Let me get you up to speed on what is happening in the US election. 

At this point, it is still really early.

There's a lot yet to happen, but it's feeling a hell of a lot like it could be Trump's night. 

The New York Times has just started forecasting a Trump win. 

They are running a needle on their site, and it basically swings one way or the other depending on how things are going at the moment.

It is leaning to Donald Trump and it's giving him a 69% chance of winning this election. 

None of the seven swing states have been called just yet, but he is probably going to win - at least according to the New York Times - Georgia, he's got quite a lead there. 

So, I say they'reprobably right and North Carolina to swing states now, potentially he will win a lot more than the polls were predicting, depending on how things are going. 

Now, a couple of other things have also gone his way already.He's won Florida. Florida, to be fair is historically a swing state, but since he's been in the running in 2016 it’spretty solidly been a Trump state. 

The interesting thing here is that the Democrats were talking about the possibility that they could flip Florida over the abortion issue there. That hasn't happened. He has won it by a huge margin. 

If that is a sign of the mood of the country at the moment, he will be very happy by the end of tonight.He's also won Ohio again, a Trump state like Florida used to be a swing state but has been his since 2016 again, won it by a big margin. 

Now, as I say, really early days - he is absolutely ahead in the electoral college vote.

And every single outlet that I've had a look at is as counting him like 80 votes higher than Kamala Harris. But that is to be expected. 

There usually is what they call a red mirage really early in the evening where they get a lot of votes coming in for the Republicans and then Democrats catch up later on. 

Nothing surprising has happened at the moment.Neither side has actually managed to flip a state against the other.

But so far two swing states and two signal states have gone for Trump and early on it feels like it's going his way. We're going to keep you posted throughout the show.

LISTENABOVE

<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">Let me get you up to speed on what is happening in the US election. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">At this point, it is still really early.
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">There's a lot yet to happen, but it's feeling a hell of a lot like it could be Trump's night. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">The New York Times has just started forecasting a Trump win. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">They are running a needle on their site, and it basically swings one way or the other depending on how things are going at the moment.
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">It is leaning to Donald Trump and it's giving him a 69% chance of winning this election. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">None of the seven swing states have been called just yet, but he is probably going to win - at least according to the New York Times - Georgia, he's got quite a lead there. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">So, I say they'reprobably right and North Carolina to swing states now, potentially he will win a lot more than the polls were predicting, depending on how things are going. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">Now, a couple of other things have also gone his way already.He's won Florida. Florida, to be fair is historically a swing state, but since he's been in the running in 2016 it’spretty solidly been a Trump state. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">The interesting thing here is that the Democrats were talking about the possibility that they could flip Florida over the abortion issue there. That hasn't happened. He has won it by a huge margin. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">If that is a sign of the mood of the country at the moment, he will be very happy by the end of tonight.He's also won Ohio again, a Trump state like Florida used to be a swing state but has been his since 2016 again, won it by a big margin. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">Now, as I say, really early days - he is absolutely ahead in the electoral college vote.
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">And every single outlet that I've had a look at is as counting him like 80 votes higher than Kamala Harris. But that is to be expected. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">There usually is what they call a red mirage really early in the evening where they get a lot of votes coming in for the Republicans and then Democrats catch up later on. 
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">Nothing surprising has happened at the moment.Neither side has actually managed to flip a state against the other.
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">But so far two swing states and two signal states have gone for Trump and early on it feels like it's going his way. We're going to keep you posted throughout the show.
<p style="-webkit-user-drag: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin: 0px 0px 10.6667px; padding: 0px; user-select: text; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap; vertical-align: baseline; font-kerning: none; background-color: transparent; color: windowtext; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px;">LISTEN ABOVE

With a straight down the middle approach, Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive on Newstalk ZB delivers the very latest news and views to New Zealanders as they wrap up their day.

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive

Heather du Plessis-Allan: The latest on the US election

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/7784f840-c291-422a-924b-ad9000bbad71/clips/cb8fa530-aa0d-4a78-af86-b220003a5076/transcript

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