The nerds react to the NFL Week 17 action! They discuss how Sam Darnold & the Minnesota Vikings continue to establish themselves as true Super Bowl contenders after another win over the Green Bay Packers, debate if the Cincinnati Bengals or Denver Broncos would be a more dangerous AFC Wild Card team, and react to the rookie battle between Michael Penix Jr. and Jayden Daniels.
Timestamps
00:00:23 - Vikings-Packers
00:19:20 - Lions-49ers
00:35:39 - Commanders-Falcons
00:49:30 - Bengals-Broncos
00:57:31 - R.I.P. Colts
01:02:22 - R.I.P. Seahawks
01:08:59 - NFL Power Rankings
#Volume
The volume. Oh my god, how could he do that?
What Charles Darwin? The nerves is where it's at. Welcome everybody back into nerd Sash as always. I'm Carson Brevan. Alongside me is Logan Camden, and we apologize that we were not able to give you guys our regular Sunday Night NFL reaction yesterday. That is because we were both at a wedding. But we are back now. Logan and I yesterday were wed in the great state of Kansas. It was a beautiful little ceremony, quaint, intimate and I'm just so excited to spend the rest of my life with you, buddy.
Yeah, so am I man. I couldn't be happier.
It was a hell of a wedding. Of course, after this, our friend Gabe and his new wife Laura, was a love wedding we attended.
Well, no, see, if we pretend that we got married, then we can just go on a fake honeymoon too. Doo. He's get a free vacation.
Where would you want to go? Pittsburgh?
Gross for vacation?
Jesus, man, are you shitting on the Steel City?
What are we gonna do?
Good industrial town?
Smoke cigarettes, in a back alley.
Like this doesn't sound so bad to me. Actually sounds really nice.
All right. I mean, if you're down, I'm down, bro. Let's do it.
Look at us already fighting. Oh my god, not even twenty four hours we've been married and we can't agree on our honeymoon. Let's talk some football. And we actually just had a pretty fun Monday night game, lots of points put up. But I want to start with the game of the week because, as we discussed, the NFL, with their greedy, greedy little overreach, put most of the great games this week before the actual Sunday slate, so there was really only one game that I was excited for, and that was Vikings Packers And Logan, the Minnesota Vikings just keep on rolling. They are fourteen and two and they will now be playing Lions tonight's winners over the forty nine ers for not just the NFC North but the number one seed next week, which is going to be super fun. But how impressed were you about Minnesota in this game? And dare I say, Logan, dare I ask are they the number one team in the NFC to you?
Now? They're not. Minnesota hasn't gotten there for me yet and I still have Philadelphia. I just think Philadelphia is the most talented team arguably in the NFL, and that's why I would marginally go with them. That being said, I think Minnesota's been top five. I think they are a real deal Super Bowl contender. I mean, I wouldn't be surprised. I'll put it this way, a positive spin. I wouldn't be surprised if Minnesota was a representative in the NFC in the Super Bowl, especially because I thought the Packers got lucky in this game, that it was as close as.
It was, like fake close game one hundred percent.
I think this is one of Minnesota's more convincing wins this year. And you think about what happens early in this football game, Joshacobs fumble, Jordan Love interception. Minnesota scored zero points off of those turnovers. The Packers defense came up huge, you know they are. They trail twenty to three in this game, they trail twenty seven to ten. They end up making a close twenty seven to twenty five at the end of this game. But I mean, they were resilient. I'll give the Packers that, but they should be thinking they're lucky stars that this wasn't a bludgeoning because I think a few plays go a different way in Minnesota is I mean smokes Green Bay in this game, they looked way better in my opinion, And I mean, you got to sing your praises about Sam Donald. Man, I don't want to beat like a dead horse because me and you have been talking about how great he's played over the past six weeks. But it's like that was the biggest variable about this football team at the start of the year, and I harped on it because I didn't know if I could believe in Sam Donald. And I'm there. I think that Sam doesn't hold them back. I think he elevates them. This is a great situation obviously for Donald, but I don't have this pit in my stomach when I watch Donald play anymore like I used to where I'm waiting on the impending doom, on the disaster play. I trust Sam Darnald and he has played, in my opinion, just over like this seven to eight week stretch. I think he's been one of the top five quarterbacks in the NFL over that span. I believe Minnesota is not my number one right now. I do prefer Philly, but they are my number two and I'm stam up with that.
I love Minnesota. I feel like they've been the most underrated elite team probably the entire year, and really the most unexpected elite team. But they got off to their five and oh start and felt like everybody was on the bandwagon at that point, and then they dropped two straight games and it's like everybody's off, even though those were close games to the Lions and Rams, and then Donald has a couple of rough performances against the Colts and the Jags, and it just felt like they totally got buried in the hierarchy under other teams, at least in terms of the public discourse, that they didn't belong below. In my feeling has been since early in the season, this is one of the most complete teams in football. They have consistently been a top five team in football in my eyes since they had that really impressive early stretch. But the thing that moves me to at this point I actually view them as my number one team in the NFC is the level that Sam Donald is playing at. I mean, it's so impressive. I have significantly more faith in him right now. Than I do in Jalen Hurts. When I'm looking at the other most talented roster, most complete team in the NFC and compared to the Lions, I mean that offense is unbelievable. It is an unstoppable machine. But I think that defense, and it's largely just because of injuries, which is just brutal luck for them, but is an absolute, abject disaster right now. So I think that they are an incredibly complete team Minnesota, and in a couple of these key categories versus Philadelphia, I trust them a lot more. And that's quarterback where I trust Donald, and that is coaching, where I think Kevin O'Connell is brilliant, and I think Brian Flores is brilliant, and I still don't believe in Nick Sirianni. But when it comes to the level that Donald has been playing at. You mentioned it's the last seven weeks where he had the couple clunkers, but since then has just been dialed in. He's averaging two hundred and eighty eight yards per game, eighteen touchdowns, two picks, a passer rating of one hundred and fourteen, and it's just an incredible raw arm talent, right and when he's throwing from a clean pocket, can really sling it and has improved so much as a processor of the game. If you have one question about Darnald still, I do think it's probably in his ability to manage and deal with pressure, and I think that's where we've seen him have some bad moments this year, particularly when it comes to taking more sacks than you would like. And I still think you got a bit of a mixed bag with that. In this game, he actually did a really good job of evading sacks. He only took one, but he also puts some balls in harm's way under the rest where he throws the pick kind of as he's falling down trying to fit a ball into a tight window, and there were a couple other dangerous ones under pressure. So like that's the one concern I would have. But I do think his mobility inside the pocket outside the pocket has been underrated. I think the arm talent is there, and again, like you can't separate him from the situation, but I don't think that you necessarily need to, because he's in this situation with this elite play calling, with these elite receivers, with a really good offensive line, with a balanced offense, and he is just excelling in this situation. So I think they're the team that I trust the most right now in the NFC because they don't have a hole. This was an outstanding performance from their defense, I thought, because they held the Packers to ten points midway through the fourth quarter, they were still sitting on that. And I thought that they got after Jordan Love in a way nobody else has been able to write. This is the guy who, alongside Josh Allen this year, has been the king of not taking sacks. They brought him down three times. We know that they bring pressure as much and as effectively as anybody in football. And then offensively, I really really like their formula. And when I believe that Darnald is a guy who can throw the ball for four hundred yards when you need him two week after week, I'm just all in on this team, I am.
Yeah, And I think I underrated Darnald too. I mean that's why I think the quarterback ranking episode was so fascinating. If you guys did end up watching it, thank you. If you have not, encourage you too. I thought it was a really it's a long episode, but I thought it was really really good. This stuff changes, you know, so often, week to week, and one game can swing public opinion and this and that. But I really do wonder if I sold not crazy, but I wonder if I sold Donald in golf short by like two or three spots. I wonder if I should have had them right outside the top ten. I don't think I could be moved to put them above like a Baker or Jaden, But in that geno Kyler tier, I wonder. I do love me some Baker man. He's special. He had a great game this week too. But you make a great point to Carson, when you think about Super Bowl contenders, they get pressure on quarterbacks, they disrupt them. That's a huge key in playoff games in Super Bowl scenarios. And I thought Green Bay did a good job at getting at Donald too. But that's probably the area where I've been most impressed with Donald this season. Is not just executing simple stuff. It is extending plays and making plays out of structure and getting out of sacks and still throwing balls down field. Bro Darnald doesn't look scared anymore, like, not at all. And I don't know if it's just game ra if it's he's playing well, so his confidence is riding high too, you.
Know, and it's all I mean, he's been under great coaches the last two years. And by the way, you mentioned all the stuff that he's doing right, creating more out of struction than we've seen. He's doing all this while playing turnover free football. A get its two interceptions in the last seven weeks. He's really really playing at a high level.
He's playing at it at a huge level. And it's again, it's never been an arm talent thing man. Donald always had that, but it's him finally figuring it all out. I couldn't be happier for the guy. Man. You love a comeback story, and I hope this is a theme of NFL quarterbacks, you know, hopefully in the future. Man, Like, just look at the last four years, right Geno and his redemption with Seattle, Baker, his redemption with Tampa Bay. Donald's getting that. Everybody loves a comeback story. And Sam doesn't. I believe in Sam. I just I don't. I don't. He doesn't scare me in the way where I feel like he's just gonna fall apart in a big moment, and Minnesota is really deep around him. I agree with you, though, man it. I don't blame you. You said Minnesota is.
Number one for you, right they are now.
I don't blame you for the coaching being the deciding factor. I don't like Sirianni. I don't. I mean, you might be my least favorite head coach in the National Football League.
If you've got the coaching and quarterback edge. To me, the other sort of fundamental thing you look at is the defense. I think the defenses are neck and neck. I mean, I think that they are two of the three best defenses in football. Through the Steelers in there, you could have the Broncos in that same tier. Pitts, you want to think the Steelers out of there now or without the Shawn Elliott. They fell, they fall off.
We've been banged up, but I don't I'm gonna be honest. I don't think we belong with those groups. I don't think we belong with Minnesota. I don't think we belong with Philadelphia. I think they're better.
That's fair, And I think that the story of the year for Minnesota really is consistency and that as an overall football team, because even when Darnold had his down performances. They were still winning games, and it was against a not so great competition. But like, their defense gives them a really high floor. Their skill position talut, their scheme offensively gives them a really really high floor. And when Arnold is playing like this, they're an elite offense in an elite defense with no holes. So I love Minnesota. On the flip side of this logan, what do you take away for the Packers? How are you feeling about them?
I'm disappointed. I'm really disappointed. You know. They get some pressure on Donald, but they don't have an elite pass rush like a Minnesota or a Philadelphia where I would be shaking in my boots if I'm the opposing team's quarterback. That's a distinct edge that I think both of those teams have over Green Bay at this point. And Jordan Love's consistency, man, you know, I don't know. I'm the highs with Jordan Love are so freaking high, but it's just a consistency thing with him, and I just wonder if I got maybe a little too bit high on him in Green Bay like they are. I wonder if I should have them in my Super Bowl bubble is where I'm at with Green Bay because I look at the teams. I put them over Detroit a couple of weeks ago with the power rankings, and I just think I was wrong because and we'll get to Detroit and here in a minute with the Niners game. But Detroit, even though they're really banged up, and the Niners offense was for a lot of this game was moving on them like a hot knife through butter. They're well coached and Aaron Glenn is gonna have these guys prepared. But there's leagues between these offenses, like Detroit is one of statistically one of the great offenses of the twenty first century. Like it's when you look at the offenses this year, it's Baltimore, it's Buffalo, and it's Detroit, and they are a class above everybody else. I think, I just what I'm getting at here with Green Bay Minnesota. You know it has an elite thing, right, It's that pass rush, it's that front, right. Detroit has an elite quality, Buffalo has an elite quality, it's that offense.
Right.
All of these teams have something that they are a plus elite at. And when I look at green Bay, I don't know if I see it, And so what that means is when I'm looking at them in their playoff prospects. Because of that, Jordan Love is gonna have to overcompensate and play above his means to drag this team, I think the wins. I think he's gonna have to play MVP level football in the playoffs for this team to get to where they need to be. And I'm not ruling that out of the realm of possibility, but I think it's just more unlikely. And I like other teams formula more and so Green Bay is right now on that cusp of are you real or are you in that? I don't mean this as a dig at them, but like are you in the Chargers tire or are you in the like super bowls?
Here?
Are you really really good or are you, you know, with the cream of the crop.
I have very consistently felt this year that they are, I know, do the real outskirts of that Super Bowl bubble. I have never, for a moment moved them above Detroit or Minnesota. And I think the Packers are really good, but I do think that they've gotten a bit overrated, and I think part of that is a lot of people just felt that they were like the logical successor in the NFC after last year because they're the youngest team in the conference. Jordan Love is such a young quarterback, especially in terms of experience, and here they are, They're ascending and like they were, I think the most popular pick to win the NFC before the year, and it's just kind of annoyed me that I feel like, maybe because of that preseason hype, people continue to try to put them at the very top of the NFC, and I don't think that they belong quite up there. I'm not saying they're not capable of beating any of these teams, but at the same time, they are zero to five against the top three teams of the NFC this year. They're oh and two against Detroit, They're oh and two against Minnesota, They're own to one against Philadelphia, and yet coming into this game in Minnesota, the Packers were favored by like two and a half points. Like, I just don't understand that perspective because this really was a fake close game, and I mean this was twenty seven to ten. They were out gained by one hundred and seventy yards. Will Reiker missed two field goals for Minnesota, like Green Bay, got spanked until their final two drives when they finally got the passing game going. And I mentioned they're oho to five in games against the top three teams in the NFC. In three of those games, they were down eight to seven to Minnesota the first time round twenty four to three to Detroit in twenty to three to Minnesota in this game. So it's not just that they're losing. They've gotten drugged in a few of these games, more than the final scoreboard would even indicate. And Jordan Love, as much as I love the guy, has had some inconsistencies and he's had some really slow starts in a couple of these big games. I thought Minnesota's defense again was phenomenal. I thought they brought the boom. I also think we can kind of lose sight of the Packers' offensive identity because it's interesting to me you talk about Jordan Love having to really carry them. I kind of feel like he more just has to carry his weight as the sort of top seven quarterback that we view him as. But really the foundation of this team is their ability to run the ball so consistently and set up the play action and set up the explosive passing plays with that run game. Their top five and rushing yards, top five and rushing touchdowns. They're seventh in yards per attempt, They're thirtieth in pass attempts on the season. And you think about how successful they were with Malik Willis right where they went undefeat with him as the starter. Why was that? Because they can run the shit out of the ball. Lafleurt schematically is excellent and that really is the foundation of this offense. And this was an anemic performance from the passing attack. And although I do think Jordan Love is really really good, we've seen a couple too many of those. Now. He's been playing cleaner football as of late, of course, which is great. No turnovers in the Toyota than period. But like they just needed to get more going through the air in this game. And the defense just isn't that impressive to me. I think it's a good run defense, and I thought the run defense played well in this game, and I know the bottom line numbers for this defense are good, but against really good competition, they haven't been good defensively. They've really been out classed. And I don't like their pass defense, I think they have vulnerabilities there that kind of offset the strengths they have against the runs. So I think it's a very mediocre defense, and I think it's a really good offense. But I don't think it's an offense we can put quite in a class with Detroit, with Buffalo, with Baltimore. Those teams were mentioning. And then defensively, I think Minnesota is just lapping them and it's pretty darn close offensively. So they're a team that can make noise. But I have them as a really solid fourth in the NFC as I have had them.
Well, you know, it's funny, man, You know how everybody always does the Rogers far thing with Jordan Love, right because they've had three you know, star quarterbacks, right, the handing of the torch. Yeah, it's funny because I think that Love needs to strike that balance a little bit better, man, because you talk about it. It's like Love just needs to sometimes just play complimentary football, you know. I feel like sometimes that gunslinger, right, we have this like Jamis Winston glorification of the of the gunslinger. Right, it's either your humming at fifty yards downfield for a TV or you're hucking at sixty yards downfield for a pick. I feel like Jordan just needs to move the ball sometimes, man, I'm not so like, just real it in a little bit where you're just playing more methodical, complimentary football and loves a boom er bus guy some games and it's frustrating, man, because I get so high on the guy because I know what he can do, and then sometimes it doesn't show up. Also, as we've mentioned all year long with Green Bay two, and this was a little bit of the case last year, it's a big play defense and sometimes when the big plays don't come, defense doesn't look that good. You know, you don't swing the game. And that's where I'm not putting Pittsburgh in that tier. But like, Pittsburgh's one of those teams too, where you know, if they get those big swing plays, you go, goddamn, man, that Steelers defense is awesome, and then if they don't, you're like, man, they got marched on today. I'm not putting them in the same tier, but I think it's a solid comp And yeah, I think I got a little bit too high on Green Bay, man. I think right now there are six teams that I think could win the Super Bowl, and I think Green Bay is number seven.
I have Green Bay at number seven too. I don't know if I could fully rule it out, because if you get Jordan Love at his best, I mean, this offense is pretty special. But I think it's very unlikely. And I do think that for me, there is a drop between the top six teams and the seven. Like the top six I actually think are all pretty close, and those are like the bona fide super contenders, and then the Packers are the one team where I'm like there's a sliver of a chance outside of that group. But I do think it would take a lot to go right, and I think it would take that defense taking a level up. But I think it would take Jordan Love actually being really special and playing at a top five level, which he hasn't quite been at as good as he has been. Let's talk about this Monday night game Logan. The Lions pick up another win in a game that did not mean anything for them because it's win, and they get the one seed next week no matter what, because they would have the tiebreaker over Minnesota. But nevertheless, Dan Campbell had the fellas fired up and they went out there and they took a win. I'll start with this classic question, Logan, who do you think this one said more about Detroit or the Niners?
For me where I've been out with both of these teams, probably Detroit just because I was wrong the second that McNeil went down, I kind of wrote this team off and said that this defense isn't good enough to do it. Who cares? I mean, when your offense can put points up like this every single game, I don't really know if it matters. Like, don't get me wrong, Carson, I are nerds, So probability is what we base most of our predictions off of. So there's less probability that the Lions are gonna do it with all these injuries.
For yourself, Nerd, like you said.
I can't count Detroit out. They're just every week they come back and it's hey maker, hey maker, hey maker, and the stuff that they break out another hooking ladder.
Like that's erotic, it's awesome.
People are like, you know, is it a theo came on the Quarterbacks episode? You know, is it dishonorable to do this? Did it work? You know? I mean the Lions just have all of these tricks up their sleeve and the offense seems unstoppable. They are one of ten teams and I'm gonna break this out this stat out for another team on this episode. They're one of ten teams INFL history with over point five points per play. Now, that stats started being tracked in two thousand and three, so that's why the number is so small. But you look at some of the other teams on this list, those four Colts, oh seven Patriots, the nine Saints, the twenty ten Patriots, the twenty eleven Packers, the twenty thirteen Broncos, the sixteen Falcons, the eighteen Chiefs, the twenty Packers, this year's Lions, in this year's Bills. Those are the only teams since oh three, when that stats started being tracked, that are over point five points per play. That is ridiculous. Yeah, Like I think all of them, all of them, all of them, and again, you know, maybe they didn't last long, right, like the twenty sixteen Falcons for that one year. It's all time stuff. And that's why I can't count Detroit out because you look at some of the other names on that list. The Pats got to the Super Bowl, the Saints won the Super Bowl, the Packers won the Super Bowl the year previous, right the twenty thirteen Broncos got to the big game. It's just like, that's a really good track record, and I was disappoint ian with what we got out of the defense. I wanted a stronger first half. They might have the best safety tandem in the league, and that's an edge up that I would still give the Lions. Where Look, the rest of the defense has holes. Right linebacking corps are way down, defensive line is all banged up. The entire defense is banged up. Kirby Joseph and Brian Branch if they can stay healthy and hold it down over the top. I'm just not ready to slam the door on the Lions. And I was two weeks ago and I put my hand up Nick Collinson word to Gabe, I got it wrong, man. I don't think the Lions are I don't think the Lions are on the ground just yet.
Man.
I think the Lions are still very, very legitimate.
This is so funny. I feel like I leave this game feeling worse about the Lions now. I think that I was higher on them than you after all the injuries. But it's just no news to me that this offense is completely unstoppable and one of the best that we've seen this century, and like has the single easiest formula, probably with how dominant they are in the trenches and how great the run is, and with the elite receiving tandem that they now have with Amanrahan, the growth of Jamison, and with their incredible genius play calling and GoF playing at a really high level, Like they just move the ball at will against just about anybody. But you mentioned some of those all time great offenses, and there's one that you didn't mention since two thousand that kind of comes to mind for me. With the Lions we're seeing right now, I wonder if they're marching towards like two thousand Rams territory, which is literally one of the greatest offenses we've ever seen, right between their two Super Bowls. But that defense was horrible, and I'm not saying that the Lions are that bad. And again, injuries are the driving force behind all of this, right, Losing Aliam McNeil, losing Carlton Davis, losing Angeloni, losing obviously Aiden Hutchinson, Like they've just lost so many of their best players, but I'm really worried about their defense over the last three weeks, which is when they've really just become ravaged by these injuries. They're allowing four hundred and seventy two yards per game in thirty three points per game, and the Bills game is a big part of that. But they got torched in this game. And if it's not for those two I mean Forbby Joseph interceptions, I mean, they didn't get any stops.
A lot of things broke their way too. I mean, the the party picks the Miskicks like it's a really specific formula that they're gonna have to follow, Carson, but it's like, I don't know, I can't put it past them that they can. I don't know if there's a defense that has an answer for they make it look so easy every.
Week they do they do. I just worry if you are destined to being in a shootout every single week, is that sustainable? Because if there are defenses that are flawed, who I have higher than Detroit's right, I'll just spoil this for our power rankings, I guess to make this point, Buffalo being an example, Baltimore being an example, the reason that I feel like I can justify is those teams still have their talent on the field, and they have their inconsistencies, but they've shown highs with their best players on the field where I can say, Okay, they're inconsistent, but they're not outright bad defenses. The Lions, as they're currently configured, down so many of their best players, I think, are a bad defense.
It's ten consecutive quarters of being marched on every single drive seemingly.
Well, yeah, it's basically kind of the last twelve because they were good against the Bears in the first half, but then they even got marched on by the Bears in the second half. It's rough. So I still think they're an elite team. I still think they can win the Super Bowl because this offense is that unbelievable. But within that super Bowl tier they have all for me, I would agree. Whereas when this defense was fully healthy, I thought there was a strong case they were the best team in football. How about the Niners. Logan, you got a very interesting rock Party stat line in this game where he he racks up three hundred and seventy seven passing yards three touchdowns. He's also got two interceptions, leads this game very late and we get the Josh Dobbs Show. What did you make of this performance from San Francisco and Purty?
I mean, like, dude, I feel like I'm about to take an elbow drop from the top rope and then lay it on my opponent. Dude. Niners fans have a really weird relationship with Rock Perdy Carson. Every Niners fan I talk to has this like complicated love hate. You can't pay the guy, Like, dude, it's so funny too, how fast sports moves and just this, you know, like, you know, back in my day, we had to wait for the newspaper to come out to watch the football game. Right now, you just got twitters. You know what's going on every second of the day. And it's so funny. Brock has that first half and it's sixty million dollars, yes, yes, And then we played two more quarters of football and it's man, I wouldn't resign this guy to a you know, a minimum deal. You just can't pay Brock, And like, I don't know what else this season has indicated to you, bro You know what the first pick, all right, well, actually he throws two. That was hilarious. He throws one that gets called back, and then he throws another one to Kirby. That second pick was embarrassing, Carson, I don't know what Brock is looking at on that play. That's an inexcusable interception to me. The Lions drop into a cover three where the two guys go off top take the third, and Kirby Joseph is just standing there still in the middle third waiting. I mean, it was almost like he baited Brock on that play where it was all right, they like running that little post route with with pearsall Kirby just sit on it, and it was deliberate, like the guy, you know, like the Lions threw debate out there and Brock just took it. The middle of the field is wide open, Kirby jumps it. I just I don't think Brock's good enough to pay all this money, man. I don't think he's the solution still. And you get the good and the bad in this game. He makes some plays like it wasn't all bad stuff from Brock in this game, right, Like he sets him up to potentially get points before the end of the first half too. They can't capitalize on that. It wasn't all Brock's fault in this game. And I think Brock is a good quarterback. But it's like you mentioned that thing that you said on the show a couple of weeks ago, Carson about I don't know if it was Mikey or who you were talking to about the contracts, but it is eye opening when you look at it and you go, well, two is making the same money as Trevor Lawrence. Trevor Lawrence is making the same money as Dak Prescott. Dak Prescott's making the same money as Mahomes and Josh Allen. That's not how this is supposed to work. And you are just you are handcuffing yourself. You were tying an anville, a boulder, a rock around your legs that you're gonna drown Brock. Purty is going to drown your team because you're not gonna have enough resources. I've had this take spein and I had a lot of time to think about it with all the free time during the wedding this weekend. But I really think that the new wave for these teams, with these middle of the road quarterbacks, the new wave is going to be scouting your guy in the draft drafting him in that rookie contract. And it's not a new thing, right, It's been happening like this. That's gonna be your time to strike. Either when you can get that bridge guy and pay him ten meal like Darnald and fill out the rest of your roster and load it up, or you get that rookie quarterback and you can pay him a low deal. Or the Niners are gonna have to put their nuts on the table and finally be the first team that says, hey, we're not gonna do this, We're gonna let some other team make the mistake. But I continue to feel that way, Man Bird Party isn't the only problem the Niners have. The Niners are way worse than last year. They've got a ton of injuries, They've got way other They've got a myriad of issues. Brox not the biggest one, but he will be if they pay him that gargantuan contract.
Absolutely, I mean, it's just the sort of thing that I don't think you can come back from. You are taking away the greatest advantage you have over these teams that have these superhero quarterbacks, which is they have to dedicate fifty to sixty men million dollars of their cap to these elite players, which means they probably can't build elite rosters around them, or at least they can't pay a bunch of guys these really high dollar values. The second that you pay a middling quarterback, that you've negated that advantage. Now you've limited your ability to build an elite roster and you don't have that difference maker force multiplier who's gonna will you to being a really good offense every year. I've been very consistent on this. They cannot pay rock Prety that kind of money. And look, this is not like some disaster game from him, right. The Niners average almost eight yards per play a lot of that is what really concerns me about the Lions defense. But again, outside of those couple of turnovers, they move the ball at will. But it is those couple turnovers that stand out. I mean, just completely sailed the first one and didn't see Kirby Joseph at all on the second one. So there's a lot of moments where the timing is pretty good here within structure, and the accuracy is pretty good, and you're also getting a lot of separation from these receivers, particularly Kiddlewin Piersoll in this game, and you're getting a lot of really good scheming from Kyle Shanahan, drawing dudes open. But then you just have the couple of backbreaking moments. And I think that we've seen time and again that Brock Purty is not a guy who is an elevator, an amplifier who you can't expect to carry an offense. And at that point, you're in the mid level market where it's like, Okay, I would pay Brock thirty million a year, sure, because I don't just want to take a crazy chance on some rookie quarterback, even though I'm really confident in Shannonan's ability to develop guys, Like there's a level at which I said, Okay, Brock is solid. We know he's solid, we can pay him. But if you pay him like one of the elite guys, you're cooked, and there's no coming back from that. Because the Niners do have a lot of big issues they need to address. They have key players who are aging, who are injury prone. They need to figure out the defensive side of the ball, they need to figure out the offensive line, and they cannot attempt to do all that while they're dedicating elite money to Brock Purty, who is not an elite quarterback.
Yeah, I completely agree. And we've been negative on the Niners for a while here because it's been a disappoint Right. The standard in San Francisco is super Bowl or bust, and unfortunately what comes with those expectations is that if you don't, if you fall short, it's a disaster of a season by your personal scale.
Right.
If it's the Cleveland Browns, nobody cares, right, they do this every year. The Niner standard is we get to the big games, we win them. We're competitive. So this is a letdown of a year. The one positive thing I'll say, and you tell me if you agree or disagree. Carson, I really like a lot of the young talents that they have here, and I don't I wonder if it's worthwhile exploring moving some of those guys, specifically at Deebo Samuel.
McCaffrey, bag of potato chips, yep.
Deebo, whatever you can move off of him for I would prefer to keep eye Uke if possible. But look, I like piercell A lot. He's looked better week after week. He's looked really good. Recently. I really like Juwan Jennings. I think he's an absolutely stud I'd really like Grendo, right, Jordan Mason tore it up when he was there, so it's like a part of that. I do think Kyle Shanahan deserves an immense amount of credit, dude.
Also like best run scheme in football. The ability to produce so consistently in the run game, regardless of who is at running back and regardless of the level of your offensive line is at is unmatched.
And they lose this game. I thought it was an excellently coach game from Shanahan, with the game plans, the calls like they were. It's obviously a component of the Lions being decimated by injuries, but the Niners are running circles around them with this game plan, so I think he deserves in the movie.
Also cost them seven points in.
This game, true, exactly. So that's the one positive because I know we've been negative all year, We've said all these bad things about Brock Purdy, but I think that they've hit on a lot of their skill position talent outside of the stars that always get the shine, and that's really encouraging to me that maybe this offseason, move some of those guys around. You get McCaffrey back healthy, you get brock On, hopefully not the mega deal. I'm not super optimistic about honestly, Carson, I I'm really worried that we've seen the last of great McCaffrey. And that kind of hurts just because I think he's one of the great. He's one of the greatest duel throat running backs of all time. So just as a football fan, it kind of hurts my heart to think that maybe we won't see him at one hundred percent again. But I think that's huge, and I think that's one encouraging thing that we can take away from a disappointing season for San Francisco.
I totally do agree with that, and that's something that is so impressive about this team. And obviously they take Piercell in the first round, so they were still investing in skill position talent. But this was a phenomenal game from him. I believe deeply in him. Covered him at Asu sent him a text after every good performance, just kidding, I don't do that, but he's really good, man. He can really separate. He's a really good route runner. I think that he's good after the catch, and I absolutely think that they should just be moving on from Deebo. I don't think you're getting more than a fifth back if you can trade him. They might just cut him out right because this was a really rough year and simply but he's not worth like fifteen million, which he's making next year, and he has no future with the team after that. But that's okay because they do have receivers who don't replicate his versatility. But I think can still bring real value and more value honestly than Deebo brought this year because he just wasn't good. So that's the positive takeaway, specifically just how good Ricky Piersoll was. But the Niners have a big decision. They need to look themselves in the eye. They need to not be concerned with public opinion because I think a lot of Niners fans still irrationally believe in brock Purty, and they need to say, we are making the decision that we think puts us in the best position to win next season and to win going forward, and that is not to pay brock Purty a dollar value that he is just not worth. Let's talk about the Sunday Night football game logan which involved a couple of quarterbacks on those sweet sweet rookie deals. We saw Jayden Daniels versus Michael Pennix. It was the first ever primetime game between two rookie quarterbacks. I saw that stat which is kind of crazy. It ends up being a commander's overtime win. What did you take away from this one?
I think the big thing that we can start off is just how this game ended in regulation. I mean that to me was the storyline of this game, just with Raheem Morris's clock management. You're tied twenty four, twenty four, forty seconds on the clock, you got two timeouts. What is the goal? Get a field goal? Put this thing away in regulation? You don't want to give arguably a top five offense this year the ball back in overtime. That's like marching to your death sentence. And credit to Penis because earlier in this game, the drive previous did this before the Falcons defense forces is a three and out drives them down there and gets a TD. So that was huge. Penix throws a dot almost to midfield. I mean it is the ideal first play that you could have in this situation, and they opt to not call a timeout at thirty four seconds. They weigh seventeen seconds a clock. Luckily for them, they get a pass interference call that gives them a field goal attempt. Because they don't get this DPI call, they don't even attempt a field goal on this drive. They just go into overtime. Patterson misses a fifty six yard are well short. Daniels marches in overtime for another classic moment in his greatest rookie quarterback campaign. It's like, dude, the clock management incompetence of this level is really what makes me wonder. It makes people wonder if games are rigged. Like, I don't know any other way that you could look at. It is a utter disaster.
No, I don't ever underestimate the incompetence of human beings.
Low, I just don't get how it happens, man.
Like people are not situationally aware, even when their job is to be situationally aware, dude, And you got to make split second decisions and some people just aren't good at that.
Pennix took six seconds off the clock on that play and then you let it burn another seventeen. I just don't get it, man, I'm I'm dumb for some of the stuff we've seen this year, like the one obviously.
Seven seconds left in two timeouts, What the hell you're gonna do exactly all the time out just for the hell of it. At that point, the.
Eber flu sending to the game was weird. This one almost felt worse just because you have two timeouts. I don't I don't know, man, I feel like we've seen more endings like this than the yearest previous way more I was dumb for me, man.
Coaches do really dumb shit all the time, and it's mind blowing. They challenge plays that have no business being challenged. They call timeouts and totally inopportune situations. They don't call timeouts when they should. Let's not do the whole rig thing even throw it out there, because that's nonsense. I just do stupid things.
I'm dumbfounded. I am legitimately dumb founded. I just don't get out something like this, and all it is is like, just give the guy a makeable field goal like fifty six yards. Don't get me wrong, off the DPI is a makeable field goal. A lot of kickers would have made that kick and wrap the game. Up. It's Riley Patterson's job to boot that one through. But considering what Penis did on the first play of that drive, you can set him up for a butt or forty yard or you know you have you got three downs mindimum and two times out. Get all that you can get. Man, squeeze, squeeze it for all the juice. It's just considering the circumstances and what was on the line for Atlanta, I cannot believe that their season could end like this because next week, you know, playoff stakes were on the line. You needed to keep pace with Tampa Bay. Now they need Tampa Bay to lose to New Orleans next week and they have to. I'm pretty sure the Falcons have Carolina, that's who they need to beat. It's not out of the realm of possibility. They're not cooked. But I just cannot believe that the Falcons playoff hopes are probably going to end on that. Like, I can't think of a worse way to go out.
Yeah, that was really bad. I agree. I also thought, if we can put a positive spin on it, the drive before that from Penix was really really impressive, and this game was a mixed bag from him because I thought he had some accuracy issues. He had a very ugly pick which was really just a straight up miscommunication but looked really really bad. But then you think about just the balls, the kN that you get on that final drive where he converts the fourth and eleven to Drake London, where London runs a beautiful route corner. Yeah, beautiful route, but still nice anticipation on that ball. And then the fourth and thirteen to get the game time touchdown, where the snap flies over his head. They're looking at second and twenty eight when they had first in goal.
I think it. I think it was Bijon, but yeah, oh.
Well whatever, they had second and twenty eight at that point, and then he works his way back. They get a good chunk of it back on second down, and then he has to complete the fourth and long. I thought that that was really impressive. I think the Pennix is solid. I thought that he didn't look quite as comfortable in this game as he did in his debut, But he is just a very pro ready guy, and I think that there is a relative stability that you're going to get from him compared to other quote unquote young quarterbacks. Obviously, he's very old for a rookie, but I think they made the right decision to go with him. I think that he is better than Kirk, and I think you're better off seeing what you got out of him, and you got this weird situation through next season where Kirk is still on the books. But I think Penix is solid. He's not somebody who I think is a super high ceiling, but I do think the floor is high with him.
I completely agree to put it back to the quarterback rankings that we did. I had Anthony Richardson and Caleb Williams above Pennix because of the respect I have for their natural ability and talent. I definitely would rather have Penix for a win now game. And yeah, that's what I said during the draft. I thought Pennis was the most pro ready guy, specifically with the dynamic between him and Kirk. I think the biggest difference that I saw in this game is Atlanta's playbook has been really handicapped by a guy like Kirk Cousins because of his complete lack of mobility. And what I mean by that is, you know you're getting Kirk a lot of times out of the pistol where you're getting him to line up under center and he's just standing flat footed. You take it for granted a little bit. But now that Atlanta can run bootlegs and they can run rollouts and little stuff like that, like just little stuff to get your guy on the move, where I mean, Kirk can't even do that at this point his career. Penis can do stuff like that, It reminds me, honestly, And Russ can do this a little bit too, but it's like Russ versus bo Nicks. Sean Payton is a brilliant mind, but sometimes when you're older and you have those athletic limitations, you can't do some of that stuff. And I think you saw that in this game. Nothing spectacular I thought from Penix. I thought he did. I thought he does. I thought he did the simple stuff really well. I thought he was really accurate on underneath rose ball placement, velocity, touch. I think you see it all on display. He gets the ball out quickly and he's composed. So like I agree, I don't know if there's anything like superstar there with Michael Pennix, but I see a really solid starter, a guy that can win you games in the National Football League. And again, like you said, dude, on that final drive, you got to give Penis a ton of props. It's a huge situation. He comes up with two huge fort down conversions. The snap lost twenty one yards. Yeah, dude, you lose twenty one yards on a step. You're not supposed to put the ball in the end zone, and he still did. I really like Penicks and I think he's gonna be really solid. I was impressed with this game, and I'm I'm just disappointed for him. Man. I don't feel like that's on the He's the quarterback, right, maybe he should have taken the time out. I put that on the coach. Dude, I think.
Rookie quarterback, especially right, you don't even know what authority he has. Kleeb after the whole eber flu s incident sort of insinuated that he didn't feel he was even in a position to call a time out there. I did think that this was a sloppier game from Pennix than the first start his debut. I also will push back a bit on the accuracy point. I thought that he missed him throws more downfield, but more throws definitely than we saw him missing his first start. But it's solid I think he's a solid quarterback. How about the commander side of this logan? How about Jayden Daniels with one hundred and twenty six rushing yards in this game? What do you have to say about that? Goat?
It's the greatest roockey quarterback ever. Man, He's got the most rushing yards by a rookie quarterback in NFL history. Did it with this game eight hundred and sixty four. Now on the year, I cannot believe these stats are He's leading out the number five scoring offense. They are number four in points per drive, their number six and yards per drive. Jaden has four fourth quarter comebacks and four game winning drives. He's not only number one in rookie rushing yards, he's number one in rookie completion percentage. And the only real bad moment I saw in this game, and this can happen to young quarterbacks. We saw it happened to a Hall of Famer multi time MVP winner Aaron Rodgers. Earlier this year in the Vikings game, they did bait Jayden with the disguise blitz. I liked it. I really liked that play call from Atlanta. The Kaden Ellis Is lined up on the low block or on the low block like a basketball. He's lined up in the post in the trenches. Yeah, he's about to seal his defender off for the bucket a mismatch. Ellis drops back after he had his hand in the dirt and just baits Jaden because Jaden never sees the guy that's the low point. But he's so good, man. I think Jayden's he's already a star. I think Jayden's only going to get better.
Man.
He's so so special and the rushing display that he put on in this game was was man. I still do I think he is. With the overall offensive numbers that the Jayden has led to this year, I don't know if you can argue there's been a quarterback that has been more conducive to winning offense than jayde Daniels. I think he's number one.
I agree. I would give him the nod as the best rooky quarterback that we've ever seen. And specifically he falls into that offensive engine archetype, right, which is different than a Herbert or a Stroud, who are in these conversations, who are much more pure passers. He's much more in the mold of the RG three Cam Path of well, we are dominant dual threats, and those are the guys who have transformed offenses. Right Cam takes the number thirty two scoring offense, turns them into a top five unit. RG three took a non impressive offense, turned them into a top five unit. Jayden Daniels took an offense that was mid twenties in scoring last year and has made them a top five scoring offense, number four in terms of points per drive, and elite in every in terms of rushing efficiency, passing efficiency. He's been so great situationally, they're the number six third down offense, they're the number one fourth down offense, and they go three of three on fourth down in this game after he made some huge fourth down plays against the Eagles, and they're the number six red zone offense. Like, you don't get that sort of situational excellence from a rookie quarterback. And then on top of that, he's got the volume numbers you mentioned, He's got the Rooshiet, the rookie rushing yards record. Now he's fourth in total yards by a rookie quarterback, he's third in total touchdowns, and he's third in passer rating. I think it's and he's tied for the third most wins with a defense that is not good.
And I think it's important to mention too that this isn't like a you know, like how people are gonna say, like a Saquon situation if he breaks the rushing record, Jayden missed a game. This is on pace with all of the sixteen game seasons and.
We're only sixteen games deep right now.
Well I'm saying it, yeah, exactly because he's played fifteen because we had Mariota come in for that one game. So this is going to be, you know, the same page. You don't have to doctor any of the numbers to get a per game, you know average.
I think he's just incredible, and I think what he has done lifting this to be a legitimately elite offense. And that's not to take away from Cliff Kingsbury, who I think has done a great job. And Tarry McLaurin is awesome. Brian Robinson's been good, right, The offensive situation is solid, but he is the reason that they're elite on the ground and they're elite through the air, and that's just something you very rarely see from a rookie and I do think he's the most transformative offensive engine that we've seen at the position, even more so than some of those other guys who I've mentioned. And I just think Washington, as I said last week, has gotten underrated and it feels like they're another team that was like the new toy early in the year, and then everybody got tired of them and they said, oh, they've fallen off, and they had a little skid. But like, this is not just an offense that was elite early in the year. This is an elite offense. And this is a team that is really in rhythm right now and it's playing really, really good offensive football, and Jaden is the biggest reason for that. So I'm really impressed by them. I do think that their defense is very, very flawed, as it has been all year, but Jaden has answered every question you could have had. This offense has answered the questions. I think has silenced the doubters, and I think they're a team that can score on anybody, and that gives you a chance in the playoffs. They're gonna be one of the weakest defenses in the playoff field, but they're legitimately one of the best offenses and that's a real punch to be able to throw. Yeah.
Final thing I want to mention with this is the reason I think Jayden also has that is not just the team offense. And I agree with the offensive engine point. It's a good distinction to make when you think about Cam Newton right, Cam had all had the team offense, right was amazing as a red zone threat. Cam didn't take care of the football. That's the final component of it is you're getting elite passing number one completion percentage, you're getting elite rushing number one in rushing yards by a rookie, but you're also getting he's elite at taking care of the football. It's like Stroud last year how he took care of the football. He's the total package. I'm blown away. I'm blown away.
Man. Yeah, we have seen some more mistakes from him in recent weeks, but I also think that's as he's kind of leveled up as a football player more. I think so too. I think he's being asked to carry the offense more and I will take an extra mistake a game if it comes with all of the extra special stuff that he's doing. I mean, just purely as a scrambler. He's literally one of the handful of best that we've ever seen. He is incredible as a scrambler. Let's talk about a Saturday game logan, and let's really look big picture because there's only one playoff spot left open in the AFC, and it is that seven seed in the wildcard race, and we saw two teams square off who are right in the mix for that spot. In fact, the Broncos had an opportunity to clinch it knock out the Bengals, but they did not do it. Who do you think with one week left would be more dangerous as that final wildcard team? Denver Cincinnati, Oh.
My gosh, it's not even close to Bengals are way more dangerous, dude. Bon Knicks doesn't strike fear into any of these AFC teams. They're licking their chops, like, I don't think Denver is an easy out. That defense is gonna make life hard. They play hard, they're well coached, and they're good at all three levels. So it's like Denver's not gonna like lay down. But bo Knicks doesn't scare people the way Joe Burrow's going to. They're way more dangerous. The screwed up. Part of this is that Denver is going to play the Kansas City Chiefs next week, and they're probably not gonna play any of their starters. It is gonna be the second string Chiefs against Denver. For Cincinnati to get into the playoffs, they need to beat the Steelers, they need the second string Chiefs to beat the Broncos, and they need the Jets to beat the Dolphins, which is just a lot to ask considering I think the Jets are worse than the Dolphins. The second string Chiefs are worse in Denver. A lot's gonna have to go in their favor. To me. You know that meme of the trailer park, I don't know what a meme is. It's a picture of a like a trailer with a Lambeau parked out to the side. That's Cincinnati, and then Denver is like a Dodge parched parked at a mansion right in the quarterbacks of the vehicles. Right. Bo Nix has got the safe, comfy home with every you know, everything great around him, and then Joe's the guy that's carrying the entire team. I'm gonna take Cincinnati, though, man, I think some I think something weird is gonna happen in Week eighteen.
I just got a weird feeling, dude, getting in one.
I think Cincinnati is gonna beat Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh I think is spiraling right now. The Bengals are firing on all cylinders. The way the Steelers secondary has been playing, I just would not at all be surprised if Burrow Higgins and Chase light them up for like thirty points, just the role they've been on the stakes of this game. So that's the first component. And then I don't know, man, did the Jets play Tyrod Taylor and we see something freaky happen when New York, Like, I don't know, man.
That's a tough one for me to see. Honestly, I don't think you can rule it out. But the Jets just got obliterated this week. They played a lot of close games this year.
I got I just got a really weird feeling that since he's gonna gonna do it, Joe's gonna get this weird MVP buzz, even though he went nine and eight this year. Not his fault, obviously, but I got a feel. I got a weird feeling, man, I think the Bengals are gonna get in.
Wow. I do think that they are the more dangerous of the two teams. I mean, I'm been saying that since the Bengals were like five and eight.
Six, and you know bo Knicks was out of the womb.
Yeah, yeah, of course you know how I feel about boon Knicks. But it's pretty simple, man. They have Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase and T Higgins, and the Broncos offense has bon Nicks. I just think Joe Burrow has an ability to outplay anybody on the planet, and I think he has a receiving tandem that is up there for the best on the planet, and they can just explode it and they can get anybody in a shootout. And as bad as their defense is, if you can hang thirty five on anybody, you've got a real chance to win. I really really struggle to see the Broncos offense succeeding in a playoff environment. I do think that defense is really good, but I do think Cincinnati's clearly scarier. And I'm speaking from the perspective of a Bills fan, and the Bills are locked into the two seed. Who would I rather see? I would absolutely rather see the Broncos than the Bengals, although I do think at the same time some people are overrating the Bengals right now and maybe forgetting just how awful that defense is and how much of a problem it really is. Here are the teams that Cincinnati has beaten this year, Logan, they beat the four win Panthers, they beat the three win Giants, they beat the three win Browns, they beat the four win Raiders, they beat the seven win Cowboys, they beat the three win Titans, they beat the three win Browns again, and they just beat the nine win Broncos. So they'd beat two teams all year whose goal this season was not to get the number one overall.
How many preseason starters have they beaten?
I saw a tweet the other day that said that coming into this week they hadn't beaten anybody. But I also think some of that was a little bit inconsistent, because, like, I can't remember which Titans starter they they faced, but was it Rudolph Yeah, Well they beat Daniel Jones, he's no longer the starter. The first time I think they beat Deshan It's been a lot of shitty quarterbacks and a lot of shitty teams. They beat bon Nicks, it's a really bad li.
They beat Nicks and they beat Daniel Jones.
Yeah, that's pretty insane. And so when you look at how they faced against actual teams that are trying to win football games versus clinched playoff teams, They've allowed thirty six point four points per game this season. Like there's still twenty eighth in points allot per drive. The defense is an absolute abomination. So I think it is exceedingly unlikely that Cincinnati could actually win a playoff game because of that. And I still think they're really fighting an uphill battle to get in because needing both Denver and Miami to lose. I could see Denver losing because I don't know how many second stringers the Chiefs are actually gonna play. Like they're not playing the Homes. We know that they're playing Wentz. I'm sure that they'll rest Chris Jones with his situation, but like, I'm not sure how many dudes they'll rest. And if it's basically the first string Chiefs minus Mahomes and Chris Jones, like I think Carson Wentz is really solid. I really do think they could win that game. I just can't see both Denver and Miami losing. In fact, I'm probably most confident in Miami winning this week of anybody, although it is a big game. So Tua may do god knows what, just start donating the ball of the other team. That's very possible.
I don't know, man, I definitely, I mean, for your sake, I would definitely rather see Bow in the first round.
Because I'm not worried no matter what, I'm gonna be honest. I mean, dude, like I said, I would rather see Bow than Burrow because I think Joe Burrow is amazing. But also look at the list of the teams that the Bengals have actually beaten. Like we both had this take preseason they were going to miss the playoffs, and the automatic pushback from everybody was, well, they have the easiest schedule in the league, which is fair. They had an insanely easy schedule and they're still sitting here at eight and eight. Like they're a deeply, deeply flawed, pretty mediocre football team that has beaten some shitty teams and just beat the first decent team that they've beaten all year in the Broncos. So I'm not that moved by the Bengals overall. I'm moved by Burrow. I'm moved by the offense team.
Man, any team with Joe Burrow scares me.
Josh Clears, Bill's clears. All right, bro, bro, bro, come on now.
Well, I'm not saying that. I'm just saying, dude, I don't want to see Joe Burrow in the playoffs.
Man, I just said I'd rather not see Joe Burrow if bo Nix is on the table, because that's breakfast, lunch, and dinner all for free. That's four turnovers, six sacks, probably fifty two to nothing if I had to guess the score for that game. But I do think the Broncos will probably make it, although I'm not sure this is still up for grabs. We're talking about that last wild card spot logan, Let's talk about a couple teams that got eliminated this week and very quickly do a little season rip, a little in memoriam for those teams. Let's start with the Colt slogan. What do you make of their season and what do you think is next for them?
Ironically, I think their season ended when they committed to starting Joe Flacco again.
Well, yeah, I don't know if they chose to do that. I mean, Ar had the multiple little injury.
Yeah, it was the injuries, I mean the him tapping out, it was the completion. I'm not saying that.
I didn't know you mean that stretch. I thought you meant for this past week.
Yeah. Yeah, No, I'm saying for earlier in the year, because I still I bought in at the time the flaggo gave him a better chance to win. I was wrong. I think Richardson definitely does because you know, it goes beyond the box score. It's like we were talking about with Jaden Daniels now, he weaponizes Brian Robinson Junior. It's something you can't quantify, right. It's how Derek Henry makes Lamar Jackson better, tell Lamar Jackson makes Derrick Henry better, and how it leads to them being a great offense. Anthony Richardson amplifies guys like Jonathan Taylor, and so I was wrong about that. I think maybe if they start Ar they pull one of those games out, they're still alive here. And honestly, I think that if Anthony Richardson was healthy this week, you know, potentially they're still hanging alive. I like the Colts future just because I like Anthony Richardson, and I know a lot of people are bailing on Anthony Richardson, and I wasn't sold at the beginning of this year. I wondered, if you know the easy, simple stuff right that everybody praises Bonnicks for it, that Anthony Richardson can't do, you know, completing on hell, Bo Nicks didn't even get at it. Man, he's not that great. But Richardson and his completion woes and his accuracy issues, I think people just got way too low on the guy. It's like, all right, if you guys want to bail on the youngest quarterback in the league, who is a physical freak, I mean, one of the greatest athletes we've ever seen at the position, a guy who is probably gonna be one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the league one day, and can I mean, he just makes all the big plays look so easy. Bail on him. Fine, I'm going to bank on Anthony Richardson figuring it out and being in a top The league is so saturated with quarterback talent. I can't confidently tell you that Richardson's ever going to be top ten, because I don't know that bar from ten years ago where it was has gone significantly up because of all the talent in the league. What I will say, I am pretty confident Anthony Richardson figuring it out and at least being an above ever starter in the league. And I think it's worth exploring. I mean, you spent the third pick on him, You've kind of got to I think the Colts are earn a good spot. Man. I like Stichen, I like Richardson, I like the old line Jonathan Taylor. I think they got a lot going for him, and I think the Colts, considering the state of their division, I think next season the Colts could very well be in the running to win it next season and be in the playoffs. That division isn't daunting. I could definitely see them with Richardson taking a tangible leap, figuring out some more of the short intermediate stuff. I think the Colts are in a really good spot. So I it's obviously a disappointing year. You always want to make the playoffs, but I think they've got through quarterback for the future. Man, I'm confident enough in saying that in Anthony Richardson. I think he's going to figure it out.
That's interesting. I kind of feel like in a lot of ways, the Colts didn't learn much at all this year. Like I think we saw that the highs with a A extremely high and the lowsertly low, and that's not surprising in year two. The guy that you have right now is not a particularly functional starting quarterback. He is better than Joe Flacco. They went one and four in the games Flaco started, and like maybe they couldn't made the playoffs that they had ars starting for all seventeen Obama, But I also think the potential is obviously the immense, Like we just don't know. The jury is very very much still out with Anthony Richardson, and I think the team outside of this, I mean offensively is solid, right. I wonder if he would benefit from having like a true number one. But I also think the depth of this group is pretty solid. They already invested in Ady Mitchell, Alec Pierce obviously had a breakout season. Downs is pretty solid, Pittman is solid. Like, it's a solid group in totality. Tight ends are solid, and I really think that you probably focus on the defense more than anything. I think, maybe try to find a more dynamic pass rushing talent, try to upgrade at corner outside of Kenny Moore, because I think that their past defense this year was just bad. But like it's kind of all gonna come down to AR. What do you get from AR this year? I feel like was close to expectations and then it was a very mixed bag and he ended up just being a pretty mediocre football team. Next year, I think we'll really tell us where this team has had it, and I think a lot of that is going to hinge On Anthony Richardson. Let's talk about the other team that was eliminated this week, Logan the Seattle Seahawks. What do you make of their season? What's next for them?
I also think the Seahawks are in a really good spot, and the reason is is, I mean, you just look at this team and they are immensely talented. Like talent is not an issue with Seattle, especially at the skill positions. Gino Smith, Zach sharbona K nine right, Jackson Smith and Jig but who had a breakout season this year, Dk Metcalf, Tyler Lockett. It's like this team has two starting running backs they have two number one wide receivers. They've got Geno freaking Smith, who I know a lot of people like to clown on. I think Geno's a stud and the defense improved is the year went along? Like dude, I don't know how many picks the Seahawks have in this upcoming draft. I am spending all of them on trench guys, every last one. We are not wasting a pick outside of it. I love the defensive backs here. I love the skill position talent on offense. Let's just get some big, nasty mofos in the trenches and let's go win the NFC West. That's where I'm at with the Seahawks, Like I think that's all they need. It's obviously easier said than done. But invest heavily in free agency, in trench guys in front of Gino to protect him and keep him dry, and on the defensive side of the ball, find some more guys that can get after the quarterback and stuff to run. Because I like McDonald, I think they figured out their guru and I trust Gino to pioneer this offense. I think the Seahawks are in a really good spot and if they can find some Trench guys. I think they're primed to I'll say it. I think they're probably primed to be the favorite for me in the NFC West next year. The Rams are good, Yeah, the Cardinals are good this year. The Niners are going to be interesting next year. If Seattle attacks their biggest needs this offseason, I would be very confident in them being at the top of the NFC West next year. I like Seattle's future a lot.
Seattle with an average offensive line is a bona fide playoff team. I mean, they still got to nine and seven. I think the defense really rounded in a form and played up to their potential. All the talent they had on paper that they didn't live up to last year. And I still really do believe in Gino. I think he made more mistakes than you would like this year. I also think that he is living in absolute hell. His life back there is a horror video game, and he's just dealing with really difficult circumstances and still shows you so much arm talent, accuracy, the ability to evade and manage this pressure. And the receiving corps is really good. Right. JSN really had a breakout year. It's just back to back years with the bottom three offensive line in football, and they've been able to win a good amount in spite of that. But that's what I would be entire early focused on this offseason. Okay, we do have a question in the chat or a comment in the chat from care who makes a very generous donation to the Nerd Sash Foundation. Thank you very much. I think Bonix put the noodle arm allegations to bed with that sixty seven air yard bomb to Mimslull love the show, guys, thank you for that logan. Thoughts did Bonix beat the allegations?
I don't know. If it's how you pronounce it. I would guess his name is Kahari because I had a kid that went to school with me, So maybe good guess. But yeah, I don't know, man, I'm not really moved.
Yeah, I think people tend to underestimate how many quarterbacks can cork it from a clean pocket to an open receiver. I'm not downplaying it. It was a nice throw. You let it rip.
We've seen ITMS is a playmaker, Yeah, we've let We've seen bo let a couple of those deep balls rip this year.
To me, it's more like velocity on tight window throws. That's where I think you see the lack of arm talent.
I mean to me, it's also just the consistent and see the deep ball. I don't want to just I just don't want to hate them bow. But like for every one of those throws that he hits on, there's also another one where he overthrows the guy by twenty yards. I'm I'm still getting over that one that he put in the stands from fifty yards out. I don't know how he did that, dude. I'm telling I've thought about that throw a lot. Dude, sometimes late at night when I'm about to go to bed, I'm like, I don't know, man, that one really makes me scratch my head. I don't know how you're, bro. He's like twenty five yards off. Do you know how hard it is to be twenty five yards off on a throw?
That's hard to be a guy while he's down. Why don't you logan? You disgusted me, bonnicks hater, But that wasn't done. He dropped down in your body that respects the bone knicks. You disgusted me. You want to see him fail? I think, don't you you get off on it you pervert.
All right, that's how I sound, Thanks Dick, Yeah, yeah, all right.
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Oh my, we've got another generous donation of the Nerd Says Foundation from Kaylee Bonicks. Has absolutely nothing on ginger Jesus Sam Well, that's not even debatable, that's beyond argument. By the way, I'm also seeing in the chat a shout out to dom Stern. Shout out dom Stern. We saw him at our wedding. Gotye went asu with original Nerd Sesh listener. Let's get into our powers logan. We'll go top ten, as we always do. We'll start from the top who's in your one spot right now?
Seventeen weeks running now, I've had the Kansas City Chiefs the top my power rankings, and heading into the playoffs, I will spoil it. They are going to be number one. They beat Pittsburgh in their last game without Chris Jones. They have the number one third down offense. They are a top ten rushing, passing and red zone defense. Mahomes leaves the NFL and fourth quarter comebacks and game winning drives.
Excuse me, So there's no need to get emotional about it. But that's kind of a Chiefs. Yeah, I see it.
Just say they just do something to me. Man. I was in Kansas City. Man, I was disgusted. They're everywhere. They're like roaches. Man.
Well, okay, yeah, in Kansas City there's a lot of Chiefs fans. I'll tell you, actually, what was really fun at the wedding, the Casey Wolf, the mascot filled up out of nowhere and started busting it down on the dance floor, torking cars, shimmy. So, first off, I'll tell you what happened. I approached him with some ones. I made it rain on the Casey Wolf, and then we got into a shimmy where I'm leaning in, I'm coming back, I'm leaning in, I'm coming back. That was pretty sweet, So shout out to that guy.
That was awesome. I don't think I don't think gave any idea that was happening either is most of there. But when I put it all together with Kansas City, I still think they've got the best quarterback in football, the guy that scares me the most. I think this is still an elite defense and they are the best situational team in the sport. That is probably the outside of having Mahomes. That's probably the biggest reason is when the chips are down, I just know that the Chiefs are gonna come through in big spots. They're better than any other football team. I get that their wins haven't been impressive all year long, but like dude, the offense has looked better these last two weeks, and they've looked all year again. They just beat down Pittsburgh's offense without Chris Jones, I think the Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl again this year. So that's rom Melwikansas City.
Super fair.
Dude.
I really really considered them having him my number one spot because I think we've seen improvement from this team, especially in regards to some of the key red flags that I've had about them last two weeks, and that's against good defenses Texans and Steelers. We've got fifty six points total, three hundred and eight two yards per game of offense. Like those still aren't insane numbers, but that's probably the best two week stretch of offense that we've seen from the Chiefs this season. And it's not a coincidence that that coincides with Hollywood Brown making his debut. He's got ninety one yards in those two games. He makes a difference with his speed just being a legitimate NFL receiver, reliable dude. I also think their offensive line has been better as of late. With Tooney at left tackle. I think that he's just a solid left tackle. I think he's much much better as a guard, a lot solid for them. I left tackle is an upgrade from what they have had. It's a significant upgrade, and Mahomes has only taken one sack in the last two weeks, which had been an issue for him as of late. Meanwhile, their pass rush has stepped it up in the second half against the Texans, and then in that game against the Steelers that had been a little bit unimpressive in the recent stretch of the season before these last couple weeks, and I think it was just a really good two weeks for their defense overall. So they're filling in a lots and I really really did consider them at number one, because I do think it's so crazy to have Patrick Mahomes your quarterback, Andy Reid as your head coach, even if he hasn't had his best year, trust him ahell of a lot more than the alternative with my number one team right now, And they have the best defensive coordinator in football, Spags, and so I do think their defense in a big game I do believe in more than the raw numbers would indicate, and the raw numbers have improved as of late. I still have the Bills as my number one team, though I think I'm willing to die on this hill this year.
You're crazy, dude, You're crazy.
Why they're the best offense in football with the quarterback who to me is the guy who I want most in football right now? Why is that crazy? They also just played a dominant, dominant football game. It's thirty three nothing when Josh left the game and when Aaron Rodgers left the game crying, weeping with a full quarter of football remaining. Here's the thing with the Bills. Do I think their defense is as good as the Kansas City Chiefs. Absolutely not. I think the Bills defense is mediocre. I also think chack a lot of the Chiefs. Okay, yeah you can. I've been saying that, Bro, I've been saying that since the Rams game, Like, I mean, that was alarming, and then the Lions game was slightly less alarming, but still alarming. And like there's been several bad performances. The Ravens game was a horrible defensive performance. That's the thing. They're inconsistent. I think there are certain matchups in which they are very susceptible to getting bulls because it's a small defense, it's a small defensive line. It's a defense that lives in nickel, that lives in these soft zones. And that's why to me, in terms of matchups, and I'm not talking about calibers football teams right now, Baltimore is by far the scariest matchup for Buffalo in the AFC because of their ability to run the football at such a high level, and the Bills run defense is the question. I actually think defensively they match up better with Kansas City, as we saw in their first meeting, because they're a better pass defense because the secondary personnel, wh they're healthy, specifically, the corners are really quite good. And this was a really good game from the defense we just saw against the Jets. The pass rush was really excellent. It's a week to week thing with them. You just don't know that's going to define the Bills' ability to win it all. But they're the offense that I believe in most. They're the quarterback who I trust the most. And I don't know how you dismissed the Bills logan like who's beaten the Chiefs? Only team all year is the Bills. Who's beaten the lines? One of two teams all year is the Bills. Like they've won ten of their last eleven. They've stepped it up against the best competition in football in this extended stretch of the year now, during which they've had historic offensive production. They're finally fully healthy, and I think they can still go up another level offensively as they utilize Amari More, which to me is like the real punch that the Bills can still throw that we haven't seen fully unleashed yet. I think they're a dominant, dominant offense with an all time great quarterback in a defense that, yes, I have questions about. But I also have questions about the Chiefs offense, especially when it comes to getting into a shootout with the Bills. Can they keep up. I'm not fully convinced of that yet. They didn't the first time around. So I still have the Bills one, Chiefs two.
I've got the Bills at number five.
Wah.
I mean, I have six teams that I think can where I'm at right now in the season, I have six teams that I think can legitimately win the Super Bowl, and the Bills to me have the defense that I worry about second most out of that group. So that's why they're number five. I completely agree about the quarterback point. It's not a Josh Allen thing. It's not an offense thing. Like I mentioned earlier, the Bills are one of ten teams in NFL history with over point five points per play. I mentioned that with the Lions earlier. The Bills are in that group, and statistically they're the fourth. They're the fourth best ever since that stat started being tracked. This is a historically great offense, this is a historically great quarterback.
By the way, that number is dragged down a little bit by the fact that Mitch Trubisky has had to come in in so many full quarters perceived sucks.
Josh Allen can go toe to toe with anybody. I don't disagree with any of the points that you're making there. But I worry about the Bills defense in a different way. And I get that they're healthier now than they have been earlier in the year. They're average versus the pass, They're twenty fifth versus the rush, They're the number twenty nine third down defense, they're the number seventeen red zone defense. I understand that you have a modicum level of faith with this team that because now they're healthier with Matt Malano like that, and I don't discount that. Do I think that they're they can be better than average? Yeah, because they are healthier than they've been. But they've played two really good offenses all year and they got gashed by both of them. The Ravens they allowed thirty five.
Don't understand what you do with the Chiefs how the Chiefs are your super Bowl favorite, but you don't call them a really good offense.
That the best quarterback in the NFL, and they have an elite defense, and they are the best situational team in football.
They offensively well, I don't understand this. The Chiefs are on a very good offense.
They are a very good offense.
Yeah, okay, So then the Bills have played three very good offenses, and they played a really good defensive game against the Chiefs, and I understand the numbers look really bad against the Lives. They didn't have any of their healthy secondary and when it mattered in the Chiefs, they would have jumped out to a three score league.
And the Chiefs weren't at full health offensively like the Rams.
Carson, I don't have Hollywood. They haven't had Hollywood almost all year. Okay, Carson.
I don't say this to bring you down. I just I think that you have I think you have consistently overlooked the airing issue with this team as a Super Bowl contender, and it is the defense I think you downplay. How bad or how I think the defense is what's gonna get the Bills this year. Man, It's not gonna be Josh. It's not gonna be the offense.
I think it is. It's always the defense.
I think the thing that inhibits Buffalo from climbing the mountain again is going to be the same thing that always does and it's Sean McDermott, and it's this defense. And I don't want to see it happen to you, Carson, because I've seen it a lot. I want the Bills to get over this hump. I want Josh to get this Super Bowl so we can finally if it happens. Man, let's throw a party live on air. Man, let's just have a nerd session.
You have the Bills at five. Listen. I don't disagree that the defense is the red flag. My thing is everybody has flaws. You can look at all of these top six teams and they all have flaws. There is nothing I believe in more than the Bills offense and Josh's from plant my flag.
I think you're thinking with your heart, and I don't blame you. I think you're thinking with your heart.
I don't understand you can say that when they've won ten of their last eleven and are on a historic offensive stretch and the defense is the Chiefs. In the line, it's been bad, not bad. The mediocre be bad. It's mediocre. Everybody's got somewhere of their media mediocre. The last quarterback is media.
The last all I'm saying, the historical president tells us that the last team to win that Super Bowl is the Saints. They have the number twenty ranked defense. It's not impossible, but it's very improbable. Believe that's why they're five.
So I do want to be clear, the margin for me between one and six is not big. I think that there is a case for a lot of these teams is number one, and there is a case for a lot of these teams in the five or six range. I just think I have more faith in the offense overcoming those issues because I think that's what we've seen this year. I think that's what we've seen against the best teams in football. But I agree it's not a perfect formula. And of course I'm scared than in a big game the Bills do not get a stop. I'm also scared than in a big game the Chiefs offense just isn't dynamic enough to keep up with an offense as dominant as the Bills or maybe the Ravens. Like everybody's got a concern, I don't think that you can disregard that there's a legitimate case for the Bills as number one. And I still think this is the best Bills team that we've seen, because I think it's the best Bills offense we've seen and the best Josh Allen we've seen. And you say he can go toe to toe with anybody, I expect him to outplay anybody. When you have a Josh Allen who doesn't make mistakes, who doesn't take sacks, and is as efficient as he's been, as great in and out of structure, I just want that dude over anybody else, and I want that offense. But I totally see the case for the Chiefs. I'm totally fine with it. All right, who's in your three spot or who's in your two spots?
Sorry, I've got Philly. They decimated Dallas without Kenny Pickett. I think they're arguably the most talented team in football when you look at them top to bottom. Just I mean, Hill, do you just name brand? Right? Like the Eagles are loaded. They really seem like they figured it out fully defensively this year. It's just Siriani.
It hurts.
It's really the only thing that I could hear, Like the case you made earlier, I think for Minnesota's gold. And that's what the hardest one for me to decide between. I've already planted my flag. I'm going to take the Chiefs out of the AFC, I do. I will admit right here. The one thing that does scare about me if Kansas City comes out flat like a you know, a seven day old soda, is if they come out flat after that break, because they're gonna have over two weeks off and not that like it's a big concern, but we've seen dominant teams with dominant regular seasons take that week eighteen week seventeen break and then come out flat. Happened a lot with Peyton's Colts and the Obviously, I think the biggest one is the Packers that came out flat that year against New York and the Rogers fifteen and one team. That's the one thing that scares me. But yeah, I think Minnesota is Minnesota makes a really good case for number two, and I thought long and hard about them, but I'm gonna take the team that is just a little bit more talented, and I still think it's Philadelphia, but I still don't like Siriani, I still don't trust Jalen Hurts, and I would clearly give Minnesota the edge in both of those categories.
And that's why I have Minnesota three in Philly four. I think it's really really close between these two teams, and nothing has changed for me with Philly. Like it's not like I'm ringing the alarm bells because Kenny Pickett lost a game to Jane Daniels. Obviously, they's drubbed the Cowboys with Kenny Pickett Like. They are an immensely talented football team. They are the most talented football team top to bottom, and the defense is as good as anybody's and the offense is as talented as anybody's. But it comes down to a couple of those key factors. Quarterback coaching and the fact that I think these defenses are a draw inclines me to trust Minnesota a little more because this darnold. I mean, they're scoring twenty nine points per game over the last seven weeks. When they can do that, and they have a quarterback who I do believe can put together those big drives with his arm more consistently than hurts significantly. So that's why I'm going to Minnesota three Philly four.
I like it. I've got Baltimore in my four spot, and the big difference because I've had Buffalo over Baltimore for a long time with their defensive woes. I have been moved by the impact that we've seen from moving Kyle Hamilton up high as like the lead safety, and I've stayed consistent. I think the Ravens offense squares me more than any other offense in football. Philly's great Buffalo is great With Josh Allen, I think it's the best quarterback and running back duo in NFL history. And it's so I continue to harp on. We kind of had that. We had a little bit of a conversation like that when we were in Kansas City with some of the guys, because you know, all we were doing was talking ball. But I don't want to understand that about Baltimore. It's Derrek Enry and is Lamar Jackson man, Like I've never there's never been a duo that has been better in the backfield than those two guys, and so that gives them a special edge. I trust the defense way more. They've looked completely different with Hamilton, and I can't undersell how historically great the offense is. I gave that stat earlier about points per play. When you look at yards per play, the best offense is it just moving the football. The Ravens is number one in yards per play since that stat started being tracked in three There's four other offenses that have surpassed six yards per play, the four Colts, the twenty eleven Saints, the twenty thirteen Bronco in the twenty eighteen Chiefs. The Ravens are number one with six point nine yards per play. And yeah, I think at this point, Carson, I think you may disagree. I think I trust the Ravens defense more. And I like the fact that I definitely trust Josh Allen more in a playoff setting the Lamar Jackson, so that evens things up a little bit more. But I like Baltimore's defense more than Buffalo's, and I like the two headed monster that Baltimore has with Lamar and Derrick Henry that hopefully they fully weaponize both of them in the playoffs. So I understand maybe if you're still not fully sold on this defense, or you want to see Lamar prove it in the playoffs. And that was a tough call for me, but I think I'm I think I'm in on Baltimore more than I am on Buffalo right now.
It's close. I have Baltimore at number five. And the reason that I do think you can make the case for them above Buffalo now is because the defense is really trending up and they've been suffocating against the run, where they've been great all year, but they've been especially dominant as of late. But crucially, they've stopped giving up the explosives through the air. They've been amazing situationally. Since Week eleven. They're allowing sixteen points per game. They're allowing a twenty nine percent conversion rate on third down, Like they really really have improved clearly on that end. I will say they haven't necessarily been tested by the best offenses, but they have faced some pretty solid offenses and they have held up. And I mean they just had a dominant performance against the Texans, who are very flawed, but nevertheless they completely shut them down and shut down the Steelers for the most part. So I see the case, and they are a really, really bad matchup for the Bills because nobody is going to test that run defense more so I definitely think that they could win the AFC, and the gap is just not that big between these teams. But I think I trust the Bills offense by a greater margin than I trust the Ravens defense compared to the Bills defense, because I'm so confident in the Bill's ability to win in multiple ways. And I just think we've seen it enough with the Ravens where I'm not denying they are an amazing offense and Lamar is an amazing, all time great quarterback, but we have seen when they stray from their ideal game script against really really good football teams, that can be a problem. So I just have more faith when we're talking about the big three in Pat and Josh to win in multiple ways, which to me is very very important in the playoffs. It's possible that Lamar and the Ravens just overwhelm anybody and they're never tested in that way, like they are that good. But is that likely. The history of the sport would tell us no. And so that is a reason that I have them down at five that and maybe I'm not as high on the defense as you are. But I mean this makes them basically the team that we expected when their defense does look like this, because it was shocking how much they underachieved on that side of the ball throughout the first ten weeks, and now they are putting it together because the talent, although they lost talent, is still too good for them to have struggled as much as they did early in the year. So you have the Bills at five. We both have the Lions at six. I feel like we discussed this. I'm just really worried about the defense. They got gashed by an offense that is pretty average today and I just don't think that we can expect that to change with all the key dus that they're missing. So who's in your seventh spot?
Yeah, so this is where my Super Bowl bubble ends with the Lions at six. I have the Packers at seven, and they're really good. This is the realm of very good football teams where I think they're stars. You know, I'm not gonna count these guys out from winning a playoff game for maybe going on a fluke run or something like that. You would need, I think a superhuman performance from your guy. And for the number seven team, the Packers, which I have. I think it would take Jordan Love just playing at that elite level, which again I'm not gonna I'm not ready to count out, but I don't think the defense is this top notch to some of these other teams that we're talking about, right the Kansas City, the Philadelphia is the Minnesota's. And then offensively, I like Detroit's formula way more I like Baltimore's, I like Buffaloes or just the Packers are very very good. If Jordan Love, if we get superstar Jordan Love, I can see them doing some damage. But I think they need that. That's a prerequisite to me for the Packers going on a run, and it's just a little more unlikely. So these are the very good contenders, but essentially the Phonies, in my opinion, the teams who don't really have a shot at actually raising the Lombardi this season.
I have the Packers at number seven. I would kind of put them in a tier of their own, because I do think the offense is really really good and it is very balanced, and they're very well coached offensively, but the defense not the most impressive to me. We already discussed this, so I have them at number seven as well. By the way, I see the very generous donation, Marcus. I'm going to get to that question after we finish up our top ten Power rankings. Here number eight, Logan, who do you got?
I have the Los Angeles Chargers, and I think I omitted them from my list last Power rankings. If I'm not mistaken, he's foolish.
I don't know, man, I do the exact same way. I had them down and then I moved off of it last second, and I regretted it shortly after, and I regret it today and it's one of the great regrets of my life. And I'm sorry Justin Herbert, because you're a dream boat and a stud and I'll let you down.
Well said, Yeah, solid defense, great coach, star quarterback. They just got limited weaponry like I like a lot of the boxes that La checks, and yeah, you can go far away with Justin Herbert. Man, he just needs to have a great game. That's why they're here for me? Are they also at eight for you?
They're at number eight for me too. It's the same formula that has had them in that like eight to nine range for me. All year. It's really good defense, and it's an elite, elite quarterback, and so as limited as they are in terms of skill position, talent like that gives them a pretty high floor in my opinion, and it gives them a chance. They don't have the highest ceiling because of the dudes who Herbert is throwing the ball to and the other dudes on this offense, but they're very, very solid. I think they're more dependable than the teams who I have in my nine and ten spot. Who's in your ninth spot, Logan?
I have the Rams in my nine spot, and I think this is a dangerous playoff team. Man. I wouldn't want to run into them. It's kind of like the same theory with the Bengals, although I think the Rams defense is way better. It's like, dude, do you want to see Matt Stafford and him chompers wan wanh wanh You know he comes through like pac Man. He's just going to eat your entire team in one go. Yeah, I wouldn't want to run into the Rams. Dude, Like Matt Stafford is that kind of guy. He was I believe number six in my QB hierarchy.
Same here, Yeah, yeah.
You know, it's like, though those teams that sneak in, It's like you just don't want to see those teams with that quarterback, with Cooper, with Pooka, with Kyon Williams. I mean, Karen Williams is a monster, and that defense has been playing better football. I wouldn't want to run into the Rams. I feel very similar to Cincinnati about how I do with with La. But LA's got a select better defense that I trust more. But again, a team I wouldn't want to see in the playoffs. Man, They've got the firepower to go toe to toe with any other offense.
I have the Rams at number nine, and I feel very similarly. I mean Stafford and Puka in Cup like that trio just really strikes fear into me. I mean you saw what they did the Bills. They hung forty four on them. Stafford is one of those dudes, man, I do still think he belongs above love and those quarterback conversations. There's just like a level of faith I have in his ability to process the game consistently that is so special on top of being such a ridiculous arm talent. And they've won five straight now, but like they still feel so inconsistent because week to week, like, we've gotten such different versions of them, even in these wins where their offense was incredible. But now past three weeks their defense has been better, but their offense has been worse and they've been struggling to consistently move the ball and score. So that's why I can't have them higher than this. And overall on the year, their defense has been pretty bad. They're thirty first in yards allowed for driving, twenty fifth in points allowed for drive. So when you pair that with an inconsistent offense, like they still have a negative point differential on the year. There's a lot of flaws with this Rams team, But when they're humming, man, they're scary, and for the most part, I think they're humming right now. So I have them in my ninth spot as well. Who's in your ten spot?
Logan? In my tenth spot, I've got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, And it's a lot to do with my faith in Baker in the offense, and to give you guys kind of a window into where I was with some of the other teams that were on the CUSP. The Commanders were in my eleven spot, and I would hear an argument for them to be in this ten spot. That was probably my biggest the one that I played with the most this week, just because I believe in Jayden and Daniels in this offense so much, significantly more than anybody else. In consideration the Texans, I prefer to the Steelers right now just because of C. J. Stroud versus Russell Wilson. We've seen a lot of the bad Russ over the past three weeks, and so when I look at the Bucks, the defense can be solid in a way that I just don't ever see Washington being solid. I think the cornerback position is still a glaring issue for Washington where they're gonna get exposed in the playoffs potentially. And I believe in Baker in the offense, and so I look at Tampa. Bay's just a solid team. The defense can be good, Baker in the offense can be great. It's not the best formula, but it's the one that I prefer most out of these remaining teams like Washington, Houston, Pittsburgh. I just trust I think Baker in this offense a little more than I do with those other teams, and they're better on both sides of the ball than Washington, So ten spot was the toughest one for me, but I'm gonna go with Tampa Bay.
I'm going Washington. Although I do think the defense is worse, I think the offense is better and I really really trust them to be elite week after week, and the Bucks have been really good offensively, But there is sort of an ease and a balance with Washington that really impresses me. Although Tampa Bay's a lot more balanced this year too. I just think Tampa Bay's defense, although it's improved from where it was at early in the year, it's still not all that good. Like these are two teams that have pretty similar big picture pros and cons for their cases, and I believe in Washington's offense more like I believe in their ability to hang thirty on anybody just a little bit more than I do with Tampa Bay. So there you have it, folks. Let's get to this question now from Marcus. Thank you for your generous donation of the Nerd Sez Foundation. The Raiders are now missing out on a top five pick. He's that real, I guess they are. The race to the bottom this year is crazy. How many teams we have in that traffic jam with three wins, but the Raiders have four. Now would you go and try paying Donald or draft a quarterback in the second to develop? Love the podcast? Thank you man. I also have seeing some discourse about if the Vikings are going to pay Donald. What's your take on that whole situation? Would he make sense for the Raiders and does he make sense for the Vikings to pay?
So I wouldn't want to pay Donald fifty million dollars because not to on Sam Donald's parade here a lot. I think of what Donald is doing this year, and he's a better quarterback than this is very similar to what Brock Purdy was doing last year, where you have a surplus of weapons, a good offensive system, a great coach. I don't think Donald is just, you know, just a sole beneficiary of the offense the way that Purty is, because I think Purtty is significantly elevated by the offense. But I do think Donald is propped up a little bit. And so while I'm saying this, I don't say this to just rain on Donald and act like I wouldn't pay him any money. Donald is still one of those guys like brock Purty that I would not want to pay fifty million dollars if you can get him on that Baker Mayfield deal. Thirty mel do it in a heartbeat. The unfortunate part is the last eight weeks that Sam Donald's been playing, it suggests that he should be paid like that. I would just practice restraint. And if the Raiders were so close to where they felt that Donald or a guy like that would put them over the top, and he was the final missing piece, the final component, I'd say, sure, you know, do it. But the Raiders just aren't there. And when I look at the other quarterbacks that are potential free agents this year, I know Kirk Cousins isn't what he once was. Kirk is going to be available, Justin Fields is going to be available, Carson Wentz is going to be available. What I'm getting at here is these are guys that you can pay ten million dollars maybe, and they're gonna be decent Ridge quarterbacks for you. Cause when you're doing an all in move like that, I think you have to be one piece away. The Raiders just aren't. And so when I look at what they're going to do with the pick, if Cam Ward is available, which he's not going to be, I would take him. I don't like Shador. I don't like this quarterback class a lot, if I'm being honest. And when I look at the other position groups, there's a lot of guys I like. I like Mason Graham, I like them Duel Carter, I like James Pearce Junior, I like Michael Williams, I like Tedle Royal McMillan. What I'm getting at is, let those other chump teams that are looking for quarterbacks make the mistake. Let them overpay a darnold make that mistake. Let them draft Shador Sanders really early. Let them make those mistakes. You go out and you get a stud at a position that you need. Don't focus on quarterback right now. I think you have bigger needs and I don't like this quarterback class. If you're going to take a guy, yeah, do it in the second or third round and maybe take a flyer on a guy that you like late. But I wouldn't if you're not getting cam Ward early, I wouldn't take a quarterback. And there's a lot of Like I said, Will Johnson too, right, even if you wanted to take a corner. There's so many other positions that have guys that I think are going to be great that I wouldn't worry so much about the quarterback. And again too free agency. I think there are cheaper options that you can explore. There's just I wouldn't waste a lot of capital or a high draft pick on a quarterback if it's not cam Ward. That's kind of the only guy that I'm really in on, you know, using a lot to go and get a guy like that.
I agree, it's really frustrating as a football fan to go into a season knowing that you have nobody you can be invested in at quarterback, because it's just like your season is sunk, right, But I just think the Raiders have so many other areas in which they need to improve. And I'm with you, I'm personally not spending a very high draft pick on anybody other than cam in this class. You definitely should not trade up, honestly, for either one of the top two quarterbacks, neither of whom are going to be there. If you're outside the top five, I do think somebody will overdraft Shoulder, just because the track record on trading up for quarterbacks is so horrifically bad. You give up such disproportionate value to get dudes who are not sure things Trubisky, Trey Lance, Ryan Leaf, even like a Carson Wentz, like the track record is. Do not do that. It is a disastrous move, especially when there is uncertainty with the guys you're drafting, which there always is, but there really is with these dudes. And I also don't think that they should pay Donald, as you say. I just think they're too far away as a football team. He's probably gonna get a lot on the open market. What I think should happen with Donald next year is actually exactly what Kaylee says in her second generous donation of the Nerd sezh Foundation. I think the Viking should franchise Tag the Boy. That would be forty one million next year. I'm good with that. I'm good with that for one year. I think that in terms of dollar value, that's pretty solid for the level Donald is playing at. You have the window right now, you're making the most of it, and then you see what you got with JJ or Yeah, you're not paying Donald long term. In my opinion, I just think he's played his way out of the reasonable market for Minnesota when they also just used a high draft pick on a quarterback. So I think that that's the best path for them. I would tag, and then I would prepare for the jj Era before we get out of here. Logan, it is Lebron's birthday, as was pointed out in the chat, so I just very quickly prepared something while you were yapping. I was not listening to what you were saying. It's a very very quick, rudimentary poem for Lebron, who turns forty today, and I hope that you're all enjoying some Lebron to see Tonight we will let the Lebron talk. Lebron, King of Kings, I've known euphor you with each of your four rings. Your drawings of Bart Simpson make my heart sing. Do it clap? Happy fortieth Lebron.
I gotta go, man, I'm about to start crying.
That's one of my classics.
What do you think about Gabe? Did he was that intentional? Did Gabe make sure that his wedding anniversary was Lebron's birthday? Thoughts?
I think everything is intentional in this world. Logan, All right, guys, Happy birthday, Lebron. Keep drawing Bart Simpson and brings us all so much joy. Appreciate you guys. Appreciate all of you giving us a day of grace for this week's NFL takeaways. Of course we got two more shows this week as per usual. That was not Chad GBT assisted. It definitely would have been better, probably if I had consulted chat GPT, but this is what you get, maybe authentic salt of the Earth poetry straight from the mind of this fella right here. Appreciate all you guys. If you want more of our stuff, you can find all of our full shows on our YouTube channel and across all audio platforms. You can also find on our YouTube channel all of our video essays video breakdowns that we do on the NBA and the NFL. You can also check out all of our short form content across social You can see all of our trivia stuff there. You can see some clips from the show, graphics from the show that is TikTok and Instagram at nerd Sash, Twitter at nerd Underscore Sash, and you can join our discord if you want to be part of our community chat with the Gang. The link to that is at the link tree in our social media bio. You can also check out our merch which is in our link tree and at breakingtea dot com. So with that, as always, I've been Carson Braber.
I've been loging Camden and this was nerd sex