SHARESIES · MARKET UPDATE · Week of 28 September 2026
Jacki Neumann, Head of Capital Markets

↑ WHAT'S UP — The S&P 500 rose 1.2% for the week and the Nasdaq gained 2.1%, hitting a record high. Meta jumped almost 13% after its AI agent, Muse, topped US App Store downloads. Microsoft added 4.5% on reports of Copilot discounts for business customers. 

↓ WHAT’S DOWN — The ASX 200 fell 0.8%, its fourth straight weekly loss, and closed at its lowest since mid-June. It’s down around 4.5% for September, with utilities the weakest sector last week at around −5.2%. Oracle fell over 7% after invoking force majeure on its New Mexico data centre, citing power and permit delays.

! BIGGEST SURPRISES — The US 10-year Treasury yield topped 5.2% on Thursday, driven by strong business data, weak Treasury auctions, and hawkish Fed comments. Markets now see a 66% chance of an October Fed hike. In Australia, unemployment rose to 4.6%, the highest since late 2021, though employment grew more than expected.

◎ WHAT TO WATCH — TheRBA’s latest decision comes on Tuesday afternoon, with a hike to 4.60% around 90% priced in. August household spending is also out Tuesday. Wednesday brings Australian inflation, building approvals and private sector credit, plus China's manufacturing PMI and US core PCE. US non-farm payrolls land Friday.

◈ BIGGER PICTURE — The Fed, RBA, and RBNZ all have hikes on the table. RBNZ Governor Anna Breman warned inflation will run higher if oil prices persist, and markets price a 70% chance of an October hike. Brent briefly fell below $100 a barrel on US-Iran hopes, then swung with news on the Strait of Hormuz. The US and China extended their trade truce to January, due to meet again at APEC in November.

Disclaimer:

Sharesies Market Movements is brought to you by Sharesies Australia Limited (ABN 94 648 811 830; AFSL 529893) in Australia and Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand.

This video is general market commentary and educational in nature. It is not financial advice and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Information is current at the time of recording and may be subject to change. We do not provide recommendations and nothing in this video should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product.

Investing involves risk. You might lose the money you start with. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

If you require personal financial advice, you should consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser. Our disclosure documents and terms and conditions, including a Target Market Determination and IDPS Guide for Sharesies Australian customers, are available on our relevant Australian or NZ website.

SHARESIES &middot; MARKET UPDATE &middot; Week of 28 September 2026 Jacki Neumann, Head of Capital Markets
&uarr; WHAT'S UP &mdash; The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.2% for the week and the Nasdaq gained 2.1%, hitting a record high. Meta jumped almost 13% after its AI agent, Muse, topped US App Store downloads. Microsoft added 4.5% on reports of Copilot discounts for business customers.&nbsp;
&darr; WHAT&rsquo;S DOWN &mdash; The ASX 200 fell 0.8%, its fourth straight weekly loss, and closed at its lowest since mid-June. It&rsquo;s down around 4.5% for September, with utilities the weakest sector last week at around &minus;5.2%. Oracle fell over 7% after invoking force majeure on its New Mexico data centre, citing power and permit delays.
! BIGGEST SURPRISES &mdash; The US 10-year Treasury yield topped 5.2% on Thursday, driven by strong business data, weak Treasury auctions, and hawkish Fed comments. Markets now see a 66% chance of an October Fed hike. In Australia, unemployment rose to 4.6%, the highest since late 2021, though employment grew more than expected.
◎ WHAT TO WATCH &mdash; The RBA&rsquo;s latest decision comes on Tuesday afternoon, with a hike to 4.60% around 90% priced in. August household spending is also out Tuesday. Wednesday brings Australian inflation, building approvals and private sector credit, plus China's manufacturing PMI and US core PCE. US non-farm payrolls land Friday.
◈ BIGGER PICTURE &mdash; The Fed, RBA, and RBNZ all have hikes on the table. RBNZ Governor Anna Breman warned inflation will run higher if oil prices persist, and markets price a 70% chance of an October hike. Brent briefly fell below $100 a barrel on US-Iran hopes, then swung with news on the Strait of Hormuz. The US and China extended their trade truce to January, due to meet again at APEC in November.
Disclaimer:
Sharesies Market Movements is brought to you by Sharesies Australia Limited (ABN 94 648 811 830; AFSL 529893) in Australia and Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand.
This video is general market commentary and educational in nature. It is not financial advice and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Information is current at the time of recording and may be subject to change. We do not provide recommendations and nothing in this video should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product.
Investing involves risk. You might lose the money you start with. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
If you require personal financial advice, you should consider speaking with a qualified financial adviser. Our disclosure documents and terms and conditions, including a Target Market Determination and IDPS Guide for Sharesies Australian customers, are available on our relevant <a href="http://sharesies.com.au">Australian</a> or <a href="https://www.sharesies.nz/legal-documents">NZ</a> website.

A conversation with experts, CEOs, and you. We talk to company leaders and industry experts every week. Listen or watch over lunch or whenever for what’s happening in the economy, the markets, and the companies you invest in.

Investing involves risk. This channel is brought to you by Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand. Information provided is general advice only and current at the time and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. We do not provide recommendations and you should always read the product disclosure documents available from the product issuer before making a financial decision. Our disclosure documents, can be found on our website.

If you require financial advice, you should seek advice from a qualified financial advisor. The views expressed by individuals are their own and Sharesies does not endorse any of the guests or the views they hold.

A conversation with experts, CEOs, and you. We talk to company leaders and industry experts every week. Listen or watch over lunch or whenever for what&rsquo;s happening in the economy, the markets, and the companies you invest in.
Investing involves risk. This channel is brought to you by Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand. Information provided is general advice only and current at the time and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. We do not provide recommendations and you should always read the product disclosure documents available from the product issuer before making a financial decision. Our disclosure documents, can be found on our website.
If you require financial advice, you should seek advice from a qualified financial advisor. The views expressed by individuals are their own and Sharesies does not endorse any of the guests or the views they hold.

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Yields hit 19-year high, RBA hike predicted | Market Movements

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