Selecting active managers has always been one of investing’s greatest challenges, in part because strong performance doesn’t always reflect repeatable skill. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Michael Ervolini, author of “Skill Versus Luck,” about why investors should rethink how they evaluate active managers. They discuss the limitations of traditional performance metrics, how decision-based analytics can help separate skill from luck, and why analyzing buying, selling and position-sizing decisions may offer deeper insight into manager ability. They also explore the role of investment process, behavioral biases, AI and whether better skill measurement can improve manager selection and alter the balance between active and passive investing. Recorded July 16.

 

Selecting active managers has always been one of investing&rsquo;s greatest challenges, in part because strong performance doesn&rsquo;t always reflect repeatable skill. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Michael Ervolini, author of &ldquo;Skill Versus Luck,&rdquo; about why investors should rethink how they evaluate active managers. They discuss the limitations of traditional performance metrics, how decision-based analytics can help separate skill from luck, and why analyzing buying, selling and position-sizing decisions may offer deeper insight into manager ability. They also explore the role of investment process, behavioral biases, AI and whether better skill measurement can improve manager selection and alter the balance between active and passive investing. Recorded July 16.
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Reports of active management's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Active continues to grow and evolve in ETFs while mutual funds prosper and define benefit plans. Bloomberg Intelligence strategy team uncover active opportunities and gleam insights from active managers and those who cover the industry.

Reports of active management's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Active continues to grow and evolve in ETFs while mutual funds prosper and define benefit plans. Bloomberg Intelligence strategy team uncover active opportunities and gleam insights from active managers and those who cover the industry.

Inside Active by Bloomberg Intelligence

Michael Ervolini on Separating Skill From Luck

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/ea852d35-f669-41f7-a684-b49d01145979/transcript

As investors increasingly focus on managing risk, generating income and achieving specific portfolio outcomes, the definition of successful active management is expanding beyond simply outperforming a benchmark. In this episode of the Inside Active podcast, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Bryon Lake, global co-head of third-party wealth and chief transformation officer at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and Graham Day, partner and chief investment officer at Innovator from Goldman Sachs Asset Management, about how that shift is reshaping active strategies. They explore the growth of active and defined-outcome ETFs, why the traditional active-versus-passive debate may be giving way to a more solutions-oriented approach, and how derivatives can help investors customize risk, income and downside protection. They also discuss the importance of advisor education as product innovation accelerates, the role of technology and data in active management, and why fixed income could be the next major area of ETF innovation. Recorded Aug. 4.

 

As investors increasingly focus on managing risk, generating income and achieving specific portfolio outcomes, the definition of successful active management is expanding beyond simply outperforming a benchmark. In this episode of the Inside Active podcast, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Bryon Lake, global co-head of third-party wealth and chief transformation officer at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and Graham Day, partner and chief investment officer at Innovator from Goldman Sachs Asset Management, about how that shift is reshaping active strategies. They explore the growth of active and defined-outcome ETFs, why the traditional active-versus-passive debate may be giving way to a more solutions-oriented approach, and how derivatives can help investors customize risk, income and downside protection. They also discuss the importance of advisor education as product innovation accelerates, the role of technology and data in active management, and why fixed income could be the next major area of ETF innovation. Recorded Aug. 4.
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GSAM’s Lake, Innovator’s Day on Active Outcomes

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/788f06eb-446a-4c61-a8b8-b4aa01135bc1/transcript

Value investing often means looking past near-term problems to determine whether a company is temporarily impaired or permanently damaged. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Amit Wadhwaney, co-founding partner of Moerus Capital Management and portfolio manager of the Moerus Worldwide Value Fund (MOWIX), about an asset-based approach to global deep-value investing. They discuss why Wadhwaney focuses on conservatively estimated asset values, balance-sheet strength and survivability rather than projected earnings, and how he distinguishes temporary adversity from permanent impairment. They explore how market dislocations across companies, industries and countries create opportunities, why being macro-aware differs from making macroeconomic forecasts, and how overlooked assets can drive returns. The conversation also examines why risk should be understood as permanent loss of business value rather than short-term market volatility. Recorded Aug. 4.

Value investing often means looking past near-term problems to determine whether a company is temporarily impaired or permanently damaged. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Amit Wadhwaney, co-founding partner of Moerus Capital Management and portfolio manager of the Moerus Worldwide Value Fund (MOWIX), about an asset-based approach to global deep-value investing. They discuss why Wadhwaney focuses on conservatively estimated asset values, balance-sheet strength and survivability rather than projected earnings, and how he distinguishes temporary adversity from permanent impairment. They explore how market dislocations across companies, industries and countries create opportunities, why being macro-aware differs from making macroeconomic forecasts, and how overlooked assets can drive returns. The conversation also examines why risk should be understood as permanent loss of business value rather than short-term market volatility. Recorded Aug. 4.

Moerus’ Wadhwaney on Asset-Based Value Investing

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/8d592cdc-3b35-4181-9bab-b4a30156e942/transcript

Investing often comes down to making forecasts about an uncertain future, but some businesses are inherently more predictable than others. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Joseph Shaposhnik, portfolio manager of the Rainwater Equity ETF (RW), about his philosophy of investing exclusively in businesses with durable, recurring-revenue models. They discuss why predictability can be a competitive advantage, how free cash flow and disciplined capital allocation drive long-term value creation, and what separates exceptional management teams from the rest. They also explore how Shaposhnik identifies recurring-revenue businesses across industries, why avoiding negative surprises is as important as finding winners, and where he sees opportunities as investors continue to concentrate capital in AI-related companies. Recorded July 16.

 

Investing often comes down to making forecasts about an uncertain future, but some businesses are inherently more predictable than others. In this episode of Inside Active, host David Cohne, mutual fund and active management analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, speaks with Joseph Shaposhnik, portfolio manager of the Rainwater Equity ETF (RW), about his philosophy of investing exclusively in businesses with durable, recurring-revenue models. They discuss why predictability can be a competitive advantage, how free cash flow and disciplined capital allocation drive long-term value creation, and what separates exceptional management teams from the rest. They also explore how Shaposhnik identifies recurring-revenue businesses across industries, why avoiding negative surprises is as important as finding winners, and where he sees opportunities as investors continue to concentrate capital in AI-related companies. Recorded July 16.
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Rainwater’s Shaposhnik on Predictable Businesses

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/bab4f0b3-8243-4cc8-b711-b49700fa5a66/transcript

Michael Ervolini on Separating Skill From Luck

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