Longtime political analysts Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd discuss the latest political news and how those stories will affect upcoming elections. 

Longtime political analysts Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd discuss the latest political news and how those stories will affect upcoming elections.&nbsp;

Super Tuesdays with Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd

Introducing: Super Tuesdays with Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/55f281dd-be59-4ece-bb89-b47f00ceb735/transcript

It’s Election Day, and Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza arrive at a binary: either Democrats pick up seven Senate seats tonight, or the polling industry has to be blown up and rebuilt. The final Times/Siena polls put Democrats ahead in all seven states that will decide the Senate, with only Iowa and Alaska inside a point, and the final NBC survey has Democrats up seven, independents going Democratic by 21, and Trump at 40 percent approval — his worst of either term. Their real question is whether the political class is underselling it, since every predictive metric points the same way and Chuck thinks the polling error is as likely to break toward Democrats as against them. Plus: a walk back through one deranged cycle, Chuck’s coma test for why Iowa tells the whole story, what a sweep actually means in Washington, why leading with impeachment would be the dumbest available move, and Miami at Notre Dame. The Projection, their election-night stream with Decision Desk HQ, starts at 6 p.m. Eastern.

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS

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Timeline

00:00 Election Day, Chuck’s playlist, and one genuinely crazy midterm cycle
08:00 Liberation Day, Virginia as the forecaster, and the chart behind the collapse
14:00 The final polls: how the electorate moved, and a pollster’s own warning
20:00 Either Democrats pick up seven seats, or the polling industry is dead
28:00 Kalshi’s last coin flip, Chris Murphy, and the Iowa coma test
34:00 If there’s a wave: tariffs first, impeachment last, and can Jeffries govern?
44:00 The Projection at 6 p.m., and Catholics versus Criminals

It&rsquo;s Election Day, and Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza arrive at a binary: either Democrats pick up seven Senate seats tonight, or the polling industry has to be blown up and rebuilt. The final Times/Siena polls put Democrats ahead in all seven states that will decide the Senate, with only Iowa and Alaska inside a point, and the final NBC survey has Democrats up seven, independents going Democratic by 21, and Trump at 40 percent approval &mdash; his worst of either term. Their real question is whether the political class is underselling it, since every predictive metric points the same way and Chuck thinks the polling error is as likely to break toward Democrats as against them. Plus: a walk back through one deranged cycle, Chuck&rsquo;s coma test for why Iowa tells the whole story, what a sweep actually means in Washington, why leading with impeachment would be the dumbest available move, and Miami at Notre Dame. The Projection, their election-night stream with Decision Desk HQ, starts at 6 p.m. Eastern.
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>SUPERTUESDAYS
Timeline
00:00 Election Day, Chuck&rsquo;s playlist, and one genuinely crazy midterm cycle 08:00 Liberation Day, Virginia as the forecaster, and the chart behind the collapse 14:00 The final polls: how the electorate moved, and a pollster&rsquo;s own warning 20:00 Either Democrats pick up seven seats, or the polling industry is dead 28:00 Kalshi&rsquo;s last coin flip, Chris Murphy, and the Iowa coma test 34:00 If there&rsquo;s a wave: tariffs first, impeachment last, and can Jeffries govern? 44:00 The Projection at 6 p.m., and Catholics versus Criminals

Democrats Are Winning SEVEN Senate Seats… Or The Polling Industry Is BROKEN 

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/cfc91b79-c98c-4edc-89b4-b4f6018b4aaf/transcript

One week out, Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza go hunting for the counterfactual — the actual data that would tell a Republican this election isn’t what it looks like — and come back with exactly one: a polling error. “That’s a hell of a thing to bank on.” Chuck argues this is the worst version of Trump we’ve ever seen in an election year, a candidate reduced to the Nobel committee and calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” in Michigan, while his own top economic adviser went on Fox Business to call the affordability crisis a myth eight days out. Plus: why Democrats may run better in red states than blue, how Republicans sat on their money until it was too late to define Talarico, how Ohio got away entirely, what the Ramaswamy ad says about where the line is, and the new Times/Siena 2028 numbers. Plus their election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ. 

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS

http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS

 

Timeline:

00:00 One week out: what could still change this, and the red-state theory

07:00 The worst version of Trump, and a party that won’t say “affordability”

13:00 Hunting for the counterfactual, and why every Republican ad is nostalgia

19:00 The money came too late: how they let Talarico define Paxton

24:00 Kalshi: Iowa, Maine and Kansas as the three most divided markets

30:00 Where the line is on the Ramaswamy ad, and building a firewall

36:00 Adding states to the 2028 map, and Minnesota’s outlier year

44:00 Times/Siena 2028: Harris at 12, Vance at 33, and a wide-open field

52:00 “All the Projection”: the election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ

58:00 The World Series, the sports equinox, and a two-Hurricane Heisman problem

1:05:00 Newsphere, one more show on Election Day, and sign-off

One week out, Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza go hunting for the counterfactual &mdash; the actual data that would tell a Republican this election isn&rsquo;t what it looks like &mdash; and come back with exactly one: a polling error. &ldquo;That&rsquo;s a hell of a thing to bank on.&rdquo; Chuck argues this is the worst version of Trump we&rsquo;ve ever seen in an election year, a candidate reduced to the Nobel committee and calling Abdul El-Sayed a &ldquo;jihadist&rdquo; in Michigan, while his own top economic adviser went on Fox Business to call the affordability crisis a myth eight days out. Plus: why Democrats may run better in red states than blue, how Republicans sat on their money until it was too late to define Talarico, how Ohio got away entirely, what the Ramaswamy ad says about where the line is, and the new Times/Siena 2028 numbers. Plus their election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ.&nbsp;
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>SUPERTUESDAYS
&nbsp;
Timeline:
00:00 One week out: what could still change this, and the red-state theory
07:00 The worst version of Trump, and a party that won&rsquo;t say &ldquo;affordability&rdquo;
13:00 Hunting for the counterfactual, and why every Republican ad is nostalgia
19:00 The money came too late: how they let Talarico define Paxton
24:00 Kalshi: Iowa, Maine and Kansas as the three most divided markets
30:00 Where the line is on the Ramaswamy ad, and building a firewall
36:00 Adding states to the 2028 map, and Minnesota&rsquo;s outlier year
44:00 Times/Siena 2028: Harris at 12, Vance at 33, and a wide-open field
52:00 &ldquo;All the Projection&rdquo;: the election-night announcement with Decision Desk HQ
58:00 The World Series, the sports equinox, and a two-Hurricane Heisman problem
1:05:00 Newsphere, one more show on Election Day, and sign-off

The Worst Version Of Trump We’ve Seen In An Election Year… One Week Out From The Midterms

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/ec9906e3-d85e-4f61-a0a2-b4f0002fbc93/transcript

With 14 days left, Chuck Todd & Chris Cillizza make the argument that should scare Republicans most: corruption has climbed to the number two or three issue, and unlike any other message, it hands a lifelong conservative permission to punish his own party without admitting he was ever wrong. The evidence is already in the ad buys — Trump appeared in 47% of Republican broadcast airings in May and 1% in October — even as he opens a nine-stop closing tour in Wichita and calls the polls rigged. Chuck and Chris dig into why his Senate coattails are a myth Republicans keep believing, read the Kalshi market where an Abbott-plus-Talarico split is the likeliest Texas outcome, and unpack the five-day implosion of press secretary Katie Zacharia. Then the hardest question either of them gets: if Democrats actually sweep, what does December look like? Chuck’s answer is paralysis inside both parties, a Schumer who won’t walk away, and a president who’s less a partisan than a dealmaker. Plus Ann Hornaday, Miami at No. 1, and the cheapest World Series ticket in years. 

18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS

http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS

Timeline:

00:00 Fourteen days out and Trump’s closing tour

08:00 Corruption, the permission slip, and ad data that gives the game away

15:00 What Trump says versus what he’d actually do after polls close

21:00 Kalshi: the Texas two-race market, vouchers, and the Beshear fight

29:00 The five-day press secretary and a West Wing built to keep Trump busy

35:00 What December actually looks like if Democrats sweep

43:00 DC statehood, the scorpion and the frog, and the race to replace him

49:00 Election-night tea leaves, and whether Schumer walks away

55:00 Miami–Florida State: the double-overtime finish and No. 1 since 2002

1:01:00 A 12-team playoff, Mensah, and the Arch Manning question

1:07:00 Rays–Brewers, and an election-night announcement coming

With 14 days left, Chuck Todd &amp; Chris Cillizza make the argument that should scare Republicans most: corruption has climbed to the number two or three issue, and unlike any other message, it hands a lifelong conservative permission to punish his own party without admitting he was ever wrong. The evidence is already in the ad buys &mdash; Trump appeared in 47% of Republican broadcast airings in May and 1% in October &mdash; even as he opens a nine-stop closing tour in Wichita and calls the polls rigged. Chuck and Chris dig into why his Senate coattails are a myth Republicans keep believing, read the Kalshi market where an Abbott-plus-Talarico split is the likeliest Texas outcome, and unpack the five-day implosion of press secretary Katie Zacharia. Then the hardest question either of them gets: if Democrats actually sweep, what does December look like? Chuck&rsquo;s answer is paralysis inside both parties, a Schumer who won&rsquo;t walk away, and a president who&rsquo;s less a partisan than a dealmaker. Plus Ann Hornaday, Miami at No. 1, and the cheapest World Series ticket in years.&nbsp;
18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See<a href="http://kalshi.com/regulatory"> kalshi.com/regulatory</a> for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS
<a href="http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS">http://kalshi.com/r/</a>SUPERTUESDAYS
Timeline:
00:00 Fourteen days out and Trump&rsquo;s closing tour
08:00 Corruption, the permission slip, and ad data that gives the game away
15:00 What Trump says versus what he&rsquo;d actually do after polls close
21:00 Kalshi: the Texas two-race market, vouchers, and the Beshear fight
29:00 The five-day press secretary and a West Wing built to keep Trump busy
35:00 What December actually looks like if Democrats sweep
43:00 DC statehood, the scorpion and the frog, and the race to replace him
49:00 Election-night tea leaves, and whether Schumer walks away
55:00 Miami&ndash;Florida State: the double-overtime finish and No. 1 since 2002
1:01:00 A 12-team playoff, Mensah, and the Arch Manning question
1:07:00 Rays&ndash;Brewers, and an election-night announcement coming

Corruption Is Now A Top Voting Issue: That’s Bad News For Trump & Republicans

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/154ae152-7f58-4dcb-b95e-b4e901186dcb/transcript

Introducing: Super Tuesdays with Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd

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Super Tuesdays with Chris Cillizza and Chuck Todd

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