In light of recent political developments, the former U.S. President Donald Trump appears to be having the upper hand ahead of his rival, current President Joe Biden. As per the latest New York Times and Siena College survey, if the 2024 presidential race were to take place at present with only Trump and Biden as contenders, nearly half of American citizens (48%) would back Trump. Meanwhile, approximately 42% of the surveyed 1,226 registered voters stated their preference for Biden. However, there's an element of indecisiveness as 10% were uncertain or declined to vote.

Predictions based on initial polls point towards another direct clash between the two political heavyweights for the presidential role. Trump has been making impressive strides in key battleground states such as Georgia and Pennsylvania, which sided with the Democrats in the 2020 election. On the other hand, Biden still commands significant influence amongst the younger electorate, which has traditionally been instrumental in securing Democratic victories.

Renowned research website FiveThirtyEight, has established that the current sentiment amongst voters isn't majorly in favor of either candidate serving a second term. According to them, the recent poll from New York Times/Siena College revealed that around 60% viewed Biden somewhat unfavorably or very unfavorably. A little over half of the respondents shared similar views about Trump.

Despite criticism from within their Politican parties, it seems Trump garners substantial support amongst Republican voters. Even though he was declared guilty on multiple charges of business document tampering a few weeks back, a significant 68% of respondents claimed that it had no effect on their decision to vote for him.