So the ballers in Russia's court this evening on the ceasefire deal. The US has managed to get Ukraine to the table. They've agreed to thirty days of no fighting. Then hopefully they can start to have talks about actually ending the war. This all goes to the Kremlin before it goes anywhere else. Alexei Moravrev is with Curtain University. He's the associate professor of National Security and Strategic Studies. He's with me.

So the ballers in Russia's court this evening on the ceasefire deal. The US has managed to get Ukraine to the table. They've agreed to thirty days of no fighting. Then hopefully they can start to have talks about actually ending the war. This all goes to the Kremlin before it goes anywhere else. Alexei Moravrev is with Curtain University. He's the associate professor of National Security and Strategic Studies. He's with me.

Good evening, good afternoon, and good Evenian to you.

Good evening, good afternoon, and good Evenian to you.

Thank you for being with us. Do you think Russia will like this deal? Will they like and take the terms for a thirty day seas?

Thank you for being with us. Do you think Russia will like this deal? Will they like and take the terms for a thirty day seas?

Fine? Well I don't think they do. They will, and this is what they were trying to manifest of a certain period of time and a number of foum seeing they're not interested in the temporary ceisfire. That may provide the Ukrainians an advantage in terms of recovering a regrouping Reginier, eating their strength and then obviously regining their will to fight on. The Russians are currently moving, they advancing. They made significant progress in liberating the course C region and emphasizing on the word liberation. Obviously it's different from what the Russians are doing in Ukraine. And in this sense, the Russians come into these talks from the position of strength because one of the I mean, the problem that we have in trying to understand this whole rapid change concerning the conflict is we have been subjected to certain types of narratives over the past three years, and certainly one of the narratives that we're trying to battle ourselves against is the fact that this is an unwinnable war. And the Russians don't really see that this is an unwiennable war. Yes, they're making very slow progress, but they're grabbing territory, the inflicking damage on the military, and that's why they have no interest in stopping it.

Fine? Well I don't think they do. They will, and this is what they were trying to manifest of a certain period of time and a number of foum seeing they're not interested in the temporary ceisfire. That may provide the Ukrainians an advantage in terms of recovering a regrouping Reginier, eating their strength and then obviously regining their will to fight on. The Russians are currently moving, they advancing. They made significant progress in liberating the course C region and emphasizing on the word liberation. Obviously it's different from what the Russians are doing in Ukraine. And in this sense, the Russians come into these talks from the position of strength because one of the I mean, the problem that we have in trying to understand this whole rapid change concerning the conflict is we have been subjected to certain types of narratives over the past three years, and certainly one of the narratives that we're trying to battle ourselves against is the fact that this is an unwinnable war. And the Russians don't really see that this is an unwiennable war. Yes, they're making very slow progress, but they're grabbing territory, the inflicking damage on the military, and that's why they have no interest in stopping it.

So you think, Alexi, that the Russian people genuinely believe, even though Poten said this is going to be a couple of weeks of a war, here we are three years later. They genuinely believe that they can actually win it. And what does winning mean? Does that mean actually taking over all of Ukraine.

So you think, Alexi, that the Russian people genuinely believe, even though Poten said this is going to be a couple of weeks of a war, here we are three years later. They genuinely believe that they can actually win it. And what does winning mean? Does that mean actually taking over all of Ukraine.

See this is where it also gets very interesting. We continue to run with this narrative that for some reason the Russians won the whole of Ukraine. It was never stated in any of Russia's official communications or declarations. Then they want the whole of Ukraine. They want Ukraine as a buffer. That's certainly the endgame in terms of answering you. And it doesn't mean that Russia wants to control the whole of the country, which I don't think they want or can.

See this is where it also gets very interesting. We continue to run with this narrative that for some reason the Russians won the whole of Ukraine. It was never stated in any of Russia's official communications or declarations. Then they want the whole of Ukraine. They want Ukraine as a buffer. That's certainly the endgame in terms of answering you. And it doesn't mean that Russia wants to control the whole of the country, which I don't think they want or can.

They just want some space. They want some space between them and you want space.

They just want some space. They want some space between them and you want space.

And they want and they want buffer between themselves and Nita. And to answer your question about Russia's will to fight, initially, yes they were. They were kind of very slow and they didn't expect that it would be such a prolonged conflict. But the Kremlin managed to weaponize their minds and military rise them. So the Russians are currently feeling like they don't want to stop. I think the greatest disappointment for them if they would be given orders to hold the assault, and that may actually cause more a backlash for Putting than having some sort of negotiation.

And they want and they want buffer between themselves and Nita. And to answer your question about Russia's will to fight, initially, yes they were. They were kind of very slow and they didn't expect that it would be such a prolonged conflict. But the Kremlin managed to weaponize their minds and military rise them. So the Russians are currently feeling like they don't want to stop. I think the greatest disappointment for them if they would be given orders to hold the assault, and that may actually cause more a backlash for Putting than having some sort of negotiation.

Alexi very quickly, because we are really tight on time here. But just to give us an idea, what would it take for Russia to go through the six Fire.

Alexi very quickly, because we are really tight on time here. But just to give us an idea, what would it take for Russia to go through the six Fire.

If the United States would bring on the table some significant concessions to the Russians, whether it's lifting of sanctions or some sanctions or something else, then Putting would be able to go back to his people and sell the idea if it's going to be just you know, show a case of goodwill. Well, I think Putting would actually be damaging his own reputation in the eyes of the people he was trying to sell this war too, including the fact that Russia will fight until the end, until victory. So without some sort of compromise on the US side, I don't think it's going to be visible.

If the United States would bring on the table some significant concessions to the Russians, whether it's lifting of sanctions or some sanctions or something else, then Putting would be able to go back to his people and sell the idea if it's going to be just you know, show a case of goodwill. Well, I think Putting would actually be damaging his own reputation in the eyes of the people he was trying to sell this war too, including the fact that Russia will fight until the end, until victory. So without some sort of compromise on the US side, I don't think it's going to be visible.

Alix, I really appreciate you time. That's Alexei Moraviev. He's with Curtain University Associate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies, saying, basically, person needs something from the Americans to get the ceasefire across the across the line. For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news Talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.

Alix, I really appreciate you time. That's Alexei Moraviev. He's with Curtain University Associate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies, saying, basically, person needs something from the Americans to get the ceasefire across the across the line. For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news Talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.