This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria unveil Nate’s 2024 election model. (The forecast is bad news for Maria.) Also, they explain what insurance industry troubles tell us about the market for risk. And they discuss some key mistakes people make when thinking about risk.

Further Reading:

“Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast” by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

“Climate Change Has Hit Home Insurance. Is Health Insurance Next?” from the Wall Street Journal

“The Home Insurance Crunch: See What’s Happening in Your State” from the New York Times

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria unveil Nate’s 2024 election model. (The forecast is bad news for Maria.) Also, they explain what insurance industry troubles tell us about the market for risk. And they discuss some key mistakes people make when thinking about risk.
Further Reading:
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model">“Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast”</a> by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
<a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/climate-change-has-hit-home-insurance-is-health-insurance-next-e97aaab6">“Climate Change Has Hit Home Insurance. Is Health Insurance Next?”</a> from the Wall Street Journal
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/13/climate/home-insurance-profit-us-states-weather.html">“The Home Insurance Crunch: See What’s Happening in Your State”</a> from the New York Times
For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:
<a href="https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/">“The Leap”</a> from Maria Konnikova
<a href="https://www.natesilver.net/">“Silver Bulletin”</a> from Nate Silver

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.

Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.

Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.

Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.
Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.
Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.
Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/73513311-ddf1-4e60-af18-b19b015cfc2d/transcript

Advertisement