens rhetoricalsim for the season two twenty. Since he got recalled from the minor league level and close heard about a two sixty Zach mckinsrey has been much better than that two twenty average would indicate as well as you've got man Vereling, Cole Keith along th Riley Green also winning that neighbored about a two sixty two two sixty five, and while Vereling and Keith have not given you too much power recently, green top on runner or with north of twenty bombs three point fifty on base And what works in the favor of the Detroit Tigers is that they've been number one in the league in terms of bullpenning 're a ever since August first. A lot that has been because guys like brand Herder, the bulk guys have been very rock solid. But Tyler Holton, the opener from yesterday, Seawn Gunthro, Brendan Henafee, will Vest, all these guys are supply you with a sub three twenty five Yara Jason Folly has been a little bit of a role that Ice at the closers spot. But I do have my question marks with results and coming into this one because in his first start out he really didn't deliver a lot of length. He's making his first starts in about two months or so, and I am prior to going on the injulest results and was one of the more underrated pitchers in all baseball. You look at that raw record that he's got at four and eight, and he's pitched way neck better than that three fifty a three twenty three feeling dependent, giving up only about a half home run Berni and Nings, but got completely lit up in that start against the can't say Royals. You can tell that he wasn't quite himself, and that does have me a little bit parish on the Tigers in this ordeal. So I did set the Orioles on the money line more in that neighborhood of a minus one thirty four, so I'm going to be looking there, so I might tell it at eight point eight, so you're at the E and f also in on the over nine sixty five nine sixty six on the baking board, the Boston Red Sox playoffshim and instead of Twins, Pablo Lopez goes for the Twins and Cutter Crawford is on the bump for the Boston Red Sox. And the Red Sox are a home underdog, you're going to be getting them between eight plus one ten to al plus one fifteen. Meanwhile on Minnesota they're between minus one twenty five to a minus one thirty seen as good as a plus one sixteen. Now for Boston as well, eat is the total the over and the under any weretween minus one of five to a minus one fifteen, and I do like the over in the spot. I semi total it an eight point nine for Pablo Lopez. Has been an all over the play season for him and for Pabolo Lopez, he's one of those textbook guys, just like Kevin Gosman, where when you take a look at the advanced numbers, when you take a look at just the way that things have went for him, you always expect positivity to be coming three eighty four year a three fifty one field independent this season, and if you look at his entire time with Minnesota, three seventy five YEARI compared to a three forty two field independent as this season ifier than two walks pernan innings, getting about nine and a half straight cuts per Nina innings. But just has been a little bit unlucky on balls and play and he has now given up three plus runs once again and two out of his last three starts, albeit four of those runs were narned, so he's been getting the short end of the sick there. But does I have to go up against the Red Sox unit that I recognize that the offense has been a little bit inconsistent here over the last few weeks, but ever since. He also break avening north of four point seven runs per game, and they just have a lineup that really one through nine. Aside from when you get a Manuel Valdas out there, pretty much everyone is able to hit. Trevor Story has been a little bit hot and cold since coming back, but he's starting to find it once again. Whitherbray, who has been able to give you a double figure mount of formers, does a great job moving the line. And then likes of Rob Revsid who has been dealing with injury, Connor Wong, Jaron Duran, Rafael devers Ma, saanaki Ysheda another guy who's been in and out of the fold. These guys are all aading at least a two seventy heck, Romie Gunzalz has been able to give you some good at bets and then Tyler O'Neil up to thirty one home runs three forty on me. These guys do it against both rightis and lefties and they have all been rock solid and for the Twins, just massive that they've got Byron Buckson and Carlos career back. These guys have been dealing with injuries, all throughout the second half of the season, and a big key for this team is going to be as well royce Lewis. Royce Lewis is in the biggest funk of his career going into yesterday. Over the last eight days, two fifty three on base with one home run. You just expect more out of him. I have to question whether or not he's playing through injury or not. But Matt Wolner has been able to give you a home run every about fourteen to fifteen at pass three subdy on base. Carlos kray Is hitting above a three and three V five on base, has come off of injury. He's looked just fine byram Bucks and has given you a three thirty on base. Aln Trevor Laarnich, He's always some injuries getting him back as big as also got Carlos Santana, Ryan Jeffers will be able to fly twenty plus home runs and you out. A bear of bullpens have been less than savery. The Twins have been right around about league average with their bullpen all season long. As you've been able to get some good innings the like stuff Griffin Jacks, Cool Sands, Ronnie and Riquez. These guys have been able to give you some three five you are a but another deal with an injury to Oriel Collin you want it on. Just has not been the same this season. He's been a little bit shaking for the Boston Red Sox ever since July firsts team has been dead last in the big leagues in terms of bullpenning. Ray good News is justin Slayton Greg Wiser. It's not been on them post All Star Break. They have not pitched a lot. They have come back and both have been relatively solid. But Brandon Bernardino was awful. They pretty much put him on the injure list. Chris Marton has been all over the place this season after having a sub two year a last year. Kenley Jansen posts All Star break has had north of five yarra. They're looking now to Luis Carrero to be able to give you some innings. So not necessarily a place where you want to be in For Cutter Crawford pre All Star Break, this guy was looking absolutely incredible. He was given me an era that was right round about a three. Has always had issues pitching at home. He's always had a split to where he has had a lower era when he has been on the road rather than when he has been at home. But at home on the road, it doesn't matter. Second half of the season post All Star break, he has just been miserable as he's only getting about eastrikecouts per nine in nings six fifty five arm for Cutter Crawford in his eleven starts since the All Star break, nineteen home runs in fifty seven and two thirds innings. He's giving up north of two and a half home runs per nine and innings ever since the All Star Break. I do think that there's gonna be some positivity here because I mean, I don't care who you are. That's just really unlucky. I did set the Twins as a slight favorite of mine, but they've been scuffling as well. I think that you get plenty of runs in this game. I like the over and being able to get this big of a plus number on the red sox plus one we get or higher looking at them on the money line nine sixty seven, nine to sixty eight on the biking board. The Tampa Bay Race plays to the Toronto Blue Jays. Yetta Jelder Rodriguez is on the bump for the J's and DAJE. Don't call Milton Bradley's on the bump for the race, the Rays find themselves as between minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty five favorites between plus one fourteen zero plus one twenty is that number on Toronto. Seven and a half to eight is the total on the eight unders minus one fifteen, and the over is minus one five on the seven and a half overs minus one twenty and the under is even with the Rays. I did set them out of minus one forty two. I'm gonna be one to back them. This despite the fact that don't call Milton Bradley while he has been playing games with us, as he has been giving up a whole, big, giant bushel full of runs. Recently, the man has given up at least three runs and eight out of his last nine starts. I do think they E's bitch better than what the numbers would indicate. It's got a four thirty nine year, a four twenty six field independent ten strikeouts for nine and X would have just absolutely destroyed him. I spend the depot give it up one point six some runs, Berni and nings, and I'm sure that as you can imagine with Tampa Bay being a pitcher's ballpark. He has been quite a bit better at home rather than on the road, as he has posted up a four or five Homeira Colberto to a four seventy seventy RA on the road in for Yariol Rodriguez. He's done a good job of be able to get whiffs, he's done a pretty okay job of being able to keep the ball in the yard, but walks have really been the kryptonite fim North of four walks Bernion ings. It's a big reason why he's just consistently going between about four and five innings as a matter of fact, and his last five starts five innings are fewer in every single one of them. Now he has given up and combined two runs over the course of his last three starts, but also in his last three starts he's want to combine twelve and a third inning, so he've got both things working there as he's got a four twenty nine ERA, a four to thirty three fielding dependent and is backed up by a bullpen that ranks in the bottom met in the big leagues in terms of their eras fat Genesis Corbert Chad Green both give you about a three to five terms of their era, but got the legs up Zach Popp, Eric Swanson posting up north of five year Brandon Little has been able to get on the straight and narrow. He's been looking a little bit better and they're kicking the tires on Dylan Tate, a guy that I've always really liked, but he started to age out, and I think that it was like a top ten pick in the draft many many years ago. But the Tampa Bay Race have done an amazing job of mixing and matching in their bullpen. Since July first, they've been a top six team in the big leagues in terms of bullpenning raight and it's honestly hustole guys. As you've seen Mason Montgomery, Edwin you said, Manuel Rodriguez, Hunter, Biggie, Kevin Kelly, all these guys give you a sub three twenty five year eight Gear Clevenger has been rock solid as well, and they've needed to be because of Tampa Bay Race offense. It's been about as useful as a boopy flavored lollipop. This season has got Brandon low, Ose Siri, and Christopher Morale all with at least eighteen home runs, but Siri and Morale are both ending low the middle's sive two hundred. You've had Yandy Diaz step up. He's made at north of three hundred over the last three days, fourteen over runs, three forty on base overall for the season. But then you got the like stuff and Alex Jackson and Taylor Walls, guys like this hitting below the bidos sign of two hundred. Now, I believe that they d fade Alex Jackson so good on the Tampa Bay Race there. I have no idea how he was clinging on for dear life as long as he was. But Johnny de Luca has been adding a two fifteen. He's been deal with a little bit of injury, but the replacements have not necessarily been a whole lot better than him as well. And for the Toronto Blue Jays, you've got a lot of guys that just have not been able to do a good job of moving line. You've got a pair of guys in George Springer do varshow who have both been able to give you between eighteen and nineteen home runs apiece. But these two guys, David Schneider, Alec barg Or, Leo Amenez, Juliy Loper, Fido. They're on leading a two twenty two or lower. Will Wagner whenever he's gone at bats has been pretty rock solid. But they had to put him on the injur list, so that was a little bit less and tremendous. But I do like what they're getting out. Spencer Horwiz three sixty five on base has been able find a little bit of power recently, but this has left at all the Blagger juniors given you attorney or four on base another thirty zero run season for him to be able to supply the boom for the team. I do think that Todds Bradley goes out there gives a nice So I'm looking at the race on the money line, we'll and go up to about a minus one forty two and did Semitzla at some point seven with the way that Ranes have been playing their game, so I would rather have been eight hunder in this ordio rather than he's seven and a half over. So looking at that eight under and looking at the race on the money line, nine sixty nine nine to seventy on the bank board, the Texas Rangers play you'll see Seattle manners. Ever, Send Hancock is on the bump for the Mariners and Manx sus Or is on the bump for the Rangers. The Rangers are between minus one and thirty two minus one forty two favorites plus one twenty plus one twenty five. Then a brown Seattle eight is the total under his minus one fifteen and the over is minus one o five And for Texas, I did set them at minus one thirty nine on the money line. This is just a little bit of a fade here of Emerson Hancock as Scherzer is long in the tooth. He has just been touch and go all season long because he just has not been able to stay healthy. And I unfortunately think that that's going to be the rest of their career for him and Jacob Degram, two eppes of the Legends, but two guys are just starting to age out. But for sures there ever since he has come back, he's made really one start since coming back, as it's the only start that he's made since the beginning of the month of August against Seattle. Gave up two runs in four innings. The swinging miss stuff. You could tell that it wasn't se there and that start and overall for the season it's just way down. Eight point three strikeouts for nine innings. That's on pace to be is worse since twenty eleven four nineteen fielding depending three ninety five year. I it's given up a little bit too much of the deep ball. The command has not been too bad. He's been only giving up about two walks Berni and Ennings. And fortunately for him, he does get to go against a unit in the Seattle Mariners that yeah, number one in the big leagues in terms of strikeouts on a pet bet and a per game basis, and this has just been a miserable Seattle Mariners lineup that it does have Luke Rayley starting to come on strong. He's been able to hit for twenty home runs. He's approaching at two fifty batting averageise with Rodriguez, Victor Roblisz, Justin Turner a pretty much the lone three guys on the roster. Onside of that that are all sudden above a two thirty three. I mean, you just are looking for any form of offense whatsoever with Seattle and cal Rawley has been able to give you thirty plus home runs, but he Randy Rose, Arena, Oreo Polonko, Dlo Moore, JP craw Or, Mitch Garver, Mitch Hanager, all these guys sitting at two twenty or lower. My goodness, just need to get a little bit more there. Meanwhile, for the Rangers, White Langford heading darning ear three Inard over the last eight days that's been pretty rock solid, and Nolas Carci has just been horrible this year. We got a lot of guys on this roster that are at a two twenty years lower. You've got him, You've also gotten place of Travis jan Kelski, Laote, Taveris, Jonathan or Nilis. You're able to go down the list. It's been big disappointment for this team on offense, especially Corey Seeger being out with Nathaniel Low has done a good job, moved line giving you North a three fifty on base, He's been able to provide a suitable thirteen home run Sparkasimeon has been able to give you right around twenty bounds. But has An Sa been able to get on base consistently. You have to have your interrepidations with the Texas Rangers bullpen as well as oaol le Clerk has been awful this year. He Matt Festa, Andrew Chafin went specifically in a ranger's uniform. Let's flying north of three seventy five Yara, though Kirby Yates has been able to give you a sub two year a and for the Seattle Manners, this team does do a better job. We'll be able to put back to ball when they're on the road rather than on home. They're scoring more than zero point seven runs per game more when they are away from Seattle. It's just how pitcher friendly it's been in Seattle this season. But you've also had a bullpen that has been a little bit touch and go. You've got a few guys that have really been able to excel. Andre's Munnos has been one of the better closers in the big leagues. He Collin Cider, Troy Taylor, J T. Chugwall. I'll give you a sub three ARRA, but then you've got the legs of an awesome vote. Trent Thornton. You never know what you're going to be able to get when you throw out there, Edward Bizardo. Guys like this, they are supplying an array that is the North of a three seventy five as well. So interesting circumstance with Emerson Hamcock not really getting a lot of deception. He's getting fewer than seven strikeouts Berni and Ennings. The walks aren't necessarily bad for the Seattle Manors pitchers in general, they're typically good with their command. He's only given up about two point seven walks. Berni and Ings been giving up home run and alfter nine innings. Do have to fade that. I'm looking at the Rangers on the money line up to a mix one thirty nine and did somebody tell it at eight point two? So you're at the eight. Also looking at you over nine seventy one nine seventy two on the bank board. He gives an astres pay. You'll see La Angels Read Demers is on the bump for the Angels. Ronald Blanco is on the bump for Houston. Houston A minus two forty two, a minus two fifty favorite between plus two zero five two A plus two fifteen. The number on the Halos it is the total the unders between minus pontendo minus one fifteen, the overs between minus one o five to a minus one ten And if you're looking to lay a run af with Houston, you're gonna be find that at a minus one fifteen and for the answers willing to go up to mix one twenty five on this run line for Redemers, I actually believe that he's gotten a little bit unlucky this season, especially in the early part of the season, as he has been able to really increase the amount of deception that he's got on his pitches ten and a half strikecouts per nine and innings, but he just doesn't know where the ball is going to go, even though he's picked up velocity, even though he's picked up spin. He just says been the guy that when he misses, he misses badly three point eight walks at one point six on runs for nine innings six oh five year, which he doesn't deserve. It's more around at four to forty four failing in apendant. But you either get really good Redetmers or you get really bad Redebtmers. As in his three starts as he has come back off the injurless he's gotten a combined twenty four strikeouts, but it's given up two runs two run and then I guess the Chicago White Sox at Homie gave up a seventh spot. That is not good, to say the leason. For Ronalo Blanco, it's been a case where he has been one of the more lucky pitchers on balls to play, quite frankly, that I've ever found, and I think that that is going to be catching up with him sooner rather than later. As for mister Blanco, a two to nineteen batting average on balls and play is just absolutely ridiculous to eighty eighty or a four twenty one feeling independent, He's got nine straight cuts to three point seven walks for Nina Angs while giving up about one point two runs ber Nina and Nangs. The biggest issue that you got with the Angels right now is he's going to be able to put back to ball for this team. The top three guys and Nolan Chanell, Taylor Ward, Zach Netto are actually quite solid. Ward is up to twenty four home runs, Shanahan gives you thirteen bombs that goes up to twenty plus home runs as well, and Kevin Plarer has been okay this year. But when you're trotting out there guys like hey, Matt Theas, you're giving up bats to Jack Lopez, guys like this, It's just like, what the heck are they doing. Nico Carvedis is hitting for about a two seven seven terms is on base with absolutely no power whatsoever. So Ian outside like your top three top four hitters for the Angels, you've got absolutely nothing there. For the Uston Astros, this has been a top seven team in the Big leagues in terms of slugging percentage at home. Kyle Tuckers, you had to be able to find the deep eall since coming off the injury list, but so supplying nearly a four hundred on base YNI ideas all on tos al two based sixteen plus home runs piece, both ending in the neighbor of a two ninety five to a three hundred. Jeremy Pania, Victor Karantini, and Bracio Duban guys like this in between about two sixty five two two seventy five. I've been rock solid as bomb for the Houston Astros. This has been a top six team in terms of bullpenning ray since the beginning of the month of May. So we had a lot of guys like Brian King, Brian Brady, Caleb or Taylor Scott, Josh hater the closer. I'll give you a sub three thirty five. You're into the credit of the La Angels. This has been a top five team, it turns the bullpenning races since the beginning of the month of July, even though they've been dealing with a few injuries like Hans Crousey and Ben Joyce going down have been hurtful, but you still have the Ryans, Ryan Miller, Alan Ryan Zephyr. Youon Osequiata guys like this being able to fly a sub three ninety five year, which is much better than what they were getting. I'd like somehose Accre no Imir Garrett. These just failed out older guys that they were trying to trot out there. Now they brought in some young guys that are actually able to give you a little bit of promise. So it does lead to an interesting circumstance here. I did set my total to where I'm going to be taking a look at this sotle over, I said mine out a nine point two. I think that Blanco experiences some regression, and if you look at the fielding dependent on that Angels bullbend ever since July first, it's darn near a point higher than that er, and I do think that they're gonna get hit hard here. So do you like the over? And I do like the run line of the Astros up to a minus one twenty five and seventy three nine seventy four on the banking board. The Oakland A's playos to the New York Yankees. Carlos sold on On is on the bump for the Yankees. JP Sears is on the bump for Oakland. Eight is a total under his minus one twenty and the over is even minus one. Somebody to minus one eighty is at number on the Yankees. Everybody plus one fifty to plus one sixty is the number on on Oakland. If you're looking to lay a run half with the Yankees, by the way, you're gonna be find that at a minus one oh five. And I was willing to actually take a shot here on the Oakland A's. I set them at a plus one fifty four on the money line. And with Carlos Verdan, it just comes down to the fact that he has been giving up quite a bit of the deep ball and he goes up against an Oakland A team that, albeit inn Oakland, it is very much a pitcher friendly ballpark, especially when you have the marine layer out during the nighttime, that is really going to be able to help him out in this ordeal. But for Carlos Ordan, he just has not been quite the same picture when he has been on the road rather than when he has been at home, and he has been aligned just a little bit too much of the deep four thirty four fielding dependent. For twelve Vra it's getting ten strikeouds forn I and ns, but also three balks per nine innings. Also right around about one point three Homo runs per nin and NNI's as well. In for Rodan a five oh one era on the road with giving up a little bit north of one point six home runs per nin and NI, So that doesn't have me off put a little bit. And for the New York Yankees, they've struggled a little bit with their lineup. They're dealing with an injury to Juan Soto right now, which is very big. He was providing a four twenty on base with forty home runs. Aaron Judge has two home runs over the last like four or so weeks. Pop patrol has really been keeping him in jail in terms of being able at the deep ball, so that has been interesting. Though Jez Shislm obviously has been very good for the Yankee centrame runs since they picked him up. He's been able to sply north of a three twenty five on base. And you do have quite a few guys move the line for the team, Austin Wells, Anthony Volpe along with Aswalda Cabrera Clabor toire As. These guys in between about a two forty three two two fifty three has been pretty solid. But you still have the likes of a Tran Grisham, Ben Rice whenever he gets at bad, say Anthony Rizzo. These guys have honestly done a lot. But for the Oakland A's, you've got some mashers on this team, as JJ Blade, Lawrence Butler, Shade Lengelairs all between twenty eight and twenty home runs for Blade a about a three twenty five on base. Butler post also break getting north of three twenty. He's been incredible. And then Brent Rooker thirty eight bombs north of one hundred rbi hitting above a three hundred. He's been one of the better raiders in all baseball this season. The problem is what you get at the bottom. These guys like a Time Tyler, Sortems, trum Zachloff, Max Schuman, Darrell Herniez, got a lot of guys Ryan Noda hitting a two twenty five or lower. Heck leang Layers is only hitting a two twenty as well. For the Yanties, it's been touching go to say least with regards to this bullpen, they've had to throw a Clay Homes that closer the spot as he just has not been reliable for the scene. But Tommy Kinley Jay Cousins, they've been able to supply you with a sub three era. Ian Hamilton is someone I think has an upside as well. He's been posting up about a four arra, but his ross stuff is very good. He's been able to get quite a few swings and misses, and then you've been able to get some good endings out of Luke Weaver as a long guy as well. For the Oakland A's this has been overall for the season a team has been in the upper after the Big leagues with regards of their bullpen area. Gain Holman has been posting up about a five arra that has been a little bit less than savory, but Tether Ferguson has been able phil some innings the likes of Brandon Block, Scott, Alexander, Bason Miller give you a sub three twenty five Yarra has been big and Michael Lotons has an area a little bit earth of four, but he's getting fifteen strikecouts per nine nings. The big key for the Oakland A's is that we have seen some pretty strange Homan Roads was with a man that is going to be starting on the mound in this one and mister JP series as for series over the last few seasons that he actually came up in the Yankees organization, so a lot of familiarity there. But he's been better on the road than he has been at home, which makes no sense because Oakland, very much a pitcher's ballpark. Has on the road he's giving up about one point four home runs Berni and Ings. At home he's giving up closer about one point one home runs for n I and Ings, but four ninety two Homie Ara three seventy one era on the road for JP series has been pretty solid in terms of not giving up a lot of walks, only about two point six walks Berni and Nings but doesn't get a lot of swings and misses either. He's only getting about six after seven strikeouts Berni and ings By. Do you think that he does just enough to be able to warrant this plus number. I'm going to take a plus one fifty five or higher on the a's and with the way that Rodan is thrown on the road, I'm gonna be looking at the overdids. I might till at eight point two nine seventy five, nine seventy six on the banking board. You can't say Royals playoffs to the San Francisco Giants landon rop is on the bump for the Giants that Brady Singer goes for the Royals and the Royals who find themselves between minus one forty four to minus one four. He favors plus one twenty four to a Plus one thirty five is a number on San Francisco in a half ze total over an under both of minus one ten set the Royals out of minus one fifty six. On the money line, I really don't want the run line here, as this Giants bullpen has been quite a bit better here in the back half of the season. Since the beginning of the month of July, they have been a top ten team in terms of bullpenny ran for Landon Rop. He was actually a long guy for the San Francisco Giants to begin the season. Now they've been throwing him as a starter, and in the two starts that they've given him, he's went ten innings against the Potteries and the Burs. Albeit this was in Oracle Park, where it's about his pitcher friendly as it gets, but only gave up two runs at two walks in that stretch, so he was looking relatively said there. If you look at him, including his long relief appearances, he's been fine this season. Does he need to cut down on the walks with four and a half walks per nineings, But you saw that his first two starts. Your approach when you're a reliever is a little bit different than when you're a starter, and I think that he's been able to make that transition quite nicely. He's been able to do a really good job of keeping the ball in the yard as well. One of the run giving up in forty one and two thirds innings again bitching out there at Oracle that certainly has a little bit of a hand to play. But Brady Singer has just been a steady Eddy guy this year. Recognize that he has given up three plus runs at three out of his last five starts, but three fifty three or a three sixty seven field he dependent and after I counts to two point seven walks, ber nine and nineties, he's not out there doing anything that's necessarily amazing. But he's also not doing anything that's really off putting either end. When he's been at home, he's been at his best to ninety Homie er Ay compared to a four twenty five year a on the road, and that's really been this entire team, as the Royals do have so many more demonstrative home and road scoring splits in all baseball, scoring about four point nine runs per game at home, about four point four to five runs per game when they have been away from home. As lobby with Junior or Salvador of Perez, these have been the two guys have just carried the team all season long. He got between the two of them fifty seven home runs, with Junior hitting about a three thirty and Salvador Paris hunder puls RBI hitting at two seventy five. But you've been able to get a little bit more help from their friends as well. They pick up Tommy fam He and Michael Massey think between about a two fifty two to two sixty. Julie Gurry all in a very small sample size has been await a four hundred that has been tremendous, and the other guys like a hundred. Renfro, Mikael Garcia, Kyleosbell. I'm not saying these guys have been amazing, getting between about two thirty two to two forty, but for much of the season these were guys sitting more around a two fifteen to two twenty. So they've been able to rise up a little bit as well. And I'm Jay Melendez has been quite a bit better here in the stretch run as well. Plus all Star breakingtting north of a two forty as over out for the season, and he's telling you a little bit about a two seventy two on base, so he's been better as well. For the Giants, this team really has their offensive normal numbers warped by the fact that they play at Oracle Park, which will again just about as picture friendly as it gets, as shown by the fact that they're in the top ten in the Big league's the Giants are in terms of home runs per game on the road. They are dead last in the Big leagues in terms of home runs per game when they're at home. But Lloyd Ramos has been able to do a nice job with twenty plus home runs. Give you about a three twenty five on base Mattchamman may or may not be able to turn off the paternity Listen to this one. I think that he's going to be out once again, so congratulations him. And then you got the lakes of Michael CONFORDO, Mike Keystromsky, Mark Hanna wisely in between about a two twenty five to two forty and really everyone other than wisely giving you a relatively respectable on base percentage. But having match happing out that does hurt this team quite a bit. And really can't say Royals. Something that is off putting about them is the fact that the bullpen has been in the bottom twelve in the Big leagues in terms of their era. They're currently without Chris Stranton. That is not a bad thing, so trust me there. John Driver an Elzaerpa along with James MacArthur have been supplying north of four year in I think that they might be designated MacArthur for assignment and or putting him on the Aaron I are quotes here injured list, which again not a bad thing for the seam as Chris with k Boobage, Sammy Long, Lucas Ersig, He's ad more of your reliable pieces of the bullpen being able to give you a solf for era. So it is an interesting spot. But I do think the Brady Singer is able to deliver his best at home and for the San Francisco Giants. I think that landed Rob gives a good start, but I don't think that gives a lot of length. And Royals have just been hitting a little bit differently at home. Some might tell it at any point nine do you like the overn? I do like the Royals up to a mis one fifty five on that money line, nine seventy seven, nine to seventy eight on the bank board. The Cleveland Guardians are on the road. They're facing off against C. Saint Louis Cardinals and Miles Michaelas is on the bump for the Cardinals. In Matthew Boyd goes for Cleveland. Cleveland is a favorite of between minus one thirty to minus one thirty five plus one fourteen to plus one twenty two. Sad number on Saint Louis eight is the total the over and the under army. We're tween minus one five to a minus one fifteen. And if you're looking to lay a run half with the Guardians, you're going to be find that at about a plus one thirty And I did set the Guardians out of minus one thirty two. I'm going to be one to back them on the money line. Don't necessarily want them on the run line in this ordeal. And when I take a look at Myles Michaelis, he's always just one of those strange pictures in which you take a look at the advanced numbers and it always shows a little bit of positivity with them, but when you watch them with your own two eyes, he's just one of these guys that's not a very good picture. I which I could put it any other way, But the reason why the Evans numbers are always so high on Miles Michaelis is that it doesn't walk anyone. It's one point three walks for nine nine. He's actually when he's qualifying National League Service, that's a big reason why he's got a five to forty nine area but a four to twenty two fielding independent. And the reason why he doesn't walk anyone is because he throws up right down the stinking middle and he leaves a whole bunch of hanging breaking balls and everything out there. That's a big reason why it's not getting a lot of deception. He's only even able to get about six point fours right cause Bernie andenings. And that's an issue with a Saint Louis Cardinals line up that has been in the bottom ten the big leagues in terms of both home runs and runs per game. I will say this about the Cardinals. You've had a very good bullpen. Has Ryan Elsley has been able to give you another of forty saves, Andrew Kittrich, Jojo Romero, Ryan Fernandez. He's have all been guys that have stepped up in that bullpen with a sub three fifty earra and I will say in a little bit of a long roll, Matthew Libator has been able to give you some good performances as well. If you guys are able to move the line for the Cardinals, says Brandon Donovan, Mason win Alec Burleson Olon Ernado only between about a two sixty five two two seventy five, but between Aeronado and Paul Goldsmith thirty seven to thirty eight home runs this season. You just expect a little bit more there. And these younger guys like Victor Scott Jordan Walker, they were relying upon them, along Thomas the Ghize to be able to give you some good at pats and these guys have just all hip below the Bedell's line of a two hundred. Meanwhile, for the Cleveland Guardians, they're currently without Stephen Kwan, who has been awful in the second half of the season, so now they need to rely upon Andre Semenez Al Martinez, who are both thinking about a two fifty with not necessary a ton of pop line with Bob Brandon to be able to help out their main two guys, Osai Ramiers Josh Naylor. Both of these guys the earth of one hundred and five RBI both give you between about a three twenty to a three thirty on base between the two of them sixty four um runs this season. Lane Thomas has not necessarily been what they were hoping for since they brought him over from the Washington Nationals, as he in a guardian's uniform and a guardian's uniform only Bon Naylor David Schneman needs to have been guys Brian Rocchio and get two twenty five or lower. But for the Cleveland Guardians, say've got that number one bollpend in the big leagues by about a half a run better than everyone else that should be able to carry this seam as got the likes of Eli Morrigan, Eric Sabrowski, Amanuel Class the Closer, Tim Herron, Hunter Gaddis, Andrew Walter all being able to give you a sub three ARRA. And for Matthew Boyd, I've really liked what I've seen out of him. The biggest scrape that I had when he was with the Detroit Tigers is then it always felt like he was going a little bit too much for strikeouts and not necessarily just four outsouts, if that makes sense. But I need's done a nice job of being more judicious with his pitch count here with the Cleveland Guardians this year, and he's getting tense straycots to two and a half walks per nine and he's posing up a two fifty two EUA the length is making better and better as he's been going along. I really like the way that he is pitching well. Again, don't want necessarily the run line year because the Guardians I've been touching going terms of this lineup, I did sell my toe at an eight point three. I'm gonna be one trusting the over as again, just not a lot of Faithy and Miles Michaelis, but won the way up to have minus one thirty two with that Guardian's money line, and we have things up with nine seventy nine to ninet eighty on the bank board. The Washington Generals aka the Chicago White Sox are on the road facing off against the San Diego Potters. Martin Perez is on the bump for the Potters. Chris Flexen is on the bump for the White Sox. So on this game is eight over his MINEUL twenty end the unders even between minus two sixty to to eighty is that number on San Diego plus two twenty five to a plus two thirty five. That is your number on the White Sox. If you're looking to lay a run half with Padres, which I'm sure many of you are. That is about of mice one twenty two of MIS one twenty five, and I was willing to go up to a MIS one forty six for Chris Flexen. Yay, barely that the Chicago White Sox were able to get a pair of wins in his last two appearances because it was getting really really bad. As for Chris Flexen and his appearances this year, as he's had like one or two times where he's came out of the bullpen. So he's pitching thirty one total games. The team is four and twenty seven, and in those twenty seven losses, twenty five of them have been by multiple runs five point ninety or a forty three field. The independent getting fewer than seventh stray cuts per nine nings, three and a half walks per nine ings, one point three zero runs per nine nings. This guy just simply does not belong in the big league. Send the bullpen has been getting a little bit better in terms of this Chicago White Sox seen Frasier Alwerd has been able to give you a sub fort year a Justin Anderson hasn't been completely offline. Pre Lander Barola has actually been able to give you good endings as well, but hard to be able to rely upon these guys, and for Marteain Perez just feels like he's got a second lease on life since coming over to the Potterys wasp posing up a five twenty era with the Pittsburgh Paris to seventy two era with the Potterys. Now with the Potterys, he has a forty seven field the dependence. He's getting seven point three strikeouts and he's lying one point seven home runs per nine nang. So if he continues to do that, it is certainly going to be going northward. But the fact that he pitches out there in San Diego, it is going to help him out very much. As he's a little bit more of a flyball pitcher. He's not a guy that is going to be getting a whole bunch of strikeouts, so he needs a little bit more of a pitcher's ballpark, and that is certainly the case with San Diego and for the Potteris. This team has just been absolutely able to rip it off a righties all season long, number one in the big leagues in terms of batting average against righties with north of two seventy two tricks and profar Jackson Merrill, they both would be abled north of a two to eighty. They're combining for forty seven home runs this season, and Manny Machado's just about on an absolute terror. He's now waiting above a two seventy five. He's been able to fly the team with twenty nine home runs and over the last we're gonna call fourteen games, he has hit six home runs, hitting north of a three twenty five. In this time span, he has been tremendous. Luise Rice has been hitting well north of a three point fifty over the last eighty five days. Fernandez Tatis Junior, he has been tremendous since coming out the injured list as well as he take a look at the overall season numbers just nineteen home runs, but five bombs in his last fifty seven at bats, he has the return better than ever. For the seam, David Peralta has done a nice job moving line and for the Padres this has been a top eight team. In turns the Bullpenyiray. Ever since the trade deadline, they picked up a trio of guys from the Great State of Florida. Brian Hoying, Tanner, Scot Chase and Adam Al's supplying a sub three five year and then some guys under the raidar like Alex Jacob Audrey and Monajone, they've been able to give you some three twenty five year to help out. Roberts Swatzho's been a little bit touch and go in that bullpen, but all't off has been able to do a solid job, and they should be able to shut down at Chicago White Sox team, and it's just all sorts of miserable what they've got In terms of the lineup. You've got Andrew ben Attendee Andrew Vaughan, who both have been able to give you nineteen home runs, and in the case of Vaughan, he's been able to give you north of a three in round base hitting for about a two forty five. You've also gott Nicky, Bopez, Len and Sosa hitting in that sort of two forty five vector as well. But when you give them the likes of Chucky Robinson, Brian Ramos, Corey Lee, all these guys hitting a two fifteen or lower at pass, it's just really rough. They have been unable to hit with men and scoring position, and when you're on a team that stinks, it just feels like that stink permeates Maluis. Robert has been absolutely awful this year, and I feel like he's just been dragged down by when has been a losing environment, to say the least, and I think that the losers continue to lose. I am willing to lay up to a minus one forty five on this run line, so we in there. And I think that Chris Flexton gives up plenty of fronts and I do think that there's a bit of regression for press, and I tell it at an eight point seven. So also went on the over and that'll wrap things up for the Saturday edition on The Baseball Betting Show, now part of the Some Family Podcasts. Eight Big Things to Matt. Joseph Say came in major Matt for joining me in last segment. If you do like fearing from this time podcast Baseball, I think show. You're able to subscribe wherever your podcasts, Apple Podcasts, Google Like, Spotify, sitter in tune. If you have a question comment segment idea, what I have you for this podcast? You have one of t Way's weel for those in first one is my Twitter slash x timeline at you and an unders forty one keep in mind learncym name does I'm adersized per usual? Please send these into the timeline. Oh the way is finding an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast I starts it is very much appreciated from their Arable Fire and whatever you like, you on this podcast night five thirty and I'm coming at you guys every single day throughout the baseball season, which can't come back with you once again tomorrow. Thank you so much for tuning in.

The Baseball Betting Show with Greg Peterson

From Fabulous Las Vegas, Greg Peterson breaks down every Baseball Game on the MLB slate.
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