A new AARP poll of Michigan likely voters has the Senate race in a dead heat — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 48% and Republican Mike Rogers at 47%. Larry O'Connor sits down with AARP's John Hishta and pollster Bob Ward of Fabrizio Ward to break down the generational split driving it: Rogers up 9 points with voters 50-plus and 13 with seniors, El-Sayed up 14 with voters under 50. With voters over 50 projected to make up at least 59% of Michigan's midterm turnout — and a 15-point motivation gap in their favor — this race may come down to who actually shows up.

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