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From War Risk to Rate Risk

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Markets have welcomed the signing of the US-Iran peace agreement, with investors rotating back into risk assets as concerns over energy supplies and geopolitical disruption ease. The focus is now shifting back to economic fundamentals, including the outlook for interest rates, Federal Reserve policy, and the health of the US labour market. As investors reassess whether the post-conflict rally can be sustained, is this the start of a broader move into cyclical sectors, or are there still risks that could challenge market optimism?

Image Credit: Shutterstock.

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