An economist is pointing out a potential problem with the Reserve Bank’s economic forecast. 

The Monetary Policy Committee, chaired by Anna Breman, has decided to keep the OCR unchanged at 2.25% for now. 

It says while inflation is above the target band, the economy still needs some time to recover. 

Cameron Bagrie told Ryan Bridge that the problem with the Reserve Bank’s forecast is the assumed uptick in productivity growth. 

He says they’re assuming the supply side capacity, via productivity growth, will improve, which will keep inflation lower, but if we can’t get supply side capacity up, inflation will prove to be a lot stickier.  

LISTEN ABOVE 

An economist is pointing out a potential problem with the Reserve Bank&rsquo;s economic forecast.&nbsp;
The Monetary Policy Committee, chaired by Anna Breman, has decided to keep the OCR unchanged at 2.25% for now.&nbsp;
It says while inflation is above the target band, the economy still needs some time to recover.&nbsp;
Cameron Bagrie told Ryan Bridge that the problem with the Reserve Bank&rsquo;s forecast is the assumed uptick in productivity growth.&nbsp;
He says they&rsquo;re assuming the supply side capacity, via productivity growth, will improve, which will keep inflation lower, but if we can&rsquo;t get supply side capacity up, inflation will prove to be a lot stickier. &nbsp;
LISTEN ABOVE&nbsp;

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Looking for actionable business insights all in one place? 
We're here to help you find a way with a curation of the &lsquo;best bits&rsquo; from top business podcasts. 
Save time searching; subscribe to the SME Stream where you can listen to relevant, timely, business-related content today.&nbsp;
&nbsp;

The SME Stream

Cameron Bagrie: Independent Economist on the OCR being held at 2.25%

As business owners, you know how hard it is keeping up with your business, let alone the news. Join Wilhelmina O'Keeffe each week as she gives you a rundown of the biggest stories that could impact your business, so you can make informed decisions with expert advice. 

This week, The OCR holds steady so will retail interest rates do the same? Another roadblock for the India free trade deal, and there’s positive signs for the retail sector, so can the industry finally breathe again? Plus … the new AI that’s less chatbot and more co-worker. 

As business owners, you know how hard it is keeping up with your business, let alone the news. Join Wilhelmina O'Keeffe each week as she gives you a rundown of the biggest stories that could impact your business, so you can make informed decisions with expert advice.&nbsp;
This week, The OCR holds steady so will retail interest rates do the same? Another roadblock for the India free trade deal, and there&rsquo;s positive signs for the retail sector, so can the industry finally breathe again?&nbsp;Plus &hellip; the new AI that&rsquo;s less chatbot and more co-worker.&nbsp;

SME Stream Weekly Wrap - 19 February

The Government will today reveal its back down on controversial Auckland housing intensification plans amid fierce public criticism.  

New planning rules would currently allow another 2 million homes in Auckland. 

But last month the Government announced it'll water down the rules with an announcement expected this afternoon.  

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon told Kerre Woodham a balance needs to be struck.  

He says Auckland has to grow with affordable housing, but quite rightly some Aucklanders have said they don't want big buildings next to their homes. 

He’s also allaying concerns about a proposal for a $9 toll on Auckland's Harbour Bridge. 

The Infrastructure Commission recommended tolling the existing bridge, and second new crossing, to reduce construction costs on the Crown.  

But Luxon told Woodham it's only an idea.  

He says the Government hasn't decided whether it'll be a new bridge or a tunnel yet, and decisions on how to fund it will come later. 

He says tolls are the only way to pull forward the development of new roads, faster. 

LISTEN ABOVE 

The Government will today reveal its back down on controversial Auckland housing intensification plans amid fierce public criticism. &nbsp;
New planning rules would currently allow another 2 million homes in Auckland.&nbsp;
But last month the Government announced it'll water down the rules with an announcement expected this afternoon. &nbsp;
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon told Kerre Woodham a balance needs to be struck. &nbsp;
He says Auckland has to grow with affordable housing, but quite rightly some Aucklanders have said they don't want big buildings next to their homes.&nbsp;
He&rsquo;s also allaying concerns about a proposal for a $9 toll on Auckland's Harbour Bridge.&nbsp;
The Infrastructure Commission recommended tolling the existing bridge, and second new crossing, to reduce construction costs on the Crown. &nbsp;
But Luxon told Woodham it's only an idea. &nbsp;
He says the Government hasn't decided whether it'll be a new bridge or a tunnel yet, and decisions on how to fund it will come later.&nbsp;
He says tolls are the only way to pull forward the development of new roads, faster.&nbsp;
LISTEN ABOVE&nbsp;

Christopher Luxon: Prime Minister takes talkback, discusses infrastructure, housing intensification, polls

Auckland Airport says it's gaining momentum.

It's reported a four percent increase in revenue in its half-yearly results. 

The airport says that lift in revenue is being driven by a two percent increase in passenger numbers to 9.6 million.

Chief Executive Carrie Hurihanganui says there's still more work to do - since numbers still haven't caught up to pre-pandemic levels. 

LISTEN ABOVE

Auckland Airport says it's gaining momentum.
It's reported a four percent increase in revenue in its half-yearly results.&nbsp;
The airport says that lift in revenue is being driven by a two percent increase in passenger numbers to 9.6 million.
Chief Executive Carrie Hurihanganui says there's still more work to do - since numbers still haven't caught up to pre-pandemic levels.&nbsp;
LISTEN ABOVE

Cameron Bagrie: Independent Economist on the OCR being held at 2.25%

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