The California Republican primary for the 2022 presidency is set to be a fierce race, with 44% of Republicans likely to vote supporting Donald Trump. This is according to a recent poll by the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies. While this result places Governor Ron DeSantis in second place, and recent backing for him is dwindling, he is still considered a real contender by most Republicans. The poll was conducted online in both English and Spanish and has a sampling error of around +/-2%.

Trump's support is particularly strong in areas such as Orange and Los Angeles counties, with support here even reaching 51%. This is despite recent investigations into the former president's actions, including a New York trial that found the former president guilty of sexual abuse. Interestingly, Republicans in California do not see this verdict as particularly serious, with fewer than one in four believing he committed a crime.

Alongside his strong support, it is also interesting to see which demographics are most drawn to Trump. The former President is especially popular with strongly conservative Republicans, men, those aged 50-64, and non-college graduates. While DeSantis has some backing among Republican moderates and college graduates, he is struggling to maintain his overall favorability ratings. Between February and May, his score dropped from 79% to 75%, while Trump's score increased from 69% to 74%.

The California Republican primary for the 2022 presidency is set to be a fierce race, with 44% of Republicans likely to vote supporting Donald Trump. This is according to a recent poll by the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies. While this result places Governor Ron DeSantis in second place, and recent backing for him is dwindling, he is still considered a real contender by most Republicans. The poll was conducted online in both English and Spanish and has a sampling error of around +/-2%.
Trump's support is particularly strong in areas such as Orange and Los Angeles counties, with support here even reaching 51%. This is despite recent investigations into the former president's actions, including a New York trial that found the former president guilty of sexual abuse. Interestingly, Republicans in California do not see this verdict as particularly serious, with fewer than one in four believing he committed a crime.
Alongside his strong support, it is also interesting to see which demographics are most drawn to Trump. The former President is especially popular with strongly conservative Republicans, men, those aged 50-64, and non-college graduates. While DeSantis has some backing among Republican moderates and college graduates, he is struggling to maintain his overall favorability ratings. Between February and May, his score dropped from 79% to 75%, while Trump's score increased from 69% to 74%.

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