Pictet Chief Strategist Luca Paolini says that while there’s a lot to be negative about these days, things aren’t as bad as they seem—even in the UK. He joins Merryn Somerset Webb on this week’s Merryn Talks Money to explain why things are looking up there and elsewhere. There’s also a chance there could be more happy surprises in 2023. According to Paolini, a ceasefire in Russia’s war on Ukraine would be a massive positive economically—one that could see commodity prices and interest rates fall, as well as a European boom. And when it comes to other investments, Paolini says avoid crypto but move some money into bonds. As for stocks, he advises think emerging markets—and don’t forget gold.

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Andy Haldane on Britain’s Fiscal Squeeze and Growth Problem
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Markets in a Permanent Mini-Crisis: Why Investors Are Waiting, Not Predicting
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